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AAMU

Alabama A&M 0 at Auburn 55

AUB
2016 · Week 12 · Nov 19, 2016 · Jordan-Hare Stadium
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Win probability · AUB
modelAUB aheadAAMU aheadconfidence bandkey playAUB scoreAAMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 14:17 · Nick Carden punt for 40 yds, downed at the Aub 7
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+50.0+25.00−25.0−50.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 58Pregame prior+46.0Home team on offense+5.5Score differential+1.9Blowout margin+0.4Garbage-time factor+0.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 11:22: Jeremy Johnson run for 7 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK) — AAMU win probability +0.1 pts (now 0%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:51: Kerryon Johnson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK) — AUB win probability +0.5 pts (now 100%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 9:50: Jeremy Johnson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK) — AUB win probability +0.4 pts (now 100%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
AUB made the numbers' call on 4 of 8AAMU made the numbers' call on 12 of 13
  1. Q1 9:06AAMU 4th & 5 at AAMU 30, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:08AUB 4th & 5 at AAMU 43, up 14
    Close callPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    99.4%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:31AAMU 4th & 17 at AAMU 27, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:25AAMU 4th & 12 at AUB 20, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.8%
    75% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00AUB 4th & 12 at AUB 34, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:17AAMU 4th & 9 at AUB 47, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:16AUB 4th & 2 at AAMU 30, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    99.0%−0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    98.9%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:55AAMU 4th & 1 at midfield, down 14
    Close callPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:51AAMU 4th & 9 at AAMU 26, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:30AUB 4th & 4 at AAMU 24, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.3%
    68% to make
    Punt
    99.0%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:10AAMU 4th & 23 at AAMU 12, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.3
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:00AUB 4th & 1 at AAMU 36, up 24
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.3%−0.2
    42% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q3 14:54AAMU 4th & 7 at AAMU 17, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  14. Q3 13:42AUB 4th & 2 at AAMU 7, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.2%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    99.2%−0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    98.7%−0.6
    average punt
  15. Q3 8:43AAMU 4th & 5 at AAMU 15, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  16. Q3 7:16AAMU 4th & 15 at AAMU 31, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  17. Q3 0:42AUB 4th & 2 at AAMU 2, up 45
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.6
    average punt
  18. Q3 0:42AAMU 4th & 3 at AAMU 32, down 48
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  19. Q4 9:44AAMU 4th & 3 at AAMU 22, down 55
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  20. Q4 7:24AUB 4th & 3 at AAMU 47, up 55
    Close callPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    100.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
  21. Q4 5:00AAMU 4th & 10 at AAMU 26, down 55
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−<0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
AUB made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 11:22AUB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:11AUB Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:51AUB Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 9:50AUB Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:50AUB Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 7:16AUB Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 9:52AUB Touchdown, up 54 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
AUBDrive 1TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 3:38100% → 100%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+18
99.8%
Jeremy Johnson pass complete to Darius Slayton for 18 yds to the AlaAM 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
99.8%
Kerryon Johnson run for 7 yds to the AlaAM 40Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 40
-1
99.8%
Kerryon Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the AlaAM 41Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 41
+22
99.8%
Kerryon Johnson run for 22 yds to the AlaAM 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
99.8%
Kerryon Johnson run for 2 yds to the AlaAM 17Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 17
0
99.8%
Jeremy Johnson run for no gain to the AlaAM 17Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 17
+10
99.8%
Jeremy Johnson pass complete to Darius Slayton for 10 yds to the AlaAM 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.8%
Jeremy Johnson run for 7 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 2INT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
99.7%
De'Angelo Ballard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:15
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+1
99.7%
Jordan Bentley run for 1 yd to the AlaAM 31Similar
Q1 11:15
3RD & 9
OWN 31
+7
99.7%
De'Angelo Ballard pass intercepted Montravius Adams return for 7 yds to the AlaAM 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 3TD
3 plays · 15 yds · 1:22100% → 100%
Q1 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-2
99.7%
John Franklin III run for a loss of 2 yards to the AlaAM 17Similar
Q1 10:33
2ND & 12
OPP 17
+3
99.7%
Jeremy Johnson pass complete to Eli Stove for 3 yds to the AlaAM 14Similar
Q1 9:11
3RD & 9
OPP 14
+14
99.7%
Jeremy Johnson pass complete to Kyle Davis for 14 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q1 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+9
99.7%
De'Angelo Ballard pass complete to Tevin McKenzie for 9 yds to the AlaAM 23Similar
Q1 9:06
2ND & 1
OWN 23
-1
99.7%
De'Angelo Ballard run for a loss of 1 yard to the AlaAM 22Similar
Q1 9:06
3RD & 2
OWN 22
+3
99.7%
De'Angelo Ballard pass complete to O'Darius Williams for 3 yds to the AlaAM 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.7%
De'Angelo Ballard pass incomplete, broken up by Derrick BrownSimilar
Q1 9:06
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.7%
De'Angelo Ballard run for 6 yds to the AlaAM 31Similar
Q1 9:06
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-1
99.7%
Jordan Bentley run for a loss of 1 yard to the AlaAM 30Similar
Q1 9:06
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+14
99.7%
Nick Carden punt for 46 yds , Stephen Roberts returns for 14 yds to the Aub 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 19 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q1 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+14
99.7%
Jeremy Johnson pass complete to Kerryon Johnson for 14 yds to the AlaAM 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
99.7%
Jeremy Johnson pass incomplete to Johnathan FordSimilar
Q1 6:08
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+7
99.7%
Kerryon Johnson run for 7 yds to the AlaAM 41Similar
Q1 6:08
3RD & 3
OPP 41
-2
99.7%
Jeremy Johnson pass complete to Eli Stove for a loss of 2 yards to the AlaAM 43Similar
Q1 6:08
4TH & 5
OPP 43
0
99.7%
Kevin Phillips punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q1 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+14
99.6%
De'Angelo Ballard pass complete to Tevin McKenzie for 14 yds to the AlaAM 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-6
99.6%
De'Angelo Ballard sacked by Javaris Davis for a loss of 6 yards to the AlaAM 28Similar
Q1 4:31
2ND & 16
OWN 28
0
99.6%
De'Angelo Ballard pass incomplete to O'Darius WilliamsSimilar
Q1 4:31
3RD & 16
OWN 28
-5
99.6%
ALABAMA A&M Penalty, false start (Malcolm Johnson) to the AlaAM 23Similar
Q1 4:31
3RD & 21
OWN 23
+4
99.6%
De'Angelo Ballard pass complete to Marceles Clash for 4 yds to the AlaAM 27Similar
Q1 4:31
4TH & 17
OWN 27
+16
99.6%
Nick Carden punt for 45 yds , Stephen Roberts returns for 16 yds to the Aub 44 Stephen Roberts fumbled, recovered by AlaAM Desmond FletcherSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 7MISSED FG
10 plays · 24 yds · 2:021% → 1%
Q1 2:27
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+15
99.5%
De'Angelo Balla right deep sideline pass incomplete to Jonathan Dorsey, PENALTY AU pass interference (Stephen Roberts) 15 yards to the AU29, 1ST DOWN AAM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:27
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
99.5%
De'Angelo Ballard pass incomplete to Ledarion HeathSimilar
Q1 2:27
2ND & 10
OPP 29
0
99.5%
De'Angelo Ballard pass incomplete to Jonathan DorseySimilar
Q1 2:27
3RD & 10
OPP 29
-5
99.5%
ALABAMA A&M Penalty, delay of game (De'Angelo Ballard) to the Aub 34Similar
Q1 2:27
3RD & 15
OPP 34
+16
99.6%
De'Angelo Ballard run for 16 yds to the Aub 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:27
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
99.5%
Jordan Bentley run for no gain to the Aub 18Similar
Q1 2:27
2ND & 10
OPP 18
-2
99.5%
De'Angelo Ballard pass complete to Tevin McKenzie for a loss of 2 yards to the Aub 20Similar
Q1 0:30
3RD & 12
OPP 20
0
99.5%
De'Angelo Ballard pass incomplete to Ledarion HeathSimilar
Q1 0:25
4TH & 12
OPP 20
+37
99.5%
Nick Carden 37 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Maurice Swain Jr. Darrell Williams return for no gain to the Aub 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:25100% → 100%
Q1 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
99.5%
Kerryon Johnson run for 3 yds to the Aub 23Similar
Q1 0:25
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+13
99.5%
Jeremy Johnson pass complete to Darius Slayton for 13 yds to the Aub 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
99.5%
Kerryon Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Aub 34Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 34
0
99.5%
Jeremy Johnson pass incomplete to Ryan Davis, broken up by Devonte SimonSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 34
0
99.5%
Jeremy Johnson pass incomplete to Kyle Davis, broken up by Devonte SimonSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 12
OWN 34
0
99.5%
Kevin Phillips punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
99.5%
De'Angelo Ballard pass incomplete to Tevin McKenzie, broken up by Darrell WilliamsSimilar
Q2 14:17
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+3
99.5%
Jordan Bentley run for 3 yds to the AlaAM 33Similar
Q2 14:17
3RD & 7
OWN 33
+19
99.5%
De'Angelo Ballard pass complete to Tevin McKenzie for 19 yds to the Aub 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:17
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
99.5%
De'Angelo Ballard run for 1 yd to the Aub 47Similar
Q2 14:17
2ND & 9
OPP 47
0
99.5%
De'Angelo Ballard pass incomplete to Tevin McKenzieSimilar
Q2 14:17
3RD & 9
OPP 47
0
99.5%
De'Angelo Ballard pass incomplete to O'Darius WilliamsSimilar
Q2 14:17
4TH & 9
OPP 47
0
99.5%
Nick Carden punt for 40 yds, downed at the Aub 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 10DOWNS
9 plays · 63 yds · 0:0099% → 100%
Q2 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+6
99.4%
Kerryon Johnson run for 6 yds to the Aub 13Similar
Q2 12:16
2ND & 4
OWN 13
+4
99.4%
Kerryon Johnson run for 4 yds to the Aub 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
99.5%
Jeremy Johnson pass complete to Kerryon Johnson for 2 yds to the Aub 19Similar
Q2 12:16
2ND & 8
OWN 19
+31
99.4%
Jeremy Johnson run for 31 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:16
1ST & 10
50
+12
99.5%
Kerryon Johnson run for 12 yds to the AlaAM 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-1
99.5%
Kerryon Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the AlaAM 39Similar
Q2 12:16
2ND & 11
OPP 39
+1
99.5%
Jeremy Johnson run for 1 yd to the AlaAM 38Similar
Q2 12:16
3RD & 10
OPP 38
+8
99.5%
Jeremy Johnson pass complete to Tony Stevens for 8 yds to the AlaAM 30Similar
Q2 12:16
4TH & 2
OPP 30
0
99.5%
Kerryon Johnson run for no gain to the AlaAM 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
99.3%
Byran Brower run for a loss of 1 yard to the AlaAM 29Similar
Q2 8:55
2ND & 11
OWN 29
+7
99.3%
De'Angelo Ballard pass complete to Roderick Randolph for 7 yds to the AlaAM 36Similar
Q2 8:55
3RD & 4
OWN 36
+5
99.3%
De'Angelo Ballard run for 5 yds to the AlaAM 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
99.3%
De'Angelo Ballard pass complete to Jonathan Dorsey for 5 yds to the AlaAM 46Similar
Q2 8:55
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+4
99.2%
De'Angelo Ballard run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 8:55
3RD & 1
50
0
99.2%
De'Angelo Ballard pass incomplete to Ledarion Heath, broken up by Marshall TaylorSimilar
Q2 8:55
4TH & 1
50
0
99.2%
Nick Carden punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Stephen Roberts at the Aub 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 12TD
10 plays · 79 yds · 2:1999% → 100%
Q2 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+22
99.2%
Jeremy Johnson pass complete to Tony Stevens for 22 yds to the Aub 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
99.2%
Kerryon Johnson run for 4 yds to the Aub 47Similar
Q2 6:10
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+5
99.2%
Kerryon Johnson run for 5 yds to the AlaAM 48Similar
Q2 6:10
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+5
99.2%
Kerryon Johnson run for 5 yds to the AlaAM 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
99.2%
Kerryon Johnson run for 2 yds to the AlaAM 41Similar
Q2 6:10
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+5
99.2%
Jeremy Johnson pass complete to Tony Stevens for 5 yds to the AlaAM 36Similar
Q2 6:10
3RD & 3
OPP 36
+31
99.2%
Kerryon Johnson run for 31 yds to the AlaAM 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
99.2%
ALABAMA A&M Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (3 Yards) to the AlaAM 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.7%
Kerryon Johnson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:001% → 0%
Q2 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.5%
De'Angelo Ballard run for 1 yd to the AlaAM 26Similar
Q2 3:51
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
99.5%
Jordan Bentley run for no gain to the AlaAM 26Similar
Q2 3:51
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
99.6%
De'Angelo Ballard pass incomplete to Jordan BentleySimilar
Q2 3:51
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
99.6%
Nick Carden punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Stephen Roberts at the Aub 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 14FG
6 plays · 31 yds · 1:01100% → 100%
Q2 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+25
99.6%
Jeremy Johnson pass complete to Johnathan Ford for 25 yds to the AlaAM 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:31
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
99.6%
Johnathan Ford run for 3 yds to the AlaAM 27Similar
Q2 2:31
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+3
99.6%
Johnathan Ford run for 3 yds to the AlaAM 24Similar
Q2 1:36
3RD & 4
OPP 24
0
99.7%
Jeremy Johnson pass incomplete to Ryan DavisSimilar
Q2 1:30
4TH & 4
OPP 24
+41
99.7%
Daniel Carlson 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · -13 yds · 0:201% → 1%
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-12
99.5%
De'Angelo Balla right flat pass incomplete to Ledarion Heath, PENALTY AAM illegal block (Devin Andrews) 12 yards to the AAM13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 22
OWN 13
+6
99.5%
De'Angelo Ballard run for 6 yds to the AlaAM 19Similar
Q2 1:16
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+2
99.5%
De'Angelo Ballard pass complete to Jonathan Dorsey for 2 yds to the AlaAM 21Similar
Q2 1:10
3RD & 14
OWN 21
-9
99.5%
De'Angelo Ballard sacked by Derrick Brown for a loss of 9 yards to the AlaAM 12Similar
Q2 1:10
4TH & 23
OWN 12
+33
99.5%
Nick Carden punt for 23 yds, fair catch by Stephen Roberts at the AlaAM 35 AUBURN Penalty, Offensive holding (Kyle Davis) to the AlaAM 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 16MISSED FG
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:25100% → 100%
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
99.6%
Jeremy Johnson pass incomplete to Tony StevensSimilar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+9
99.6%
Jeremy Johnson pass complete to Tony Stevens for 9 yds to the AlaAM 36Similar
Q2 0:25
3RD & 1
OPP 36
0
99.6%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 1
OPP 36
+54
99.6%
Daniel Carlson 54 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+8
99.5%
De'Angelo Ballard pass complete to Jonathan Dorsey for 8 yds to the AlaAM 22Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 2
OWN 22
0
99.4%
Jordan Bentley run for no gain to the AlaAM 22Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 2
OWN 22
0
99.5%
De'Angelo Ballard pass incomplete to Tevin McKenzie, broken up by Marlon DavidsonSimilar
Q3 14:54
4TH & 2
OWN 22
-5
99.5%
ALABAMA A&M Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the AlaAM 17Similar
Q3 14:54
4TH & 7
OWN 17
0
99.5%
Nick Carden punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Stephen Roberts at the Aub 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 18TD
11 plays · 51 yds · 3:52100% → 100%
Q3 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
99.6%
Jeremy Johnson pass complete to Eli Stove for 6 yds to the AlaAM 45Similar
Q3 13:42
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+3
99.6%
Kam Martin run for 3 yds to the AlaAM 42Similar
Q3 13:42
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+12
99.5%
Kam Martin run for 12 yds to the AlaAM 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:42
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
99.6%
Kam Martin run for 2 yds to the AlaAM 28Similar
Q3 13:42
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+13
99.6%
Kam Martin run for 13 yds to the AlaAM 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:42
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
99.6%
Jeremy Johnson run for 2 yds to the AlaAM 13Similar
Q3 13:42
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+5
99.6%
Kam Martin run for 5 yds to the AlaAM 8Similar
Q3 13:42
3RD & 3
OPP 8
+1
99.5%
Kam Martin run for 1 yd to the AlaAM 7Similar
Q3 13:42
4TH & 2
OPP 7
+3
99.5%
Kam Martin run for 3 yds to the AlaAM 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
99.6%
Kam Martin run for 3 yds to the AlaAM 1Similar
Q3 9:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Jeremy Johnson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 19INT
5 plays · 15 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
De'Angelo Ballard pass incomplete to Damion MaySimilar
Q3 9:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
De'Angelo Ballard pass incomplete to Marceles Clash, broken up by Maurice Swain Jr.Similar
Q3 9:50
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+15
99.9%
De'Angelo Balla sacked for loss of 7 yards to the AAM18 (Jeff Holland), PENALTY AU personal foul (Jason Smith) 15 yards to the AAM40, 1ST DOWN AAM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
99.9%
De'Angelo Ballard pass intercepted Stephen Roberts return for no gain to the Aub 40 ALABAMA A&M Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 20TD
2 plays · 63 yds · 0:28100% → 100%
Q3 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+45
99.9%
John Franklin III run for 45 yds to the AlaAM 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
99.9%
Kam Martin run for 18 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+6
99.9%
De'Angelo Ballard run for 6 yds to the AlaAM 16Similar
Q3 8:43
2ND & 4
OWN 16
-1
99.9%
Tevin McKenzie run for a loss of 1 yard to the AlaAM 15Similar
Q3 8:43
3RD & 5
OWN 15
0
99.9%
De'Angelo Ballard pass incomplete to Jonathan DorseySimilar
Q3 8:43
4TH & 5
OWN 15
+2
99.9%
Nick Carden punt for 26 yds , Stephen Roberts returns for 2 yds to the AlaAM 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 22TD
1 play · 39 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 7:16
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+39
99.9%
John Franklin III run for 39 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 23PUNT
10 plays · 6 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.9%
De'Angelo Ballard pass complete to Tevin McKenzie for 7 yds to the AlaAM 32Similar
Q3 7:16
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
99.9%
De'Angelo Ballard run for no gain to the AlaAM 32Similar
Q3 7:16
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-1
99.9%
Byran Brower run for a loss of 1 yard to the AlaAM 31Similar
Q3 7:16
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+5
99.9%
AUBURN Penalty, (5 Yards) to the AlaAM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Byran Brower run for no gain to the AlaAM 36Similar
Q3 7:16
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-5
99.9%
ALABAMA A&M Penalty, illegal motion (-5 Yards) to the AlaAM 31Similar
Q3 7:16
2ND & 15
OWN 31
0
99.9%
De'Angelo Ballard pass incomplete to Kalias Robertson, broken up by Marshall TaylorSimilar
Q3 7:16
3RD & 15
OWN 31
0
99.9%
De'Angelo Ballard pass incomplete to Tevin McKenzieSimilar
Q3 7:16
4TH & 15
OWN 31
0
99.9%
Nick Carden punt for 28 yds, downed at the Aub 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 24FG
6 plays · 57 yds · 3:05100% → 100%
Q3 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+36
99.9%
Kam Martin run for 36 yds to the AlaAM 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+20
99.9%
Kam Martin run for 20 yds to the AlaAM 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
99.9%
Kam Martin run for no gain to the AlaAM 3Similar
Q3 3:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
99.9%
John Franklin III run for a loss of 1 yard to the AlaAM 4Similar
Q3 3:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
99.9%
Kam Martin run for 2 yds to the AlaAM 2Similar
Q3 0:42
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+19
99.9%
Daniel Carlson 19 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
100.0%
De'Angelo Ballard pass complete to O'Darius Williams for 7 yds to the AlaAM 32Similar
Q3 0:42
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
100.0%
De'Angelo Ballard pass incomplete to Tevin McKenzieSimilar
Q3 0:42
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
100.0%
De'Angelo Ballard pass incomplete to Jonathan Dorsey, broken up by Richard McBrydeSimilar
Q3 0:42
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
100.0%
Nick Carden punt for 26 yds, fair catch by Stephen Roberts at the Aub 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 26TD
8 plays · 58 yds · 5:08100% → 100%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
99.9%
Kam Martin run for 1 yd to the Aub 43Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+10
99.9%
Kam Martin run for 10 yds to the AlaAM 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
99.9%
Kam Martin run for 2 yds to the AlaAM 45Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+10
99.9%
Kam Martin run for 10 yds to the AlaAM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
99.9%
Kam Martin run for 3 yds to the AlaAM 32Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+12
99.9%
Kam Martin run for 12 yds to the AlaAM 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
99.9%
Kam Martin run for 3 yds to the AlaAM 17Similar
Q4 9:52
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+17
100.0%
Kam Martin run for 17 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 27PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-4
100.0%
Harvey Harris run for a loss of 4 yards to the AlaAM 11Similar
Q4 9:44
2ND & 14
OWN 11
+6
100.0%
De'Angelo Ballard pass complete to Roderick Randolph for 6 yds to the AlaAM 17Similar
Q4 9:44
3RD & 8
OWN 17
+5
100.0%
De'Angelo Ballard pass complete to Roderick Randolph for 5 yds to the AlaAM 22Similar
Q4 9:44
4TH & 3
OWN 22
0
100.0%
Nick Carden punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Stephen Roberts at the Aub 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 28PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
100.0%
Damian Lewis run for 1 yd to the Aub 47Similar
Q4 7:24
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+5
100.0%
Damian Lewis run for 5 yds to the AlaAM 48Similar
Q4 7:24
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+1
100.0%
Damian Lewis run for 1 yd to the AlaAM 47Similar
Q4 7:24
4TH & 3
OPP 47
+32
100.0%
Ian Shannon punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Rashad Anderson at the AlaAM 10 AUBURN Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the AlaAM 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 29PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+9
100.0%
De'Angelo Ballard pass complete to Marceles Clash for 9 yds to the AlaAM 24Similar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 1
OWN 24
+2
100.0%
Byran Brower run for 2 yds to the AlaAM 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
100.0%
De'Angelo Ballard pass incomplete to Tevin McKenzie, broken up by Greg Hall Jr.Similar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
100.0%
De'Angelo Ballard pass incomplete to Jonathan DorseySimilar
Q4 5:00
3RD & 10
OWN 26
0
100.0%
De'Angelo Ballard pass incomplete to Marceles ClashSimilar
Q4 5:00
4TH & 10
OWN 26
0
100.0%
Nick Carden punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Stephen Roberts at the Aub 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 30END OF GAME
5 plays · 31 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
100.0%
Cedric Chambers run for 6 yds to the Aub 48Similar
Q4 2:35
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+17
100.0%
Cedric Chambers run for 17 yds to the AlaAM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
100.0%
Tyler Queen run for 1 yd to the AlaAM 34Similar
Q4 2:35
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+3
100.0%
Cedric Chambers run for 3 yds to the AlaAM 31Similar
Q4 2:35
3RD & 6
OPP 31
+4
100.0%
Cedric Chambers run for 4 yds to the AlaAM 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:51
Kerryon Johnson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK)
+0.5
TD · Q3 9:50
Jeremy Johnson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK)
+0.4
TD · Q1 11:22
Jeremy Johnson run for 7 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK)
-0.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com