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UTAH

Utah 23 at California 28

CAL
2016 · Week 5 · Oct 1, 2016 · California Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · CAL
modelCAL aheadUTAH aheadconfidence bandkey playCAL scoreUTAH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameTD-25.8CAL 63.6%Zack Moss run for 1 yd for a TD,(Two-Point Conversion failed )AWAY 23 - HOME 28 · Q4 6:41
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 6:41 · Zack Moss run for 1 yd for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+21.5+10.80−10.8−21.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 159Home team on offense+3.2Pregame prior+0.5Garbage-time factor+2.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.5Score differential+0.3Blowout margin+1.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:00: Armand Shyne run for 4 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK) — UTAH win probability +13.7 pts (now 42%) (top driver: Scoring-chance index: 65%).
  2. TD · Q3 4:05: Armand Shyne run for 1 yd for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK) — UTAH win probability +18.0 pts (now 59%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 1:24: Davis Webb pass complete to Chad Hansen for 24 yds for a TD, (Matt Anderson KICK) — CAL win probability +18.0 pts (now 72%) (top driver: CAL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:03: Davis Webb pass complete to Demetris Robertson for 56 yds for a TD, (Matt Anderson KICK) — CAL win probability +20.7 pts (now 91%) (top driver: CAL has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:41: Zack Moss run for 1 yd for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — UTAH win probability +25.8 pts (now 36%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CAL made the numbers' call on 5 of 5UTAH made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 10:50UTAH 4th & 1 at UTAH 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    41.4%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:49UTAH 4th & 11 at CAL 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.3%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:41CAL 4th & 9 at UTAH 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.3%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    60.1%−0.3
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    60.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:41UTAH 4th & 15 at UTAH 15, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.2%−0.5
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:55UTAH 4th & 4 at CAL 22, down 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 32.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.4%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.2%−0.2
    72% to make
    Punt
    27.3%−5.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:08CAL 4th & 11 at UTAH 49, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.1%−0.8
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:00UTAH 4th & 1 at UTAH 43, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    30.3%−1.0
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:10UTAH 4th & 1 at CAL 19, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 28.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    27.7%−1.3
    77% to make
    Punt
    24.1%−4.9
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:34UTAH 4th & 4 at CAL 30, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 39.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.6%−0.3
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.9%
    56% to make
    Punt
    37.8%−2.0
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:07CAL 4th & 5 at CAL 35, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.1%−0.6
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:30UTAH 4th & 9 at CAL 49, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.4%−0.8
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:28CAL 4th & 4 at CAL 11, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.9%−0.5
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.4%
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:30UTAH 4th & 2 at CAL 25, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 35.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    34.1%−2.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    22.9%−13.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:47UTAH 4th & 1 at CAL 10, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 35.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    31.3%−4.3
    88% to make
    Punt
    18.0%−17.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:21CAL 4th & 24 at CAL 17, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.6%−8.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CAL made the numbers' call on 4 of 4UTAH made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 13:40CAL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:08CAL Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:00UTAH Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 4:05UTAH Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.4%−0.3
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 1:24CAL Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 9:03CAL Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 6:41UTAH Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    20.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    20.3%−0.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CALDrive 1TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:1055% → 55%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
54.6%
Davis Webb pass complete to Demetris Robertson for 8 yds to the Cal 33Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+13
54.6%
Davis Webb pass complete to Raymond Hudson for 13 yds to the Cal 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
54.7%
UTAH Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Utah 49Similar
Q1 14:10
1ST & 5
OPP 49
0
54.7%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Brandon SingletonSimilar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+9
54.8%
Tre Watson run for 9 yds to the Utah 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+40
55.3%
Davis Webb pass complete to Chad Hansen for 40 yds for a TD, (Matt Anderson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 2PUNT
11 plays · 26 yds · 4:4645% → 42%
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
55.2%
Troy Williams pass complete to Tim Patrick for 9 yds to the Utah 34Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+5
55.3%
Zack Moss run for 5 yds to the Utah 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
55.6%
Zack Moss run for 4 yds to the Utah 43Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+3
55.7%
Troy McCormick run for 3 yds to the Utah 46Similar
Q1 11:30
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+2
55.9%
Armand Shyne run for 2 yds to the Utah 48Similar
Q1 10:50
4TH & 1
OWN 48
+4
56.2%
Armand Shyne run for 4 yds to the Cal 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-6
56.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 6 yards to the Utah 46Similar
Q1 9:35
2ND & 16
OWN 46
+5
56.8%
Troy Williams pass complete to Demari Simpkins for 5 yds to the Cal 49Similar
Q1 9:00
3RD & 11
OPP 49
0
57.0%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Evan MoeaiSimilar
Q1 8:49
4TH & 11
OPP 49
0
57.6%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Vic Wharton III at the Cal 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 45 yds · 2:0458% → 58%
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+21
57.5%
Davis Webb pass complete to Melquise Stovall for 21 yds to the Cal 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
57.8%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Chad HansenSimilar
Q1 8:15
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+1
57.9%
Vic Enwere run for 1 yd to the Cal 32Similar
Q1 7:45
3RD & 9
OWN 32
+9
57.7%
Davis Webb pass complete to Vic Wharton III for 9 yds to the Cal 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+13
58.6%
Vic Enwere run for 13 yds to the Utah 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
58.9%
Vic Enwere run for 1 yd to the Utah 45Similar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 9
OPP 45
0
59.0%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Jordan VeasySimilar
Q1 6:55
3RD & 9
OPP 45
0
58.7%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Chad HansenSimilar
Q1 6:41
4TH & 9
OPP 45
0
58.3%
Dylan Klumph punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:2441% → 41%
Q1 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
58.6%
Troy McCormick run for a loss of 5 yards to the Utah 15Similar
Q1 5:55
2ND & 15
OWN 15
0
58.8%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Tim PatrickSimilar
Q1 5:49
3RD & 15
OWN 15
0
59.2%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Raelon SingletonSimilar
Q1 5:41
4TH & 15
OWN 15
0
59.5%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Bug Rivera at the Cal 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 5TD
4 plays · 59 yds · 1:2260% → 65%
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
59.7%
Davis Webb pass complete to Tre Watson for 3 yds to the Cal 44Similar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+6
60.1%
Tre Watson run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 4:30
3RD & 1
50
+11
60.1%
Tre Watson run for 11 yds to the Utah 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+39
65.3%
Davis Webb pass complete to Demetris Robertson for 39 yds for a TD, (Matt Anderson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 6FG
12 plays · 53 yds · 4:1037% → 38%
Q1 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
63.4%
Troy Williams pass complete to Tim Patrick for 22 yds to the Utah 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
63.8%
Troy Williams pass complete to Armand Shyne for 4 yds to the Cal 49Similar
Q1 2:41
2ND & 6
OPP 49
0
64.0%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Tyrone SmithSimilar
Q1 2:20
3RD & 6
OPP 49
+8
63.8%
Troy Williams pass complete to Tyrone Smith for 8 yds to the Cal 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
63.8%
Troy McCormick run for 3 yds to the Cal 38Similar
Q1 1:22
2ND & 7
OPP 38
0
64.3%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Demari SimpkinsSimilar
Q1 1:16
3RD & 7
OPP 38
+10
64.5%
Armand Shyne run for 10 yds to the Cal 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
64.0%
Armand Shyne run for 3 yds to the Cal 25Similar
Q1 0:09
2ND & 7
OPP 25
0
64.3%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Troy McCormickSimilar
Q1 0:02
3RD & 7
OPP 25
+3
65.3%
Troy Williams pass complete to Troy McCormick for 3 yds to the Cal 22Similar
Q2 14:55
4TH & 4
OPP 22
+40
62.5%
Andy Phillips 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 7PUNT
11 plays · 16 yds · 3:4263% → 67%
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
63.3%
Vic Enwere run for 2 yds to the Cal 37Similar
Q2 14:00
2ND & 8
OWN 37
-6
63.9%
Davis Webb pass complete to Demetris Robertson for a loss of 6 yards to the Cal 31Similar
Q2 13:35
3RD & 14
OWN 31
+21
64.3%
Davis Webb pass complete to Chad Hansen for 21 yds to the Utah 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
66.5%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Brandon SingletonSimilar
Q2 13:05
2ND & 10
OPP 48
-10
66.5%
Webb, Davis pass complete to Hudson, Raymond for 20 yards to the UTAH28, PENALTY CALIFORNIA holding (Mekari, Patrick) 10 yards to the CALIFORNIA42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:35
2ND & 20
OWN 42
-5
66.1%
CALIFORNIA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Cal 37Similar
Q2 12:10
2ND & 25
OWN 37
+4
65.9%
Davis Webb pass complete to Brandon Singleton for 4 yds to the Cal 41Similar
Q2 11:45
3RD & 21
OWN 41
+10
65.8%
Davis Webb pass complete to Chad Hansen for 10 yds to the Utah 49Similar
Q2 11:08
4TH & 11
OPP 49
+43
67.2%
Dylan Klumph punt for 43 yds , Boobie Hobbs returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 8TD
21 plays · 95 yds · 9:0532% → 42%
Q2 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+6
67.7%
Zack Moss run for 6 yds to the Utah 11Similar
Q2 10:35
2ND & 4
OWN 11
+7
67.6%
Zack Moss run for 7 yds to the Utah 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+8
68.0%
Troy Williams pass complete to Tim Patrick for 8 yds to the Utah 26Similar
Q2 9:15
2ND & 2
OWN 26
+8
67.7%
Troy Williams pass complete to Kyle Fulks for 8 yds to the Utah 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
68.1%
Armand Shyne run for 9 yds to the Utah 43Similar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 1
OWN 43
0
67.5%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Kyle FulksSimilar
Q2 8:25
3RD & 1
OWN 43
0
67.6%
Armand Shyne run for no gain to the Utah 43Similar
Q2 8:00
4TH & 1
OWN 43
+4
69.1%
Zack Moss run for 4 yds to the Utah 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
68.1%
Troy Williams pass complete to Tim Patrick for 5 yds to the Cal 48Similar
Q2 7:10
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+6
68.1%
Zack Moss run for 6 yds to the Cal 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
68.4%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Tyrone SmithSimilar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+14
68.8%
Troy Williams pass complete to Raelon Singleton for 14 yds to the Cal 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:43
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
67.7%
Troy Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:35
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+7
68.1%
Troy McCormick run for 7 yds to the Cal 21Similar
Q2 5:00
3RD & 3
OPP 21
+2
68.9%
Armand Shyne run for 2 yds to the Cal 19Similar
Q2 4:10
4TH & 1
OPP 19
+6
71.6%
Armand Shyne run for 6 yds to the Cal 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+7
70.2%
Armand Shyne run for 7 yds to the Cal 6Similar
Q2 3:15
2ND & 3
OPP 6
-5
70.5%
Zack Moss run for a loss of 5 yards to the Cal 11Similar
Q2 2:31
3RD & 8
OPP 11
+6
72.2%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Raelon Singleton for a 1ST down CALIFORNIA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Cameron Saffle) to the Cal 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
71.4%
Troy Williams run for 1 yd to the Cal 4Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
57.8%
Armand Shyne run for 4 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 9INT
5 plays · -8 yds · 0:4263% → 61%
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-3
62.5%
Davis Webb pass complete to Vic Wharton III for a loss of 3 yards to the Cal 21Similar
Q2 1:15
2ND & 13
OWN 21
0
62.2%
Davis Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:10
3RD & 13
OWN 21
-5
61.3%
CALIFORNIA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Cal 16Similar
Q2 1:03
3RD & 18
OWN 16
0
61.3%
Davis Webb pass intercepted Brian Allen return for no gain to the Cal 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 10MISSED FG
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:2241% → 37%
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+12
59.4%
Troy Williams pass complete to Evan Moeai for 12 yds to the Cal 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
59.2%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Tyrone SmithSimilar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+6
59.3%
Troy Williams pass complete to Kyle Fulks for 6 yds to the Cal 30Similar
Q2 0:42
3RD & 4
OPP 30
0
61.8%
Troy Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:34
4TH & 4
OPP 30
+48
63.3%
Andy Phillips 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:2164% → 63%
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
64.0%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Demetris RobertsonSimilar
Q2 0:24
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
63.6%
Davis Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:21
3RD & 10
OWN 30
+5
62.7%
Davis Webb pass complete to Melquise Stovall for 5 yds to the Cal 35Similar
Q2 0:07
4TH & 5
OWN 35
+11
62.6%
Dylan Klumph punt for 37 yds , Boobie Hobbs returns for 11 yds to the Utah 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0035% → 35%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-1
65.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 13PUNT
9 plays · 26 yds · 3:2039% → 38%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
61.4%
Zack Moss run for 5 yds to the Utah 30Similar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+8
60.6%
Zack Moss run for 8 yds to the Utah 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
60.3%
Troy Williams pass complete to Raelon Singleton for 5 yds to the Utah 43Similar
Q3 13:05
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+7
58.5%
Armand Shyne run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:35
1ST & 10
50
+4
58.0%
Armand Shyne run for 4 yds to the Cal 46Similar
Q3 12:12
2ND & 6
OPP 46
0
58.1%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Tyrone SmithSimilar
Q3 12:05
3RD & 6
OPP 46
-3
58.5%
Armand Shyne run for a loss of 3 yards to the Cal 49Similar
Q3 11:30
4TH & 9
OPP 49
0
62.3%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 44 yds, downed at the Cal 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:4762% → 63%
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+5
61.8%
Davis Webb pass complete to Melquise Stovall for 5 yds to the Cal 10Similar
Q3 11:10
2ND & 5
OWN 10
+1
61.8%
Vic Enwere run for 1 yd to the Cal 11Similar
Q3 10:40
3RD & 4
OWN 11
0
63.8%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Melquise StovallSimilar
Q3 10:28
4TH & 4
OWN 11
+8
63.2%
Dylan Klumph punt for 46 yds , Boobie Hobbs returns for 8 yds to the Cal 49 UTAH Penalty, Illegal Block (Hayden Clegg) to the Utah 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 15TD
13 plays · 59 yds · 6:2038% → 59%
Q3 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
61.9%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Evan Moeai, broken up by Luke RubenzerSimilar
Q3 10:19
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
62.5%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Siaosi WilsonSimilar
Q3 10:10
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+13
63.8%
Troy Williams pass complete to Demari Simpkins for 13 yds to the Cal 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
60.3%
Zack Moss run for 4 yds to the Cal 42Similar
Q3 8:50
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+6
60.4%
Troy Williams pass complete to Tyler Cooperwood for 6 yds to the Cal 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
60.4%
Armand Shyne run for 6 yds to the Cal 30Similar
Q3 7:15
2ND & 4
OPP 30
+10
58.9%
Armand Shyne run for 10 yds to the Cal 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
58.9%
Zack Moss run for 2 yds to the Cal 18Similar
Q3 6:40
2ND & 8
OPP 18
+7
58.9%
Troy Williams pass complete to Raelon Singleton for 7 yds to the Cal 11Similar
Q3 6:00
3RD & 1
OPP 11
+3
60.5%
Armand Shyne run for 3 yds to the Cal 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
59.0%
Armand Shyne run for 6 yds to the Cal 2Similar
Q3 4:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
58.6%
Armand Shyne run for 1 yd to the Cal 1Similar
Q3 4:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
40.6%
Armand Shyne run for 1 yd for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 16TD
11 plays · 74 yds · 2:3647% → 72%
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
47.1%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Brandon SingletonSimilar
Q3 3:55
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+15
46.5%
Webb, Davis pass incomplete to Hansen, Chad, PENALTY UTAH pass interference (Hatfield, Dominique) 15 yards to the CALIFORNIA41, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CALIFORNIA.Similar
Q3 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
50.4%
Davis Webb pass complete to Tre Watson for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 3:10
2ND & 1
50
+3
51.6%
Davis Webb pass complete to Chad Hansen for 3 yds to the Utah 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+11
51.7%
Tre Watson run for 11 yds to the Utah 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+11
51.8%
Davis Webb pass complete to Tre Watson for 11 yds to the Utah 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-5
54.1%
CALIFORNIA Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the Utah 30Similar
Q3 2:00
1ST & 15
OPP 30
+6
53.1%
Vic Enwere run for 6 yds to the Utah 24Similar
Q3 1:45
2ND & 9
OPP 24
0
53.8%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Jordan VeasySimilar
Q3 1:24
3RD & 9
OPP 24
+24
71.8%
Davis Webb pass complete to Chad Hansen for 24 yds for a TD, (Matt Anderson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 17DOWNS
13 plays · 63 yds · 5:2334% → 37%
Q3 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
65.6%
Troy Williams pass complete to Raelon Singleton for 6 yds to the Utah 32Similar
Q3 1:00
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+1
63.8%
Zack Moss run for 1 yd to the Utah 33Similar
Q3 0:01
3RD & 3
OWN 33
+4
65.6%
Troy Williams pass complete to Evan Moeai for 4 yds to the Utah 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+30
64.7%
Troy Williams pass complete to Raelon Singleton for 30 yds to the Cal 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
59.6%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Siaosi WilsonSimilar
Q4 14:16
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
59.8%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Demari SimpkinsSimilar
Q4 14:00
3RD & 10
OPP 33
+8
62.0%
Troy McCormick run for 8 yds to the Cal 25Similar
Q4 13:30
4TH & 2
OPP 25
+6
63.2%
Armand Shyne run for 6 yds to the Cal 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-2
59.2%
Armand Shyne run for a loss of 2 yards to the Cal 21Similar
Q4 12:05
2ND & 12
OPP 21
+8
60.1%
Troy Williams pass complete to Siaosi Wilson for 8 yds to the Cal 13Similar
Q4 11:21
3RD & 4
OPP 13
+3
61.3%
Zack Moss run for 3 yds to the Cal 10Similar
Q4 10:47
4TH & 1
OPP 10
-1
63.5%
Zack Moss run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cal 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 18TD
6 plays · 89 yds · 1:2770% → 91%
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+5
70.1%
Vic Enwere run for 5 yds to the Cal 16Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 5
OWN 16
-1
70.1%
Vic Enwere run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cal 15Similar
Q4 9:35
3RD & 6
OWN 15
+6
68.3%
Davis Webb pass complete to Melquise Stovall for 6 yds to the Cal 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
70.6%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Chad HansenSimilar
Q4 9:15
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+23
70.3%
Davis Webb pass complete to Vic Wharton III for 23 yds to the Cal 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+56
91.0%
Davis Webb pass complete to Demetris Robertson for 56 yds for a TD, (Matt Anderson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 19TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:1410% → 36%
Q4 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
90.0%
Troy Williams pass complete to Raelon Singleton for 21 yds to the Utah 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
88.4%
Armand Shyne run for 1 yd to the Utah 47Similar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+5
88.3%
Troy Williams run for 5 yds to the Cal 48Similar
Q4 7:00
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+12
89.4%
Troy Williams pass complete to Demari Simpkins for 12 yds to the Cal 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
63.6%
Zack Moss run for 1 yd for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · -14 yds · 2:0983% → 82%
Q4 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-10
83.0%
CALIFORNIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Raymond Hudson) to the Cal 21Similar
Q4 6:00
1ST & 20
OWN 21
+5
82.5%
Davis Webb pass complete to Melquise Stovall for 5 yds to the Cal 26Similar
Q4 5:35
2ND & 15
OWN 26
-12
83.1%
Davis Webb sacked by Pita Taumoepenu for a loss of 12 yards to the Cal 14Similar
Q4 5:00
3RD & 27
OWN 14
+3
82.3%
Vic Enwere run for 3 yds to the Cal 17Similar
Q4 4:21
4TH & 24
OWN 17
+3
81.5%
Dylan Klumph punt for 50 yds, Boobie Hobbs returns for 3 yds to the Utah 34 for a 1ST down CALIFORNIA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the Cal 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 21END OF GAME
16 plays · 48 yds · 4:2033% → 17%
Q4 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
67.5%
Troy Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:00
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+15
69.4%
Troy Williams pass complete to Raelon Singleton for 15 yds to the Cal 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
67.4%
Armand Shyne run for 6 yds to the Cal 28Similar
Q4 3:06
2ND & 4
OPP 28
+6
66.0%
Armand Shyne run for 6 yds to the Cal 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+13
66.7%
Zack Moss run for 13 yds to the Cal 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
66.3%
Zack Moss run for 2 yds to the Cal 7Similar
Q4 1:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
66.2%
Armand Shyne run for no gain to the Cal 7Similar
Q4 0:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
-4
69.7%
Troy Williams sacked by Cameron Saffle and Devante Downs for a loss of 4 yards to the Cal 11Similar
Q4 0:14
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+9
81.7%
Williams, Troy pass incomplete to Singleton, Raelon, PENALTY CALIFORNIA pass interference (Franklin Jr., Marloshawn) 9 yards to the CALIFORNIA2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UTAH.Similar
Q4 0:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
77.1%
Zack Moss run for 1 yd to the Cal 1Similar
Q4 0:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
79.8%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Evan MoeaiSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
83.4%
Zack Moss run for no gain to the Cal 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 6:41
Zack Moss run for 1 yd for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-25.8
TD · Q4 9:03
Davis Webb pass complete to Demetris Robertson for 56 yds for a TD, (Matt Anderson KICK)
+20.7
TD · Q3 4:05
Armand Shyne run for 1 yd for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)
-18
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com