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Georgia Tech 28 at Georgia 27

UGA
2016 · Week 13 · Nov 26, 2016 · Sanford Stadium
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Win probability · UGA
modelUGA aheadGT aheadconfidence bandkey playUGA scoreGT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:12 · Jacob Eason pass complete to Isaac Nauta for 6 yds to the Geo 39 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+24.0+12.00−12.0−24.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 150Pregame prior+0.1Home team on offense−10.3Garbage-time factor−6.6Score differential−1.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−6.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:54: Marcus Marshall 4 Yd Run (Harrison Butker Kick) — GT win probability +7.7 pts (now 49%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:04: Isaiah McKenzie 6 Yd pass from Jacob Eason (Rodrigo Blankenship Kick) — UGA win probability +10.5 pts (now 66%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:30: Nick Chubb 3 Yd Run (Rodrigo Blankenship Kick) — UGA win probability +10.7 pts (now 82%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 6:28: Dedrick Mills 5 Yd Run (Harrison Butker Kick) — GT win probability +22.7 pts (now 33%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:30: Qua Searcy 6 Yd Run (Harrison Butker Kick) — GT win probability +57.2 pts (now 86%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UGA made the numbers' call on 5 of 6GT made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 9:12UGA 4th & 3 at GT 25, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 63.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.4%−0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    62.6%−0.9
    average punt
  2. Q2 13:31GT 4th & 3 at GT 42, tied
    Close callPunted · 38.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.9%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 10:15UGA 4th & 10 at UGA 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.4%−0.6
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.0%
    average punt
  4. Q3 12:01UGA 4th & 6 at GT 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 62.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.9%−0.4
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.4%
    88% to make
    Punt
    52.6%−8.8
    average punt
  5. Q3 9:49GT 4th & 22 at GT 13, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.6%−4.7
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.3%
    average punt
  6. Q3 5:21GT 4th & 5 at GT 30, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.5%−0.5
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.1%
    average punt
  7. Q3 0:26UGA 4th & 6 at GT 15, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 84.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.4%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.7%
    83% to make
    Punt
    78.4%−5.2
    average punt
  8. Q4 11:58GT 4th & 4 at UGA 42, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    8.8%−1.4
    30% to make
    Punt
    9.0%−1.3
    average punt
  9. Q4 9:51UGA 4th & 10 at UGA 49, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.3%−0.8
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.1%
    average punt
  10. Q4 0:12UGA 4th & 2 at UGA 33, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    12.4%−10.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UGA made the numbers' call on 3 of 3GT made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 7:28GT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:28UGA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:54GT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:04UGA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:30UGA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 6:28GT Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.7%−0.4
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 0:30GT Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.3%−9.6
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UGADrive 1MISSED FG
13 plays · 59 yds · 5:1866% → 66%
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
66.4%
Nick Chubb run for 5 yds to the Geo 21Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 5
OWN 21
+9
66.4%
Nick Chubb run for 9 yds to the Geo 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
66.4%
Jacob Eason pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:15
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+12
66.3%
Nick Chubb run for 12 yds to the Geo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
66.5%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Terry Godwin for 3 yds to the Geo 45Similar
Q1 12:20
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+12
66.5%
Nick Chubb run for 12 yds to the GTech 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
66.6%
Sony Michel run for 5 yds to the GTech 38Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+6
66.6%
Sony Michel run for 6 yds to the GTech 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+6
66.7%
Sony Michel run for 6 yds to the GTech 26Similar
Q1 9:30
2ND & 4
OPP 26
+1
66.7%
Nick Chubb run for 1 yd to the GTech 25Similar
Q1 9:18
3RD & 3
OPP 25
0
66.5%
Jacob Eason pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:12
4TH & 3
OPP 25
+42
66.3%
Rodrigo Blankenship 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 2TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:1734% → 38%
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
65.6%
Justin Thomas run for 5 yds to the GTech 30Similar
Q1 8:20
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+32
65.5%
Qua Searcy run for 32 yds to the Geo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-4
64.8%
Qua Searcy run for a loss of 4 yards to the Geo 42Similar
Q1 7:28
2ND & 14
OPP 42
+42
62.2%
Clinton Lynch 42 Yd Run (Harrison Butker Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 3TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:3263% → 67%
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
62.7%
Sony Michel run for 3 yds to the Geo 28Similar
Q1 6:30
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
62.5%
Sony Michel run for 5 yds to the Geo 33Similar
Q1 6:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+4
62.4%
Nick Chubb run for 4 yds to the Geo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
62.0%
Nick Chubb run for 1 yd to the Geo 38Similar
Q1 4:30
2ND & 9
OWN 38
-3
61.8%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Terry Godwin for a loss of 3 yards to the Geo 35Similar
Q1 3:45
3RD & 12
OWN 35
+35
60.7%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Isaac Nauta for 35 yds to the GTech 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:27
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
62.8%
Jacob Eason pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:45
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+9
62.6%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Riley Ridley for 9 yds to the GTech 21Similar
Q1 2:15
3RD & 1
OPP 21
+4
60.9%
Nick Chubb run for 4 yds to the GTech 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+7
61.3%
Sony Michel run for 7 yds to the GTech 10Similar
Q1 1:28
2ND & 3
OPP 10
+10
66.6%
Sony Michel 10 Yd Run (Rodrigo Blankenship Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:4436% → 37%
Q1 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
63.9%
Justin Thomas run for 5 yds to the GTech 30Similar
Q1 0:30
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+5
63.3%
Justin Thomas run for 5 yds to the GTech 35 Justin Thomas fumbled, recovered by GTechSimilar
Q1 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
63.2%
Dedrick Mills run for 2 yds to the GTech 37Similar
Q2 14:30
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+7
63.0%
Justin Thomas run for 7 yds to the GTech 44Similar
Q2 13:45
3RD & 1
OWN 44
-2
62.0%
J.J. Green run for a loss of 2 yards to the GTech 42Similar
Q2 13:31
4TH & 3
OWN 42
0
63.1%
Ryan Rodwell punt for 58 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 2:4564% → 63%
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
64.3%
Nick Chubb run for 6 yds to the Geo 26Similar
Q2 12:45
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+10
64.5%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Terry Godwin for 10 yds to the Geo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
64.9%
Nick Chubb run for no gain to the Geo 36Similar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+2
64.5%
Nick Chubb run for 2 yds to the Geo 38Similar
Q2 10:45
3RD & 8
OWN 38
-2
64.1%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Isaiah McKenzie for a loss of 2 yards to the Geo 36Similar
Q2 10:15
4TH & 10
OWN 36
0
62.8%
Brice Ramsey punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Brad Stewart at the GTech 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 6TD
3 plays · 73 yds · 0:4638% → 49%
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+64
62.0%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Brad Stewart for 64 yds to the Geo 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
59.0%
Dedrick Mills run for 5 yds to the Geo 4Similar
Q2 8:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
51.3%
Marcus Marshall 4 Yd Run (Harrison Butker Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 7TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:2654% → 66%
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
53.8%
Sony Michel run for 18 yds to the Geo 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+42
54.3%
Sony Michel run for 42 yds to the GTech 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
56.0%
Nick Chubb run for 2 yds to the GTech 13Similar
Q2 6:58
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+11
55.9%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (11 Yards) to the GTech 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
55.8%
Nick Chubb run for no gain to the GTech 2Similar
Q2 6:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-10
55.5%
GEORGIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the GTech 12Similar
Q2 5:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
+6
55.1%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Sony Michel for 6 yds to the GTech 6Similar
Q2 5:04
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
65.7%
Isaiah McKenzie 6 Yd pass from Jacob Eason (Rodrigo Blankenship Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 8INT
10 plays · 21 yds · 4:0440% → 42%
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+10
59.6%
J.J. Green run for 10 yds to the GTech 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-15
58.2%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Illegal Block (-15 Yards) to the GTech 24Similar
Q2 3:45
1ST & 25
OWN 24
+4
60.0%
Qua Searcy run for 4 yds to the GTech 28Similar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 21
OWN 28
+11
60.1%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Marcus Marshall for 11 yds to the GTech 39Similar
Q2 2:30
3RD & 10
OWN 39
+11
59.6%
Justin Thomas pass complete to J.J. Green for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
50
0
56.3%
Qua Searcy run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 1:15
2ND & 10
50
0
56.7%
Marcus Marshall run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:56
3RD & 10
50
-4
57.8%
Justin Thomas pass intercepted Dominick Sanders return for a loss of 4 yards to the Geo 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 9END OF HALF
5 plays · 15 yds · 0:3662% → 63%
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+4
62.3%
Sony Michel run for 4 yds to the Geo 13Similar
Q2 0:31
2ND & 6
OWN 13
+5
63.7%
Sony Michel run for 5 yds to the Geo 18Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 1
OWN 18
+6
62.7%
Sony Michel run for 6 yds to the Geo 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 10FUMBLE
4 plays · 25 yds · 0:4241% → 42%
Q3 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
59.2%
Justin Thomas pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+18
59.6%
J.J. Green run for 18 yds to the GTech 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
58.3%
Isiah Willis run for 7 yds to the GTech 41 Isiah Willis fumbled, forced by TEAM, recovered by Geo Dominick Sanders , return for 13 yds to the GTech 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 11FG
6 plays · 18 yds · 1:4967% → 68%
Q3 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
66.7%
Nick Chubb run for 3 yds to the GTech 25Similar
Q3 13:30
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+11
66.7%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Jeb Blazevich for 11 yds to the GTech 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
66.6%
Nick Chubb run for 4 yds to the GTech 10Similar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 6
OPP 10
0
66.6%
Jacob Eason pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:06
3RD & 6
OPP 10
0
65.1%
Jacob Eason pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:01
4TH & 6
OPP 10
+27
67.8%
Rodrigo Blankenship 27 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -12 yds · 1:4634% → 32%
Q3 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
65.7%
Marcus Marshall run for 6 yds to the GTech 31Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-4
64.3%
Justin Thomas run for a loss of 4 yards to the GTech 27Similar
Q3 10:05
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-14
67.0%
Justin Thomas sacked by Aaron Davis for a loss of 14 yards to the GTech 13Similar
Q3 9:49
4TH & 22
OWN 13
0
68.5%
Ryan Rodwell punt for 54 yds, downed at the Geo 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 13TD
5 plays · 67 yds · 2:0068% → 82%
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+11
67.8%
Sony Michel run for 11 yds to the Geo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+43
70.7%
Sony Michel run for 29 yds to the GEORGIA 27 for a 1ST down GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Face Mask (14 yards) (14 Yards) to the GTech 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+8
71.5%
Nick Chubb run for 8 yds to the GTech 5Similar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 2
OPP 5
+2
71.6%
Nick Chubb run for 2 yds to the GTech 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
82.3%
Nick Chubb 3 Yd Run (Rodrigo Blankenship Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:5420% → 18%
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
80.2%
Dedrick Mills run for 4 yds to the GTech 29Similar
Q3 6:30
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
80.0%
Dedrick Mills run for 1 yd to the GTech 30Similar
Q3 5:30
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
81.0%
Trey Klock run for no gain to the GTech 30Similar
Q3 5:21
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
82.2%
Ryan Rodwell punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Geo 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 15FG
10 plays · 58 yds · 4:3482% → 90%
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
82.4%
Sony Michel run for 4 yds to the Geo 31Similar
Q3 4:30
2ND & 6
OWN 31
0
82.8%
Sony Michel run for no gain to the Geo 31Similar
Q3 3:30
3RD & 6
OWN 31
+37
82.1%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Terry Godwin for 37 yds to the GTech 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
84.6%
Nick Chubb run for 1 yd to the GTech 31Similar
Q3 2:15
2ND & 9
OPP 31
+5
84.8%
Riley Ridley run for 5 yds to the GTech 26Similar
Q3 1:30
3RD & 4
OPP 26
+7
84.6%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Isaac Nauta for 7 yds to the GTech 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:21
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
85.4%
Jacob Eason pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:00
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+4
86.1%
Nick Chubb run for 4 yds to the GTech 15Similar
Q3 0:31
3RD & 6
OPP 15
0
85.4%
Jacob Eason pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:26
4TH & 6
OPP 15
+32
90.3%
Rodrigo Blankenship 32 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 16DOWNS
10 plays · 26 yds · 3:0211% → 10%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
89.2%
Marcus Marshall run for 3 yds to the GTech 28Similar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+10
88.5%
Clinton Lynch run for 10 yds to the GTech 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
88.3%
J.J. Green run for 7 yds to the GTech 45Similar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+2
88.2%
Marcus Marshall run for 2 yds to the GTech 47Similar
Q4 13:00
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+5
89.4%
Marcus Marshall run for 5 yds to the Geo 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
89.3%
Justin Thomas pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+6
89.3%
Justin Thomas run for 6 yds to the Geo 42Similar
Q4 12:05
3RD & 4
OPP 42
0
89.6%
Justin Thomas pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:58
4TH & 4
OPP 42
-7
89.9%
Qua Searcy run for a loss of 7 yards to the Geo 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:3994% → 94%
Q4 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
94.0%
Nick Chubb run for 2 yds to the GTech 49Similar
Q4 10:45
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+3
94.2%
Nick Chubb run for 3 yds to the GTech 46Similar
Q4 10:15
3RD & 5
OPP 46
-5
94.3%
GEORGIA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Geo 49Similar
Q4 10:02
3RD & 10
OWN 49
0
94.1%
Jacob Eason pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:51
4TH & 10
OWN 49
0
93.5%
Brice Ramsey punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GTech 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 18TD
8 plays · 94 yds · 3:028% → 33%
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 6
-2
92.1%
J.J. Green run for a loss of 2 yards to the GTech 4Similar
Q4 9:00
2ND & 12
OWN 4
+23
92.3%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Brad Stewart for 23 yds to the GTech 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+39
92.3%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Qua Searcy for 39 yds to the Geo 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
90.0%
Clinton Lynch run for 7 yds to the Geo 27Similar
Q4 7:15
2ND & 3
OPP 27
+19
89.9%
Marcus Marshall run for 19 yds to the Geo 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
90.0%
Dedrick Mills run for 3 yds to the Geo 5Similar
Q4 6:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
67.3%
Dedrick Mills 5 Yd Run (Harrison Butker Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 19INT
7 plays · 15 yds · 2:2187% → 90%
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
86.6%
Sony Michel run for 3 yds to the Geo 28Similar
Q4 5:15
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
87.3%
Sony Michel run for 4 yds to the Geo 32Similar
Q4 4:45
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+6
86.9%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Terry Godwin for 6 yds to the Geo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
89.8%
Sony Michel run for 2 yds to the Geo 40Similar
Q4 3:39
2ND & 8
OWN 40
0
89.8%
Jacob Eason pass intercepted Lance Austin return for no gain to the Geo 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 20TD
10 plays · 46 yds · 2:5028% → 86%
Q4 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-5
72.3%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the GTech 49Similar
Q4 2:45
1ST & 15
OWN 49
+3
76.5%
Marcus Marshall run for 3 yds to the Geo 48Similar
Q4 2:15
2ND & 12
OPP 48
+16
75.5%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Clinton Lynch for 16 yds to the Geo 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+13
67.9%
Marcus Marshall run for 13 yds to the Geo 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:37
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+9
67.5%
Qua Searcy run for 9 yds to the Geo 10Similar
Q4 1:33
2ND & 1
OPP 10
+4
67.5%
Dedrick Mills run for 4 yds to the Geo 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
68.2%
Qua Searcy run for no gain to the Geo 6Similar
Q4 0:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
67.7%
Clinton Lynch run for no gain to the Geo 6Similar
Q4 0:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
14.0%
Qua Searcy 6 Yd Run (Harrison Butker Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 21INT
9 plays · 14 yds · 0:2537% → 21%
Q4 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
36.7%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Javon Wims for 8 yds to the Geo 33Similar
Q4 0:20
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
40.3%
Jacob Eason pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:17
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
32.4%
Jacob Eason pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:12
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+6
30.0%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Isaac Nauta for 6 yds to the Geo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
31.7%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:06
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
28.8%
Jacob Eason pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 39
0
21.4%
Jacob Eason pass intercepted Brant Mitchell return for no gain to the GTech 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:30
Qua Searcy 6 Yd Run (Harrison Butker Kick)
-57.2
TD · Q4 6:28
Dedrick Mills 5 Yd Run (Harrison Butker Kick)
-22.7
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-21.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com