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ARIZ

Arizona 23 at Utah 36

UTAH
2016 · Week 6 · Oct 8, 2016 · Rice-Eccles Stadium
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Win probability · UTAH
modelUTAH aheadARIZ aheadconfidence bandkey playUTAH scoreARIZ score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDSAFETYTDTDTDFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:00 · TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ariz 17
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+31.0+15.50−15.5−31.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:54: Brandon Dawkins run for 6 yds for a TD, (Josh Pollack KICK) — ARIZ win probability +6.4 pts (now 47%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:55: Troy Williams pass complete to Tyrone Smith for 3 yds for a TD ARIZONA Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined, (Andy Phillips KICK) — UTAH win probability +7.6 pts (now 63%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. TD · Q3 13:12: Troy Williams run for 2 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK) — UTAH win probability +16.3 pts (now 77%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:35: Armand Shyne run for 26 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK) — UTAH win probability +11.2 pts (now 88%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 2:16: Andy Phillips 35 yd FG GOOD — UTAH win probability +4.8 pts (now 93%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTAH made the numbers' call on 5 of 7ARIZ made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 14:49UTAH 4th & 6 at UTAH 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.6%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:19ARIZ 4th & 4 at ARIZ 30, up 7
    Close callPunted · 27.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:01UTAH 4th & 10 at ARIZ 10, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 68.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.1%−0.3
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.4%
    88% to make
    Punt
    66.6%−1.8
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:01ARIZ 4th & 7 at ARIZ 28, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.5%−0.4
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.8%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:54UTAH 4th & 18 at UTAH 42, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.1%−0.9
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:05UTAH 4th & 3 at UTAH 16, down 4
    Close callPunted · 66.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:07ARIZ 4th & 13 at ARIZ 11, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.8%−2.7
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.5%
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:59UTAH 4th & 4 at UTAH 45, up 5
    Close callPunted · 73.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.9%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 2:16UTAH 4th & 5 at ARIZ 17, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.1%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.5%
    80% to make
    Punt
    82.2%−6.3
    average punt
  10. Q4 15:00ARIZ 4th & 3 at UTAH 46, down 15
    Close callPunted · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    6.5%−2.2
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    7.8%−0.9
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:54UTAH 4th & 7 at UTAH 26, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.6%−0.7
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.3%
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:04ARIZ 4th & 15 at UTAH 19, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 5.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.4%−1.2
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.6%
    77% to make
    Punt
    2.9%−2.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTAH made the numbers' call on 3 of 4ARIZ made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 14:49ARIZ Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:54ARIZ Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:55UTAH Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 13:12UTAH Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:35UTAH Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 5:10UTAH Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%−0.4
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 4:15ARIZ Touchdown, down 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    4.3%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    4.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ARIZDrive 1TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
72.4%
Brandon Dawkins pass complete to Shun Brown for 75 yds for a TD, (Josh Pollack KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 21 yds · 0:0072% → 72%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
72.4%
Troy Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:49
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
72.4%
Armand Shyne run for 1 yd to the Utah 26Similar
Q1 14:49
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+16
72.4%
Troy Williams pass complete to Raelon Singleton for 16 yds to the Utah 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
72.4%
Troy Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:49
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+4
72.4%
Troy Williams pass complete to Evan Moeai for 4 yds to the Utah 46Similar
Q1 14:49
3RD & 6
OWN 46
0
72.4%
Troy Williams run for no gain to the Utah 46 UTAH Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 14:49
4TH & 6
OWN 46
0
72.4%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 16 yds · 0:0029% → 29%
Q1 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+10
71.2%
Brandon Dawkins run for 10 yds to the Ariz 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
71.2%
Tyrell Johnson run for 1 yd to the Ariz 25Similar
Q1 12:19
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+5
71.2%
Brandon Dawkins run for 5 yds to the Ariz 30Similar
Q1 12:19
3RD & 4
OWN 30
0
71.2%
Brandon Dawkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:19
4TH & 4
OWN 30
0
71.3%
Josh Pollack punt for 42 yds, downed at the Utah 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 4FG
16 plays · 62 yds · 5:3670% → 69%
Q1 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
70.3%
Troy Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:37
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+4
70.3%
Armand Shyne run for 4 yds to the Utah 32Similar
Q1 10:37
3RD & 6
OWN 32
+8
70.2%
Troy Williams pass complete to Demari Simpkins for 8 yds to the Utah 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+17
70.5%
Troy Williams pass complete to Raelon Singleton for 17 yds to the Ariz 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-5
70.7%
UTAH Penalty, false start (Raelon Singleton) to the Ariz 48Similar
Q1 10:37
1ST & 15
OPP 48
-5
70.5%
UTAH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Utah 47Similar
Q1 10:37
1ST & 20
OWN 47
+18
70.5%
Troy Williams pass complete to Evan Moeai for 18 yds to the Ariz 35Similar
Q1 10:37
2ND & 2
OPP 35
+23
70.8%
Troy Williams pass complete to Harrison Handley for 23 yds to the Ariz 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+8
69.2%
N/A run for 8 yds to the Ariz 4Similar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 2
OPP 4
+2
69.2%
Armand Shyne run for 2 yds to the Ariz 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-8
69.2%
N/A sacked by DeAndre' Miller for a loss of 8 yards to the Ariz 10Similar
Q1 7:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
69.2%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Harrison HandleySimilar
Q1 5:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
68.0%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Raelon Singleton, broken up by Jace WhittakerSimilar
Q1 5:01
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+28
69.3%
Andy Phillips 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0031% → 31%
Q1 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
68.9%
Brandon Dawkins run for no gain to the Ariz 25Similar
Q1 5:01
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
69.0%
Brandon Dawkins run for 1 yd to the Ariz 26Similar
Q1 5:01
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+2
69.2%
Brandon Dawkins run for 2 yds to the Ariz 28Similar
Q1 5:01
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
69.5%
Josh Pollack punt for 22 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 0:0069% → 68%
Q1 2:54
1ST & 10
50
-5
69.3%
UTAH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Utah 45Similar
Q1 2:54
1ST & 15
OWN 45
+4
68.5%
Troy Williams pass complete to Tyrone Smith for 4 yds to the Utah 49Similar
Q1 2:54
2ND & 11
OWN 49
0
68.7%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Raelon Singleton, broken up by Jace WhittakerSimilar
Q1 2:54
3RD & 11
OWN 49
-7
68.2%
Troy Williams sacked by Paul Magloire Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the Utah 42Similar
Q1 2:54
4TH & 18
OWN 42
0
67.6%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 53 yds, downed at the Ariz 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 7INT
6 plays · 59 yds · 1:2132% → 35%
Q1 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+8
67.7%
Brandon Dawkins pass complete to Trevor Wood for 8 yds to the Ariz 13Similar
Q1 1:21
2ND & 2
OWN 13
-1
67.5%
Zach Green run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ariz 12Similar
Q1 1:21
3RD & 3
OWN 12
+4
68.0%
Brandon Dawkins pass complete to Trevor Wood for 4 yds to the Ariz 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+6
66.9%
Zach Green run for 6 yds to the Ariz 22Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 22
+42
66.6%
Brandon Dawkins pass complete to Trey Griffey for 42 yds to the Utah 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
65.5%
Brandon Dawkins pass intercepted Brian Allen return for no gain to the Utah 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0066% → 65%
Q2 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-4
66.2%
UTAH Penalty, false start (-4 Yards) to the Utah 5Similar
Q2 14:05
1ST & 14
OWN 5
+4
66.2%
Armand Shyne run for 4 yds to the Utah 9Similar
Q2 14:05
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+7
66.1%
Troy Williams pass complete to Tyrone Smith for 7 yds to the Utah 16Similar
Q2 14:05
3RD & 3
OWN 16
0
65.6%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Evan MoeaiSimilar
Q2 14:05
4TH & 3
OWN 16
0
65.3%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 56 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 9TD
11 plays · 72 yds · 4:3735% → 47%
Q2 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
65.1%
Tyrell Johnson run for 3 yds to the Ariz 31Similar
Q2 12:31
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+4
64.9%
N/A run for 4 yds to the Ariz 35Similar
Q2 12:31
3RD & 3
OWN 35
+5
65.0%
Brandon Dawkins run for 5 yds to the Ariz 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
64.2%
Tyrell Johnson run for 1 yd to the Ariz 41Similar
Q2 12:31
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+7
64.5%
Brandon Dawkins run for 7 yds to the Ariz 48Similar
Q2 12:31
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+31
64.5%
Brandon Dawkins pass complete to Cedric Peterson for 31 yds to the Utah 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:31
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
63.5%
Brandon Dawkins run for 4 yds to the Utah 17Similar
Q2 12:31
2ND & 6
OPP 17
+10
63.5%
Zach Green run for 10 yds to the Utah 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-3
63.5%
Brandon Dawkins run for a loss of 3 yards to the Utah 6Similar
Q2 7:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
52.9%
Brandon Dawkins run for 6 yds for a TD, (Josh Pollack KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 10PUNT
14 plays · 26 yds · 0:4754% → 54%
Q2 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-5
54.4%
UTAH Penalty, false start (Evan Moeai) to the Utah 26Similar
Q2 7:43
1ST & 15
OWN 26
+2
53.9%
Armand Shyne run for 2 yds to the Utah 28Similar
Q2 7:43
2ND & 13
OWN 28
0
53.9%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Raelon Singleton, broken up by Jace WhittakerSimilar
Q2 6:56
3RD & 13
OWN 28
+59
53.5%
Troy Williams pass complete to Evan Moeai for 59 yds to the Ariz 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:56
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-5
57.4%
UTAH Penalty, false start (Harrison Handley) to the Ariz 18Similar
Q2 6:56
1ST & 15
OPP 18
0
57.3%
Armand Shyne run for no gain to the Ariz 18Similar
Q2 6:56
2ND & 15
OPP 18
0
56.9%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Raelon Singleton, broken up by Dane CruikshankSimilar
Q2 6:56
3RD & 15
OPP 18
-5
55.4%
UTAH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Ariz 23Similar
Q2 6:56
3RD & 20
OPP 23
-5
55.4%
UTAH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Ariz 28Similar
Q2 6:56
3RD & 25
OPP 28
-15
55.3%
Williams, Troy pass incomplete to Smith, Tyrone (Cruikshank, D.), PENALTY UTAH illegal block (Shyne, Armand) 15 yards to the ARIZ43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:56
3RD & 40
OPP 43
0
54.9%
Troy Williams pass incomplete UTAH Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 6:56
4TH & 40
OPP 43
0
54.1%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 41 yds, downed at the Ariz 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 11SF
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:1049% → 47%
Q2 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
51.4%
Khalil Tate pass incomplete ARIZONA Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 4:38
2ND & 10
OWN 2
-2
53.4%
Khalil Tate run for a loss of 2 yards for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 12TD
12 plays · 47 yds · 3:3555% → 63%
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-2
55.4%
Cory Butler-Byrd run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ariz 49Similar
Q2 4:30
2ND & 12
OPP 49
+15
54.4%
Williams, Troy pass incomplete to Singleton, Rae. (Cruikshank, D.), PENALTY ARIZ pass interference (Cruikshank, D.) 15 yards to the ARIZ34, 1ST DOWN UTAH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+8
56.8%
Armand Shyne run for 8 yds to the Ariz 26Similar
Q2 4:30
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+2
55.3%
Armand Shyne run for 2 yds to the Ariz 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+12
56.7%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Armand Shyne for a 1ST down ARIZONA Penalty, personal foul (Michael Barton) to the Ariz 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-5
56.7%
UTAH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Ariz 16Similar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 15
OPP 16
0
56.7%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Raelon Singleton, broken up by Jace WhittakerSimilar
Q2 4:30
2ND & 15
OPP 16
+9
56.0%
Armand Shyne run for 9 yds to the Ariz 7Similar
Q2 4:30
3RD & 6
OPP 7
+4
55.5%
Williams, Troy pass incomplete to Moeai, Evan, PENALTY ARIZ holding (Jones, T.) 4 yards to the ARIZ3, 1ST DOWN UTAH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
63.1%
Troy Williams pass complete to Tyrone Smith for 3 yds for a TD ARIZONA Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined, (Andy Phillips KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 13MISSED FG
11 plays · 40 yds · 0:5539% → 45%
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
60.8%
Brandon Dawkins pass complete to Samajie Grant for 8 yds to the Ariz 33Similar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+7
59.1%
Brandon Dawkins pass complete to Shun Brown for 7 yds to the Ariz 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
58.5%
Brandon Dawkins run for 1 yd to the Ariz 41Similar
Q2 0:28
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+7
59.2%
Brandon Dawkins pass complete to Shun Brown for 7 yds to the Ariz 48Similar
Q2 0:28
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+5
58.4%
Zach Green run for 5 yds to the Utah 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
57.1%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:28
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+12
58.0%
Brandon Dawkins pass complete to Nate Phillips for 12 yds to the Utah 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
56.0%
Brandon Dawkins pass incomplete to Trey GriffeySimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+52
54.7%
Josh Pollack 52 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 14TD
5 plays · 68 yds · 1:4162% → 77%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-3
62.2%
Armand Shyne run for a loss of 3 yards to the Utah 29Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 13
OWN 29
0
61.6%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Demari SimpkinsSimilar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 13
OWN 29
+69
60.1%
Troy Williams pass complete to Cory Butler-Byrd for 69 yds to the Ariz 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
76.5%
Troy Williams run for 2 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · -3 yds · 0:0029% → 27%
Q3 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-5
71.4%
ARIZONA Penalty, false start (Shun Brown) to the Ariz 9Similar
Q3 13:07
1ST & 15
OWN 9
0
71.8%
Brandon Dawkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:07
2ND & 15
OWN 9
-4
72.0%
ARIZONA Penalty, delay of game (-4 Yards) to the Ariz 5Similar
Q3 13:07
2ND & 19
OWN 5
+6
72.0%
Brandon Dawkins run for 6 yds to the Ariz 11Similar
Q3 13:07
3RD & 13
OWN 11
0
72.6%
Brandon Dawkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:07
4TH & 13
OWN 11
0
73.2%
Josh Pollack punt for 50 yds, downed at the Utah 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0074% → 73%
Q3 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
74.3%
Troy Williams pass complete to Harrison Handley for 1 yd to the Utah 40Similar
Q3 11:59
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+5
74.2%
Armand Shyne run for 5 yds to the Utah 45Similar
Q3 11:59
3RD & 4
OWN 45
0
74.3%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Cory Butler-ByrdSimilar
Q3 11:59
4TH & 4
OWN 45
0
73.2%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 54 yds, downed at the Ariz 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 17INT
10 plays · 54 yds · 0:0028% → 29%
Q3 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
71.8%
Brandon Dawkins pass incomplete to Shun BrownSimilar
Q3 10:27
2ND & 10
OWN 1
0
72.1%
Brandon Dawkins pass incomplete to Samajie GrantSimilar
Q3 10:27
3RD & 10
OWN 1
+40
73.1%
Brandon Dawkins pass complete to Trey Griffey for 40 yds to the Ariz 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
69.3%
Zach Green run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ariz 40Similar
Q3 10:27
2ND & 11
OWN 40
+9
70.4%
Brandon Dawkins pass complete to Nate Phillips for 9 yds to the Ariz 49Similar
Q3 10:27
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+15
68.2%
Dawkins, B. pass incomplete to Griffey, T., PENALTY UTAH pass interference (Hatfield, Dom.) 15 yards to the UTAH36, 1ST DOWN ARIZ, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:27
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
67.6%
Brandon Dawkins run for 1 yd to the Utah 35Similar
Q3 10:27
2ND & 9
OPP 35
-10
66.6%
Dawkins, B. rush for 2 yards to the UTAH33 (Tauteoli, Sunia), PENALTY ARIZ holding (Eldridge, N.) 10 yards to the UTAH45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:27
2ND & 19
OPP 45
0
69.6%
Brandon Dawkins pass incomplete to Shun Brown, broken up by Hunter DimickSimilar
Q3 10:27
3RD & 19
OPP 45
0
70.9%
Brandon Dawkins pass intercepted Marcus Williams return for no gain to the Utah 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 18TD
7 plays · 74 yds · 2:1074% → 88%
Q3 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-5
73.5%
UTAH Penalty, false start (Garett Bolles) to the Utah 21Similar
Q3 7:45
1ST & 15
OWN 21
+2
73.1%
Armand Shyne run for 2 yds to the Utah 23Similar
Q3 7:45
2ND & 13
OWN 23
+14
72.9%
Armand Shyne run for 14 yds to the Utah 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+16
74.3%
Troy Williams pass complete to Harrison Handley for 16 yds to the Ariz 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+15
76.1%
Williams, Troy pass incomplete to Simpkins,Demari (Cruikshank, D.), PENALTY ARIZ pass interference (Cruikshank, D.) 15 yards to the ARIZ32, 1ST DOWN UTAH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+6
76.9%
Troy Williams run for 6 yds to the Ariz 26Similar
Q3 5:35
2ND & 4
OPP 26
+26
88.1%
Armand Shyne run for 26 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 19INT
3 plays · 9 yds · 0:0014% → 15%
Q3 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
85.6%
Zach Green run for 9 yds to the Ariz 39Similar
Q3 5:27
2ND & 1
OWN 39
0
84.6%
Khalil Tate pass intercepted Dominique Hatfield return for no gain to the Ariz 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 20FG
6 plays · 29 yds · 2:3489% → 93%
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
88.6%
Armand Shyne run for 5 yds to the Ariz 41Similar
Q3 4:50
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+19
88.6%
Troy Williams run for 19 yds to the Ariz 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
88.6%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Evan MoeaiSimilar
Q3 4:50
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+3
88.6%
Armand Shyne run for 3 yds to the Ariz 19 Armand Shyne fumbled, forced by Jarvis McCall Jr., recovered by UtahSimilar
Q3 4:50
3RD & 7
OPP 19
+2
88.2%
Troy Williams run for 2 yds to the Ariz 17Similar
Q3 2:16
4TH & 5
OPP 17
+35
92.9%
Andy Phillips 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 29 yds · 2:169% → 8%
Q3 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
91.4%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Trey Griffey for 11 yds to the Ariz 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
90.8%
Tyrell Johnson run for 5 yds to the Ariz 41Similar
Q3 2:16
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+6
90.7%
Khalil Tate run for 6 yds to the Ariz 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
90.5%
Khalil Tate run for 5 yds to the Utah 48Similar
Q3 2:16
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+2
90.4%
Khalil Tate run for 2 yds to the Utah 46Similar
Q3 2:16
3RD & 3
OPP 46
0
90.6%
Khalil Tate run for no gain to the Utah 46Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 46
0
91.8%
Josh Pollack punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Utah 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0094% → 93%
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
93.9%
Armand Shyne run for 2 yds to the Utah 25Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+1
93.9%
Troy Williams run for 1 yd to the Utah 26Similar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 7
OWN 26
0
93.7%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Demari SimpkinsSimilar
Q4 14:54
4TH & 7
OWN 26
0
93.2%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 56 yds, downed at the Ariz 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 23FG
11 plays · 63 yds · 4:157% → 8%
Q4 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+16
92.6%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Trey Griffey for 16 yds to the Ariz 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
92.1%
Khalil Tate run for 3 yds to the Ariz 37Similar
Q4 13:19
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+24
92.0%
Khalil Tate run for 9 yds to the Utah 46 for a 1ST down UTAH Penalty, personal foul (Marcus Williams) to the Utah 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:19
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+11
91.7%
Khalil Tate run for 11 yds to the Utah 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:19
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
90.4%
Zach Green run for 3 yds to the Utah 25Similar
Q4 13:19
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+4
90.4%
Khalil Tate run for 4 yds to the Utah 21Similar
Q4 13:19
3RD & 3
OPP 21
+7
91.2%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Samajie Grant for 7 yds to the Utah 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:19
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-5
90.4%
Khalil Tate run for a loss of 5 yards to the Utah 19Similar
Q4 13:19
2ND & 15
OPP 19
0
90.9%
Zach Green run for no gain to the Utah 19Similar
Q4 13:19
3RD & 15
OPP 19
0
91.7%
Khalil Tate pass incomplete to Trey GriffeySimilar
Q4 9:04
4TH & 15
OPP 19
+37
92.2%
Josh Pollack 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 24TD
8 plays · 67 yds · 3:4994% → 99%
Q4 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+17
93.5%
Cory Butler-Byrd run for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:59
1ST & 10
50
+14
93.9%
Armand Shyne run for 14 yds to the Ariz 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:59
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+13
93.9%
Troy Williams run for 13 yds to the Ariz 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:59
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
93.9%
Jordan Howard run for 5 yds to the Ariz 18Similar
Q4 8:59
2ND & 5
OPP 18
+16
93.9%
Troy Williams run for 16 yds to the Ariz 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
94.0%
Troy Williams run for 1 yd to the Ariz 1Similar
Q4 5:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.8%
Troy Williams run for 1 yd for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 25TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:552% → 6%
Q4 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
98.1%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Samajie Grant for 8 yds to the Ariz 33Similar
Q4 5:10
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+4
97.9%
Zach Green run for 4 yds to the Ariz 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+63
94.0%
Khalil Tate pass complete to Samajie Grant for 63 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 26END OF GAME
16 plays · 35 yds · 2:1597% → 99%
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
96.8%
Jordan Howard run for 7 yds to the Ariz 45Similar
Q4 4:15
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+7
96.8%
Jordan Howard run for 7 yds to the Ariz 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
97.8%
Troy Williams run for 1 yd to the Ariz 37Similar
Q4 3:20
2ND & 9
OPP 37
+5
97.9%
Troy Williams run for 5 yds to the Ariz 32Similar
Q4 3:16
3RD & 4
OPP 32
+7
98.1%
Jordan Howard run for 7 yds to the Ariz 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:48
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
98.5%
Troy Williams run for 3 yds to the Ariz 22Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+2
98.9%
Troy Williams run for 2 yds to the Ariz 20Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 5
OPP 20
+6
98.9%
Jordan Howard run for 6 yds to the Ariz 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-2
98.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ariz 16Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 12
OPP 16
-1
98.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ariz 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 13:12
Troy Williams run for 2 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)
+16.3
TD · Q3 5:35
Armand Shyne run for 26 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)
+11.2
TD · Q2 0:55
Troy Williams pass complete to Tyrone Smith for 3 yds for a TD ARIZONA Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined, (Andy Phillips KICK)
+7.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com