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WASH

Washington 35 at Arizona 28

ARIZ
2016 · Week 4 · Sep 24, 2016 · Arizona Stadium
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Win probability · ARIZ
modelARIZ aheadWASH aheadconfidence bandkey playARIZ scoreWASH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 15:00 · J.J. Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 3
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+30.5+15.30−15.3−30.5Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 41Pregame prior−22.8Home team on offense+3.5Garbage-time factor+1.0Score differential+0.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:28: Jake Browning pass complete to John Ross for 12 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK) — WASH win probability +9.5 pts (now 71%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 11:24: Jake Browning run for 3 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK) — WASH win probability +9.7 pts (now 78%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 4:45: Brandon Dawkins run for 2 yds for a TD, (Josh Pollack KICK) — ARIZ win probability +32.4 pts (now 61%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 3:25: Lavon Coleman run for 55 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK) — WASH win probability +31.6 pts (now 91%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:17: Brandon Dawkins pass complete to Josh Kern for 3 yds for a TD, (Josh Pollack KICK) — ARIZ win probability +53.1 pts (now 66%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARIZ made the numbers' call on 6 of 6WASH made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 15:00ARIZ 4th & 1 at WASH 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    26.6%−0.1
    68% to make
    Punt
    26.2%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:54WASH 4th & 6 at ARIZ 43, down 7
    Close callPunted · 68.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    68.4%−0.2
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    68.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00ARIZ 4th & 2 at WASH 2, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 39.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    40.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    39.2%−0.8
    94% to make
    Punt
    35.9%−4.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 2:01WASH 4th & 25 at WASH 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.6%−3.4
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:00WASH 4th & 17 at ARIZ 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.9%−2.4
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.3%
    60% to make
    Punt
    54.3%−6.0
    average punt
  6. Q3 11:24ARIZ 4th & 5 at ARIZ 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.8%−0.6
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.4%
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:21WASH 4th & 1 at ARIZ 28, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 74.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    74.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    71.8%−2.5
    60% to make
    Punt
    66.1%−8.2
    average punt
  8. Q3 2:55ARIZ 4th & 9 at ARIZ 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.8%−0.9
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.7%
    average punt
  9. Q4 10:24WASH 4th & 7 at ARIZ 23, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 80.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.7%−0.4
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.1%
    70% to make
    Punt
    72.3%−7.8
    average punt
  10. Q4 10:24ARIZ 4th & 10 at ARIZ 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.4%−1.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.1%
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:14WASH 4th & 10 at WASH 20, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.7%−2.2
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.9%
    average punt
  12. Q4 0:27ARIZ 4th & 3 at WASH 7, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.4%
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    11.5%−5.9
    91% to make
    Punt
    8.7%−8.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARIZ made the numbers' call on 4 of 4WASH made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 9:01ARIZ Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:45WASH Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:06ARIZ Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:28WASH Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:24WASH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 4:45ARIZ Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.0%−1.3
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 3:25WASH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Numbers favored go for two by 1.1 ptsKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.9%−1.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.0%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 0:17ARIZ Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.3%−7.8
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ARIZDrive 1TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 5:5922% → 27%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
21.8%
J.J. Taylor run for 4 yds to the Ariz 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+8
21.8%
Brandon Dawkins run for 8 yds to the Ariz 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
21.8%
Brandon Dawkins pass complete to Shun Brown for 8 yds to the Ariz 45Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+1
21.8%
J.J. Taylor run for 1 yd to the Ariz 46Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+1
21.8%
Brandon Dawkins pass complete to Nate Phillips for 1 yd to the Ariz 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
21.8%
J.J. Taylor run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
50
+4
21.8%
J.J. Taylor run for 4 yds to the Wash 46Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 46
+13
21.8%
Brandon Dawkins run for 3 yds to the Wash 43 for a 1ST down WASHINGTON Penalty, Defensive holding (10 Yards) to the Wash 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-2
21.8%
Brandon Dawkins pass complete to J.J. Taylor for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 35Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 35
+6
21.8%
Brandon Dawkins pass complete to Trey Griffey for 6 yds to the Wash 29Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 29
+5
21.8%
Brandon Dawkins pass complete to Shun Brown for 5 yds to the Wash 24Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 24
+10
21.8%
J.J. Taylor run for 10 yds to the Wash 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+9
21.8%
Brandon Dawkins pass complete to Shawn Poindexter for 9 yds to the Wash 5Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 5
+4
21.8%
J.J. Taylor run for 4 yds to the Wash 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
27.3%
J.J. Taylor run for 1 yd for a TD, (Josh Pollack KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 28 yds · 0:0074% → 74%
Q1 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
26.5%
Myles Gaskin run for 3 yds to the Wash 32Similar
Q1 8:54
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+10
26.5%
Myles Gaskin run for 10 yds to the Wash 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+11
26.3%
Jake Browning pass complete to John Ross for 11 yds to the Ariz 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
26.1%
Jake Browning run for 6 yds to the Ariz 41Similar
Q1 8:54
2ND & 4
OPP 41
+3
26.0%
Chico McClatcher run for 3 yds to the Ariz 38Similar
Q1 8:54
3RD & 1
OPP 38
0
26.1%
Myles Gaskin run for no gain to the Ariz 38Similar
Q1 8:54
4TH & 1
OPP 38
-5
26.4%
WASHINGTON Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Ariz 43Similar
Q1 8:54
4TH & 6
OPP 43
0
26.5%
Tristan Vizcaino punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Nate Phillips at the Ariz 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 3DOWNS
16 plays · 82 yds · 5:0430% → 35%
Q1 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+9
30.0%
Brandon Dawkins run for 9 yds to the Ariz 24Similar
Q1 5:04
2ND & 1
OWN 24
+1
30.3%
J.J. Taylor run for 1 yd to the Ariz 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
30.1%
Brandon Dawkins run for 5 yds to the Ariz 30Similar
Q1 5:04
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
30.3%
Brandon Dawkins pass complete to Samajie Grant for 4 yds to the Ariz 34Similar
Q1 5:04
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
30.2%
J.J. Taylor run for 4 yds to the Ariz 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+19
30.5%
J.J. Taylor run for 19 yds to the Wash 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:04
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
30.9%
J.J. Taylor run for 2 yds to the Wash 41Similar
Q1 5:04
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+7
30.9%
J.J. Taylor run for 7 yds to the Wash 34Similar
Q1 5:04
3RD & 1
OPP 34
+13
30.7%
Brandon Dawkins pass complete to Shawn Poindexter for 13 yds to the Wash 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:04
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
31.0%
Zach Green run for 4 yds to the Wash 17Similar
Q1 5:04
2ND & 6
OPP 17
0
31.0%
Zach Green run for no gain to the Wash 17Similar
Q1 5:04
3RD & 6
OPP 17
+7
30.7%
Brandon Dawkins pass complete to Shawn Poindexter for 7 yds to the Wash 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
31.0%
Tyrell Johnson run for 3 yds to the Wash 7Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
36.0%
Brandon Dawkins pass complete to Trevor Wood for 4 yds to the Wash 3Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
35.5%
J.J. Taylor run for 1 yd to the Wash 2Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
34.7%
J.J. Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 4TD
8 plays · 97 yds · 3:5464% → 71%
Q2 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+4
35.7%
Myles Gaskin run for 4 yds to the Wash 7Similar
Q2 13:39
2ND & 6
OWN 7
+7
35.8%
Myles Gaskin run for 7 yds to the Wash 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+6
35.5%
Jomon Dotson run for 6 yds to the Wash 20Similar
Q2 13:39
2ND & 4
OWN 20
+37
35.3%
Jake Browning pass complete to Chico McClatcher for 37 yds to the Ariz 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:39
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
33.8%
Jake Browning pass complete to Lavon Coleman for 7 yds to the Ariz 36Similar
Q2 13:39
2ND & 3
OPP 36
+2
33.7%
Myles Gaskin run for 2 yds to the Ariz 34Similar
Q2 13:39
3RD & 1
OPP 34
+2
33.7%
Jake Browning pass complete to Myles Gaskin for 2 yds to the Ariz 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
29.2%
John Ross run for 32 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 5TD
3 plays · 94 yds · 0:3333% → 41%
Q2 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+15
32.9%
Brandon Dawkins pass complete to Shun Brown for 15 yds to the Ariz 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+79
40.7%
Brandon Dawkins run for 79 yds for a TD, (Josh Pollack KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 6TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:3860% → 71%
Q2 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
40.1%
Jake Browning pass complete to Darrell Daniels for 6 yds to the Wash 31Similar
Q2 9:06
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
39.3%
Myles Gaskin run for 3 yds to the Wash 34Similar
Q2 7:57
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
42.3%
Jake Browning run for 3 yds to the Wash 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
42.1%
Lavon Coleman run for 4 yds to the Wash 41Similar
Q2 7:31
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+38
41.2%
Lavon Coleman run for 38 yds to the Ariz 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+14
39.0%
Jake Browning pass complete to John Ross for 14 yds to the Ariz 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-5
39.0%
WASHINGTON Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Ariz 12Similar
Q2 5:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 12
+12
29.5%
Jake Browning pass complete to John Ross for 12 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 7INT
6 plays · 28 yds · 0:0036% → 38%
Q2 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
35.5%
J.J. Taylor run for 12 yds to the Ariz 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
36.4%
Brandon Dawkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:28
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+16
36.1%
J.J. Taylor run for 16 yds to the Wash 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:28
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
38.1%
Brandon Dawkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:28
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
37.8%
Brandon Dawkins pass intercepted Kevin King return for no gain to the Wash 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 12 yds · 2:2567% → 64%
Q2 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+15
33.2%
Browning, Jake pass incomplete to Ross, John (Cruikshank, D.), PENALTY ARIZ pass interference 15 yards to the WASH25, 1ST DOWN WASH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
33.0%
Lavon Coleman run for 2 yds to the Wash 27Similar
Q2 4:26
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+10
32.9%
Jake Browning run for 10 yds to the Wash 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
32.1%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Jomon DotsonSimilar
Q2 4:26
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-6
32.5%
Jake Browning sacked by Cody Ippolito for a loss of 6 yards to the Wash 31Similar
Q2 4:26
3RD & 16
OWN 31
-5
34.3%
WASHINGTON Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Wash 26Similar
Q2 4:26
3RD & 21
OWN 26
-4
34.3%
Jake Browning sacked by Cody Ippolito and Paul Magloire Jr. for a loss of 4 yards to the Wash 22Similar
Q2 2:01
4TH & 25
OWN 22
0
35.6%
Tristan Vizcaino punt for 47 yds , Nate Phillips returns for no gain to the Ariz 21 Nate Phillips fumbled, forced by Darren Gardenhire, recovered by Wash Jordan MillerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 9MISSED FG
6 plays · -7 yds · 1:5071% → 64%
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-4
29.1%
Jake Browning pass complete to John Ross for a loss of 4 yards John Ross fumbled, forced by Tristan Cooper, recovered by Wash John RossSimilar
Q2 1:50
2ND & 19
OPP 30
-5
30.8%
WASHINGTON Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Ariz 35Similar
Q2 1:50
2ND & 24
OPP 35
+7
30.8%
Jake Browning run for 7 yds to the Ariz 28Similar
Q2 1:50
3RD & 17
OPP 28
0
32.1%
Jake Browning pass complete to Lavon Coleman for no gain to the Ariz 28Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 17
OPP 28
+45
36.0%
Cameron Van Winkle 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 10TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:3665% → 78%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
35.3%
Jake Browning pass complete to Darrell Daniels for 6 yds to the Wash 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+6
34.2%
Myles Gaskin run for 6 yds to the Wash 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
34.4%
Myles Gaskin run for 4 yds to the Wash 41Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+6
33.0%
Jake Browning run for 6 yds to the Wash 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+44
32.9%
Lavon Coleman run for 44 yds to the Ariz 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
31.5%
Lavon Coleman run for 6 yds to the Ariz 3Similar
Q3 11:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
21.8%
Jake Browning run for 3 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0026% → 24%
Q3 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
25.6%
J.J. Taylor run for 2 yds to the Ariz 27Similar
Q3 11:24
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
25.8%
Brandon Dawkins run for 3 yds to the Ariz 30Similar
Q3 11:24
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
25.2%
Brandon Dawkins pass incomplete to Nate Phillips, broken up by Kevin KingSimilar
Q3 11:24
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
24.2%
Josh Pollack punt for 65 yds, downed at the Wash 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 12DOWNS
14 plays · 67 yds · 0:0075% → 77%
Q3 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+5
25.1%
Myles Gaskin run for 5 yds to the Wash 10Similar
Q3 10:21
2ND & 5
OWN 10
+3
25.1%
Myles Gaskin run for 3 yds to the Wash 13Similar
Q3 10:21
3RD & 2
OWN 13
+2
25.6%
Myles Gaskin run for 2 yds to the Wash 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+8
24.9%
Myles Gaskin run for 8 yds to the Wash 23Similar
Q3 10:21
2ND & 2
OWN 23
+6
23.8%
Myles Gaskin run for 6 yds to the Wash 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
24.1%
Jake Browning pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:21
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+2
24.6%
Lavon Coleman run for 2 yds to the Wash 31Similar
Q3 10:21
3RD & 8
OWN 31
+19
24.9%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:21
1ST & 10
50
+1
22.2%
Lavon Coleman run for 1 yd to the Ariz 49Similar
Q3 10:21
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+12
22.3%
Jomon Dotson run for 12 yds to the Ariz 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:21
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
22.2%
Myles Gaskin run for 3 yds to the Ariz 34Similar
Q3 10:21
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+1
21.8%
Myles Gaskin run for 1 yd to the Ariz 33Similar
Q3 10:21
3RD & 6
OPP 33
+5
22.6%
Jomon Dotson run for 5 yds to the Ariz 28Similar
Q3 10:21
4TH & 1
OPP 28
0
23.4%
Myles Gaskin run for no gain to the Ariz 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 0:0027% → 26%
Q3 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
26.5%
J.J. Taylor run for 6 yds to the Ariz 34Similar
Q3 2:55
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+14
28.1%
WASHINGTON Penalty, Defensive pass interference (14 Yards) to the Ariz 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
29.3%
Brandon Dawkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:55
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+1
28.9%
J.J. Taylor run for 1 yd to the Ariz 49Similar
Q3 2:55
3RD & 9
OWN 49
0
27.0%
Brandon Dawkins pass incomplete to Nate PhillipsSimilar
Q3 2:55
4TH & 9
OWN 49
+1
25.7%
Josh Pollack punt for 46 yds , Dante Pettis returns for 1 yd to the Wash 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 14INT
8 plays · 69 yds · 1:4076% → 80%
Q3 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+13
23.9%
Jake Browning run for 13 yds to the Wash 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
23.4%
Myles Gaskin run for no gain to the Wash 19Similar
Q3 1:40
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+16
23.7%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 16 yds to the Wash 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
21.9%
Myles Gaskin run for 2 yds to the Wash 37Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+35
21.6%
Jake Browning pass complete to Chico McClatcher for 35 yds to the Ariz 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
19.3%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Chico McClatcherSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+3
19.5%
Myles Gaskin run for 3 yds to the Ariz 25Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 25
0
20.2%
Jake Browning pass intercepted Dane Cruikshank return for no gain to the Ariz 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 15FUMBLE
5 plays · 25 yds · 0:0024% → 23%
Q4 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
23.6%
Tyrell Johnson run for 1 yd to the Ariz 2Similar
Q4 13:23
2ND & 9
OWN 2
+14
23.5%
Dawkins, B. pass incomplete to Griffey, T., PENALTY WASH pass interference 14 yards to the ARIZ16, 1ST DOWN ARIZ, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
24.0%
Brandon Dawkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:23
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+6
23.8%
Tyrell Johnson run for 6 yds to the Ariz 22Similar
Q4 13:23
3RD & 4
OWN 22
+2
22.9%
Tyrell Johnson run for 2 yds to the Ariz 26 Tyrell Johnson fumbled, forced by Azeem Victor, recovered by Wash Keishawn BierriaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 16MISSED FG
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:3783% → 81%
Q4 12:01
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
17.3%
Myles Gaskin run for 5 yds to the Ariz 21Similar
Q4 12:01
2ND & 5
OPP 21
-2
17.3%
Jake Browning sacked by Jack Banda for a loss of 2 yards to the Ariz 23Similar
Q4 12:01
3RD & 7
OPP 23
0
18.2%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Darrell Daniels, broken up by - FlanniganfowlesSimilar
Q4 10:24
4TH & 7
OPP 23
+40
18.7%
Cameron Van Winkle 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 0:0023% → 21%
Q4 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
22.5%
Zach Green run for 2 yds to the Ariz 25Similar
Q4 10:24
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+11
22.4%
Brandon Dawkins pass complete to Shun Brown for 11 yds to the Ariz 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
23.5%
Tyrell Johnson run for 2 yds to the Ariz 38Similar
Q4 10:24
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+1
23.9%
Brandon Dawkins pass complete to Tyrell Johnson for 1 yd to the Ariz 39Similar
Q4 10:24
3RD & 7
OWN 39
-3
22.7%
Brandon Dawkins sacked by Joe Mathis for a loss of 3 yards to the Ariz 36Similar
Q4 10:24
4TH & 10
OWN 36
0
20.5%
Josh Pollack punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Dante Pettis at the Wash 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0082% → 80%
Q4 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
18.2%
Lavon Coleman run for 3 yds to the Wash 23Similar
Q4 8:14
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+2
18.1%
Lavon Coleman run for 2 yds to the Wash 25Similar
Q4 8:14
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
18.6%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Darrell Daniels, broken up by - FlanniganfowlesSimilar
Q4 8:14
4TH & 5
OWN 25
-5
19.9%
WASHINGTON Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Wash 20Similar
Q4 8:14
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
20.4%
Tristan Vizcaino punt for 46 yds , Nate Phillips returns for no gain to the Ariz 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 19TD
6 plays · 66 yds · 1:5921% → 61%
Q4 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
21.4%
Brandon Dawkins pass incomplete to Zach GreenSimilar
Q4 6:44
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+3
21.0%
Brandon Dawkins pass complete to Zach Green for 3 yds to the Ariz 37Similar
Q4 6:44
3RD & 7
OWN 37
+56
20.5%
Brandon Dawkins run for 56 yds to the Wash 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
27.9%
Zach Green run for 5 yds to the Wash 2Similar
Q4 4:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
61.2%
Brandon Dawkins run for 2 yds for a TD, (Josh Pollack KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 20TD
4 plays · 66 yds · 1:1556% → 91%
Q4 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
44.2%
Myles Gaskin run for 8 yds to the Wash 42Similar
Q4 4:40
2ND & 2
OWN 42
+3
41.0%
Myles Gaskin run for 3 yds to the Wash 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+55
9.4%
Lavon Coleman run for 55 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 21TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 3:0819% → 66%
Q4 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
18.9%
Brandon Dawkins pass complete to Shun Brown for 9 yds to the Ariz 34Similar
Q4 3:25
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+13
21.9%
Brandon Dawkins run for 13 yds to the Ariz 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-15
22.7%
ARIZONA Penalty, clipping (-15 Yards) to the Ariz 32Similar
Q4 3:25
1ST & 25
OWN 32
0
18.8%
Brandon Dawkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:25
2ND & 25
OWN 32
+54
18.3%
Brandon Dawkins pass complete to Shun Brown for 54 yds to the Wash 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+7
26.9%
Zach Green run for 7 yds to the Wash 7Similar
Q4 3:25
2ND & 3
OPP 7
0
26.9%
Brandon Dawkins run for no gain to the Wash 7Similar
Q4 0:34
3RD & 3
OPP 7
0
18.9%
Brandon Dawkins pass incomplete to Nate PhillipsSimilar
Q4 0:27
4TH & 3
OPP 7
+4
12.7%
Brandon Dawkins pass complete to Nate Phillips for 4 yds to the Wash 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
65.8%
Brandon Dawkins pass complete to Josh Kern for 3 yds for a TD, (Josh Pollack KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 22END OF HALF
2 plays · -8 yds · 0:0055% → 55%
Q4 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-8
44.8%
Jake Browning sacked by Jack Banda for a loss of 8 yards to the Wash 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 23DOWNS
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:0028% → 18%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
28.1%
Brandon Dawkins run for 2 yds to the Wash 23Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+12
28.1%
Brandon Dawkins pass complete to Shun Brown for 12 yds to the Wash 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
28.1%
Zach Green run for 1 yd to the Wash 10Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 10
-1
28.1%
Brandon Dawkins sacked by Darren Gardenhire for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 11Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 11
0
21.8%
Brandon Dawkins pass incompleteSimilar
OT 0:00
4TH & 10
OPP 11
0
18.0%
Brandon Dawkins pass incomplete to Tyrell JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 24TD
4 plays · 25 yds · 0:0079% → 77%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+24
20.8%
Lavon Coleman run for 24 yds to the Ariz 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-3
25.9%
Myles Gaskin run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ariz 4Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
22.3%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to John RossSimilar
OT 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
22.9%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 4 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:17
Brandon Dawkins pass complete to Josh Kern for 3 yds for a TD, (Josh Pollack KICK)
+53.1
TD · Q4 4:45
Brandon Dawkins run for 2 yds for a TD, (Josh Pollack KICK)
+32.4
TD · Q4 3:25
Lavon Coleman run for 55 yds for a TD, (Cameron Van Winkle KICK)
-31.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com