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UTAH

Utah 34 at San José State 17

SJSU
2016 · Week 3 · Sep 17, 2016 · CEFCU Stadium
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Win probability · SJSU
modelSJSU aheadUTAH aheadconfidence bandkey playSJSU scoreUTAH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 4:20 · Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 59 yds , Tim Crawley returns for no gain to the SJSt 17 Tim Crawley fumbled, forced by Casey Hughes, recovered by Utah Jason Thompson
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 32Pregame prior−27.6Home team on offense−0.1Score differential−0.7Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:30: Kenny Potter pass complete to Josh Oliver for 1 yd for a TD, (Bryce Crawford KICK) — SJSU win probability +4.4 pts (now 33%) (top driver: SJSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:55: Troy McCormick run for 16 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK) — UTAH win probability +4.9 pts (now 75%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:15: Troy Williams pass complete to Tim Patrick for 4 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK) — UTAH win probability +6.5 pts (now 82%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 3:14: Zack Moss run for 10 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK) — UTAH win probability +8.3 pts (now 92%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:23: Armand Shyne run for 9 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK) — UTAH win probability +3.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SJSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 8UTAH made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 10:57SJSU 4th & 2 at UTAH 11, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 23.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.2%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.1%−0.1
    87% to make
    Punt
    22.6%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:48UTAH 4th & 7 at SJSU 19, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 75.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.4%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.5%
    77% to make
    Punt
    74.6%−0.9
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:44SJSU 4th & 12 at SJSU 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.7%−0.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:20UTAH 4th & 15 at UTAH 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.6%−0.7
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.3%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:00UTAH 4th & 5 at SJSU 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 73.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.1%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.2%
    92% to make
    Punt
    71.4%−1.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:49SJSU 4th & 19 at SJSU 13, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.6%−2.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:53UTAH 4th & 6 at UTAH 25, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.1%−0.5
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:00SJSU 4th & 16 at SJSU 22, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.4%−2.6
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00UTAH 4th & 7 at UTAH 28, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.3%−0.7
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:28SJSU 4th & 16 at SJSU 19, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.8%−1.4
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:48SJSU 4th & 2 at SJSU 28, down 10
    Close callPunted · 18.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.0%−0.7
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:09SJSU 4th & 12 at UTAH 47, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.0%−1.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:16SJSU 4th & 24 at UTAH 35, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.6%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    1.8%
    45% to make
    Punt
    1.7%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:35UTAH 4th & 11 at UTAH 36, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.8%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SJSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2UTAH made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q2 10:30SJSU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:55UTAH Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:15UTAH Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 3:14UTAH Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 9:23UTAH Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 3:45SJSU Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.4%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SJSUDrive 1FG
11 plays · 64 yds · 4:0319% → 21%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
18.7%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Deontae Cooper for 2 yds to the SJSt 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+16
18.7%
Deontae Cooper run for 1 yd to the SJSt 28 for a 1ST down UTAH Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Brian Allen) to the SJSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
18.7%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tim Crawley for 6 yds to the SJSt 49Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+4
18.7%
Deontae Cooper run for 4 yds to the Utah 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
18.7%
Kenny Potter pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+28
18.7%
Kenny Potter run for 28 yds to the Utah 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
18.7%
Rahshead Johnson run for 4 yds to the Utah 15Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 15
0
18.7%
Kenny Potter pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 15
+4
18.7%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tim Crawley for 4 yds to the Utah 11Similar
Q1 10:57
4TH & 2
OPP 11
+29
21.1%
Bryce Crawford 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 2FG
8 plays · 56 yds · 2:0979% → 79%
Q1 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
21.0%
Troy Williams pass complete to Troy McCormick for 8 yds to the Utah 33Similar
Q1 10:57
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+45
20.9%
Troy Williams pass complete to Cory Butler-Byrd for 45 yds to the SJSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
20.6%
Troy McCormick run for 3 yds to the SJSt 19Similar
Q1 10:57
2ND & 7
OPP 19
+3
20.6%
Troy Williams pass complete to Evan Moeai for 3 yds to the SJSt 16Similar
Q1 10:57
3RD & 4
OPP 16
-5
20.7%
UTAH Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the SJSt 21Similar
Q1 10:57
3RD & 9
OPP 21
+2
20.8%
Troy McCormick run for 2 yds to the SJSt 19Similar
Q1 8:48
4TH & 7
OPP 19
+37
21.5%
Andy Phillips 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 24 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q1 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
21.8%
POTTER, Kenny pass incomplete to JOHNSON, Rahshe, PENALTY UTAH roughing passer (Luafatasaga, K.) 15 yards to the SJ35, 1ST DOWN SJ, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
21.8%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Rahshead Johnson for 2 yds to the SJSt 37Similar
Q1 8:44
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+9
21.9%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Deontae Cooper for 9 yds to the SJSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
22.2%
Rahshead Johnson run for 2 yds to the SJSt 48Similar
Q1 8:44
2ND & 8
OWN 48
-4
22.2%
Kenny Potter sacked by Filipo Mokofisi for a loss of 4 yards to the SJSt 44Similar
Q1 8:44
3RD & 12
OWN 44
0
21.7%
Kenny Potter pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:44
4TH & 12
OWN 44
0
21.6%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 56 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:2377% → 75%
Q1 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
23.3%
Zack Moss run for 2 yds to the Utah 22Similar
Q1 5:43
2ND & 8
OWN 22
-7
23.3%
Troy Williams sacked by Nick Oreglia for a loss of 7 yards to the Utah 15Similar
Q1 4:20
3RD & 15
OWN 15
0
24.6%
Troy Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:20
4TH & 15
OWN 15
0
24.8%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 59 yds , Tim Crawley returns for no gain to the SJSt 17 Tim Crawley fumbled, forced by Casey Hughes, recovered by Utah Jason ThompsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 5FG
6 plays · 12 yds · 2:0477% → 76%
Q1 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+14
23.3%
Troy Williams pass complete to Evan Moeai for 14 yds to the SJSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:04
1ST & 0
OPP 3
-5
23.1%
UTAH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SJSt 8Similar
Q1 4:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
23.3%
Zack Moss run for 3 yds to the SJSt 5Similar
Q1 4:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
23.3%
Zack Moss run for no gain to the SJSt 5Similar
Q1 4:04
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
23.5%
Troy Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
24.2%
Andy Phillips 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 6TD
18 plays · 84 yds · 6:2625% → 33%
Q1 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
24.5%
Kenny Potter run for no gain to the SJSt 16Similar
Q1 1:56
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+12
24.4%
Deontae Cooper run for 12 yds to the SJSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
24.6%
Deontae Cooper run for 4 yds to the SJSt 32Similar
Q1 1:56
2ND & 6
OWN 32
-2
24.7%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Rahshead Johnson for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSt 30Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 30
+17
25.0%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tre Hartley for 17 yds to the SJSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
26.6%
Deontae Cooper run for 7 yds to the Utah 46Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+9
26.9%
Deontae Cooper run for 9 yds to the Utah 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
26.9%
POTTER, Kenny pass incomplete to JOHNSON, Rahshe (Allen, Brian), PENALTY UTAH pass interference (Allen, Brian) 9 yards to the UTAH28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 1
OPP 28
0
27.5%
Kenny Potter pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 28
+12
27.5%
Kenny Potter run for 12 yds to the Utah 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
27.5%
Kenny Potter pass incomplete to Tre HartleySimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+8
27.5%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Tre Hartley for 8 yds to the Utah 8Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 8
+5
26.8%
Deontae Cooper run for 5 yds to the Utah 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
27.5%
Kenny Potter pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
27.5%
Kenny Potter run for 2 yds to the Utah 1Similar
Q2 10:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
33.3%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Josh Oliver for 1 yd for a TD, (Bryce Crawford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 7TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:3568% → 75%
Q2 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
32.5%
Zack Moss run for 3 yds to the Utah 28Similar
Q2 10:30
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+51
32.3%
Zack Moss run for 51 yds to the SJSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
29.7%
Troy McCormick run for 5 yds to the SJSt 16Similar
Q2 8:55
2ND & 5
OPP 16
+16
24.7%
Troy McCormick run for 16 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 0:0027% → 26%
Q2 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
27.0%
Deontae Cooper run for no gain to the SJSt 22Similar
Q2 8:49
2ND & 10
OWN 22
-8
26.9%
Kenny Potter sacked by Sunia Tauteoli for a loss of 8 yards to the SJSt 14Similar
Q2 8:49
3RD & 18
OWN 14
-1
26.1%
Kenny Potter sacked by Hunter Dimick for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 13Similar
Q2 8:49
4TH & 19
OWN 13
+2
25.8%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 58 yds , Boobie Hobbs returns for 2 yds to the Utah 15 UTAH Penalty, illegal block (Cory Butler-Byrd) to the Utah 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0073% → 72%
Q2 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
27.0%
Troy Williams pass complete to Cory Butler-Byrd for 4 yds to the Utah 25Similar
Q2 6:53
2ND & 6
OWN 25
0
26.8%
Troy Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:53
3RD & 6
OWN 25
0
27.7%
Troy Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:53
4TH & 6
OWN 25
0
28.4%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 47 yds, downed at the SJSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:0028% → 26%
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
27.6%
Kenny Potter run for 3 yds to the SJSt 31Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 7
OWN 31
-3
27.7%
Kenny Potter sacked by Filipo Mokofisi for a loss of 3 yards to the SJSt 28Similar
Q2 6:00
3RD & 10
OWN 28
-6
26.5%
Kenny Potter sacked by Lowell Lotulelei for a loss of 6 yards to the SJSt 22Similar
Q2 6:00
4TH & 16
OWN 22
+11
26.0%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 48 yds , Boobie Hobbs returns for 11 yds to the Utah 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · -26 yds · 0:0073% → 70%
Q2 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-14
26.6%
Team run for a loss of 14 yards to the Utah 27Similar
Q2 4:02
2ND & 24
OWN 27
0
28.5%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Tim PatrickSimilar
Q2 4:02
3RD & 24
OWN 27
-12
29.3%
Troy Williams sacked by Owen Roberts for a loss of 12 yards to the Utah 15Similar
Q2 4:02
4TH & 36
OWN 15
0
30.0%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 12INT
3 plays · 14 yds · 0:0031% → 30%
Q2 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+18
30.7%
Kenny Potter pass complete to Justin Holmes for 18 yds to the Utah 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-4
31.6%
Deontae Cooper run for a loss of 4 yards to the Utah 45Similar
Q2 2:35
2ND & 14
OPP 45
0
29.9%
Kenny Potter pass intercepted Reginald Porter return for no gain to the Utah 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 13TD
7 plays · 74 yds · 2:2072% → 82%
Q2 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
28.4%
Troy Williams pass complete to Cory Butler-Byrd for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 25Similar
Q2 2:35
2ND & 11
OWN 25
+10
28.8%
Troy Williams pass complete to Cory Butler-Byrd for 10 yds to the Utah 35Similar
Q2 2:35
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+2
27.8%
Zack Moss run for 2 yds to the Utah 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
27.7%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Raelon SingletonSimilar
Q2 2:35
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+54
28.0%
Troy Williams pass complete to Tim Patrick for 54 yds to the SJSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:35
1ST & 0
OPP 9
+5
24.8%
Williams, Tavar pass incomplete to Wilson, Siaosi (CHACHERE, Andre), PENALTY SJ holding (CHACHERE, Andre) 5 yards to the SJ4, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
18.3%
Troy Williams pass complete to Tim Patrick for 4 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
19.7%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0080% → 78%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
20.5%
Zack Moss run for a loss of 5 yards to the Utah 20Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+8
20.9%
Troy Williams pass complete to Siaosi Wilson for 8 yds to the Utah 28Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
21.0%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Tim PatrickSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+9
21.6%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 56 yds , Thai Cottrell returns for 9 yds to the SJSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:0020% → 18%
Q3 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
19.8%
Deontae Cooper run for 2 yds to the SJSt 27Similar
Q3 13:28
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-2
19.9%
Kenny Potter sacked by Cody Barton for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSt 25Similar
Q3 13:28
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-6
18.9%
Kenny Potter sacked by Pasoni Tasini for a loss of 6 yards to the SJSt 19Similar
Q3 13:28
4TH & 16
OWN 19
+18
18.4%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 58 yds , Boobie Hobbs returns for 18 yds to the Utah 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 17INT
11 plays · 57 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q3 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
19.0%
Troy Williams pass complete to Evan Moeai for 2 yds to the Utah 43Similar
Q3 11:24
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+15
19.1%
Troy Williams pass complete to Tim Patrick for 15 yds to the SJSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-9
19.0%
Troy Williams sacked by Frank Ginda for a loss of 9 yards to the Utah 49Similar
Q3 11:24
2ND & 19
OWN 49
+15
19.7%
Troy Williams pass complete to Tim Patrick for 15 yds to the SJSt 36Similar
Q3 11:24
3RD & 4
OPP 36
+11
19.1%
Troy Williams pass complete to Troy McCormick for 11 yds to the SJSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+11
18.6%
Armand Shyne run for 11 yds to the SJSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+9
18.6%
Armand Shyne run for 9 yds to the SJSt 5Similar
Q3 11:24
2ND & 1
OPP 5
+3
18.6%
Armand Shyne run for 3 yds to the SJSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
18.9%
Armand Shyne run for 1 yd to the SJSt 1Similar
Q3 11:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
18.6%
Armand Shyne run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 2Similar
Q3 11:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
19.3%
Troy Williams pass intercepted, touchback. Maurice McKnight return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q3 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
18.4%
Deontae Cooper run for 3 yds to the SJSt 23Similar
Q3 5:48
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
18.4%
Kenny Potter pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:48
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+5
17.4%
Kenny Potter run for 5 yds to the SJSt 28Similar
Q3 5:48
4TH & 2
OWN 28
+4
17.6%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 44 yds , Boobie Hobbs returns for 4 yds to the Utah 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 19TD
5 plays · 68 yds · 1:2082% → 92%
Q3 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+28
18.0%
Troy Williams pass complete to Tim Patrick for 28 yds to the SJSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+8
16.4%
Troy Williams pass complete to Cory Butler-Byrd for 8 yds to the SJSt 32Similar
Q3 4:34
2ND & 2
OPP 32
+3
15.8%
Zack Moss run for 3 yds to the SJSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+19
15.8%
Troy Williams pass complete to Raelon Singleton for 19 yds to the SJSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
7.6%
Zack Moss run for 10 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 20PUNT
9 plays · 40 yds · 0:0010% → 11%
Q3 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
10.1%
Josh Love pass complete to Deontae Cooper for 2 yds to the SJSt 15Similar
Q3 3:09
2ND & 8
OWN 15
+30
10.1%
Josh Love pass complete to Billy Freeman for 30 yds to the SJSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
11.4%
Deontae Cooper run for 2 yds to the SJSt 47Similar
Q3 3:09
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+8
11.4%
Josh Love pass complete to Tim Crawley for 8 yds to the Utah 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:09
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
11.8%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Tre Hartley, broken up by Brian AllenSimilar
Q3 3:09
2ND & 10
OPP 45
-2
11.6%
Josh Love sacked by Justin Thomas for a loss of 2 yards to the Utah 47Similar
Q3 3:09
3RD & 12
OPP 47
0
11.0%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Justin HolmesSimilar
Q3 3:09
4TH & 12
OPP 47
+7
10.7%
Michael Carrizosa punt for 37 yds , Boobie Hobbs returns for 7 yds to the Utah 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 21FUMBLE
6 plays · 63 yds · 0:1193% → 94%
Q3 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
6.7%
Troy McCormick run for 1 yd to the Utah 18Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 18
+5
6.7%
Troy Williams pass complete to Tim Patrick for 5 yds to the Utah 23Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 23
+6
6.8%
Troy Williams pass complete to Kyle Fulks for 6 yds to the Utah 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+17
6.7%
Armand Shyne run for 17 yds to the Utah 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
6.2%
Troy McCormick run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
50
+31
6.2%
Troy McCormick run for 31 yds to the SJSt 20 Troy McCormick fumbled, forced by Trevon Bierria, recovered by SJSt Jeremy KellySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 22INT
5 plays · 16 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q4 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
6.5%
Josh Love pass complete to Tim Crawley for 7 yds to the SJSt 27Similar
Q4 12:34
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+7
6.9%
Josh Love pass complete to Billy Freeman for 7 yds to the SJSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
6.8%
Malik Roberson run for 2 yds to the SJSt 36Similar
Q4 12:34
2ND & 8
OWN 36
0
7.0%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Tim CrawleySimilar
Q4 12:34
3RD & 8
OWN 36
+5
6.8%
Josh Love pass intercepted Marcus Williams return for 5 yds to the SJSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 23TD
5 plays · 38 yds · 2:0595% → 99%
Q4 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+17
4.8%
Zack Moss run for 17 yds to the SJSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
4.7%
Zack Moss run for 6 yds to the SJSt 15Similar
Q4 11:28
2ND & 4
OPP 15
-11
4.7%
Troy Williams pass complete to Troy McCormick for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 16 UTAH Penalty, Offensive holding (Raelon Singleton) to the SJSt 26Similar
Q4 11:28
2ND & 15
OPP 26
+17
4.8%
Armand Shyne run for 17 yds to the SJSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
1.2%
Armand Shyne run for 9 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 24DOWNS
8 plays · 40 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
1.7%
Josh Love pass complete to Tre Hartley for 4 yds to the SJSt 27Similar
Q4 9:16
2ND & 6
OWN 27
0
1.8%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Tre Hartley, broken up by Reginald PorterSimilar
Q4 9:16
3RD & 6
OWN 27
+52
1.7%
Josh Love pass complete to Tre Hartley for 52 yds to the Utah 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:16
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
2.2%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Justin HolmesSimilar
Q4 9:16
2ND & 10
OPP 21
-4
2.2%
Josh Love sacked by Hunter Dimick for a loss of 4 yards to the Utah 25Similar
Q4 9:16
3RD & 14
OPP 25
-10
1.9%
Josh Love sacked by Pita Taumoepenu for a loss of 10 yards to the Utah 35 Josh Love fumbled, recovered by SJSt Josh Love , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 9:16
4TH & 24
OPP 35
-2
1.8%
Josh Love pass complete to Malik Roberson for a loss of 2 yards to the Utah 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
0.9%
Tyler Huntley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:35
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-4
0.9%
Team run for a loss of 4 yards to the Utah 33Similar
Q4 6:35
3RD & 14
OWN 33
-2
1.0%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Demari Simpkins for a loss of 2 yards to the Utah 31Similar
Q4 6:35
4TH & 16
OWN 31
+5
1.0%
Wishnowsky, M. punt 42 yards to the SJ27, fair catch by COTTRELL, Thai, PENALTY SJ roughing the kicker (MONROE, Dakari) 5 yards to the UTAH36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:35
4TH & 11
OWN 36
0
0.9%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Thai Cottrell at the SJSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SJSUDrive 26TD
7 plays · 76 yds · 1:121% → 3%
Q4 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
1.0%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Justin HolmesSimilar
Q4 4:57
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+11
1.0%
Josh Love pass complete to Tim Crawley for 11 yds to the SJSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
1.0%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Billy FreemanSimilar
Q4 4:57
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
1.0%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Thai CottrellSimilar
Q4 4:57
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+19
1.0%
Josh Love pass complete to Justin Holmes for 19 yds to the Utah 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:57
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
1.1%
Josh Love pass incomplete to Bailey GaitherSimilar
Q4 3:45
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+46
2.9%
Josh Love pass complete to Zamore Zigler for 46 yds for a TD, (Bryce Crawford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 27END OF GAME
7 plays · 28 yds · 0:0097% → 98%
Q4 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
2.9%
Armand Shyne run for 5 yds to the Utah 40Similar
Q4 3:45
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+7
2.6%
Armand Shyne run for 7 yds to the Utah 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
2.6%
Armand Shyne run for 8 yds to the SJSt 45Similar
Q4 3:45
2ND & 2
OPP 45
+3
2.5%
Zack Moss run for 3 yds to the SJSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
2.6%
Armand Shyne run for 6 yds to the SJSt 36Similar
Q4 3:45
2ND & 4
OPP 36
-1
2.5%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 3:14
Zack Moss run for 10 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)
-8.3
TD · Q2 0:15
Troy Williams pass complete to Tim Patrick for 4 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)
-6.5
TD · Q2 8:55
Troy McCormick run for 16 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)
-4.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com