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MISS

Ole Miss 29 at Texas A&M 28

TA&M
2016 · Week 11 · Nov 12, 2016 · Kyle Field
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Win probability · TA&M
modelTA&M aheadMISS aheadconfidence bandkey playTA&M scoreMISS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 5:53 · Gary Wunderlich punt for 45 yds , Christian Kirk returns for 5 yds to the TexAM 35
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+35.0+17.50−17.5−35.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 73Pregame prior+13.6Home team on offense+9.3Score differential+3.0Garbage-time factor+0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.2Time remaining+1.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q4 14:50: Damore'ea Stringfellow 6 Yd pass from Shea Patterson (Gary Wunderlich Kick) — MISS win probability +8.7 pts (now 20%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 12:12: Akeem Judd run for 21 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — MISS win probability +26.1 pts (now 43%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 6:41: Josh Reynolds 13 Yd pass from Jake Hubenak (Daniel LaCamera Kick) — TA&M win probability +18.5 pts (now 92%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 5:17: Van Jefferson 32 Yd pass from Shea Patterson (Gary Wunderlich Kick) — MISS win probability +33.7 pts (now 45%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:37: Gary Wunderlich 39 Yd Field Goal — MISS win probability +47.5 pts (now 82%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TA&M made the numbers' call on 8 of 8MISS made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 10:50TA&M 4th & 4 at MISS 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 76.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    76.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    76.7%−0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    76.7%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:23MISS 4th & 7 at TA&M 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 25.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.2%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.2%
    90% to make
    Punt
    24.0%−1.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:56MISS 4th & 4 at MISS 42, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.7%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:46MISS 4th & 7 at TA&M 7, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 19.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.3%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.5%
    91% to make
    Punt
    16.7%−2.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:53MISS 4th & 10 at MISS 25, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.8%−0.8
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:06TA&M 4th & 23 at TA&M 47, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.7%−0.7
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.4%
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:57TA&M 4th & 1 at MISS 31, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    86.2%−1.8
    54% to make
    Punt
    85.4%−2.6
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:16TA&M 4th & 5 at TA&M 23, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.3%−0.8
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:19TA&M 4th & 9 at TA&M 33, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.7%−1.3
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:41MISS 4th & 3 at MISS 24, down 15
    Close callPunted · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.5%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:43TA&M 4th & 8 at TA&M 44, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.0%−0.7
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.7%
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:39TA&M 4th & 19 at TA&M 10, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.8%−3.8
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.6%
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:44TA&M 4th & 7 at TA&M 12, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.8%−7.3
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:37MISS 4th & 7 at TA&M 22, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 27.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.4%−26.5
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.9%
    72% to make
    Punt
    7.7%−37.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TA&M made the numbers' call on 3 of 4MISS made the numbers' call on 1 of 3
  1. Q1 4:49TA&M Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:55TA&M Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:43TA&M Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 14:50MISS Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 12:12MISS Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    33.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    33.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 6:41TA&M Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.0%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.1%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 5:17MISS Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Numbers favored go for two by 1.1 ptsKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.6%−1.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.7%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MISSDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 4 yds · 1:2528% → 28%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
72.5%
Shea Patterson run for 16 yds to the Miss 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
72.4%
Patterson, Shea pass incomplete to Stringfellow, Damore'ea, PENALTY TEXASAM offside 5 yards to the OLEMISS46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:30
1ST & 5
OWN 46
0
72.3%
Akeem Judd run for no gain to the Miss 46Similar
Q1 14:14
2ND & 5
OWN 46
-5
72.3%
OLE MISS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Miss 41Similar
Q1 13:45
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
72.2%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Damore'ea StringfellowSimilar
Q1 13:30
3RD & 10
OWN 41
-12
72.2%
Shea Patterson run for a loss of 12 yards to the Miss 29 Shea Patterson fumbled, recovered by MissSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 2DOWNS
7 plays · 31 yds · 2:0872% → 72%
Q1 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
72.1%
Jake Hubenak pass complete to Josh Reynolds for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 34Similar
Q1 12:45
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+4
72.1%
Jake Hubenak pass complete to Ricky Seals-Jones for 4 yds to the TexAM 38Similar
Q1 12:20
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+22
72.0%
Jake Hubenak run for 22 yds to the Miss 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
72.3%
Keith Ford run for 2 yds to the Miss 38Similar
Q1 11:23
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+4
72.2%
Trayveon Williams run for 4 yds to the Miss 34Similar
Q1 10:54
3RD & 4
OPP 34
0
72.1%
Jake Hubenak pass incomplete to Speedy NoilSimilar
Q1 10:50
4TH & 4
OPP 34
0
71.9%
Jake Hubenak pass incomplete to Christian KirkSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 3FG
14 plays · 57 yds · 5:2129% → 30%
Q1 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
71.5%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Damore'ea StringfellowSimilar
Q1 10:30
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+14
71.5%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Evan Engram for 14 yds to the Miss 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
71.1%
Akeem Judd run for 3 yds to the TexAM 48Similar
Q1 9:39
2ND & 7
OPP 48
0
70.9%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Evan EngramSimilar
Q1 9:30
3RD & 7
OPP 48
+9
71.0%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Van Jefferson for 9 yds to the TexAM 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:16
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+8
70.8%
Akeem Judd run for 8 yds to the TexAM 31Similar
Q1 8:41
2ND & 2
OPP 31
+1
70.3%
Akeem Judd run for 1 yd to the TexAM 30Similar
Q1 8:02
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+5
70.4%
Akeem Judd run for 5 yds to the TexAM 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
69.9%
Jason Pellerin run for 3 yds to the TexAM 22Similar
Q1 6:59
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+11
69.7%
Akeem Judd run for 11 yds to the TexAM 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:36
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
69.7%
Akeem Judd run for 5 yds to the TexAM 6Similar
Q1 6:05
2ND & 5
OPP 6
-2
69.4%
Eugene Brazley run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexAM 8Similar
Q1 5:26
3RD & 7
OPP 8
0
69.5%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Damore'ea StringfellowSimilar
Q1 5:23
4TH & 7
OPP 8
+25
69.6%
Gary Wunderlich 25 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 4TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:2369% → 73%
Q1 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+69
69.3%
Jake Hubenak pass complete to Christian Kirk for 69 yds to the Miss 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
72.7%
Keith Ford 6 Yd Run (Daniel LaCamera Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:4328% → 29%
Q1 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
71.8%
Akeem Judd run for 6 yds to the Miss 31Similar
Q1 4:15
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
71.3%
Shea Patterson run for 5 yds to the Miss 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
71.3%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Evan Engram for 4 yds to the Miss 40Similar
Q1 3:07
2ND & 6
OWN 40
-2
70.8%
Shea Patterson sacked by Jarrett Johnson for a loss of 2 yards to the Miss 38Similar
Q1 2:15
3RD & 8
OWN 38
+4
70.9%
Shea Patterson run for 4 yds to the Miss 42Similar
Q1 1:56
4TH & 4
OWN 42
0
71.2%
Gary Wunderlich punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexAM 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 6TD
9 plays · 89 yds · 2:5271% → 77%
Q1 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+4
71.1%
Trayveon Williams run for 4 yds to the TexAM 15Similar
Q1 1:17
2ND & 6
OWN 15
+5
71.0%
OLE MISS Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the TexAM 20Similar
Q1 1:00
2ND & 1
OWN 20
+44
71.2%
Jake Hubenak pass complete to Josh Reynolds for 44 yds to the Miss 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+8
72.3%
Trayveon Williams run for 8 yds to the Miss 28Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 2
OPP 28
+1
72.5%
Trayveon Williams run for 1 yd to the Miss 27Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 27
+5
72.0%
OLE MISS Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Miss 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
72.5%
Jake Hubenak pass incomplete to Christian KirkSimilar
Q2 14:45
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+2
72.4%
Jake Hubenak run for 2 yds to the Miss 20Similar
Q2 13:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
76.5%
Keith Ford 1 Yd Run (Daniel LaCamera Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 7FG
17 plays · 68 yds · 6:0724% → 24%
Q2 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
75.8%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Evan Engram for no gain to the Miss 25Similar
Q2 13:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
76.0%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Damore'ea StringfellowSimilar
Q2 13:10
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+20
76.5%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Evan Engram for 5 yds to the Miss 30 for a 1ST down TEXAS A&M Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Miss 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
75.2%
Eugene Brazley run for no gain to the Miss 45Similar
Q2 12:34
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
75.4%
Eugene Brazley run for no gain to the Miss 45Similar
Q2 11:52
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+11
75.9%
Shea Patterson run for 11 yds to the TexAM 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:38
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
74.9%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Akeem Judd for 2 yds to the TexAM 42Similar
Q2 11:28
2ND & 8
OPP 42
-5
74.9%
OLE MISS Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the TexAM 47Similar
Q2 11:19
2ND & 13
OPP 47
+29
75.8%
Shea Patterson pass complete to A.J. Brown for 29 yds to the TexAM 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:11
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
74.4%
Shea Patterson run for 4 yds to the TexAM 14Similar
Q2 10:15
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+3
74.5%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Van Jefferson for 3 yds to the TexAM 11Similar
Q2 10:00
3RD & 3
OPP 11
+5
75.3%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the TexAM 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
74.9%
Akeem Judd run for no gain to the TexAM 6Similar
Q2 9:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
74.9%
Akeem Judd run for no gain to the TexAM 6Similar
Q2 8:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
76.0%
Shea Patterson run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 7 Shea Patterson fumbled, recovered by MissSimilar
Q2 7:46
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
76.0%
Gary Wunderlich 24 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 8TD
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:4578% → 83%
Q2 7:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
77.6%
Jake Hubenak pass incomplete to Speedy NoilSimilar
Q2 7:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
77.7%
Jake Hubenak run for 6 yds to the Miss 1Similar
Q2 6:43
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
82.6%
Speedy Noil 1 Yd pass from Jake Hubenak (Daniel LaCamera Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:4019% → 18%
Q2 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
81.5%
Eugene Brazley run for no gain to the Miss 25Similar
Q2 6:11
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
81.7%
Shea Patterson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:06
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
82.0%
Shea Patterson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:53
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+5
82.4%
Gary Wunderlich punt for 45 yds , Christian Kirk returns for 5 yds to the TexAM 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 10PUNT
9 plays · 12 yds · 2:3883% → 84%
Q2 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
83.2%
Jake Hubenak pass complete to Speedy Noil for 12 yds to the TexAM 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
84.0%
Trayveon Williams run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 4:50
2ND & 7
50
+10
84.2%
Jake Hubenak pass complete to Trayveon Williams for 10 yds to the Miss 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:29
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-4
85.0%
Jake Hubenak pass complete to Christian Kirk for a loss of 4 yards to the Miss 44Similar
Q2 3:55
2ND & 14
OPP 44
+1
85.0%
Jake Hubenak run for 1 yd to the Miss 43Similar
Q2 3:33
3RD & 13
OPP 43
-5
84.7%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Miss 48Similar
Q2 3:13
3RD & 18
OPP 48
0
84.7%
Jake Hubenak pass incomplete to Christian KirkSimilar
Q2 3:12
4TH & 18
OPP 48
-5
84.0%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TexAM 47Similar
Q2 3:06
4TH & 23
OWN 47
0
84.4%
Shane Tripucka punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Van Jefferson at the Miss 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 2:1516% → 15%
Q2 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+9
84.4%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Damore'ea Stringfellow for 9 yds to the Miss 16Similar
Q2 2:42
2ND & 1
OWN 16
+17
84.1%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Damore'ea Stringfellow for 17 yds to the Miss 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
83.7%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Damore'ea StringfellowSimilar
Q2 2:11
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+13
84.0%
Shea Patterson run for 13 yds to the Miss 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-2
83.4%
Shea Patterson sacked by Kingsley Keke for a loss of 2 yards to the Miss 44Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 12
OWN 44
-8
84.3%
Shea Patterson run for a loss of 8 yards to the Miss 27 Shea Patterson fumbled, recovered by Miss Akeem Judd Akeem Judd run for a loss of 5 yards to the Miss 27Similar
Q2 0:41
3RD & 29
OWN 27
+1
85.1%
Eugene Brazley run for 1 yd to the Miss 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · 6 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
86.5%
Keith Ford run for 6 yds to the TexAM 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 13DOWNS
8 plays · 21 yds · 1:5887% → 84%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
86.8%
Keith Ford run for 5 yds to the Miss 47Similar
Q3 14:31
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+7
86.9%
Jake Hubenak run for 7 yds to the Miss 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
87.1%
Christian Kirk pass incomplete to Speedy NoilSimilar
Q3 13:52
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+9
84.9%
Trayveon Williams run for 9 yds to the Miss 31Similar
Q3 13:11
3RD & 1
OPP 31
0
85.0%
Trayveon Williams run for no gain to the Miss 31Similar
Q3 12:57
4TH & 1
OPP 31
0
84.4%
Jake Hubenak run for no gain to the Miss 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 14INT
5 plays · 32 yds · 1:3716% → 17%
Q3 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
83.8%
Akeem Judd run for 2 yds to the Miss 33Similar
Q3 12:11
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+17
84.2%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Evan Engram for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:47
1ST & 10
50
+5
83.2%
Akeem Judd run for 5 yds to the TexAM 45Similar
Q3 11:24
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+8
83.1%
Akeem Judd run for 8 yds to the TexAM 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
83.2%
Shea Patterson pass intercepted Larry Pryor return for no gain to the TexAM 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:4986% → 86%
Q3 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-9
85.5%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, Offensive Holding (-9 Yards) to the TexAM 9Similar
Q3 10:54
1ST & 19
OWN 9
+14
85.0%
Jake Hubenak pass complete to Josh Reynolds for 14 yds to the TexAM 23Similar
Q3 10:15
2ND & 5
OWN 23
-2
85.7%
Jake Hubenak run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexAM 21 Jake Hubenak fumbled, recovered by TexAM Keith FordSimilar
Q3 9:44
3RD & 7
OWN 21
+2
85.4%
Jake Hubenak run for 2 yds to the TexAM 23Similar
Q3 9:16
4TH & 5
OWN 23
0
85.9%
Shane Tripucka punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Van Jefferson at the Miss 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 16FUMBLE
7 plays · 55 yds · 1:3614% → 17%
Q3 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
85.7%
Akeem Judd run for no gain to the Miss 27Similar
Q3 8:41
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
86.6%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Quincy AdeboyejoSimilar
Q3 8:32
3RD & 10
OWN 27
+26
86.8%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Markell Pack for 26 yds to the TexAM 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:09
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+23
84.2%
Shea Patterson pass complete to A.J. Brown for 23 yds to the TexAM 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:52
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+15
83.3%
Shea Patterson pass complete to DaMarkus Lodge for 15 yds to the TexAM 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
83.3%
Shea Patterson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
-7
83.4%
Jason Pellerin sacked by Zaycoven Henderson for a loss of 7 yards to the TexAM 18 Jason Pellerin fumbled, recovered by TexAM Zaycoven Henderson , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 15 yds · 1:4988% → 91%
Q3 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+14
87.8%
Trayveon Williams run for 14 yds to the TexAM 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
88.0%
Trayveon Williams run for 6 yds to the TexAM 38Similar
Q3 6:23
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+1
88.8%
Trayveon Williams run for 1 yd to the TexAM 39Similar
Q3 5:38
3RD & 3
OWN 39
-6
88.8%
Jake Hubenak pass complete to Trayveon Williams for a loss of 6 yards to the TexAM 33Similar
Q3 5:19
4TH & 9
OWN 33
0
90.5%
Shane Tripucka punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Van Jefferson at the Miss 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:3412% → 11%
Q3 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
88.2%
Shea Patterson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:09
2ND & 10
OWN 17
0
88.7%
Shea Patterson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:01
3RD & 10
OWN 17
+7
89.1%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Akeem Judd for 7 yds to the Miss 24Similar
Q3 4:41
4TH & 3
OWN 24
0
89.3%
Gary Wunderlich punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Christian Kirk at the TexAM 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:5392% → 92%
Q3 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
92.4%
Jake Hubenak pass incomplete to Speedy NoilSimilar
Q3 4:18
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+2
92.3%
Trayveon Williams run for 2 yds to the TexAM 44Similar
Q3 3:53
3RD & 8
OWN 44
0
92.5%
Jake Hubenak pass incomplete to Speedy NoilSimilar
Q3 3:43
4TH & 8
OWN 44
0
91.9%
Shane Tripucka punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Miss 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 20TD
12 plays · 90 yds · 3:3111% → 20%
Q3 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
89.3%
Eugene Brazley run for 3 yds to the Miss 13Similar
Q3 3:05
2ND & 7
OWN 13
+28
89.7%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Quincy Adeboyejo for 28 yds to the Miss 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+15
88.0%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the TexAM 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
87.9%
Eugene Brazley run for 5 yds to the TexAM 39Similar
Q3 2:03
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+2
88.6%
Eugene Brazley run for 2 yds to the TexAM 37Similar
Q3 1:42
3RD & 3
OPP 37
+7
89.1%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Van Jefferson for 7 yds to the TexAM 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
88.3%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Van JeffersonSimilar
Q3 1:21
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+4
88.6%
Shea Patterson run for 4 yds to the TexAM 26Similar
Q3 0:55
3RD & 6
OPP 26
+13
88.9%
Akeem Judd run for 13 yds to the TexAM 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:31
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
88.7%
Shea Patterson pass complete to A.J. Brown for 4 yds to the TexAM 9Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+3
88.8%
Akeem Judd run for 3 yds to the TexAM 6Similar
Q4 14:50
3RD & 3
OPP 6
+6
80.2%
Damore'ea Stringfellow 6 Yd pass from Shea Patterson (Gary Wunderlich Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 21FUMBLE
5 plays · -9 yds · 2:0185% → 84%
Q4 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-8
85.0%
Jake Hubenak sacked by Marquis Haynes for a loss of 8 yards to the TexAM 11Similar
Q4 13:50
2ND & 18
OWN 11
+4
85.4%
Jake Hubenak pass complete to Christian Kirk for 4 yds to the TexAM 15Similar
Q4 13:13
3RD & 14
OWN 15
-5
84.7%
Jake Hubenak pass complete to Trayveon Williams for a loss of 5 yards to the TexAM 10Similar
Q4 12:39
4TH & 19
OWN 10
-2
84.2%
Shane Tripucka punt for 49 yds , Van Jefferson returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Miss 39 Van Jefferson fumbled, recovered by Miss Van JeffersonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 22TD
3 plays · 61 yds · 0:2217% → 43%
Q4 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
82.6%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Evan EngramSimilar
Q4 12:24
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+40
83.1%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Damore'ea Stringfellow for 40 yds to the TexAM 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
57.1%
Akeem Judd run for 21 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 23TD
12 plays · 76 yds · 5:1868% → 92%
Q4 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
67.8%
Jake Hubenak pass incomplete to Josh ReynoldsSimilar
Q4 11:45
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+5
67.2%
Trayveon Williams run for 5 yds to the TexAM 29Similar
Q4 11:18
3RD & 5
OWN 29
+27
66.4%
Jake Hubenak pass complete to Speedy Noil for 27 yds to the Miss 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
72.4%
Trayveon Williams run for 4 yds to the Miss 40Similar
Q4 10:14
2ND & 6
OPP 40
-1
72.3%
Trayveon Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Miss 41Similar
Q4 9:39
3RD & 7
OPP 41
+9
70.7%
Trayveon Williams run for 9 yds to the Miss 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:14
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
73.1%
Keith Ford run for 2 yds to the Miss 30Similar
Q4 8:22
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+3
73.2%
Keith Ford run for 3 yds to the Miss 27Similar
Q4 7:52
3RD & 5
OPP 27
+12
71.5%
Jake Hubenak pass complete to Jamal Jeffery for 12 yds to the Miss 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
72.9%
Keith Ford run for 2 yds to the Miss 13Similar
Q4 6:41
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+13
91.5%
Josh Reynolds 13 Yd pass from Jake Hubenak (Daniel LaCamera Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 24TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:1712% → 45%
Q4 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
88.3%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Quincy Adeboyejo for 9 yds to the Miss 34Similar
Q4 6:19
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
86.9%
Shea Patterson run for 3 yds to the Miss 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
89.0%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Evan EngramSimilar
Q4 5:55
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+10
89.0%
Shea Patterson run for 10 yds to the Miss 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+21
88.3%
Shea Patterson pass complete to A.J. Brown for 21 yds to the TexAM 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:17
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
54.6%
Van Jefferson 32 Yd pass from Shea Patterson (Gary Wunderlich Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:2670% → 69%
Q4 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+1
69.5%
Trayveon Williams run for 1 yd to the TexAM 10Similar
Q4 4:14
2ND & 9
OWN 10
+2
72.5%
Trayveon Williams run for 2 yds to the TexAM 12Similar
Q4 3:52
3RD & 7
OWN 12
0
70.8%
Jake Hubenak pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:44
4TH & 7
OWN 12
0
69.3%
Shane Tripucka punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Van Jefferson at the Miss 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 26FG
12 plays · 36 yds · 3:0238% → 82%
Q4 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
62.0%
Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Van JeffersonSimilar
Q4 3:31
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+8
63.2%
Akeem Judd run for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 2:54
3RD & 2
50
+9
59.2%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Evan Engram for 9 yds to the TexAM 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:32
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
58.6%
Akeem Judd run for 3 yds to the TexAM 38Similar
Q4 2:06
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+13
58.5%
Shea Patterson run for 13 yds to the TexAM 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
53.8%
Akeem Judd run for 3 yds to the TexAM 22Similar
Q4 0:48
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+2
57.8%
Shea Patterson pass complete to Damore'ea Stringfellow for 2 yds to the TexAM 20Similar
Q4 0:42
3RD & 5
OPP 20
-2
59.7%
Shea Patterson run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexAM 22Similar
Q4 0:37
4TH & 7
OPP 22
+39
17.8%
Gary Wunderlich 39 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 27INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:0832% → 26%
Q4 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
32.0%
Jake Hubenak pass incomplete to Josh ReynoldsSimilar
Q4 0:16
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+8
25.5%
Jake Hubenak pass intercepted Deontay Anderson return for 8 yds to the TexAM 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 28END OF GAME
1 play · -3 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-3
5.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexAM 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:37
Gary Wunderlich 39 Yd Field Goal
-47.5
TD · Q4 5:17
Van Jefferson 32 Yd pass from Shea Patterson (Gary Wunderlich Kick)
-33.7
TD · Q4 12:12
Akeem Judd run for 21 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-26.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com