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EWU

Eastern Washington 45 at Washington State 42

WSU
2016 · Week 1 · Sep 3, 2016 · Gesa Field
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Win probability · WSU
modelWSU aheadEWU aheadconfidence bandkey playWSU scoreEWU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:13 · Team run for a loss of 4 yards to the WshSt 46
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+46.5+23.30−23.3−46.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 13:13: Gage Gubrud pass complete to Cooper Kupp for 26 yds for a TD, (Roldan Alcobendas KICK) — EWU win probability +9.6 pts (now 23%) (top driver: EWU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 10:34: Gage Gubrud pass complete to Cooper Kupp for 7 yds for a TD, (Roldan Alcobendas KICK) — EWU win probability +13.0 pts (now 37%) (top driver: EWU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 4:42: Luke Falk pass complete to Gerard Wicks for 9 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK) — WSU win probability +27.0 pts (now 56%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  4. TD · Q4 1:39: Gage Gubrud run for 30 yds for a TD, (Roldan Alcobendas KICK) — EWU win probability +26.2 pts (now 96%) (top driver: EWU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:14: Gerard Wicks run for 3 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK) — WSU win probability +30.6 pts (now 39%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5EWU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 14:52WSU 4th & 11 at WSU 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.2%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:56EWU 4th & 11 at EWU 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.0%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:00WSU 4th & 19 at WSU 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.2%−0.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:16EWU 4th & 5 at WSU 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.3%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.3%
    68% to make
    Punt
    5.9%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:38EWU 4th & 23 at EWU 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.7%−0.9
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:08EWU 4th & 8 at WSU 45, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 10.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.6%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    10.8%
    25% to make
    Punt
    10.5%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:06WSU 4th & 12 at WSU 22, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.8%−2.3
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.1%
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:27WSU 4th & 22 at WSU 27, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.3%−2.9
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.2%
    average punt
  9. Q4 10:19WSU 4th & 18 at EWU 21, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 24.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.1%−4.2
    12% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    26.3%
    74% to make
    Punt
    17.3%−9.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 10:19EWU 4th & 3 at EWU 28, up 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 73.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.5%−1.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6EWU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 6:29WSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:32EWU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:16WSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 13:32EWU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 9:36WSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 9:25EWU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 5:38WSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 13:13EWU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 10:34EWU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 4:42WSU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.3%−0.3
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 1:39EWU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.3%−0.6
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 0:14WSU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.9%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WSUDrive 1PUNT
10 plays · 12 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-5
96.1%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, false start (Hercules Mata'afa) to the WshSt 29Similar
Q1 14:52
1ST & 15
OWN 29
+2
96.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 2 yds to the WshSt 31Similar
Q1 14:52
2ND & 13
OWN 31
+2
96.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Robert Lewis for 2 yds to the WshSt 33Similar
Q1 14:52
3RD & 11
OWN 33
+14
96.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 14 yds to the WshSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
96.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to John Thompson for 4 yds to the EWash 49Similar
Q1 14:52
2ND & 6
OPP 49
0
96.1%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Gerard WicksSimilar
Q1 14:52
3RD & 6
OPP 49
0
96.1%
Luke Falk pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:52
4TH & 6
OPP 49
-5
96.1%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, delay of game (Ngalu Tapa) to the WshSt 46Similar
Q1 14:52
4TH & 11
OWN 46
0
96.1%
Zach Charme punt for 54 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q1 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
95.8%
Gage Gubrud pass incomplete to Antoine Custer, PENALTY EWU pass interference (Antoine Custer) 10 yards to the EWU10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:56
1ST & 20
OWN 10
+1
95.8%
Gage Gubrud pass complete to Nic Sblendorio for 1 yd to the EWash 11Similar
Q1 12:56
2ND & 19
OWN 11
-2
95.8%
Jabari Wilson run for a loss of 2 yards to the EWash 9Similar
Q1 12:56
3RD & 21
OWN 9
+10
95.8%
Gage Gubrud pass complete to Shaq Hill for 10 yds to the EWash 19Similar
Q1 12:56
4TH & 11
OWN 19
0
95.8%
Jordan Dascalo punt for 51 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
95.4%
Gerard Wicks run for 4 yds to the WshSt 34Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 6
OWN 34
-5
95.4%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, false start (Cole Madison) to the WshSt 29Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 11
OWN 29
0
95.4%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to River CracraftSimilar
Q1 11:00
3RD & 11
OWN 29
-8
95.4%
Luke Falk sacked by Samson Ebukam for a loss of 8 yards to the WshSt 21Similar
Q1 11:00
4TH & 19
OWN 21
0
95.3%
Kyle Sweet punt for 42 yds, downed at the EWash 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 4MISSED FG
5 plays · 39 yds · 0:565% → 5%
Q1 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+34
95.0%
Gage Gubrud pass complete to Shaq Hill for 34 yds to the WshSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:12
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
94.8%
Gage Gubrud pass incomplete to Stu StilesSimilar
Q1 9:12
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+5
94.9%
Gage Gubrud run for 5 yds to the WshSt 24Similar
Q1 9:12
3RD & 5
OPP 24
0
94.9%
Gage Gubrud pass incomplete to Cooper Kupp, broken up by Peyton PelluerSimilar
Q1 8:16
4TH & 5
OPP 24
+41
94.7%
Roldan Alcobendas 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 5TD
5 plays · 76 yds · 1:4795% → 95%
Q1 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+9
94.8%
Gerard Wicks run for 9 yds to the WshSt 33Similar
Q1 8:16
2ND & 1
OWN 33
+8
94.9%
Gerard Wicks run for 8 yds to the WshSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
94.9%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Robert LewisSimilar
Q1 8:16
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+6
94.8%
Jamal Morrow run for 6 yds to the WshSt 47Similar
Q1 6:29
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+53
95.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 53 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 6TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:575% → 7%
Q1 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
95.0%
Gage Gubrud pass complete to Jabari Wilson for 11 yds to the EWash 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
94.9%
Gage Gubrud run for 9 yds to the EWash 45Similar
Q1 6:29
2ND & 1
OWN 45
0
94.8%
Antoine Custer Jr. run for no gain to the EWash 45Similar
Q1 6:29
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+2
94.9%
Jabari Wilson run for 2 yds to the EWash 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
94.9%
Gage Gubrud pass complete to Cooper Kupp for 6 yds to the WshSt 47Similar
Q1 6:29
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+15
94.8%
Cooper Kupp run for 15 yds to the WshSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:29
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
94.7%
Gage Gubrud pass incomplete to Antoine Custer Jr.Similar
Q1 6:29
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+6
94.7%
Gage Gubrud pass complete to Simba Webster for 6 yds to the WshSt 26Similar
Q1 6:29
3RD & 4
OPP 26
+8
94.8%
Gage Gubrud pass complete to Antoine Custer Jr. for 8 yds to the WshSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:29
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
94.7%
Gage Gubrud run for 4 yds to the WshSt 14Similar
Q1 2:32
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+14
92.6%
Gage Gubrud pass complete to Antoine Custer Jr. for 14 yds for a TD, (Roldan Alcobendas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 7TD
7 plays · 73 yds · 2:0993% → 94%
Q1 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-15
93.3%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the WshSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
93.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to I Johnson-Mack for 7 yds to the WshSt 49Similar
Q1 2:25
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+8
93.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gerard Wicks for 8 yds to the EWash 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
93.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 2 yds to the EWash 41Similar
Q1 2:25
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+14
93.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 14 yds to the EWash 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
94.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 27 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 8TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 1:446% → 9%
Q1 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
93.8%
Gage Gubrud pass complete to Cooper Kupp for 9 yds to the EWash 34Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+18
93.5%
Gage Gubrud run for 18 yds to the WshSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+14
93.4%
Cooper Kupp run for 14 yds to the WshSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+11
93.2%
Gage Gubrud pass complete to Cooper Kupp for 11 yds to the WshSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:14
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+22
92.8%
Cooper Kupp pass complete to Kendrick Bourne for 22 yds to the WshSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
92.8%
Gage Gubrud pass incomplete to Beau Byus, PENALTY EWU ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the WSU6, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
92.8%
Gage Gubrud pass incomplete to Shaq HillSimilar
Q2 13:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
90.7%
Gage Gubrud pass complete to Sam McPherson for 6 yds for a TD, (Roldan Alcobendas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 9TD
12 plays · 67 yds · 3:5192% → 93%
Q2 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+11
92.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 11 yds to the WshSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
92.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for no gain to the WshSt 44Similar
Q2 13:27
2ND & 10
OWN 44
-5
92.2%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WshSt 39Similar
Q2 13:27
2ND & 15
OWN 39
+26
92.0%
Luke Falk pass complete to Robert Lewis for 26 yds to the EWash 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+12
92.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to John Thompson for 12 yds to the EWash 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
92.6%
James Williams run for 4 yds to the EWash 19Similar
Q2 13:27
2ND & 6
OPP 19
+8
92.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 8 yds to the EWash 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-2
92.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for a loss of 2 yards to the EWash 13Similar
Q2 13:27
2ND & 12
OPP 13
0
92.6%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to John ThompsonSimilar
Q2 13:27
3RD & 12
OPP 13
+11
92.3%
Falk, Luke pass incomplete to Lewis, Robert, PENALTY EWU pass interference (Cole Karstetter) 11 yards to the EWU2, 1ST DOWN WSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
93.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 2 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 10TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
89.7%
Gage Gubrud pass complete to Cooper Kupp for 75 yds for a TD, (Roldan Alcobendas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 11TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:4790% → 93%
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
90.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 14 yds to the WshSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
90.8%
Gerard Wicks run for 7 yds to the WshSt 46Similar
Q2 9:25
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+2
91.1%
Gerard Wicks run for 2 yds to the WshSt 48Similar
Q2 9:25
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+2
90.9%
Luke Falk run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
50
+15
91.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Robert Lewis for 15 yds to the EWash 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
91.4%
Gerard Wicks run for 6 yds to the EWash 29Similar
Q2 9:25
2ND & 4
OPP 29
0
91.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gerard Wicks for no gain to the EWash 29Similar
Q2 9:25
3RD & 4
OPP 29
+24
91.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Robert Lewis for 24 yds to the EWash 5 for a 1ST down EASTERN WASH Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
92.8%
Jamal Morrow run for 5 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 12PUNT
11 plays · 13 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q2 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
91.8%
Gage Gubrud pass complete to Cooper Kupp for 14 yds to the EWash 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
91.3%
Gage Gubrud run for 6 yds to the EWash 45Similar
Q2 5:38
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+2
91.0%
Gage Gubrud pass complete to Shaq Hill for 2 yds to the EWash 47Similar
Q2 5:38
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+4
91.1%
Gage Gubrud run for 4 yds to the WshSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:38
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
90.9%
Gage Gubrud run for 2 yds to the WshSt 47Similar
Q2 5:38
2ND & 8
OPP 47
-15
90.9%
Gage Gubrud pass incomplete to Shaq Hill, PENALTY EWU pass interference (Shaq Hill) 15 yards to the EWU38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:38
2ND & 23
OWN 38
+14
91.8%
Gage Gubrud pass complete to Stu Stiles for 14 yds to the WshSt 48Similar
Q2 5:38
3RD & 9
OPP 48
-9
91.3%
Gage Gubrud sacked by Hercules Mata'afa for a loss of 9 yards to the EWash 43Similar
Q2 5:38
4TH & 18
OWN 43
-5
92.2%
EASTERN WASH Penalty, delay of game (Jordan Dascalo) to the EWash 38Similar
Q2 5:38
4TH & 23
OWN 38
0
92.2%
Jordan Dascalo punt for 58 yds, downed at the WshSt 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 13INT
2 plays · 10 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+10
90.6%
Falk, Luke pass incomplete to Marks, Gabe, PENALTY EWU holding 10 yards to the WSU14, 1ST DOWN WSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-3
90.8%
Luke Falk pass intercepted Mitch Fettig return for a loss of 3 yards to the WshSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 14FG
8 plays · 16 yds · 1:1311% → 13%
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
89.1%
Gage Gubrud pass complete to Kendrick Bourne for 1 yd to the WshSt 46Similar
Q2 1:13
2ND & 9
OPP 46
+6
89.3%
Gage Gubrud pass complete to Cooper Kupp for 6 yds to the WshSt 40Similar
Q2 1:13
3RD & 3
OPP 40
0
88.9%
Sam McPherson run for no gain to the WshSt 40Similar
Q2 1:13
4TH & 3
OPP 40
-5
89.6%
EASTERN WASH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WshSt 45Similar
Q2 0:08
4TH & 8
OPP 45
+14
90.6%
Gage Gubrud pass complete to Stu Stiles for 14 yds to the WshSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+48
87.1%
Jordan Dascalo 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 15TD
6 plays · 78 yds · 1:4212% → 23%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+26
87.8%
Gage Gubrud pass complete to Kendrick Bourne for 26 yds to the EWash 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
86.4%
Gage Gubrud pass complete to Kendrick Bourne for 9 yds to the WshSt 43Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 1
OPP 43
-1
86.0%
Jabari Wilson run for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 44Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+18
86.2%
Gage Gubrud pass complete to Shaq Hill for 18 yds to the WshSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
76.6%
Gage Gubrud pass complete to Cooper Kupp for 26 yds for a TD, (Roldan Alcobendas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · -2 yds · 0:0080% → 79%
Q3 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-5
80.1%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WshSt 19Similar
Q3 13:06
1ST & 15
OWN 19
-9
79.9%
Falk, Luke pass complete to Cracraft, River for 8 yards to the WSU27 (Alek Kacmarcik;Miquiyah Zamora), PENALTY WSU holding 9 yards to the WSU10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:06
1ST & 24
OWN 10
+8
79.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 8 yds to the WshSt 18Similar
Q3 13:06
2ND & 16
OWN 18
+4
79.8%
Luke Falk run for 4 yds to the WshSt 22Similar
Q3 13:06
3RD & 12
OWN 22
0
79.0%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Gabe MarksSimilar
Q3 13:06
4TH & 12
OWN 22
0
78.5%
Kyle Sweet punt for 33 yds, downed at the EWash 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 17TD
3 plays · 55 yds · 0:4524% → 37%
Q3 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
76.2%
Gage Gubrud pass complete to Kendrick Bourne for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 11:19
2ND & 5
50
+43
75.8%
Gage Gubrud pass complete to Shaq Hill for 36 yds to the WASHST 14 for a 1ST down WASHINGTON ST Penalty, personal foul (Robert Taylor) to the WshSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
62.8%
Gage Gubrud pass complete to Cooper Kupp for 7 yds for a TD, (Roldan Alcobendas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 18PUNT
9 plays · 0 yds · 0:0064% → 62%
Q3 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
64.3%
Jamal Morrow run for 8 yds to the WshSt 35Similar
Q3 10:27
2ND & 2
OWN 35
+4
65.2%
Jamal Morrow run for 4 yds to the WshSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-11
65.3%
Luke Falk pass complete to James Williams for 4 yds to the WshSt 43 WASHINGTON ST Penalty, illegal block (-15 Yards) to the WshSt 28Similar
Q3 10:27
1ST & 21
OWN 28
0
63.9%
Luke Falk run for no gain to the WshSt 28Similar
Q3 10:27
2ND & 21
OWN 28
+6
63.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to John Thompson for 6 yds to the WshSt 34Similar
Q3 10:27
3RD & 15
OWN 34
-5
62.5%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, false start (Riley Sorenson) to the WshSt 29Similar
Q3 10:27
3RD & 20
OWN 29
-2
62.4%
Luke Falk sacked by Keenan Williams for a loss of 2 yards to the WshSt 27Similar
Q3 10:27
4TH & 22
OWN 27
0
61.8%
Kyle Sweet punt for 50 yds, downed at the EWash 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 19INT
16 plays · 70 yds · 4:4942% → 60%
Q3 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-2
57.6%
Gage Gubrud run for a loss of 2 yards to the EWash 21Similar
Q3 6:40
2ND & 12
OWN 21
+11
58.2%
Gage Gubrud pass complete to Cooper Kupp for 11 yds to the EWash 32Similar
Q3 6:40
3RD & 1
OWN 32
+7
57.2%
Gage Gubrud pass complete to Shaq Hill for 7 yds to the EWash 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+15
55.5%
Gage Gubrud pass incomplete to Cooper Kupp, PENALTY WSU roughing passer (Ekuale, Daniel) 15 yards to the WSU46, 1ST DOWN EWU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+15
55.4%
Gage Gubrud pass complete to Kendrick Bourne for 15 yds to the WshSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-12
54.9%
Nic Sblendorio run for 3 yds to the WshSt 28 EASTERN WASH Penalty, illegal block (-15 Yards) to the WshSt 43Similar
Q3 6:40
1ST & 22
OPP 43
-10
55.7%
Gage Gubrud rush for loss of 2 yards to the WSU45, PENALTY EWU illegal block 10 yards to the EWU47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:40
1ST & 32
OWN 47
+17
56.1%
Gage Gubrud pass complete to Cooper Kupp for 17 yds to the WshSt 36Similar
Q3 6:40
2ND & 15
OPP 36
+15
55.8%
Gage Gubrud pass incomplete, PENALTY WSU pass interference (Pippins, Mar.) 15 yards to the WSU21, 1ST DOWN EWU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
54.7%
Kendrick Bourne run for 4 yds to the WshSt 17Similar
Q3 2:27
2ND & 6
OPP 17
+9
43.0%
Gage Gubrud pass complete to Kendrick Bourne for 9 yds to the WshSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-5
39.7%
EASTERN WASH Penalty, false start (Matt Meyer) to the WshSt 13Similar
Q3 1:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 13
+6
39.9%
Gage Gubrud run for 6 yds to the WshSt 7Similar
Q3 1:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
39.7%
Gage Gubrud pass intercepted, touchback. Marcellus Pippins return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 20MISSED FG
15 plays · 59 yds · 6:0146% → 27%
Q3 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
45.7%
Jamal Morrow run for 3 yds to the WshSt 23Similar
Q3 1:20
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+8
45.8%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 8 yds to the WshSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
46.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gerard Wicks for 7 yds to the WshSt 38Similar
Q3 1:20
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+8
48.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 8 yds to the WshSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
45.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 1 yd to the WshSt 47Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+16
45.8%
Jamal Morrow run for 16 yds to the EWash 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+11
47.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 11 yds to the EWash 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
50.5%
Gerard Wicks run for 5 yds to the EWash 21Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 21
0
50.5%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Gabe MarksSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 21
+8
47.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 8 yds to the EWash 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+7
50.5%
Gabe Marks run for 7 yds to the EWash 6Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 6
+2
50.5%
Gerard Wicks run for 2 yds to the EWash 4Similar
Q4 11:07
3RD & 1
OPP 4
-10
37.3%
Morrow, Jamal rush for 4 yards to the EWU0, clock 11:07, PENALTY WSU holding (Johnson-Mack, I) 10 yards to the EWU14, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:07
3RD & 11
OPP 14
-7
36.1%
Luke Falk sacked by Samson Ebukam for a loss of 7 yards to the EWash 21Similar
Q4 10:19
4TH & 18
OPP 21
+38
26.7%
Erik Powell 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0078% → 77%
Q4 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-13
22.0%
Gage Gubrud sacked by Robert Barber for a loss of 13 yards to the EWash 8Similar
Q4 10:19
2ND & 23
OWN 8
+10
23.6%
Gage Gubrud run for 10 yds to the EWash 18Similar
Q4 10:19
3RD & 13
OWN 18
+10
23.5%
Gage Gubrud pass complete to Nic Sblendorio for 10 yds to the EWash 28Similar
Q4 10:19
4TH & 3
OWN 28
+14
22.9%
Jordan Dascalo punt for 57 yds , Kaleb Fossum returns for 14 yds to the WshSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 22TD
8 plays · 71 yds · 3:1022% → 56%
Q4 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
22.3%
Gerard Wicks run for 6 yds to the WshSt 35Similar
Q4 7:52
2ND & 4
OWN 35
0
22.9%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to Gabe MarksSimilar
Q4 7:52
3RD & 4
OWN 35
+21
21.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gerard Wicks for 21 yds to the EWash 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:52
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
25.4%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 5 yds to the EWash 39Similar
Q4 7:52
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+9
25.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to Kyle Sweet for 9 yds to the EWash 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:52
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+18
28.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 18 yds to the EWash 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:52
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
28.6%
Jamal Morrow run for 3 yds to the EWash 9Similar
Q4 4:42
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+9
55.6%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gerard Wicks for 9 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 23TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:0365% → 96%
Q4 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
34.7%
Gage Gubrud pass complete to Cooper Kupp for 6 yds to the EWash 31Similar
Q4 4:42
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+7
32.9%
Gage Gubrud run for 7 yds to the EWash 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+12
31.7%
Gage Gubrud pass complete to Shaq Hill for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:42
1ST & 10
50
+2
29.2%
Jabari Wilson run for 2 yds to the WshSt 48Similar
Q4 4:42
2ND & 8
OPP 48
0
29.3%
Gage Gubrud pass incomplete to Cooper KuppSimilar
Q4 4:42
3RD & 8
OPP 48
+18
30.3%
Gage Gubrud pass complete to Cooper Kupp for 18 yds to the WshSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
4.2%
Gage Gubrud run for 30 yds for a TD, (Roldan Alcobendas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 24TD
11 plays · 67 yds · 1:196% → 39%
Q4 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
6.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to Gabe Marks for 3 yds to the WshSt 36Similar
Q4 1:33
2ND & 7
OWN 36
0
6.2%
Luke Falk pass incomplete to I Johnson-MackSimilar
Q4 1:33
3RD & 7
OWN 36
+13
5.9%
Luke Falk pass complete to Tavares Martin Jr. for 13 yds to the WshSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
6.7%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:33
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+10
6.5%
Luke Falk pass complete to James Williams for 10 yds to the EWash 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+11
7.2%
Luke Falk pass complete to Jamal Morrow for 11 yds to the EWash 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+18
9.1%
Luke Falk pass complete to River Cracraft for 6 yds to the EWash 24 for a 1ST down EASTERN WASH Penalty, personal foul (12 Yards) to the EWash 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+9
9.7%
Luke Falk pass complete to I Johnson-Mack for 9 yds to the EWash 3Similar
Q4 0:14
2ND & 1
OPP 3
+3
38.5%
Gerard Wicks run for 3 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EWUDrive 25END OF GAME
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 0:13
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-4
5.2%
Team run for a loss of 4 yards to the WshSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:14
Gerard Wicks run for 3 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)
+30.6
TD · Q4 4:42
Luke Falk pass complete to Gerard Wicks for 9 yds for a TD, (Erik Powell KICK)
+27
TD · Q4 1:39
Gage Gubrud run for 30 yds for a TD, (Roldan Alcobendas KICK)
-26.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com