Try the model
AUB

Auburn 7 at Georgia 13

UGA
2016 · Week 11 · Nov 12, 2016 · Sanford Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · UGA
modelUGA aheadAUB aheadconfidence bandkey playUGA scoreAUB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 11:01 · Brice Ramsey punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Marcus Davis at the Aub 31
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+26.5+13.30−13.3−26.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 93Pregame prior−8.2Home team on offense+1.1Garbage-time factor−0.8Score differential−0.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.5Blowout margin−1.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 14:37: Sean White pass intercepted for a TD Maurice Smith return for 34 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK) — UGA win probability +13.4 pts (now 43%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
  2. FG · Q4 13:44: Rodrigo Blankenship 45 yd FG GOOD — UGA win probability +8.3 pts (now 62%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 2:25: Rodrigo Blankenship 21 yd FG GOOD — UGA win probability +5.0 pts (now 94%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 2:14: Sean White pass complete to Kerryon Johnson for 4 yds to the Aub 18 — AUB win probability +5.0 pts (now 13%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:34: Timeout GEORGIA, clock 01:34 — UGA win probability +7.3 pts (now 96%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UGA made the numbers' call on 4 of 10AUB made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 10:49UGA 4th & 22 at UGA 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.6%−0.3
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:46AUB 4th & 10 at AUB 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.0%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.2%
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:16UGA 4th & 13 at AUB 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.1%−1.0
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:57AUB 4th & 19 at AUB 49, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.7%−1.5
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:58UGA 4th & 20 at AUB 40, down 7
    Close callPunted · 30.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.9%−1.1
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    30.0%
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    29.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:54AUB 4th & 14 at AUB 12, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.1%−2.6
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:17UGA 4th & 7 at AUB 44, down 7
    Close callPunted · 31.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.3%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    31.8%
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    31.0%−0.8
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:54AUB 4th & 7 at AUB 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.7%−1.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:01UGA 4th & 2 at UGA 36, tied
    Close callPunted · 45.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.0%−0.9
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:59AUB 4th & 2 at AUB 39, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 55.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.1%−1.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:53UGA 4th & 4 at AUB 46, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 49.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    47.0%−3.6
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    49.5%−1.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:29AUB 4th & 2 at AUB 31, tied
    Close callPunted · 53.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.7%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:44UGA 4th & 14 at AUB 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 49.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.6%−4.3
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.9%
    60% to make
    Punt
    37.0%−12.9
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:21UGA 4th & 11 at AUB 32, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 65.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.9%−2.0
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    64.9%
    51% to make
    Punt
    62.1%−2.7
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:13AUB 4th & 5 at AUB 37, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.5%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.6%
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:25UGA 4th & 4 at AUB 4, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 84.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.2%−2.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    59.2%−23.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:00UGA 4th & 14 at AUB 25, up 6
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.3 ptsWent for it · 88.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.7%−1.3
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    88.9%
    66% to make
    Punt
    86.9%−2.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UGA made the numbers' call on 1 of 1AUB made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 0:28AUB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 14:37UGA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UGADrive 1PUNT
10 plays · 8 yds · 4:0632% → 33%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
31.9%
Nick Chubb run for 3 yds to the Geo 28Similar
Q1 14:19
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+7
32.2%
Nick Chubb run for 7 yds to the Geo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
32.5%
Nick Chubb run for 4 yds to the Geo 39Similar
Q1 13:02
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+6
32.9%
Sony Michel run for 6 yds to the Geo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-3
33.3%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Isaiah McKenzie for a loss of 3 yards to the Geo 42Similar
Q1 12:01
2ND & 13
OWN 42
+1
33.3%
Nick Chubb run for 1 yd to the Geo 43Similar
Q1 11:05
3RD & 12
OWN 43
-10
33.6%
Eason, Jacob pass complete to Wims, Javon for 40 yards to the AUBURN17, PENALTY GEORGIA holding (Catalina, Tyler) 10 yards to the GEORGIA33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:59
3RD & 22
OWN 33
0
33.4%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Sony MichelSimilar
Q1 10:49
4TH & 22
OWN 33
+5
33.4%
Brice Ramsey punt for 40 yds , Marcus Davis returns for 5 yds to the Aub 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 10 yds · 1:5566% → 65%
Q1 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
33.6%
Kerryon Johnson run for no gain to the Aub 32Similar
Q1 10:18
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+10
33.8%
Kerryon Johnson run for 10 yds to the Aub 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
33.7%
Kerryon Johnson run for 4 yds to the Aub 46Similar
Q1 9:30
2ND & 6
OWN 46
-4
33.8%
Sean White run for a loss of 4 yards to the Aub 42 Sean White fumbled, recovered by Aub Stanton TruittSimilar
Q1 8:59
3RD & 10
OWN 42
0
34.3%
Sean White pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:46
4TH & 10
OWN 42
0
34.6%
Kevin Phillips punt for 50 yds, downed at the Geo 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 3INT
7 plays · 77 yds · 2:0834% → 37%
Q1 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+18
34.4%
Nick Chubb run for 18 yds to the Geo 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
35.0%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Terry Godwin for 7 yds to the Geo 33Similar
Q1 7:07
2ND & 3
OWN 33
-5
35.6%
Chubb, Nick rush for 4 yards to the GEORGIA37, PENALTY GEORGIA illegal motion (Payne, Christian) 5 yards to the GEORGIA28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:02
2ND & 8
OWN 28
0
35.3%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Isaiah McKenzieSimilar
Q1 6:46
3RD & 8
OWN 28
+57
35.0%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Riley Ridley for 57 yds to the GEORGIA 15 for a 1ST down AUBURN Penalty, Defensive Offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
36.5%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Jeb BlazevichSimilar
Q1 6:30
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
36.6%
Terry Godwin pass intercepted, touchback. Tray Matthews return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 4TD
16 plays · 80 yds · 5:5365% → 70%
Q1 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
35.4%
Kerryon Johnson run for 1 yd to the Aub 21Similar
Q1 5:46
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+9
35.6%
Sean White pass complete to Ryan Davis for 9 yds to the Aub 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
35.8%
Stanton Truitt run for 6 yds to the Aub 36Similar
Q1 4:52
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+5
35.4%
Kerryon Johnson run for 5 yds to the Aub 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
35.5%
Chandler Cox run for 6 yds to the Aub 47Similar
Q1 3:50
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+1
35.5%
Kerryon Johnson run for 1 yd to the Aub 48Similar
Q1 3:12
3RD & 3
OWN 48
+3
35.8%
Kerryon Johnson run for 3 yds to the Geo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
35.3%
Sean White pass incomplete to Marcus DavisSimilar
Q1 2:31
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+12
35.4%
Eli Stove run for 12 yds to the Geo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
35.4%
Kerryon Johnson run for 3 yds to the Geo 34Similar
Q1 1:41
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+6
35.1%
Kerryon Johnson pass complete to Stanton Truitt for 6 yds to the Geo 28Similar
Q1 1:23
3RD & 1
OPP 28
+15
35.6%
Kerryon Johnson run for 15 yds to the Geo 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+9
34.7%
Sean White pass complete to Eli Stove for 9 yds to the Geo 4Similar
Q1 0:48
2ND & 1
OPP 4
+1
34.8%
Kerryon Johnson run for 1 yd to the Geo 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
30.3%
Kerryon Johnson run for 3 yds for a TD, (Daniel Carlson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 27 yds · 2:4432% → 31%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
32.0%
Nick Chubb run for 6 yds to the Geo 31Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
32.6%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Isaac NautaSimilar
Q2 14:46
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+10
31.8%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Sony Michel for 10 yds to the Geo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+14
33.1%
Sony Michel run for 14 yds to the Aub 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:33
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-4
33.8%
Nick Chubb run for a loss of 4 yards to the Aub 49Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 14
OPP 49
+1
32.8%
Nick Chubb run for 1 yd to the Aub 48Similar
Q2 12:24
3RD & 13
OPP 48
0
32.2%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Riley RidleySimilar
Q2 12:16
4TH & 13
OPP 48
0
31.3%
Brice Ramsey punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Marcus Davis at the Aub 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 34 yds · 3:1068% → 68%
Q2 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
32.0%
Kerryon Johnson run for 5 yds to the Aub 20Similar
Q2 11:32
2ND & 5
OWN 20
+18
31.7%
Kerryon Johnson run for 18 yds to the Aub 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
30.5%
Kerryon Johnson run for 4 yds to the Aub 42Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+16
30.4%
Sean White run for 16 yds to the Geo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
30.0%
John Franklin III run for 4 yds to the Geo 38Similar
Q2 9:49
2ND & 6
OPP 38
0
29.5%
Sean White pass incomplete to Eli StoveSimilar
Q2 9:42
3RD & 6
OPP 38
-13
30.0%
Sean White pass complete to Kerryon Johnson for a loss of 13 yards to the Aub 49Similar
Q2 8:57
4TH & 19
OWN 49
0
32.1%
Kevin Phillips punt for 32 yds, downed at the Geo 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 7PUNT
13 plays · 41 yds · 4:5232% → 30%
Q2 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
31.5%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Sony Michel for 2 yds to the Geo 21Similar
Q2 8:06
2ND & 8
OWN 21
+5
30.7%
Sony Michel run for 5 yds to the Geo 26Similar
Q2 7:24
3RD & 3
OWN 26
+4
30.4%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Charlie Woerner for 4 yds to the Geo 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
31.0%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Nick Chubb for 3 yds to the Geo 33Similar
Q2 6:25
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+22
31.1%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Riley Ridley for 22 yds to the Aub 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
33.4%
Brian Herrien run for no gain to the Aub 45Similar
Q2 5:25
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
33.1%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Isaiah McKenzieSimilar
Q2 5:18
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+15
31.8%
Eason, Jacob pass incomplete to Ridley, Riley, PENALTY AUBURN pass interference (Holsey, Joshua) 15 yards to the AUBURN30, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN GEORGIA.Similar
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
34.4%
Nick Chubb run for 3 yds to the Aub 27Similar
Q2 4:40
2ND & 7
OPP 27
0
34.5%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Isaiah McKenzieSimilar
Q2 4:28
3RD & 7
OPP 27
-8
33.2%
Jacob Eason sacked by Montravius Adams for a loss of 8 yards to the Aub 35Similar
Q2 4:08
4TH & 15
OPP 35
-5
29.7%
GEORGIA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Aub 40Similar
Q2 3:58
4TH & 20
OPP 40
0
29.8%
Brice Ramsey punt for 38 yds, downed at the Aub 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 10 yds · 1:5769% → 70%
Q2 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+14
30.6%
Sean White pass complete to Tony Stevens for 14 yds to the Aub 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
30.2%
Kerryon Johnson run for 1 yd to the Aub 17Similar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 9
OWN 17
-4
29.6%
Sean White sacked by Jonathan Ledbetter for a loss of 4 yards to the Aub 13Similar
Q2 2:24
3RD & 13
OWN 13
-1
29.8%
Stanton Truitt run for a loss of 1 yard to the Aub 12Similar
Q2 1:54
4TH & 14
OWN 12
0
30.3%
Kevin Phillips punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Aub 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:3333% → 31%
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-10
33.3%
Jacob Eason sacked by Carl Lawson for a loss of 10 yards to the Geo 43Similar
Q2 1:15
2ND & 20
OWN 43
0
30.5%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Riley RidleySimilar
Q2 1:04
3RD & 20
OWN 43
+13
29.5%
Sony Michel run for 13 yds to the Aub 44Similar
Q2 0:17
4TH & 7
OPP 44
0
31.2%
Brice Ramsey punt for 35 yds, downed at the Aub 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 10END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-2
28.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Aub 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 11INT TD
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:1971% → 57%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
29.0%
Sean White pass incomplete to Chandler CoxSimilar
Q3 14:49
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
29.5%
Sean White pass incomplete to Kerryon JohnsonSimilar
Q3 14:37
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+34
42.8%
Sean White pass intercepted for a TD Maurice Smith return for 34 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:3158% → 56%
Q3 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
41.6%
Kerryon Johnson run for 4 yds to the Aub 29Similar
Q3 13:54
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
41.1%
Kerryon Johnson pass complete to Eli Stove for 4 yds to the Aub 33Similar
Q3 13:45
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-5
41.3%
Sean White sacked by Reggie Carter for a loss of 5 yards to the Aub 28Similar
Q3 12:54
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
44.4%
Kevin Phillips punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Isaiah McKenzie at the Geo 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:2946% → 45%
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
46.3%
Nick Chubb run for 7 yds to the Geo 35Similar
Q3 12:04
2ND & 3
OWN 35
-1
47.9%
Nick Chubb run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 34Similar
Q3 11:28
3RD & 4
OWN 34
+2
45.9%
Sony Michel run for 2 yds to the Geo 36Similar
Q3 11:01
4TH & 2
OWN 36
0
45.4%
Brice Ramsey punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Marcus Davis at the Aub 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:5557% → 56%
Q3 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
42.7%
Kerryon Johnson run for 4 yds to the Aub 35Similar
Q3 10:36
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+4
42.0%
Kerryon Johnson run for 4 yds to the Aub 39Similar
Q3 10:08
3RD & 2
OWN 39
0
41.2%
Sean White pass incomplete to Ryan DavisSimilar
Q3 9:59
4TH & 2
OWN 39
0
44.3%
Kevin Phillips punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Isaiah McKenzie at the Geo 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 41 yds · 2:5747% → 50%
Q3 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+14
46.7%
Nick Chubb run for 14 yds to the Geo 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
47.5%
Sony Michel run for 1 yd to the Geo 28Similar
Q3 8:45
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+6
47.7%
Eason, Jacob pass incomplete to Ridley, Riley, PENALTY AUBURN pass interference (Davis, Carlton) 6 yards to the GEORGIA34, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN GEORGIA.Similar
Q3 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+14
48.1%
Riley Ridley run for 14 yds to the Geo 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
51.3%
Nick Chubb run for no gain to the Geo 48Similar
Q3 7:33
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+6
51.0%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Isaiah McKenzie for 6 yds to the Aub 46Similar
Q3 7:01
3RD & 4
OPP 46
0
51.9%
Jacob Eason pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:53
4TH & 4
OPP 46
0
49.7%
Brice Ramsey punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Aub 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:1655% → 53%
Q3 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
44.9%
Kerryon Johnson run for 6 yds to the Aub 29Similar
Q3 6:13
2ND & 4
OWN 29
+2
43.8%
Kerryon Johnson run for 2 yds to the Aub 31Similar
Q3 5:41
3RD & 2
OWN 31
0
44.7%
Sean White pass incomplete to Eli StoveSimilar
Q3 5:29
4TH & 2
OWN 31
0
47.0%
Kevin Phillips punt for 47 yds, downed at the Geo 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 17FG
14 plays · 50 yds · 6:3849% → 62%
Q3 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+11
48.9%
Nick Chubb run for 11 yds to the Geo 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
49.5%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Isaac Nauta for 9 yds to the Geo 42Similar
Q3 4:11
2ND & 1
OWN 42
+1
52.6%
Nick Chubb run for 1 yd to the Geo 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
52.8%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Jeb Blazevich for 5 yds to the Geo 48Similar
Q3 3:03
2ND & 5
OWN 48
0
53.9%
Jacob Eason pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:53
3RD & 5
OWN 48
+17
52.6%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Isaac Nauta for 17 yds to the Aub 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:14
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
56.2%
Sony Michel run for no gain to the Aub 35Similar
Q3 1:47
2ND & 10
OPP 35
-5
56.4%
GEORGIA Penalty, False Start (Lamont Gaillard) to the Aub 40Similar
Q3 1:18
2ND & 15
OPP 40
+6
53.0%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Isaiah McKenzie for 6 yds to the Aub 34Similar
Q3 1:10
3RD & 9
OPP 34
+10
54.7%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Riley Ridley for 10 yds to the Aub 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-14
57.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 14 yards to the Aub 38 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Geo Nick ChubbSimilar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 24
OPP 38
+6
54.2%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Sony Michel for 6 yds to the Aub 32Similar
Q4 14:24
3RD & 18
OPP 32
+4
53.2%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Terry Godwin for 4 yds to the Aub 28Similar
Q4 13:44
4TH & 14
OPP 28
+45
61.5%
Rodrigo Blankenship 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:1239% → 37%
Q4 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
60.8%
Sean White pass incomplete to Tony StevensSimilar
Q4 13:33
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
61.1%
Sean White pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:25
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
62.8%
Sean White pass incomplete to Carson Griffis AUBURN Penalty, Offensive Holding (Austin Golson) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 19MISSED FG
7 plays · 23 yds · 2:2168% → 66%
Q4 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-2
67.5%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Terry Godwin for a loss of 2 yards to the Geo 43Similar
Q4 12:22
2ND & 12
OWN 43
+26
66.0%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Isaiah McKenzie for 26 yds to the Aub 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
70.5%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Isaac NautaSimilar
Q4 11:40
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+2
70.4%
Nick Chubb run for 2 yds to the Aub 29Similar
Q4 11:05
3RD & 8
OPP 29
-5
69.2%
GEORGIA Penalty, False Start (Greg Pyke) to the Aub 34Similar
Q4 10:50
3RD & 13
OPP 34
+2
68.0%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Terry Godwin for 2 yds to the Aub 32Similar
Q4 10:21
4TH & 11
OPP 32
+49
65.6%
Rodrigo Blankenship 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:5238% → 36%
Q4 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
61.6%
Kerryon Johnson run for 4 yds to the Aub 36Similar
Q4 9:45
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+1
60.2%
Kerryon Johnson run for 1 yd to the Aub 37Similar
Q4 9:24
3RD & 5
OWN 37
0
61.7%
Sean White pass incomplete to Kam MartinSimilar
Q4 9:13
4TH & 5
OWN 37
+32
64.3%
Kevin Phillips punt for 47 yds, downed at the GEORGIA 16 AUBURN Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (T.J. Davis) to the Geo 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 21FG
16 plays · 65 yds · 6:4168% → 94%
Q4 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
68.2%
Nick Chubb run for 2 yds to the Geo 33Similar
Q4 8:19
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+7
68.5%
Isaiah McKenzie run for 7 yds to the Geo 40Similar
Q4 7:43
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+11
70.4%
Nick Chubb run for 11 yds to the Aub 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:06
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
72.7%
Sony Michel run for 9 yds to the Aub 40Similar
Q4 6:18
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+4
74.7%
Nick Chubb run for 4 yds to the Aub 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:39
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
75.2%
Brian Herrien run for 2 yds to the Aub 34Similar
Q4 5:17
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+2
76.5%
Nick Chubb run for 2 yds to the Aub 32Similar
Q4 4:32
3RD & 6
OPP 32
+17
78.7%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Isaac Nauta for 17 yds to the Aub 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
82.2%
Nick Chubb run for 6 yds to the Aub 9Similar
Q4 3:16
2ND & 4
OPP 9
+4
83.2%
Sony Michel run for 4 yds to the Aub 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
87.3%
Sony Michel run for 1 yd to the Aub 4Similar
Q4 2:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
89.2%
Nick Chubb run for no gain to the Aub 4Similar
Q4 2:29
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
88.6%
Terry Godwin pass incomplete to Jacob EasonSimilar
Q4 2:25
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
93.6%
Rodrigo Blankenship 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 22DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:3413% → 12%
Q4 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+4
87.5%
Sean White pass complete to Kerryon Johnson for 4 yds to the Aub 18Similar
Q4 1:45
2ND & 6
OWN 18
+4
88.4%
Sean White pass complete to Marcus Davis for 4 yds to the Aub 22Similar
Q4 1:40
3RD & 2
OWN 22
0
88.3%
Sean White pass incomplete to Marcus DavisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 23DOWNS
7 plays · -9 yds · 1:2896% → 95%
Q4 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
95.9%
Nick Chubb run for 3 yds to the Aub 18Similar
Q4 1:05
2ND & 7
OPP 18
-3
96.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Aub 21Similar
Q4 0:45
3RD & 10
OPP 21
-4
96.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Aub 25Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 14
OPP 25
-5
94.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the Aub 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 14:37
Sean White pass intercepted for a TD Maurice Smith return for 34 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)
+13.4
FG · Q4 13:44
Rodrigo Blankenship 45 yd FG GOOD
+8.3
KEY PLAY · Q4 1:34
Timeout GEORGIA, clock 01:34
+7.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com