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GRAM

Grambling 21 at Arizona 31

ARIZ
2016 · Week 2 · Sep 10, 2016 · Arizona Stadium
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Win probability · ARIZ
modelARIZ aheadGRAM aheadconfidence bandkey playARIZ scoreGRAM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 11:59 · Nick Wilson run for 1 yd to the Gramb 31
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 24Pregame prior+48.5Home team on offense−0.4Score differential−0.1Garbage-time factor−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:16: Martez Carter run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonathan Wallace KICK) — GRAM win probability +19.4 pts (now 29%) (top driver: GRAM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 12:07: Brandon Dawkins run for 2 yds for a TD, (Josh Pollack KICK) — ARIZ win probability +10.9 pts (now 84%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 2:42: Brandon Dawkins pass complete to Trey Griffey for 34 yds for a TD, (Josh Pollack KICK) — ARIZ win probability +14.0 pts (now 80%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  4. TD · Q3 0:42: Nick Wilson run for 11 yds for a TD, (Josh Pollack KICK) — ARIZ win probability +10.7 pts (now 90%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 12:08: Brandon Dawkins run for 21 yds for a TD, (Josh Pollack KICK) — ARIZ win probability +6.2 pts (now 95%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARIZ made the numbers' call on 8 of 9GRAM made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 11:59ARIZ 4th & 2 at GRAM 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    99.0%−0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    98.9%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:24GRAM 4th & 24 at GRAM 44, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:22ARIZ 4th & 6 at ARIZ 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.9%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:17ARIZ 4th & 1 at GRAM 6, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.7%
    69% to convert
    Field goal
    93.2%−0.5
    91% to make
    Punt
    92.0%−1.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:24GRAM 4th & 1 at GRAM 33, up 14
    Close callPunted · 7.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.4%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:37ARIZ 4th & 10 at GRAM 14, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.1%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.3%
    84% to make
    Punt
    87.7%−1.6
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:07GRAM 4th & 5 at GRAM 42, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.2%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.5%
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:51ARIZ 4th & 8 at ARIZ 43, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.2%−1.0
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:53ARIZ 4th & 2 at GRAM 34, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 70.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    71.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    68.7%−2.3
    47% to make
    Punt
    67.7%−3.3
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:08ARIZ 4th & 2 at GRAM 21, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 86.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    84.6%−1.3
    74% to make
    Punt
    76.7%−9.2
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:08GRAM 4th & 28 at GRAM 48, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.1%−1.0
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:07ARIZ 4th & 13 at ARIZ 18, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.9%−1.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:20ARIZ 4th & 2 at ARIZ 15, up 10
    Close callPunted · 93.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.3%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARIZ made the numbers' call on 4 of 4GRAM made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 12:05GRAM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:55GRAM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:16GRAM Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 12:07ARIZ Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 2:42ARIZ Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:42ARIZ Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 12:08ARIZ Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GRAMDrive 1TD
11 plays · 81 yds · 2:551% → 1%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-5
99.3%
GRAMBLING Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Gramb 14Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 14
0
99.3%
DeVante Kincade pass incomplete to Martez CarterSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 14
+5
99.3%
ARIZONA Penalty, delay of game (5 Yards) to the Gramb 19Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+3
99.3%
Martez Carter run for 3 yds to the Gramb 22Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 22
+19
99.3%
DeVante Kincade pass complete to Verlan Hunter for 19 yds to the Gramb 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+43
99.3%
DeVante Kincade pass complete to Chad Williams for 43 yds to the Ariz 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+5
99.3%
ARIZONA Penalty, delay of game (5 Yards) to the Ariz 11Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 5
OPP 11
+4
99.3%
Martez Carter run for 4 yds to the Ariz 7Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 7
+5
99.3%
Martez Carter run for 5 yds to the Ariz 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.0%
DeVante Kincade pass complete to Verlan Hunter for 2 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Wallace KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 2DOWNS
13 plays · 45 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q1 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
99.0%
Nick Wilson run for 7 yds to the Ariz 31Similar
Q1 11:59
2ND & 3
OWN 31
0
99.0%
Brandon Dawkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:59
3RD & 3
OWN 31
+3
99.0%
Nick Wilson run for 3 yds to the Ariz 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-5
99.0%
Dawkins, B. pass incomplete to Grant, S., PENALTY ARIZ ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the ARIZ29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:59
1ST & 15
OWN 29
0
99.0%
Brandon Dawkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:59
2ND & 15
OWN 29
+3
99.0%
Brandon Dawkins run for 3 yds to the Ariz 32Similar
Q1 11:59
3RD & 12
OWN 32
+18
99.0%
Brandon Dawkins pass complete to Trey Griffey for 18 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:59
1ST & 10
50
+10
99.0%
Nick Wilson run for 10 yds to the Gramb 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
99.0%
Nick Wilson run for 3 yds to the Gramb 37Similar
Q1 11:59
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+2
99.0%
Nick Wilson run for 2 yds to the Gramb 35Similar
Q1 11:59
3RD & 5
OPP 35
+3
99.0%
Brandon Dawkins run for 3 yds to the Gramb 32Similar
Q1 11:59
4TH & 2
OPP 32
+1
99.0%
Nick Wilson run for 1 yd to the Gramb 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GRAMDrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 13 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
98.6%
DeVante Kincade run for 4 yds to the Gramb 35Similar
Q1 8:24
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+9
98.6%
DeVante Kincade run for 9 yds to the Gramb 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
98.6%
DeVante Kincade pass complete to Verlan Hunter for 8 yds to the Ariz 48Similar
Q1 8:24
2ND & 2
OPP 48
-5
98.6%
GRAMBLING Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Gramb 47Similar
Q1 8:24
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+11
98.6%
DeVante Kincade pass complete to Dominique Leake for 11 yds to the Ariz 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:24
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-2
98.6%
DeVante Kincade run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ariz 47 DeVante Kincade fumbled, recovered by Gramb Chad WilliamsSimilar
Q1 8:24
2ND & 15
OPP 47
+6
98.6%
DeVante Kincade pass complete to Chad Williams for 6 yds to the Ariz 41Similar
Q1 8:24
3RD & 9
OPP 41
-15
98.6%
DeVante Kincade sacked by Justin Belknap for a loss of 15 yards to the Gramb 44Similar
Q1 8:24
4TH & 24
OWN 44
+2
98.7%
Jonathan Wallace punt for 41 yds , J.J. Taylor returns for 2 yds to the Ariz 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:5598% → 98%
Q1 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
98.1%
Brandon Dawkins run for 5 yds to the Ariz 22Similar
Q1 4:17
2ND & 5
OWN 22
+5
98.1%
Nick Wilson run for 5 yds to the Ariz 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
98.1%
Brandon Dawkins pass incomplete to Trey GriffeySimilar
Q1 3:22
2ND & 10
OWN 27
-1
97.8%
Brandon Dawkins pass complete to Samajie Grant for a loss of 1 yard to the Ariz 26Similar
Q1 3:22
3RD & 11
OWN 26
+5
97.8%
Brandon Dawkins run for 5 yds to the Ariz 31Similar
Q1 3:22
4TH & 6
OWN 31
0
97.8%
Josh Pollack punt for 55 yds, downed at the Gramb 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GRAMDrive 5TD
16 plays · 86 yds · 5:062% → 6%
Q1 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
97.6%
DeVante Kincade pass complete to Martez Carter for no gain to the Gramb 14Similar
Q1 2:01
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+11
97.6%
DeVante Kincade pass complete to Martez Carter for 11 yds to the Gramb 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
97.3%
Martez Carter run for 11 yds to the Gramb 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-15
97.2%
Devante Kincade pass incomplete to Verlan Hunter, PENALTY GRAM personal foul 15 yards to the GRAM21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:44
1ST & 25
OWN 21
-4
97.3%
DeVante Kincade pass complete to Chad Williams for a loss of 4 yards to the Gramb 17Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 29
OWN 17
0
97.1%
DeVante Kincade pass incomplete to Chad Williams, broken up by Dane CruikshankSimilar
Q2 14:52
3RD & 29
OWN 17
+49
97.1%
DeVante Kincade pass complete to Martez Carter for 49 yds to the Ariz 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
96.8%
DeVante Kincade pass complete to Chad Williams for 6 yds to the Ariz 28Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 4
OPP 28
+1
96.7%
DeVante Kincade run for 1 yd to the Ariz 27Similar
Q2 14:52
3RD & 3
OPP 27
+4
96.8%
DeVante Kincade pass complete to Dominique Leake for 4 yds to the Ariz 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+7
96.7%
Martez Carter run for 7 yds to the Ariz 16Similar
Q2 12:09
2ND & 3
OPP 16
-10
95.8%
Devante Kincade pass complete to Dominique Leake for 16 yards to the ARIZ0, clock 12:09, PENALTY GRAM holding 10 yards to the ARIZ26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:09
2ND & 13
OPP 26
0
95.8%
DeVante Kincade pass incomplete to Verlan HunterSimilar
Q2 11:55
3RD & 13
OPP 26
+26
94.3%
DeVante Kincade pass complete to Devohn Lindsey for 26 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Wallace KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 6DOWNS
14 plays · 71 yds · 2:3895% → 94%
Q2 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
94.7%
Nick Wilson run for 2 yds to the Ariz 16Similar
Q2 11:55
2ND & 8
OWN 16
+3
94.7%
Brandon Dawkins run for 3 yds to the Ariz 19Similar
Q2 11:55
3RD & 5
OWN 19
+13
94.6%
Brandon Dawkins pass complete to Samajie Grant for 13 yds to the Ariz 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
94.7%
Orlando Bradford run for 6 yds to the Ariz 38Similar
Q2 11:55
2ND & 4
OWN 38
0
94.9%
Brandon Dawkins pass incomplete to Samajie GrantSimilar
Q2 11:55
3RD & 4
OWN 38
+5
94.8%
Brandon Dawkins pass complete to Samajie Grant for 5 yds to the Ariz 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
94.9%
Brandon Dawkins pass incomplete to Samajie GrantSimilar
Q2 11:55
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+42
94.9%
Brandon Dawkins run for 42 yds to the Gramb 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
95.1%
Orlando Bradford run for 2 yds to the Gramb 13Similar
Q2 9:17
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+4
94.4%
Orlando Bradford run for 4 yds to the Gramb 9Similar
Q2 9:17
3RD & 4
OPP 9
+3
94.2%
Orlando Bradford run for 3 yds to the Gramb 6Similar
Q2 9:17
4TH & 1
OPP 6
-4
94.1%
Nick Wilson run for a loss of 4 yards to the Gramb 10 Nick Wilson fumbled, forced by De'Arius Christ,Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GRAMDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 23 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q2 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+14
93.0%
DeVante Kincade run for 14 yds to the Gramb 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
92.9%
Jestin Kelly run for 3 yds to the Gramb 27Similar
Q2 8:24
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+4
92.8%
DeVante Kincade pass complete to Verlan Hunter for 4 yds to the Gramb 31Similar
Q2 8:24
3RD & 3
OWN 31
+2
92.9%
Jestin Kelly run for 2 yds to the Gramb 33Similar
Q2 8:24
4TH & 1
OWN 33
0
93.0%
Jonathan Wallace punt for 64 yds, downed at the Ariz 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 8FG
8 plays · 83 yds · 1:3791% → 91%
Q2 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+70
90.8%
Brandon Dawkins pass complete to Samajie Grant for 70 yds to the Gramb 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
91.9%
Dawkins, B. pass incomplete to Griffey, T., PENALTY GRAM offside 5 yards to the GRAM22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:14
1ST & 5
OPP 22
-1
91.9%
Nick Wilson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Gramb 23Similar
Q2 6:14
2ND & 6
OPP 23
+9
91.9%
Brandon Dawkins pass complete to Shawn Poindexter for 9 yds to the Gramb 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
91.9%
Brandon Dawkins pass incomplete to Shawn PoindexterSimilar
Q2 6:14
2ND & 10
OPP 14
0
91.9%
Brandon Dawkins pass incomplete to Nick WilsonSimilar
Q2 6:14
3RD & 10
OPP 14
0
91.6%
Brandon Dawkins pass incomplete to Nick WilsonSimilar
Q2 4:37
4TH & 10
OPP 14
+31
91.1%
Josh Pollack 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GRAMDrive 9TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:219% → 29%
Q2 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
90.7%
Martez Carter run for 1 yd to the Gramb 26Similar
Q2 4:37
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+8
90.8%
DeVante Kincade pass complete to Verlan Hunter for 8 yds to the Gramb 34Similar
Q2 4:37
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
90.7%
Martez Carter run for 4 yds to the Gramb 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
90.4%
DeVante Kincade pass incomplete, broken up by DaVonte' NealSimilar
Q2 4:37
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+3
90.5%
DeVante Kincade run for 3 yds to the Gramb 41Similar
Q2 4:37
3RD & 7
OWN 41
+12
90.6%
Trevon Cherry pass complete to Chad Williams for 12 yds to the Ariz 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:37
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
90.3%
Trevon Cherry pass complete to Chad Williams for 3 yds to the Ariz 44Similar
Q2 4:37
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+8
90.2%
Trevon Cherry pass complete to Martez Carter for 8 yds to the Ariz 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:37
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-9
90.1%
Trevon Cherry sacked by Parker Zellers for a loss of 9 yards to the Ariz 41 Trevon Cherry fumbled, , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 4:37
2ND & 15
OPP 41
+30
90.4%
Trevon Cherry pass complete to Chad Williams for 30 yds to the Ariz 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:37
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+10
90.0%
Trevon Cherry pass complete to Chad Williams for 10 yds to the Ariz 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
70.6%
Martez Carter run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonathan Wallace KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 10END OF HALF
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0078% → 77%
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
77.7%
Brandon Dawkins pass incomplete, broken up by De'Arius ChristSimilar
Q2 0:12
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-5
77.2%
ARIZONA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Ariz 32Similar
Q2 0:12
2ND & 15
OWN 32
+12
76.7%
Brandon Dawkins run for 12 yds to the Ariz 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 11TD
13 plays · 70 yds · 2:4776% → 84%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+11
76.3%
Brandon Dawkins pass complete to Cam Denson for 11 yds to the Ariz 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
77.7%
Brandon Dawkins pass complete to Cam Denson for 8 yds to the Ariz 49Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 2
OWN 49
+7
78.2%
Nick Wilson run for 7 yds to the Gramb 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
78.3%
Brandon Dawkins pass complete to Shun Brown for 7 yds to the Gramb 37Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 3
OPP 37
0
78.5%
Brandon Dawkins run for no gain to the Gramb 37Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 3
OPP 37
+5
78.5%
Dawkins, B. pass incomplete to Brown, S. (Jameel Jackson), PENALTY GRAM offside 5 yards to the GRAM32, 1ST DOWN ARIZ, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
78.6%
Brandon Dawkins pass incomplete to Trey Griffey, broken up by Guy StallworthSimilar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+13
78.5%
Brandon Dawkins pass complete to Trey Griffey for 13 yds to the Gramb 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+15
78.8%
Nick Wilson run for 15 yds to the Gramb 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
73.4%
GRAMBLING Penalty, Defensive offside (2 Yards) to the Gramb 2Similar
Q3 12:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
84.3%
Brandon Dawkins run for 2 yds for a TD, (Josh Pollack KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GRAMDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q3 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
81.0%
Trevon Cherry run for 6 yds to the Gramb 31Similar
Q3 12:07
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
80.6%
Trevon Cherry pass complete to Martez Carter for 3 yds to the Gramb 34Similar
Q3 12:07
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
81.0%
Trevon Cherry run for 3 yds to the Gramb 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
80.6%
Trevon Cherry pass incomplete to Dominique LeakeSimilar
Q3 12:07
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+5
80.7%
Martez Carter run for 5 yds to the Gramb 42Similar
Q3 12:07
3RD & 5
OWN 42
0
80.3%
Trevon Cherry pass incomplete to Jordan JonesSimilar
Q3 12:07
4TH & 5
OWN 42
+22
81.1%
Jonathan Wallace punt for 44 yds , J.J. Taylor returns for 22 yds to the ARIZONA 36 GRAMBLING Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the Ariz 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0078% → 76%
Q3 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
77.6%
Brandon Dawkins pass incomplete to Shun BrownSimilar
Q3 9:51
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+2
77.3%
Brandon Dawkins run for 2 yds to the Ariz 43Similar
Q3 9:51
3RD & 8
OWN 43
0
76.7%
Brandon Dawkins pass incomplete to Trey GriffeySimilar
Q3 9:51
4TH & 8
OWN 43
0
76.2%
Josh Pollack punt for 46 yds, downed at the Gramb 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GRAMDrive 14INT
6 plays · 12 yds · 0:0026% → 25%
Q3 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+4
74.1%
Jestin Kelly run for 4 yds to the Gramb 15Similar
Q3 8:52
2ND & 6
OWN 15
+5
74.0%
Jestin Kelly run for 5 yds to the Gramb 20Similar
Q3 8:52
3RD & 1
OWN 20
+4
74.4%
Jestin Kelly run for 4 yds to the Gramb 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
73.9%
Jestin Kelly run for a loss of 2 yards to the Gramb 23 Trevon CherrySimilar
Q3 8:52
2ND & 11
OWN 23
0
74.0%
Trevon Cherry pass incomplete to Verlan HunterSimilar
Q3 8:52
3RD & 11
OWN 23
+1
74.6%
Trevon Cherry pass intercepted - Flanniganfowles return for 1 yd to the Gramb 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 15DOWNS
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0073% → 72%
Q3 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
73.1%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:53
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
73.0%
Brandon Dawkins pass incomplete to Trey GriffeySimilar
Q3 6:53
3RD & 10
OPP 42
+8
72.0%
Brandon Dawkins pass complete to Samajie Grant for 8 yds to the Gramb 34Similar
Q3 6:53
4TH & 2
OPP 34
-2
71.7%
Brandon Dawkins run for a loss of 2 yards to the Gramb 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GRAMDrive 16INT
5 plays · 20 yds · 0:0034% → 35%
Q3 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-10
66.0%
Martez Carter rush for loss of 2 yards to the GRAM34 (McCall Jr., J.), PENALTY GRAM holding 10 yards to the GRAM26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:49
1ST & 20
OWN 26
+15
66.9%
Trevon Cherry pass incomplete to Chad Williams (McCall Jr., J.), PENALTY ARIZ roughing passer 15 yards to the GRAM41, 1ST DOWN GRAM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+18
64.9%
Trevon Cherry pass complete to Dominique Leake for 18 yds to the Ariz 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-3
64.2%
Martez Carter run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ariz 44Similar
Q3 5:49
2ND & 13
OPP 44
+22
64.6%
Trevon Cherry pass intercepted Jace Whittaker return for 22 yds to the Ariz 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 17TD
5 plays · 55 yds · 1:2965% → 80%
Q3 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
64.5%
Brandon Dawkins pass complete to Trey Griffey for 9 yds to the Gramb 46Similar
Q3 4:11
2ND & 1
OPP 46
+1
66.3%
Nick Wilson run for 1 yd to the Gramb 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
66.1%
Nick Wilson run for 8 yds to the Gramb 37Similar
Q3 4:11
2ND & 2
OPP 37
+3
66.3%
Nick Wilson run for 3 yds to the Gramb 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:42
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
80.3%
Brandon Dawkins pass complete to Trey Griffey for 34 yds for a TD, (Josh Pollack KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GRAMDrive 18FUMBLE
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0027% → 28%
Q3 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
72.6%
Jestin Kelly run for no gain to the Gramb 25Similar
Q3 2:42
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
73.3%
Jestin Kelly run for 7 yds to the Gramb 32Similar
Q3 2:42
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-3
72.2%
Jestin Kelly run for a loss of 3 yards to the Gramb 29 Jestin Kelly fumbled, recovered by Ariz Cody IppolitoSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 19TD
3 plays · 29 yds · 0:5179% → 90%
Q3 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+7
78.8%
Brandon Dawkins pass complete to Josh Kern for 7 yds to the Gramb 22Similar
Q3 1:33
2ND & 3
OPP 22
+11
78.8%
Nick Wilson run for 2 yds to the Gramb 20 for a 1ST down GRAMBLING Penalty, personal foul (9 Yards) to the Gramb 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
89.6%
Nick Wilson run for 11 yds for a TD, (Josh Pollack KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GRAMDrive 20FUMBLE
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:3513% → 15%
Q3 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
86.7%
Martez Carter run for 4 yds to the Gramb 26Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+13
85.9%
Trevon Cherry pass complete to Chad Williams for 13 yds to the Gramb 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
85.0%
Martez Carter run for no gain to the Gramb 39Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 39
-5
85.3%
Trevon Cherry sacked by Parker Zellers for a loss of 5 yards to the Gramb 29 Trevon Cherry fumbled, recovered by Ariz Cody Ippolito , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 21TD
4 plays · 29 yds · 1:4990% → 95%
Q4 13:57
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
90.1%
Nick Wilson run for 3 yds to the Gramb 26Similar
Q4 13:57
2ND & 7
OPP 26
-7
90.1%
Brandon Dawkins sacked by Deontae Hatter for a loss of 7 yards to the Gramb 33Similar
Q4 13:57
3RD & 14
OPP 33
+12
88.2%
Brandon Dawkins pass complete to Trevor Wood for 12 yds to the Gramb 21Similar
Q4 12:08
4TH & 2
OPP 21
+21
94.5%
Brandon Dawkins run for 21 yds for a TD, (Josh Pollack KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GRAMDrive 22PUNT
12 plays · 23 yds · 0:006% → 5%
Q4 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
94.3%
Trevon Cherry sacked by Michael Barton for a loss of 1 yard to the Gramb 24Similar
Q4 12:08
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+5
94.4%
Jestin Kelly run for 5 yds to the Gramb 29Similar
Q4 12:08
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+12
94.2%
Trevon Cherry pass complete to Chad Williams for 12 yds to the Gramb 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+15
93.4%
ARIZONA Penalty, roughing passer (15 Yards) to the Ariz 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:08
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
92.8%
Trevon Cherry pass incomplete to Chad WilliamsSimilar
Q4 12:08
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+10
92.9%
Trevon Cherry pass complete to Montrel Meander for 10 yds to the Ariz 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:08
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
92.4%
Trevon Cherry pass incomplete to Chad WilliamsSimilar
Q4 12:08
2ND & 10
OPP 34
0
92.4%
Trevon Cherry pass incomplete to Chad WilliamsSimilar
Q4 12:08
3RD & 10
OPP 34
-5
93.1%
GRAMBLING Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Ariz 39Similar
Q4 12:08
3RD & 15
OPP 39
-13
94.1%
Trevon Cherry sacked by DeAndre' Miller for a loss of 13 yards to the Gramb 48Similar
Q4 12:08
4TH & 28
OWN 48
+4
94.7%
Jonathan Wallace punt for 42 yds , Shun Brown returns for 4 yds to the Ariz 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0094% → 93%
Q4 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+7
93.5%
Nick Wilson run for 22 yds to the Ariz 36 ARIZONA Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the Ariz 21Similar
Q4 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
93.6%
Nick Wilson run for 2 yds to the Ariz 23Similar
Q4 9:07
2ND & 8
OWN 23
-5
93.5%
Brandon Dawkins sacked by Christian Bailey for a loss of 5 yards to the Ariz 18Similar
Q4 9:07
3RD & 13
OWN 18
0
93.0%
Brandon Dawkins pass incomplete to Cam DensonSimilar
Q4 9:07
4TH & 13
OWN 18
0
92.8%
Josh Pollack punt for 47 yds , Martez Carter returns for no gain to the Gramb 18 GRAMBLING Penalty, IB (10 Yards) to the Gramb 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GRAMDrive 24FUMBLE
4 plays · 68 yds · 0:005% → 7%
Q4 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+47
94.9%
Trevon Cherry pass complete to Dominique Leake for 47 yds to the Ariz 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+11
92.8%
Trevon Cherry pass complete to Devohn Lindsey for 11 yds to the Ariz 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
92.8%
Martez Carter run for 1 yd to the Ariz 16Similar
Q4 7:42
2ND & 9
OPP 16
+7
92.8%
Trevon Cherry pass complete to Chad Williams for 7 yds Chad Williams fumbled, forced by Jake Matthews, recovered by Ariz Jake MatthewsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0095% → 94%
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+3
94.7%
Nick Wilson run for 3 yds to the Ariz 10Similar
Q4 6:20
2ND & 7
OWN 10
+3
94.6%
Brandon Dawkins run for 3 yds to the Ariz 13Similar
Q4 6:20
3RD & 4
OWN 13
+2
94.4%
Nick Wilson run for 2 yds to the Ariz 15Similar
Q4 6:20
4TH & 2
OWN 15
+1
94.1%
Josh Pollack punt for 44 yds , Martez Carter returns for 1 yd to the Gramb 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GRAMDrive 26INT
4 plays · 23 yds · 0:006% → 7%
Q4 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+13
94.0%
Trevon Cherry pass complete to Chad Williams for 13 yds to the Ariz 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
93.6%
Trevon Cherry pass complete to Chad Williams for a loss of 1 yard to the Ariz 46Similar
Q4 4:06
2ND & 11
OPP 46
+11
93.5%
Trevon Cherry pass complete to Dominique Leake for 11 yds to the Ariz 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
93.0%
Trevon Cherry pass intercepted Jarvis McCall Jr. return for 6 yds to the Ariz 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 27END OF GAME
7 plays · 13 yds · 0:4996% → 96%
Q4 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
95.6%
Nick Wilson run for 7 yds to the Ariz 34Similar
Q4 2:58
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+2
95.6%
Nick Wilson run for 2 yds to the Ariz 36Similar
Q4 2:09
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+10
96.2%
Brandon Dawkins run for 10 yds to the Ariz 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-2
96.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ariz 44Similar
Q4 2:09
2ND & 12
OWN 44
-2
96.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ariz 42Similar
Q4 2:09
3RD & 14
OWN 42
-2
95.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ariz 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:16
Martez Carter run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonathan Wallace KICK)
-19.4
TD · Q3 2:42
Brandon Dawkins pass complete to Trey Griffey for 34 yds for a TD, (Josh Pollack KICK)
+14
TD · Q3 12:07
Brandon Dawkins run for 2 yds for a TD, (Josh Pollack KICK)
+10.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com