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TNTC

Tennessee Tech 0 at Tennessee 55

TENN
2016 · Week 10 · Nov 5, 2016 · Neyland Stadium
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Win probability · TENN
modelTENN aheadTNTC aheadconfidence bandkey playTENN scoreTNTC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:45 · Roderick Napper run for a loss of 5 yards to the TnTch 28
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 161Pregame prior+5.6Home team on offense+36.5Score differential+31.0Blowout margin+20.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+16.1Garbage-time factor+8.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:26: John Kelly run for 73 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK) — TENN win probability +0.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:55: Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 3 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK) — TENN win probability +0.3 pts (now 100%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TENN made the numbers' call on 1 of 4TNTC made the numbers' call on 11 of 13
  1. Q1 12:26TNTC 4th & 5 at TENN 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.0%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    1.0%−<0.1
    60% to make
    Punt
    0.6%−0.3
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:40TNTC 4th & 19 at TNTC 36, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.2
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:19TNTC 4th & 14 at TNTC 18, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:43TNTC 4th & 1 at TENN 26, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    0.5%−0.1
    64% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:33TENN 4th & 6 at TNTC 43, up 28
    Close callPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    99.3%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:42TNTC 4th & 20 at TNTC 10, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.3
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:29TNTC 4th & 1 at TNTC 49, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.2%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 14:54TNTC 4th & 10 at TNTC 35, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:36TNTC 4th & 15 at TENN 38, down 45
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    0.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:24TENN 4th & 5 at TNTC 40, up 45
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:06TNTC 4th & 3 at TENN 48, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:57TENN 4th & 12 at TNTC 24, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    68% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:57TNTC 4th & 1 at midfield, down 48
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:57TNTC 4th & 1 at TENN 35, down 48
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    -0.1%−0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:49TENN 4th & 2 at TENN 43, up 48
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    100.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:54TNTC 4th & 12 at TNTC 18, down 48
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:45TNTC 4th & 4 at TNTC 33, down 55
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TENN made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 14:03TENN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:46TENN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 5:26TENN Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 14:55TENN Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 4:23TENN Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 12:50TENN Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TENNDrive 1TD
4 plays · 46 yds · 0:57100% → 100%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+9
99.5%
John Kelly run for 9 yds to the TnTch 37Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 37
+7
99.5%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Josh Malone for 7 yds to the TnTch 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:03
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
99.5%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Josh Malone for 30 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNTCDrive 2DOWNS
10 plays · 52 yds · 1:311% → 1%
Q1 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
99.5%
Dontez Byrd run for a loss of 2 yards to the TnTch 18Similar
Q1 13:57
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+2
99.5%
Andrew Goldsmith run for 2 yds to the TnTch 20Similar
Q1 12:26
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+30
99.4%
Michael Birdsong pass complete to Dontez Byrd for 30 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:26
1ST & 10
50
+17
99.4%
Michael Birdsong pass complete to Dontez Byrd for 17 yds to the Tenn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:26
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
99.4%
Yeedee Thaenrat run for 3 yds to the Tenn 30Similar
Q1 12:26
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+2
99.4%
Yeedee Thaenrat run for 2 yds to the Tenn 28Similar
Q1 12:26
3RD & 5
OPP 28
0
99.4%
Michael Birdsong pass incomplete to Dontez ByrdSimilar
Q1 12:26
4TH & 5
OPP 28
0
99.4%
Michael Birdsong pass incomplete to Dontez ByrdSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 3TD
3 plays · 72 yds · 0:4399% → 99%
Q1 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+18
99.3%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Josh Malone for 18 yds to the Tenn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+11
99.3%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to John Kelly for 11 yds to the TnTch 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+43
99.3%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Josh Malone for 43 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNTCDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 4 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
99.3%
Dontez Byrd run for 3 yds to the TnTch 35Similar
Q1 8:40
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+10
99.3%
Michael Birdsong pass complete to Krys Cates for 10 yds to the TnTch 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
99.3%
Michael Birdsong pass complete to Yeedee Thaenrat for 1 yd to the TnTch 46Similar
Q1 8:40
2ND & 9
OWN 46
-10
99.3%
Austin Hicks sacked by LaTroy Lewis and Kendal Vickers for a loss of 10 yards to the TnTch 36Similar
Q1 8:40
3RD & 19
OWN 36
0
99.3%
Michael Birdsong pass incomplete to Austin HicksSimilar
Q1 8:40
4TH & 19
OWN 36
0
99.3%
Nick Madonia punt for 37 yds, downed at the Tenn 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 5TD
1 play · 73 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q1 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+73
99.4%
John Kelly run for 73 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNTCDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
99.4%
Yeedee Thaenrat run for 1 yd to the TnTch 23Similar
Q1 5:19
2ND & 9
OWN 23
0
99.4%
Michael Birdsong pass incomplete to Andrew Goldsmith, broken up by Todd Kelly Jr.Similar
Q1 5:19
3RD & 9
OWN 23
-5
99.4%
Michael Birdsong sacked by Corey Vereen for a loss of 5 yards to the TnTch 18Similar
Q1 5:19
4TH & 14
OWN 18
0
99.4%
Nick Madonia punt for 55 yds, downed at the Tenn 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 7TD
11 plays · 73 yds · 3:4599% → 100%
Q1 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
99.3%
Carlin Fils-Aime run for 5 yds to the Tenn 32Similar
Q1 3:40
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+4
99.3%
Carlin Fils-Aime run for 4 yds to the Tenn 36Similar
Q1 3:40
3RD & 1
OWN 36
-6
99.3%
TENNESSEE Penalty, false start (-6 Yards) to the Tenn 30Similar
Q1 3:40
3RD & 7
OWN 30
+21
99.3%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Brandon Johnson for 21 yds to the TnTch 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
99.4%
Joshua Dobbs run for 3 yds to the TnTch 46Similar
Q1 3:40
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+20
99.4%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Brandon Johnson for 20 yds to the TnTch 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+7
99.4%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Josh Smith for 7 yds to the TnTch 19Similar
Q1 3:40
2ND & 3
OPP 19
+2
99.4%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 2 yds to the TnTch 17Similar
Q1 3:40
3RD & 1
OPP 17
+12
99.4%
John Kelly run for 12 yds to the TnTch 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
99.4%
John Kelly run for 2 yds to the TnTch 3Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.6%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 3 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNTCDrive 8DOWNS
10 plays · 40 yds · 0:000% → 1%
Q2 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
99.6%
Michael Birdsong pass complete to Yeedee Thaenrat for 4 yds to the TnTch 37Similar
Q2 14:43
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+1
99.6%
Michael Birdsong pass complete to Dontez Byrd for 1 yd to the TnTch 38Similar
Q2 14:43
3RD & 5
OWN 38
+10
99.6%
Michael Birdsong pass complete to Krys Cates for 10 yds to the TnTch 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
99.6%
Andrew Goldsmith run for 6 yds to the Tenn 46Similar
Q2 14:43
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+11
99.6%
Andrew Goldsmith run for 11 yds to the Tenn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:43
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
99.6%
Michael Birdsong pass incomplete to Dontez ByrdSimilar
Q2 14:43
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+9
99.6%
Michael Birdsong run for 9 yds to the Tenn 26Similar
Q2 14:43
3RD & 1
OPP 26
0
99.6%
Michael Birdsong run for no gain to the Tenn 26Similar
Q2 14:43
4TH & 1
OPP 26
+2
99.5%
Yeedee Thaenrat run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tenn 27 Michael BirdsongSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 30 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q2 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
99.7%
John Kelly run for 4 yds to the Tenn 31Similar
Q2 9:33
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+22
99.7%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Jason Croom for 7 yds to the TnTch 38 for a 1ST down TENNESSEE TECH Penalty, illegal helmet contact (Randy Lewis) to the TnTch 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
99.7%
John Kelly run for 4 yds to the TnTch 43Similar
Q2 9:33
2ND & 6
OPP 43
0
99.7%
John Kelly run for no gain to the TnTch 43Similar
Q2 9:33
3RD & 6
OPP 43
0
99.7%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Tyler ByrdSimilar
Q2 9:33
4TH & 6
OPP 43
0
99.7%
Trevor Daniel punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNTCDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · -10 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
99.7%
Michael Birdsong pass complete to Krys Cates for 3 yds to the TnTch 23Similar
Q2 7:42
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
99.7%
Yeedee Thaenrat run for no gain to the TnTch 23Similar
Q2 7:42
3RD & 7
OWN 23
-13
99.7%
Michael Birdsong sacked by Dimarya Mixon for a loss of 13 yards to the TnTch 10Similar
Q2 7:42
4TH & 20
OWN 10
-2
99.8%
Nick Madonia punt for 50 yds , Josh Smith returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 11TD
5 plays · 62 yds · 1:19100% → 100%
Q2 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+14
99.7%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Josh Malone for 14 yds to the TnTch 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:42
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+33
99.7%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to Tyler Byrd for 33 yds to the TnTch 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
99.7%
Carlin Fils-Aime run for 5 yds to the TnTch 43Similar
Q2 5:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+8
99.7%
Carlin Fils-Aime run for 8 yds to the TnTch 2Similar
Q2 4:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.8%
Carlin Fils-Aime run for 2 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNTCDrive 12DOWNS
10 plays · 23 yds · 2:540% → 0%
Q2 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.8%
Michael Birdsong pass complete to Dontez Byrd for 2 yds to the TnTch 27Similar
Q2 4:23
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
99.8%
Michael Birdsong pass incomplete to Dontez Byrd, broken up by Micah AbernathySimilar
Q2 4:23
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+13
99.8%
Yeedee Thaenrat run for 13 yds to the TnTch 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
99.8%
Michael Birdsong pass complete to Dontez Byrd for 8 yds to the TnTch 48Similar
Q2 4:23
2ND & 2
OWN 48
-1
99.8%
Yeedee Thaenrat run for a loss of 1 yard to the TnTch 47Similar
Q2 1:43
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+2
99.8%
Yeedee Thaenrat run for 2 yds to the TnTch 49Similar
Q2 1:29
4TH & 1
OWN 49
-1
99.8%
Andrew Goldsmith run for a loss of 1 yard to the TnTch 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 13FG
12 plays · 47 yds · 1:22100% → 100%
Q2 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+15
99.8%
Dormady, Q. pass incomplete to Johnson, B. (Flemister, A.J.), PENALTY TTU pass interference (Flemister, A.J.) 15 yards to the TTU33, 1ST DOWN UT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
99.8%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to Tyler Byrd for 4 yds to the TnTch 29Similar
Q2 1:22
2ND & 6
OPP 29
-5
99.8%
TENNESSEE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the TnTch 34Similar
Q2 1:22
2ND & 11
OPP 34
0
99.8%
Quinten Dormady pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:22
3RD & 11
OPP 34
+11
99.8%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to Brandon Johnson for 11 yds to the TnTch 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+13
99.8%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to Marquez Callaway for 13 yds to the TnTch 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
99.8%
Quinten Dormady run for 3 yds to the TnTch 7Similar
Q2 1:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
99.8%
Dormady, Q. pass incomplete to Johnson, B. (Flemister, A.J.), PENALTY TTU pass interference (Flemister, A.J.) 5 yards to the TTU2, 1ST DOWN UT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
99.8%
Carlin Fils-Aime run for 1 yd to the TnTch 1Similar
Q2 0:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.8%
Quinten Dormady pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+19
99.9%
Aaron Medley 19 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNTCDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.8%
Michael Birdsong pass incomplete to Dontez Byrd, broken up by Emmanuel MoseleySimilar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+15
99.8%
Birdsong, M. sacked for loss of 15 yards to the TTU5 (Kongbo, J.), PENALTY UT face mask (Kongbo, J.) 15 yards to the TTU35, 1ST DOWN TTU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.8%
Michael Birdsong pass incomplete to Dontez ByrdSimilar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
99.8%
Michael Birdsong pass incomplete, broken up by Darrell TaylorSimilar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
99.8%
Michael Birdsong pass incomplete to Krys CatesSimilar
Q3 14:54
4TH & 10
OWN 35
+52
99.8%
Nick Madonia punt for 39 yds , Marquez Callaway returns for 52 yds to the TnTch 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 15TD
3 plays · 22 yds · 0:52100% → 100%
Q3 13:42
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
99.9%
Carlin Fils-Aime run for 1 yd to the TnTch 21Similar
Q3 13:42
2ND & 9
OPP 21
+20
99.9%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to Jeff George for 20 yds to the TnTch 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Carlin Fils-Aime run for 1 yd for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNTCDrive 16INT
16 plays · 37 yds · 7:140% → 0%
Q3 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
Dontez Byrd run for 2 yds to the TnTch 27Similar
Q3 12:50
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-5
99.9%
TENNESSEE TECH Penalty, false start (Jordan Giberti) to the TnTch 22Similar
Q3 12:50
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+12
99.9%
Andrew Goldsmith run for 12 yds to the TnTch 34Similar
Q3 12:50
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+5
99.9%
Andrew Goldsmith run for 5 yds to the TnTch 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-2
99.9%
Michael Birdsong sacked by Marquill Osborne for a loss of 2 yards to the TnTch 37Similar
Q3 12:50
2ND & 12
OWN 37
+15
99.9%
Birdsong, M. pass incomplete to Cunningham, J., PENALTY UT pass interference (Warrior, N.) 15 yards to the UT48, 1ST DOWN TTU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
99.8%
Michael Birdsong pass incomplete to Krys CatesSimilar
Q3 12:50
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+3
99.8%
Michael Birdsong pass complete to Josh Cunningham for 3 yds to the Tenn 45Similar
Q3 12:50
3RD & 7
OPP 45
+12
99.8%
Yeedee Thaenrat run for 12 yds to the Tenn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-5
99.8%
TENNESSEE TECH Penalty, false start (Jordan Giberti) to the Tenn 38Similar
Q3 12:50
1ST & 15
OPP 38
+3
99.8%
Yeedee Thaenrat run for 3 yds to the Tenn 35Similar
Q3 12:50
2ND & 12
OPP 35
0
99.8%
Yeedee Thaenrat run for no gain to the Tenn 35Similar
Q3 12:50
3RD & 12
OPP 35
-3
99.8%
Yeedee Thaenrat run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tenn 38Similar
Q3 5:36
4TH & 15
OPP 38
+18
100.0%
Michael Birdsong pass intercepted Cortez McDowell return for 18 yds to the Tenn 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
99.9%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to Brandon Johnson for 8 yds to the Tenn 48Similar
Q3 5:24
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+7
99.9%
Jeremy Lewis run for 7 yds to the TnTch 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:24
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
99.9%
Jeremy Lewis run for 1 yd to the TnTch 44Similar
Q3 5:24
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+4
99.9%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to Brandon Johnson for 4 yds to the TnTch 40Similar
Q3 5:24
3RD & 5
OPP 40
0
99.9%
Quinten Dormady pass incomplete to Brandon JohnsonSimilar
Q3 5:24
4TH & 5
OPP 40
0
99.9%
Trevor Daniel punt for 37 yds, downed at the TnTch 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNTCDrive 18DOWNS
9 plays · 48 yds · 1:420% → 0%
Q3 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+13
100.0%
Michael Birdsong pass complete to Dontez Byrd for 13 yds to the TnTch 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
100.0%
Michael Birdsong pass incomplete to Krys CatesSimilar
Q3 2:48
2ND & 10
OWN 16
0
100.0%
Michael Birdsong pass incomplete to Dontez ByrdSimilar
Q3 2:48
3RD & 10
OWN 16
+29
100.0%
Michael Birdsong pass complete to Dontez Byrd for 29 yds to the TnTch 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
100.0%
Michael Birdsong pass incomplete to Adam SwayzeSimilar
Q3 1:06
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
100.0%
Michael Birdsong pass incomplete to Krys CatesSimilar
Q3 1:06
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+7
100.0%
Michael Birdsong pass complete to Yeedee Thaenrat for 7 yds to the Tenn 48Similar
Q3 1:06
4TH & 3
OPP 48
-1
100.0%
Dontez Byrd run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 19FG
9 plays · 27 yds · 3:09100% → 100%
Q3 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+12
99.9%
Jeremy Lewis run for 12 yds to the TnTch 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
99.9%
Jeremy Lewis run for 1 yd to the TnTch 38Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 38
+8
99.9%
Jeremy Lewis run for 8 yds to the TnTch 30Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+8
99.9%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to Jakob Johnson for 8 yds to the TnTch 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+8
99.9%
Quinten Dormady pass complete to Eli Wolf for 8 yds to the TnTch 14Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 14
-15
99.9%
TENNESSEE Penalty, personal foul (Jakob Johnson) to the TnTch 29Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 17
OPP 29
+5
99.9%
Jeremy Lewis run for 5 yds to the TnTch 24Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 24
0
99.9%
Quinten Dormady pass incomplete to Marquez CallawaySimilar
Q4 11:57
4TH & 12
OPP 24
+42
100.0%
Aaron Medley 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNTCDrive 20DOWNS
10 plays · 40 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
100.0%
Michael Birdsong pass complete to Dontez Byrd for 16 yds to the TnTch 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
100.0%
Michael Birdsong pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:57
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+4
100.0%
Yeedee Thaenrat run for 4 yds to the TnTch 45Similar
Q4 11:57
3RD & 6
OWN 45
+5
100.0%
Michael Birdsong pass complete to Jordan Smith for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 11:57
4TH & 1
50
+6
100.0%
Michael Birdsong run for 6 yds to the Tenn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:57
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
100.0%
Michael Birdsong pass complete to Dontez Byrd for 5 yds to the Tenn 39Similar
Q4 11:57
3RD & 5
OPP 39
+4
100.0%
Andrew Goldsmith run for 4 yds to the Tenn 35Similar
Q4 11:57
4TH & 1
OPP 35
0
100.0%
Yeedee Thaenrat run for no gain to the Tenn 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
100.0%
Jeremy Lewis run for 4 yds to the Tenn 39Similar
Q4 6:49
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+2
100.0%
Michael Lacey run for 2 yds to the Tenn 41Similar
Q4 6:49
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+2
100.0%
Sheriron Jones pass complete to Jakob Johnson for 2 yds to the Tenn 43Similar
Q4 6:49
4TH & 2
OWN 43
0
100.0%
Trevor Daniel punt for 57 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNTCDrive 22PUNT RETURN TD
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:580% → 0%
Q4 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
100.0%
Dorian Carter run for a loss of 1 yard to the TnTch 19Similar
Q4 4:52
2ND & 11
OWN 19
-1
100.0%
Colby Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the TnTch 18Similar
Q4 4:52
3RD & 12
OWN 18
0
100.0%
Colby Brown pass incomplete to Darrius Stafford, broken up by Devin WilliamsSimilar
Q4 2:54
4TH & 12
OWN 18
+62
100.0%
Nick Madonia punt for 44 yds , Marquez Callaway returns for 62 yds for a TD, (Holden Foster KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNTCDrive 23DOWNS
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
100.0%
Jake Warwick run for 5 yds to the TnTch 32Similar
Q4 2:45
2ND & 5
OWN 32
0
100.0%
Dorian Carter run for no gain to the TnTch 32Similar
Q4 2:45
3RD & 5
OWN 32
+1
100.0%
Jake Warwick run for 1 yd to the TnTch 33Similar
Q4 2:45
4TH & 4
OWN 33
-5
100.0%
Roderick Napper run for a loss of 5 yards to the TnTch 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 14:55
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 3 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK)
+0.3
TD · Q1 5:26
John Kelly run for 73 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK)
+0.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com