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COLO

Colorado 41 at Oregon 38

ORE
2016 · Week 4 · Sep 24, 2016 · Autzen Stadium
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Win probability · ORE
modelORE aheadCOLO aheadconfidence bandkey playORE scoreCOLO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 13:55 · Ian Wheeler punt for 48 yds , Isaiah Oliver returns for 12 yds to the Colo 30
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+30.5+15.30−15.3−30.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 164Pregame prior+6.4Home team on offense+7.3Score differential+0.7Garbage-time factor+2.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 12:59: Steven Montez pass complete to Devin Ross for 48 yds for a TD, (Chris Graham KICK) — COLO win probability +18.8 pts (now 70%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 7:02: Tony Brooks-James run for 1 yd for a TD, (Aidan Schneider KICK) — ORE win probability +13.4 pts (now 47%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 1:52: Kani Benoit run for 3 yds for a TD, (Aidan Schneider KICK) — ORE win probability +18.7 pts (now 64%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:54: Dakota Prukop pass complete to Darren Carrington II for 18 yds for a TD, (Aidan Schneider KICK) — ORE win probability +15.1 pts (now 78%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:43: Steven Montez pass complete to Bryce Bobo for 31 yds for a TD, (Steven Montez pass to Bryce Bobo for Two-Point Conversion) — COLO win probability +30.0 pts (now 65%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ORE made the numbers' call on 7 of 9COLO made the numbers' call on 2 of 5
  1. Q1 15:00ORE 4th & 7 at ORE 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.6%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:16ORE 4th & 11 at ORE 9, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.3%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:35COLO 4th & 2 at ORE 6, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 27.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.3%−0.3
    91% to make
    Punt
    25.8%−1.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00ORE 4th & 10 at ORE 42, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.6%−0.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:58ORE 4th & 3 at ORE 43, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 59.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    60.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    59.6%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:18COLO 4th & 4 at ORE 26, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 36.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    35.6%−0.4
    64% to make
    Punt
    32.1%−3.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:17ORE 4th & 2 at COLO 46, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 59.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    59.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    57.4%−2.3
    23% to make
    Punt
    58.5%−1.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:31ORE 4th & 7 at COLO 24, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 55.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.7%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.1%
    68% to make
    Punt
    50.3%−4.7
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:59ORE 4th & 4 at COLO 49, down 16
    Close callPunted · 39.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.0%−0.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:02COLO 4th & 2 at COLO 33, up 9
    Close callPunted · 57.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00COLO 4th & 10 at ORE 46, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.0%−1.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    25.3%−2.9
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    28.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:55ORE 4th & 10 at ORE 34, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.9%−3.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.7%
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:43ORE 4th & 8 at COLO 40, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsPunted · 46.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.4%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    43.7%−0.7
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    42.7%−1.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:45COLO 4th & 1 at COLO 16, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.9 ptsPunted · 66.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.3%−4.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ORE made the numbers' call on 5 of 5COLO made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 11:16COLO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:16ORE Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:08COLO Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    33.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 11:58COLO Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 10:18ORE Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 12:59COLO Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 7:02ORE Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 1:52ORE Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.4%−0.3
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 0:54ORE Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 8:43COLO Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    49.4%−1.4
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    50.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OREDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0076% → 76%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
76.4%
Kani Benoit run for 2 yds to the Oregn 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+1
76.4%
Kani Benoit run for 1 yd to the Oregn 28Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
76.4%
Dakota Prukop pass incomplete to Kani Benoit, broken up by Rick GamboaSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+52
76.4%
Ian Wheeler punt for 37 yds for a 1ST down COLORADO Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Colo 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 2TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 2:4724% → 26%
Q1 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+16
76.2%
Steven Montez pass complete to Bryce Bobo for 16 yds to the Colo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
76.2%
Steven Montez pass complete to Devin Ross for 5 yds to the Colo 41Similar
Q1 14:03
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+6
76.1%
Steven Montez pass complete to Devin Ross for 6 yds to the Colo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
76.1%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Shay FieldsSimilar
Q1 14:03
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+33
76.2%
Phillip Lindsay run for 33 yds to the Oregn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:03
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
76.1%
OREGON Penalty, substitution infraction (5 Yards) to the Oregn 15Similar
Q1 14:03
1ST & 5
OPP 15
+8
76.1%
Steven Montez run for 8 yds to the Oregn 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
76.1%
Steven Montez run for 6 yds to the Oregn 1Similar
Q1 11:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
74.1%
Phillip Lindsay run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chris Graham KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0075% → 74%
Q1 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-7
74.5%
Dakota Prukop sacked by Samson Kafovalu for a loss of 7 yards to the Oregn 3Similar
Q1 11:16
2ND & 17
OWN 3
+6
74.5%
Kani Benoit run for 6 yds to the Oregn 9Similar
Q1 11:16
3RD & 11
OWN 9
0
74.4%
Dakota Prukop pass incomplete to Darren Carrington II, broken up by Isaiah OliverSimilar
Q1 11:16
4TH & 11
OWN 9
0
74.3%
Ian Wheeler punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 4FG
9 plays · 41 yds · 3:2827% → 29%
Q1 10:03
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-9
73.4%
Steven Montez sacked by De'Quan McDowell for a loss of 9 yards to the Colo 44Similar
Q1 10:03
2ND & 19
OWN 44
+6
73.7%
Steven Montez pass complete to Devin Ross for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 10:03
3RD & 13
50
+21
73.7%
Steven Montez pass complete to Kyle Evans for 21 yds to the Oregn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:03
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
73.4%
Kyle Evans run for 5 yds to the Oregn 24Similar
Q1 10:03
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+10
73.4%
Kyle Evans run for 10 yds to the Oregn 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:03
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
73.4%
Kyle Evans run for 3 yds to the Oregn 11Similar
Q1 10:03
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+4
73.4%
Kyle Evans run for 4 yds to the Oregn 7Similar
Q1 10:03
3RD & 3
OPP 7
+1
73.5%
Steven Montez pass complete to Shay Fields for 1 yd to the Oregn 6Similar
Q1 6:35
4TH & 2
OPP 6
+24
71.1%
Chris Graham 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 5TD
6 plays · 76 yds · 1:1972% → 74%
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+9
71.5%
Tony Brooks-James run for 9 yds to the Oregn 33Similar
Q1 6:35
2ND & 1
OWN 33
+2
71.8%
Tony Brooks-James run for 2 yds to the Oregn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+50
71.7%
Tony Brooks-James run for 50 yds to the Colo 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+14
72.5%
Dakota Prukop pass complete to Dwayne Stanford for 14 yds to the Colo 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
74.2%
Taj Griffin run for 1 yd for a TD, (Aidan Schneider KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 6TD
13 plays · 87 yds · 5:0827% → 34%
Q1 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-3
73.3%
Steven Montez sacked by A.J. Hotchkins and Austin Maloata for a loss of 3 yards to the Colo 10Similar
Q1 5:16
2ND & 13
OWN 10
+7
73.4%
Steven Montez pass complete to Phillip Lindsay for 7 yds to the Colo 17Similar
Q1 5:16
3RD & 6
OWN 17
+23
73.6%
Steven Montez run for 23 yds to the Colo 40 Steven Montez fumbled, forced by Kaulana Apelu, recovered by Colo Steven Montez for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
72.7%
Steven Montez pass complete to Shay Fields for 5 yds to the Colo 45Similar
Q1 5:16
2ND & 5
OWN 45
-1
72.7%
Phillip Lindsay run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 44Similar
Q1 5:16
3RD & 6
OWN 44
+16
72.9%
Steven Montez pass complete to Phillip Lindsay for 16 yds to the Oregn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+16
72.5%
Steven Montez pass complete to Jay MacIntyre for 16 yds to the Oregn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
72.3%
Phillip Lindsay run for 5 yds to the Oregn 19Similar
Q1 5:16
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+1
72.3%
Phillip Lindsay run for 1 yd to the Oregn 18Similar
Q1 5:16
3RD & 4
OPP 18
+7
72.6%
Steven Montez pass complete to Shay Fields for 7 yds to the Oregn 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
72.3%
Kyle Evans run for 4 yds to the Oregn 7Similar
Q1 0:08
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+7
65.8%
Steven Montez pass complete to Shay Fields for 7 yds for a TD, (Chris Graham PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 25 yds · 0:0866% → 66%
Q1 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+8
66.3%
Dakota Prukop pass complete to Darren Carrington II for 8 yds to the Oregn 25Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 25
0
66.6%
Tony Brooks-James run for no gain to the Oregn 25Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 25
+17
66.1%
Dakota Prukop pass complete to Charles Nelson for 17 yds to the Oregn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
67.0%
Tony Brooks-James run for 5 yds to the Oregn 47Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 47
0
67.4%
Dakota Prukop pass incomplete to Jalen BrownSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 47
0
66.9%
Dakota Prukop pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 47
-5
66.3%
OREGON Penalty, DL (-5 Yards) to the Oregn 42Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 42
+51
65.7%
Ian Wheeler punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jay MacIntyre at the OREGON 22 for a 1ST down COLORADO Penalty, kick catching interference (15 Yards) to the Colo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 8TD
4 plays · 63 yds · 1:3435% → 47%
Q2 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-3
65.1%
Donovan Lee run for a loss of 3 yards to the Colo 34Similar
Q2 13:32
2ND & 13
OWN 34
+61
65.9%
Steven Montez pass complete to Devin Ross for 61 yds to the Oregn 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
64.3%
Phillip Lindsay run for 2 yds to the Oregn 3Similar
Q2 11:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
53.2%
Steven Montez run for 3 yds for a TD, (Chris Graham KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 9TD
7 plays · 64 yds · 1:4058% → 65%
Q2 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
57.8%
Tony Brooks-James run for 2 yds to the Oregn 38Similar
Q2 11:58
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+5
58.2%
Tony Brooks-James run for 5 yds to the Oregn 43Similar
Q2 11:58
3RD & 3
OWN 43
0
58.4%
Dakota Prukop pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:58
4TH & 3
OWN 43
+29
58.2%
Danny Mattingly run for 29 yds to the Colo 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
59.3%
Taj Griffin run for 3 yds to the Colo 25Similar
Q2 10:18
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+25
64.8%
Dakota Prukop pass complete to Darren Carrington II for 25 yds for a TD, (Aidan Schneider KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 10DOWNS
10 plays · 40 yds · 0:0037% → 37%
Q2 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
63.3%
Phillip Lindsay run for 3 yds to the Colo 28Similar
Q2 10:18
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+7
63.1%
Phillip Lindsay run for 7 yds to the Colo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
62.8%
Montez, Steven pass incomplete to Fields, Shay, PENALTY ORE pass interference 15 yards to the 50 yardline, 1ST DOWN COLO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:18
1ST & 10
50
0
61.9%
Phillip Lindsay run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 10:18
2ND & 10
50
+18
61.9%
Steven Montez run for 18 yds to the Oregn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:18
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
61.7%
Jay MacIntyre run for 3 yds to the Oregn 29Similar
Q2 10:18
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+2
61.6%
Phillip Lindsay run for 2 yds to the Oregn 27Similar
Q2 10:18
3RD & 5
OPP 27
+1
62.0%
Donovan Lee run for 1 yd to the Oregn 26Similar
Q2 10:18
4TH & 4
OPP 26
-9
62.9%
Steven Montez sacked by Troy Dye for a loss of 9 yards to the Oregn 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 11FG
12 plays · 41 yds · 3:4658% → 60%
Q2 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
58.2%
Dakota Prukop pass complete to Darren Carrington II for 11 yds to the Oregn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
59.2%
Taj Griffin run for no gain to the Oregn 46Similar
Q2 6:17
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+4
58.8%
Taj Griffin run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 6:17
3RD & 6
50
+4
59.2%
Dakota Prukop pass complete to Dwayne Stanford for 4 yds to the Colo 46Similar
Q2 6:17
4TH & 2
OPP 46
+5
58.5%
Tony Brooks-James run for 5 yds to the Colo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
60.1%
Dakota Prukop run for 1 yd to the Colo 40Similar
Q2 6:17
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+13
60.1%
Dakota Prukop pass complete to Dwayne Stanford for 13 yds to the Colo 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
61.1%
Tony Brooks-James run for 3 yds to the Colo 24Similar
Q2 6:17
2ND & 7
OPP 24
0
61.1%
Dakota Prukop pass incomplete to Darren Carrington II, broken up by Tedric ThompsonSimilar
Q2 6:17
3RD & 7
OPP 24
+5
59.9%
Kani Benoit run for 5 yds to the Colo 19Similar
Q2 6:17
4TH & 2
OPP 19
-5
58.8%
OREGON Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Colo 24Similar
Q2 2:31
4TH & 7
OPP 24
+41
60.2%
Aidan Schneider 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 12FG
15 plays · 60 yds · 2:3144% → 53%
Q2 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
56.5%
Phillip Lindsay run for 5 yds to the Colo 30Similar
Q2 2:31
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
55.7%
Steven Montez pass complete to Bryce Bobo for 6 yds to the Colo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
55.5%
Steven Montez pass complete to Bryce Bobo for 7 yds to the Colo 43Similar
Q2 2:31
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+12
54.6%
Steven Montez pass complete to Bryce Bobo for 12 yds to the Oregn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:31
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+18
54.1%
Steven Montez pass complete to Devin Ross for 18 yds to the Oregn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+9
49.7%
Steven Montez run for 9 yds to the Oregn 18Similar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 1
OPP 18
+3
50.3%
Steven Montez run for 3 yds to the Oregn 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
50.7%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Bryce BoboSimilar
Q2 0:10
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
49.7%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Devin Ross, broken up by Tyree RobinsonSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 15
+33
46.9%
Chris Graham 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 13TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:0150% → 70%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
50.2%
Phillip Lindsay run for 11 yds to the Colo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
49.0%
Phillip Lindsay run for 2 yds to the Colo 38Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+6
48.5%
Steven Montez run for 6 yds to the Colo 44Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+8
49.1%
Steven Montez run for 8 yds to the Oregn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+48
30.3%
Steven Montez pass complete to Devin Ross for 48 yds for a TD, (Chris Graham KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 31 yds · 0:0036% → 38%
Q3 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
35.8%
Dakota Prukop pass complete to Dwayne Stanford for 15 yds to the Oregn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
36.5%
Kani Benoit run for 5 yds to the Oregn 40Similar
Q3 12:59
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+5
37.6%
Dakota Prukop pass complete to Charles Nelson for 5 yds to the Oregn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
38.3%
Kani Benoit run for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 44Similar
Q3 12:59
2ND & 11
OWN 44
+4
37.4%
Dakota Prukop pass complete to Kani Benoit for 4 yds to the Oregn 48Similar
Q3 12:59
3RD & 7
OWN 48
+3
37.8%
Kani Benoit run for 3 yds to the Colo 49Similar
Q3 12:59
4TH & 4
OPP 49
0
37.9%
Ian Wheeler punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Oliver at the Colo 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 15INT
5 plays · 42 yds · 0:0072% → 74%
Q3 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+17
28.4%
Kyle Evans run for 17 yds to the Colo 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+12
28.1%
Steven Montez run for 12 yds to the Colo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
26.8%
Kyle Evans run for 9 yds to the Colo 48Similar
Q3 10:21
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+4
26.2%
Kyle Evans run for 4 yds to the Oregn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:21
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+36
26.5%
Steven Montez pass intercepted Brenden Schooler return for 36 yds to the Oregn 12 COLORADO Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 16TD
5 plays · 51 yds · 1:3532% → 47%
Q3 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
32.2%
Dakota Prukop pass complete to Charles Nelson for 7 yds to the Colo 44Similar
Q3 8:37
2ND & 3
OPP 44
-10
33.1%
Dakota Prukop sacked by Jordan Carrell for a loss of 10 yards to the Oregn 46Similar
Q3 8:37
3RD & 13
OWN 46
+48
30.0%
Dakota Prukop pass complete to Charles Nelson for 48 yds to the Colo 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
33.6%
Dakota Prukop run for 3 yds to the Colo 3 for a 1ST down COLORADO Penalty, personal foul (2 Yards) to the Colo 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
47.1%
Tony Brooks-James run for 1 yd for a TD, (Aidan Schneider KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0059% → 58%
Q3 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
40.8%
Kyle Evans run for 2 yds to the Colo 27Similar
Q3 7:02
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
40.6%
Steven Montez run for 4 yds to the Colo 31Similar
Q3 7:02
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+2
40.8%
Steven Montez run for 2 yds to the Colo 33Similar
Q3 7:02
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
41.6%
Alex Kinney punt for 41 yds, downed at the Oregn 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 18TD
10 plays · 74 yds · 2:5840% → 64%
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
39.5%
Tony Brooks-James run for 2 yds to the Oregn 28Similar
Q3 4:50
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+33
39.5%
Dakota Prukop pass complete to Dwayne Stanford for 33 yds to the Colo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
43.0%
Dakota Prukop pass incomplete to Darren Carrington IISimilar
Q3 4:50
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+8
42.8%
Tony Brooks-James run for 8 yds to the Colo 31Similar
Q3 4:50
3RD & 2
OPP 31
+9
42.9%
Tony Brooks-James run for 9 yds to the Colo 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
44.8%
Tony Brooks-James run for 1 yd to the Colo 21Similar
Q3 4:50
2ND & 9
OPP 21
+4
44.8%
Kani Benoit run for 4 yds to the Colo 17Similar
Q3 4:50
3RD & 5
OPP 17
+10
42.7%
Kani Benoit run for 10 yds to the Colo 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
44.8%
Kani Benoit run for 4 yds to the Colo 3Similar
Q3 1:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
63.5%
Kani Benoit run for 3 yds for a TD, (Aidan Schneider KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 19INT
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:0047% → 47%
Q3 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
53.5%
Kyle Evans run for 3 yds to the Colo 28Similar
Q3 1:52
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
53.0%
Steven Montez pass intercepted Troy Dye return for 4 yds to the Colo 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 20TD
2 plays · 27 yds · 0:2163% → 78%
Q3 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+9
63.3%
Taj Griffin run for 9 yds to the Colo 18Similar
Q3 0:54
2ND & 1
OPP 18
+18
78.3%
Dakota Prukop pass complete to Darren Carrington II for 18 yds for a TD, (Aidan Schneider KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 21PUNT
9 plays · 29 yds · 0:5428% → 28%
Q3 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
71.7%
Steven Montez run for 4 yds to the Colo 29Similar
Q3 0:54
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+9
70.8%
Steven Montez pass complete to Devin Ross for 9 yds to the Colo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
70.0%
Phillip Lindsay run for 1 yd to the Colo 39Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+15
69.9%
Steven Montez pass complete to Shay Fields for 15 yds to the Oregn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
66.9%
Phillip Lindsay run for no gain to the Oregn 46Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
67.2%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Devin RossSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 46
0
69.7%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Kyle EvansSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 10
OPP 46
0
72.1%
Alex Kinney punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Darren Carrington II at the Oregn 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 26 yds · 0:0074% → 72%
Q4 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+6
73.5%
Dakota Prukop pass complete to Darren Carrington II for 6 yds to the Oregn 14Similar
Q4 13:55
2ND & 4
OWN 14
+20
73.9%
Tony Brooks-James run for 20 yds to the Oregn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-10
74.6%
Brooks-James rush for 1 yard to the ORE35 (Thompson, Tedri), PENALTY ORE holding 10 yards to the ORE24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:55
1ST & 20
OWN 24
+2
73.9%
Taj Griffin run for 2 yds to the Oregn 26Similar
Q4 13:55
2ND & 18
OWN 26
+8
73.6%
Dakota Prukop pass complete to Charles Nelson for 8 yds to the Oregn 34Similar
Q4 13:55
3RD & 10
OWN 34
0
72.9%
Dakota Prukop pass incomplete to Charles NelsonSimilar
Q4 13:55
4TH & 10
OWN 34
+12
71.9%
Ian Wheeler punt for 48 yds , Isaiah Oliver returns for 12 yds to the Colo 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 23TD
9 plays · 70 yds · 2:4829% → 65%
Q4 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-10
70.6%
Montez, Steven pass complete to Bobo, Bryce for 23 yards to the ORE47, PENALTY COLO holding 10 yards to the COLO20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:31
1ST & 20
OWN 20
+5
71.5%
Steven Montez pass complete to Jay MacIntyre for 5 yds to the Colo 25Similar
Q4 11:31
2ND & 15
OWN 25
+32
71.8%
Steven Montez run for 32 yds to the Oregn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:31
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
66.1%
Steven Montez run for 8 yds to the Oregn 35Similar
Q4 11:31
2ND & 2
OPP 35
-5
63.8%
COLORADO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Oregn 40Similar
Q4 11:31
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+9
66.1%
Steven Montez run for 9 yds to the Oregn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:31
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
64.5%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Shay Fields, broken up by De'Quan McDowellSimilar
Q4 11:31
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
64.6%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Devin Ross, broken up by Reggie DanielsSimilar
Q4 8:43
3RD & 10
OPP 31
+31
34.6%
Steven Montez pass complete to Bryce Bobo for 31 yds for a TD, (Steven Montez pass to Bryce Bobo for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 24PUNT
11 plays · 37 yds · 0:0044% → 46%
Q4 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
44.4%
Dakota Prukop pass incomplete to Dwayne Stanford, broken up by Kenneth OlugbodeSimilar
Q4 8:43
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+3
44.1%
Taj Griffin run for 3 yds to the Oregn 26Similar
Q4 8:43
3RD & 7
OWN 26
+22
42.5%
Dakota Prukop pass complete to Taj Griffin for 22 yds to the Oregn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
49.2%
Taj Griffin run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 8:43
2ND & 8
50
0
49.6%
Dakota Prukop pass complete to Evan Baylis for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 8:43
3RD & 8
50
+8
47.7%
Dakota Prukop pass complete to Evan Baylis for 8 yds to the Colo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
50.3%
Dakota Prukop pass complete to Taj Griffin for 1 yd to the Colo 41Similar
Q4 8:43
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+3
50.2%
Taj Griffin run for 3 yds to the Colo 38Similar
Q4 8:43
3RD & 6
OPP 38
-2
49.6%
Tony Brooks-James run for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 40Similar
Q4 8:43
4TH & 8
OPP 40
0
45.6%
Ian Wheeler punt for 33 yds, downed at the Colo 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0070% → 67%
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+1
30.1%
Steven Montez run for 1 yd to the Colo 8Similar
Q4 4:45
2ND & 9
OWN 8
+8
30.6%
Steven Montez pass complete to Phillip Lindsay for 8 yds to the Colo 16Similar
Q4 4:45
3RD & 1
OWN 16
0
30.9%
Steven Montez run for no gain to the Colo 16Similar
Q4 4:45
4TH & 1
OWN 16
0
32.8%
Alex Kinney punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Darren Carrington II at the Oregn 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 26INT
10 plays · 51 yds · 1:1441% → 41%
Q4 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+10
41.4%
Dakota Prukop pass complete to Kani Benoit for 10 yds to the Colo 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
43.9%
Kani Benoit run for 4 yds to the Colo 44Similar
Q4 2:57
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+10
44.2%
Dakota Prukop run for 10 yds to the Colo 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
46.5%
Dakota Prukop pass incomplete to Charles Nelson, broken up by Tedric ThompsonSimilar
Q4 2:57
2ND & 10
OPP 34
-7
46.5%
Dakota Prukop sacked by Jimmie Gilbert for a loss of 7 yards to the Colo 41Similar
Q4 1:43
3RD & 17
OPP 41
+15
30.9%
Prukop, Dakota pass incomplete to Carrington, D., PENALTY COLO pass interference 15 yards to the COLO26, 1ST DOWN ORE, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:43
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
41.0%
Kani Benoit run for 3 yds to the Colo 23Similar
Q4 1:43
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+16
41.0%
Dakota Prukop pass complete to Dwayne Stanford for 16 yds to the Colo 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
41.0%
Dakota Prukop pass intercepted, touchback. Ahkello Witherspoon return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 27END OF GAME
5 plays · -9 yds · 0:0792% → 92%
Q4 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-3
7.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Colo 17Similar
Q4 0:44
2ND & 13
OWN 17
-3
8.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Colo 14Similar
Q4 0:41
3RD & 16
OWN 14
-3
8.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Colo 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 8:43
Steven Montez pass complete to Bryce Bobo for 31 yds for a TD, (Steven Montez pass to Bryce Bobo for Two-Point Conversion)
-30
TD · Q3 12:59
Steven Montez pass complete to Devin Ross for 48 yds for a TD, (Chris Graham KICK)
-18.8
TD · Q3 1:52
Kani Benoit run for 3 yds for a TD, (Aidan Schneider KICK)
+18.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com