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UNLV

UNLV 21 at UCLA 42

UCLA
2016 · Week 2 · Sep 10, 2016 · Rose Bowl
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Win probability · UCLA
modelUCLA aheadUNLV aheadconfidence bandkey playUCLA scoreUNLV score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 8:51 · Josh Rosen pass complete to Ishmael Adams for 14 yds to the UNLV 3 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+45.0+22.50−22.5−45.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 19Pregame prior+42.5Home team on offense+0.4Score differential−0.1Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:49: Soso Jamabo run for 7 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK) — UCLA win probability +3.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:37: Johnny Stanton pass complete to Mekhi Stevenson for 14 yds for a TD, (Evan Pantels KICK) — UNLV win probability +3.7 pts (now 7%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 5:13: Johnny Stanton run for 11 yds for a TD, (Evan Pantels KICK) — UNLV win probability +8.7 pts (now 17%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 11:39: Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 1 yd for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK) — UCLA win probability +5.2 pts (now 97%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:54: Josh Rosen 1 Yd Run (Andrew Strauch Kick) — UCLA win probability +2.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UCLA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2UNLV made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 14:10UNLV 4th & 6 at UNLV 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.9%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:51UCLA 4th & 3 at UNLV 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.8%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    92.8%−<0.1
    80% to make
    Punt
    92.4%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:45UNLV 4th & 1 at UCLA 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    7.2%−0.2
    54% to make
    Punt
    7.1%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:25UNLV 4th & 4 at UNLV 41, down 7
    Close callPunted · 9.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:24UNLV 4th & 1 at UCLA 36, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    2.9%−0.6
    42% to make
    Punt
    2.7%−0.8
    average punt
  6. Q3 4:26UCLA 4th & 12 at UCLA 38, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.1%−1.4
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.5%
    average punt
  7. Q4 14:55UNLV 4th & 14 at UNLV 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.2%−3.1
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.2%
    average punt
  8. Q4 10:51UNLV 4th & 3 at UNLV 30, down 14
    Close callPunted · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.2%−0.7
    average punt
  9. Q4 3:54UNLV 4th & 3 at UNLV 46, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UCLA made the numbers' call on 4 of 6UNLV made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 8:21UCLA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:15UNLV Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:45UCLA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:04UCLA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 3:49UCLA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:37UNLV Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 5:13UNLV Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 11:39UCLA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.7%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.8%
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 4:54UCLA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNLVDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:305% → 5%
Q1 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
95.0%
Johnny Stanton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+4
95.0%
Lexington Thomas run for 4 yds to the UNLV 31Similar
Q1 14:14
3RD & 6
OWN 31
0
94.9%
Johnny Stanton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:10
4TH & 6
OWN 31
0
94.9%
Evan Pantels punt for 40 yds , Ishmael Adams returns for no gain to the UCLA 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 2TD
15 plays · 71 yds · 5:4095% → 94%
Q1 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
94.9%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Kenneth Walker III for 7 yds to the UCLA 36Similar
Q1 13:21
2ND & 3
OWN 36
0
94.8%
Josh Rosen pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:13
3RD & 3
OWN 36
+12
94.7%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Darren Andrews for 12 yds to the UCLA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
94.7%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Ishmael Adams for 1 yd to the UCLA 49Similar
Q1 12:11
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+5
94.5%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Alex Van Dyke for 5 yds to the UNLV 46Similar
Q1 11:33
3RD & 4
OPP 46
+10
94.4%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Ishmael Adams for 10 yds to the UNLV 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
94.3%
Brandon Stephens run for 5 yds to the UNLV 31Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 5
OPP 31
0
94.3%
Brandon Stephens run for no gain to the UNLV 31Similar
Q1 10:14
3RD & 5
OPP 31
+7
94.2%
Ishmael Adams run for 7 yds to the UNLV 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:47
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
94.1%
Josh Rosen pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:41
2ND & 10
OPP 24
-15
94.1%
UCLA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the UNLV 39Similar
Q1 9:36
2ND & 25
OPP 39
+22
94.0%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Soso Jamabo for 22 yds to the UNLV 17Similar
Q1 8:56
3RD & 3
OPP 17
0
93.9%
Josh Rosen pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:51
4TH & 3
OPP 17
+14
93.8%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Ishmael Adams for 14 yds to the UNLV 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
94.3%
Soso Jamabo run for 3 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 3TD
15 plays · 70 yds · 5:596% → 9%
Q1 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+16
94.1%
Johnny Stanton pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 16 yds to the UNLV 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
94.0%
Lexington Thomas run for 9 yds to the UCLA 45Similar
Q1 7:08
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+5
93.7%
Lexington Thomas run for 5 yds to the UCLA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:41
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
93.7%
Johnny Stanton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:37
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+7
93.7%
Lexington Thomas run for 7 yds to the UCLA 33Similar
Q1 6:00
3RD & 3
OPP 33
+2
93.5%
Lexington Thomas run for 2 yds to the UCLA 31Similar
Q1 5:45
4TH & 1
OPP 31
+4
93.6%
David Greene run for 4 yds to the UCLA 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-5
93.3%
UNLV Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UCLA 32Similar
Q1 4:20
1ST & 15
OPP 32
+2
93.1%
David Greene run for 2 yds to the UCLA 30Similar
Q1 3:40
2ND & 13
OPP 30
0
93.0%
Johnny Stanton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:31
3RD & 13
OPP 30
+14
93.2%
Johnny Stanton run for 14 yds to the UCLA 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:01
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
92.8%
Lexington Thomas run for 4 yds to the UCLA 12Similar
Q1 2:15
2ND & 6
OPP 12
+12
91.1%
Lexington Thomas run for 12 yds for a TD, (Evan Pantels KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 4TD
13 plays · 66 yds · 4:1692% → 93%
Q1 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
92.0%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 8 yds to the UCLA 42Similar
Q1 2:00
2ND & 2
OWN 42
-5
92.3%
UCLA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UCLA 37Similar
Q1 0:55
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+6
91.8%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Audie Omotosho for 6 yds to the UCLA 43Similar
Q1 0:45
3RD & 1
OWN 43
-5
91.8%
UCLA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UCLA 38Similar
Q1 0:13
3RD & 6
OWN 38
+17
91.4%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Ishmael Adams for 17 yds to the UNLV 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
91.8%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Brandon Stephens for 2 yds to the UNLV 43Similar
Q2 14:25
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+15
91.6%
Brandon Stephens run for 15 yds to the UNLV 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
91.7%
Josh Rosen pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:55
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
91.6%
Josh Rosen pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:41
3RD & 10
OPP 28
+10
91.3%
Josh Rosen run for 10 yds to the UNLV 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-5
91.6%
UCLA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UNLV 23Similar
Q2 12:45
1ST & 15
OPP 23
+23
93.0%
Soso Jamabo run for 23 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:208% → 8%
Q2 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
92.2%
Johnny Stanton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:40
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+2
92.3%
Johnny Stanton run for 2 yds to the UNLV 37Similar
Q2 12:00
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+4
92.2%
Johnny Stanton pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 4 yds to the UNLV 41Similar
Q2 11:25
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
92.2%
Evan Pantels punt for 34 yds, downed at the UCLA 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 6TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:1192% → 94%
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
92.2%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Theo Howard for 15 yds to the UCLA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
92.5%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 4 yds to the UCLA 44Similar
Q2 10:37
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+10
92.5%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Nate Iese for 10 yds to the UNLV 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:37
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
92.5%
Josh Rosen pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:15
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+22
92.4%
Brandon Stephens run for 22 yds to the UNLV 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-5
92.5%
UCLA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UNLV 29Similar
Q2 8:37
1ST & 15
OPP 29
0
92.3%
Jalen Starks run for no gain to the UNLV 29Similar
Q2 8:04
2ND & 15
OPP 29
+29
94.4%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Mossi Johnson for 29 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 7INT
5 plays · 30 yds · 1:066% → 7%
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
94.0%
Johnny Stanton pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 20 yds to the UNLV 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
93.8%
Johnny Stanton pass complete to Darren Woods Jr. for 9 yds to the UCLA 46Similar
Q2 7:20
2ND & 1
OPP 46
+1
93.5%
Lexington Thomas run for 1 yd to the UCLA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+51
93.5%
Johnny Stanton pass intercepted Randall Goforth return for 51 yds to the UNLV 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 8TD
6 plays · 22 yds · 3:0195% → 98%
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+7
94.5%
Soso Jamabo run for 7 yds to the UNLV 15Similar
Q2 6:15
2ND & 3
OPP 15
+2
94.5%
Soso Jamabo run for 2 yds to the UNLV 13Similar
Q2 6:00
3RD & 1
OPP 13
+1
94.3%
Soso Jamabo run for 1 yd to the UNLV 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
94.4%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 1 yd to the UNLV 11Similar
Q2 4:35
2ND & 9
OPP 11
+4
94.4%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Darren Andrews for 4 yds to the UNLV 7Similar
Q2 3:49
3RD & 5
OPP 7
+7
97.7%
Soso Jamabo run for 7 yds for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 9TD
12 plays · 76 yds · 3:043% → 7%
Q2 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+31
97.0%
Johnny Stanton pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 31 yds to the UCLA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
96.8%
Lexington Thomas run for 7 yds to the UCLA 38Similar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+1
96.8%
Lexington Thomas run for 1 yd to the UCLA 37Similar
Q2 2:55
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+1
96.8%
Lexington Thomas run for 1 yd to the UCLA 36Similar
Q2 2:24
4TH & 1
OPP 36
+2
96.9%
Matt Lea run for 2 yds to the UCLA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
96.6%
Johnny Stanton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 10
OPP 34
0
96.7%
Johnny Stanton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:55
3RD & 10
OPP 34
+14
97.0%
Johnny Stanton pass complete to Devonte Boyd for 14 yds to the UCLA 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
96.6%
Johnny Stanton run for 6 yds to the UCLA 14Similar
Q2 0:37
2ND & 4
OPP 14
+14
92.9%
Johnny Stanton pass complete to Mekhi Stevenson for 14 yds for a TD, (Evan Pantels KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 10END OF HALF
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
94.3%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Bolu Olorunfunmi for 2 yds to the UCLA 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 11PUNT
8 plays · -6 yds · 1:2894% → 93%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+11
94.0%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Eldridge Massington for 11 yds to the UCLA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:33
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+12
94.0%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Eldridge Massington for 12 yds to the UCLA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
94.3%
Josh Rosen pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 10
OWN 46
-5
94.2%
UCLA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UCLA 41Similar
Q3 13:57
2ND & 15
OWN 41
0
94.1%
Josh Rosen pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:50
3RD & 15
OWN 41
-24
93.9%
Josh Rosen sacked by LaKeith Walls for a loss of 24 yards to the UCLA 17Similar
Q3 13:22
4TH & 39
OWN 17
0
93.3%
JJ Molson punt for 40 yds , Charles Williams returns for no gain to the UNLV 17 UNLV Penalty, Offensive Holding (12 Yards) to the UNLV 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 12INT
5 plays · 18 yds · 1:337% → 7%
Q3 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
93.3%
Johnny Stanton pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+5
93.6%
Lexington Thomas run for 5 yds to the UNLV 36Similar
Q3 12:21
3RD & 5
OWN 36
-5
93.2%
UNLV Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UNLV 31Similar
Q3 12:03
3RD & 10
OWN 31
+18
93.8%
Johnny Stanton pass complete to Andrew Price for 18 yds to the UNLV 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
92.8%
Johnny Stanton pass intercepted Randall Goforth return for no gain to the UCLA 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 13FUMBLE
4 plays · 33 yds · 1:2594% → 94%
Q3 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
93.9%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Eldridge MassingtonSimilar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+8
93.9%
Brandon Stephens run for 8 yds to the UCLA 35Similar
Q3 10:45
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+31
93.8%
Soso Jamabo run for 31 yds to the UNLV 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:11
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-6
94.4%
Jalen Starks run for a loss of 6 yards to the UNLV 40 Jalen Starks fumbled, recovered by UNLVSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 14TD
11 plays · 60 yds · 4:497% → 17%
Q3 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-15
93.0%
Johnny Stanton run for no gain to the UNLV 40 UNLV Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the UNLV 25Similar
Q3 9:43
1ST & 25
OWN 25
0
93.5%
Lexington Thomas run for no gain to the UNLV 25Similar
Q3 9:09
2ND & 25
OWN 25
+37
93.6%
Lexington Thomas run for 37 yds to the UCLA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
92.5%
Johnny Stanton run for 1 yd to the UCLA 37Similar
Q3 8:09
2ND & 9
OPP 37
0
92.4%
Lexington Thomas run for no gain to the UCLA 37Similar
Q3 7:31
3RD & 9
OPP 37
+14
92.6%
Johnny Stanton pass complete to Darren Woods Jr. for 14 yds to the UCLA 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+7
91.7%
Johnny Stanton run for 7 yds to the UCLA 16Similar
Q3 6:30
2ND & 3
OPP 16
+1
91.6%
Lexington Thomas run for 1 yd to the UCLA 15Similar
Q3 5:56
3RD & 2
OPP 15
+4
92.1%
David Greene run for 4 yds to the UCLA 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:23
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
91.5%
Johnny Stanton pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:13
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+11
82.8%
Johnny Stanton run for 11 yds for a TD, (Evan Pantels KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:4090% → 87%
Q3 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-2
89.8%
Soso Jamabo run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCLA 38Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 12
OWN 38
0
89.1%
Josh Rosen pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:31
3RD & 12
OWN 38
0
88.2%
Josh Rosen pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:26
4TH & 12
OWN 38
-6
87.4%
JJ Molson punt for 46 yds , Mekhi Stevenson returns for a loss of 6 yards to the UNLV 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 16PUNT
10 plays · 23 yds · 4:2514% → 13%
Q3 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
86.5%
Lexington Thomas run for 1 yd to the UNLV 11Similar
Q3 4:00
2ND & 9
OWN 11
+5
86.6%
Lexington Thomas run for 5 yds to the UNLV 16Similar
Q3 2:58
3RD & 4
OWN 16
+8
86.8%
Johnny Stanton pass complete to Andrew Price for 8 yds to the UNLV 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
85.7%
Lexington Thomas run for 2 yds to the UNLV 26Similar
Q3 1:52
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+7
85.5%
Lexington Thomas run for 7 yds to the UNLV 33Similar
Q3 1:10
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+4
85.9%
David Greene run for 4 yds to the UNLV 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
85.5%
Johnny Stanton pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:39
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-8
85.8%
Johnny Stanton sacked by Kenny Young for a loss of 8 yards to the UNLV 29Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 18
OWN 29
+4
87.1%
Lexington Thomas run for 4 yds to the UNLV 33Similar
Q4 14:55
4TH & 14
OWN 33
0
87.4%
Evan Pantels punt for 40 yds, downed at the UCLA 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 17TD
11 plays · 73 yds · 3:0190% → 97%
Q4 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
90.2%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 2 yds to the UCLA 29Similar
Q4 13:57
2ND & 8
OWN 29
0
90.0%
Josh Rosen pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:48
3RD & 8
OWN 29
+20
89.5%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Jordan Lasley for 20 yds to the UCLA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
91.3%
Josh Rosen pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:03
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
91.2%
Josh Rosen pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:00
3RD & 10
OWN 49
-13
90.3%
UCLA Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (-13 Yards) to the UCLA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-12
90.7%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Darren Andrews for a loss of 12 yards to the UCLA 24Similar
Q4 12:26
2ND & 22
OWN 24
+75
89.8%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Jordan Lasley for 75 yds to the UNLV 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
91.3%
Josh Rosen pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
96.5%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 1 yd for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:426% → 6%
Q4 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
94.0%
Johnny Stanton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:29
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+7
94.0%
Johnny Stanton run for 7 yds to the UNLV 30Similar
Q4 10:55
3RD & 3
OWN 30
0
93.5%
Johnny Stanton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:51
4TH & 3
OWN 30
0
93.7%
Evan Pantels punt for 48 yds , Ishmael Adams returns for no gain to the UCLA 30 UCLA Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the UCLA 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 19TD
12 plays · 88 yds · 5:4396% → 100%
Q4 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+9
96.2%
Soso Jamabo run for 9 yds to the UCLA 21Similar
Q4 10:06
2ND & 1
OWN 21
+3
96.4%
Soso Jamabo run for 3 yds to the UCLA 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
96.5%
Soso Jamabo run for 5 yds to the UCLA 29Similar
Q4 9:13
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+9
96.6%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Ainuu Taua for 9 yds to the UCLA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
96.9%
Brandon Stephens run for 9 yds to the UCLA 47Similar
Q4 8:30
2ND & 1
OWN 47
+6
96.9%
Jalen Starks run for 6 yds to the UNLV 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:44
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+10
97.0%
Jalen Starks run for 10 yds to the UNLV 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+8
97.2%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Ainuu Taua for 8 yds to the UNLV 29Similar
Q4 6:21
2ND & 2
OPP 29
+7
97.3%
Brandon Stephens run for 7 yds to the UNLV 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:46
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+19
97.4%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Jordan Lasley for 19 yds to the UNLV 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
97.4%
Brandon Stephens run for 2 yds to the UNLV 1Similar
Q4 4:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.6%
Josh Rosen 1 Yd Run (Andrew Strauch Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 20DOWNS
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:521% → 1%
Q4 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
99.3%
Johnny Stanton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:41
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
99.3%
Johnny Stanton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:38
3RD & 10
OWN 39
+7
99.4%
Johnny Stanton pass complete to Darren Woods Jr. for 7 yds to the UNLV 46Similar
Q4 3:54
4TH & 3
OWN 46
0
99.4%
Johnny Stanton pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 21END OF GAME
8 plays · 36 yds · 3:09100% → 100%
Q4 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
99.6%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 4 yds to the UNLV 42Similar
Q4 3:15
2ND & 6
OPP 42
0
99.7%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for no gain to the UNLV 42Similar
Q4 2:35
3RD & 6
OPP 42
+13
99.7%
Mike Fafaul pass complete to Brad Sochowski for 13 yds to the UNLV 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:12
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+8
99.7%
Nate Starks run for 8 yds to the UNLV 21Similar
Q4 1:24
2ND & 2
OPP 21
+3
99.8%
Nate Starks run for 3 yds to the UNLV 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:24
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
99.8%
Brandon Stephens run for 2 yds to the UNLV 16Similar
Q4 0:41
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+6
99.8%
Brandon Stephens run for 6 yds to the UNLV 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:13
Johnny Stanton run for 11 yds for a TD, (Evan Pantels KICK)
-8.7
TD · Q4 11:39
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 1 yd for a TD, (JJ Molson KICK)
+5.2
TD · Q2 0:37
Johnny Stanton pass complete to Mekhi Stevenson for 14 yds for a TD, (Evan Pantels KICK)
-3.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com