Try the model
UCLA

UCLA 21 at Washington State 27

WSU
2016 · Week 7 · Oct 15, 2016 · Gesa Field
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · WSU
modelWSU aheadUCLA aheadconfidence bandkey playWSU scoreUCLA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of GameTD-22.6WSU 70.6%Mike Fafaul pass complete to DarrenAndrews for 4 yds for a TD, (JJ MolsonKICK)AWAY 21 - HOME 27 · Q4 3:17
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 3:17 · Mike Fafaul pass complete to Darren Andrews for 4 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+27.0+13.50−13.5−27.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 169Home team on offense+6.0Garbage-time factor+3.5Pregame prior+0.2Score differential−0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.7Blowout margin+1.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 10:41: Mike Fafaul pass complete to Darren Andrews for 22 yds for a TD, (Andrew Strauch KICK) — UCLA win probability +13.8 pts (now 43%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q3 7:39: Gerard Wicks run for 1 yd for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK) — WSU win probability +13.2 pts (now 79%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 1:35: Jamal Morrow run for 3 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK) — WSU win probability +12.6 pts (now 94%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 11:37: Mike Fafaul pass complete to Jordan Lasley for 5 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK) — UCLA win probability +12.4 pts (now 21%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:17: Mike Fafaul pass complete to Darren Andrews for 4 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK) — UCLA win probability +22.6 pts (now 29%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WSU made the numbers' call on 9 of 10UCLA made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 11:23WSU 4th & 1 at UCLA 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 57.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    57.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    57.1%−0.3
    27% to make
    Punt
    57.2%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:43UCLA 4th & 11 at UCLA 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.7%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:15WSU 4th & 4 at UCLA 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 57.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    57.5%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    57.5%−<0.1
    74% to make
    Punt
    56.5%−1.0
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:58WSU 4th & 15 at UCLA 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 57.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.7%−0.4
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.1%
    77% to make
    Punt
    55.9%−1.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 6:48UCLA 4th & 12 at UCLA 26, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.6%−0.5
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00UCLA 4th & 11 at WSU 37, down 3
    Close callPunted · 40.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.0%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    41.1%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    40.9%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:23WSU 4th & 3 at UCLA 8, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 59.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    59.6%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    59.1%−0.5
    90% to make
    Punt
    55.1%−4.5
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:08UCLA 4th & 5 at UCLA 37, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.7%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 14:54WSU 4th & 7 at WSU 49, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.7%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:33UCLA 4th & 4 at UCLA 34, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.8%−0.4
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:29WSU 4th & 3 at UCLA 32, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 79.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    79.7%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    78.4%−1.2
    51% to make
    Punt
    77.3%−2.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:37WSU 4th & 1 at UCLA 37, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    82.9%−2.7
    40% to make
    Punt
    82.8%−2.8
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:09WSU 4th & 13 at UCLA 18, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 91.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.7%−1.1
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.8%
    79% to make
    Punt
    86.9%−3.9
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:03UCLA 4th & 3 at WSU 34, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.2%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    5.9%−0.2
    47% to make
    Punt
    4.6%−1.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:53WSU 4th & 9 at WSU 26, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.7%−1.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:59WSU 4th & 7 at UCLA 40, up 6
    Close callPunted · 94.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.3%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    94.2%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    93.9%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3UCLA made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q2 4:15WSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 10:41UCLA Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 7:39WSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 1:35WSU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 11:37UCLA Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 3:17UCLA Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.6%−0.4
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UCLADrive 1FUMBLE
10 plays · 28 yds · 0:0046% → 46%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
54.5%
Nate Starks run for a loss of 4 yards to the UCLA 21Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+2
54.5%
Nate Starks run for 2 yds to the UCLA 23Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 23
-11
54.5%
Fafaul pass complete to Massington for 13 yards to the UCLA36 (Molton, Darrien;Wicks, Gerard), PENALTY UCLA illegal block 11 yards to the UCLA12, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 23
OWN 12
0
54.5%
Ishmael Adams run for no gain to the UCLA 12Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 23
OWN 12
+15
54.5%
Kent punt 15 yards to the UCLA27, downed, PENALTY WSU roughing the kicker 15 yards to the UCLA27, 1ST DOWN UCLA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
54.5%
Nate Starks run for 8 yds to the UCLA 35Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 35
+4
54.5%
Nate Starks run for 4 yds to the UCLA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
54.5%
Nate Starks run for no gain to the UCLA 39Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+14
54.5%
Mike Fafaul pass complete to Kenneth Walker III for 14 yds Kenneth Walker III fumbled, forced by Dylan Hanser, recovered by WshSt Peyton PelluerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 2DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0055% → 55%
Q1 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
55.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 9 yds to the UCLA 44Similar
Q1 11:23
2ND & 1
OPP 44
0
55.4%
Luke Falk pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:23
3RD & 1
OPP 44
0
55.3%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to River Cracraft, broken up by Adarius PickettSimilar
Q1 11:23
4TH & 1
OPP 44
0
55.1%
Luke Falk pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 3PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0046% → 45%
Q1 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
54.5%
Mike Fafaul pass incomplete to Nate StarksSimilar
Q1 10:43
2ND & 10
OWN 44
-5
54.6%
Nate Starks run for a loss of 5 yards to the UCLA 39Similar
Q1 10:43
3RD & 15
OWN 39
+4
54.9%
Mike Fafaul run for 4 yds to the UCLA 43Similar
Q1 10:43
4TH & 11
OWN 43
0
55.0%
Austin Kent punt for a loss of 1 yard, downed at the UCLA 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 4FG
10 plays · 23 yds · 2:1356% → 55%
Q1 9:11
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
56.0%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Gabe MarksSimilar
Q1 9:11
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+6
56.0%
James Williams run for 6 yds to the UCLA 21Similar
Q1 9:11
3RD & 4
OPP 21
0
55.8%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to River CracraftSimilar
Q1 8:15
4TH & 4
OPP 21
+7
55.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 7 yds to the UCLA 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-5
56.0%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, false start (Cody O'Connell) to the UCLA 19Similar
Q1 8:15
1ST & 15
OPP 19
0
56.0%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to River CracraftSimilar
Q1 8:15
2ND & 15
OPP 19
0
55.8%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Gabe MarksSimilar
Q1 8:15
3RD & 15
OPP 19
0
55.3%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to James WilliamsSimilar
Q1 6:58
4TH & 15
OPP 19
+36
55.4%
Erik Powell 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 0:0044% → 43%
Q1 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
56.2%
Mike Fafaul pass incomplete to Darren Andrews, broken up by Shalom LuaniSimilar
Q1 6:48
2ND & 10
OWN 10
0
56.3%
Soso Jamabo run for no gain to the UCLA 10Similar
Q1 6:48
3RD & 10
OWN 10
+18
56.6%
Mike Fafaul pass complete to Darren Andrews for 18 yds to the UCLA 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
56.0%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for no gain to the UCLA 28Similar
Q1 6:48
2ND & 10
OWN 28
-2
56.3%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCLA 26Similar
Q1 6:48
3RD & 12
OWN 26
0
56.6%
Mike Fafaul pass incomplete to Kenneth Walker III, broken up by Marcellus PippinsSimilar
Q1 6:48
4TH & 12
OWN 26
0
56.9%
Austin Kent punt for 26 yds, downed at the WshSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 6INT
10 plays · 38 yds · 0:0057% → 57%
Q1 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
57.4%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to James WilliamsSimilar
Q1 4:14
2ND & 10
OWN 48
-5
57.1%
Luke Falk sacked by Takkarist McKinley for a loss of 5 yards to the WshSt 43Similar
Q1 4:14
3RD & 15
OWN 43
+20
56.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 20 yds to the UCLA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+13
57.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 13 yds to the UCLA 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+10
57.8%
Falk, Luke pass incomplete to Thompson, John, PENALTY UCLA holding (Spencer) 10 yards to the UCLA14, 1ST DOWN WSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-5
57.8%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, false start (Cole Madison) to the UCLA 19Similar
Q1 4:14
1ST & 15
OPP 19
+1
57.7%
Gerard Wicks run for 1 yd to the UCLA 18Similar
Q1 4:14
2ND & 14
OPP 18
+9
57.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gerard Wicks for 9 yds to the UCLA 9Similar
Q1 4:14
3RD & 5
OPP 9
-5
57.4%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, false start (Riley Sorenson) to the UCLA 14Similar
Q1 4:14
3RD & 10
OPP 14
0
57.3%
Luke Falk pass intercepted, touchback. Jayon Brown return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 7PUNT
10 plays · 43 yds · 1:0143% → 43%
Q1 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
56.7%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 19 Bolu Olorunfunmi fumbled, recovered by UCLA Bolu OlorunfunmiSimilar
Q1 1:01
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+15
57.0%
Mike Fafaul pass complete to Darren Andrews for 15 yds to the UCLA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-1
56.4%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 33Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 33
+19
56.9%
Mike Fafaul pass complete to Darren Andrews for 19 yds to the WshSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
55.1%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 5 yds to the WshSt 43Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+7
54.9%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 7 yds to the WshSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-2
55.1%
Mike Fafaul run for a loss of 2 yards to the WshSt 38 Mike Fafaul fumbled, recovered by UCLA Mike FafaulSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 38
+1
55.4%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 1 yd to the WshSt 37Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 37
0
55.6%
Mike Fafaul pass incomplete to Eldridge MassingtonSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 11
OPP 37
0
56.8%
Austin Kent punt for 28 yds, downed at the WshSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 8TD
18 plays · 91 yds · 7:0857% → 69%
Q2 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+11
56.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 11 yds to the WshSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
57.1%
Gabe Marks run for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 19Similar
Q2 11:23
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+13
56.7%
Jamal Morrow run for 13 yds to the WshSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
57.4%
Jamal Morrow run for 1 yd to the WshSt 33Similar
Q2 11:23
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+12
57.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 12 yds to the WshSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
58.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 9 yds to the UCLA 46Similar
Q2 11:23
2ND & 1
OPP 46
+4
59.2%
Jamal Morrow run for 4 yds to the UCLA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
59.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to James Williams for 1 yd to the UCLA 41Similar
Q2 11:23
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+3
59.1%
James Williams run for 3 yds to the UCLA 38Similar
Q2 11:23
3RD & 6
OPP 38
+11
58.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 11 yds to the UCLA 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+12
59.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 12 yds to the UCLA 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+8
59.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 8 yds to the UCLA 7Similar
Q2 11:23
2ND & 2
OPP 7
0
59.6%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Kyle SweetSimilar
Q2 11:23
3RD & 2
OPP 7
-1
58.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to James Williams for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 8Similar
Q2 11:23
4TH & 3
OPP 8
+4
57.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 4 yds to the UCLA 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
59.6%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Gabe Marks, broken up by Fabian MoreauSimilar
Q2 11:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
59.6%
Jamal Morrow run for 3 yds to the UCLA 1Similar
Q2 4:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
68.9%
Gerard Wicks run for 1 yd for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:0032% → 31%
Q2 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+13
68.3%
Mike Fafaul pass complete to Ishmael Adams for 13 yds to the UCLA 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
67.5%
Mike Fafaul pass incomplete to Darren AndrewsSimilar
Q2 4:08
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
68.0%
Mike Fafaul pass incomplete to Nate StarksSimilar
Q2 4:08
3RD & 10
OWN 32
+5
69.2%
Mike Fafaul pass complete to Nate Starks for 5 yds to the UCLA 37Similar
Q2 4:08
4TH & 5
OWN 37
0
68.6%
Austin Kent punt for 61 yds, downed at the WshSt 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 10END OF HALF
6 plays · 21 yds · 0:0069% → 69%
Q2 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
68.6%
James Williams run for no gain to the WshSt 2Similar
Q2 2:52
2ND & 10
OWN 2
+8
68.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gerard Wicks for 8 yds to the WshSt 10Similar
Q2 2:52
3RD & 2
OWN 10
+19
68.0%
Jamal Morrow run for 19 yds to the WshSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
69.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 4 yds to the WshSt 33Similar
Q2 2:52
2ND & 6
OWN 33
-10
69.6%
Falk, Luke pass complete to Johnson-Mack, I for 9 yards to the WSU42 (Spencer), PENALTY WSU holding (Dillard, Andre) 10 yards to the WSU23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:52
2ND & 16
OWN 23
0
68.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to James Williams for no gain to the WshSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:0073% → 73%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 15
OWN 29
+17
72.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to James Williams for 17 yds to the WshSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
74.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 3 yds to the WshSt 49Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 7
OWN 49
0
74.0%
Luke Falk pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 7
OWN 49
0
72.9%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to James WilliamsSimilar
Q3 14:54
4TH & 7
OWN 49
0
71.5%
Kyle Sweet punt for 18 yds, downed at the UCLA 33Similar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-5
72.8%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, false start (Riley Sorenson) to the WshSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 12INT
4 plays · 11 yds · 0:0027% → 28%
Q3 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
72.7%
Mike Fafaul pass complete to Nate Starks for 5 yds to the UCLA 38Similar
Q3 13:38
2ND & 5
OWN 38
0
71.8%
Nate Starks run for no gain to the UCLA 38Similar
Q3 13:38
3RD & 5
OWN 38
+6
72.5%
Mike Fafaul pass complete to Darren Andrews for 6 yds to the UCLA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
71.8%
Mike Fafaul pass intercepted Marcellus Pippins return for 9 yds to the WshSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 13FUMBLE
1 play · -6 yds · 0:0075% → 75%
Q3 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-6
74.8%
Luke Falk run for a loss of 6 yards to the WshSt 25 Luke Falk fumbled, recovered by UCLA Jacob Tuioti-MarinerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 14TD
3 plays · 25 yds · 1:1330% → 43%
Q3 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
70.3%
Nate Starks run for no gain to the WshSt 25Similar
Q3 11:54
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+3
70.8%
Nate Starks run for 3 yds to the WshSt 22Similar
Q3 10:41
3RD & 7
OPP 22
+22
57.0%
Mike Fafaul pass complete to Darren Andrews for 22 yds for a TD, (Andrew Strauch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 15TD
9 plays · 61 yds · 2:5463% → 79%
Q3 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+21
63.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 21 yds to the UCLA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-5
65.3%
Luke Falk sacked by Jayon Brown for a loss of 5 yards to the UCLA 45Similar
Q3 10:33
2ND & 15
OPP 45
+8
63.6%
Luke Falk run for 8 yds to the UCLA 37Similar
Q3 10:33
3RD & 7
OPP 37
+24
64.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 24 yds to the UCLA 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+8
66.1%
Gerard Wicks run for 8 yds to the UCLA 5Similar
Q3 10:33
2ND & 2
OPP 5
+3
66.1%
Falk, Luke pass incomplete, PENALTY UCLA holding (Goforth) 3 yards to the UCLA2, 1ST DOWN WSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
66.2%
Gerard Wicks run for 1 yd to the UCLA 1Similar
Q3 7:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
79.3%
Gerard Wicks run for 1 yd for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:0023% → 22%
Q3 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+8
77.1%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 8 yds to the UCLA 23Similar
Q3 7:33
2ND & 2
OWN 23
+5
76.4%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 5 yds to the UCLA 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
76.6%
Mike Fafaul pass complete to Bolu Olorunfunmi for 6 yds to the UCLA 34Similar
Q3 7:33
2ND & 4
OWN 34
0
75.7%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for no gain to the UCLA 34Similar
Q3 7:33
3RD & 4
OWN 34
0
77.0%
Mike Fafaul pass incomplete to Ishmael AdamsSimilar
Q3 7:33
4TH & 4
OWN 34
0
77.9%
Austin Kent punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WshSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 17TD
10 plays · 57 yds · 3:5481% → 94%
Q3 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+18
80.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to James Williams for 18 yds to the UCLA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:29
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
80.8%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to River CracraftSimilar
Q3 5:29
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+6
80.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack for 6 yds to the UCLA 33Similar
Q3 5:29
3RD & 4
OPP 33
+1
80.1%
Gerard Wicks run for 1 yd to the UCLA 32Similar
Q3 5:29
4TH & 3
OPP 32
+7
78.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 7 yds to the UCLA 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:29
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
81.0%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Kyle SweetSimilar
Q3 5:29
2ND & 10
OPP 25
-1
80.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 26Similar
Q3 5:29
3RD & 11
OPP 26
+15
79.8%
Falk, Luke pass incomplete to Marks, Gabe, PENALTY UCLA pass interference (Moreau) 15 yards to the UCLA11, 1ST DOWN WSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:29
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+8
81.0%
James Williams run for 8 yds to the UCLA 3Similar
Q3 1:35
2ND & 2
OPP 3
+3
93.6%
Jamal Morrow run for 3 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 18TD
18 plays · 75 yds · 4:588% → 21%
Q3 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
92.3%
Mike Fafaul pass complete to Ishmael Adams for 2 yds to the UCLA 27Similar
Q3 1:35
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+6
92.2%
Mike Fafaul pass complete to Kenneth Walker III for 6 yds to the UCLA 33Similar
Q3 1:35
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+6
92.0%
Mike Fafaul pass complete to Nate Iese for 6 yds to the UCLA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+10
92.9%
Mike Fafaul pass complete to Nate Iese for 10 yds to the UCLA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+12
92.8%
Soso Jamabo run for 12 yds to the WshSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-1
92.7%
Nate Starks run for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 40Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 40
0
92.7%
Mike Fafaul pass incomplete to Kenneth Walker IIISimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 40
+17
92.9%
Mike Fafaul pass complete to Jordan Lasley for 17 yds to the WshSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
91.7%
Mike Fafaul pass incomplete to Kenneth Walker IIISimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 23
-5
92.1%
UCLA Penalty, false start (Ishmael Adams) to the WshSt 28Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 15
OPP 28
0
92.2%
Mike Fafaul pass incomplete to Ishmael AdamsSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 15
OPP 28
+10
92.8%
Fafaul pass incomplete to Andrews, PENALTY WSU holding (Thompson, Jalen) 10 yards to the WSU18, 1ST DOWN UCLA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
91.7%
Mike Fafaul pass incomplete to Ishmael AdamsSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
92.0%
Mike Fafaul pass incomplete to Ishmael AdamsSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 18
+11
92.7%
Mike Fafaul pass complete to Jordan Lasley for 11 yds to the WshSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
91.7%
Mike Fafaul pass complete to Darren Andrews for 2 yds to the WshSt 5Similar
Q4 11:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
79.4%
Mike Fafaul pass complete to Jordan Lasley for 5 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 19FG
17 plays · 57 yds · 6:2885% → 96%
Q4 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
85.3%
Jamal Morrow run for 5 yds to the WshSt 30Similar
Q4 11:37
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
85.4%
Luke Falk run for 6 yds to the WshSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
85.8%
Luke Falk pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:37
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
85.6%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Isaiah Johnson-MackSimilar
Q4 11:37
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+18
84.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 18 yds to the UCLA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
86.7%
Gerard Wicks run for 5 yds to the UCLA 41Similar
Q4 11:37
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+1
86.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 1 yd to the UCLA 40Similar
Q4 11:37
3RD & 4
OPP 40
+3
86.0%
Gerard Wicks run for 3 yds to the UCLA 37Similar
Q4 11:37
4TH & 1
OPP 37
+10
85.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 10 yds to the UCLA 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+8
86.8%
James Williams run for 8 yds to the UCLA 19Similar
Q4 11:37
2ND & 2
OPP 19
+4
86.8%
James Williams run for 4 yds to the UCLA 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-5
86.8%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, false start (Riley Sorenson) to the UCLA 20Similar
Q4 11:37
1ST & 15
OPP 20
+3
86.8%
Jamal Morrow run for 3 yds to the UCLA 17Similar
Q4 11:37
2ND & 12
OPP 17
-1
86.8%
James Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 18Similar
Q4 11:37
3RD & 13
OPP 18
0
85.8%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to James WilliamsSimilar
Q4 5:09
4TH & 13
OPP 18
+36
95.6%
Erik Powell 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 20TD
7 plays · 63 yds · 1:467% → 29%
Q4 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+22
93.3%
Mike Fafaul pass complete to Eldridge Massington for 22 yds to the WshSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
92.8%
Mike Fafaul pass complete to Austin Roberts for 2 yds to the WshSt 39Similar
Q4 5:03
2ND & 8
OPP 39
0
92.8%
Mike Fafaul pass incomplete to Eldridge MassingtonSimilar
Q4 5:03
3RD & 8
OPP 39
+5
92.9%
Mike Fafaul pass complete to Eldridge Massington for 5 yds to the WshSt 34Similar
Q4 5:03
4TH & 3
OPP 34
+30
93.2%
Mike Fafaul pass complete to Darren Andrews for 30 yds to the WshSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
70.6%
Mike Fafaul pass complete to Darren Andrews for 4 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 1 yds · 0:2489% → 92%
Q4 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
89.3%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Jamal MorrowSimilar
Q4 3:17
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-2
89.0%
Luke Falk sacked by Jacob Tuioti-Mariner for a loss of 2 yards to the WshSt 23Similar
Q4 3:07
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+3
91.4%
Luke Falk run for 3 yds to the WshSt 26Similar
Q4 2:53
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
91.9%
Kyle Sweet punt for 44 yds , Randall Goforth returns for no gain to the UCLA 30 Randall Goforth fumbled, recovered by UCLA Soso JamaboSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 22FUMBLE
1 play · 13 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q4 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+13
86.2%
Mike Fafaul pass complete to Jordan Lasley for 13 yds Jordan Lasley fumbled, forced by Dylan Hanser, recovered by WshSt Robert TaylorSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:3895% → 96%
Q4 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
94.8%
James Williams run for no gain to the UCLA 43Similar
Q4 2:31
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
94.9%
James Williams run for no gain to the UCLA 43Similar
Q4 2:31
3RD & 10
OPP 43
+3
94.5%
Gerard Wicks run for 3 yds to the UCLA 40Similar
Q4 0:59
4TH & 7
OPP 40
0
95.7%
Kyle Sweet punt for 38 yds, downed at the UCLA 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 24INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q4 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
91.3%
Mike Fafaul pass incomplete to Austin RobertsSimilar
Q4 0:49
2ND & 10
OWN 2
+4
91.5%
Mike Fafaul pass intercepted Charleston White return for 4 yds to the UCLA 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 25END OF GAME
1 play · -6 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-6
96.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 6 yards to the UCLA 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:17
Mike Fafaul pass complete to Darren Andrews for 4 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK)
-22.6
TD · Q3 10:41
Mike Fafaul pass complete to Darren Andrews for 22 yds for a TD, (Andrew Strauch KICK)
-13.8
TD · Q3 7:39
Gerard Wicks run for 1 yd for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)
+13.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com