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PRST

Portland State 3 at Washington 41

WASH
2016 · Week 3 · Sep 17, 2016 · Husky Stadium
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Win probability · WASH
modelWASH aheadPRST aheadconfidence bandkey playWASH scorePRST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of GameFG-0.3WASH 99.7%Jonathan Gonzales 26 Yd Field GoalAWAY 3 - HOME 28 · Q3 1:01
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 1:01 · Jonathan Gonzales 26 Yd Field Goal
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 106Pregame prior+25.5Home team on offense+31.4Score differential+10.8Blowout margin+12.3Garbage-time factor+10.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+7.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:49: Chico McClatcher 13 Yd pass from Jake Browning (Cameron Van Winkle Kick) — WASH win probability +0.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 13:52: Myles Gaskin 4 Yd Run (Cameron Van Winkle Kick) — WASH win probability +0.4 pts (now 100%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 14:42: Nate Tago run for 3 yds to the PrtSt 28 — PRST win probability +1.2 pts (now 1%) (top driver: PRST has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 1:01: Jonathan Gonzales 26 Yd Field Goal — PRST win probability +0.3 pts (now 0%) (top driver: PRST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 12:40: Myles Gaskin 4 Yd pass from Jake Browning (Cameron Van Winkle Kick) — WASH win probability +0.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WASH made the numbers' call on 3 of 4PRST made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 4:58PRST 4th & 18 at WASH 45, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−0.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    1.6%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%
    average punt
  2. Q2 11:47PRST 4th & 3 at PRST 32, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  3. Q2 10:15WASH 4th & 5 at PRST 46, up 28
    Close callPunted · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    99.2%−0.2
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 6:34PRST 4th & 15 at PRST 40, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  5. Q3 9:43PRST 4th & 10 at WASH 33, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%
    49% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q3 6:34WASH 4th & 6 at WASH 24, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  7. Q3 4:58PRST 4th & 1 at WASH 41, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    -0.0%−0.2
    32% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q3 1:01PRST 4th & 9 at WASH 9, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.1%
    89% to make
    Punt
    -0.4%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q4 11:01PRST 4th & 4 at PRST 31, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  10. Q4 7:34WASH 4th & 1 at PRST 39, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.2
    36% to make
    Punt
    99.7%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q4 6:04WASH 4th & 18 at PRST 44, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:43PRST 4th & 4 at PRST 10, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:15PRST 4th & 3 at PRST 35, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WASH made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 12:37WASH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 12:12WASH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:49WASH Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 13:52WASH Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 12:40WASH Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 2:24WASH Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WASHDrive 1TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:1899% → 99%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.3%
Myles Gaskin run for 6 yds to the Wash 31Similar
Q1 14:40
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+12
99.3%
Jake Browning pass complete to Chico McClatcher for 12 yds to the Wash 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+13
99.3%
Chico McClatcher run for 13 yds to the PrtSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
99.2%
Myles Gaskin run for 1 yd to the PrtSt 43Similar
Q1 12:37
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+43
99.2%
Chico McClatcher 43 Yd pass from Jake Browning (Cameron Van Winkle Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 2TD
5 plays · 26 yds · 0:1899% → 99%
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
99.2%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to John RossSimilar
Q1 12:25
2ND & 10
OPP 26
0
99.2%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Chico McClatcherSimilar
Q1 12:20
3RD & 10
OPP 26
+15
99.2%
PORTLAND ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the PrtSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
99.2%
Darrell Daniels 11 Yd pass from Jake Browning (Cameron Van Winkle Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 3PUNT
14 plays · 33 yds · 7:021% → 1%
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
99.2%
Nate Tago run for 2 yds to the PrtSt 24Similar
Q1 11:50
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+5
99.2%
Nate Tago run for 5 yds to the PrtSt 29Similar
Q1 11:30
3RD & 3
OWN 29
+8
99.2%
Alex Kuresa run for 8 yds to the PrtSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
99.1%
Alex Kuresa pass complete to Paris Penn for 9 yds to the PrtSt 46Similar
Q1 9:30
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+5
99.1%
Alex Kuresa pass complete to Maximo Espitia for 5 yds to the Wash 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
99.0%
Paris Penn run for no gain to the Wash 49Similar
Q1 8:06
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
99.0%
Alex Kuresa pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:43
3RD & 10
OPP 49
+12
99.0%
Alex Kuresa run for 12 yds to the Wash 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:08
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
99.0%
Paris Penn run for 4 yds to the Wash 33Similar
Q1 6:13
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+1
98.9%
Nate Tago run for 1 yd to the Wash 32Similar
Q1 5:22
3RD & 5
OPP 32
-13
98.9%
Alex Kuresa sacked by Psalm Wooching for a loss of 13 yards to the Wash 45Similar
Q1 5:07
4TH & 18
OPP 45
0
98.9%
PORTLAND ST Penalty, Delay of Game ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 4:58
4TH & 18
OPP 45
0
98.9%
Marcus Kinsella punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wash 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 4TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 4:4899% → 99%
Q1 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+20
98.9%
Chico McClatcher run for 20 yds to the Wash 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
98.9%
Myles Gaskin run for 2 yds to the Wash 42Similar
Q1 3:47
2ND & 8
OWN 42
0
98.9%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Dante PettisSimilar
Q1 3:26
3RD & 8
OWN 42
+11
98.9%
Jake Browning pass complete to Drew Sample for 11 yds to the PrtSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
98.9%
Lavon Coleman run for 7 yds to the PrtSt 40Similar
Q1 2:10
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+5
98.8%
Myles Gaskin run for 5 yds to the PrtSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
98.8%
Myles Gaskin run for 3 yds to the PrtSt 32Similar
Q1 0:45
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+3
98.8%
Myles Gaskin run for 3 yds to the PrtSt 29Similar
Q1 0:11
3RD & 4
OPP 29
+12
98.7%
Jake Browning pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 12 yds to the PrtSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
98.7%
Myles Gaskin run for 4 yds to the PrtSt 13Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 6
OPP 13
0
98.7%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Jomon DotsonSimilar
Q2 14:49
3RD & 6
OPP 13
+13
99.1%
Chico McClatcher 13 Yd pass from Jake Browning (Cameron Van Winkle Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 5FUMBLE
3 plays · -21 yds · 0:331% → 1%
Q2 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.1%
Nate Tago run for a loss of 1 yard to the PrtSt 24Similar
Q2 14:04
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-20
99.1%
Alex Kuresa run for a loss of 20 yards to the PrtSt 4 Alex Kuresa fumbled, recovered by Wash Tevis BartlettSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 6TD
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:0899% → 100%
Q2 14:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
99.2%
Jake Browning pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.5%
Myles Gaskin 4 Yd Run (Cameron Van Winkle Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:401% → 1%
Q2 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.5%
Nate Tago run for 1 yd to the PrtSt 26Similar
Q2 12:53
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
99.5%
Alex Kuresa pass complete to Paris Penn for 4 yds to the PrtSt 30Similar
Q2 12:13
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+2
99.5%
Nate Tago run for 2 yds to the PrtSt 32Similar
Q2 11:47
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
99.5%
Marcus Kinsella punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wash 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 20 yds · 1:15100% → 100%
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+15
99.6%
Myles Gaskin run for 15 yds to the Wash 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
99.6%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Budda BakerSimilar
Q2 10:45
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+5
99.6%
Jake Browning pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 5 yds to the PrtSt 46Similar
Q2 10:22
3RD & 5
OPP 46
0
99.6%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Budda BakerSimilar
Q2 10:15
4TH & 5
OPP 46
0
99.5%
Tristan Vizcaino punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 3:261% → 0%
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
99.5%
Alex Kuresa pass complete to Paris Penn for 9 yds to the PrtSt 29Similar
Q2 9:30
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+2
99.5%
Paris Penn run for 2 yds to the PrtSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
99.5%
Alex Kuresa sacked by Brandon Beaver for a loss of 1 yard to the PrtSt 30Similar
Q2 8:20
2ND & 11
OWN 30
+15
99.5%
WASHINGTON Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the PrtSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
99.6%
Paris Penn run for 2 yds to the PrtSt 47Similar
Q2 7:08
2ND & 8
OWN 47
-7
99.6%
Alex Kuresa sacked by Joe Mathis for a loss of 7 yards to the PrtSt 40Similar
Q2 6:41
3RD & 15
OWN 40
0
99.7%
Alex Kuresa pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:34
4TH & 15
OWN 40
0
99.7%
Marcus Kinsella punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wash 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 10FUMBLE
6 plays · 38 yds · 2:16100% → 100%
Q2 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
99.6%
Jomon Dotson run for 2 yds to the Wash 32Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+3
99.6%
Jomon Dotson run for 3 yds to the Wash 35Similar
Q2 5:05
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+24
99.7%
Jake Browning pass complete to Darrell Daniels for 24 yds to the PrtSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
99.7%
Jomon Dotson run for 2 yds to the PrtSt 39Similar
Q2 4:05
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+12
99.7%
Lavon Coleman run for 12 yds to the PrtSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-5
99.7%
Jake Browning sacked by Davond Dade for a loss of 5 yards to the PrtSt 32 Jake Browning fumbled, recovered by PrtSt Kenton Bartlett , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 11FUMBLE
6 plays · 55 yds · 3:010% → 0%
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-1
99.8%
Paris Penn run for a loss of 1 yard to the PrtSt 31Similar
Q2 3:40
2ND & 11
OWN 31
-1
99.8%
Alex Kuresa sacked by Elijah Qualls for a loss of 1 yard to the PrtSt 30Similar
Q2 2:30
3RD & 12
OWN 30
+18
99.7%
Alex Kuresa pass complete to Maximo Espitia for 18 yds to the PrtSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
99.7%
Nate Tago run for 3 yds to the Wash 49Similar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 7
OPP 49
-1
99.6%
Nate Tago run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:49
3RD & 8
50
+37
99.6%
Alex Kuresa pass complete to Maximo Espitia for 37 yds Maximo Espitia fumbled, recovered by WashSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · 12 yds · 0:31100% → 100%
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+6
99.8%
Lavon Coleman run for 6 yds to the Wash 19Similar
Q2 0:02
2ND & 4
OWN 19
+6
99.8%
Lavon Coleman run for 6 yds to the Wash 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 13INT
13 plays · 58 yds · 5:501% → 0%
Q3 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.6%
Nate Tago run for 3 yds to the PrtSt 28Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+15
99.8%
Alex Kuresa pass complete to Josh Kraght for 15 yds to the PrtSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
99.8%
Zach Floyd run for no gain to the PrtSt 43Similar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+10
99.8%
Alex Kuresa pass complete to Chris Seisay for 10 yds to the Wash 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-1
99.8%
Zach Floyd run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 48Similar
Q3 11:34
2ND & 11
OPP 48
+15
99.8%
WASHINGTON Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Wash 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:21
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
99.8%
Alex Kuresa run for 3 yds to the Wash 30Similar
Q3 10:49
2ND & 7
OPP 30
0
99.8%
Alex Kuresa pass incomplete to Maximo EspitiaSimilar
Q3 10:15
3RD & 7
OPP 30
-3
99.8%
Nate Tago run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wash 33 Nate Tago fumbled, recovered by PrtStSimilar
Q3 9:43
4TH & 10
OPP 33
+15
99.7%
Alex Kuresa pass complete to Maximo Espitia for 15 yds to the Wash 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
99.8%
Nate Tago run for 1 yd to the Wash 17Similar
Q3 8:52
2ND & 9
OPP 17
0
99.8%
Alex Kuresa pass intercepted, touchback. Sidney Jones return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 2:04100% → 100%
Q3 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
99.8%
WASHINGTON Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Wash 10Similar
Q3 8:10
1ST & 20
OWN 10
+1
99.8%
Jake Browning pass complete to Chico McClatcher for 1 yd to the Wash 11Similar
Q3 7:25
2ND & 19
OWN 11
+3
99.9%
Myles Gaskin run for 3 yds to the Wash 14Similar
Q3 7:00
3RD & 16
OWN 14
+10
99.9%
Jake Browning pass complete to John Ross for 10 yds to the Wash 24Similar
Q3 6:34
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Tristan Vizcaino punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 15FG
14 plays · 41 yds · 5:110% → 0%
Q3 6:12
1ST & 10
50
+2
99.8%
Zach Floyd run for 2 yds to the Wash 48Similar
Q3 5:54
2ND & 8
OPP 48
0
99.8%
Alex Kuresa pass incomplete to Chris SeisaySimilar
Q3 5:19
3RD & 8
OPP 48
+7
99.8%
Alex Kuresa pass complete to Charlie Taumoepeau for 7 yds to the Wash 41Similar
Q3 4:58
4TH & 1
OPP 41
+7
99.9%
Nate Tago run for 7 yds to the Wash 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
99.9%
Zach Floyd run for 3 yds to the Wash 31Similar
Q3 3:53
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+8
99.9%
Alex Kuresa run for 8 yds to the Wash 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:33
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
99.9%
Zach Floyd run for no gain to the Wash 23Similar
Q3 2:52
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+19
99.9%
Alex Kuresa pass complete to Josh Kraght for 19 yds to the Wash 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-3
99.9%
Zach Floyd run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wash 7Similar
Q3 1:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-2
99.9%
Zach Floyd run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 9Similar
Q3 1:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
99.9%
Alex Kuresa pass incomplete to Charlie TaumoepeauSimilar
Q3 1:01
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+26
99.7%
Jonathan Gonzales 26 Yd Field GoalSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 16TD
8 plays · 63 yds · 2:56100% → 100%
Q3 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
99.8%
Jake Browning run for 6 yds to the Wash 43Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+4
99.8%
Chico McClatcher run for 4 yds to the Wash 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-8
99.8%
Myles Gaskin run for 7 yds to the WASHINGTON 46 WASHINGTON Penalty, Illegal Batting (-15 Yards) to the Wash 39Similar
Q4 14:00
1ST & 18
OWN 39
+17
99.8%
Jake Browning pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 17 yds to the PrtSt 44Similar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 1
OPP 44
+37
99.8%
Myles Gaskin run for 37 yds to the PrtSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
99.8%
Myles Gaskin run for 3 yds to the PrtSt 4Similar
Q4 12:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.9%
Myles Gaskin 4 Yd pass from Jake Browning (Cameron Van Winkle Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:210% → 0%
Q4 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
100.0%
Zach Floyd run for 2 yds to the PrtSt 27Similar
Q4 11:47
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
100.0%
Mitchell Thompson run for 4 yds to the PrtSt 31Similar
Q4 11:08
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
100.0%
Alex Kuresa run for no gain to the PrtSt 31Similar
Q4 11:01
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
100.0%
Marcus Kinsella punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Aaron Fuller at the Wash 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 18PUNT
10 plays · 25 yds · 4:26100% → 100%
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+21
99.9%
Lavon Coleman run for 21 yds to the PrtSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
99.9%
Lavon Coleman run for 4 yds to the PrtSt 44Similar
Q4 9:22
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+1
99.9%
Lavon Coleman run for 1 yd to the PrtSt 43Similar
Q4 8:15
3RD & 5
OPP 43
+4
99.9%
K.J. Carta-Samuels pass complete to David Ajamu for 4 yds to the PrtSt 39Similar
Q4 7:34
4TH & 1
OPP 39
+3
99.9%
Aaron Fuller run for 3 yds to the PrtSt 36 Aaron Fuller fumbled, recovered by Wash Myles Gaskin for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:09
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
100.0%
Lavon Coleman run for 5 yds to the PrtSt 31Similar
Q4 6:45
2ND & 5
OPP 31
-3
100.0%
Lavon Coleman run for a loss of 3 yards to the PrtSt 34Similar
Q4 6:23
3RD & 8
OPP 34
0
100.0%
K.J. Carta-Samuels pass incomplete to Aaron FullerSimilar
Q4 6:16
4TH & 8
OPP 34
-10
99.9%
WASHINGTON Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the PrtSt 44Similar
Q4 6:04
4TH & 18
OPP 44
0
99.9%
Tristan Vizcaino punt for 40 yds, downed at the PrtSt 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 2:020% → 0%
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+2
100.0%
Zach Floyd run for 2 yds to the PrtSt 6Similar
Q4 4:55
2ND & 8
OWN 6
+2
100.0%
Zach Floyd run for 2 yds to the PrtSt 8Similar
Q4 4:00
3RD & 6
OWN 8
+2
100.0%
Zach Floyd run for 2 yds to the PrtSt 10Similar
Q4 3:43
4TH & 4
OWN 10
0
100.0%
Marcus Kinsella punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the PrtSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 20TD
3 plays · 40 yds · 0:56100% → 100%
Q4 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
100.0%
Jomon Dotson run for 4 yds to the PrtSt 36Similar
Q4 2:45
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+9
100.0%
Jomon Dotson run for 9 yds to the PrtSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:24
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
100.0%
Will Dissly 27 Yd pass from K.J. Carta-Samuels ( PAT failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:450% → 0%
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
100.0%
Mitchell Thompson run for 4 yds to the PrtSt 32Similar
Q4 1:26
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+2
100.0%
Alex Kuresa run for 2 yds to the PrtSt 34Similar
Q4 1:24
3RD & 4
OWN 34
+1
100.0%
Alex Kuresa run for 1 yd to the PrtSt 35Similar
Q4 1:15
4TH & 3
OWN 35
0
100.0%
Marcus Kinsella punt for 62 yds, downed at the Wash 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 22END OF GAME
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:32100% → 100%
Q4 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+1
100.0%
K.J. Carta-Samuels run for 1 yd to the Wash 4Similar
Q4 0:15
2ND & 9
OWN 4
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q3 14:42
Nate Tago run for 3 yds to the PrtSt 28
-1.2
TD · Q2 14:49
Chico McClatcher 13 Yd pass from Jake Browning (Cameron Van Winkle Kick)
+0.4
TD · Q2 13:52
Myles Gaskin 4 Yd Run (Cameron Van Winkle Kick)
+0.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com