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SUU

Southern Utah 0 at Utah 24

UTAH
2016 · Week 1 · Sep 1, 2016 · Rice-Eccles Stadium
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Win probability · UTAH
modelUTAH aheadSUU aheadconfidence bandkey playUTAH scoreSUU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 10:45 · Tate Lewis punt for 37 yds, downed at the Utah 3
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 100Pregame prior+31.1Home team on offense+15.4Score differential+5.6Garbage-time factor+3.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.9
This game in five plays
  1. MISSED FG · Q1 2:41: Andy Phillips 36 yd FG MISSED — SUU win probability +1.2 pts (now 4%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:41: Troy McCormick run for 4 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK) — UTAH win probability +1.1 pts (now 96%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:11: Troy Williams pass complete to Tim Patrick for 2 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK) — UTAH win probability +1.9 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 6:33: Troy Williams pass complete to Tyrone Smith for 12 yds to the Utah 17 for a 1ST down — UTAH win probability +0.9 pts (now 97%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:27: Troy Williams pass complete to Tim Patrick for 57 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK) — UTAH win probability +1.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTAH made the numbers' call on 7 of 9SUU made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 10:38UTAH 4th & 8 at SUU 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.9%−<0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.0%
    90% to make
    Punt
    96.5%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:41UTAH 4th & 9 at SUU 18, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.5%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.6%
    79% to make
    Punt
    95.2%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00SUU 4th & 9 at SUU 45, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.9%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:52UTAH 4th & 2 at UTAH 39, up 3
    Close callPunted · 94.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.7%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:51SUU 4th & 9 at SUU 11, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.4%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:52UTAH 4th & 20 at UTAH 30, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.2%−0.5
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:35SUU 4th & 3 at SUU 27, down 10
    Close callPunted · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00SUU 4th & 4 at SUU 31, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.7%−0.3
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.9%
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:42UTAH 4th & 17 at UTAH 41, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.5%−0.9
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:45SUU 4th & 16 at UTAH 40, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%−0.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    3.4%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    3.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:48SUU 4th & 7 at SUU 40, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:32UTAH 4th & 14 at UTAH 23, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.6%−0.8
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.3%
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00SUU 4th & 8 at SUU 24, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.6%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:38UTAH 4th & 2 at UTAH 34, up 17
    Close callPunted · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.4%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 10:29SUU 4th & 15 at SUU 29, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%−0.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.3%
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:27SUU 4th & 11 at SUU 24, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  17. Q4 8:08UTAH 4th & 8 at UTAH 36, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.3%
    average punt
  18. Q4 7:02SUU 4th & 5 at SUU 24, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  19. Q4 5:15UTAH 4th & 1 at SUU 36, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.2%−0.2
    42% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTAH made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q2 3:41UTAH Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 1:11UTAH Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 9:27UTAH Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTAHDrive 1FG
11 plays · 67 yds · 4:2298% → 98%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.2%
Troy Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
98.2%
Joe Williams run for 2 yds to the Utah 27Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+10
98.2%
Troy Williams run for 10 yds to the Utah 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
98.2%
Troy Williams pass complete to Raelon Singleton for 4 yds to the Utah 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+52
98.2%
Troy Williams pass complete to Raelon Singleton for 52 yds to the SoUth 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
98.2%
Joe Williams run for 1 yd to the SoUth 6Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 0
0
98.2%
Williams, Troy pass incomplete to Wilson, Siaosi (Jarmaine Doubs), PENALTY SUU pass interference off-setting, PENALTY UTAH ineligible downfield on pass off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-2
98.2%
Troy Williams pass complete to Joe Williams for a loss of 2 yards to the SoUth 8Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
98.2%
Troy Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:38
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+26
97.7%
Andy Phillips 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 2FUMBLE
3 plays · 42 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
97.7%
Raysean Pringle run for 9 yds to the SoUth 34Similar
Q1 10:38
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+23
97.7%
Ty Rutledge run for 23 yds to the Utah 33 Ty Rutledge fumbled, forced by Marcus Williams, recovered by Utah Marcus WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 3MISSED FG
15 plays · 49 yds · 7:2498% → 97%
Q1 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
97.6%
Joe Williams run for 2 yds to the Utah 35Similar
Q1 10:05
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+17
97.6%
Troy Williams pass complete to Troy McCormick for 17 yds to the SoUth 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-9
97.7%
Troy Williams sacked by Anu Poleo for a loss of 9 yards to the Utah 43Similar
Q1 10:05
2ND & 19
OWN 43
+8
97.6%
Troy Williams pass complete to Tyrone Smith for 8 yds to the SoUth 49Similar
Q1 10:05
3RD & 11
OPP 49
+19
97.6%
Troy Williams pass complete to Tim Patrick for 19 yds to the SoUth 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-5
97.7%
UTAH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SoUth 35Similar
Q1 10:05
1ST & 15
OPP 35
+3
97.7%
Troy Williams pass complete to Kyle Fulks for 3 yds to the SoUth 32Similar
Q1 10:05
2ND & 12
OPP 32
0
97.7%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Raelon SingletonSimilar
Q1 10:05
3RD & 12
OPP 32
+5
97.6%
Williams, Troy rush for 4 yards to the SUU28 (Josh Thornton), PENALTY SUU offside (Jarmaine Doubs) 5 yards to the SUU27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:05
3RD & 7
OPP 27
+8
97.7%
Troy Williams pass complete to Siaosi Wilson for 8 yds to the SoUth 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-2
97.7%
Troy Williams pass complete to Kyle Fulks for a loss of 2 yards Kyle Fulks fumbled, forced by Taylor Nelson,Similar
Q1 10:05
2ND & 12
OPP 21
-5
97.7%
UTAH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SoUth 26Similar
Q1 10:05
2ND & 17
OPP 26
+8
97.7%
Troy Williams run for 8 yds to the SoUth 18Similar
Q1 10:05
3RD & 9
OPP 18
0
97.7%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Joe WilliamsSimilar
Q1 2:41
4TH & 9
OPP 18
+36
96.5%
Andy Phillips 36 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 2:414% → 4%
Q1 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
96.5%
McCoy Hill run for 12 yds to the SoUth 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+12
96.4%
McCoy Hill pass complete to Steven Wroblewski for 12 yds to the SoUth 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
96.3%
Malik Brown run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 2:41
2ND & 4
50
-1
96.3%
Malik Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the SoUth 49Similar
Q1 2:41
3RD & 5
OWN 49
-10
96.3%
[NH], Tannon Pedersen rush for 7 yards to the UTAH44 (Barton, Cody), PENALTY SUU holding (Austin Mikkelso) 10 yards to the SUU39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:41
3RD & 15
OWN 39
+6
96.5%
Malik Brown run for 6 yds to the SoUth 45Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 45
0
95.9%
Tate Lewis punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Utah 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
95.8%
Troy McCormick run for 3 yds to the Utah 22Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+3
95.8%
Troy McCormick run for 3 yds to the Utah 25Similar
Q2 14:52
3RD & 4
OWN 25
+6
95.7%
Troy Williams pass complete to Tim Patrick for 6 yds to the Utah 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
95.8%
Troy McCormick run for 4 yds to the Utah 35Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 6
OWN 35
0
95.9%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Tim PatrickSimilar
Q2 14:52
3RD & 6
OWN 35
+4
95.7%
Troy Williams pass complete to Joe Williams for 4 yds to the Utah 39Similar
Q2 14:52
4TH & 2
OWN 39
0
95.7%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 51 yds, downed at the SoUth 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q2 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
95.1%
Isaiah Diego-Williams run for no gain to the SoUth 10Similar
Q2 11:51
2ND & 10
OWN 10
0
95.2%
Tannon Pedersen pass incomplete, broken up by Pasoni TasiniSimilar
Q2 11:51
3RD & 10
OWN 10
+1
95.3%
Tannon Pedersen run for 1 yd to the SoUth 11Similar
Q2 11:51
4TH & 9
OWN 11
+10
95.4%
Tate Lewis punt for 59 yds , Boobie Hobbs returns for 10 yds to the Utah 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · -10 yds · 1:3095% → 94%
Q2 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
94.9%
Troy McCormick run for no gain to the Utah 40Similar
Q2 10:22
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
94.7%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Kyle FulksSimilar
Q2 10:22
3RD & 10
OWN 40
-10
94.6%
Williams, Troy pass complete to Handley, Harris for 17 yards to the SUU43 (Tyler Collet), PENALTY UTAH holding 10 yards to the UTAH30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:22
3RD & 20
OWN 30
0
94.4%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Tyrone SmithSimilar
Q2 8:52
4TH & 20
OWN 30
+12
94.1%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 57 yds , Brady Measom returns for 12 yds to the SoUth 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 8INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q2 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
94.3%
Tannon Pedersen pass incomplete to Ty RutledgeSimilar
Q2 8:41
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
94.3%
Tannon Pedersen pass intercepted Marcus Williams return for no gain to the Utah 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 9TD
12 plays · 53 yds · 4:4995% → 96%
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
94.7%
Troy Williams pass complete to Troy McCormick for 5 yds to the SoUth 48Similar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+5
94.8%
Troy McCormick run for 5 yds to the SoUth 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:29
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-5
94.8%
[NH], PENALTY UTAH false start (Dielman, J.J.) 5 yards to the SUU48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:29
1ST & 15
OPP 48
+12
94.6%
Troy Williams run for 12 yds to the SoUth 36Similar
Q2 7:29
2ND & 3
OPP 36
+2
94.8%
Joe Williams run for 2 yds to the SoUth 34Similar
Q2 6:17
3RD & 1
OPP 34
+4
94.5%
Joe Williams run for 4 yds to the SoUth 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
94.7%
Joe Williams run for 4 yds to the SoUth 26Similar
Q2 6:17
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+18
94.7%
Troy Williams pass complete to Evan Moeai for 18 yds to the SoUth 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
94.7%
Troy McCormick run for 4 yds to the SoUth 4Similar
Q2 3:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
95.8%
Troy McCormick run for 4 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
95.7%
James Felila run for 3 yds to the SoUth 23Similar
Q2 3:35
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+4
95.7%
McCoy Hill pass complete to James Felila for 4 yds to the SoUth 27Similar
Q2 3:35
3RD & 3
OWN 27
0
95.6%
McCoy Hill pass incomplete to James Felila SOUTHERN UTAH Penalty, personal foul ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 3:35
4TH & 3
OWN 27
+35
95.8%
Tate Lewis punt for 45 yds , Boobie Hobbs returns for 35 yds to the SoUth 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 11TD
4 plays · 37 yds · 1:0096% → 98%
Q2 2:11
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+33
95.7%
Troy Williams pass complete to Troy McCormick for 33 yds to the SoUth 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
95.8%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Evan Moeai, broken up by Mike NeedhamSimilar
Q2 2:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
95.8%
Joe Williams run for 2 yds to the SoUth 2Similar
Q2 1:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
97.7%
Troy Williams pass complete to Tim Patrick for 2 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 12END OF HALF
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+7
96.9%
Raysean Pringle run for 7 yds to the SoUth 24Similar
Q2 1:04
2ND & 3
OWN 24
0
96.8%
McCoy Hill pass incomplete to Brady MeasomSimilar
Q2 1:04
3RD & 3
OWN 24
+6
96.9%
McCoy Hill pass complete to Logan Parker for 6 yds to the SoUth 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-3
96.8%
McCoy Hill pass complete to Raysean Pringle for a loss of 3 yards to the SoUth 27Similar
Q2 1:04
2ND & 13
OWN 27
-6
97.0%
McCoy Hill sacked by Kylie Fitts for a loss of 6 yards to the SoUth 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
96.8%
McCoy Hill run for 5 yds to the SoUth 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
96.7%
Malik Brown run for 1 yd to the SoUth 31Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
96.8%
McCoy Hill pass incomplete to Steven WroblewskiSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
96.9%
Tate Lewis punt for 41 yds , Boobie Hobbs returns for no gain to the Utah 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 0:0097% → 96%
Q3 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
96.7%
Troy McCormick run for 4 yds to the Utah 32Similar
Q3 13:42
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+16
96.8%
Troy McCormick run for 16 yds to the Utah 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
96.9%
Joe Williams run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 13:42
2ND & 8
50
-5
96.9%
UTAH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Utah 45Similar
Q3 13:42
2ND & 13
OWN 45
0
96.8%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Tim PatrickSimilar
Q3 13:42
3RD & 13
OWN 45
-4
96.7%
Troy Williams pass complete to Joe Williams for a loss of 4 yards to the Utah 41Similar
Q3 13:42
4TH & 17
OWN 41
0
96.4%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 59 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 15PUNT
12 plays · 40 yds · 0:003% → 4%
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
96.8%
McCoy Hill pass complete to Ty Rutledge for 9 yds to the SoUth 29Similar
Q3 10:45
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+10
96.6%
McCoy Hill run for 10 yds to the SoUth 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-1
96.6%
McCoy Hill run for a loss of 1 yard to the SoUth 38Similar
Q3 10:45
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+14
96.6%
Malik Brown run for 14 yds to the Utah 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:45
4TH & 11
OPP 35
-5
96.8%
SOUTHERN UTAH Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Utah 40Similar
Q3 10:45
4TH & 16
OPP 40
0
96.9%
Tate Lewis punt for 37 yds, downed at the Utah 3Similar
Q3 10:45
2ND & 11
OWN 38
0
96.8%
McCoy Hill pass incomplete to Mike SharpSimilar
Q3 10:45
3RD & 11
OWN 38
+14
96.9%
McCoy Hill pass complete to Mike Sharp for 14 yds to the Utah 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
96.4%
McCoy Hill pass incomplete to Mike SharpSimilar
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
96.2%
Raysean Pringle run for 2 yds to the Utah 32Similar
Q3 10:45
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+3
96.2%
McCoy Hill run for 3 yds to the Utah 29Similar
Q3 10:45
3RD & 5
OPP 29
-6
96.4%
Raysean Pringle run for a loss of 6 yards to the Utah 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 16FUMBLE
8 plays · 63 yds · 0:0097% → 98%
Q3 6:33
3RD & 8
OWN 5
+12
97.3%
Troy Williams pass complete to Tyrone Smith for 12 yds to the Utah 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
97.6%
Joe Williams run for 7 yds to the Utah 45Similar
Q3 6:33
2ND & 3
OWN 45
0
97.6%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Harrison Handley, broken up by Kyle HannemannSimilar
Q3 6:33
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+8
97.5%
Joe Williams run for 8 yds to the SoUth 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+2
97.4%
Joe Williams run for 2 yds to the Utah 5Similar
Q3 6:33
2ND & 8
OWN 5
0
97.3%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Tyrone SmithSimilar
Q3 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+21
97.4%
Troy Williams pass complete to Tim Patrick for 21 yds to the Utah 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:33
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
97.6%
Joe Williams run for 2 yds to the SoUth 37 Joe Williams fumbled, recovered by SoUth Jarmaine Doubs , return for 3 yds to the SoUth 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q3 3:48
2ND & 11
OWN 36
0
97.1%
McCoy Hill pass incomplete to Steven WroblewskiSimilar
Q3 3:48
4TH & 7
OWN 40
0
97.2%
Tate Lewis punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Boobie Hobbs at the Utah 16Similar
Q3 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
97.0%
McCoy Hill run for a loss of 1 yard to the SoUth 36Similar
Q3 3:48
3RD & 11
OWN 36
+4
97.3%
McCoy Hill run for 4 yds to the SoUth 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0098% → 97%
Q3 2:32
2ND & 8
OWN 29
0
97.5%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Raelon SingletonSimilar
Q3 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+11
97.4%
Troy McCormick run for 11 yds to the Utah 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
97.5%
Troy McCormick run for 2 yds to the Utah 29Similar
Q3 2:32
3RD & 8
OWN 29
-6
97.4%
Troy Williams sacked by Robert Torgerson for a loss of 6 yards to the Utah 23Similar
Q3 2:32
4TH & 14
OWN 23
0
97.1%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 55 yds , Brady Measom returns for no gain to the SoUth 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:233% → 3%
Q3 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
97.3%
Malik Brown run for 2 yds to the SoUth 24Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 24
0
97.3%
Tannon Pedersen pass incomplete to Steven Wroblewski, broken up by Marcus WilliamsSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 24
0
97.3%
Tannon Pedersen pass incomplete to Steven WroblewskiSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 24
+1
97.4%
Tate Lewis punt for 41 yds , Boobie Hobbs returns for 1 yd to the Utah 25 UTAH Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the Utah 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0098% → 97%
Q4 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-2
97.6%
Armand Shyne run for a loss of 2 yards to the Utah 24Similar
Q4 14:38
2ND & 12
OWN 24
+11
97.5%
Troy Williams pass complete to Tyrone Smith for 11 yds to the Utah 35Similar
Q4 14:38
3RD & 1
OWN 35
-1
97.6%
Troy McCormick run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 34Similar
Q4 14:38
4TH & 2
OWN 34
0
97.4%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 66 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 2:013% → 2%
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
97.5%
Malik Brown run for 8 yds to the SoUth 28Similar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+6
97.4%
Malik Brown run for 6 yds to the SoUth 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
97.4%
Malik Brown run for 1 yd to the SoUth 35Similar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 9
OWN 35
-7
97.4%
Tannon Pedersen sacked by Pasoni Tasini and Kylie Fitts for a loss of 7 yards to the SoUth 28Similar
Q4 10:29
3RD & 16
OWN 28
+1
97.9%
Raysean Pringle run for 1 yd to the SoUth 29Similar
Q4 10:29
4TH & 15
OWN 29
+9
97.9%
Tate Lewis punt for 37 yds , Boobie Hobbs returns for 9 yds to the Utah 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 22TD
2 plays · 57 yds · 0:1398% → 99%
Q4 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
98.2%
Troy Williams pass incomplete to Tyrone SmithSimilar
Q4 9:27
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+57
99.4%
Troy Williams pass complete to Tim Patrick for 57 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.4%
Malik Brown run for 6 yds to the SoUth 31Similar
Q4 9:27
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
99.3%
Tannon Pedersen pass incomplete to Mike SharpSimilar
Q4 9:27
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-7
99.3%
Tannon Pedersen sacked by Hunter Dimick for a loss of 7 yards to the SoUth 24Similar
Q4 9:27
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
99.4%
Tate Lewis punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Boobie Hobbs at the Utah 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 8:08
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+2
99.5%
Armand Shyne run for 2 yds to the Utah 36Similar
Q4 8:08
4TH & 8
OWN 36
0
99.4%
Mitch Wishnowsky punt for 45 yds, downed at the SoUth 19Similar
Q4 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
99.5%
Troy Williams pass incomplete, broken up by Luke HollingsworthSimilar
Q4 8:08
3RD & 8
OWN 36
0
99.5%
Troy Williams pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SUUDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
99.5%
James Felila run for 3 yds to the SoUth 22Similar
Q4 7:02
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+3
99.5%
James Felila run for 3 yds to the SoUth 25Similar
Q4 7:02
3RD & 4
OWN 25
-1
99.5%
Tannon Pedersen run for a loss of 1 yard to the SoUth 24Similar
Q4 7:02
4TH & 5
OWN 24
0
99.5%
Tate Lewis punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Utah 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 26END OF GAME
10 plays · 45 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
99.6%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Terrell Burgess for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
99.6%
Tyler Huntley pass incomplete to Siaosi Wilson, broken up by Lloyd StephensSimilar
Q4 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
99.6%
Armand Shyne run for 8 yds to the Utah 40Similar
Q4 5:15
2ND & 2
OWN 40
+3
99.6%
Armand Shyne run for 3 yds to the Utah 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:15
2ND & 3
50
+5
99.6%
Armand Shyne run for 5 yds to the SoUth 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:15
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+8
99.6%
Armand Shyne run for 8 yds to the SoUth 37Similar
Q4 5:15
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+1
99.6%
Armand Shyne run for 1 yd to the SoUth 36Similar
Q4 5:15
4TH & 1
OPP 36
+11
99.6%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Wallace Gonzalez for 11 yds to the SoUth 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
99.6%
Tyler Huntley pass complete to Demari Simpkins for 8 yds to the SoUth 17Similar
Q4 5:15
2ND & 2
OPP 17
-6
99.6%
Armand Shyne run for a loss of 6 yards to the SoUth 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:11
Troy Williams pass complete to Tim Patrick for 2 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)
+1.9
TD · Q4 9:27
Troy Williams pass complete to Tim Patrick for 57 yds for a TD, (Andy Phillips KICK)
+1.3
MISSED FG · Q1 2:41
Andy Phillips 36 yd FG MISSED
-1.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com