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RUTG

Rutgers 13 at Washington 48

WASH
2016 · Week 1 · Sep 3, 2016 · Husky Stadium
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Win probability · WASH
modelWASH aheadRUTG aheadconfidence bandkey playWASH scoreRUTG score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGTDFGTDTDFGTDEnd of GameTD+0.2WASH 99.8%Dante Pettis 68 Yd Punt Return(Cameron Van Winkle Kick)AWAY 3 - HOME 41 · Q3 3:59
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 3:59 · Dante Pettis 68 Yd Punt Return (Cameron Van Winkle Kick)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+43.0+21.50−21.5−43.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 127Pregame prior+17.5Home team on offense+34.1Score differential+27.2Blowout margin+14.1Garbage-time factor+8.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 12:14: Chico McClatcher 43 Yd pass from Jake Browning (Cameron Van Winkle Kick) — WASH win probability +0.2 pts (now 92%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  2. FG · Q1 7:21: Cameron Van Winkle 45 Yd Field Goal — RUTG win probability +0.3 pts (now 8%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 3:42: John Ross 38 Yd pass from Jake Browning (Cameron Van Winkle Kick) — WASH win probability +1.8 pts (now 94%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q1 0:48: John Ross 50 Yd pass from Jake Browning (Cameron Van Winkle Kick) — WASH win probability +1.7 pts (now 96%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 2:22: John Ross 92 Yd Kickoff Return (Cameron Van Winkle Kick) — WASH win probability +2.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WASH made the numbers' call on 6 of 8RUTG made the numbers' call on 7 of 12
  1. Q1 13:29RUTG 4th & 1 at RUTG 24, tied
    Close callPunted · 8.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.1%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:18WASH 4th & 4 at RUTG 29, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 91.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    91.5%−<0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    91.1%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:21WASH 4th & 14 at RUTG 28, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 91.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.9%−0.1
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.0%
    60% to make
    Punt
    90.6%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:25RUTG 4th & 12 at RUTG 43, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.0%−0.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:59RUTG 4th & 30 at RUTG 5, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.1%−1.0
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:35RUTG 4th & 12 at WASH 29, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.0%−0.3
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    4.4%
    58% to make
    Punt
    3.1%−1.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:24WASH 4th & 17 at RUTG 30, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.6%−0.5
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.0%
    56% to make
    Punt
    95.6%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:36RUTG 4th & 7 at WASH 20, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.8%
    75% to make
    Punt
    2.2%−1.6
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:00RUTG 4th & 13 at RUTG 22, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.4%−1.4
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:00WASH 4th & 11 at RUTG 25, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.1%
    66% to make
    Punt
    98.4%−0.7
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:50WASH 4th & 2 at WASH 36, up 31
    Close callPunted · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:21RUTG 4th & 11 at WASH 37, down 31
    Close callPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    0.5%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:59RUTG 4th & 21 at RUTG 30, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:02RUTG 4th & 4 at WASH 49, down 38
    Close callPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q3 0:45WASH 4th & 4 at WASH 14, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  16. Q4 13:05RUTG 4th & 1 at WASH 33, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    -0.0%−0.2
    49% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.2
    average punt
  17. Q4 11:54RUTG 4th & 1 at WASH 21, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−0.1
    74% to make
    Punt
    -0.3%−0.4
    average punt
  18. Q4 10:25RUTG 4th & 5 at WASH 5, down 45
    Close callKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    92% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.3
    average punt
  19. Q4 8:22WASH 4th & 7 at WASH 30, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  20. Q4 3:28WASH 4th & 3 at RUTG 44, up 35
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WASH made the numbers' call on 6 of 6RUTG made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 12:14WASH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:42WASH Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:48WASH Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:22WASH Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 3:59WASH Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:29WASH Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 5:53RUTG Touchdown, down 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
RUTGDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:197% → 8%
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
92.7%
Justin Goodwin run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 20Similar
Q1 14:25
2ND & 5
OWN 20
+4
92.6%
Justin Goodwin run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 24Similar
Q1 14:02
3RD & 1
OWN 24
0
92.5%
Justin Goodwin run for no gain to the Rutgr 24Similar
Q1 13:29
4TH & 1
OWN 24
+9
92.4%
Michael Cintron punt for 34 yds , Dante Pettis returns for 9 yds to the Rutgr 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 2TD
3 plays · 49 yds · 0:5092% → 92%
Q1 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
92.3%
Myles Gaskin run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 45Similar
Q1 12:40
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+2
92.2%
Jake Browning pass complete to John Ross for 2 yds to the Rutgr 43Similar
Q1 12:14
3RD & 4
OPP 43
+43
92.4%
Chico McClatcher 43 Yd pass from Jake Browning (Cameron Van Winkle Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 3FUMBLE
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:548% → 8%
Q1 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
92.3%
Justin Goodwin run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 28Similar
Q1 11:42
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
92.2%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Janarion Grant for 3 yds to the Rutgr 31Similar
Q1 11:11
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+4
92.1%
Chris Laviano run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 35 Chris Laviano fumbled, forced by Keishawn Bierria, recovered by Wash Psalm WoochingSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 4FG
8 plays · 7 yds · 3:3892% → 92%
Q1 10:59
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
92.3%
Myles Gaskin run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 33Similar
Q1 10:32
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+4
92.3%
Myles Gaskin run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 29Similar
Q1 9:59
3RD & 4
OPP 29
0
92.2%
Myles Gaskin run for no gain to the Rutgr 29Similar
Q1 9:18
4TH & 4
OPP 29
+5
92.1%
Jake Browning pass complete to Drew Sample for 5 yds to the Rutgr 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:51
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
92.1%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Chico McClatcher, broken up by Anthony CioffiSimilar
Q1 8:37
2ND & 10
OPP 24
-1
92.1%
Budda Baker run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 25Similar
Q1 8:01
3RD & 11
OPP 25
-3
92.0%
Jake Browning sacked by Greg Jones for a loss of 3 yards to the Rutgr 28Similar
Q1 7:21
4TH & 14
OPP 28
+45
91.7%
Cameron Van Winkle 45 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 1:468% → 8%
Q1 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
91.9%
Chris Laviano pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:03
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
91.9%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Janarion Grant, broken up by Jojo McIntoshSimilar
Q1 7:01
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+10
92.0%
WASHINGTON Penalty, Defensive Holding (Jojo McIntosh) to the Rutgr 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
91.8%
Josh Hicks run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 40Similar
Q1 6:14
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+3
91.6%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Janarion Grant for 3 yds to the Rutgr 43Similar
Q1 6:01
3RD & 2
OWN 43
0
91.6%
Justin Goodwin run for no gain to the Rutgr 43Similar
Q1 5:25
4TH & 12
OWN 43
0
91.8%
Michael Cintron punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Dante Pettis at the Wash 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 6TD
5 plays · 85 yds · 1:3792% → 94%
Q1 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
91.6%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to John RossSimilar
Q1 5:02
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+16
91.6%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 16 yds to the Wash 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+13
91.6%
Chico McClatcher run for 13 yds to the Wash 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+18
91.8%
Myles Gaskin run for 18 yds to the Rutgr 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:42
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+38
93.6%
John Ross 38 Yd pass from Jake Browning (Cameron Van Winkle Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:537% → 7%
Q1 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
93.0%
Justin Goodwin run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 26Similar
Q1 3:05
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+10
93.1%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Andre Patton for 10 yds to the Rutgr 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
93.0%
Justin Goodwin run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 37Similar
Q1 2:06
2ND & 9
OWN 37
-9
93.0%
Chris Laviano sacked by Vita Vea for a loss of 9 yards to the Rutgr 28Similar
Q1 1:35
3RD & 18
OWN 28
0
93.2%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Justin GoodwinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 8TD
2 plays · 61 yds · 0:2094% → 96%
Q1 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+11
93.9%
Myles Gaskin run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:48
1ST & 10
50
+50
95.6%
John Ross 50 Yd pass from Jake Browning (Cameron Van Winkle Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · -20 yds · 0:315% → 5%
Q1 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
95.0%
Janarion Grant run for a loss of 4 yards to the Rutgr 21Similar
Q1 0:04
2ND & 14
OWN 21
0
95.1%
Chris Laviano pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 14
OWN 21
-16
95.2%
Chris Laviano sacked by Elijah Qualls for a loss of 16 yards to the Rutgr 5Similar
Q2 14:59
4TH & 30
OWN 5
+8
95.3%
Michael Cintron punt for 53 yds , Dante Pettis returns for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 10DOWNS
7 plays · 45 yds · 2:1996% → 96%
Q2 14:39
1ST & 10
50
+4
95.8%
Jake Browning pass complete to Chico McClatcher for 4 yds to the Rutgr 46Similar
Q2 14:15
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+17
95.9%
Jake Browning pass complete to Darrell Daniels for 17 yds to the Rutgr 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:58
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+8
96.0%
Jake Browning pass complete to Dante Pettis for 8 yds to the Rutgr 21Similar
Q2 13:36
2ND & 2
OPP 21
+7
96.0%
Jomon Dotson run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
96.1%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Darrell DanielsSimilar
Q2 12:54
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+4
96.1%
Jake Browning pass complete to John Ross for 4 yds to the Rutgr 10Similar
Q2 12:20
3RD & 6
OPP 10
+5
96.2%
Jake Browning pass complete to Chico McClatcher for 5 yds to the Rutgr 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 11DOWNS
11 plays · 65 yds · 3:194% → 4%
Q2 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+17
95.7%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Matt Flanagan for 2 yds to the Rutgr 8 for a 1ST down WASHINGTON Penalty, Roughing Passer (DJ Beavers) 15 yards to the Rutgr 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+25
95.7%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Justin Goodwin for 25 yds to the Rutgr 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
95.5%
Justin Goodwin run for 6 yds to the Wash 46Similar
Q2 10:52
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+5
95.4%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Matt Flanagan for 5 yds to the Wash 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
95.5%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Janarion Grant for 6 yds to the Wash 35Similar
Q2 10:28
2ND & 4
OPP 35
+8
95.3%
Chris Laviano run for 8 yds to the Wash 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:58
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
95.4%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Nick Arcidiacono for 3 yds to the Wash 24Similar
Q2 9:23
2ND & 7
OPP 24
-1
95.4%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Janarion Grant for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 25Similar
Q2 9:12
3RD & 8
OPP 25
+1
95.7%
Justin Goodwin run for 1 yd to the Wash 24Similar
Q2 8:57
4TH & 7
OPP 24
-5
95.7%
RUTGERS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Wash 29Similar
Q2 8:35
4TH & 12
OPP 29
0
95.9%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Justin GoodwinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 12MISSED FG
7 plays · 41 yds · 2:0097% → 97%
Q2 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+11
96.7%
Jake Browning pass complete to Myles Gaskin for 11 yds to the Wash 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+19
96.6%
Jake Browning pass complete to Darrell Daniels for 19 yds to the Rutgr 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+18
96.7%
Jake Browning pass complete to Darrell Daniels for 18 yds to the Rutgr 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-3
96.7%
Myles Gaskin run for a loss of 3 yards to the Rutgr 26Similar
Q2 6:49
2ND & 13
OPP 26
-4
96.8%
Jake Browning pass complete to John Ross for a loss of 4 yards to the Rutgr 30Similar
Q2 6:31
3RD & 17
OPP 30
0
96.8%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Darrell DanielsSimilar
Q2 6:24
4TH & 17
OPP 30
+47
96.6%
Cameron Van Winkle 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 13FG
11 plays · 50 yds · 3:404% → 4%
Q2 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
95.9%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Carlton Agudosi for 5 yds to the Rutgr 35Similar
Q2 6:01
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+19
95.9%
Josh Hicks run for 19 yds to the Wash 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
95.8%
Josh Hicks run for 1 yd to the Wash 45Similar
Q2 5:22
2ND & 9
OPP 45
+11
95.9%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Nick Arcidiacono for 11 yds to the Wash 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
95.7%
Josh Hicks run for 6 yds to the Wash 28Similar
Q2 4:44
2ND & 4
OPP 28
0
95.7%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Janarion Grant for no gain to the Wash 28Similar
Q2 4:00
3RD & 4
OPP 28
+5
95.9%
WASHINGTON Penalty, Defensive Offside (Greg Gaines) to the Wash 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:39
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-1
95.7%
Chris Laviano sacked by Greg Gaines for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 24Similar
Q2 3:18
2ND & 11
OPP 24
0
95.8%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Justin GoodwinSimilar
Q2 2:55
3RD & 11
OPP 24
+4
96.2%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Justin Goodwin for 4 yds to the Wash 20Similar
Q2 2:36
4TH & 7
OPP 20
+38
96.2%
David Bonagura 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · -3 yds · 1:171% → 1%
Q2 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.0%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Carlton AgudosiSimilar
Q2 2:04
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-10
99.1%
RUTGERS Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Rutgr 15Similar
Q2 1:42
2ND & 20
OWN 15
-5
99.2%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Justin Goodwin for a loss of 5 yards to the Rutgr 10Similar
Q2 1:09
3RD & 25
OWN 10
+12
99.1%
Justin Goodwin run for 12 yds to the Rutgr 22Similar
Q2 1:00
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
99.1%
Michael Cintron punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Dante Pettis at the Wash 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 16END OF HALF
8 plays · 35 yds · 0:5599% → 99%
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
99.1%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Chico McClatcher, broken up by Greg JonesSimilar
Q2 0:48
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+36
99.1%
Jake Browning pass complete to Andre Baccellia for 36 yds to the Rutgr 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-6
99.2%
Jake Browning sacked by Andre Hunt for a loss of 6 yards to the Rutgr 30Similar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 16
OPP 30
0
99.1%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Andre Baccellia, broken up by Isaiah WhartonSimilar
Q2 0:25
3RD & 16
OPP 30
+5
99.1%
Jake Browning pass complete to Aaron Fuller for 5 yds to the Rutgr 25Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 11
OPP 25
+42
99.1%
Cameron Van Winkle 42 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:5499% → 99%
Q3 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
99.3%
Myles Gaskin run for 1 yd to the Wash 29Similar
Q3 14:03
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+6
99.3%
Myles Gaskin run for 6 yds to the Wash 35Similar
Q3 13:28
3RD & 3
OWN 35
+1
99.3%
Myles Gaskin run for 1 yd to the Wash 36Similar
Q3 12:50
4TH & 2
OWN 36
0
99.3%
Tristan Vizcaino punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Janarion Grant at the Rutgr 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 18PUNT
10 plays · 29 yds · 3:151% → 1%
Q3 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
99.4%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Janarion Grant for 2 yds to the Rutgr 36Similar
Q3 12:11
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+6
99.5%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Janarion Grant for 6 yds to the Rutgr 42Similar
Q3 11:58
3RD & 2
OWN 42
+7
99.4%
Janarion Grant run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
99.5%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Nick Arcidiacono for 7 yds to the Wash 44Similar
Q3 11:03
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+2
99.4%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Dacoven Bailey for 2 yds to the Wash 42Similar
Q3 10:54
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+6
99.4%
Josh Hicks run for 6 yds to the Wash 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
99.5%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Carlton Agudosi, broken up by Darren GardenhireSimilar
Q3 10:08
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+2
99.5%
Chris Laviano run for 2 yds to the Wash 34Similar
Q3 9:55
3RD & 8
OPP 34
-3
99.5%
Justin Goodwin run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wash 37Similar
Q3 9:21
4TH & 11
OPP 37
0
99.5%
Michael Cintron punt for 31 yds, downed at the Wash 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 19INT
8 plays · 32 yds · 2:40100% → 100%
Q3 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+1
99.6%
Myles Gaskin run for 1 yd to the Wash 7Similar
Q3 8:38
2ND & 9
OWN 7
+5
99.7%
Myles Gaskin run for 5 yds to the Wash 12Similar
Q3 8:01
3RD & 4
OWN 12
+15
99.7%
Browning, Jake pass incomplete to Pettis, Dante, PENALTY RUTGERS pass interference (Austin, Blessuan) 15 yards to the WASHINGTON27, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WASHINGTON.Similar
Q3 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
99.7%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Quinten PoundsSimilar
Q3 7:34
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+1
99.7%
Myles Gaskin run for 1 yd to the Wash 28Similar
Q3 6:59
3RD & 9
OWN 28
+10
99.7%
Jake Browning pass complete to Darrell Daniels for 10 yds to the Wash 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
99.7%
Jake Browning pass intercepted Anthony Cioffi return for no gain to the Rutgr 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 20PUNT TD
6 plays · 1 yds · 2:031% → 0%
Q3 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
99.5%
Josh Hicks run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 33Similar
Q3 5:46
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+8
99.4%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Janarion Grant for 8 yds to the Rutgr 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
99.5%
Josh Hicks run for no gain to the Rutgr 41Similar
Q3 5:07
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+5
99.5%
Josh Hicks run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 46Similar
Q3 4:19
3RD & 5
OWN 46
-16
99.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 16 yards to the Rutgr 30 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Rutgr Chris LavianoSimilar
Q3 3:59
4TH & 21
OWN 30
+68
99.8%
Dante Pettis 68 Yd Punt Return (Cameron Van Winkle Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 1:310% → 0%
Q3 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
99.8%
Josh Hicks run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 38Similar
Q3 3:09
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+3
99.8%
Chris Laviano run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 41Similar
Q3 2:50
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+4
99.8%
Josh Hicks run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
99.8%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Nick ArcidiaconoSimilar
Q3 2:39
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
99.8%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Carlton AgudosiSimilar
Q3 2:33
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+6
99.8%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Nick Arcidiacono for 6 yds to the Wash 49Similar
Q3 2:02
4TH & 4
OPP 49
0
99.8%
Michael Cintron punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Chico McClatcher at the Wash 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:05100% → 100%
Q3 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+4
99.8%
Myles Gaskin run for 4 yds to the Wash 12Similar
Q3 1:23
2ND & 6
OWN 12
+2
99.8%
Myles Gaskin run for 2 yds to the Wash 14Similar
Q3 0:53
3RD & 4
OWN 14
0
99.8%
Jake Browning pass incomplete to Andre Baccellia, broken up by Kiy HesterSimilar
Q3 0:45
4TH & 4
OWN 14
0
99.8%
Tristan Vizcaino punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jawuan Harris at the Rutgr 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 23INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+46
99.8%
Chris Laviano pass intercepted Brandon Beaver return for 46 yds to the Rutgr 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 24TD
1 play · 4 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 0:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.9%
Andre Baccellia 4 Yd pass from K.J. Carta-Samuels (Cameron Van Winkle Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 25FG
19 plays · 59 yds · 4:350% → 0%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
99.9%
Josh Hicks run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 39Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 7
OWN 39
0
99.9%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Carlton AgudosiSimilar
Q4 14:48
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+8
99.9%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Justin Goodwin for 8 yds to the Rutgr 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+11
99.9%
Justin Goodwin run for 11 yds to the Wash 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:01
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
99.9%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Andre PattonSimilar
Q4 13:46
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+4
99.9%
Justin Goodwin run for 4 yds to the Wash 38Similar
Q4 13:24
3RD & 6
OPP 38
+5
99.9%
Janarion Grant run for 5 yds to the Wash 33Similar
Q4 13:05
4TH & 1
OPP 33
+3
99.8%
Justin Goodwin run for 3 yds to the Wash 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
99.9%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Justin GoodwinSimilar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+5
99.9%
Josh Hicks run for 5 yds to the Wash 25Similar
Q4 12:01
3RD & 5
OPP 25
+4
99.9%
Janarion Grant run for 4 yds to the Wash 21Similar
Q4 11:54
4TH & 1
OPP 21
+6
99.9%
Janarion Grant run for 6 yds to the Wash 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:36
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-5
99.9%
RUTGERS Penalty, False Start (Dorian Miller) to the Wash 20Similar
Q4 11:16
1ST & 15
OPP 20
+15
99.9%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Andre Patton for 15 yds to the Wash 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
99.9%
Chris Laviano run for no gain to the Wash 5Similar
Q4 10:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
99.9%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Josh HicksSimilar
Q4 10:29
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
99.9%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Nick ArcidiaconoSimilar
Q4 10:25
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
99.9%
David Bonagura 23 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:41100% → 100%
Q4 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
99.9%
Jomon Dotson run for 2 yds to the Wash 29Similar
Q4 9:29
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+3
99.9%
Jomon Dotson run for 3 yds to the Wash 32Similar
Q4 9:12
3RD & 5
OWN 32
-2
99.9%
K.J. Carta-Samuels pass complete to Jeff Lindquist for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 30Similar
Q4 8:22
4TH & 7
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Tristan Vizcaino punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Janarion Grant at the Rutgr 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 27TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 2:200% → 0%
Q4 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
99.9%
Josh Hicks run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 37Similar
Q4 7:58
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+4
99.9%
Josh Hicks run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 41Similar
Q4 7:17
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+14
99.9%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Justin Goodwin for 14 yds to the Wash 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
99.9%
Justin Goodwin run for 1 yd to the Wash 44Similar
Q4 6:35
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+29
99.9%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Janarion Grant for 29 yds to the Wash 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
99.9%
Chris Laviano run for 5 yds to the Wash 10Similar
Q4 5:53
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+10
99.9%
Janarion Grant 10 Yd Run (David Bonagura Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 28PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 2:01100% → 100%
Q4 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
99.9%
Lavon Coleman run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 47Similar
Q4 4:45
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+3
99.9%
Lavon Coleman run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 44Similar
Q4 4:10
3RD & 3
OPP 44
0
99.9%
Lavon Coleman run for no gain to the Rutgr 44Similar
Q4 3:28
4TH & 3
OPP 44
0
99.9%
Tristan Vizcaino punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Rutgr 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 29FUMBLE
3 plays · 9 yds · 0:430% → 0%
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
100.0%
Trey Sneed run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 11Similar
Q4 2:41
2ND & 9
OWN 11
+7
100.0%
Trey Sneed run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 18Similar
Q4 2:17
3RD & 2
OWN 18
+1
100.0%
Dacoven Bailey run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 19 Dacoven Bailey fumbled, forced by Benning Potoa'e, recovered by Wash Bryce SterkSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 30END OF GAME
4 plays · 12 yds · 2:10100% → 100%
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
100.0%
Jomon Dotson run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 16Similar
Q4 1:11
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+6
100.0%
Jomon Dotson run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 10Similar
Q4 0:42
3RD & 1
OPP 10
+6
100.0%
Jomon Dotson run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-3
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Rutgr 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 2:22
John Ross 92 Yd Kickoff Return (Cameron Van Winkle Kick)
+2.9
TD · Q1 3:42
John Ross 38 Yd pass from Jake Browning (Cameron Van Winkle Kick)
+1.8
TD · Q1 0:48
John Ross 50 Yd pass from Jake Browning (Cameron Van Winkle Kick)
+1.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com