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UCLA

UCLA 20 at Arizona State 23

ASU
2016 · Week 6 · Oct 8, 2016 · Mountain America Stadium
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Win probability · ASU
modelASU aheadUCLA aheadconfidence bandkey playASU scoreUCLA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGTDFGTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 13:49 · JJ Molson 49 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+20.0+10.00−10.0−20.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 56Pregame prior−12.2Home team on offense−1.3Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.7Score differential−1.2Blowout margin+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 8:29: Demario Richard run for 5 yds for a TD, (Zane Gonzalez KICK) — ASU win probability +14.2 pts (now 75%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 6:02: JJ Molson 19 yd FG GOOD — UCLA win probability +5.3 pts (now 36%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 3:08: Josh Rosen pass complete to Jordan Lasley for 52 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK) — UCLA win probability +21.0 pts (now 56%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:00: Brady White pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 14 yds for a TD, (Zane Gonzalez KICK) — ASU win probability +25.1 pts (now 84%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:10: Josh Rosen pass complete to Nate Iese for 18 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK) — UCLA win probability +22.1 pts (now 43%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ASU made the numbers' call on 10 of 12UCLA made the numbers' call on 7 of 11
  1. Q1 15:00ASU 4th & 8 at ASU 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.7%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:31UCLA 4th & 18 at ASU 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 58.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.4%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.6%
    58% to make
    Punt
    58.2%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:31ASU 4th & 7 at ASU 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.9%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:54ASU 4th & 4 at UCLA 17, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 42.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.3%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.3%−<0.1
    80% to make
    Punt
    41.3%−1.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 7:54UCLA 4th & 10 at ASU 44, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.8%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    56.7%−0.3
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    57.0%
    average punt
  6. Q1 4:37ASU 4th & 15 at ASU 13, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.6%−1.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:56UCLA 4th & 17 at ASU 21, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 53.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.2%−1.2
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.3%
    74% to make
    Punt
    50.3%−3.0
    average punt
  8. Q2 13:49UCLA 4th & 8 at ASU 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 56.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.0%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.1%
    51% to make
    Punt
    55.6%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q2 13:42UCLA 4th & 4 at UCLA 39, tied
    Close callPunted · 55.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.7%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q2 10:26ASU 4th & 1 at ASU 29, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 45.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.7%−1.1
    average punt
  11. Q2 10:16UCLA 4th & 7 at UCLA 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.8%−0.8
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.7%
    average punt
  12. Q2 8:18ASU 4th & 10 at ASU 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.0%−0.8
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.9%
    average punt
  13. Q2 7:56UCLA 4th & 10 at ASU 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 55.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.1%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    55.2%
    47% to make
    PuntTheir call
    54.5%−0.7
    average punt
  14. Q2 6:09ASU 4th & 9 at ASU 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.0%−1.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.1%
    average punt
  15. Q2 4:56UCLA 4th & 5 at UCLA 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.1%−0.5
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.6%
    average punt
  16. Q2 3:41ASU 4th & 14 at ASU 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.2%−1.9
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.1%
    average punt
  17. Q2 2:53UCLA 4th & 2 at UCLA 37, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 54.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.6%−1.0
    average punt
  18. Q3 12:10ASU 4th & 5 at UCLA 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 51.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.4%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.6%
    92% to make
    Punt
    41.1%−9.4
    average punt
  19. Q3 12:03UCLA 4th & 8 at UCLA 17, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.3%−2.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.4%
    average punt
  20. Q3 6:02UCLA 4th & 2 at ASU 2, down 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.7 ptsKicked a field goal · 27.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.6%−2.7
    94% to make
    Punt
    14.3%−14.0
    average punt
  21. Q3 6:02ASU 4th & 7 at ASU 28, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.3%−1.5
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.7%
    average punt
  22. Q4 12:28ASU 4th & 6 at UCLA 28, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 82.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.5%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.6%
    60% to make
    Punt
    73.3%−8.3
    average punt
  23. Q4 0:58ASU 4th & 2 at ASU 28, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.1%−0.7
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ASU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2UCLA made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q3 8:29ASU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 3:08UCLA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 0:00ASU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 11:10UCLA Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.4%−0.4
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ASUDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 23 yds · 0:0034% → 34%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
33.8%
Brady White pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 10 yds to the ArzSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
33.8%
Demario Richard run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 38Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+8
33.8%
Brady White pass complete to Tim White for 8 yds to the ArzSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-1
33.8%
Tim White run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArzSt 45Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 45
+8
33.8%
Brady White pass complete to Kody Kohl for 8 yds to the UCLA 47Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 47
0
33.8%
Brady White pass incomplete to Kody KohlSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 47
-5
33.8%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, delay of game (Brady White) to the ArzSt 48Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 48
0
33.8%
Matt Haack punt for 43 yds, downed at the UCLA 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 2MISSED FG
8 plays · 62 yds · 2:0065% → 64%
Q1 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+6
34.9%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Theo Howard for 6 yds to the UCLA 15Similar
Q1 12:31
2ND & 4
OWN 15
+15
34.8%
Rosen pass incomplete to Iese, PENALTY ASU roughing passer (Smallwood, T.) 15 yards to the UCLA30, 1ST DOWN UCLA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+49
34.8%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Austin Roberts for 49 yds to the ArzSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:31
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-3
34.5%
Nate Starks run for a loss of 3 yards to the ArzSt 24Similar
Q1 12:31
2ND & 13
OPP 24
0
34.5%
Josh Rosen pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:31
3RD & 13
OPP 24
-5
34.7%
UCLA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the ArzSt 29Similar
Q1 12:31
3RD & 18
OPP 29
0
34.7%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Nate StarksSimilar
Q1 10:31
4TH & 18
OPP 29
+46
35.7%
JJ Molson 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0036% → 35%
Q1 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-1
35.7%
Demario Richard run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArzSt 28Similar
Q1 10:31
2ND & 11
OWN 28
0
35.6%
Brady White pass incomplete to Tim WhiteSimilar
Q1 10:31
3RD & 11
OWN 28
+4
35.4%
Brady White run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 32 ARIZONA ST Penalty, personal foul ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 10:31
4TH & 7
OWN 32
0
35.3%
Matt Haack punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Adarius Pickett at the UCLA 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 4FUMBLE
1 play · -12 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q1 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
35.9%
Josh Rosen run for a loss of 5 yards to the UCLA 23 Josh Rosen fumbled, recovered by ArzSt JoJo WickerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 5FG
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2237% → 38%
Q1 9:16
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
37.0%
Tim White run for 4 yds to the UCLA 19Similar
Q1 9:16
2ND & 6
OPP 19
0
37.0%
Brady White pass incomplete to N'Keal HarrySimilar
Q1 9:16
3RD & 6
OPP 19
+2
36.8%
Brady White pass complete to Kalen Ballage for 2 yds to the UCLA 17Similar
Q1 7:54
4TH & 4
OPP 17
+35
37.7%
Zane Gonzalez 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 31 yds · 0:0062% → 62%
Q1 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
37.6%
Nate Starks run for 4 yds to the UCLA 29Similar
Q1 7:54
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
37.5%
Nate Starks run for 4 yds to the UCLA 33Similar
Q1 7:54
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+8
37.5%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Kenneth Walker III for 8 yds to the UCLA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+15
37.1%
Starks, N. rush for loss of 1 yard to the UCLA40 (Smallwood, T.), PENALTY ASU face mask (Smallwood, T.) 15 yards to the ASU44, 1ST DOWN UCLA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:54
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
36.9%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Darren Andrews for 5 yds to the ArzSt 39Similar
Q1 7:54
2ND & 5
OPP 39
0
36.8%
Josh Rosen pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:54
3RD & 5
OPP 39
-5
37.0%
Josh Rosen sacked by DJ Calhoun for a loss of 5 yards to the ArzSt 44Similar
Q1 7:54
4TH & 10
OPP 44
0
37.7%
Austin Kent punt for 26 yds, fair catch by Tim White at the ArzSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:0039% → 38%
Q1 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
39.0%
Brady White pass complete to Tim White for 4 yds to the ArzSt 22Similar
Q1 4:37
2ND & 6
OWN 22
0
39.0%
Brady White pass incomplete to Tim WhiteSimilar
Q1 4:37
3RD & 6
OWN 22
-5
38.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the ArzSt 13 TEAM fumbled, recovered by ArzSt Brady WhiteSimilar
Q1 4:37
4TH & 15
OWN 13
+1
38.2%
Matt Haack punt for 43 yds , Adarius Pickett returns for 1 yd to the UCLA 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 8FG
10 plays · 34 yds · 3:1361% → 60%
Q1 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+10
39.2%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Eldridge Massington for 10 yds to the ArzSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:09
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
38.9%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Darren Andrews for 9 yds to the ArzSt 36Similar
Q1 3:09
2ND & 1
OPP 36
+6
38.7%
Soso Jamabo run for 6 yds to the ArzSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:09
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+16
38.5%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Eldridge Massington for 16 yds to the ArzSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:09
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
38.4%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Kenneth Walker III, broken up by Kareem OrrSimilar
Q1 3:09
2ND & 10
OPP 14
-10
38.4%
[NHSG], Rosen pass incomplete to Wilson, C. (Ball, Marcus), PENALTY UCLA holding (Toran) 10 yards to the ASU24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:50
2ND & 20
OPP 24
+3
39.8%
Soso Jamabo run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 21Similar
Q1 0:50
3RD & 17
OPP 21
0
40.7%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Soso Jamabo for no gain to the ArzSt 21Similar
Q2 14:56
4TH & 17
OPP 21
+38
40.0%
JJ Molson 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 9FUMBLE
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:0041% → 41%
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-5
41.1%
Kalen Ballage run for a loss of 5 yards to the ArzSt 34 Kalen Ballage fumbled, recovered by UCLA Kenny YoungSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 10MISSED FG
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:5163% → 61%
Q2 14:40
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
37.5%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Kenneth Walker IIISimilar
Q2 14:40
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+2
37.6%
Nate Starks run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 32Similar
Q2 13:59
3RD & 8
OPP 32
0
37.8%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Darren AndrewsSimilar
Q2 13:49
4TH & 8
OPP 32
+49
38.9%
JJ Molson 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 11INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0041% → 41%
Q2 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
40.7%
Brady White pass intercepted Fabian Moreau return for no gain to the UCLA 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0061% → 60%
Q2 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
38.9%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Kenneth Walker III for 4 yds to the UCLA 37Similar
Q2 13:42
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+2
38.4%
Nate Starks run for 2 yds to the UCLA 39Similar
Q2 13:42
3RD & 4
OWN 39
0
38.5%
Josh Rosen pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:42
4TH & 4
OWN 39
0
39.6%
Austin Kent punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Tim White at the ArzSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:5641% → 41%
Q2 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
41.0%
Demario Richard run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 24Similar
Q2 12:22
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+4
41.2%
Demario Richard run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 28Similar
Q2 12:22
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+1
40.6%
Kalen Ballage run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 29Similar
Q2 10:26
4TH & 1
OWN 29
+2
40.6%
Matt Haack punt for 55 yds , Adarius Pickett returns for 2 yds to the UCLA 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0060% → 58%
Q2 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
40.1%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Darren Andrews for 2 yds to the UCLA 20Similar
Q2 10:16
2ND & 8
OWN 20
-5
40.2%
Josh Rosen sacked by Renell Wren for a loss of 5 yards to the UCLA 15 Josh Rosen fumbled, , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 10:16
3RD & 13
OWN 15
+6
41.1%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Theo Howard for 6 yds to the UCLA 21Similar
Q2 10:16
4TH & 7
OWN 21
0
41.7%
Austin Kent punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Tim White at the ArzSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0044% → 41%
Q2 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
43.5%
Brady White pass incomplete to N'Keal Harry, broken up by Randall GoforthSimilar
Q2 8:18
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
43.1%
Brady White pass incomplete to Tim WhiteSimilar
Q2 8:18
3RD & 10
OWN 36
0
42.0%
Brady White pass incomplete to Tim WhiteSimilar
Q2 8:18
4TH & 10
OWN 36
0
41.4%
Matt Haack punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Adarius Pickett at the UCLA 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 40 yds · 0:0061% → 61%
Q2 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+11
39.4%
Nate Starks run for 11 yds to the UCLA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
38.7%
Nate Starks run for 4 yds to the UCLA 41Similar
Q2 7:56
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+25
37.6%
Mike Fafaul pass complete to Nate Iese for 25 yds to the ArzSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
36.4%
Mike Fafaul pass incomplete to Austin RobertsSimilar
Q2 7:56
2ND & 10
OPP 34
0
36.5%
Mike Fafaul pass incomplete to Nate Iese, broken up by Salamo FisoSimilar
Q2 7:56
3RD & 10
OPP 34
0
37.4%
Mike Fafaul pass incomplete to Eldridge MassingtonSimilar
Q2 7:56
4TH & 10
OPP 34
+34
39.3%
Austin Kent punt for 20 yds, fair catch by Tim White at the ArzSt 14 ARIZONA ST Penalty, kick catching interference (14 Yards) to the ArzSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:0043% → 42%
Q2 6:09
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+13
43.1%
Demario Richard run for 13 yds to the ArzSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
43.3%
Brady White pass incomplete to Tim WhiteSimilar
Q2 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
43.6%
Brady White pass incomplete to N'Keal HarrySimilar
Q2 6:09
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+1
43.2%
Demario Richard run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 29Similar
Q2 6:09
3RD & 9
OWN 29
0
42.1%
Brady White pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:09
4TH & 9
OWN 29
0
41.5%
Matt Haack punt for 51 yds , Adarius Pickett returns for no gain to the UCLA 14 Adarius Pickett fumbled, recovered by UCLA Adarius PickettSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0060% → 58%
Q2 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-3
40.5%
Nate Starks run for a loss of 3 yards to the UCLA 11Similar
Q2 4:56
2ND & 13
OWN 11
0
40.8%
Mike Fafaul pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:56
3RD & 13
OWN 11
-5
41.7%
UCLA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UCLA 6Similar
Q2 4:56
3RD & 18
OWN 6
+13
42.0%
Mike Fafaul pass complete to Kenneth Walker III for 13 yds to the UCLA 19Similar
Q2 4:56
4TH & 5
OWN 19
0
42.3%
Austin Kent punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Tim White at the ArzSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:0043% → 45%
Q2 3:41
4TH & 14
OWN 41
+30
42.8%
Matt Haack punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Adarius Pickett at the ARIZONAST 14 ARIZONA ST Penalty, kick catching interference (-15 Yards) to the UCLA 29Similar
Q2 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
46.9%
Brady White pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:41
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
45.9%
Brady White pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:41
3RD & 10
OWN 45
-4
44.6%
Brady White pass complete to Demario Richard for a loss of 4 yards to the ArzSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0060% → 59%
Q2 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
40.2%
Nate Starks run for 8 yds to the UCLA 37Similar
Q2 2:53
2ND & 2
OWN 37
+1
38.9%
Nate Starks run for 1 yd to the UCLA 38Similar
Q2 2:53
3RD & 1
OWN 38
-1
38.7%
Nate Starks run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 37Similar
Q2 2:53
4TH & 2
OWN 37
0
41.0%
Austin Kent punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Tim White at the ArzSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 21END OF HALF
3 plays · 10 yds · 0:0045% → 46%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
45.1%
Brady White pass complete to Tim White for 4 yds to the ArzSt 27Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+8
45.4%
Brady White pass complete to Tim White for 8 yds to the ArzSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
45.5%
Kalen Ballage run for a loss of 2 yards to the ArzSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 22INT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0058% → 57%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
42.4%
Nate Starks run for no gain to the UCLA 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
42.6%
Mike Fafaul pass complete to Darren Andrews for 6 yds to the UCLA 31Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+37
42.6%
Mike Fafaul pass intercepted Gump Hayes return for 37 yds to the UCLA 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 23FG
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:4151% → 53%
Q3 13:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
51.0%
Kalen Ballage run for 1 yd to the UCLA 3Similar
Q3 13:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
51.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the UCLA 7 TEAM fumbled, recovered by ArzSt Kalen Ballage ARIZONA ST Penalty, IS ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 13:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
49.8%
Demario Richard run for 2 yds to the UCLA 5Similar
Q3 12:10
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
53.2%
Zane Gonzalez 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0049% → 46%
Q3 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
51.2%
Nate Starks run for 4 yds to the UCLA 19Similar
Q3 12:03
2ND & 6
OWN 19
-2
51.2%
Nate Starks run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCLA 17Similar
Q3 12:03
3RD & 8
OWN 17
0
52.8%
Mike Fafaul pass incomplete to Kenneth Walker IIISimilar
Q3 12:03
4TH & 8
OWN 17
+12
53.8%
Austin Kent punt for 52 yds , Tim White returns for 12 yds to the ArzSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 25TD
8 plays · 57 yds · 1:5556% → 75%
Q3 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
55.6%
Demario Richard run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 47Similar
Q3 10:24
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+9
56.1%
Brady White pass complete to Tim White for 9 yds to the UCLA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+17
56.8%
Demario Richard run for 17 yds to the UCLA 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:24
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
60.8%
Brady White pass incomplete to Tim WhiteSimilar
Q3 9:24
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+18
60.6%
Brady White pass complete to Jalen Harvey for 18 yds to the UCLA 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
60.8%
Demario Richard run for 4 yds to the UCLA 5Similar
Q3 8:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
75.0%
Demario Richard run for 5 yds for a TD, (Zane Gonzalez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 26FG
8 plays · 73 yds · 2:2728% → 36%
Q3 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
72.2%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Nate Iese, broken up by Viliami MoeakiolaSimilar
Q3 8:29
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
72.4%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Nate Iese for 7 yds to the UCLA 32Similar
Q3 8:29
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+66
72.2%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Soso Jamabo for 66 yds to the ArzSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
68.3%
Soso Jamabo run for no gain to the ArzSt 2Similar
Q3 8:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
68.3%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Kenneth Walker IIISimilar
Q3 8:29
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
69.6%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Kenneth Walker IIISimilar
Q3 6:02
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+19
64.3%
JJ Molson 19 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 27PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0071% → 69%
Q3 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
71.2%
Kalen Ballage run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArzSt 24Similar
Q3 6:02
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
70.9%
Brady White pass incomplete to N'Keal HarrySimilar
Q3 6:02
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+4
69.6%
Brady White pass complete to Frederick Gammage for 4 yds to the ArzSt 28Similar
Q3 6:02
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
69.0%
Matt Haack punt for 39 yds, downed at the UCLA 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 28TD
5 plays · 67 yds · 1:2633% → 56%
Q3 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
67.3%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Jordan Lasley for 6 yds to the UCLA 39Similar
Q3 4:34
2ND & 4
OWN 39
0
65.1%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Jordan LasleySimilar
Q3 4:34
3RD & 4
OWN 39
+9
66.8%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Jordan Lasley for 9 yds to the UCLA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
64.9%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Soso JamaboSimilar
Q3 3:08
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+52
44.0%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Jordan Lasley for 52 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 29TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:0852% → 84%
Q3 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+30
51.9%
Brady White pass complete to Tim White for 30 yds to the UCLA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:08
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
56.7%
Demario Richard run for 6 yds to the UCLA 39Similar
Q3 3:08
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+2
56.9%
Demario Richard run for 2 yds to the UCLA 37Similar
Q3 3:08
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+3
56.2%
Kalen Ballage run for 3 yds to the UCLA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:08
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+17
58.3%
Jalen Harvey pass complete to Tim White for 17 yds to the UCLA 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:08
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
58.5%
Brady White run for 3 yds to the UCLA 14Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+14
83.6%
Brady White pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 14 yds for a TD, (Zane Gonzalez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 30INT
4 plays · 19 yds · 0:0027% → 30%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
73.5%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Soso Jamabo for 15 yds to the UCLA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
71.5%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Soso Jamabo for 4 yds to the UCLA 44Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+22
70.2%
Josh Rosen pass intercepted Marcus Ball return for 22 yds to the UCLA 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 31FG
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:2384% → 84%
Q4 13:51
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-3
84.4%
Demario Richard run for a loss of 3 yards to the UCLA 35Similar
Q4 13:51
2ND & 13
OPP 35
0
83.6%
Brady White pass incomplete to Kody KohlSimilar
Q4 13:51
3RD & 13
OPP 35
+7
82.1%
Brady White pass complete to Jalen Harvey for 7 yds to the UCLA 28Similar
Q4 12:28
4TH & 6
OPP 28
+46
84.2%
Zane Gonzalez 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 32TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:1816% → 43%
Q4 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
84.1%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Jordan Lasley, broken up by Viliami MoeakiolaSimilar
Q4 12:28
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
84.2%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Jordan LasleySimilar
Q4 12:28
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+15
84.9%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Austin Roberts for 15 yds to the UCLA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+42
81.9%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Austin Roberts for 42 yds to the ArzSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
79.2%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Kenneth Walker IIISimilar
Q4 11:10
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+18
57.1%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Nate Iese for 18 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 33INT
14 plays · 65 yds · 0:0069% → 72%
Q4 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
68.8%
Kalen Ballage run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 29Similar
Q4 11:05
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+4
68.7%
Brady White pass complete to Tim White for 4 yds to the ArzSt 33Similar
Q4 11:05
3RD & 3
OWN 33
+7
67.9%
Brady White pass complete to Tim White for 7 yds to the ArzSt 40 for a 1ST down UCLA Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
70.9%
Kalen Ballage run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 42Similar
Q4 11:05
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+1
70.8%
Demario Richard run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 43Similar
Q4 11:05
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+20
68.7%
Brady White pass complete to Tim White for 20 yds to the UCLA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
72.3%
Jalen Harvey pass incomplete to Tim WhiteSimilar
Q4 11:05
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
72.1%
Brady White pass incomplete to Frederick Gammage, broken up by Jaleel WadoodSimilar
Q4 11:05
3RD & 10
OPP 37
+12
70.8%
Brady White pass complete to Tim White for 12 yds to the UCLA 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+14
73.9%
Brady White pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 14 yds to the UCLA 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-4
73.9%
Brady White sacked by Kenny Young for a loss of 4 yards to the UCLA 15Similar
Q4 11:05
2ND & 14
OPP 15
+6
72.9%
Kalen Ballage run for 6 yds to the UCLA 9Similar
Q4 11:05
3RD & 8
OPP 9
0
72.2%
Dillon Sterling-Cole pass intercepted, touchback. Adarius Pickett return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 34PUNT
10 plays · 27 yds · 0:0032% → 31%
Q4 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
67.9%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Soso Jamabo, broken up by Koron CrumpSimilar
Q4 5:35
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+9
68.2%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Jordan Lasley for 9 yds to the UCLA 29Similar
Q4 5:35
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+10
67.2%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Nate Iese for 10 yds to the UCLA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
64.8%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Jordan LasleySimilar
Q4 5:35
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+32
65.5%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Eldridge Massington for 32 yds to the ArzSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-15
58.7%
[NHSG], Rosen pass complete to Andrews for 14 yards to the ASU15 (Ball, Marcus), PENALTY UCLA pass interference (Iese) 15 yards to the ASU44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:35
1ST & 25
OPP 44
0
63.6%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Eldridge Massington, broken up by Renell WrenSimilar
Q4 5:35
2ND & 25
OPP 44
-9
64.3%
Josh Rosen sacked by Koron Crump for a loss of 9 yards to the UCLA 47 Josh Rosen fumbled, recovered by UCLA , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 5:35
3RD & 34
OWN 47
0
67.5%
Mike Fafaul pass incomplete to Darren AndrewsSimilar
Q4 5:35
4TH & 34
OWN 47
0
69.4%
Austin Kent punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Tim White at the ArzSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 35PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 1:3886% → 89%
Q4 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
86.2%
Kalen Ballage run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 25Similar
Q4 2:27
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+2
87.0%
Kalen Ballage run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 27Similar
Q4 2:27
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+1
86.0%
Kalen Ballage run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 28Similar
Q4 0:58
4TH & 2
OWN 28
+9
89.4%
Matt Haack punt for 50 yds , Randall Goforth returns for 9 yds to the UCLA 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 36INT
3 plays · -10 yds · 0:0014% → 11%
Q4 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-2
86.3%
Mike Fafaul sacked by Tashon Smallwood and DJ Calhoun for a loss of 2 yards to the UCLA 29Similar
Q4 0:48
2ND & 12
OWN 29
-8
88.0%
Mike Fafaul sacked by Koron Crump for a loss of 8 yards to the UCLA 21Similar
Q4 0:48
3RD & 20
OWN 21
+3
88.9%
Mike Fafaul pass intercepted Robbie Robinson return for 3 yds to the UCLA 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 0:00
Brady White pass complete to N'Keal Harry for 14 yds for a TD, (Zane Gonzalez KICK)
+25.1
TD · Q4 11:10
Josh Rosen pass complete to Nate Iese for 18 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK)
-22.1
TD · Q3 3:08
Josh Rosen pass complete to Jordan Lasley for 52 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK)
-21
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com