Try the model
ORE

Oregon 33 at Washington State 51

WSU
2016 · Week 5 · Oct 1, 2016 · Gesa Field
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · WSU
modelWSU aheadORE aheadconfidence bandkey playWSU scoreORE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDSAFETYTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 14:56 · Ian Wheeler punt for 33 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout marginScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+35.0+17.50−17.5−35.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 50Home team on offense+2.2Score differential+0.5Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.7Blowout margin+0.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:56: Gerard Wicks run for 4 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK) — WSU win probability +7.6 pts (now 59%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:39: Jamal Morrow run for 10 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK) — WSU win probability +9.0 pts (now 65%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:44: Gerard Wicks run for 2 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK) — WSU win probability +13.5 pts (now 78%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 3:02: Royce Freeman run for 75 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — ORE win probability +10.4 pts (now 22%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 13:03: Jamal Morrow run for 14 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK) — WSU win probability +10.7 pts (now 95%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5ORE made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 15:00ORE 4th & 5 at WSU 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 51.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.1%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    51.1%−0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    51.1%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:34ORE 4th & 1 at WSU 11, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 46.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    46.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    45.9%−0.5
    87% to make
    Punt
    44.4%−2.0
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:34WSU 4th & 3 at ORE 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 51.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.0%
    49% to convert
    Field goal
    50.8%−0.2
    88% to make
    Punt
    49.1%−1.9
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:56ORE 4th & 6 at ORE 49, down 7
    Close callPunted · 43.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:08WSU 4th & 11 at WSU 17, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.1%−1.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:33ORE 4th & 21 at ORE 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.3%−3.1
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.3%
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:33WSU 4th & 5 at ORE 5, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 80.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.7%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.8%
    92% to make
    Punt
    72.8%−7.0
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:17WSU 4th & 3 at ORE 3, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 81.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.9%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    80.3%−1.6
    93% to make
    Punt
    71.8%−10.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:25WSU 4th & 19 at ORE 40, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.7%−1.8
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    87.1%−0.4
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    87.5%
    average punt
  10. Q4 13:03ORE 4th & 6 at ORE 39, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.7%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7ORE made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 7:59WSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:34ORE Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:56WSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:22ORE Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 6:39WSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:44WSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 3:02ORE Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    22.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    21.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 13:03WSU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 8:17WSU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 8:03ORE Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    3.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 2:54WSU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 0:46ORE Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OREDrive 1DOWNS
14 plays · 45 yds · 0:0051% → 51%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
49.1%
Dakota Prukop run for 4 yds to the Oregn 24Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+1
49.1%
Royce Freeman run for 1 yd to the Oregn 25Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+13
49.1%
Dakota Prukop pass complete to Royce Freeman for 13 yds to the Oregn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
49.1%
Dakota Prukop run for 2 yds to the Oregn 40Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+7
49.1%
Dakota Prukop pass complete to Darren Carrington II for 7 yds to the Oregn 47Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 47
-7
49.1%
Freeman, Royce rush for 13 yards to the WSU40 (Taylor, Robert), PENALTY ORE holding (Hanson, Jake) 7 yards to the ORE40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 40
+8
49.1%
Dakota Prukop pass complete to Charles Nelson for 8 yds to the Oregn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
49.1%
Tony Brooks-James run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
50
+10
49.1%
Tony Brooks-James run for 10 yds to the WshSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
49.1%
Royce Freeman run for 9 yds to the WshSt 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 31
-4
49.1%
Royce Freeman run for a loss of 4 yards to the WshSt 35Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 35
0
49.1%
Dakota Prukop pass incomplete to Dwayne StanfordSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 5
OPP 35
0
49.1%
Dakota Prukop pass incomplete to Charles NelsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 2TD
6 plays · 65 yds · 2:2250% → 54%
Q1 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+22
50.1%
Gerard Wicks run for 22 yds to the Oregn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:21
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
50.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 7 yds to the Oregn 36Similar
Q1 10:21
2ND & 3
OPP 36
+6
50.6%
Gerard Wicks run for 6 yds to the Oregn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:21
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+16
50.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 16 yds to the Oregn 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:21
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+7
50.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to John Thompson for 7 yds to the Oregn 7Similar
Q1 7:59
2ND & 3
OPP 7
+7
53.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 7 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 3TD
8 plays · 42 yds · 2:1348% → 50%
Q1 7:47
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+11
52.3%
Dakota Prukop pass complete to Dwayne Stanford for 11 yds to the WshSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:47
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+11
52.0%
Royce Freeman run for 11 yds to the WshSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:47
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-6
51.9%
Royce Freeman run for a loss of 6 yards to the WshSt 26Similar
Q1 7:47
2ND & 16
OPP 26
+6
52.4%
Dakota Prukop pass complete to Charles Nelson for 6 yds to the WshSt 20Similar
Q1 7:47
3RD & 10
OPP 20
-5
52.4%
OREGON Penalty, false start (Brady Aiello) to the WshSt 25Similar
Q1 7:47
3RD & 15
OPP 25
+14
52.9%
Dakota Prukop pass complete to Pharaoh Brown for 14 yds to the WshSt 11Similar
Q1 5:34
4TH & 1
OPP 11
+11
50.0%
Royce Freeman run for 11 yds for a TD, (Aidan Schneider KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 4TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 5:3851% → 59%
Q1 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
50.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 11 yds to the WshSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
51.0%
James Williams run for 5 yds to the WshSt 41Similar
Q1 5:34
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+6
51.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to James Williams for 6 yds to the WshSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
51.6%
Jamal Morrow run for 4 yds to the Oregn 49Similar
Q1 5:34
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+7
51.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 7 yds to the Oregn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
51.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack for 8 yds to the Oregn 34Similar
Q1 5:34
2ND & 2
OPP 34
+5
52.0%
Luke Falk run for 5 yds to the Oregn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+12
52.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 12 yds to the Oregn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
52.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 5 yds to the Oregn 12Similar
Q1 5:34
2ND & 5
OPP 12
+2
52.0%
Gerard Wicks run for 2 yds to the Oregn 10Similar
Q1 5:34
3RD & 3
OPP 10
0
51.6%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Tavares Martin Jr.Similar
Q1 5:34
4TH & 3
OPP 10
+6
51.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Robert Lewis for 6 yds to the Oregn 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
58.8%
Gerard Wicks run for 4 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 24 yds · 0:0043% → 43%
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
56.8%
Dakota Prukop pass complete to Charles Nelson for 9 yds to the Oregn 34Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+1
55.8%
Royce Freeman run for 1 yd to the Oregn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
56.4%
Dakota Prukop pass complete to Pharaoh Brown for 10 yds to the Oregn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
55.8%
Dakota Prukop pass complete to Charles Nelson for 3 yds to the Oregn 48Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+1
55.4%
Dakota Prukop run for 1 yd to the Oregn 49Similar
Q2 14:56
3RD & 6
OWN 49
0
55.6%
Dakota Prukop pass incomplete to Charles Nelson, broken up by Shalom LuaniSimilar
Q2 14:56
4TH & 6
OWN 49
0
56.8%
Ian Wheeler punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0058% → 57%
Q2 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
58.2%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Tavares Martin Jr.Similar
Q2 13:08
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+4
58.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to James Williams for 4 yds to the WshSt 22Similar
Q2 13:08
3RD & 6
OWN 22
-5
57.5%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, false start (Riley Sorenson) to the WshSt 17Similar
Q2 13:08
3RD & 11
OWN 17
0
57.4%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to River CracraftSimilar
Q2 13:08
4TH & 11
OWN 17
+36
56.8%
Kyle Sweet punt for 36 yds , Darren Carrington II returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 7TD
9 plays · 54 yds · 2:5043% → 52%
Q2 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-4
56.7%
Royce Freeman run for a loss of 4 yards to the Oregn 42Similar
Q2 12:12
2ND & 14
OWN 42
+17
58.0%
Dakota Prukop pass complete to Darren Carrington II for 17 yds to the WshSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
56.3%
Royce Freeman run for 6 yds to the WshSt 35Similar
Q2 12:12
2ND & 4
OPP 35
+5
55.3%
Dakota Prukop pass complete to Dwayne Stanford for 5 yds to the WshSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+8
55.4%
Royce Freeman run for 8 yds to the WshSt 22Similar
Q2 12:12
2ND & 2
OPP 22
+6
55.3%
Dakota Prukop run for 6 yds to the WshSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+11
55.3%
Royce Freeman run for 11 yds to the WshSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
55.3%
Royce Freeman run for 4 yds to the WshSt 1Similar
Q2 9:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
48.1%
Royce Freeman run for 1 yd for a TD, (Aidan Schneider KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 8TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 2:3953% → 65%
Q2 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
53.0%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Gabe MarksSimilar
Q2 9:18
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+4
52.9%
Gerard Wicks run for 4 yds to the WshSt 24Similar
Q2 9:18
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+39
52.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 39 yds to the Oregn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+11
55.3%
Jamal Morrow run for 11 yds to the Oregn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+8
55.8%
Luke Falk run for 8 yds to the Oregn 18Similar
Q2 9:18
2ND & 2
OPP 18
+8
55.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack for 8 yds to the Oregn 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
64.8%
Jamal Morrow run for 10 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -11 yds · 0:0039% → 37%
Q2 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-8
60.6%
Dakota Prukop sacked by Robert Barber for a loss of 8 yards to the Oregn 34Similar
Q2 6:33
2ND & 18
OWN 34
-3
62.0%
Tony Brooks-James run for a loss of 3 yards to the Oregn 31Similar
Q2 6:33
3RD & 21
OWN 31
0
62.9%
Dakota Prukop pass incomplete to Tony Brooks-JamesSimilar
Q2 6:33
4TH & 21
OWN 31
+24
63.3%
Ian Wheeler punt for 39 yds OREGON Penalty, kick catching interference (-15 Yards) to the WshSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 10TD
10 plays · 55 yds · 4:4465% → 78%
Q2 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
65.1%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Tavares Martin Jr.Similar
Q2 5:28
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+7
64.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 7 yds to the Oregn 48Similar
Q2 5:28
3RD & 3
OPP 48
+8
64.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 8 yds to the Oregn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:28
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
65.4%
Jamal Morrow run for 4 yds to the Oregn 36Similar
Q2 5:28
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+6
65.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack for 6 yds to the Oregn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:28
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+13
65.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 13 yds to the Oregn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:28
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
65.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to James Williams for 5 yds to the Oregn 12Similar
Q2 5:28
2ND & 5
OPP 12
-6
65.6%
Luke Falk sacked by Rex Manu for a loss of 6 yards to the Oregn 18Similar
Q2 5:28
3RD & 11
OPP 18
+16
64.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 16 yds to the Oregn 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
78.0%
Gerard Wicks run for 2 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 11INT
12 plays · 41 yds · 0:2125% → 24%
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+21
75.4%
Tony Brooks-James run for 21 yds to the Oregn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
76.5%
Kani Benoit run for 2 yds to the Oregn 40Similar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 8
OWN 40
0
76.4%
Dakota Prukop pass incomplete to Charles NelsonSimilar
Q2 0:25
3RD & 8
OWN 40
+9
76.8%
Kani Benoit run for 9 yds to the Oregn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
77.1%
Dakota Prukop pass incomplete to Dwayne StanfordSimilar
Q2 0:16
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+9
77.7%
Dakota Prukop run for 9 yds to the WshSt 42Similar
Q2 0:16
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+17
75.9%
Dakota Prukop pass intercepted Isaac Dotson return for 17 yds to the WshSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 12MISSED FG
12 plays · 82 yds · 3:2378% → 80%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+44
77.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 44 yds to the Oregn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
78.7%
Gerard Wicks run for 6 yds to the Oregn 37Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+9
78.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to C.J. Dimry for 9 yds to the Oregn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-5
78.7%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, false start (Cole Madison) to the Oregn 33Similar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 15
OPP 33
+10
78.6%
Luke Falk run for 10 yds to the Oregn 23Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 5
OPP 23
0
78.7%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to River CracraftSimilar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 5
OPP 23
+13
78.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 13 yds to the Oregn 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
78.7%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Gerard WicksSimilar
Q3 14:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
78.7%
James Williams run for 5 yds to the Oregn 5Similar
Q3 14:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
78.1%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Gabe MarksSimilar
Q3 11:33
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
80.0%
Erik Powell 22 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by T.J. DanielSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 13FUMBLE
4 plays · 31 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q3 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
79.5%
Royce Freeman run for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 19Similar
Q3 11:33
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+1
79.9%
Royce Freeman run for 1 yd to the Oregn 20Similar
Q3 11:33
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+14
80.1%
Dakota Prukop pass complete to Charles Nelson for 14 yds to the Oregn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+25
78.7%
Dakota Prukop pass complete to Dwayne Stanford for 17 yds Dwayne Stanford fumbled, forced by Darrien Molton, recovered by WshSt Robert Taylor , return for 25 yds to the Oregn 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 14DOWNS
7 plays · 23 yds · 0:0082% → 81%
Q3 10:17
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+11
82.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 11 yds to the Oregn 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:17
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+7
82.4%
Jamal Morrow run for 7 yds to the Oregn 8Similar
Q3 10:17
2ND & 3
OPP 8
+4
82.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gerard Wicks for 4 yds to the Oregn 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
82.4%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to John ThompsonSimilar
Q3 10:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
82.4%
Gerard Wicks run for 1 yd to the Oregn 3Similar
Q3 10:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
81.8%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Tavares Martin Jr., broken up by Arrion SpringsSimilar
Q3 10:17
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
0
80.8%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Kyle SweetSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 15SF
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:3317% → 15%
Q3 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+1
82.6%
Royce Freeman run for 1 yd to the Oregn 4Similar
Q3 7:31
2ND & 9
OWN 4
0
85.0%
Team SafetySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 16PUNT
9 plays · 29 yds · 0:0088% → 87%
Q3 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
87.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 9 yds to the WshSt 40Similar
Q3 7:25
2ND & 1
OWN 40
+14
88.2%
James Williams run for 14 yds to the Oregn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:25
2ND & 12
OPP 48
+17
88.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to James Williams for 17 yds to the Oregn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-10
88.4%
Williams, James rush for 5 yards to the ORE26 (Hotchkins, A.J.), PENALTY WSU holding (Dillard, Andre) 10 yards to the ORE41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:25
1ST & 20
OPP 41
+6
88.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 6 yds to the Oregn 35Similar
Q3 7:25
2ND & 14
OPP 35
+5
88.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 5 yds to the Oregn 30Similar
Q3 7:25
3RD & 9
OPP 30
-10
88.0%
Luke Falk sacked by Justin Hollins for a loss of 10 yards to the Oregn 40Similar
Q3 7:25
4TH & 19
OPP 40
0
86.5%
Zach Charme punt for 22 yds, fair catch by Darren Carrington II at the Oregn 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 17TD
2 plays · 82 yds · 0:3412% → 22%
Q3 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+7
88.1%
Charles Nelson run for 7 yds to the Oregn 25Similar
Q3 3:02
2ND & 3
OWN 25
+75
77.7%
Royce Freeman run for 75 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 18TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:5980% → 95%
Q3 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
79.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to James Williams for 1 yd to the WshSt 26Similar
Q3 3:02
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+12
79.4%
James Williams run for 12 yds to the WshSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
80.8%
James Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 37Similar
Q3 3:02
2ND & 11
OWN 37
+13
79.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:02
1ST & 10
50
+7
81.2%
Gerard Wicks run for 7 yds to the Oregn 43Similar
Q3 3:02
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+5
81.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 5 yds to the Oregn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
81.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack for 9 yds to the Oregn 29Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 29
-1
84.5%
Jamal Morrow run for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 30Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 30
+9
83.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 9 yds to the Oregn 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
84.5%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Isaiah Johnson-MackSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+7
84.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to John Thompson for 7 yds to the Oregn 14Similar
Q4 13:03
3RD & 3
OPP 14
+14
95.2%
Jamal Morrow run for 14 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q4 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
94.2%
Dakota Prukop run for 3 yds to the Oregn 28Similar
Q4 13:03
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+7
94.0%
Royce Freeman run for 7 yds to the Oregn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
93.9%
Dakota Prukop pass incomplete to Charles NelsonSimilar
Q4 13:03
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+6
94.0%
Royce Freeman run for 6 yds to the Oregn 41Similar
Q4 13:03
3RD & 4
OWN 41
-2
94.0%
Dakota Prukop pass complete to Charles Nelson for a loss of 2 yards to the Oregn 39Similar
Q4 13:03
4TH & 6
OWN 39
0
94.2%
Ian Wheeler punt for 43 yds, downed at the WshSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 20TD
6 plays · 82 yds · 2:2396% → 99%
Q4 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
95.5%
James Williams run for 4 yds to the WshSt 22Similar
Q4 10:40
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+12
95.6%
James Williams run for 12 yds to the WshSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
95.7%
Jamal Morrow run for 8 yds to the WshSt 42Similar
Q4 10:40
2ND & 2
OWN 42
+15
95.9%
Falk, Luke pass incomplete to Johnson-Mack, I, PENALTY ORE pass interference (Springs, Arrion) 15 yards to the ORE43, 1ST DOWN WSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
96.0%
Jamal Morrow run for 5 yds to the Oregn 38Similar
Q4 8:17
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+38
99.0%
James Williams run for 38 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 22TD
10 plays · 83 yds · 5:0497% → 100%
Q4 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
97.2%
James Williams run for 3 yds to the WshSt 20Similar
Q4 7:58
2ND & 7
OWN 20
+10
97.1%
Jamal Morrow run for 10 yds to the WshSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
97.2%
Jamal Morrow run for 4 yds to the WshSt 34Similar
Q4 7:58
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+11
97.2%
Jamal Morrow run for 11 yds to the WshSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+11
97.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gerard Wicks for 11 yds to the Oregn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:58
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
97.4%
Gerard Wicks run for 4 yds to the Oregn 40Similar
Q4 7:58
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+2
97.4%
Gerard Wicks run for 2 yds to the Oregn 38Similar
Q4 7:58
3RD & 4
OPP 38
+35
97.3%
Jamal Morrow run for 35 yds to the Oregn 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.8%
James Williams run for 3 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 23TD
9 plays · 85 yds · 2:010% → 2%
Q4 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
99.7%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Kani Benoit for no gain to the Oregn 15Similar
Q4 2:47
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+63
99.7%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Jacob Breeland for 63 yds to the WshSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:47
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
99.6%
Justin Herbert pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:47
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+8
99.7%
Tony Brooks-James run for 8 yds to the WshSt 14Similar
Q4 2:47
3RD & 2
OPP 14
+3
99.7%
Tony Brooks-James run for 3 yds to the WshSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:47
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+7
99.6%
Justin Herbert pass complete to Jacob Breeland for 7 yds to the WshSt 4Similar
Q4 2:47
2ND & 3
OPP 4
0
99.6%
Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Tony Brooks-JamesSimilar
Q4 0:46
3RD & 3
OPP 4
+4
98.0%
Justin Herbert run for 4 yds for a TD, (Aidan Schneider KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 24END OF GAME
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
98.9%
James Williams run for a loss of 4 yards to the WshSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:44
Gerard Wicks run for 2 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)
+13.5
TD · Q4 13:03
Jamal Morrow run for 14 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)
+10.7
TD · Q3 3:02
Royce Freeman run for 75 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-10.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com