Try the model
STAN

Stanford 6 at Washington 44

WASH
2016 · Week 5 · Sep 30, 2016 · Husky Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · WASH
modelWASH aheadSTAN aheadconfidence bandkey playWASH scoreSTAN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 4:35 · Tristan Vizcaino punt for 46 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 100Home team on offense+32.7Score differential+27.0Pregame prior+4.2Garbage-time factor+11.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.3Blowout margin+10.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:52: Myles Gaskin run for 4 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK) — WASH win probability +5.7 pts (now 72%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 8:52: Cameron Van Winkle 18 yd FG GOOD — WASH win probability +1.7 pts (now 81%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 3:46: Jake Browning pass complete to John Ross for 19 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK) — WASH win probability +7.3 pts (now 92%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 11:56: Myles Gaskin run for 8 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK) — WASH win probability +4.8 pts (now 99%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:24: Ryan Burns pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 19 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — STAN win probability +1.7 pts (now 2%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WASH made the numbers' call on 1 of 3STAN made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 12:24STAN 4th & 17 at STAN 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.0%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:21STAN 4th & 4 at STAN 36, down 6
    Close callPunted · 36.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:08STAN 4th & 2 at WASH 35, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 29.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    28.7%−0.7
    45% to make
    Punt
    28.4%−1.0
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:52WASH 4th & 1 at STAN 1, up 13
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.0 ptsKicked a field goal · 76.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.6%
    59% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.6%−3.0
    94% to make
    Punt
    65.0%−10.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:55STAN 4th & 14 at STAN 30, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.3%−1.3
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:00STAN 4th & 22 at WASH 43, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.5%−1.4
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    8.2%−0.7
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    8.9%
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:27WASH 4th & 4 at WASH 28, up 23
    Close callPunted · 92.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.3%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:13STAN 4th & 2 at WASH 8, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.9%
    54% to convert
    Field goal
    1.8%−0.1
    90% to make
    Punt
    1.4%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:35WASH 4th & 9 at STAN 46, up 30
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    99.4%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:49STAN 4th & 10 at WASH 48, down 30
    Close callWent for it · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:08STAN 4th & 2 at WASH 26, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%−0.1
    64% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 4:34STAN 4th & 21 at STAN 14, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WASH made the numbers' call on 6 of 6STAN made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q1 9:18WASH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    62.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:52WASH Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:46WASH Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 11:56WASH Touchdown, up 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 0:24STAN Touchdown, down 24 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    2.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    2.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 5:30WASH Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 1:38WASH Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
STANDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 2:3037% → 37%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+20
63.2%
Ryan Burns pass complete to Michael Rector for 5 yds to the Stanf 26 for a 1ST down WASHINGTON Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Connor O'Brien) to the Stanf 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
63.1%
Ryan Burns sacked by Connor O'Brien for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 40Similar
Q1 13:52
2ND & 11
OWN 40
0
63.1%
Christian McCaffrey run for no gain to the Stanf 40Similar
Q1 13:21
3RD & 11
OWN 40
-6
63.1%
Ryan Burns sacked by Psalm Wooching for a loss of 6 yards to the Stanf 34Similar
Q1 12:24
4TH & 17
OWN 34
+11
63.3%
Jake Bailey punt for 41 yds , Dante Pettis returns for 11 yds to the Wash 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 2TD
8 plays · 64 yds · 3:0663% → 65%
Q1 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
63.2%
Jake Browning pass complete to Chico McClatcher for 9 yds to the Wash 45Similar
Q1 11:51
2ND & 1
OWN 45
-5
63.4%
WASHINGTON Penalty, Illegal Motion (John Ross) to the Wash 40Similar
Q1 11:24
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+16
63.3%
Jake Browning pass complete to John Ross for 16 yds to the Stanf 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:59
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
63.5%
Chico McClatcher run for 2 yds to the Stanf 42Similar
Q1 10:29
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+35
63.6%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 35 yds to the Stanf 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
63.7%
Jomon Dotson run for 4 yds to the Stanf 3Similar
Q1 9:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
63.8%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to John RossSimilar
Q1 9:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
65.1%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 3 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:5136% → 35%
Q1 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+9
64.4%
Christian McCaffrey run for 9 yds to the Stanf 25Similar
Q1 8:36
2ND & 1
OWN 25
+5
64.2%
Ryan Burns pass complete to Dalton Schultz for 5 yds to the Stanf 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
64.6%
Christian McCaffrey run for 3 yds to the Stanf 33Similar
Q1 7:16
2ND & 7
OWN 33
0
64.5%
Ryan Burns pass incomplete to Bryce LoveSimilar
Q1 7:06
3RD & 7
OWN 33
+3
64.9%
Ryan Burns run for 3 yds to the Stanf 36Similar
Q1 6:21
4TH & 4
OWN 36
0
65.1%
Jake Bailey punt for 19 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wash 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 4TD
5 plays · 55 yds · 2:2966% → 72%
Q1 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+28
65.9%
Jake Browning pass complete to John Ross for 28 yds to the Stanf 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
66.2%
Myles Gaskin run for 3 yds to the Stanf 24Similar
Q1 5:11
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+3
66.4%
Myles Gaskin run for 3 yds to the Stanf 21Similar
Q1 4:46
3RD & 4
OPP 21
+17
66.3%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 17 yds to the Stanf 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
72.0%
Myles Gaskin run for 4 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 5DOWNS
14 plays · 52 yds · 5:3830% → 27%
Q1 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
70.1%
Christian McCaffrey run for 1 yd to the Stanf 11Similar
Q1 3:08
2ND & 9
OWN 11
-5
71.1%
STANFORD Penalty, False Start (A.T. Hall) to the Stanf 6Similar
Q1 2:46
2ND & 14
OWN 6
+15
71.4%
Keller Chryst pass complete to Dalton Schultz for 15 yds to the Stanf 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
70.6%
Christian McCaffrey run for 4 yds to the Stanf 25Similar
Q1 1:17
2ND & 6
OWN 25
-4
70.9%
Taijuan Thomas run for a loss of 4 yards to the Stanf 21Similar
Q1 0:46
3RD & 10
OWN 21
+15
71.6%
WASHINGTON Penalty, Roughing Passer (Connor O'Brien) to the Stanf 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
71.1%
Christian McCaffrey run for 3 yds to the Stanf 39Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+18
71.3%
Bryce Love run for 3 yds to the Wash 42 for a 1ST down WASHINGTON Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Joe Mathis) to the Wash 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
70.8%
Keller Chryst pass complete to Christian McCaffrey for 2 yds to the Wash 41Similar
Q2 14:31
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+5
70.9%
Christian McCaffrey run for 5 yds to the Wash 36Similar
Q2 13:49
3RD & 3
OPP 36
+1
71.3%
Keller Chryst run for 1 yd to the Wash 35Similar
Q2 13:08
4TH & 2
OPP 35
-3
73.1%
Keller Chryst sacked by Joe Mathis for a loss of 3 yards to the Wash 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 6FG
10 plays · 61 yds · 3:4477% → 81%
Q2 12:36
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+19
77.0%
Jake Browning pass complete to John Ross for 19 yds to the Stanf 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
77.7%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Chico McClatcherSimilar
Q2 11:47
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+9
77.9%
Lavon Coleman run for 9 yds to the Stanf 33Similar
Q2 11:21
3RD & 1
OPP 33
+13
78.0%
Myles Gaskin run for 13 yds to the Stanf 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+9
78.8%
Jake Browning pass complete to Andre Baccellia for 9 yds to the Stanf 11Similar
Q2 10:19
2ND & 1
OPP 11
+7
79.0%
Lavon Coleman run for 7 yds to the Stanf 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
79.3%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to John RossSimilar
Q2 9:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
79.4%
Lavon Coleman run for 3 yds to the Stanf 1Similar
Q2 9:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
79.4%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Psalm WoochingSimilar
Q2 8:52
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+18
81.1%
Cameron Van Winkle 18 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 7FUMBLE
6 plays · -4 yds · 2:5722% → 20%
Q2 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
77.7%
Christian McCaffrey run for 2 yds to the Stanf 36Similar
Q2 7:59
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+6
78.0%
Ryan Burns pass complete to Michael Rector for 6 yds to the Stanf 42Similar
Q2 7:16
3RD & 2
OWN 42
-7
77.8%
Ryan Burns sacked by Joe Mathis for a loss of 7 yards to the Stanf 35Similar
Q2 6:34
4TH & 9
OWN 35
-5
79.6%
STANFORD Penalty, Delay of Game (Jake Bailey) to the Stanf 30Similar
Q2 5:55
4TH & 14
OWN 30
0
80.3%
Jake Bailey punt for 54 yds , Dante Pettis returns for no gain to the Wash 30 Dante Pettis fumbled, recovered by Wash Dante Pettis , return for 9 yds to the Wash 39 STANFORD Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Wash 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 8TD
6 plays · 70 yds · 2:0983% → 92%
Q2 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
82.8%
Jomon Dotson run for 4 yds to the Wash 34Similar
Q2 5:19
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+1
83.2%
Jomon Dotson run for 1 yd to the Wash 35Similar
Q2 4:57
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+15
83.0%
Browning, Jake pass incomplete to Ross, John, PENALTY STANFORD pass interference (Murphy, Alameen) 15 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WASHINGTON.Similar
Q2 4:36
1ST & 10
50
+4
84.1%
Myles Gaskin run for 4 yds to the Stanf 46Similar
Q2 4:01
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+27
84.5%
Jake Browning pass complete to Quinten Pounds for 12 yds to the Stanf 34 for a 1ST down STANFORD Penalty, Roughing Passer (Solomon Thomas) to the Stanf 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
91.8%
Jake Browning pass complete to John Ross for 19 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 9PUNT
12 plays · 32 yds · 3:4611% → 8%
Q2 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
89.5%
Ryan Burns pass complete to Christian McCaffrey for 6 yds to the Stanf 31Similar
Q2 3:23
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+11
89.2%
Ryan Burns run for 11 yds to the Stanf 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
89.4%
Christian McCaffrey run for 4 yds to the Stanf 46Similar
Q2 2:42
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+4
89.6%
Ryan Burns pass complete to Dalton Schultz for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 1:55
3RD & 2
50
-5
89.8%
STANFORD Penalty, Delay of Game (Ryan Burns) to the Stanf 45Similar
Q2 1:51
3RD & 7
OWN 45
+24
90.2%
Ryan Burns pass complete to Trenton Irwin for 24 yds to the Wash 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
89.7%
Christian McCaffrey run for 3 yds to the Wash 28Similar
Q2 0:51
2ND & 7
OPP 28
-6
89.8%
Ryan Burns sacked by Psalm Wooching for a loss of 6 yards to the Wash 34Similar
Q2 0:35
3RD & 13
OPP 34
-9
91.5%
Ryan Burns sacked by Greg Gaines for a loss of 9 yards to the Wash 43Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 22
OPP 43
0
91.8%
Jake Bailey punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 10FUMBLE
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:2993% → 93%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
92.7%
Jake Browning run for 1 yd to the Wash 23Similar
Q3 14:11
2ND & 9
OWN 23
+5
93.0%
Myles Gaskin run for 5 yds to the Wash 28Similar
Q3 13:41
3RD & 4
OWN 28
0
93.1%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to John RossSimilar
Q3 13:27
4TH & 4
OWN 28
+3
92.7%
Tristan Vizcaino punt for 35 yds , TEAM returns for 3 yds to the Stanf 40 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Wash Lavon ColemanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 11TD
5 plays · 40 yds · 1:3194% → 99%
Q3 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+15
93.6%
Browning, Jake pass incomplete to Ross, John, PENALTY STANFORD pass interference (Lloyd, Dallas) 15 yards to the STANFORD25, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WASHINGTON.Similar
Q3 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
93.9%
Myles Gaskin run for 6 yds to the Stanf 19Similar
Q3 12:53
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+3
94.0%
Myles Gaskin run for 3 yds to the Stanf 16Similar
Q3 12:29
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+8
93.9%
Myles Gaskin run for 8 yds to the Stanf 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
98.8%
Myles Gaskin run for 8 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 12FUMBLE
7 plays · 29 yds · 2:361% → 2%
Q3 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+25
98.7%
Ryan Burns pass complete to Trenton Irwin for 25 yds to the Wash 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:14
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+5
98.4%
Ryan Burns pass complete to Christian McCaffrey for 5 yds to the Wash 11Similar
Q3 10:42
2ND & 5
OPP 11
+2
98.5%
Ryan Burns run for 2 yds to the Wash 9Similar
Q3 9:59
3RD & 3
OPP 9
+1
98.6%
Christian McCaffrey run for 1 yd to the Wash 8Similar
Q3 9:13
4TH & 2
OPP 8
-4
97.6%
Ryan Burns sacked by Psalm Wooching for a loss of 4 yards to the Wash 12 Ryan Burns fumbled, forced by Psalm Wooching, recovered by Wash Keishawn Bierria , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 13PUNT
9 plays · 42 yds · 4:3899% → 100%
Q3 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
99.3%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 5 yds to the Wash 17Similar
Q3 8:59
2ND & 5
OWN 17
+21
99.3%
Jake Browning pass complete to Chico McClatcher for 21 yds to the Wash 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
99.4%
Lavon Coleman run for 4 yds to the Wash 42Similar
Q3 7:47
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+11
99.5%
Lavon Coleman run for 11 yds to the Stanf 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:16
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-10
99.5%
Gaskin, Myles rush for 1 yard to the STANFORD46, PENALTY WASHINGTON holding (Harris, Nick) 10 yards to the WASHINGTON43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:56
1ST & 20
OWN 43
+2
99.5%
Jake Browning pass complete to Chico McClatcher for 2 yds to the Wash 45Similar
Q3 6:18
2ND & 18
OWN 45
0
99.6%
Lavon Coleman run for no gain to the Wash 45Similar
Q3 5:32
3RD & 18
OWN 45
+9
99.6%
Lavon Coleman run for 9 yds to the Stanf 46Similar
Q3 4:35
4TH & 9
OPP 46
0
99.6%
Tristan Vizcaino punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 14TD
16 plays · 80 yds · 4:111% → 2%
Q3 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+14
99.5%
Christian McCaffrey run for 14 yds to the Stanf 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
99.5%
Ryan Burns pass incomplete to Dalton SchultzSimilar
Q3 3:48
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+18
99.6%
Ryan Burns pass complete to Trenton Irwin for 18 yds to the Wash 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:26
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
99.6%
Ryan Burns pass incomplete to Christian McCaffreySimilar
Q3 3:19
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+5
99.6%
Ryan Burns pass complete to Bryce Love for 5 yds to the Wash 43Similar
Q3 3:00
3RD & 5
OPP 43
-5
99.6%
STANFORD Penalty, False Start (Casey Tucker) to the Wash 48Similar
Q3 2:55
3RD & 10
OPP 48
0
99.6%
Ryan Burns pass incomplete to JJ Arcega-WhitesideSimilar
Q3 2:49
4TH & 10
OPP 48
+14
99.6%
Ryan Burns pass complete to Christian McCaffrey for 14 yds to the Wash 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:24
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
99.6%
Ryan Burns pass incomplete to JJ Arcega-WhitesideSimilar
Q3 2:12
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+3
99.6%
Ryan Burns pass complete to Christian McCaffrey for 3 yds to the Wash 31Similar
Q3 1:39
3RD & 7
OPP 31
+5
99.7%
Ryan Burns pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 5 yds to the Wash 26Similar
Q3 1:08
4TH & 2
OPP 26
+7
99.6%
Ryan Burns pass complete to Michael Rector for 7 yds to the Wash 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
99.7%
Ryan Burns pass incomplete to Bryce LoveSimilar
Q3 0:32
2ND & 10
OPP 19
0
99.7%
Ryan Burns pass incomplete to JJ Arcega-WhitesideSimilar
Q3 0:24
3RD & 10
OPP 19
+19
98.0%
Ryan Burns pass complete to JJ Arcega-Whiteside for 19 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 15TD
18 plays · 75 yds · 9:3099% → 100%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
98.9%
Myles Gaskin run for 9 yds to the Wash 34Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+4
98.9%
Myles Gaskin run for 4 yds to the Wash 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
99.1%
Myles Gaskin run for 1 yd to the Wash 39Similar
Q4 13:37
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+14
99.2%
Myles Gaskin run for 14 yds to the Stanf 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:06
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
99.2%
Myles Gaskin run for 2 yds to the Stanf 45Similar
Q4 12:28
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+1
99.3%
Lavon Coleman run for 1 yd to the Stanf 44Similar
Q4 11:36
3RD & 7
OPP 44
+5
99.3%
STANFORD Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Stanf 39Similar
Q4 11:12
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+12
99.3%
Jake Browning pass complete to Chico McClatcher for 12 yds to the Stanf 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+8
99.4%
Myles Gaskin run for 8 yds to the Stanf 19Similar
Q4 10:06
2ND & 2
OPP 19
0
99.4%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to John RossSimilar
Q4 9:41
3RD & 2
OPP 19
+3
99.4%
Lavon Coleman run for 3 yds to the Stanf 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:59
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
99.4%
Lavon Coleman run for 2 yds to the Stanf 14Similar
Q4 8:12
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+3
99.5%
Myles Gaskin run for 3 yds to the Stanf 11Similar
Q4 7:47
3RD & 5
OPP 11
+7
99.5%
Jake Browning run for 7 yds to the Stanf 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
99.5%
Myles Gaskin run for 2 yds to the Stanf 2Similar
Q4 6:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
99.6%
Chico McClatcher run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 3Similar
Q4 5:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.9%
Jake Browning pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 3 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -11 yds · 0:560% → 0%
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-11
99.9%
Keller Chryst sacked by Jaylen Johnson for a loss of 11 yards to the Stanf 14 Keller Chryst fumbled, forced by Jaylen Johnson, recovered by Stanf Keller Chryst , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 5:10
2ND & 21
OWN 14
0
99.9%
Keller Chryst pass incomplete to Christian McCaffreySimilar
Q4 4:52
3RD & 21
OWN 14
0
99.9%
Keller Chryst pass incomplete to JJ Arcega-WhitesideSimilar
Q4 4:34
4TH & 21
OWN 14
+16
99.9%
Jake Bailey punt for 48 yds , Dante Pettis returns for 16 yds to the Stanf 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 17TD
5 plays · 46 yds · 2:56100% → 100%
Q4 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
99.9%
Jomon Dotson run for 4 yds to the Stanf 42Similar
Q4 3:57
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+10
99.9%
Jomon Dotson run for 10 yds to the Stanf 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:13
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
100.0%
Jomon Dotson run for 5 yds to the Stanf 27Similar
Q4 2:28
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+2
100.0%
Jomon Dotson run for 2 yds to the Stanf 25Similar
Q4 1:38
3RD & 3
OPP 25
+25
100.0%
Lavon Coleman run for 25 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 18END OF GAME
6 plays · 27 yds · 1:380% → 0%
Q4 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
100.0%
Cameron Scarlett run for 3 yds to the Stanf 36Similar
Q4 0:56
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+16
100.0%
Keller Chryst pass complete to Isaiah Brandt-Sims for 16 yds to the Wash 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-1
100.0%
Cameron Scarlett run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 49Similar
Q4 0:03
2ND & 11
OPP 49
+4
100.0%
Cameron Scarlett run for 4 yds to the Wash 45Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 7
OPP 45
+5
100.0%
Cameron Scarlett run for 5 yds to the Wash 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:46
Jake Browning pass complete to John Ross for 19 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)
+7.3
TD · Q1 3:52
Myles Gaskin run for 4 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)
+5.7
TD · Q3 11:56
Myles Gaskin run for 8 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)
+4.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com