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WSU

Washington State 37 at Arizona State 32

ASU
2016 · Week 8 · Oct 22, 2016 · Mountain America Stadium
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Win probability · ASU
modelASU aheadWSU aheadconfidence bandkey playASU scoreWSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · TEAM run for a loss of 6 yards to the WshSt 40
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+35.0+17.50−17.5−35.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:41: Robert Taylor 100 Yd Kickoff Return (Erik Powell Kick) — WSU win probability +10.1 pts (now 57%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:57: Tavares Martin Jr. 9 Yd pass from Luke Falk (Erik Powell Kick) — WSU win probability +12.1 pts (now 68%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 11:26: Gerard Wicks 3 Yd Run (Erik Powell Kick) — WSU win probability +9.9 pts (now 77%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 13:27: Gabe Marks 52 Yd pass from Luke Falk (Erik Powell PAT failed) — WSU win probability +11.1 pts (now 93%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:15: Tim White 70 Yd Punt Return (Frederick Gammage Pass to Kody Kohl for Two-Point Conversion) — ASU win probability +12.4 pts (now 19%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ASU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8WSU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 9:07WSU 4th & 4 at WSU 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.6%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:44ASU 4th & 9 at ASU 28, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.7%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:26WSU 4th & 13 at midfield, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.5%−0.3
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:54ASU 4th & 6 at ASU 34, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.8%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.2%
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:42WSU 4th & 15 at WSU 8, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.3%−1.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.5%
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:00ASU 4th & 4 at ASU 48, up 7
    Close callPunted · 45.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.3%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:03WSU 4th & 8 at ASU 12, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 52.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.1%−0.5
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.6%
    86% to make
    Punt
    46.7%−4.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:43ASU 4th & 17 at ASU 39, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.4%−1.8
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:43WSU 4th & 2 at WSU 49, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 61.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.1%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    60.7%−1.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:42WSU 4th & 27 at WSU 49, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.6%−3.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.8%
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:50ASU 4th & 7 at ASU 22, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.7%−1.2
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.9%
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:24ASU 4th & 8 at ASU 32, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.6%−1.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.8%
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:15WSU 4th & 11 at WSU 27, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.9%−1.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:22WSU 4th & 30 at WSU 5, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.4%−7.0
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.4%
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:50ASU 4th & 1 at WSU 38, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    16.0%−4.8
    38% to make
    Punt
    14.2%−6.5
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:36ASU 4th & 11 at WSU 11, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 15.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.5%−2.1
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    16.6%
    87% to make
    Punt
    6.4%−10.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ASU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4WSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 10:25ASU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:56ASU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:41WSU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:57WSU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:26WSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 4:32WSU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:00ASU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 13:27WSU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    90.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 11:15ASU Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    19.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    18.9%−0.8
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ASUDrive 1TD
13 plays · 59 yds · 4:2730% → 34%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-5
29.9%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ArzSt 36Similar
Q1 14:37
1ST & 15
OWN 36
+3
30.0%
Manny Wilkins run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 39Similar
Q1 14:10
2ND & 12
OWN 39
+2
30.3%
Demario Richard run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 41Similar
Q1 13:30
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+16
30.5%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 16 yds to the WshSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
31.3%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Frederick Gammage for 7 yds to the WshSt 36Similar
Q1 12:30
2ND & 3
OPP 36
+18
31.3%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Frederick Gammage for 3 yds to the WshSt 33 for a 1ST down WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Jalen Thompson) to the WshSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+8
31.5%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to Kalen Ballage for 8 yds to the WshSt 10Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 2
OPP 10
+1
31.7%
Demario Richard run for 1 yd to the WshSt 9Similar
Q1 11:58
3RD & 1
OPP 9
+2
31.6%
Manny Wilkins run for 2 yds to the WshSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
32.1%
Demario Richard run for 5 yds to the WshSt 2Similar
Q1 10:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
32.5%
Kalen Ballage run for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 3Similar
Q1 10:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
33.8%
Manny Wilkins 3 Yd Run (Zane Gonzalez Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:0967% → 65%
Q1 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
33.4%
Gerard Wicks run for 1 yd to the WshSt 26Similar
Q1 9:26
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
34.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 5 yds to the WshSt 31Similar
Q1 9:14
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
34.4%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to River CracraftSimilar
Q1 9:07
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
34.7%
Kyle Sweet punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Gump Hayes at the ArzSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:1835% → 35%
Q1 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
34.8%
Manny Wilkins pass incomplete to N'Keal HarrySimilar
Q1 8:50
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+5
34.7%
Manny Wilkins pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 5 yds to the ArzSt 32Similar
Q1 8:00
3RD & 5
OWN 32
-4
35.4%
Manny Wilkins sacked by Shalom Luani for a loss of 4 yards to the ArzSt 28Similar
Q1 7:44
4TH & 9
OWN 28
0
35.2%
Matt Haack punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WshSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 1:5864% → 62%
Q1 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
35.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to James Williams for 15 yds to the ArzSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-1
35.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for a loss of 1 yard to the ArzSt 48Similar
Q1 6:30
2ND & 11
OPP 48
-5
36.0%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, False Start (Eduardo Middleton) to the WshSt 47Similar
Q1 5:55
2ND & 16
OWN 47
+3
36.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to C.J. Dimry for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 5:31
3RD & 13
50
0
37.3%
Luke Falk pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:26
4TH & 13
50
0
37.8%
Kyle Sweet punt for 20 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ArzSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:5638% → 38%
Q1 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
38.2%
Dillon Sterling-Cole run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 33Similar
Q1 4:48
2ND & 7
OWN 33
0
38.4%
Dillon Sterling-Cole pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:27
3RD & 7
OWN 33
+1
38.2%
Dillon Sterling-Cole run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 34Similar
Q1 3:54
4TH & 6
OWN 34
-5
38.4%
Matt Haack punt for 48 yds , Kaleb Fossum returns for a loss of 5 yards to the WshSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:4361% → 59%
Q1 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
39.2%
Luke Falk run for 4 yds to the WshSt 17Similar
Q1 2:57
2ND & 6
OWN 17
-1
39.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 16Similar
Q1 2:11
3RD & 7
OWN 16
-8
40.4%
Luke Falk sacked by DJ Calhoun for a loss of 8 yards to the WshSt 8Similar
Q1 1:42
4TH & 15
OWN 8
0
41.3%
Kyle Sweet punt for 50 yds, downed at the ArzSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:3742% → 41%
Q1 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
41.6%
Dillon Sterling-Cole pass incomplete to Jalen HarveySimilar
Q1 1:23
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+6
41.4%
Demario Richard run for 6 yds to the ArzSt 48Similar
Q1 1:07
3RD & 4
OWN 48
0
41.7%
Dillon Sterling-Cole pass incomplete to Frederick GammageSimilar
Q1 1:00
4TH & 4
OWN 48
0
41.1%
Matt Haack punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Kaleb Fossum at the WshSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 8FG
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:5359% → 60%
Q1 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
40.9%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to River CracraftSimilar
Q1 0:43
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+3
41.2%
Luke Falk run for 3 yds to the WshSt 16Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 7
OWN 16
+19
42.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 19 yds to the WshSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
41.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to John Thompson for 12 yds to the WshSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
41.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gerard Wicks for 9 yds to the ArzSt 44Similar
Q2 13:46
2ND & 1
OPP 44
+8
40.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 8 yds to the ArzSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+8
41.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 8 yds to the ArzSt 28Similar
Q2 12:45
2ND & 2
OPP 28
+4
40.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack for 4 yds to the ArzSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:36
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+10
40.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to James Williams for 10 yds to the ArzSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-2
41.1%
Luke Falk sacked by Tashon Smallwood for a loss of 2 yards to the ArzSt 16Similar
Q2 11:38
2ND & 12
OPP 16
+4
41.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 4 yds to the ArzSt 12Similar
Q2 11:08
3RD & 8
OPP 12
0
42.8%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to River CracraftSimilar
Q2 11:03
4TH & 8
OPP 12
+29
40.1%
Erik Powell 29 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 9TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:3841% → 53%
Q2 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
41.1%
Demario Richard run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 27Similar
Q2 10:15
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+12
41.3%
Dillon Sterling-Cole pass complete to Jalen Harvey for 12 yds to the ArzSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
42.7%
Kalen Ballage run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 44Similar
Q2 9:17
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+4
43.7%
Demario Richard run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 48Similar
Q2 8:56
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+52
52.7%
Kalen Ballage 52 Yd Run (Zane Gonzalez Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 2:3643% → 44%
Q2 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
42.7%
Dillon Sterling-Cole run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 26Similar
Q2 8:01
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+20
43.5%
Dillon Sterling-Cole pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 20 yds to the ArzSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
45.8%
Demario Richard run for 5 yds to the WshSt 49Similar
Q2 7:08
2ND & 5
OPP 49
0
46.4%
Dillon Sterling-Cole run for no gain to the WshSt 49Similar
Q2 6:56
3RD & 5
OPP 49
-5
45.8%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, False Start (Quinn Bailey) to the ArzSt 46Similar
Q2 6:02
3RD & 10
OWN 46
-7
45.0%
Dillon Sterling-Cole sacked by Daniel Ekuale for a loss of 7 yards to the ArzSt 39Similar
Q2 5:43
4TH & 17
OWN 39
0
43.5%
Matt Haack punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WshSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 12TD
11 plays · 77 yds · 4:3156% → 68%
Q2 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+18
44.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gerard Wicks for 18 yds to the WshSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+15
42.9%
Falk, Luke pass incomplete to Morrow, Jamal, PENALTY ARIZONAST pass interference 15 yards to the ARIZONAST44, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WASHST, Similar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
42.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to John Thompson for 9 yds to the ArzSt 35Similar
Q2 3:50
2ND & 1
OPP 35
-8
41.4%
Luke Falk sacked by DJ Calhoun for a loss of 8 yards to the ArzSt 43Similar
Q2 3:46
3RD & 9
OPP 43
+10
43.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 10 yds to the ArzSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:58
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
42.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for no gain to the ArzSt 33Similar
Q2 2:39
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+9
42.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 9 yds to the ArzSt 24Similar
Q2 1:50
3RD & 1
OPP 24
+11
43.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to John Thompson for 11 yds to the ArzSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
44.4%
Jamal Morrow run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 9Similar
Q2 0:57
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+9
32.4%
Tavares Martin Jr. 9 Yd pass from Luke Falk (Erik Powell Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 13END OF HALF
3 plays · 8 yds · 0:2539% → 41%
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
38.7%
Kalen Ballage run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 36Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+4
40.5%
Demario Richard run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 14TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:2864% → 77%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
35.9%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Robert LewisSimilar
Q3 14:33
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+16
36.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Robert Lewis for 1 yd to the WshSt 26 for a 1ST down ARIZONA ST Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the WshSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
34.1%
Jamal Morrow run for 1 yd to the WshSt 42Similar
Q3 13:46
2ND & 9
OWN 42
0
34.4%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to C.J. DimrySimilar
Q3 13:18
3RD & 9
OWN 42
+7
35.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 7 yds to the WshSt 49Similar
Q3 12:43
4TH & 2
OWN 49
+9
36.0%
Jamal Morrow run for 9 yds to the ArzSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
33.8%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to River CracraftSimilar
Q3 12:19
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+10
33.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 10 yds to the ArzSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+29
33.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 29 yds to the ArzSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
23.5%
Gerard Wicks 3 Yd Run (Erik Powell Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 15FUMBLE
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q3 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
25.2%
TEAM run for no gain to the ArzSt 34 TEAM fumbled, recovered by WshSt Robert BarberSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · -17 yds · 1:0177% → 74%
Q3 10:43
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-4
23.1%
Luke Falk sacked by Koron Crump for a loss of 4 yards to the ArzSt 38Similar
Q3 10:37
2ND & 14
OPP 38
0
23.7%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Gabe MarksSimilar
Q3 9:58
3RD & 14
OPP 38
-13
24.5%
Luke Falk sacked by Marcus Ball for a loss of 13 yards to the WshSt 49Similar
Q3 9:42
4TH & 27
OWN 49
+8
25.6%
Zach Charme punt for 40 yds , Tim White returns for 8 yds to the ArzSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:4824% → 22%
Q3 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
23.7%
Dillon Sterling-Cole pass incomplete to Tim WhiteSimilar
Q3 9:13
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+3
23.6%
Demario Richard run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 22Similar
Q3 8:58
3RD & 7
OWN 22
0
22.6%
Dillon Sterling-Cole pass incomplete to Tim WhiteSimilar
Q3 8:50
4TH & 7
OWN 22
0
22.0%
Matt Haack punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Kaleb Fossum at the WshSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 18TD
10 plays · 74 yds · 3:4776% → 90%
Q3 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
24.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 9 yds to the WshSt 35Similar
Q3 8:07
2ND & 1
OWN 35
-3
23.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for a loss of 3 yards to the WshSt 32Similar
Q3 7:45
3RD & 4
OWN 32
+10
24.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 10 yds to the WshSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
22.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack for 3 yds to the WshSt 45Similar
Q3 6:43
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+19
22.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 19 yds to the ArzSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-5
21.0%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the ArzSt 41Similar
Q3 5:30
1ST & 15
OPP 41
+10
21.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 10 yds to the ArzSt 31Similar
Q3 5:15
2ND & 5
OPP 31
+24
19.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Robert Lewis for 24 yds to the ArzSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
18.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 4 yds to the ArzSt 3Similar
Q3 4:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
9.7%
Jamal Morrow 3 Yd pass from Luke Falk (Erik Powell Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 19TD
11 plays · 81 yds · 4:0512% → 23%
Q3 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
12.4%
Kalen Ballage run for no gain to the ArzSt 19Similar
Q3 3:36
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+6
12.1%
Dillon Sterling-Cole pass complete to Tim White for 6 yds to the ArzSt 25Similar
Q3 3:19
3RD & 4
OWN 25
+17
12.1%
Dillon Sterling-Cole pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 17 yds to the ArzSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
13.2%
Kalen Ballage run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 44Similar
Q3 2:05
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+40
13.0%
Jack Smith pass complete to Tim White for 40 yds to the WshSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:31
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+5
14.1%
Kalen Ballage run for 5 yds to the WshSt 11Similar
Q3 1:21
2ND & 5
OPP 11
+6
14.1%
Kalen Ballage run for 6 yds to the WshSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
13.1%
Demario Richard run for 3 yds to the WshSt 2Similar
Q3 0:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
13.0%
Demario Richard run for 1 yd to the WshSt 1Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
22.8%
Demario Richard 1 Yd Run (Zane Gonzalez Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 20TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:0979% → 93%
Q4 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
21.2%
James Williams run for 2 yds to the WshSt 27Similar
Q4 14:22
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+9
21.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 9 yds to the WshSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+12
20.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 12 yds to the WshSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
18.5%
Luke Falk pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:27
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+52
7.4%
Gabe Marks 52 Yd pass from Luke Falk (Erik Powell PAT failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:3211% → 10%
Q4 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
11.2%
Demario Richard pass complete to Tim White for 2 yds to the ArzSt 32Similar
Q4 12:40
2ND & 8
OWN 32
0
11.2%
Dillon Sterling-Cole pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:34
3RD & 8
OWN 32
0
10.7%
Dillon Sterling-Cole pass incomplete to Jalen HarveySimilar
Q4 12:24
4TH & 8
OWN 32
0
9.8%
Matt Haack punt for 40 yds, downed at the WshSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 22PUNT TD
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:3493% → 81%
Q4 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-1
6.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to James Williams for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 27Similar
Q4 11:44
2ND & 11
OWN 27
0
6.6%
Luke Falk pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:38
3RD & 11
OWN 27
0
6.9%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Tavares Martin Jr.Similar
Q4 11:15
4TH & 11
OWN 27
+70
19.3%
Tim White 70 Yd Punt Return (Frederick Gammage Pass to Kody Kohl for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · -20 yds · 1:2183% → 82%
Q4 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
17.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 1 yd to the WshSt 26Similar
Q4 10:12
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-12
16.6%
Luke Falk sacked by Koron Crump for a loss of 12 yards to the WshSt 12 Luke Falk fumbled, forced by Koron Crump, recovered by WshSt Gerard Wicks , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 9:35
3RD & 23
OWN 12
-7
17.4%
Luke Falk sacked by Koron Crump for a loss of 7 yards to the WshSt 5Similar
Q4 9:22
4TH & 30
OWN 5
0
18.5%
Kyle Sweet punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WshSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 24FG
13 plays · 36 yds · 4:2423% → 24%
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-4
22.8%
Dillon Sterling-Cole pass complete to N'Keal Harry for a loss of 4 yards to the ArzSt 49Similar
Q4 8:47
2ND & 14
OWN 49
0
19.6%
Dillon Sterling-Cole pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:08
3RD & 14
OWN 49
+13
18.1%
Dillon Sterling-Cole pass complete to Jalen Harvey for 13 yds to the WshSt 38Similar
Q4 7:50
4TH & 1
OPP 38
+9
19.3%
Kalen Ballage run for 9 yds to the WshSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
22.5%
Kalen Ballage run for 1 yd to the WshSt 28Similar
Q4 6:49
2ND & 9
OPP 28
-4
20.7%
Tim White run for a loss of 4 yards to the WshSt 32Similar
Q4 6:17
3RD & 13
OPP 32
+22
15.0%
Dillon Sterling-Cole pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 22 yds to the WshSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
18.6%
Kalen Ballage run for 2 yds to the WshSt 8Similar
Q4 4:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
-3
16.9%
Kalen Ballage run for a loss of 3 yards to the WshSt 11Similar
Q4 4:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
0
15.3%
Dillon Sterling-Cole pass incomplete to N'Keal HarrySimilar
Q4 4:36
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+29
24.4%
Zane Gonzalez 29 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 25END OF GAME
11 plays · 15 yds · 4:2783% → 95%
Q4 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
16.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 12 yds to the WshSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
15.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 1 yd to the WshSt 38Similar
Q4 3:50
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+16
13.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 16 yds to the ArzSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
10.3%
Jamal Morrow run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 43Similar
Q4 2:11
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+9
9.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 9 yds to the ArzSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-12
4.8%
Luke Falk run for a loss of 12 yards to the ArzSt 46Similar
Q4 0:50
2ND & 22
OPP 46
-8
5.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 8 yards to the WshSt 46Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 30
OWN 46
-6
5.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 6 yards to the WshSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 11:15
Tim White 70 Yd Punt Return (Frederick Gammage Pass to Kody Kohl for Two-Point Conversion)
+12.4
TD · Q2 0:57
Tavares Martin Jr. 9 Yd pass from Luke Falk (Erik Powell Kick)
-12.1
TD · Q4 13:27
Gabe Marks 52 Yd pass from Luke Falk (Erik Powell PAT failed)
-11.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com