Try the model
WSU

Washington State 28 at Boise State 31

BOIS
2016 · Week 2 · Sep 10, 2016 · Albertsons Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · BOIS
modelBOIS aheadWSU aheadconfidence bandkey playBOIS scoreWSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 6:30 · Sean Wale punt for 49 yds , Kaleb Fossum returns for 7 yds to the WshSt 28
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+31.0+15.50−15.5−31.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 69Pregame prior+19.6Home team on offense+9.5Garbage-time factor+2.6Score differential+4.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.0Time remaining−0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 8:20: Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 47 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK) — BOIS win probability +8.6 pts (now 94%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 0:55: Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 50 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK) — WSU win probability +10.8 pts (now 17%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:54: Jeremy McNichols run for 7 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK) — BOIS win probability +7.6 pts (now 96%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 11:34: Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 14 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK) — WSU win probability +8.0 pts (now 14%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:17: Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 33 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK) — WSU win probability +30.4 pts (now 39%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BOIS made the numbers' call on 4 of 5WSU made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 10:11WSU 4th & 11 at WSU 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.5%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.6%
    average punt
  2. Q2 15:00WSU 4th & 20 at BOIS 39, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.7%−0.8
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    17.5%−<0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    17.5%
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:47BOIS 4th & 10 at BOIS 33, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.0%−1.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.1%
    average punt
  4. Q2 6:30WSU 4th & 8 at BOIS 22, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 16.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.2%−0.4
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    15.6%
    72% to make
    Punt
    12.3%−3.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:30BOIS 4th & 2 at BOIS 30, up 14
    Close callPunted · 84.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.8%−0.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:29WSU 4th & 11 at WSU 27, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.1%−0.7
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.8%
    average punt
  7. Q3 15:00BOIS 4th & 10 at BOIS 38, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.9%−1.0
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.0%
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:44WSU 4th & 11 at BOIS 45, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.6%−0.6
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    16.1%−1.0
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    17.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:20WSU 4th & 5 at BOIS 37, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.6%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    8.7%−0.9
    40% to make
    Punt
    8.6%−1.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:20WSU 4th & 1 at BOIS 13, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    7.4%−2.0
    85% to make
    Punt
    1.0%−8.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:06BOIS 4th & 6 at BOIS 17, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.5%−0.6
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:34WSU 4th & 6 at BOIS 14, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.7%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    4.1%
    84% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−4.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:34BOIS 4th & 11 at BOIS 44, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.5%−1.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.6%
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:17WSU 4th & 1 at BOIS 45, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    8.1%−3.2
    25% to make
    Punt
    9.4%−1.9
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:04WSU 4th & 1 at WSU 45, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.0%−8.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BOIS made the numbers' call on 4 of 4WSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 10:11BOIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:15BOIS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:42WSU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:20BOIS Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 0:55WSU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:54BOIS Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 11:34WSU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 4:17WSU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.0%−0.6
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WSUDrive 1INT TD
13 plays · 57 yds · 4:4919% → 20%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
80.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gerard Wicks for 5 yds to the WshSt 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 25
0
80.8%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Gerard WicksSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+6
80.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 6 yds to the WshSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
80.8%
James Williams run for 7 yds to the WshSt 38Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+7
80.8%
Gerard Wicks run for 7 yds to the WshSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
80.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to John Thompson for 7 yds to the BoiSt 48Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+12
80.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 12 yds to the BoiSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+8
80.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Robert Lewis for 8 yds to the BoiSt 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 28
+4
80.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 4 yds to the BoiSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
80.8%
Robert Lewis run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 23Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 23
0
80.8%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Robert Lewis, broken up by David MoaSimilar
Q1 10:11
3RD & 9
OPP 23
+85
80.3%
Luke Falk pass intercepted for a TD Tyler Horton return for 85 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 0:0020% → 19%
Q1 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
80.5%
Luke Falk pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:11
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
80.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 5 yds to the WshSt 30Similar
Q1 10:11
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+6
80.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gerard Wicks for 6 yds to the WshSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
80.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 4 yds to the WshSt 40Similar
Q1 10:11
2ND & 6
OWN 40
-5
80.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack for a loss of 5 yards to the WshSt 35Similar
Q1 10:11
3RD & 11
OWN 35
0
80.7%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Gabe Marks, broken up by Raymond FordSimilar
Q1 10:11
4TH & 11
OWN 35
-2
80.7%
Kyle Sweet punt for 51 yds , Akilian Butler returns for a loss of 2 yards to the BoiSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 3TD
14 plays · 88 yds · 5:2281% → 84%
Q1 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
80.5%
Jeremy McNichols run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 16Similar
Q1 7:37
2ND & 6
OWN 16
-2
80.5%
Jeremy McNichols run for a loss of 2 yards to the BoiSt 14Similar
Q1 7:37
3RD & 8
OWN 14
+12
80.3%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 12 yds to the BoiSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+14
80.6%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Chaz Anderson for 14 yds to the BoiSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
80.9%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, offside defense (Robert Barber) to the BoiSt 45Similar
Q1 7:37
1ST & 5
OWN 45
+17
81.0%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 17 yds to the WshSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
81.0%
Jeremy McNichols run for 4 yds to the WshSt 34Similar
Q1 7:37
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+6
81.1%
Jeremy McNichols run for 6 yds to the WshSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
81.1%
Jeremy McNichols run for 2 yds to the WshSt 26Similar
Q1 7:37
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+13
81.1%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 13 yds to the WshSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
81.1%
Jeremy McNichols run for 5 yds to the WshSt 8Similar
Q1 7:37
2ND & 5
OPP 8
+7
81.1%
Jeremy McNichols run for 7 yds to the WshSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
81.1%
Brett Rypien run for no gain to the WshSt 1Similar
Q1 2:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
84.4%
Jeremy McNichols run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 4PUNT
13 plays · 41 yds · 2:1517% → 16%
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
83.0%
Luke Falk sacked by David Moa for a loss of 5 yards to the WshSt 15Similar
Q1 2:15
2ND & 15
OWN 15
+9
83.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack for 9 yds to the WshSt 24Similar
Q1 2:15
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+18
83.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 18 yds to the WshSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
82.8%
James Williams run for no gain to the WshSt 42Similar
Q1 2:15
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+18
82.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 18 yds to the BoiSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
82.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 4 yds to the BoiSt 36Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+7
82.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Robert Lewis for 7 yds to the BoiSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-10
82.2%
Falk, Luke pass complete to Williams, James for 9 yards to the BSU20 (McCASKILL, Sam), PENALTY WSU holding (Sweet, Kyle) 10 yards to the BSU39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 20
OPP 39
0
83.1%
Jamal Morrow run for no gain to the BoiSt 39Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 20
OPP 39
0
83.1%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Robert Lewis, broken up by Cameron HartsfieldSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 20
OPP 39
0
83.4%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Tavares Martin Jr.Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 20
OPP 39
0
83.6%
Zach Charme punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Akilian Butler at the BoiSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 0:0085% → 84%
Q2 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
84.7%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Alec Dhaenens for 5 yds to the BoiSt 17Similar
Q2 12:47
2ND & 5
OWN 17
-1
84.8%
Devan Demas run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 16Similar
Q2 12:47
3RD & 6
OWN 16
+17
84.5%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Chaz Anderson for 17 yds to the BoiSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
84.8%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Cedrick WilsonSimilar
Q2 12:47
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
84.8%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Jeremy McNichols, broken up by Robert BarberSimilar
Q2 12:47
3RD & 10
OWN 33
0
84.5%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Cedrick Wilson, broken up by Darrien MoltonSimilar
Q2 12:47
4TH & 10
OWN 33
0
84.2%
Sean Wale punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 6MISSED FG
10 plays · 55 yds · 4:2316% → 15%
Q2 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+14
84.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 14 yds to the WshSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+28
83.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to James Williams for 28 yds to the BoiSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
82.8%
Gerard Wicks run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 33Similar
Q2 10:53
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+3
82.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack for 3 yds to the BoiSt 30Similar
Q2 10:53
3RD & 5
OPP 30
+6
83.1%
Luke Falk run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
82.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for no gain to the BoiSt 24Similar
Q2 10:53
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+3
82.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 3 yds to the BoiSt 21Similar
Q2 10:53
3RD & 7
OPP 21
+4
83.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack for 4 yds to the BoiSt 17Similar
Q2 10:53
4TH & 3
OPP 17
-5
83.4%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, false start (Riley Sorenson) to the BoiSt 22Similar
Q2 6:30
4TH & 8
OPP 22
+39
84.7%
Erik Powell 39 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Sam McCaskillSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0086% → 85%
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
85.5%
Jeremy McNichols run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 25Similar
Q2 6:30
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+3
85.5%
Brett Rypien run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 28Similar
Q2 6:30
3RD & 4
OWN 28
+2
85.1%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Alec Dhaenens for 2 yds to the BoiSt 30Similar
Q2 6:30
4TH & 2
OWN 30
+7
84.7%
Sean Wale punt for 49 yds , Kaleb Fossum returns for 7 yds to the WshSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0015% → 14%
Q2 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
85.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack for 9 yds to the WshSt 37Similar
Q2 4:29
2ND & 1
OWN 37
-10
84.6%
Morrow, Jamal rush over left end for 2 yards to the WSU39 (LEE, Darren), PENALTY WSU holding (O'Connell, Cody) 10 yards to the WSU27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:29
2ND & 11
OWN 27
0
85.4%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to River Cracraft, broken up by Cameron HartsfieldSimilar
Q2 4:29
3RD & 11
OWN 27
0
85.6%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Gabe MarksSimilar
Q2 4:29
4TH & 11
OWN 27
0
85.9%
Kyle Sweet punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Akilian Butler at the BoiSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 9INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
86.9%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Thomas SperbeckSimilar
Q2 3:30
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+28
86.7%
Brett Rypien pass intercepted Shalom Luani return for 28 yds to the BoiSt 26 Shalom Luani fumbled, forced by Alec Dhaenens, recovered by WshSt Shalom LuaniSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 10TD
6 plays · 26 yds · 2:3016% → 23%
Q2 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
83.7%
Jamal Morrow run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 23Similar
Q2 3:12
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+5
83.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 5 yds to the BoiSt 18Similar
Q2 3:12
3RD & 2
OPP 18
+4
84.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 4 yds to the BoiSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
83.7%
Jamal Morrow run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 10Similar
Q2 3:12
2ND & 6
OPP 10
0
83.7%
Luke Falk pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:42
3RD & 6
OPP 10
+10
76.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 10 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 11FG
9 plays · 59 yds · 0:4180% → 83%
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+19
80.3%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 19 yds to the BoiSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+40
81.6%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Cedrick Wilson for 40 yds to the WshSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
81.8%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Akilian ButlerSimilar
Q2 0:15
2ND & 10
OPP 14
0
81.8%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Thomas SperbeckSimilar
Q2 0:01
3RD & 10
OPP 14
+31
83.1%
Tyler Rausa 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 0:0083% → 82%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
83.2%
Jeremy McNichols run for a loss of 2 yards to the BoiSt 23Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+15
83.0%
RYPIEN, Brett pass intercepted by Molton, Darrien at the WSU46, Molton, Darrien return to the WSU46, PENALTY WSU pass interference (Molton, Darrien) 15 yards to the BSU38, 1ST DOWN BSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
83.9%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Thomas Sperbeck, broken up by Darrien MoltonSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
83.7%
Brett Rypien pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 38
0
83.0%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Chaz AndersonSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 38
+16
81.9%
Sean Wale punt for 38 yds , Kaleb Fossum returns for 16 yds to the WshSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 0:0018% → 16%
Q3 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-9
82.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 1 yd to the WshSt 41 WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Offensive holding (Robert Lewis) to the WshSt 31Similar
Q3 13:44
1ST & 19
OWN 31
+5
83.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gerard Wicks for 5 yds to the WshSt 36Similar
Q3 13:44
2ND & 14
OWN 36
+12
83.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 12 yds to the WshSt 48Similar
Q3 13:44
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+8
82.2%
Jamal Morrow run for 8 yds to the BoiSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
81.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for no gain to the BoiSt 44Similar
Q3 13:44
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+5
81.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 5 yds to the BoiSt 39Similar
Q3 13:44
3RD & 5
OPP 39
-6
82.0%
Luke Falk sacked by Darren Lee and David Moa for a loss of 6 yards to the BoiSt 45Similar
Q3 13:44
4TH & 11
OPP 45
0
83.7%
Zach Charme punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 15TD
5 plays · 88 yds · 1:3484% → 94%
Q3 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+21
84.0%
Jeremy McNichols run for 21 yds to the BoiSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
84.3%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Jeremy McNichols for 4 yds to the BoiSt 37Similar
Q3 9:54
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+11
84.8%
Jeremy McNichols run for 11 yds to the BoiSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
85.3%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the WshSt 47Similar
Q3 8:20
1ST & 5
OPP 47
+47
93.9%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 47 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 16DOWNS
15 plays · 62 yds · 0:008% → 9%
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
91.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 5 yds to the WshSt 30Similar
Q3 8:20
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
91.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack for 4 yds to the WshSt 34Similar
Q3 8:20
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+9
91.2%
Jamal Morrow run for 9 yds to the WshSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-3
91.1%
Jamal Morrow run for a loss of 3 yards to the WshSt 40Similar
Q3 8:20
2ND & 13
OWN 40
+7
91.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 7 yds to the WshSt 47Similar
Q3 8:20
3RD & 6
OWN 47
+11
91.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 11 yds to the BoiSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
90.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 8 yds to the BoiSt 34Similar
Q3 8:20
2ND & 2
OPP 34
0
89.9%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Robert LewisSimilar
Q3 8:20
3RD & 2
OPP 34
-3
90.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gerard Wicks for a loss of 3 yards to the BoiSt 37Similar
Q3 8:20
4TH & 5
OPP 37
+15
91.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gerard Wicks for 15 yds to the BoiSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+7
89.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 7 yds to the BoiSt 15Similar
Q3 8:20
2ND & 3
OPP 15
0
89.9%
Luke Falk pass incomplete, broken up by Sam McCaskillSimilar
Q3 8:20
3RD & 3
OPP 15
+2
90.6%
Jamal Morrow run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 13Similar
Q3 8:20
4TH & 1
OPP 13
0
90.6%
Luke Falk run for no gain to the BoiSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q3 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+6
94.4%
Jeremy McNichols run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 19Similar
Q3 3:06
2ND & 4
OWN 19
-5
94.5%
BOISE ST Penalty, false start (Mario Yakoo) to the BoiSt 14Similar
Q3 3:06
2ND & 9
OWN 14
+3
94.4%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Jeremy McNichols for 3 yds to the BoiSt 17Similar
Q3 3:06
3RD & 6
OWN 17
0
94.3%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Thomas SperbeckSimilar
Q3 3:06
4TH & 6
OWN 17
+12
93.8%
Sean Wale punt for 48 yds , Kaleb Fossum returns for 12 yds to the WshSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 18TD
2 plays · 53 yds · 0:456% → 17%
Q3 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
94.1%
Luke Falk run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 0:55
2ND & 7
50
+50
83.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 50 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 19TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:0187% → 96%
Q3 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
86.8%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Jeremy McNichols for 18 yds to the BoiSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+14
87.9%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 14 yds to the WshSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+36
88.2%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Cedrick Wilson for 36 yds to the WshSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
95.8%
Jeremy McNichols run for 7 yds for a TD, (Tyler Rausa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 20TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:205% → 14%
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
95.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to Robert Lewis for 16 yds to the WshSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
94.7%
James Williams run for 2 yds to the WshSt 43Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+7
94.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gerard Wicks for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 1
50
+6
94.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Isaiah Johnson-Mack for 6 yds to the BoiSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+15
94.6%
Falk, Luke pass incomplete to Cracraft, River, PENALTY BSU pass interference (JAMES, C.) 15 yards to the BSU29, 1ST DOWN WSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+11
93.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 11 yds to the BoiSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
93.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 4 yds to the BoiSt 14Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 6
OPP 14
0
93.8%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Tavares Martin Jr.Similar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 6
OPP 14
0
94.3%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Gabe MarksSimilar
Q4 11:34
4TH & 6
OPP 14
+14
86.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 14 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 28 yds · 0:0088% → 87%
Q4 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
88.0%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Chaz Anderson for 4 yds to the BoiSt 20Similar
Q4 11:34
2ND & 6
OWN 20
+11
87.9%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Thomas Sperbeck for 11 yds to the BoiSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+14
88.2%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Chaz Anderson for 14 yds to the BoiSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
89.0%
Jeremy McNichols run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 44Similar
Q4 11:34
2ND & 11
OWN 44
0
88.8%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Chaz Anderson, broken up by Marcellus PippinsSimilar
Q4 11:34
3RD & 11
OWN 44
0
88.0%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Chaz AndersonSimilar
Q4 11:34
4TH & 11
OWN 44
+42
87.0%
Sean Wale punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Kaleb Fossum at the BOISEST 24 WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Offensive holding (Frankie Luvu) to the WshSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 22DOWNS
9 plays · 40 yds · 0:0010% → 11%
Q4 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+1
90.3%
James Williams run for 1 yd to the WshSt 15Similar
Q4 9:17
2ND & 9
OWN 15
-5
90.4%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, false start (Andre Dillard) to the WshSt 10Similar
Q4 9:17
2ND & 14
OWN 10
-4
90.5%
Falk, Luke pass complete to Johnson-Mack, I for 6 yards to the WSU16 (LEE, Darren;FORD, Raymond), PENALTY WSU holding (Cracraft, River) 4 yards to the WSU6, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:17
2ND & 18
OWN 6
+11
90.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 11 yds to the WshSt 17Similar
Q4 9:17
3RD & 7
OWN 17
+29
90.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 29 yds to the WshSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
88.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 3 yds to the WshSt 49Similar
Q4 9:17
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+6
87.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 6 yds to the BoiSt 45Similar
Q4 9:17
3RD & 1
OPP 45
0
87.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for no gain to the BoiSt 45Similar
Q4 9:17
4TH & 1
OPP 45
-1
88.8%
Jamal Morrow run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 23INT
3 plays · -5 yds · 0:0093% → 92%
Q4 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-5
92.7%
Jeremy McNichols run for a loss of 5 yards to the BoiSt 41Similar
Q4 5:12
2ND & 15
OWN 41
0
92.1%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Chaz AndersonSimilar
Q4 5:12
3RD & 15
OWN 41
+18
91.8%
Brett Rypien pass intercepted Shalom Luani return for 18 yds to the BoiSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 24TD
1 play · 33 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q4 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
61.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 33 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 25INT
12 plays · 46 yds · 3:2478% → 93%
Q4 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
78.0%
Jeremy McNichols run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 29Similar
Q4 4:17
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+10
78.2%
Jeremy McNichols run for 10 yds to the BoiSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
80.0%
Jeremy McNichols run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 40Similar
Q4 4:17
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+3
79.9%
Alexander Mattison run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 43Similar
Q4 4:17
3RD & 6
OWN 43
+9
79.0%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Cedrick Wilson for 9 yds to the WshSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+26
81.9%
Jeremy McNichols run for 26 yds to the WshSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-11
82.9%
Jeremy McNichols run for 4 yds to the WshSt 18 BOISE ST Penalty, personal foul (Chase Blakley) to the WshSt 33Similar
Q4 2:03
2ND & 21
OPP 33
+4
89.2%
Jeremy McNichols run for 4 yds to the WshSt 29Similar
Q4 0:53
3RD & 17
OPP 29
0
92.5%
Brett Rypien pass intercepted Charleston White return for no gain to the WshSt 0Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 26DOWNS
8 plays · 25 yds · 0:4917% → 13%
Q4 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
83.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 8 yds to the WshSt 28Similar
Q4 0:53
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+8
81.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 8 yds to the WshSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
81.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for no gain to the WshSt 36Similar
Q4 0:53
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
81.8%
Luke Falk pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:53
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+9
83.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 9 yds to the WshSt 45Similar
Q4 0:04
4TH & 1
OWN 45
0
86.8%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Tavares Martin Jr., broken up by Raymond FordSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 4:17
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 33 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)
-30.4
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+13.2
TD · Q3 0:55
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 50 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)
-10.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com