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Chattanooga 3 at Alabama 31

ALA
2016 · Week 12 · Nov 19, 2016 · Bryant-Denny Stadium
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Win probability · ALA
modelALA aheadUTC aheadconfidence bandkey playALA scoreUTC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Derrick Gore run for 9 yds to the Alab 42
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+50.0+25.00−25.0−50.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:44: Jalen Hurts pass complete to Gehrig Dieter for 1 yd for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK) — ALA win probability +0.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q3 7:22: Jalen Hurts run for 1 yd to the Alab 30 — UTC win probability +0.4 pts (now 3%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 4:07: Damien Harris run for 25 yds for a TD, (Andy Pappanastos KICK) — ALA win probability +2.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 1:02: Joshua Jacobs run for 7 yds to the Alab 46 — ALA win probability +0.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 14:48: Andy Pappanastos 33 yd FG GOOD — ALA win probability +0.5 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ALA made the numbers' call on 5 of 8UTC made the numbers' call on 6 of 11
  1. Q1 12:30ALA 4th & 15 at UTC 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    99.4%−<0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:08UTC 4th & 11 at ALA 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.0%
    56% to make
    Punt
    0.9%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:43ALA 4th & 2 at ALA 35, down 3
    Close callPunted · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:56UTC 4th & 4 at UTC 41, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:02UTC 4th & 4 at UTC 26, down 4
    Close callPunted · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:37ALA 4th & 7 at ALA 47, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.7%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:44ALA 4th & 1 at UTC 1, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.5%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    97.3%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    96.8%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:59UTC 4th & 8 at UTC 45, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:49ALA 4th & 12 at ALA 37, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.5%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.6%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:02UTC 4th & 1 at UTC 36, down 11
    Close callPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:00UTC 4th & 6 at ALA 44, down 11
    Close callPunted · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    3.3%−0.3
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    3.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:45ALA 4th & 3 at ALA 30, up 11
    Close callPunted · 96.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.1%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:22UTC 4th & 21 at UTC 15, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.4%−0.7
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.1%
    average punt
  14. Q3 1:23UTC 4th & 9 at UTC 36, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:48ALA 4th & 5 at UTC 15, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.4%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.5%
    83% to make
    Punt
    97.4%−1.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 12:11UTC 4th & 2 at UTC 25, down 21
    Close callPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 8:06UTC 4th & 1 at UTC 40, down 21
    Close callPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%−0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 5:32ALA 4th & 1 at ALA 36, up 21
    Close callPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.3%−0.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 1:50UTC 4th & 6 at UTC 36, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ALA made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q2 14:21ALA Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:44ALA Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 4:07ALA Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 3:45ALA Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ALADrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 38 yds · 2:15100% → 100%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+23
99.7%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 23 yds to the Alab 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+20
99.7%
Jalen Hurts run for 20 yds to the Chatt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:25
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-4
99.7%
Jalen Hurts sacked by Vantrel McMillan and Keionta Davis for a loss of 4 yards to the Chatt 38Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 14
OPP 38
-1
99.6%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Gehrig Dieter for a loss of 1 yard to the Chatt 39Similar
Q1 13:45
3RD & 15
OPP 39
0
99.6%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Calvin RidleySimilar
Q1 12:30
4TH & 15
OPP 39
0
99.6%
JK Scott punt for 39 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTCDrive 2FG
11 plays · 50 yds · 5:070% → 1%
Q1 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+14
99.6%
Alejandro Bennifield pass complete to C.J. Board for 14 yds to the Chatt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-4
99.6%
Derrick Craine run for a loss of 4 yards to the Chatt 30Similar
Q1 11:35
2ND & 14
OWN 30
+31
99.6%
Alejandro Bennifield pass complete to C.J. Board for 31 yds to the Alab 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
99.5%
Derrick Craine run for 2 yds to the Alab 37Similar
Q1 10:45
2ND & 8
OPP 37
0
99.5%
Alejandro Bennifield pass incomplete to C.J. BoardSimilar
Q1 10:10
3RD & 8
OPP 37
+8
99.5%
Alejandro Bennifield pass complete to C.J. Board for 8 yds to the Alab 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
99.5%
Derrick Craine run for no gain to the Alab 29Similar
Q1 9:15
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+4
99.4%
Alejandro Bennifield pass complete to Richardre Bagley for 4 yds to the Alab 25Similar
Q1 8:45
3RD & 6
OPP 25
-5
99.4%
Bennifield, Alejandro pass complete to Stewart, Alphonso for 9 yards to the ALABAMA16, PENALTY CHATTANOOG illegal formation 5 yards to the ALABAMA30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:25
3RD & 11
OPP 30
0
99.4%
Alejandro Bennifield pass incomplete to C.J. BoardSimilar
Q1 7:08
4TH & 11
OPP 30
+47
99.3%
Henrique Ribeiro 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:0799% → 99%
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
99.3%
Jalen Hurts run for no gain to the Alab 27Similar
Q1 6:30
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+7
99.3%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to O.J. Howard for 7 yds to the Alab 34Similar
Q1 6:12
3RD & 3
OWN 34
+1
99.3%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 1 yd to the Alab 35Similar
Q1 5:43
4TH & 2
OWN 35
0
99.2%
JK Scott punt for 46 yds, fair catch by C.J. Board at the Chatt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTCDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 3:371% → 1%
Q1 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
99.2%
Alejandro Bennifield pass complete to Richardre Bagley for 3 yds to the Chatt 22Similar
Q1 4:41
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+13
99.1%
Richardre Bagley run for 13 yds to the Chatt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
99.1%
Alejandro Bennifield pass complete to Richardre Bagley for a loss of 1 yard to the Chatt 34Similar
Q1 3:01
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+7
99.0%
Derrick Craine run for 7 yds to the Chatt 41Similar
Q1 2:11
3RD & 4
OWN 41
0
98.9%
Alejandro Bennifield run for no gain to the Chatt 41Similar
Q1 1:56
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
98.9%
Colin Brewer punt for 34 yds, downed at the Alab 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 5TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:5499% → 99%
Q1 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
98.8%
Jalen Hurts run for 6 yds to the Alab 31 Jalen Hurts fumbled, forced by Dale Warren, recovered by Alab O.J. HowardSimilar
Q1 1:05
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
98.8%
Damien Harris run for 2 yds to the Alab 33Similar
Q1 0:34
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+5
98.8%
Jalen Hurts run for 5 yds to the Alab 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
98.7%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 3 yds to the Alab 41Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+8
98.7%
Damien Harris run for 8 yds to the Alab 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
98.7%
Jalen Hurts run for 4 yds to the Chatt 47Similar
Q2 14:21
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+47
98.9%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 47 yds for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTCDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:501% → 1%
Q2 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-3
98.8%
Tyler Roberson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Chatt 17Similar
Q2 13:25
2ND & 13
OWN 17
0
98.8%
Alejandro Bennifield pass complete to Derrick Craine for no gain to the Chatt 17Similar
Q2 12:34
3RD & 13
OWN 17
+9
98.7%
Alejandro Bennifield pass complete to Xavier Borishade for 9 yds to the Chatt 26Similar
Q2 12:02
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
98.7%
Colin Brewer punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Alab 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 7FUMBLE
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:1799% → 98%
Q2 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
98.6%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Trevon DiggsSimilar
Q2 11:40
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+7
98.6%
Jalen Hurts run for 7 yds to the Chatt 49Similar
Q2 11:05
3RD & 3
OPP 49
-4
98.5%
Jalen Hurts run for a loss of 4 yards to the Alab 47Similar
Q2 10:37
4TH & 7
OWN 47
+1
98.4%
JK Scott punt for 45 yds , C.J. Board returns for 1 yd to the Chatt 9 C.J. Board fumbled, recovered by Alab Keaton AndersonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 8TD
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:3199% → 99%
Q2 10:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
98.5%
Jalen Hurts run for 8 yds to the Chatt 1Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
98.5%
Jalen Hurts run for no gain to the Chatt 1Similar
Q2 9:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
98.3%
Damien Harris run for no gain to the Chatt 1Similar
Q2 8:44
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.8%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Gehrig Dieter for 1 yd for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTCDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 3:191% → 2%
Q2 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
98.7%
Derrick Craine run for 6 yds to the Chatt 26Similar
Q2 7:30
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+6
98.6%
Derrick Craine run for 6 yds to the Chatt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+11
98.6%
Alejandro Bennifield pass complete to Malcolm Colvin for 11 yds to the Chatt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
98.5%
Alejandro Bennifield pass complete to James Stovall for 3 yds to the Chatt 46Similar
Q2 5:40
2ND & 7
OWN 46
-1
98.4%
Alejandro Bennifield pass complete to Xavier Borishade for a loss of 1 yard to the Chatt 45Similar
Q2 5:09
3RD & 8
OWN 45
0
98.4%
Alejandro Bennifield pass incomplete to James StovallSimilar
Q2 4:59
4TH & 8
OWN 45
+14
98.5%
Colin Brewer punt for 43 yds , Trevon Diggs returns for 14 yds to the Alab 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 11 yds · 2:0299% → 98%
Q2 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+13
98.5%
Damien Harris run for 13 yds to the Alab 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-3
98.5%
Damien Harris run for a loss of 3 yards to the Alab 36Similar
Q2 3:45
2ND & 13
OWN 36
-9
98.4%
Jalen Hurts sacked by Dale Warren for a loss of 9 yards to the Alab 27Similar
Q2 3:25
3RD & 22
OWN 27
+10
98.3%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 10 yds to the Alab 37Similar
Q2 2:49
4TH & 12
OWN 37
+10
98.2%
JK Scott punt for 56 yds , C.J. Board returns for 10 yds to the Chatt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTCDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 2:232% → 2%
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
98.3%
Derrick Craine run for 2 yds to the Chatt 19Similar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 8
OWN 19
+8
98.3%
Alejandro Bennifield pass complete to Richardre Bagley for 8 yds to the Chatt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
98.3%
Richardre Bagley run for 6 yds to the Chatt 33Similar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 4
OWN 33
-2
98.1%
Richardre Bagley run for a loss of 2 yards to the Chatt 31Similar
Q2 0:10
3RD & 6
OWN 31
+5
98.2%
Alejandro Bennifield run for 5 yds to the Chatt 36Similar
Q2 0:02
4TH & 1
OWN 36
0
98.2%
Colin Brewer punt for 41 yds , Trevon Diggs returns for no gain to the Alab 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · 1 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
98.2%
Joshua Jacobs run for 1 yd to the Alab 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTCDrive 13PUNT
10 plays · 34 yds · 4:422% → 3%
Q3 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
97.8%
Derrick Craine run for 8 yds to the Chatt 30Similar
Q3 13:53
2ND & 2
OWN 30
+11
97.6%
Alejandro Bennifield pass complete to Malcolm Colvin for 11 yds to the Chatt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
97.4%
Alejandro Bennifield pass complete to Richardre Bagley for no gain to the Chatt 41Similar
Q3 12:41
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+8
97.4%
Richardre Bagley run for 8 yds to the Chatt 49Similar
Q3 12:13
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+3
97.2%
Alejandro Bennifield pass complete to Derrick Craine for 3 yds to the Alab 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
96.9%
Derrick Craine run for 1 yd to the Alab 47Similar
Q3 10:18
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+3
96.7%
Alejandro Bennifield pass complete to Derrick Craine for 3 yds to the Alab 44Similar
Q3 10:08
3RD & 6
OPP 44
0
96.7%
Alejandro Bennifield pass incomplete to Alex TrotterSimilar
Q3 10:00
4TH & 6
OPP 44
0
97.0%
Colin Brewer punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Alab 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:4397% → 96%
Q3 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+2
97.1%
Jalen Hurts run for 2 yds to the Alab 13Similar
Q3 9:10
2ND & 8
OWN 13
+1
97.1%
Jalen Hurts run for 1 yd to the Alab 14Similar
Q3 8:46
3RD & 7
OWN 14
+9
96.9%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 9 yds to the Alab 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
97.0%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Cam Sims for 9 yds to the Alab 32Similar
Q3 8:04
2ND & 1
OWN 32
-3
97.0%
Jalen Hurts sacked by Vantrel McMillan for a loss of 3 yards to the Alab 29Similar
Q3 7:22
3RD & 4
OWN 29
+1
96.7%
Jalen Hurts run for 1 yd to the Alab 30Similar
Q3 6:45
4TH & 3
OWN 30
+8
96.4%
JK Scott punt for 52 yds , C.J. Board returns for 8 yds to the Chatt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTCDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · -11 yds · 0:434% → 3%
Q3 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
96.3%
Derrick Craine run for 1 yd to the Chatt 27Similar
Q3 5:58
2ND & 9
OWN 27
0
96.3%
Alejandro Bennifield pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:39
3RD & 9
OWN 27
-12
96.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 12 yards to the Chatt 15 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Chatt Alejandro BennifieldSimilar
Q3 5:22
4TH & 21
OWN 15
0
96.6%
Colin Brewer punt for 28 yds, downed at the Chatt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 16TD
4 plays · 43 yds · 0:5997% → 99%
Q3 5:06
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
96.8%
Damien Harris run for 3 yds to the Chatt 40Similar
Q3 4:45
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+6
96.8%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Cam Sims for 6 yds to the Chatt 34Similar
Q3 4:22
3RD & 1
OPP 34
+9
96.6%
Damien Harris run for 9 yds to the Chatt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
98.8%
Damien Harris run for 25 yds for a TD, (Andy Pappanastos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTCDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 2:362% → 2%
Q3 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
98.5%
Richardre Bagley run for 10 yds to the Chatt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
98.4%
Derrick Craine run for 4 yds to the Chatt 39Similar
Q3 2:32
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+4
98.4%
Tyler Roberson run for 4 yds to the Chatt 43Similar
Q3 1:40
3RD & 2
OWN 43
-7
98.4%
Alex Trotter run for a loss of 7 yards to the Chatt 36Similar
Q3 1:23
4TH & 9
OWN 36
0
98.5%
Colin Brewer punt for 25 yds, downed at the Alab 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 18FG
6 plays · 46 yds · 1:1499% → 100%
Q3 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
98.9%
Joshua Jacobs run for 7 yds to the Alab 46Similar
Q3 0:45
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+34
98.9%
Jalen Hurts run for 34 yds to the Chatt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
99.0%
Joshua Jacobs run for 5 yds to the Chatt 15Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 15
0
99.0%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Cam SimsSimilar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 5
OPP 15
0
99.0%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Cam SimsSimilar
Q4 14:48
4TH & 5
OPP 15
+33
99.5%
Andy Pappanastos 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTCDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:491% → 1%
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
99.5%
Tyler Roberson run for 5 yds to the Chatt 22Similar
Q4 13:23
2ND & 5
OWN 22
+4
99.5%
Derrick Craine run for 4 yds to the Chatt 26Similar
Q4 12:31
3RD & 1
OWN 26
-1
99.5%
Derrick Craine run for a loss of 1 yard to the Chatt 25Similar
Q4 12:11
4TH & 2
OWN 25
+6
99.5%
Colin Brewer punt for 37 yds , Trevon Diggs returns for 6 yds to the Alab 31 ALABAMA Penalty, Illegal Block (Mekhi Brown) to the Alab 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 20FUMBLE
6 plays · 35 yds · 2:12100% → 100%
Q4 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+14
99.6%
Damien Harris run for 14 yds to the Alab 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
99.6%
Damien Harris run for 9 yds to the Chatt 43Similar
Q4 10:59
2ND & 1
OPP 43
+8
99.6%
Damien Harris run for 8 yds to the Chatt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
99.6%
Jalen Hurts pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:15
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+2
99.6%
Joshua Jacobs run for 2 yds to the Chatt 33Similar
Q4 9:49
3RD & 8
OPP 33
+2
99.6%
Joshua Jacobs run for 2 yds to the Chatt 31 Joshua Jacobs fumbled, forced by Keionta Davis, recovered by Chatt Dale WarrenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTCDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:201% → 1%
Q4 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
99.4%
Tyler Roberson pass complete to DeJuan McQuarters for 8 yds to the Chatt 39Similar
Q4 9:05
2ND & 2
OWN 39
0
99.4%
Tyler Roberson pass incomplete to Derrick CraineSimilar
Q4 8:41
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+1
99.4%
Tyler Roberson run for 1 yd to the Chatt 40Similar
Q4 8:06
4TH & 1
OWN 40
0
99.4%
Henrique Ribeiro punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Trevon Diggs at the Alab 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:09100% → 100%
Q4 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-5
99.6%
Damien Harris run for a loss of 5 yards to the Alab 22Similar
Q4 6:56
2ND & 15
OWN 22
+8
99.5%
Damien Harris run for 8 yds to the Alab 30Similar
Q4 6:43
3RD & 7
OWN 30
+5
99.5%
CHATTANOOGA Penalty, Defensive Offside (D.J. Prather) to the Alab 35Similar
Q4 6:11
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+1
99.6%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 1 yd to the Alab 36Similar
Q4 5:32
4TH & 1
OWN 36
+9
99.6%
JK Scott punt for 55 yds , C.J. Board returns for 9 yds to the Chatt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTCDrive 23FUMBLE
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:100% → 0%
Q4 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
99.6%
Tyler Roberson run for 3 yds to the Chatt 21Similar
Q4 4:48
2ND & 7
OWN 21
-1
99.6%
Tyler Roberson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Chatt 20 Tyler Roberson fumbled, forced by Anfernee Jennings, recovered by Alab Rashaan EvansSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 24TD
4 plays · 20 yds · 0:45100% → 100%
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
99.6%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Cam Sims for 6 yds to the Chatt 14Similar
Q4 4:09
2ND & 4
OPP 14
0
99.6%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Miller ForristallSimilar
Q4 4:00
3RD & 4
OPP 14
+13
99.6%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Cam Sims for 13 yds to the Chatt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
100.0%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Gehrig Dieter for 1 yd for a TD, (Andy Pappanastos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTCDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:250% → 0%
Q4 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
100.0%
Kyle Nalls run for 1 yd to the Chatt 33Similar
Q4 2:43
2ND & 9
OWN 33
0
100.0%
Tyler Roberson pass incomplete to Nakevion LeslieSimilar
Q4 2:30
3RD & 9
OWN 33
+3
100.0%
Kyle Nalls run for 3 yds to the Chatt 36Similar
Q4 1:50
4TH & 6
OWN 36
0
100.0%
Henrique Ribeiro punt for 42 yds, downed at the Alab 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 26END OF HALF
3 plays · 20 yds · 0:55100% → 100%
Q4 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
100.0%
Derrick Gore run for 5 yds to the Alab 27Similar
Q4 0:35
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+6
100.0%
Derrick Gore run for 6 yds to the Alab 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
100.0%
Derrick Gore run for 9 yds to the Alab 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 4:07
Damien Harris run for 25 yds for a TD, (Andy Pappanastos KICK)
+2.3
TD · Q2 8:44
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Gehrig Dieter for 1 yd for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK)
+0.5
KEY PLAY · Q3 1:02
Joshua Jacobs run for 7 yds to the Alab 46
+0.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com