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UL

Louisiana 21 at Georgia 35

UGA
2016 · Week 12 · Nov 19, 2016 · Sanford Stadium
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Win probability · UGA
modelUGA aheadUL aheadconfidence bandkey playUGA scoreUL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 14:17 · Brice Ramsey punt for 25 yds, fair catch by Levarious Varnado at the LaLaf 5
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+44.0+22.00−22.0−44.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 10Pregame prior+43.3Home team on offense+0.1Score differential+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Blowout margin+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:50: Jacob Eason pass complete to Isaac Nauta for 9 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK) — UGA win probability +3.9 pts (now 97%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:04: Anthony Jennings run for 9 yds for a TD, (Stevie Artigue KICK) — UL win probability +4.8 pts (now 8%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 4:45: Nick Chubb run for 1 yd for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK) — UGA win probability +4.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 1:34: Anthony Jennings run for 1 yd for a TD, (Stevie Artigue KICK) — UL win probability +4.5 pts (now 5%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:31: Brian Herrien run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 49 — UGA win probability +1.9 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UGA made the numbers' call on 3 of 4UL made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 14:17UGA 4th & 14 at UL 30, up 7
    Close callPunted · 90.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.7%−0.1
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    90.8%
    56% to make
    PuntTheir call
    90.7%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:30UL 4th & 10 at UL 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.8%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.9%
    average punt
  3. Q2 8:37UL 4th & 13 at UGA 28, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 9.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.7%−0.6
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    9.3%
    60% to make
    Punt
    7.4%−1.9
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:25UGA 4th & 6 at UGA 32, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.8%−0.5
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:12UGA 4th & 8 at UGA 31, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.5%−0.7
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.2%
    average punt
  6. Q3 14:55UL 4th & 21 at UL 44, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.3%−1.1
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.5%
    average punt
  7. Q3 4:40UL 4th & 1 at UGA 43, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    1.3%−1.0
    28% to make
    Punt
    1.5%−0.8
    average punt
  8. Q4 12:27UL 4th & 1 at UGA 42, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    0.5%−0.6
    30% to make
    Punt
    0.6%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q4 4:41UGA 4th & 8 at UGA 33, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.3%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UGA made the numbers' call on 4 of 4UL made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 14:37UGA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 2:50UGA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:04UL Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 4:45UGA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 9:34UGA Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 4:50UL Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 1:34UL Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.0%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UGADrive 1TD
2 plays · 55 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q1 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+55
93.5%
Isaiah McKenzie run for 55 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 2INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q1 14:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+28
93.5%
Anthony Jennings pass intercepted Deandre Baker return for 28 yds to the LaLaf 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q1 14:17
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
93.5%
Nick Chubb run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 35Similar
Q1 14:17
2ND & 3
OPP 35
+9
93.5%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Terry Godwin for 9 yds to the LaLaf 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:17
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-4
93.5%
Nick Chubb run for a loss of 4 yards to the LaLaf 30Similar
Q1 14:17
2ND & 14
OPP 30
0
93.5%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Javon WimsSimilar
Q1 14:17
3RD & 14
OPP 30
0
93.5%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete, broken up by Travis CrawfordSimilar
Q1 14:17
4TH & 14
OPP 30
0
93.5%
Brice Ramsey punt for 25 yds, fair catch by Levarious Varnado at the LaLaf 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 4PUNT RETURN TD
9 plays · 34 yds · 3:497% → 7%
Q1 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+8
93.2%
Elijah McGuire run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 13Similar
Q1 12:19
2ND & 2
OWN 13
+7
93.2%
Elijah McGuire run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
93.2%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Elijah McGuireSimilar
Q1 12:19
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+5
93.2%
Dion Ray run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 25Similar
Q1 12:19
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+14
93.2%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Al Riles for 14 yds to the LaLaf 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
93.1%
Elijah McGuire run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 41Similar
Q1 12:19
2ND & 8
OWN 41
-2
93.1%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Al Riles for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 39Similar
Q1 12:19
3RD & 10
OWN 39
0
93.2%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Michael JacquetSimilar
Q1 8:30
4TH & 10
OWN 39
+82
93.3%
Steven Coutts punt for 43 yds , Isaiah McKenzie returns for 82 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 5INT
9 plays · 31 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q1 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+6
93.2%
Elijah McGuire run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 18Similar
Q1 8:25
2ND & 4
OWN 18
+2
93.2%
Anthony Jennings run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 20Similar
Q1 8:25
3RD & 2
OWN 20
+10
93.2%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Al Riles for 10 yds to the LaLaf 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
93.2%
Elijah McGuire run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 37Similar
Q1 8:25
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+2
93.1%
Jordan Wright run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 39Similar
Q1 8:25
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+4
93.1%
Anthony Jennings run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
93.2%
Al Riles run for no gain to the LaLaf 43Similar
Q1 8:25
2ND & 10
OWN 43
-8
93.2%
Anthony Jennings pass intercepted Aaron Davis return for a loss of 8 yards to the Geo 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 6INT
11 plays · 68 yds · 4:1693% → 93%
Q1 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+11
93.3%
Nick Chubb run for 11 yds to the Geo 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+12
93.4%
Nick Chubb run for 12 yds to the Geo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
93.4%
Sony Michel run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 30Similar
Q1 4:16
2ND & 11
OWN 30
+11
93.4%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Terry Godwin for 11 yds to the Geo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
93.5%
Sony Michel run for 4 yds to the Geo 45Similar
Q1 4:16
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+5
93.5%
Sony Michel run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 4:16
3RD & 1
50
+2
93.5%
Nick Chubb run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+21
93.5%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Javon Wims for 21 yds to the LaLaf 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
93.5%
Nick Chubb run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 25Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+1
93.5%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Terry Godwin for 1 yd to the LaLaf 24Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 24
+39
93.4%
Jacob Eason pass intercepted Tracy Walker return for 39 yds to the Geo 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 7DOWNS
13 plays · 19 yds · 4:378% → 7%
Q2 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
92.3%
Elijah McGuire run for 2 yds to the Geo 45Similar
Q2 13:14
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+3
92.3%
Elijah McGuire run for 3 yds to the Geo 42Similar
Q2 13:14
3RD & 5
OPP 42
+6
92.4%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Gary Haynes for 6 yds to the Geo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
92.3%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Al Riles, broken up by Deandre BakerSimilar
Q2 13:14
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+4
92.3%
Elijah McGuire run for 4 yds to the Geo 32Similar
Q2 13:14
3RD & 6
OPP 32
+7
92.3%
Dion Ray run for 7 yds to the Geo 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
92.0%
Elijah McGuire run for 2 yds to the Geo 23Similar
Q2 13:14
2ND & 8
OPP 23
-5
92.0%
UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, false start (Robert Hunt) to the Geo 28Similar
Q2 13:14
2ND & 13
OPP 28
+5
92.3%
Darius Hoggins run for 5 yds to the Geo 23Similar
Q2 8:37
3RD & 8
OPP 23
-5
92.5%
UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, false start (Eddie Gordon) to the Geo 28Similar
Q2 8:37
3RD & 13
OPP 28
0
92.9%
Anthony Jennings pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:37
4TH & 13
OPP 28
0
93.0%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Keenan BarnesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q2 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
93.4%
Sony Michel run for 2 yds to the Geo 30Similar
Q2 8:25
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+7
93.4%
Sony Michel run for 7 yds to the Geo 37Similar
Q2 8:25
3RD & 1
OWN 37
0
93.4%
Nick Chubb run for no gain to the Geo 37Similar
Q2 8:25
4TH & 1
OWN 37
-5
93.2%
GEORGIA Penalty, false start (Deandre Baker) to the Geo 32Similar
Q2 8:25
4TH & 6
OWN 32
0
93.1%
Brice Ramsey punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Gary Haynes at the LaLaf 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 9FUMBLE
3 plays · 15 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q2 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
92.8%
Elijah McGuire run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 36Similar
Q2 6:20
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+8
92.7%
Anthony Jennings run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
92.6%
Dion Ray run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 45 Dion Ray fumbled, forced by Reggie Carter, recovered by Geo Lorenzo CarterSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 10TD
5 plays · 45 yds · 2:2393% → 97%
Q2 5:13
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
93.4%
Sony Michel run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 37Similar
Q2 5:13
2ND & 2
OPP 37
+1
93.5%
Sony Michel run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 36Similar
Q2 5:13
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+32
93.3%
Nick Chubb run for 32 yds to the LaLaf 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
93.5%
Isaiah McKenzie run for a loss of 5 yards to the LaLaf 9Similar
Q2 2:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
97.4%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Isaac Nauta for 9 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 11TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:463% → 8%
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
96.7%
Elijah McGuire run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 27Similar
Q2 2:50
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+64
96.6%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Al Riles for 64 yds to the Geo 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
91.9%
Anthony Jennings run for 9 yds for a TD, (Stevie Artigue KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:4794% → 93%
Q2 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
93.5%
Sony Michel run for 3 yds to the Geo 32Similar
Q2 1:59
2ND & 7
OWN 32
-1
93.5%
Sony Michel run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 31Similar
Q2 1:12
3RD & 8
OWN 31
0
93.4%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Terry GodwinSimilar
Q2 1:12
4TH & 8
OWN 31
-3
93.1%
Brice Ramsey punt for 34 yds , Gary Haynes returns for a loss of 3 yards to the LaLaf 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 13INT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:187% → 6%
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
92.8%
Anthony Jennings pass incomplete to Elijah McGuireSimilar
Q2 0:57
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+6
92.9%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Al Riles for 6 yds to the LaLaf 38Similar
Q2 0:39
3RD & 4
OWN 38
-5
93.7%
Anthony Jennings pass intercepted Malkom Parrish return for a loss of 5 yards to the Geo 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
93.6%
Jacob Eason pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:33
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
93.6%
Nick Chubb run for 3 yds to the Geo 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 15PUNT
11 plays · 19 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
92.8%
Anthony Jennings sacked by Davin Bellamy for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 23Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+2
92.9%
Anthony Jennings run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 25Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+14
93.0%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Keenan Barnes for 14 yds to the LaLaf 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+16
92.4%
Elijah McGuire run for 16 yds to the Geo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
92.0%
Anthony Jennings run for 1 yd to the Geo 44Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 9
OPP 44
0
92.0%
Raymond Calais run for no gain to the Geo 44Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 9
OPP 44
-5
92.3%
UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Geo 49Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 14
OPP 49
-10
92.8%
Jennings, A. rush for 8 yards to the UGA41 (Roquan Smith), PENALTY UL holding (Hunt, Robert) 10 yards to the UL41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 24
OWN 41
+3
92.9%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Tracy Walker for 3 yds to the LaLaf 44Similar
Q3 14:55
4TH & 21
OWN 44
0
93.1%
Steven Coutts punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Geo 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 16TD
11 plays · 93 yds · 5:0393% → 98%
Q3 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+3
93.4%
Nick Chubb run for 3 yds to the Geo 10Similar
Q3 9:48
2ND & 7
OWN 10
+35
93.4%
Nick Chubb run for 35 yds to the Geo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+22
93.9%
Riley Ridley run for 22 yds to the LaLaf 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-2
93.9%
Sony Michel run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 35Similar
Q3 9:48
2ND & 12
OPP 35
+3
93.8%
Sony Michel run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 32Similar
Q3 9:48
3RD & 9
OPP 32
+11
93.6%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Tyler Simmons for 11 yds to the LaLaf 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-8
93.9%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Terry Godwin for 2 yds to the LaLaf 19 GEORGIA Penalty, Offensive holding (Tyler Simmons) to the LaLaf 29Similar
Q3 9:48
1ST & 18
OPP 29
+26
93.8%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Isaiah McKenzie for 26 yds to the LaLaf 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
93.9%
Nick Chubb run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 2Similar
Q3 9:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
93.9%
Nick Chubb run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 1Similar
Q3 4:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.1%
Nick Chubb run for 1 yd for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 17DOWNS
6 plays · 34 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+25
98.0%
Elijah McGuire run for 25 yds to the LaLaf 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
97.9%
Anthony Jennings run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 4:40
2ND & 8
50
+7
97.9%
Elijah McGuire run for 7 yds to the Geo 43Similar
Q3 4:40
3RD & 1
OPP 43
0
97.9%
Jordan Wright run for no gain to the Geo 43Similar
Q3 4:40
4TH & 1
OPP 43
0
98.0%
Anthony Jennings run for no gain to the Geo 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 18FUMBLE
8 plays · 37 yds · 1:5599% → 99%
Q3 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
98.7%
Sony Michel run for 6 yds to the Geo 49Similar
Q3 1:55
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+6
98.8%
Sony Michel run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
98.8%
Nick Chubb run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 43Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 43
-3
98.9%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Sony Michel for a loss of 3 yards to the LaLaf 46Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 46
+14
98.9%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Reggie Davis for 14 yds to the LaLaf 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
98.9%
Nick Chubb run for no gain to the LaLaf 32Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+3
98.9%
Brian Herrien run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 29Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 29
+9
98.9%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Sony Michel for 9 yds Sony Michel fumbled, forced by Denarius Howard, recovered by LaLaf Denarius HowardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 19DOWNS
5 plays · 35 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+29
99.0%
Anthony Jennings run for 29 yds to the LaLaf 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
99.0%
Anthony Jennings pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:27
2ND & 10
OWN 49
-5
99.0%
Anthony Jennings sacked by Julian Rochester for a loss of 5 yards to the LaLaf 44Similar
Q4 12:27
3RD & 15
OWN 44
+14
99.0%
Anthony Jennings run for 14 yds to the Geo 42Similar
Q4 12:27
4TH & 1
OPP 42
-3
99.0%
Elijah McGuire run for a loss of 3 yards to the Geo 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 20TD
3 plays · 55 yds · 1:0399% → 100%
Q4 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
99.2%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete, broken up by Levarious VarnadoSimilar
Q4 10:37
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+6
99.1%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Isaiah McKenzie for 6 yds to the LaLaf 49Similar
Q4 9:34
3RD & 4
OPP 49
+49
99.9%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Nick Chubb for 49 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 21TD
11 plays · 87 yds · 4:330% → 1%
Q4 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+21
99.9%
Elijah McGuire run for 21 yds to the LaLaf 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
99.9%
Elijah McGuire run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 42Similar
Q4 9:23
2ND & 2
OWN 42
+2
99.9%
Elijah McGuire run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+29
99.9%
Al Riles run for 29 yds to the Geo 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-6
99.9%
Elijah McGuire run for 4 yds to the Geo 23 UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Geo 33Similar
Q4 9:23
1ST & 16
OPP 33
+4
99.9%
Anthony Jennings run for 4 yds to the Geo 29Similar
Q4 9:23
2ND & 12
OPP 29
+3
99.9%
Raymond Calais run for 3 yds to the Geo 26Similar
Q4 9:23
3RD & 9
OPP 26
+11
99.9%
Anthony Jennings run for 11 yds to the Geo 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
99.9%
Raymond Calais run for 2 yds to the Geo 13Similar
Q4 4:50
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+13
99.3%
Anthony Jennings run for 13 yds for a TD, (Stevie Artigue KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
99.4%
Elijah Holyfield run for no gain to the Geo 31Similar
Q4 4:41
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+2
99.4%
Greyson Lambert run for 2 yds to the Geo 33Similar
Q4 4:41
3RD & 8
OWN 33
0
99.4%
Greyson Lambert pass incomplete to Tyler Simmons, broken up by Savion BrownSimilar
Q4 4:41
4TH & 8
OWN 33
0
99.3%
Brice Ramsey punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Levarious Varnado at the LaLaf 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 23TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:171% → 5%
Q4 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
99.5%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Keenan Barnes for 16 yds to the LaLaf 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
99.4%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Al Riles for 8 yds to the LaLaf 49Similar
Q4 2:51
2ND & 2
OWN 49
+12
99.4%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Keenan Barnes for 12 yds to the Geo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:51
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+9
99.4%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Elijah McGuire for 9 yds to the Geo 30Similar
Q4 2:51
2ND & 1
OPP 30
+5
99.3%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Al Riles for 5 yds to the Geo 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:51
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+24
99.3%
Anthony Jennings pass complete to Gabe Fuselier for 24 yds to the Geo 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
94.8%
Anthony Jennings run for 1 yd for a TD, (Stevie Artigue KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 24END OF GAME
7 plays · 9 yds · 0:2098% → 99%
Q4 1:31
1ST & 10
50
+1
98.1%
Brian Herrien run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 49Similar
Q4 1:20
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+7
98.6%
Brian Herrien run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 42Similar
Q4 1:11
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+2
98.6%
Brian Herrien run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-1
98.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 2:04
Anthony Jennings run for 9 yds for a TD, (Stevie Artigue KICK)
-4.8
TD · Q4 1:34
Anthony Jennings run for 1 yd for a TD, (Stevie Artigue KICK)
-4.5
TD · Q3 4:45
Nick Chubb run for 1 yd for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)
+4.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com