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IDST

Idaho State 7 at Colorado 56

COLO
2016 · Week 2 · Sep 10, 2016 · Folsom Field
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Win probability · COLO
modelCOLO aheadIDST aheadconfidence bandkey playCOLO scoreIDST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 9:56 · Chris Graham 40 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 159Pregame prior+16.7Home team on offense+33.7Score differential+29.6Blowout margin+15.5Garbage-time factor+12.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+13.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 10:02: Sefo Liufau pass complete to Devin Ross for 15 yds for a TD, (Diego Gonzalez KICK) — IDST win probability +0.1 pts (now 1%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 2:51: Phillip Lindsay run for 6 yds for a TD, (Diego Gonzalez KICK) — COLO win probability +0.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 14:16: Phillip Lindsay run for 2 yds for a TD, (Diego Gonzalez KICK) — COLO win probability +0.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 12:13: Kyle Evans run for 1 yd for a TD, (Diego Gonzalez KICK) — COLO win probability +0.4 pts (now 100%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 7:10: Sefo Liufau pass complete to Chris Hill for 4 yds for a TD, (Diego Gonzalez KICK) — COLO win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
COLO made the numbers' call on 4 of 7IDST made the numbers' call on 11 of 12
  1. Q1 15:00IDST 4th & 10 at IDST 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:02IDST 4th & 4 at IDST 47, down 7
    Close callPunted · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:32COLO 4th & 3 at COLO 30, up 7
    Close callPunted · 98.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:56IDST 4th & 9 at IDST 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:51IDST 4th & 14 at IDST 21, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:16IDST 4th & 10 at IDST 25, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:13IDST 4th & 11 at IDST 24, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:10COLO 4th & 1 at IDST 4, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.4%
    65% to convert
    Field goal
    99.1%−0.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    98.3%−1.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:04IDST 4th & 9 at IDST 20, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:08IDST 4th & 13 at IDST 36, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 14:52COLO 4th & 8 at COLO 34, up 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 13:01IDST 4th & 6 at IDST 34, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  13. Q3 11:29COLO 4th & 6 at IDST 46, up 49
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 6:14IDST 4th & 10 at IDST 20, down 56
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:56COLO 4th & 6 at IDST 22, up 49
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    72% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:56IDST 4th & 20 at IDST 12, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.1%−0.1
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 8:58COLO 4th & 5 at COLO 35, up 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
  18. Q4 7:18IDST 4th & 2 at IDST 46, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 6:05COLO 4th & 5 at IDST 6, up 49
    Close callWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%
    91% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
COLO made the numbers' call on 8 of 8IDST made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 10:02COLO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:51COLO Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:16COLO Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 12:13COLO Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 7:10COLO Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 4:21COLO Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 0:35COLO Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 6:20COLO Touchdown, up 55 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 1:48IDST Touchdown, down 50 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IDSTDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.1%
COLORADO Penalty, offside defense (Josh Tupou) to the IdaSt 30Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 5
OWN 30
+6
99.1%
Kw Williams run for 6 yds to the IdaSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
99.1%
Tanner Gueller pass complete to Jakori Ford for 2 yds to the IdaSt 38Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 38
-5
99.1%
IDAHO ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the IdaSt 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 33
0
99.1%
Tanner Gueller pass incomplete to Kw Williams, broken up by Kenneth OlugbodeSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 33
+3
99.1%
Ty Flanagan run for 3 yds to the IdaSt 36Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 36
+40
99.1%
Tom Jewell punt for 40 yds , Jay MacIntyre returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 2TD
8 plays · 77 yds · 2:1199% → 99%
Q1 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
98.9%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Bryce Bobo for 7 yds to the Colo 30Similar
Q1 12:13
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+1
98.9%
Phillip Lindsay run for 1 yd to the Colo 31Similar
Q1 12:13
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+8
98.9%
Phillip Lindsay run for 8 yds to the Colo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
98.9%
Sefo Liufau pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:13
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+28
98.9%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Jay MacIntyre for 28 yds to the IdaSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:13
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+8
98.9%
Donovan Lee run for 8 yds to the IdaSt 25Similar
Q1 12:13
2ND & 2
OPP 25
+10
98.9%
Donovan Lee run for 10 yds to the IdaSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:02
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
98.9%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Devin Ross for 15 yds for a TD, (Diego Gonzalez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.8%
Tanner Gueller pass complete to Hagen Graves for 5 yds to the IdaSt 30Similar
Q1 10:02
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+11
98.8%
Tanner Gueller pass complete to Josh Cook for 11 yds to the IdaSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
98.8%
Tanner Gueller pass complete to Jakori Ford for 2 yds to the IdaSt 43Similar
Q1 10:02
2ND & 8
OWN 43
0
98.8%
Tanner Gueller pass incomplete to Josh Cook, broken up by Rick GamboaSimilar
Q1 10:02
3RD & 8
OWN 43
+4
98.8%
Tanner Gueller pass complete to Jakori Ford for 4 yds to the IdaSt 47Similar
Q1 10:02
4TH & 4
OWN 47
+7
98.8%
Sean Cheney punt for 37 yds , Jay MacIntyre returns for 7 yds to the Colo 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q1 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
98.7%
Sefo Liufau run for 3 yds to the Colo 26Similar
Q1 7:32
2ND & 7
OWN 26
0
98.7%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Devin RossSimilar
Q1 7:32
3RD & 7
OWN 26
+4
98.7%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Jay MacIntyre for 4 yds to the Colo 30Similar
Q1 7:32
4TH & 3
OWN 30
0
98.6%
Alex Kinney punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:002% → 1%
Q1 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-1
98.5%
Tanner Gueller pass complete to Jakori Ford for a loss of 1 yard to the IdaSt 28Similar
Q1 5:56
2ND & 11
OWN 28
-5
98.5%
IDAHO ST Penalty, false start (Thomas Vazorka) to the IdaSt 23Similar
Q1 5:56
2ND & 16
OWN 23
+7
98.5%
Tanner Gueller pass complete to Kw Williams for 7 yds to the IdaSt 30Similar
Q1 5:56
3RD & 9
OWN 30
0
98.6%
Tanner Gueller pass incomplete to Pat Carter, broken up by Ahkello WitherspoonSimilar
Q1 5:56
4TH & 9
OWN 30
0
98.6%
Sean Cheney punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Jay MacIntyre at the Colo 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 6TD
5 plays · 61 yds · 1:3498% → 99%
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
98.4%
Sefo Liufau run for 4 yds to the Colo 43Similar
Q1 4:25
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+24
98.5%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Phillip Lindsay for 9 yds to the COLORADO 48 for a 1ST down IDAHO ST Penalty, personal foul (Hayden Stout) to the IdaSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
98.5%
Phillip Lindsay run for 4 yds to the IdaSt 29Similar
Q1 4:25
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+23
98.5%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Jay MacIntyre for 23 yds to the IdaSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
98.7%
Phillip Lindsay run for 6 yds for a TD, (Diego Gonzalez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
98.6%
Tanner Gueller pass complete to Austin Campbell for a loss of 5 yards to the IdaSt 20Similar
Q1 2:51
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
98.6%
Tanner Gueller pass incomplete to Kw Williams, broken up by Ryan MoellerSimilar
Q1 2:51
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+1
98.6%
Tanner Gueller pass complete to Kw Williams for 1 yd to the IdaSt 21Similar
Q1 2:51
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
98.6%
Tom Jewell punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the IdaSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 8TD
9 plays · 48 yds · 2:0899% → 99%
Q1 1:24
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
98.6%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Jay MacIntyre for 9 yds to the IdaSt 39Similar
Q1 1:24
2ND & 1
OPP 39
0
98.6%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Bryce Bobo for no gain to the IdaSt 39Similar
Q1 1:24
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+3
98.6%
Phillip Lindsay run for 3 yds to the IdaSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:24
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+19
98.6%
Sefo Liufau run for 19 yds to the IdaSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:24
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
98.7%
Sefo Liufau run for 3 yds to the IdaSt 14Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+6
98.6%
Sefo Liufau run for 6 yds to the IdaSt 8Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 8
+6
98.6%
Phillip Lindsay run for 6 yds to the IdaSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.1%
Phillip Lindsay run for 2 yds for a TD, (Diego Gonzalez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.0%
Tanner Gueller pass incomplete to Kw WilliamsSimilar
Q2 14:16
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.0%
Tanner Gueller pass incomplete to Kw Williams, broken up by Chidobe AwuzieSimilar
Q2 14:16
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
99.0%
Tanner Gueller pass incomplete to Hagen GravesSimilar
Q2 14:16
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+14
99.0%
Sean Cheney punt for 41 yds , Jay MacIntyre returns for 14 yds to the Colo 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 10TD
5 plays · 52 yds · 1:3999% → 100%
Q2 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+15
99.1%
Liufau, Sefo pass incomplete to Fields, Shay (Anthony Ricks), PENALTY ISU pass interference (Anthony Ricks) 15 yards to the ISU37, 1ST DOWN COLO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:52
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+36
99.1%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Shay Fields for 36 yds to the IdaSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.1%
Kyle Evans run for no gain to the IdaSt 1Similar
Q2 13:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.1%
Kyle Evans run for no gain to the IdaSt 1Similar
Q2 12:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.5%
Kyle Evans run for 1 yd for a TD, (Diego Gonzalez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.5%
Jakori Ford run for 1 yd to the IdaSt 26Similar
Q2 12:13
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+1
99.5%
Jakori Ford run for 1 yd to the IdaSt 27Similar
Q2 12:13
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-3
99.5%
Tanner Gueller sacked by Jordan Carrell for a loss of 3 yards to the IdaSt 24Similar
Q2 12:13
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+42
99.5%
Tom Jewell punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the COLORADO 44 COLORADO Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the Colo 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 12TD
8 plays · 66 yds · 3:10100% → 100%
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
99.5%
Sefo Liufau pass incomplete to Shay Fields, broken up by Nikko TaylorSimilar
Q2 10:20
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+5
99.5%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Jay MacIntyre for 5 yds to the Colo 39Similar
Q2 10:20
3RD & 5
OWN 39
+6
99.5%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Devin Ross for 6 yds to the Colo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+42
99.5%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Shay Fields for 42 yds to the COLORADO 13 for a 1ST down IDAHO ST Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
99.5%
Donovan Lee run for 5 yds to the IdaSt 8Similar
Q2 10:20
2ND & 5
OPP 8
-2
99.5%
Donovan Lee run for a loss of 2 yards to the IdaSt 10Similar
Q2 10:20
3RD & 7
OPP 10
+6
99.5%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Devin Ross for 6 yds to the IdaSt 4Similar
Q2 7:10
4TH & 1
OPP 4
+4
99.6%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Chris Hill for 4 yds for a TD, (Diego Gonzalez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
99.7%
Michael Dean run for 1 yd to the IdaSt 20Similar
Q2 7:04
2ND & 9
OWN 20
0
99.7%
Tanner Gueller pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:04
3RD & 9
OWN 20
0
99.7%
Tanner Gueller pass incomplete to Jakori Ford, broken up by Jimmie GilbertSimilar
Q2 7:04
4TH & 9
OWN 20
+1
99.7%
Sean Cheney punt for 43 yds , Jay MacIntyre returns for 1 yd to the Colo 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 14TD
6 plays · 62 yds · 1:46100% → 100%
Q2 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
99.7%
Liufau, Sefo pass incomplete to Fields, Shay (Anthony Ricks), PENALTY ISU pass interference (Anthony Ricks) 15 yards to the ISU47, 1ST DOWN COLO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+15
99.7%
Donovan Lee run for 15 yds to the IdaSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
99.7%
Donovan Lee run for 5 yds to the IdaSt 27Similar
Q2 6:07
2ND & 5
OPP 27
-2
99.7%
Donovan Lee run for a loss of 2 yards to the IdaSt 29Similar
Q2 6:07
3RD & 7
OPP 29
+10
99.7%
Sefo Liufau pass complete to Donovan Lee for 10 yds to the IdaSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:21
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
99.7%
Sefo Liufau run for 19 yds for a TD, (Diego Gonzalez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 15PUNT
9 plays · 10 yds · 2:050% → 0%
Q2 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
99.8%
Ty Flanagan run for 8 yds to the IdaSt 34Similar
Q2 4:13
2ND & 2
OWN 34
0
99.8%
Tanner Gueller pass incomplete to Josh CookSimilar
Q2 4:13
3RD & 2
OWN 34
+5
99.8%
Tanner Gueller pass complete to Kw Williams for 5 yds to the IdaSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-1
99.8%
Jakori Ford run for a loss of 1 yard to the IdaSt 38Similar
Q2 4:13
2ND & 11
OWN 38
-2
99.8%
Tanner Gueller pass complete to Hagen Graves for a loss of 2 yards to the IdaSt 36Similar
Q2 2:08
3RD & 13
OWN 36
0
99.8%
Tanner Gueller pass incomplete to Kw WilliamsSimilar
Q2 2:08
4TH & 13
OWN 36
+9
99.8%
Sean Cheney punt for 55 yds , Jay MacIntyre returns for 9 yds to the Colo 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 16TD
4 plays · 82 yds · 1:14100% → 100%
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
99.8%
Kyle Evans run for 1 yd to the Colo 19Similar
Q2 1:49
2ND & 9
OWN 19
+7
99.8%
Steven Montez run for 7 yds to the Colo 26Similar
Q2 1:49
3RD & 2
OWN 26
+5
99.8%
Kyle Evans run for 5 yds to the Colo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+69
99.8%
Steven Montez pass complete to Kabion Ento for 69 yds for a TD, (Diego Gonzalez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 17END OF HALF
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Tanner Gueller pass incomplete to Pat CarterSimilar
Q2 0:26
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+3
99.9%
Tanner Gueller pass complete to Josh Cook for 3 yds to the IdaSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
99.8%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Johnny Huntley IIISimilar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+14
99.8%
Steven Montez run for 14 yds to the Colo 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
99.8%
Donovan Lee run for 1 yd to the Colo 33Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 9
OWN 33
0
99.8%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Kabion EntoSimilar
Q3 14:52
3RD & 9
OWN 33
+1
99.8%
Steven Montez run for 1 yd to the Colo 34Similar
Q3 14:52
4TH & 8
OWN 34
0
99.8%
Alex Kinney punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Hagen Graves at the IdaSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
99.9%
Tanner Gueller pass complete to Hagen Graves for 5 yds to the IdaSt 24Similar
Q3 13:01
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+6
99.9%
Tanner Gueller pass complete to Josh Cook for 6 yds to the IdaSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
99.9%
Tanner Gueller pass complete to Josh Cook for 4 yds to the IdaSt 34Similar
Q3 13:01
2ND & 6
OWN 34
0
99.9%
Tanner Gueller pass incomplete to Josh CookSimilar
Q3 13:01
3RD & 6
OWN 34
0
99.9%
Tanner Gueller pass incomplete to Pat CarterSimilar
Q3 13:01
4TH & 6
OWN 34
0
99.9%
Sean Cheney punt for 46 yds, downed at the Colo 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 20PUNT
9 plays · 34 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
99.9%
Steven Montez pass complete to Jay MacIntyre for 7 yds to the Colo 27Similar
Q3 11:29
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+12
99.9%
Steven Montez run for 12 yds to the Colo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
99.9%
Kyle Evans run for 3 yds to the Colo 42Similar
Q3 11:29
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+6
99.9%
Kyle Evans run for 6 yds to the Colo 48Similar
Q3 11:29
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+2
99.9%
Kyle Evans run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:29
1ST & 10
50
+8
99.9%
Steven Montez pass complete to Chris Bounds for 8 yds to the IdaSt 42Similar
Q3 11:29
2ND & 2
OPP 42
-4
99.9%
Kyle Evans run for a loss of 4 yards to the IdaSt 46Similar
Q3 11:29
3RD & 6
OPP 46
0
99.9%
Steven Montez pass incomplete to Kyle EvansSimilar
Q3 11:29
4TH & 6
OPP 46
0
99.9%
Alex Kinney punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 21INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
99.9%
Tanner Gueller pass intercepted Tony Julmisse return for 1 yd to the IdaSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 22TD
6 plays · 38 yds · 1:54100% → 100%
Q3 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
99.9%
Beau Bisharat run for 2 yds to the IdaSt 36Similar
Q3 8:14
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+3
99.9%
Beau Bisharat run for 3 yds to the IdaSt 33Similar
Q3 8:14
3RD & 5
OPP 33
+6
99.9%
Steven Montez pass complete to Joseph Hall for 6 yds to the IdaSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
99.9%
Steven Montez pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:14
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+8
99.9%
Steven Montez pass complete to Kyle Evans for 8 yds to the IdaSt 19Similar
Q3 6:20
3RD & 2
OPP 19
+19
99.9%
Steven Montez pass complete to Kabion Ento for 19 yds for a TD, (Chris Graham KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
99.9%
Jakori Ford run for 5 yds to the IdaSt 25Similar
Q3 6:14
2ND & 5
OWN 25
-5
99.9%
IDAHO ST Penalty, false start (Kyle Jones) to the IdaSt 20Similar
Q3 6:14
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
99.9%
Tanner Gueller pass incomplete to Jakori FordSimilar
Q3 6:14
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
99.9%
Tanner Gueller pass incomplete to Josh Cook, broken up by Drew LewisSimilar
Q3 6:14
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
99.9%
Sean Cheney punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Kyle Evans at the Colo 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 24FUMBLE
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
99.9%
Beau Bisharat run for 5 yds to the Colo 43Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+17
99.9%
Beau Bisharat run for 1 yd to the Colo 27 Beau Bisharat fumbled, forced by Christian Holland, recovered by IdaSt Christian Holland , return for 17 yds to the Colo 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 25TD
7 plays · 27 yds · 2:170% → 0%
Q3 4:05
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
99.9%
Tanner Gueller pass complete to Josh Cook for 4 yds to the Colo 23Similar
Q3 4:05
2ND & 6
OPP 23
+15
99.9%
Tanner Gueller pass complete to Hagen Graves for 7 yds to the Colo 16 for a 1ST down COLORADO Penalty, personal foul (Tony Julmisse) to the Colo 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
99.9%
Tanner Gueller pass incomplete to Mitch Gueller, PENALTY COLO holding (Oliver, Isaiah) 4 yards to the COLO4, 1ST DOWN ISU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
99.9%
Jakori Ford run for no gain to the Colo 4Similar
Q3 4:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
99.9%
Tanner Gueller pass complete to Mitch Gueller for 1 yd to the Colo 3Similar
Q3 1:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.9%
Jakori Ford run for 3 yds for a TD, (Zak Johnson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 26MISSED FG
14 plays · 53 yds · 6:52100% → 100%
Q3 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.9%
Kyle Evans run for 7 yds to the Colo 32Similar
Q3 1:48
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+7
99.9%
Kyle Evans run for 7 yds to the Colo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
99.9%
Kyle Evans run for 6 yds to the Colo 45Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+5
99.9%
Kyle Evans run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+8
99.9%
Kyle Evans run for 8 yds to the IdaSt 42Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 42
+5
99.9%
Kyle Evans run for 5 yds to the IdaSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
99.9%
Beau Bisharat run for 3 yds to the IdaSt 34Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 34
0
99.9%
Beau Bisharat run for no gain to the IdaSt 34Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 34
+8
99.9%
Gehrke, Jordan pass incomplete to Orban, Robert, PENALTY ISU pass interference (Jake Pettit) 8 yards to the ISU26, 1ST DOWN COLO, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
99.9%
Troy Lewis run for 1 yd to the IdaSt 25Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 25
0
99.9%
Jordan Gehrke pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 25
+3
99.9%
Troy Lewis run for 3 yds to the IdaSt 22Similar
Q4 9:56
4TH & 6
OPP 22
+40
99.9%
Chris Graham 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 27PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-10
100.0%
Tom Jewell pass complete to Michael Dean for 1 yard to the ISU23 (Severson, Ryan), PENALTY ISU holding (Dakota Wilson) 10 yards to the ISU12, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:56
1ST & 20
OWN 12
0
100.0%
Tom Jewell pass incomplete to Jordan WhiteSimilar
Q4 9:56
2ND & 20
OWN 12
0
100.0%
Tom Jewell pass incomplete to Hagen GravesSimilar
Q4 9:56
3RD & 20
OWN 12
0
100.0%
Tom Jewell pass incomplete to Hagen GravesSimilar
Q4 9:56
4TH & 20
OWN 12
0
100.0%
Sean Cheney punt for 59 yds, downed at the Colo 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 28PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
99.9%
Beau Bisharat run for 1 yd to the Colo 31Similar
Q4 8:58
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+4
99.9%
Beau Bisharat run for 4 yds to the Colo 35Similar
Q4 8:58
3RD & 5
OWN 35
0
99.9%
Jordan Gehrke pass incomplete to Beau BisharatSimilar
Q4 8:58
4TH & 5
OWN 35
+6
99.9%
Alex Kinney punt for 33 yds , Tucker Louie-McGee returns for 6 yds to the IdaSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 29DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
100.0%
James Madison run for 6 yds to the IdaSt 44Similar
Q4 7:18
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+2
100.0%
Tom Jewell pass complete to Trae Pilster for 2 yds to the IdaSt 46Similar
Q4 7:18
3RD & 2
OWN 46
0
100.0%
Tom Jewell pass incomplete to Trae PilsterSimilar
Q4 7:18
4TH & 2
OWN 46
0
100.0%
Tom Jewell pass incomplete to Mitch GuellerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 30DOWNS
8 plays · 43 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+17
100.0%
Troy Lewis run for 17 yds to the IdaSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
100.0%
Troy Lewis run for 1 yd to the IdaSt 28Similar
Q4 6:05
2ND & 9
OPP 28
+3
100.0%
Troy Lewis run for 3 yds to the IdaSt 25Similar
Q4 6:05
3RD & 6
OPP 25
+14
100.0%
Jordan Gehrke pass complete to Johnny Huntley III for 14 yds to the IdaSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
100.0%
Troy Lewis run for no gain to the IdaSt 11Similar
Q4 6:05
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+3
100.0%
Troy Lewis run for 3 yds to the IdaSt 8Similar
Q4 6:05
3RD & 7
OPP 8
+2
100.0%
Troy Lewis run for 2 yds to the IdaSt 6Similar
Q4 6:05
4TH & 5
OPP 6
+3
100.0%
Troy Lewis run for 3 yds to the IdaSt 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDSTDrive 31END OF GAME
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+3
100.0%
James Madison run for 3 yds to the IdaSt 7Similar
Q4 1:15
2ND & 7
OWN 7
+2
100.0%
Lonell Woodhouse run for 2 yds to the IdaSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 14:16
Phillip Lindsay run for 2 yds for a TD, (Diego Gonzalez KICK)
+0.5
TD · Q2 12:13
Kyle Evans run for 1 yd for a TD, (Diego Gonzalez KICK)
+0.4
TD · Q1 2:51
Phillip Lindsay run for 6 yds for a TD, (Diego Gonzalez KICK)
+0.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com