Try the model
WSU

Washington State 42 at Stanford 16

STAN
2016 · Week 6 · Oct 8, 2016 · Stanford Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · STAN
modelSTAN aheadWSU aheadconfidence bandkey playSTAN scoreWSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 1:05 · Jake Bailey punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Kaleb Fossum at the WshSt 27
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+56.0+28.00−28.0−56.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 127Home team on offense−26.7Pregame prior+7.9Score differential−15.5Garbage-time factor−9.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−3.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:10: Tavares Martin Jr. 29 Yd pass from Luke Falk (Erik Powell Kick) — WSU win probability +7.2 pts (now 40%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 10:59: James Williams 2 Yd Run (Erik Powell Kick) — WSU win probability +19.9 pts (now 77%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:44: Frank Buncom 26 Yd Interception Return (Conrad Ukropina Kick) — STAN win probability +18.2 pts (now 39%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:54: Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 17 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK) — WSU win probability +20.8 pts (now 90%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:28: River Cracraft 16 Yd pass from Luke Falk (Erik Powell Kick) — WSU win probability +4.3 pts (now 100%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
STAN made the numbers' call on 5 of 7WSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 12:37STAN 4th & 3 at STAN 17, tied
    Close callPunted · 79.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:33STAN 4th & 7 at WSU 33, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 79.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.2%
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.2%−<0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    79.1%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:08WSU 4th & 8 at WSU 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.6%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:27STAN 4th & 13 at STAN 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.6%−0.4
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:51STAN 4th & 5 at WSU 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 70.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.8%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.9%
    64% to make
    Punt
    66.2%−3.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:10WSU 4th & 7 at STAN 29, up 4
    Close callWent for it · 29.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.7%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    29.7%
    58% to make
    Punt
    26.6%−3.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:09WSU 4th & 6 at STAN 19, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 43.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.5%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.6%
    77% to make
    Punt
    39.4%−4.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:47STAN 4th & 3 at WSU 27, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 52.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.8%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.9%
    62% to make
    Punt
    47.5%−4.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:06WSU 4th & 12 at WSU 25, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.9%−1.7
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:15WSU 4th & 1 at STAN 6, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 55.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    55.0%
    69% to convert
    Field goal
    51.8%−3.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    43.6%−11.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:05STAN 4th & 7 at STAN 23, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.0%−1.8
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.8%
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:29STAN 4th & 10 at STAN 48, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
STAN made the numbers' call on 1 of 1WSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 2:12WSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:10WSU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 10:59WSU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:44STAN Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 2:54WSU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:28WSU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.2%−0.3
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 5:23WSU Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
STANDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 2:0878% → 77%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
77.8%
Ryan Burns pass complete to Dalton Schultz for 5 yds to the Stanf 15Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 5
OWN 15
0
77.6%
Ryan Burns pass complete to Trenton Irwin for no gain to the Stanf 15Similar
Q1 13:45
3RD & 5
OWN 15
+2
77.5%
Ryan Burns run for 2 yds to the Stanf 17Similar
Q1 12:37
4TH & 3
OWN 17
0
77.1%
Jake Bailey punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Kaleb Fossum at the WshSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 2INT
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:3723% → 23%
Q1 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
77.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Robert Lewis for 5 yds to the WshSt 44Similar
Q1 11:58
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+14
76.9%
Luke Falk pass intercepted Dallas Lloyd return for 14 yds to the WshSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 3MISSED FG
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:0477% → 77%
Q1 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
77.4%
Ryan Burns run for 1 yd to the WshSt 35Similar
Q1 11:10
2ND & 9
OPP 35
+2
77.3%
Christian McCaffrey run for 2 yds to the WshSt 33Similar
Q1 10:39
3RD & 7
OPP 33
0
77.1%
Ryan Burns pass incomplete to JJ Arcega-WhitesideSimilar
Q1 10:33
4TH & 7
OPP 33
+49
76.9%
Conrad Ukropina 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 2:0724% → 24%
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
76.5%
Gerard Wicks run for 3 yds to the WshSt 36Similar
Q1 9:50
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+10
76.3%
Gerard Wicks run for 10 yds to the WshSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-1
76.0%
Luke Falk sacked by Solomon Thomas for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 45Similar
Q1 8:45
2ND & 11
OWN 45
+3
75.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to James Williams for 3 yds to the WshSt 48Similar
Q1 8:20
3RD & 8
OWN 48
0
75.8%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Gabe MarksSimilar
Q1 8:08
4TH & 8
OWN 48
0
76.1%
Zach Charme punt for 38 yds, downed at the Stanf 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 28 yds · 3:1776% → 75%
Q1 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
75.8%
Christian McCaffrey run for no gain to the Stanf 14Similar
Q1 7:14
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+5
75.7%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (Hercules Mata'afa) to the Stanf 19Similar
Q1 6:51
2ND & 5
OWN 19
+10
75.6%
Ryan Burns pass complete to Bryce Love for 10 yds to the Stanf 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+16
75.6%
Ryan Burns pass complete to Michael Rector for 16 yds to the Stanf 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
76.0%
Christian McCaffrey run for 1 yd to the Stanf 46Similar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 9
OWN 46
-4
75.8%
Ryan Burns sacked by Frankie Luvu for a loss of 4 yards to the Stanf 42 Ryan Burns fumbled, recovered by Stanf Ryan Burns , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 4:30
3RD & 13
OWN 42
0
74.8%
Ryan Burns pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:27
4TH & 13
OWN 42
0
74.6%
Jake Bailey punt for 58 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 6TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 2:0325% → 31%
Q1 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+45
74.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 45 yds to the Stanf 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
73.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack for 2 yds to the Stanf 33Similar
Q1 3:19
2ND & 8
OPP 33
0
73.3%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Jamal MorrowSimilar
Q1 3:11
3RD & 8
OPP 33
+27
73.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 27 yds to the Stanf 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
72.6%
Gerard Wicks run for 1 yd to the Stanf 5Similar
Q1 2:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
68.8%
Tavares Martin Jr. 5 Yd pass from Luke Falk (Erik Powell Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 7DOWNS
8 plays · 0 yds · 3:1570% → 70%
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
70.1%
Keller Chryst pass complete to Michael Rector for 2 yds to the Stanf 31Similar
Q1 1:14
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+5
69.6%
Christian McCaffrey run for 5 yds to the Stanf 36Similar
Q1 0:30
3RD & 3
OWN 36
+23
69.3%
Christian McCaffrey run for 23 yds to the WshSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
70.1%
Bryce Love run for 1 yd to the WshSt 40Similar
Q2 14:20
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+8
69.7%
Keller Chryst run for 8 yds to the WshSt 32Similar
Q2 14:00
3RD & 1
OPP 32
+1
69.5%
Christian McCaffrey run for 1 yd to the WshSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
70.0%
Keller Chryst pass incomplete to JJ Arcega-WhitesideSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 8FG
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:2970% → 71%
Q2 13:20
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+5
69.8%
Keller Chryst run for 5 yds to the WshSt 26Similar
Q2 13:00
3RD & 5
OPP 26
0
68.9%
Keller Chryst pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:51
4TH & 5
OPP 26
+43
71.1%
Conrad Ukropina 43 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 9TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:2030% → 40%
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
69.9%
James Williams run for 6 yds to the WshSt 31Similar
Q2 12:06
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+6
69.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to James Williams for 6 yds to the WshSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
68.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 6 yds to the WshSt 43Similar
Q2 11:09
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+15
68.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack for 15 yds to the Stanf 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:56
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+10
67.7%
Jamal Morrow run for 10 yds to the Stanf 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:26
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-1
66.9%
James Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 33Similar
Q2 9:48
2ND & 11
OPP 33
+4
66.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 4 yds to the Stanf 29Similar
Q2 9:23
3RD & 7
OPP 29
0
66.8%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to James WilliamsSimilar
Q2 9:10
4TH & 7
OPP 29
+29
59.6%
Tavares Martin Jr. 29 Yd pass from Luke Falk (Erik Powell Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 10FUMBLE
5 plays · 10 yds · 1:4460% → 59%
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
60.4%
Christian McCaffrey run for no gain to the Stanf 32Similar
Q2 7:59
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+5
57.8%
Ryan Burns pass complete to Trenton Irwin for 5 yds to the Stanf 37Similar
Q2 7:50
3RD & 5
OWN 37
+12
57.4%
Ryan Burns pass complete to Michael Rector for 12 yds to the Stanf 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-7
58.5%
Ryan Burns sacked by Peyton Pelluer for a loss of 7 yards to the Stanf 42 Ryan Burns fumbled, forced by Peyton Pelluer, recovered by WshSt Isaac Dotson , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 11MISSED FG
10 plays · 23 yds · 2:4544% → 45%
Q2 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-4
55.7%
Luke Falk sacked by Harrison Phillips for a loss of 4 yards to the Stanf 46Similar
Q2 5:56
2ND & 14
OPP 46
+9
55.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gerard Wicks for 9 yds to the Stanf 37Similar
Q2 5:39
3RD & 5
OPP 37
-5
54.7%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, False Start (Cole Madison) to the Stanf 42Similar
Q2 5:18
3RD & 10
OPP 42
+19
55.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 19 yds to the Stanf 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
54.5%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Tavares Martin Jr.Similar
Q2 4:50
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
54.6%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Tavares Martin Jr.Similar
Q2 4:40
3RD & 10
OPP 23
+9
54.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 9 yds to the Stanf 14Similar
Q2 4:36
4TH & 1
OPP 14
-5
55.5%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, False Start (Riley Sorenson) to the Stanf 19Similar
Q2 4:09
4TH & 6
OPP 19
+35
55.2%
Erik Powell 35 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 12MISSED FG
12 plays · 53 yds · 3:1354% → 50%
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
53.9%
Ryan Burns pass complete to Christian McCaffrey for 5 yds to the Stanf 25Similar
Q2 3:15
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+3
53.6%
Ryan Burns run for 3 yds to the Stanf 28Similar
Q2 2:40
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+11
50.5%
Ryan Burns pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 11 yds to the Stanf 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+16
51.4%
Ryan Burns pass complete to Michael Rector for 16 yds to the WshSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
52.7%
Ryan Burns run for 4 yds to the WshSt 41Similar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+7
52.2%
Ryan Burns run for 7 yds to the WshSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
53.4%
Ryan Burns pass complete to Dalton Schultz for 7 yds to the WshSt 27Similar
Q2 0:58
2ND & 3
OPP 27
0
53.2%
Ryan Burns pass incomplete to Dalton SchultzSimilar
Q2 0:53
3RD & 3
OPP 27
0
51.2%
Ryan Burns pass incomplete to JJ Arcega-WhitesideSimilar
Q2 0:47
4TH & 3
OPP 27
+44
49.9%
Conrad Ukropina 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:2453% → 52%
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
47.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 8 yds to the WshSt 35Similar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 2
OWN 35
-16
46.1%
Falk, Luke pass incomplete to Marks, Gabe, PENALTY WASHST pass interference (Marks, Gabe) 16 yards to the WASHST19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:15
2ND & 18
OWN 19
0
46.8%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to James WilliamsSimilar
Q2 0:13
3RD & 18
OWN 19
+6
47.3%
James Williams run for 6 yds to the WshSt 25Similar
Q2 0:06
4TH & 12
OWN 25
0
47.8%
Kyle Sweet punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Stanf 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · 44 yds · 0:0049% → 49%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+44
48.7%
Ryan Burns pass complete to Michael Rector for 44 yds to the WshSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 15TD
11 plays · 81 yds · 3:1653% → 77%
Q3 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+7
47.5%
James Williams run for 7 yds to the WshSt 26Similar
Q3 13:50
2ND & 3
OWN 26
+30
46.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 30 yds to the Stanf 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+12
44.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 12 yds to the Stanf 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
44.0%
James Williams run for 4 yds to the Stanf 28Similar
Q3 12:45
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+13
43.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack for 13 yds to the Stanf 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
43.1%
Luke Falk pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+7
42.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 7 yds to the Stanf 8Similar
Q3 11:30
3RD & 3
OPP 8
+2
41.9%
Jamal Morrow run for 2 yds to the Stanf 6Similar
Q3 11:15
4TH & 1
OPP 6
+4
42.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 4 yds to the Stanf 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
22.6%
James Williams 2 Yd Run (Erik Powell Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 16INT
8 plays · 45 yds · 2:1327% → 27%
Q3 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+12
27.4%
Ryan Burns pass complete to Trenton Irwin for 12 yds to the Stanf 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
27.0%
Christian McCaffrey run for 3 yds to the Stanf 38Similar
Q3 9:41
2ND & 7
OWN 38
0
27.2%
Ryan Burns pass incomplete to Trenton IrwinSimilar
Q3 9:35
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+15
26.3%
Burns, Ryan pass incomplete to Rector, Michael, PENALTY WASHST pass interference (Thompson, Jalen) 15 yards to the WASHST47, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN STANFORD.Similar
Q3 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+20
28.0%
Ryan Burns pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 20 yds to the WshSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:56
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-5
28.5%
STANFORD Penalty, Delay of Game (Ryan Burns) to the WshSt 32Similar
Q3 8:27
1ST & 15
OPP 32
0
27.3%
Ryan Burns pass intercepted Isaac Dotson return for no gain to the WshSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 17INT TD
3 plays · -13 yds · 0:1679% → 61%
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
20.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gerard Wicks for no gain to the WshSt 22Similar
Q3 7:55
2ND & 10
OWN 22
-13
20.7%
Luke Falk sacked by Joey Alfieri for a loss of 13 yards to the WshSt 9 WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Luke Falk) to the WshSt 9Similar
Q3 7:44
3RD & 23
OWN 9
+26
38.9%
Frank Buncom 26 Yd Interception Return (Conrad Ukropina Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 18TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 4:2863% → 90%
Q3 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
36.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 3 yds to the WshSt 28Similar
Q3 6:48
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+7
36.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to Robert Lewis for 7 yds to the WshSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
35.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to James Williams for 2 yds to the WshSt 37Similar
Q3 6:01
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+22
34.4%
Luke Falk run for 7 yds to the Stanf 44 for a 1ST down STANFORD Penalty, Personal Foul (Justin Reid) to the Stanf 41 for a 1ST down. (Justin Reid expelled for the remainder of the game.)Similar
Q3 5:31
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
32.2%
James Williams run for 4 yds to the Stanf 37Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+8
31.0%
Luke Falk run for 8 yds to the Stanf 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:39
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
30.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 3 yds to the Stanf 26Similar
Q3 4:06
2ND & 7
OPP 26
+18
29.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to C.J. Dimry for 18 yds to the Stanf 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
28.7%
Gerard Wicks run for 1 yd to the Stanf 7Similar
Q3 3:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
28.1%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Gabe MarksSimilar
Q3 3:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
-5
30.1%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, False Start (Andre Dillard) to the Stanf 12Similar
Q3 3:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
-5
30.4%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, False Start (Andre Dillard) to the Stanf 17Similar
Q3 2:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 17
+17
9.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 17 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:1516% → 14%
Q3 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-3
16.0%
Ryan Burns sacked by Logan Tago for a loss of 3 yards to the Stanf 17Similar
Q3 2:00
2ND & 13
OWN 17
+8
15.3%
Ryan Burns pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 8 yds to the Stanf 25Similar
Q3 1:30
3RD & 5
OWN 25
-2
14.7%
Ryan Burns sacked by Hercules Mata'afa for a loss of 2 yards to the Stanf 23Similar
Q3 1:05
4TH & 7
OWN 23
0
14.1%
Jake Bailey punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Kaleb Fossum at the WshSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 20TD
10 plays · 73 yds · 4:0292% → 100%
Q3 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
7.9%
Gerard Wicks run for 3 yds to the WshSt 30 Gerard Wicks fumbled, forced by Terrence Alexander, recovered by WshSt Cole MadisonSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+11
7.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to John Thompson for 11 yds to the WshSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-6
6.8%
Jamal Morrow run for 4 yds to the WshSt 45 WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (C.J. Dimry) to the WshSt 35Similar
Q4 14:00
1ST & 16
OWN 35
+22
6.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 22 yds to the Stanf 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
6.1%
Jamal Morrow run for 6 yds to the Stanf 37Similar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+3
5.8%
Jamal Morrow run for 3 yds to the Stanf 34Similar
Q4 12:35
3RD & 1
OPP 34
+6
5.7%
Jamal Morrow run for 6 yds to the Stanf 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+12
5.3%
Gerard Wicks run for 12 yds to the Stanf 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
4.8%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Tavares Martin Jr.Similar
Q4 11:28
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+16
0.5%
River Cracraft 16 Yd pass from Luke Falk (Erik Powell Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 0:451% → 1%
Q4 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
0.6%
Keller Chryst pass incomplete to Michael RectorSimilar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+11
0.6%
Keller Chryst pass complete to Trenton Irwin for 11 yds to the Stanf 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
0.8%
Keller Chryst pass incomplete to JJ Arcega-WhitesideSimilar
Q4 10:42
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
0.8%
Keller Chryst pass incomplete to Michael RectorSimilar
Q4 10:37
3RD & 10
OWN 48
0
0.7%
Keller Chryst pass incomplete to Michael RectorSimilar
Q4 10:29
4TH & 10
OWN 48
0
0.7%
Alex Robinson punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Kaleb Fossum at the WshSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 22PUNT
3 plays · 5 yds · 1:23100% → 100%
Q4 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
0.4%
Gerard Wicks run for 1 yd to the WshSt 17Similar
Q4 9:30
2ND & 9
OWN 17
+2
0.4%
Gerard Wicks run for 2 yds to the WshSt 19Similar
Q4 8:45
3RD & 7
OWN 19
+2
0.4%
Jamal Morrow run for 2 yds to the WshSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 23INT
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:400% → 0%
Q4 7:35
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+4
0.4%
Keller Chryst run for 4 yds to the Stanf 45Similar
Q4 6:55
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+45
0.4%
Keller Chryst pass intercepted Shalom Luani return for 45 yds to the Stanf 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 24TD
3 plays · 10 yds · 0:52100% → 100%
Q4 6:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+7
0.2%
Jamal Morrow run for 7 yds to the Stanf 3Similar
Q4 5:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
0.2%
Gerard Wicks run for 1 yd to the Stanf 2Similar
Q4 5:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
0.2%
Gerard Wicks 2 Yd Run (Erik Powell Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 25END OF GAME
11 plays · 67 yds · 4:450% → 0%
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-2
0.2%
Bryce Love run for a loss of 2 yards to the Stanf 31Similar
Q4 4:16
2ND & 12
OWN 31
+10
0.1%
Ryan Burns pass complete to Isaiah Brandt-Sims for 10 yds to the Stanf 41Similar
Q4 4:00
3RD & 2
OWN 41
-5
0.1%
STANFORD Penalty, False Start (Nate Herbig) to the Stanf 36Similar
Q4 3:20
3RD & 7
OWN 36
+8
0.1%
Ryan Burns pass complete to Donald Stewart for 8 yds to the Stanf 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
0.1%
Bryce Love run for no gain to the Stanf 44Similar
Q4 2:10
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+4
0.1%
Ryan Burns pass complete to Bryce Love for 4 yds to the Stanf 48Similar
Q4 1:29
3RD & 6
OWN 48
+28
0.1%
Ryan Burns pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 28 yds to the WshSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:43
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
0.1%
Bryce Love run for 4 yds to the WshSt 20Similar
Q4 0:15
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+15
0.1%
Burns, Ryan pass incomplete to Stewart, Donald, PENALTY WASHST pass interference (Strong, Marcus) 15 yards to the WASHST5, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN STANFORD.Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.2%
JJ Arcega-Whiteside 1 Yd pass from Ryan Burns Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 2:54
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 17 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)
-20.8
TD · Q3 10:59
James Williams 2 Yd Run (Erik Powell Kick)
-19.9
TD · Q3 7:44
Frank Buncom 26 Yd Interception Return (Conrad Ukropina Kick)
+18.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com