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USC

USC 27 at Utah 31

UTAH
2016 · Week 4 · Sep 23, 2016 · Rice-Eccles Stadium
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Win probability · UTAH
modelUTAH aheadUSC aheadconfidence bandkey playUTAH scoreUSC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDFGTDTDFGTDTDEnd of GameFG-5.2UTAH 38.5%Matt Boermeester 32 yd FG GOODAWAY 17 - HOME 10 · Q2 0:35
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:35 · Matt Boermeester 32 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame prior
+26.5+13.30−13.3−26.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 88Home team on offense−7.7Garbage-time factor−2.8Score differential−2.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.1Pregame prior+1.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:42: Justin Davis run for 14 yds for a TD, (Matt Boermeester KICK) — USC win probability +9.0 pts (now 54%) (top driver: USC has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 9:48: Sam Darnold run for 8 yds for a TD, (Matt Boermeester KICK) — USC win probability +13.9 pts (now 81%) (top driver: USC has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 4:51: Isaac Asiata 0 Yd Fumble Recovery(Andy Phillips Kick) — UTAH win probability +12.0 pts (now 37%) (top driver: USC has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:45: Troy Williams pass complete to Raelon Singleton for 10 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK) — UTAH win probability +32.0 pts (now 51%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  5. TD · Q4 0:16: Troy Williams pass complete to Tim Patrick for 18 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK) — UTAH win probability +63.1 pts (now 96%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTAH made the numbers' call on 5 of 8USC made the numbers' call on 1 of 3
  1. Q1 8:10UTAH 4th & 1 at USC 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 57.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    57.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    57.2%−0.3
    84% to make
    Punt
    56.2%−1.3
    average punt
  2. Q2 14:03UTAH 4th & 7 at UTAH 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.1%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.3%
    average punt
  3. Q2 6:39UTAH 4th & 15 at USC 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 57.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.2%−1.6
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.8%
    79% to make
    Punt
    51.7%−5.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 2:30UTAH 4th & 4 at UTAH 38, down 4
    Close callPunted · 50.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.9%−0.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:35USC 4th & 12 at UTAH 14, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 51.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.6%−2.5
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.1%
    84% to make
    Punt
    44.9%−7.2
    average punt
  6. Q3 13:28UTAH 4th & 4 at UTAH 47, down 7
    Close callPunted · 43.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.1%−0.7
    average punt
  7. Q4 14:55USC 4th & 3 at UTAH 25, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 70.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.4%−1.0
    66% to make
    Punt
    63.1%−8.3
    average punt
  8. Q4 10:14UTAH 4th & 1 at USC 12, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    17.7%−1.7
    86% to make
    Punt
    9.0%−10.4
    average punt
  9. Q4 5:37USC 4th & 3 at UTAH 37, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 6.0 ptsPunted · 71.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.0%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    66.8%−5.2
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    66.1%−6.0
    average punt
  10. Q4 2:43UTAH 4th & 1 at USC 35, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 37.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    37.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    33.8%−3.2
    45% to make
    Punt
    23.1%−13.9
    average punt
  11. Q4 0:45UTAH 4th & 1 at USC 23, down 3
    Numbers favored field goal by 4.5 ptsWent for it · 37.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.1%−4.5
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    39.5%
    70% to make
    Punt
    12.4%−27.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTAH made the numbers' call on 2 of 4USC made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 7:19UTAH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:07USC Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:42USC Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 9:48USC Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:51UTAH Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 9:45UTAH Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.8%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.1%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 0:16UTAH Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Numbers favored go for two by 1.7 ptsKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.1%−1.7
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USCDrive 1FUMBLE
6 plays · 34 yds · 1:1348% → 48%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
52.1%
Justin Davis run for 3 yds to the USC 28Similar
Q1 14:50
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
52.1%
Sam Darnold pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+15
52.2%
Sam Darnold pass complete to JuJu Smith-Schuster for 15 yds to the USC 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
52.1%
Sam Darnold pass incomplete to Jalen Greene, broken up by Brian AllenSimilar
Q1 13:42
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+16
52.1%
Justin Davis run for 16 yds to the Utah 41 Justin Davis fumbled, forced by Chase Hansen, recovered by Utah Hunter DimickSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 2TD
12 plays · 59 yds · 6:2152% → 57%
Q1 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
52.3%
Zack Moss run for 2 yds to the Utah 43Similar
Q1 13:05
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+9
52.5%
Zack Moss run for 9 yds to the USC 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+12
52.7%
Zack Moss run for 12 yds to the USC 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
52.8%
Zack Moss run for 3 yds to the USC 33Similar
Q1 11:38
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+3
53.1%
Zack Moss run for 3 yds to the USC 30Similar
Q1 10:45
3RD & 4
OPP 30
+7
53.1%
Troy Williams run for 7 yds to the USC 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
53.4%
Troy Williams run for 5 yds to the USC 18Similar
Q1 9:45
2ND & 5
OPP 18
+1
53.6%
Zack Moss run for 1 yd to the USC 17Similar
Q1 8:55
3RD & 4
OPP 17
+3
53.5%
Zack Moss run for 3 yds to the USC 14Similar
Q1 8:10
4TH & 1
OPP 14
+3
53.3%
Zack Moss run for 3 yds to the USC 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
54.0%
Troy McCormick run for 1 yd to the USC 10Similar
Q1 7:19
2ND & 9
OPP 10
+10
56.8%
Troy Williams run for 10 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 4FUMBLE
10 plays · 44 yds · 3:5453% → 55%
Q1 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
53.0%
Zack Moss run for 2 yds to the Utah 27Similar
Q1 6:05
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+10
53.1%
Troy Williams pass complete to Evan Moeai for 10 yds to the Utah 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
53.4%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Cory Butler-ByrdSimilar
Q1 5:38
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+9
53.4%
Zack Moss run for 9 yds to the Utah 46Similar
Q1 5:00
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+7
53.9%
Armand Shyne run for 7 yds to the USC 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
54.4%
Armand Shyne run for 6 yds to the USC 41Similar
Q1 4:15
2ND & 4
OPP 41
+4
54.6%
Armand Shyne run for 4 yds to the USC 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
54.7%
Troy Williams pass complete to Cory Butler-Byrd for 9 yds to the USC 28Similar
Q1 3:01
2ND & 1
OPP 28
-3
55.1%
Zack Moss run for a loss of 3 yards to the USC 31 Zack Moss fumbled, forced by Cameron Smith, recovered by USC Adoree' JacksonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 5FUMBLE
4 plays · 42 yds · 1:0247% → 49%
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+18
53.0%
Justin Davis run for 18 yds to the USC 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
52.0%
Justin Davis run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 2:15
2ND & 9
50
+23
51.5%
Sam Darnold pass complete to Steven Mitchell Jr. for 23 yds to the Utah 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+14
51.0%
Sam Darnold run for 14 yds to the Utah 13 Sam Darnold fumbled, forced by Sunia Tauteoli, recovered by Utah Marcus WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 26 yds · 2:4254% → 54%
Q1 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+13
53.7%
Armand Shyne run for 13 yds to the Utah 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
54.0%
Armand Shyne run for 4 yds to the Utah 30Similar
Q1 0:50
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+6
54.1%
Armand Shyne run for 6 yds to the Utah 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
54.5%
Troy Williams pass complete to Armand Shyne for 2 yds to the Utah 38Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+1
54.7%
Zack Moss run for 1 yd to the Utah 39Similar
Q2 14:50
3RD & 7
OWN 39
0
54.1%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Tim PatrickSimilar
Q2 14:03
4TH & 7
OWN 39
0
53.5%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 58 yds, downed at the USC 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 7FUMBLE
9 plays · 54 yds · 2:5347% → 49%
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+3
53.3%
Ronald Jones II run for 3 yds to the USC 6Similar
Q2 13:29
2ND & 7
OWN 6
+15
53.5%
Darnold, Sam pass incomplete to Rogers, Darreus (Hatfield, Dominique), PENALTY UTAH pass interference (Hatfield, Dominique) 15 yards to the USC21, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN USC.Similar
Q2 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+13
53.0%
Sam Darnold pass complete to Darreus Rogers for 13 yds to the USC 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
52.7%
Ronald Jones II run for 2 yds to the USC 36Similar
Q2 12:21
2ND & 8
OWN 36
0
52.5%
Sam Darnold pass incomplete to JuJu Smith-SchusterSimilar
Q2 12:20
3RD & 8
OWN 36
+14
53.3%
Sam Darnold pass complete to JuJu Smith-Schuster for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:10
1ST & 10
50
+5
51.2%
Ronald Jones II run for 5 yds to the Utah 45Similar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+4
51.2%
Ronald Jones II run for 4 yds to the Utah 41Similar
Q2 11:07
3RD & 1
OPP 41
-2
51.2%
Ronald Jones II run for a loss of 2 yards to the Utah 43 Ronald Jones II fumbled, forced by Pasoni Tasini, recovered by Utah Chase HansenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 8FG
11 plays · 39 yds · 4:2856% → 57%
Q2 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-5
56.1%
UTAH Penalty, False Start (Isaac Asiata) to the Utah 38Similar
Q2 10:55
1ST & 15
OWN 38
-2
54.9%
Armand Shyne run for a loss of 2 yards to the Utah 36Similar
Q2 10:24
2ND & 17
OWN 36
0
54.7%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Raelon SingletonSimilar
Q2 10:20
3RD & 17
OWN 36
+40
53.8%
Troy Williams pass complete to Tim Patrick for 40 yds to the USC 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
57.6%
Troy McCormick run for 1 yd to the USC 23Similar
Q2 9:30
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+7
57.7%
Troy Williams pass complete to Troy McCormick for 7 yds to the USC 16Similar
Q2 8:40
3RD & 2
OPP 16
+3
57.0%
Armand Shyne run for 3 yds to the USC 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:57
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
57.8%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Tim Patrick, broken up by Adoree' JacksonSimilar
Q2 7:45
2ND & 10
OPP 13
0
57.9%
Troy Williams run for no gain to the USC 13Similar
Q2 7:15
3RD & 10
OPP 13
-5
57.1%
Troy Williams run for a loss of 5 yards to the USC 18Similar
Q2 6:39
4TH & 15
OPP 18
+36
56.8%
Andy Phillips 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 9TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 1:4243% → 54%
Q2 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
57.4%
Sam Darnold pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+50
57.5%
Justin Davis run for 50 yds to the Utah 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
53.8%
Sam Darnold run for 4 yds to the Utah 21Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+5
53.8%
Sam Darnold pass complete to JuJu Smith-Schuster for 5 yds to the Utah 16Similar
Q2 4:50
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+2
54.8%
Aca'Cedric Ware run for 2 yds to the Utah 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:42
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
46.0%
Justin Davis run for 14 yds for a TD, (Matt Boermeester KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 1:5549% → 49%
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+16
49.3%
Zack Moss run for 16 yds to the Utah 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
49.7%
Zack Moss run for 4 yds to the Utah 36Similar
Q2 3:35
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+3
51.3%
Zack Moss run for 3 yds to the Utah 39Similar
Q2 3:00
3RD & 3
OWN 39
-1
50.9%
Zack Moss run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 38Similar
Q2 2:30
4TH & 4
OWN 38
0
48.7%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Adoree' Jackson at the USC 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 11FG
14 plays · 71 yds · 1:5052% → 62%
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
47.7%
Sam Darnold pass incomplete to Taylor McNamaraSimilar
Q2 2:20
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+16
47.8%
Sam Darnold pass complete to Darreus Rogers for 16 yds to the USC 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
46.6%
Sam Darnold run for 2 yds to the USC 33Similar
Q2 1:53
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+7
46.6%
Sam Darnold pass complete to JuJu Smith-Schuster for 7 yds to the USC 40Similar
Q2 1:43
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+7
44.5%
Sam Darnold pass complete to Darreus Rogers for 7 yds to the USC 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-2
44.8%
Sam Darnold sacked by Hunter Dimick for a loss of 2 yards to the USC 45Similar
Q2 1:25
2ND & 12
OWN 45
+22
45.6%
Sam Darnold pass complete to Steven Mitchell Jr. for 22 yds to the Utah 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+21
42.8%
Sam Darnold pass complete to JuJu Smith-Schuster for 8 yds to the Utah 25 for a 1ST down UTAH Penalty, Face Mask (13 yards) (13 Yards) to the Utah 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-5
42.6%
USC Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Utah 17Similar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 15
OPP 17
0
43.2%
Sam Darnold pass incomplete to Darreus Rogers, broken up by Dominique HatfieldSimilar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 15
OPP 17
+3
43.1%
Sam Darnold run for 3 yds to the Utah 14Similar
Q2 0:45
3RD & 12
OPP 14
0
43.7%
Sam Darnold pass incomplete to Darreus RogersSimilar
Q2 0:35
4TH & 12
OPP 14
+32
38.5%
Matt Boermeester 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:0042% → 42%
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
41.9%
Armand Shyne run for 5 yds to the Utah 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 1:1741% → 41%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+11
40.6%
Troy Williams pass complete to Cory Butler-Byrd for 11 yds to the Utah 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
42.3%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Raelon SingletonSimilar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+6
41.2%
Zack Moss run for 6 yds to the Utah 47Similar
Q3 13:40
3RD & 4
OWN 47
0
42.2%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Tim Patrick, broken up by Adoree' JacksonSimilar
Q3 13:28
4TH & 4
OWN 47
0
40.6%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the USC 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 14TD
10 plays · 91 yds · 3:3761% → 81%
Q3 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+14
38.6%
Justin Davis run for 14 yds to the USC 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
37.8%
Sam Darnold run for 8 yds to the USC 31Similar
Q3 12:45
2ND & 2
OWN 31
+5
36.3%
Justin Davis run for 5 yds to the USC 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
36.1%
Justin Davis run for 2 yds to the USC 38Similar
Q3 11:35
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+21
35.1%
Sam Darnold pass complete to Taylor McNamara for 21 yds to the Utah 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+35
34.1%
Sam Darnold pass complete to JuJu Smith-Schuster for 35 yds to the Utah 6 for a 1ST down UTAH Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Marcus Williams) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
33.4%
Ronald Jones II run for 3 yds to the Utah 3Similar
Q3 10:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
33.0%
USC Penalty, False Start (Reuben Peters) to the Utah 8Similar
Q3 9:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
19.1%
Sam Darnold run for 8 yds for a TD, (Matt Boermeester KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 15FUMBLE RETURN TD
12 plays · 85 yds · 4:5424% → 37%
Q3 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
24.1%
Armand Shyne run for 3 yds to the Utah 18Similar
Q3 8:50
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+7
23.5%
Armand Shyne run for 7 yds to the Utah 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
23.6%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Tim PatrickSimilar
Q3 8:25
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
22.4%
Williams, Troy pass incomplete to Butler-Byrd, Cory, PENALTY USC pass interference (Lockett, Jonathan) 9 yards to the UTAH34, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UTAH.Similar
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
22.8%
Troy Williams pass complete to Siaosi Wilson for 9 yds to the Utah 43Similar
Q3 7:45
2ND & 1
OWN 43
+28
24.3%
Troy Williams pass complete to Harrison Handley for 28 yds to the USC 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
25.9%
Armand Shyne run for 2 yds to the USC 27Similar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+8
25.7%
Troy Williams pass complete to Cory Butler-Byrd for 8 yds to the USC 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+18
24.9%
Troy Williams pass complete to Raelon Singleton for 18 yds to the USC 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
24.6%
Troy Williams run for no gain to the USC 1Similar
Q3 4:51
2ND & 0
OWN 1
0
36.6%
Isaac Asiata 0 Yd Fumble Recovery(Andy Phillips Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 16FG
13 plays · 48 yds · 4:5567% → 74%
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
33.3%
Aca'Cedric Ware run for 6 yds to the USC 33Similar
Q3 4:35
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+6
32.3%
Sam Darnold pass complete to Aca'Cedric Ware for 6 yds to the USC 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
31.1%
Aca'Cedric Ware run for 9 yds to the USC 48Similar
Q3 3:55
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+5
30.6%
Aca'Cedric Ware run for 5 yds to the Utah 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-2
29.6%
Aca'Cedric Ware run for a loss of 2 yards to the Utah 49Similar
Q3 3:30
2ND & 12
OPP 49
+5
29.9%
Sam Darnold run for 5 yds to the Utah 44Similar
Q3 2:30
3RD & 7
OPP 44
+12
29.3%
Sam Darnold pass complete to Darreus Rogers for 12 yds to the Utah 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-1
28.1%
Sam Darnold run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 33Similar
Q3 1:30
2ND & 11
OPP 33
-5
27.8%
USC Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Utah 38Similar
Q3 1:00
2ND & 16
OPP 38
+10
28.8%
Sam Darnold pass complete to Darreus Rogers for 10 yds to the Utah 28Similar
Q3 0:01
3RD & 6
OPP 28
+3
27.1%
Justin Davis run for 3 yds to the Utah 25Similar
Q4 14:55
4TH & 3
OPP 25
+43
25.6%
Matt Boermeester 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 17TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:4525% → 51%
Q4 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
24.8%
Zack Moss run for 3 yds to the Utah 28Similar
Q4 14:05
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+21
24.4%
Troy Williams pass complete to Cory Butler-Byrd for 21 yds to the Utah 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
26.4%
Troy Williams pass complete to Zack Moss for 4 yds to the USC 47Similar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+2
27.0%
Zack Moss run for 2 yds to the USC 45Similar
Q4 13:00
3RD & 4
OPP 45
+9
26.1%
Troy Williams pass complete to Demari Simpkins for 9 yds to the USC 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+15
25.9%
Cory Butler-Byrd run for 15 yds to the USC 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
26.5%
Troy Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:44
2ND & 10
OPP 21
-5
26.2%
UTAH Penalty, False Start (Evan Moeai) to the USC 26Similar
Q4 11:25
2ND & 15
OPP 26
+3
24.4%
Zack Moss run for 3 yds to the USC 23Similar
Q4 11:00
3RD & 12
OPP 23
+11
22.4%
Troy Williams pass complete to Tim Patrick for 11 yds to the USC 12Similar
Q4 10:14
4TH & 1
OPP 12
+2
19.1%
Zack Moss run for 2 yds to the USC 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
51.1%
Troy Williams pass complete to Raelon Singleton for 10 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 18PUNT
10 plays · 30 yds · 3:5865% → 71%
Q4 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
35.0%
Sam Darnold pass incomplete to Deontay Burnett, broken up by Justin ThomasSimilar
Q4 9:15
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+1
35.6%
Ronald Jones II run for 1 yd to the USC 34Similar
Q4 8:50
3RD & 9
OWN 34
+22
36.7%
Sam Darnold pass complete to Tyler Petite for 22 yds to the Utah 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-5
30.9%
Darnold, Sam pass complete to Rogers, Darreus for 32 yards to the UTAH12, PENALTY USC ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the UTAH49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:30
1ST & 15
OPP 49
-1
32.4%
Ronald Jones II run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 16
50
+11
31.2%
Adoree' Jackson run for 11 yds to the Utah 39Similar
Q4 6:00
3RD & 5
OPP 39
+2
25.9%
Sam Darnold pass complete to JuJu Smith-Schuster for 2 yds to the Utah 37Similar
Q4 5:37
4TH & 3
OPP 37
0
28.7%
Chris Tilbey punt for 30 yds, downed at the Utah 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 19TD
18 plays · 93 yds · 5:1439% → 96%
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
38.9%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Raelon Singleton, broken up by Iman MarshallSimilar
Q4 5:24
2ND & 10
OWN 7
0
38.3%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Tim PatrickSimilar
Q4 5:19
3RD & 10
OWN 7
+15
36.4%
Williams, Troy pass incomplete to Wilson, Siaosi, PENALTY USC pass interference (Marshall, Iman) 15 yards to the UTAH22, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UTAH.Similar
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+14
39.2%
Troy Williams pass complete to Tim Patrick for 14 yds to the Utah 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
40.6%
Zack Moss run for 2 yds to the Utah 38Similar
Q4 4:03
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+8
41.0%
Troy Williams pass complete to Tim Patrick for 8 yds to the Utah 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+10
43.6%
Troy Williams pass complete to Evan Moeai for 10 yds to the USC 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
44.7%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Tim PatrickSimilar
Q4 3:34
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
44.3%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Cory Butler-Byrd, broken up by Jonathan LockettSimilar
Q4 3:33
3RD & 10
OPP 44
-5
39.7%
UTAH Penalty, False Start (Garett Bolles) to the USC 49Similar
Q4 3:00
3RD & 15
OPP 49
+14
37.2%
Troy Williams pass complete to Raelon Singleton for 14 yds to the USC 35Similar
Q4 2:43
4TH & 1
OPP 35
+3
37.7%
Armand Shyne run for 3 yds to the USC 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
43.5%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Cory Butler-ByrdSimilar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+9
43.4%
Troy Williams pass complete to Tim Patrick for 9 yds to the USC 23Similar
Q4 1:20
3RD & 1
OPP 23
0
37.1%
Troy Williams run for no gain to the USC 23Similar
Q4 0:45
4TH & 1
OPP 23
+5
33.3%
Zack Moss run for 5 yds to the USC 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
96.4%
Troy Williams pass complete to Tim Patrick for 18 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 20END OF GAME
2 plays · 15 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q4 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
85.1%
Sam Darnold pass complete to JuJu Smith-Schuster for 12 yds to the Utah 47 for a 1ST down lat. to Zach Banner for 3 yds to the Utah 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:16
Troy Williams pass complete to Tim Patrick for 18 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)
+63.1
TD · Q4 9:45
Troy Williams pass complete to Raelon Singleton for 10 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)
+32
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+14.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com