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UTAH

Utah 19 at Oregon State 14

ORST
2016 · Week 7 · Oct 15, 2016 · Reser Stadium
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Win probability · ORST
modelORST aheadUTAH aheadconfidence bandkey playORST scoreUTAH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDSAFETYFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:42 · Joe Williams run for no gain to the OrgSt 25
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+40.0+20.00−20.0−40.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 175Pregame prior−0.4Home team on offense−35.2Garbage-time factor−13.7Score differential−6.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−13.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−11.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 9:46: Artavis Pierce run for 18 yds for a TD, (Garrett Owens KICK) — ORST win probability +11.2 pts (now 32%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 3:18: Troy Williams run for 8 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK) — UTAH win probability +10.4 pts (now 97%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 1:40: Hunter Jarmon 14 Yd pass from Marcus McMaryion (Garrett Owens Kick) — ORST win probability +24.1 pts (now 32%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:40: Garrett Owens on-side kick recovered by UTAH at the OrgSt 39 — UTAH win probability +11.6 pts (now 79%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:40: OREGON ST Penalty, illegal kicking (5 Yards) to the OrgSt 34 — UTAH win probability +13.6 pts (now 93%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ORST made the numbers' call on 10 of 10UTAH made the numbers' call on 10 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00ORST 4th & 14 at ORST 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.9%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:29UTAH 4th & 2 at ORST 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 78.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    78.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    78.2%−0.2
    32% to make
    Punt
    78.2%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:30ORST 4th & 13 at UTAH 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.6%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    22.6%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    22.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:07UTAH 4th & 1 at ORST 5, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 77.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    77.0%
    67% to convert
    Field goal
    76.3%−0.7
    92% to make
    Punt
    74.3%−2.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:06UTAH 4th & 7 at ORST 7, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 76.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.6%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.7%
    91% to make
    Punt
    72.6%−3.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:00ORST 4th & 5 at ORST 40, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:28UTAH 4th & 15 at ORST 40, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.3%−0.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    78.7%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    78.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:15ORST 4th & 8 at ORST 5, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.8%−1.0
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.8%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:15ORST 4th & 15 at UTAH 47, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.4%−0.6
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00UTAH 4th & 3 at UTAH 32, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.1%−0.4
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:34ORST 4th & 1 at UTAH 28, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    18.0%−2.1
    60% to make
    Punt
    13.3%−6.8
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:46UTAH 4th & 19 at UTAH 16, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.7%−5.0
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.7%
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:28ORST 4th & 10 at UTAH 33, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 29.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.1%−0.7
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    28.8%
    49% to make
    Punt
    27.3%−1.5
    average punt
  14. Q3 6:28UTAH 4th & 25 at UTAH 29, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.2%−5.3
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.5%
    average punt
  15. Q3 3:05ORST 4th & 9 at ORST 28, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.6%−2.5
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 15:00UTAH 4th & 3 at ORST 33, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 73.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    74.4%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    72.2%−2.3
    49% to make
    Punt
    70.5%−4.0
    average punt
  17. Q4 8:25ORST 4th & 9 at UTAH 9, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 34.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.6%−2.3
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.9%
    89% to make
    Punt
    16.9%−17.0
    average punt
  18. Q4 6:05UTAH 4th & 9 at UTAH 45, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.1%−2.8
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.8%
    average punt
  19. Q4 0:42UTAH 4th & 1 at ORST 25, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    88.2%−0.7
    66% to make
    Punt
    83.8%−5.1
    average punt
  20. Q4 0:02ORST 4th & 24 at ORST 11, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.1%
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.5%−1.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ORST made the numbers' call on 2 of 2UTAH made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 4:37UTAH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 9:46ORST Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 3:18UTAH Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.9%−0.5
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 1:40ORST Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ORSTDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
21.9%
Victor Bolden Jr. run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
21.9%
Darell Garretson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-7
21.9%
Darell Garretson run for a loss of 7 yards to the OrgSt 21Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 14
OWN 21
+1
21.9%
Nick Porebski punt for 39 yds , Boobie Hobbs returns for 1 yd to the Utah 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 2FUMBLE
6 plays · 31 yds · 0:0077% → 78%
Q1 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+10
22.6%
Williams, Troy pass incomplete to Singleton, Rae. (Crawford, X.), PENALTY OSU holding (Arnold, Brandon) 10 yards to the OSU49, 1ST DOWN UTAH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
22.6%
Cory Butler-Byrd run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 43Similar
Q1 13:29
2ND & 4
OPP 43
0
22.5%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Kyle FulksSimilar
Q1 13:29
3RD & 4
OPP 43
+2
22.6%
Joe Williams run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 41Similar
Q1 13:29
4TH & 2
OPP 41
+12
22.6%
Troy Williams run for 12 yds to the OrgSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
22.5%
Troy Williams run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 28 Troy Williams fumbled, forced by Bright Ugwoegbu, recovered by OrgSt Devin ChappellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 29 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+32
23.7%
Ryan Nall run for 32 yds to the Utah 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
24.1%
Artavis Pierce run for 2 yds to the Utah 37Similar
Q1 11:30
2ND & 8
OPP 37
-5
24.0%
Darell Garretson sacked by Chase Hansen for a loss of 5 yards to the Utah 42Similar
Q1 11:30
3RD & 13
OPP 42
0
23.8%
Darell Garretson pass incomplete to Artavis PierceSimilar
Q1 11:30
4TH & 13
OPP 42
0
23.6%
Nick Porebski punt for 15 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Utah 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 4TD
10 plays · 73 yds · 4:4875% → 77%
Q1 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
24.7%
Troy Williams pass complete to Demari Simpkins for 5 yds to the Utah 32Similar
Q1 9:25
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+7
24.5%
Cory Butler-Byrd run for 7 yds to the Utah 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
24.4%
Cory Butler-Byrd run for 9 yds to the Utah 48Similar
Q1 9:25
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+6
24.3%
Joe Williams run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
24.2%
Joe Williams run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 40Similar
Q1 9:25
2ND & 4
OPP 40
-1
24.2%
Cory Butler-Byrd run for a loss of 1 yard to the OrgSt 41Similar
Q1 9:25
3RD & 5
OPP 41
+25
24.3%
Troy Williams pass complete to Raelon Singleton for 25 yds to the OrgSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
24.1%
Joe Williams run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 14Similar
Q1 9:25
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+9
24.1%
Troy Williams run for 9 yds to the OrgSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
23.1%
Joe Williams run for 5 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 5INT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q1 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
24.1%
Artavis Pierce run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 29Similar
Q1 4:37
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
24.2%
Darell Garretson pass complete to Artavis Pierce for 1 yd to the OrgSt 30Similar
Q1 4:37
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+24
24.0%
Darell Garretson pass intercepted Chase Hansen return for 24 yds to the OrgSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 6DOWNS
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0077% → 76%
Q1 3:07
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
23.2%
Troy Williams pass complete to Cory Butler-Byrd for 1 yd to the OrgSt 13Similar
Q1 3:07
2ND & 9
OPP 13
-2
23.2%
Joe Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the OrgSt 15Similar
Q1 3:07
3RD & 11
OPP 15
+10
23.5%
Troy Williams run for 10 yds to the OrgSt 5Similar
Q1 3:07
4TH & 1
OPP 5
-2
23.8%
Troy Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the OrgSt 7 Troy Williams fumbled, recovered by Utah Troy WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 7SF
5 plays · -7 yds · 1:2624% → 23%
Q1 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+26
24.4%
Victor Bolden Jr. run for 26 yds to the OrgSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
24.7%
Artavis Pierce run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 35Similar
Q1 1:26
2ND & 8
OWN 35
0
24.7%
Darell Garretson pass incomplete to Artavis PierceSimilar
Q1 1:26
3RD & 8
OWN 35
0
24.3%
Darell Garretson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 8
OWN 35
-35
23.3%
Team run for a loss of 35 yards for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 8FG
15 plays · 55 yds · 5:4776% → 79%
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
23.7%
Joe Williams run for 6 yds to the Utah 44Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 4
OWN 44
0
23.6%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Cory Butler-ByrdSimilar
Q2 14:53
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+22
23.7%
Joe Williams run for 22 yds to the OrgSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
23.4%
Cory Butler-Byrd run for 9 yds to the OrgSt 25Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 1
OPP 25
+4
23.3%
Cory Butler-Byrd run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
23.3%
Joe Williams run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 15Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 4
OPP 15
0
23.3%
Troy Williams run for no gain to the OrgSt 15Similar
Q2 11:35
3RD & 4
OPP 15
+5
24.4%
Joe Williams run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
24.1%
Joe Williams run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 7Similar
Q2 11:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
24.1%
Joe Williams run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 5Similar
Q2 11:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
24.4%
Troy Williams run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 2Similar
Q2 11:35
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
25.0%
UTAH Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the OrgSt 7Similar
Q2 9:06
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+25
21.4%
Andy Phillips 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
22.2%
Victor Bolden Jr. run for 15 yds to the OrgSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
22.5%
Darell Garretson pass incomplete to Victor Bolden Jr.Similar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+5
22.5%
Artavis Pierce run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 40Similar
Q2 9:00
3RD & 5
OWN 40
0
22.5%
Darell Garretson pass incomplete to Victor Bolden Jr.Similar
Q2 9:00
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
22.3%
Nick Porebski punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Boobie Hobbs at the Utah 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 50 yds · 0:0078% → 78%
Q2 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+6
21.7%
Joe Williams run for 6 yds to the Utah 16Similar
Q2 7:28
2ND & 4
OWN 16
+49
21.7%
Joe Williams run for 49 yds to the OrgSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-5
20.7%
Troy Williams sacked by Bright Ugwoegbu for a loss of 5 yards to the OrgSt 40Similar
Q2 7:28
2ND & 15
OPP 40
0
21.0%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Evan Moeai, broken up by Manase HungaluSimilar
Q2 7:28
3RD & 15
OPP 40
0
21.2%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Cory Butler-ByrdSimilar
Q2 7:28
4TH & 15
OPP 40
0
21.7%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 37 yds, downed at the OrgSt 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0022% → 21%
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+2
21.5%
Artavis Pierce run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 5Similar
Q2 5:15
2ND & 8
OWN 5
0
21.5%
Darell Garretson pass incomplete to Jordan VillaminSimilar
Q2 5:15
3RD & 8
OWN 5
0
21.0%
Darell Garretson pass incomplete to Timmy HernandezSimilar
Q2 5:15
4TH & 8
OWN 5
-4
21.0%
Nick Porebski punt for 56 yds , Boobie Hobbs returns for a loss of 4 yards to the Utah 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 12FUMBLE
3 plays · 7 yds · 0:0079% → 79%
Q2 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
21.2%
Joe Williams run for 5 yds to the Utah 40Similar
Q2 4:15
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+8
20.6%
Joe Williams run for 8 yds to the Utah 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-6
20.6%
Cory Butler-Byrd run for a loss of 6 yards to the Utah 42 Cory Butler-Byrd fumbled, forced by Devin Chappell, recovered by OrgSt Brandon ArnoldSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 1:4723% → 22%
Q2 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-15
23.2%
Bolden, Victor rush for 10 yards to the UTAH32 (Williams,Marcus), PENALTY OSU personal foul (Harlow, Sean) 15 yards to the OSU43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:02
1ST & 25
OWN 43
+5
22.0%
Seth Collins run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 48Similar
Q2 3:02
2ND & 20
OWN 48
0
22.2%
Darell Garretson pass incomplete to Hunter JarmonSimilar
Q2 3:02
3RD & 20
OWN 48
+5
21.5%
Artavis Pierce run for 5 yds to the Utah 47Similar
Q2 1:15
4TH & 15
OPP 47
0
21.9%
Nick Porebski punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 14END OF HALF
4 plays · 11 yds · 0:5181% → 82%
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
19.5%
Joe Williams run for 5 yds to the Utah 25Similar
Q2 1:15
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+4
19.4%
Joe Williams run for 4 yds to the Utah 29Similar
Q2 0:24
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+2
18.4%
Joe Williams run for 2 yds to the Utah 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0080% → 79%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
20.0%
Joe Williams run for 5 yds to the Utah 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
19.7%
Joe Williams run for 2 yds to the Utah 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
20.2%
Joe Williams run for no gain to the Utah 32Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
20.8%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 42 yds, downed at the OrgSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 16TD
8 plays · 74 yds · 3:0820% → 32%
Q3 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+37
19.6%
Darell Garretson run for 37 yds to the Utah 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
20.9%
Victor Bolden Jr. run for 6 yds to the Utah 31Similar
Q3 12:54
2ND & 4
OPP 31
0
21.9%
Darell Garretson pass incomplete to Artavis PierceSimilar
Q3 11:34
3RD & 4
OPP 31
+2
20.2%
Darell Garretson run for 2 yds to the Utah 28 Darell Garretson fumbled, forced by Justin Thomas, recovered by OrgSt Tuli Wily-MatagiSimilar
Q3 11:34
4TH & 1
OPP 28
+10
20.0%
Victor Bolden Jr. run for 10 yds to the Utah 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
21.2%
Victor Bolden Jr. run for no gain to the Utah 18Similar
Q3 9:46
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+18
32.4%
Artavis Pierce run for 18 yds for a TD, (Garrett Owens KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · -9 yds · 0:0073% → 70%
Q3 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
27.1%
Joe Williams run for a loss of 4 yards to the Utah 21Similar
Q3 9:46
2ND & 14
OWN 21
-5
27.8%
UTAH Penalty, false start (Isaac Asiata) to the Utah 16Similar
Q3 9:46
2ND & 19
OWN 16
0
27.8%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Raelon SingletonSimilar
Q3 9:46
3RD & 19
OWN 16
0
28.7%
Troy Williams run for no gain to the Utah 16Similar
Q3 9:46
4TH & 19
OWN 16
0
29.6%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Victor Bolden Jr. at the OrgSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 18MISSED FG
5 plays · 22 yds · 1:3630% → 28%
Q3 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+22
30.2%
Artavis Pierce run for 22 yds to the Utah 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:04
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
33.0%
Darell Garretson pass incomplete to Seth Collins OREGON ST Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 8:04
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
32.8%
Artavis Pierce run for no gain to the Utah 33Similar
Q3 8:04
3RD & 10
OPP 33
0
30.5%
Darell Garretson pass incomplete to Seth CollinsSimilar
Q3 6:28
4TH & 10
OPP 33
+51
27.8%
Garrett Owens 51 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 19PUNT
9 plays · -4 yds · 0:0074% → 70%
Q3 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
26.1%
Joe Williams run for 2 yds to the Utah 35Similar
Q3 6:28
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+1
26.2%
Joe Williams run for 1 yd to the Utah 36Similar
Q3 6:28
3RD & 7
OWN 36
+5
26.6%
OREGON ST Penalty, delay of game (5 Yards) to the Utah 41Similar
Q3 6:28
3RD & 2
OWN 41
+3
25.1%
Joe Williams run for 3 yds to the Utah 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
24.7%
Cory Butler-Byrd run for 3 yds to the Utah 47Similar
Q3 6:28
2ND & 7
OWN 47
0
24.7%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Raelon SingletonSimilar
Q3 6:28
3RD & 7
OWN 47
-5
25.1%
UTAH Penalty, false start (Garett Bolles) to the Utah 42Similar
Q3 6:28
3RD & 12
OWN 42
-13
27.4%
Troy Williams sacked by Caleb Saulo for a loss of 13 yards to the Utah 29Similar
Q3 6:28
4TH & 25
OWN 29
+2
29.7%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 47 yds , Victor Bolden Jr. returns for 2 yds to the OrgSt 31 OREGON ST Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the OrgSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 0:0028% → 26%
Q3 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+7
27.8%
Paul Lucas run for 7 yds to the OrgSt 23Similar
Q3 3:05
2ND & 3
OWN 23
+4
28.4%
Paul Lucas run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
28.3%
Paul Lucas run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 28Similar
Q3 3:05
2ND & 9
OWN 28
0
28.1%
Darell Garretson pass incomplete to Seth CollinsSimilar
Q3 3:05
3RD & 9
OWN 28
0
26.3%
Darell Garretson pass incomplete to Victor Bolden Jr.Similar
Q3 3:05
4TH & 9
OWN 28
+10
25.6%
Nick Porebski punt for 47 yds , Boobie Hobbs returns for 10 yds to the Utah 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 21DOWNS
7 plays · 34 yds · 0:5475% → 75%
Q3 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
24.8%
Joe Williams run for 3 yds to the Utah 38Similar
Q3 0:54
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+2
23.5%
Devonta'e Henry-Cole run for 2 yds to the Utah 40Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+20
23.7%
Cory Butler-Byrd run for 20 yds to the OrgSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
22.5%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Cory Butler-Byrd, broken up by Devin ChappellSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+5
22.7%
Joe Williams run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 35Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 35
+2
22.8%
Joe Williams run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 33Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 33
+2
24.9%
Joe Williams run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 22MISSED FG
13 plays · 60 yds · 4:4329% → 31%
Q4 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+16
28.6%
Paul Lucas run for 16 yds to the OrgSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
31.9%
Tim Cook run for 4 yds to the Utah 49Similar
Q4 13:08
2ND & 6
OPP 49
-5
32.7%
OREGON ST Penalty, false start (Blake Brandel) to the OrgSt 46Similar
Q4 13:08
2ND & 11
OWN 46
+7
29.6%
Darell Garretson pass complete to Victor Bolden Jr. for 7 yds to the Utah 47Similar
Q4 13:08
3RD & 4
OPP 47
+12
32.0%
Darell Garretson pass complete to Victor Bolden Jr. for 12 yds to the Utah 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
34.9%
Darell Garretson run for 1 yd to the Utah 34Similar
Q4 13:08
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+4
34.7%
Darell Garretson pass complete to Victor Bolden Jr. for 4 yds to the Utah 30Similar
Q4 13:08
3RD & 5
OPP 30
+6
32.7%
Darell Garretson run for 6 yds to the Utah 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+15
34.8%
Garretson, D. pass intercepted by Allen, Brian at the UTAH0, Allen, Brian return to the UTAH0, touchback, PENALTY UTAH pass interference (Allen, Brian) 15 yards to the UTAH9, 1ST DOWN OSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
34.8%
Darell Garretson run for no gain to the Utah 9Similar
Q4 13:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
34.8%
Darell Garretson pass incomplete to Victor Bolden Jr.Similar
Q4 13:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
32.7%
Conor Blount pass incomplete to Seth CollinsSimilar
Q4 8:25
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+27
31.4%
Garrett Owens 27 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 23PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 2:2077% → 78%
Q4 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
23.3%
Troy Williams pass complete to Cory Butler-Byrd for 11 yds to the Utah 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
22.1%
Joe Williams run for 7 yds to the Utah 38Similar
Q4 8:25
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+6
20.4%
Troy Williams run for 6 yds to the Utah 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
20.3%
Troy Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:25
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+1
20.7%
Troy Williams run for 1 yd to the Utah 45 UTAH Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 6:05
3RD & 9
OWN 45
0
19.2%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Cory Butler-ByrdSimilar
Q4 6:05
4TH & 9
OWN 45
0
21.7%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 24FUMBLE
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q4 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+1
24.2%
Victor Bolden Jr. run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 10Similar
Q4 5:51
2ND & 9
OWN 10
+3
24.2%
Conor Blount run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 25TD
3 plays · 11 yds · 0:5287% → 97%
Q4 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-1
13.5%
Troy Williams run for 9 yds to the OrgSt 2 UTAH Penalty, Offensive holding (Raelon Singleton) to the OrgSt 12Similar
Q4 4:10
1ST & 11
OPP 12
+4
13.5%
Joe Williams run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 8Similar
Q4 3:18
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+8
3.2%
Troy Williams run for 8 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 26TD
11 plays · 65 yds · 1:385% → 32%
Q4 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
5.3%
OREGON ST Penalty, illegal kicking ( Yards) to the OrgSt 35Similar
Q4 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
5.3%
9A kickoff -29 yards to the OSU6, out-of-bounds, PENALTY UTAH illegal kicking (Hicken, Hayes) 0 yards to the OSU35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
5.3%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Seth Collins for 4 yds to the OrgSt 39Similar
Q4 3:01
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+16
5.3%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Timmy Hernandez for 16 yds Timmy Hernandez fumbled, forced by Jordan Fogal, recovered by OrgSt Victor Bolden Jr. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:01
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
7.4%
Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to Timmy HernandezSimilar
Q4 3:01
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+5
7.4%
Marcus McMaryion run for 5 yds to the Utah 30Similar
Q4 3:01
3RD & 5
OPP 30
+16
6.8%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Tim Cook for 16 yds to the Utah 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:01
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
8.1%
Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to Tim CookSimilar
Q4 1:40
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+14
32.3%
Hunter Jarmon 14 Yd pass from Marcus McMaryion (Garrett Owens Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 27DOWNS
9 plays · 14 yds · 0:5893% → 96%
Q4 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
7.1%
OREGON ST Penalty, illegal kicking (5 Yards) to the OrgSt 34Similar
Q4 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
6.9%
Cory Butler-Byrd run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 31Similar
Q4 1:34
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+5
6.1%
Joe Williams run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 26Similar
Q4 1:28
3RD & 2
OPP 26
+1
6.2%
Troy Williams run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 25Similar
Q4 0:42
4TH & 1
OPP 25
0
3.7%
Joe Williams run for no gain to the OrgSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 28DOWNS
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:3511% → 8%
Q4 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
11.0%
McMaryion, M. pass incomplete to Collins, Seth, PENALTY OSU holding (Brandel, Blake) 10 yards to the OSU15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:37
1ST & 20
OWN 15
0
10.8%
Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to Tim CookSimilar
Q4 0:37
2ND & 20
OWN 15
0
10.6%
Marcus McMaryion pass incomplete to Seth CollinsSimilar
Q4 0:37
3RD & 20
OWN 15
-4
10.3%
Marcus McMaryion run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 16 OREGON ST Penalty, illegal forward pass (Marcus McMaryion) to the OrgSt 11Similar
Q4 0:02
4TH & 24
OWN 11
+2
8.1%
Marcus McMaryion pass complete to Seth Collins for 14 yds to the OrgSt 27 to Victor Bolden Jr. for 2 yds to the OrgSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:40
Hunter Jarmon 14 Yd pass from Marcus McMaryion (Garrett Owens Kick)
+24.1
KEY PLAY · Q4 1:40
OREGON ST Penalty, illegal kicking (5 Yards) to the OrgSt 34
-13.6
KEY PLAY · Q4 1:40
Garrett Owens on-side kick recovered by UTAH at the OrgSt 39
-11.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com