Try the model
MIZ

Missouri 21 at South Carolina 31

SC
2016 · Week 10 · Nov 5, 2016 · Williams-Brice Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · SC
modelSC aheadMIZ aheadconfidence bandkey playSC scoreMIZ score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:29 · TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 18
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+26.0+13.00−13.0−26.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:55: Damarea Crockett run for 29 yds for a TD, (Turner Adams KICK) — MIZ win probability +7.3 pts (now 41%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:01: Ish Witter run for 25 yds for a TD, (Turner Adams KICK) — MIZ win probability +12.6 pts (now 45%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 2:59: Jake Bentley pass complete to K.C. Crosby for 6 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK) — SC win probability +8.1 pts (now 73%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 12:34: Drew Lock pass complete to Kendall Blanton for 9 yds for a TD, (Turner Adams KICK) — MIZ win probability +14.7 pts (now 48%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 3:24: Rico Dowdle run for 20 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK) — SC win probability +15.7 pts (now 81%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SC made the numbers' call on 6 of 9MIZ made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00SC 4th & 5 at SC 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.5%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:16MIZ 4th & 5 at SC 43, tied
    Close callPunted · 35.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.7%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    35.6%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    35.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 12:14SC 4th & 2 at MIZ 44, tied
    Close callPunted · 64.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    64.4%−0.2
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    64.5%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:25MIZ 4th & 6 at MIZ 18, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.8%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.9%
    average punt
  5. Q1 6:05SC 4th & 20 at SC 23, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.9%−0.8
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.7%
    average punt
  6. Q1 4:12MIZ 4th & 6 at SC 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 33.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    33.0%−0.2
    40% to make
    Punt
    32.9%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 15:00SC 4th & 13 at SC 49, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.2%−0.7
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 12:55SC 4th & 1 at MIZ 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 64.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    63.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    63.1%−0.7
    74% to make
    Punt
    61.0%−2.9
    average punt
  9. Q2 8:39MIZ 4th & 6 at SC 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    30.9%−0.4
    45% to make
    Punt
    30.3%−1.1
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:47MIZ 4th & 17 at MIZ 18, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.8%−2.6
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:18SC 4th & 1 at MIZ 28, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 62.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.5%−3.2
    60% to make
    Punt
    52.1%−10.6
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:18MIZ 4th & 1 at SC 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 43.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    43.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    38.1%−5.7
    27% to make
    Punt
    40.1%−3.7
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:24MIZ 4th & 5 at MIZ 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.7%−1.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00SC 4th & 11 at SC 20, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.2%−2.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.5%
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:04MIZ 4th & 5 at SC 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 20.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.1%−0.8
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.0%
    64% to make
    Punt
    10.0%−10.0
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:35SC 4th & 1 at MIZ 6, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.0 ptsKicked a field goal · 87.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.9%
    69% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.9%−4.0
    91% to make
    Punt
    74.3%−13.6
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:49MIZ 4th & 9 at SC 14, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 8.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.5%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.9%
    84% to make
    Punt
    5.6%−3.3
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:17SC 4th & 5 at SC 25, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.9%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.3%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SC made the numbers' call on 4 of 4MIZ made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 7:25SC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:55MIZ Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:39SC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:01MIZ Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:59SC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 12:34MIZ Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 3:24SC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SCDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0063% → 63%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
63.2%
Rico Dowdle run for no gain to the SCaro 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
63.2%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Rico Dowdle for 4 yds to the SCaro 29Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+1
63.2%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Hayden Hurst for 1 yd to the SCaro 30Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+6
63.2%
Sean Kelly punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Misso 32 , Johnathon Johnson returns for 6 yds to the Misso 32 Johnathon Johnson fumbled, recovered by Misso Johnathon JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 25 yds · 0:0037% → 37%
Q1 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+20
63.1%
Drew Lock pass complete to Sean Culkin for 20 yds to the SCaro 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:16
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
63.0%
Drew Lock pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:16
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+5
63.0%
Drew Lock pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 5 yds to the SCaro 43Similar
Q1 13:16
3RD & 5
OPP 43
0
63.0%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Sean CulkinSimilar
Q1 13:16
4TH & 5
OPP 43
0
63.1%
Corey Fatony punt for 25 yds, downed at the SCaro 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 38 yds · 0:0063% → 63%
Q1 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+16
63.1%
Jake Bentley run for 1 yd to the SCaro 19 for a 1ST down MISSOURI Penalty, personal foul (Cale Garrett) to the SCaro 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
63.2%
Rico Dowdle run for 3 yds to the SCaro 37Similar
Q1 12:14
2ND & 7
OWN 37
-1
63.3%
Rico Dowdle run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 36Similar
Q1 12:14
3RD & 8
OWN 36
+12
63.1%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Deebo Samuel for 12 yds to the SCaro 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
63.4%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Hayden HurstSimilar
Q1 12:14
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+5
63.3%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 5 yds to the Misso 47Similar
Q1 12:14
3RD & 5
OPP 47
+3
63.4%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Deebo Samuel for 3 yds to the Misso 44Similar
Q1 12:14
4TH & 2
OPP 44
0
63.3%
Sean Kelly punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Johnathon Johnson at the Misso 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 4FUMBLE
1 play · 11 yds · 0:0037% → 37%
Q1 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+9
63.0%
Drew Lock pass complete to Dimetrios Mason for 9 yds Dimetrios Mason fumbled, forced by Steven Montac, recovered by SCaro Chris LammonsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 5TD
4 plays · 20 yds · 1:3064% → 66%
Q1 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+9
63.8%
Rico Dowdle run for 9 yds to the Misso 11Similar
Q1 8:55
2ND & 1
OPP 11
0
63.8%
Rico Dowdle run for no gain to the Misso 11Similar
Q1 8:55
3RD & 1
OPP 11
+5
63.5%
Rico Dowdle run for 5 yds to the Misso 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
66.3%
Deebo Samuel run for 6 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:0035% → 34%
Q1 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+6
65.5%
Marvin Zanders run for 6 yds to the Misso 20Similar
Q1 7:25
2ND & 4
OWN 20
-13
65.4%
Drew Lock sacked by Bryson Allen-Williams for a loss of 13 yards to the Misso 7Similar
Q1 7:25
3RD & 17
OWN 7
+5
65.9%
Drew Lock pass complete to J'Mon Moore for 5 yds to the Misso 12Similar
Q1 7:25
4TH & 12
OWN 12
+6
66.0%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, substitution infraction (6 Yards) to the Misso 18Similar
Q1 7:25
4TH & 6
OWN 18
0
66.0%
Corey Fatony punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SCaro 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -10 yds · 0:0066% → 65%
Q1 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
66.0%
A.J. Turner run for 4 yds to the SCaro 37Similar
Q1 6:05
2ND & 6
OWN 37
-5
66.4%
A.J. Turner run for a loss of 5 yards to the SCaro 32Similar
Q1 6:05
3RD & 11
OWN 32
-9
65.6%
Jake Bentley sacked by Charles Harris for a loss of 9 yards to the SCaro 23Similar
Q1 6:05
4TH & 20
OWN 23
+13
65.2%
Sean Kelly punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Misso 48 , Johnathon Johnson returns for 13 yds to the Misso 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 8DOWNS
5 plays · 15 yds · 0:0035% → 34%
Q1 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+11
65.4%
Drew Lock pass complete to J'Mon Moore for 11 yds to the SCaro 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
65.2%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to J'Mon MooreSimilar
Q1 4:12
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+3
65.2%
Drew Lock pass complete to Dimetrios Mason for 3 yds to the SCaro 38Similar
Q1 4:12
3RD & 7
OPP 38
+1
65.4%
Drew Lock run for 1 yd to the SCaro 37Similar
Q1 4:12
4TH & 6
OPP 37
0
65.9%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to J'Mon Moore, broken up by Jamarcus KingSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 2:3667% → 67%
Q1 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
67.1%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Deebo Samuel for 16 yds to the SOCAROLINA 47 SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive holding (Bryan Edwards) to the SCaro 43Similar
Q1 2:36
1ST & 4
OWN 43
+2
67.6%
Rico Dowdle run for 2 yds to the SCaro 45Similar
Q1 2:36
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+7
67.7%
Rico Dowdle run for 7 yds to the Misso 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:36
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
67.7%
Rico Dowdle run for 3 yds to the Misso 45Similar
Q1 2:36
2ND & 7
OPP 45
-5
67.7%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, false start (Bryan Edwards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 2:36
2ND & 12
50
0
67.2%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Rico DowdleSimilar
Q1 2:36
3RD & 12
50
-1
66.7%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Rico Dowdle for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 49Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 13
OWN 49
0
66.5%
Sean Kelly punt for 41 yds , Johnathon Johnson returns for no gain to the Misso 10 Johnathon Johnson fumbled, recovered by Misso Johnathon JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 10TD
7 plays · 90 yds · 1:5633% → 41%
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+9
67.1%
Damarea Crockett run for 9 yds to the Misso 19Similar
Q2 14:51
2ND & 1
OWN 19
+4
66.8%
Damarea Crockett run for 4 yds to the Misso 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
67.0%
Damarea Crockett run for 3 yds to the Misso 26Similar
Q2 14:51
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+6
66.8%
Drew Lock pass complete to Kendall Blanton for 6 yds to the Misso 32Similar
Q2 14:51
3RD & 1
OWN 32
+12
66.8%
Drew Lock run for 12 yds to the Misso 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+27
66.1%
Drew Lock pass complete to Dimetrios Mason for 27 yds to the SCaro 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
58.8%
Damarea Crockett run for 29 yds for a TD, (Turner Adams KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 11TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:1662% → 70%
Q2 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
62.3%
Rico Dowdle run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 24Similar
Q2 12:55
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+14
62.2%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Hayden Hurst for 14 yds to the SCaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
63.0%
A.J. Turner run for 3 yds to the SCaro 41Similar
Q2 12:55
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+29
63.5%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 29 yds to the Misso 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
64.5%
A.J. Turner run for 2 yds to the Misso 28Similar
Q2 12:55
2ND & 8
OPP 28
0
64.5%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Bryan EdwardsSimilar
Q2 12:55
3RD & 8
OPP 28
+7
63.8%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 7 yds to the Misso 21Similar
Q2 12:55
4TH & 1
OPP 21
+3
63.0%
Rico Dowdle run for 3 yds to the Misso 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
64.5%
Rico Dowdle run for 1 yd to the Misso 17Similar
Q2 12:55
2ND & 9
OPP 17
0
64.5%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to K.C. CrosbySimilar
Q2 8:39
3RD & 9
OPP 17
+17
70.4%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Rico Dowdle for 17 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 12TD
9 plays · 70 yds · 2:3832% → 45%
Q2 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
68.5%
Ish Witter run for 4 yds to the Misso 34Similar
Q2 8:39
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+4
68.1%
Ish Witter run for 4 yds to the Misso 38Similar
Q2 8:39
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+23
67.5%
Drew Lock run for 8 yds to the SCaro 46 for a 1ST down SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, personal foul (Chris Lammons) to the SCaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:39
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
66.8%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Dimetrios MasonSimilar
Q2 8:39
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+4
66.8%
Ish Witter run for 4 yds to the SCaro 35Similar
Q2 8:39
3RD & 6
OPP 35
0
67.0%
Ish Witter run for no gain to the SCaro 35Similar
Q2 8:39
4TH & 6
OPP 35
+10
68.0%
Drew Lock pass complete to J'Mon Moore for 10 yds to the SCaro 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:01
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
55.5%
Ish Witter run for 25 yds for a TD, (Turner Adams KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 13TD
10 plays · 65 yds · 3:0262% → 73%
Q2 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
62.2%
A.J. Turner run for 4 yds to the SCaro 39Similar
Q2 6:01
2ND & 6
OWN 39
0
63.7%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Bryan EdwardsSimilar
Q2 6:01
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+9
62.1%
Jake Bentley run for 9 yds to the SCaro 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+12
63.9%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Deebo Samuel for 12 yds to the Misso 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:01
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
64.4%
MISSOURI Penalty, Defensive offside (Charles Harris) to the Misso 35Similar
Q2 6:01
1ST & 5
OPP 35
+34
64.9%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Chavis Dawkins for 34 yds to the Misso 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
64.9%
A.J. Turner run for no gain to the Misso 1Similar
Q2 6:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
64.9%
Jake Bentley sacked by Cam Hilton for a loss of 5 yards to the Misso 6Similar
Q2 2:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
73.0%
Jake Bentley pass complete to K.C. Crosby for 6 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 1:1229% → 28%
Q2 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
70.6%
Damarea Crockett run for 1 yd to the Misso 26Similar
Q2 2:59
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
70.6%
Damarea Crockett run for no gain to the Misso 26Similar
Q2 2:59
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-8
71.4%
Drew Lock sacked by Jonathan Walton and D.J. Wonnum for a loss of 8 yards to the Misso 18Similar
Q2 1:47
4TH & 17
OWN 18
0
72.1%
Corey Fatony punt for 55 yds, downed at the SCaro 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 15END OF HALF
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:4771% → 73%
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-3
71.1%
Jake Bentley run for a loss of 3 yards to the SCaro 24Similar
Q2 1:34
2ND & 13
OWN 24
+6
70.5%
David Williams run for 6 yds to the SCaro 30Similar
Q2 0:52
3RD & 7
OWN 30
+12
71.1%
David Williams run for 12 yds to the SCaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-7
72.8%
Jake Bentley sacked by Charles Harris for a loss of 7 yards to the SCaro 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 16TD
10 plays · 72 yds · 2:2629% → 48%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
70.9%
Drew Lock pass complete to J'Mon Moore for 7 yds to the Misso 35Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 35
0
69.5%
Drew Lock run for no gain to the Misso 35Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+12
68.6%
Drew Lock pass complete to J'Mon Moore for 12 yds to the SCaro 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 15
OPP 35
+16
68.3%
Ish Witter run for 16 yds to the SCaro 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+8
66.9%
Ish Witter run for 8 yds to the SCaro 11Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 11
+2
66.9%
Ish Witter run for 2 yds to the SCaro 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 35
+23
70.9%
Drew Lock pass complete to Sean Culkin for 23 yds to the SCaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-5
67.3%
MISSOURI Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SCaro 35Similar
Q3 12:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
52.5%
Drew Lock pass complete to Kendall Blanton for 9 yds for a TD, (Turner Adams KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 17MISSED FG
8 plays · 37 yds · 3:1661% → 62%
Q3 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
61.2%
Rico Dowdle run for 4 yds to the SCaro 39Similar
Q3 12:34
2ND & 6
OWN 39
-4
63.2%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Deebo Samuel for a loss of 4 yards to the SCaro 35Similar
Q3 12:34
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+28
59.4%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Deebo Samuel for 28 yds to the Misso 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
64.2%
Rico Dowdle run for 5 yds to the Misso 32Similar
Q3 12:34
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+2
64.9%
Rico Dowdle run for 2 yds to the Misso 30Similar
Q3 12:34
3RD & 3
OPP 30
+2
63.7%
Jake Bentley run for 2 yds to the Misso 28Similar
Q3 9:18
4TH & 1
OPP 28
+46
62.2%
Elliott Fry 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 18INT
6 plays · 30 yds · 0:0043% → 47%
Q3 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+19
56.7%
Drew Lock pass complete to Kendall Blanton for 19 yds to the Misso 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
53.8%
Damarea Crockett run for 8 yds to the SCaro 45Similar
Q3 9:18
2ND & 2
OPP 45
+1
52.9%
Damarea Crockett run for 1 yd to the SCaro 44Similar
Q3 9:18
3RD & 1
OPP 44
0
53.2%
Damarea Crockett run for no gain to the SCaro 44Similar
Q3 9:18
4TH & 1
OPP 44
+2
55.5%
Josh Augusta run for 2 yds to the SCaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
53.4%
Drew Lock pass intercepted Rashad Fenton return for no gain to the SCaro 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 19TD
9 plays · 98 yds · 3:3960% → 81%
Q3 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+4
59.6%
Rico Dowdle run for 4 yds to the SCaro 6Similar
Q3 7:03
2ND & 6
OWN 6
+18
59.4%
Rico Dowdle run for 18 yds to the SCaro 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
60.1%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Hayden Hurst for 5 yds to the SCaro 29Similar
Q3 7:03
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+22
60.9%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Deebo Samuel for 22 yds to the Misso 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
64.0%
David Williams run for 2 yds to the Misso 47Similar
Q3 7:03
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+2
64.2%
Jake Bentley pass complete to David Williams for 2 yds to the Misso 45Similar
Q3 7:03
3RD & 6
OPP 45
+25
63.4%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Deebo Samuel for 25 yds to the Misso 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
65.3%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Deebo SamuelSimilar
Q3 3:24
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+20
81.0%
Rico Dowdle run for 20 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0026% → 24%
Q3 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
74.2%
Ish Witter run for 5 yds to the Misso 33Similar
Q3 3:24
2ND & 5
OWN 33
0
73.4%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to J'Mon MooreSimilar
Q3 3:24
3RD & 5
OWN 33
0
74.7%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to J'Mon MooreSimilar
Q3 3:24
4TH & 5
OWN 33
+57
75.8%
Corey Fatony punt for 57 yds, downed at the SOCAROLINA 10 MISSOURI Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the SCaro 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 10 yds · 2:3079% → 81%
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+11
79.3%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Deebo Samuel for 11 yds to the SCaro 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
79.5%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 6 yds to the SCaro 27Similar
Q3 2:30
2ND & 4
OWN 27
0
80.0%
Rico Dowdle run for no gain to the SCaro 27Similar
Q3 2:30
3RD & 4
OWN 27
-7
78.8%
Jake Bentley sacked by Brandon Lee for a loss of 7 yards to the SCaro 20Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 11
OWN 20
+5
81.1%
Sean Kelly punt for 47 yds , Chris Black returns for 5 yds to the Misso 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 22MISSED FG
7 plays · 36 yds · 2:4324% → 21%
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
75.8%
Drew Lock run for 5 yds to the Misso 43Similar
Q4 14:47
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+14
74.5%
Damarea Crockett run for 14 yds to the SCaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+12
73.4%
Damarea Crockett run for 12 yds to the SCaro 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-3
71.6%
Drew Lock pass complete to Dimetrios Mason for a loss of 3 yards to the SCaro 34Similar
Q4 14:47
2ND & 13
OPP 34
+8
73.0%
Drew Lock pass complete to Kendall Blanton for 8 yds to the SCaro 26Similar
Q4 14:47
3RD & 5
OPP 26
0
73.0%
Drew Lock pass incomplete, broken up by Taylor StallworthSimilar
Q4 12:04
4TH & 5
OPP 26
+44
79.2%
Turner Adams 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 23FG
9 plays · 68 yds · 4:2985% → 90%
Q4 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+23
84.9%
Rico Dowdle run for 23 yds to the SCaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+11
86.6%
Rico Dowdle run for 11 yds to the Misso 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+14
86.8%
Rico Dowdle run for 14 yds to the Misso 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+7
87.1%
Jake Bentley run for 7 yds to the Misso 19Similar
Q4 12:04
2ND & 3
OPP 19
+4
87.1%
David Williams run for 4 yds to the Misso 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+7
87.1%
Rico Dowdle run for 7 yds to the Misso 8Similar
Q4 12:04
2ND & 3
OPP 8
+2
87.1%
Rico Dowdle run for 2 yds to the Misso 6Similar
Q4 12:04
3RD & 1
OPP 6
0
86.2%
Rico Dowdle run for no gain to the Misso 6Similar
Q4 7:35
4TH & 1
OPP 6
+24
89.5%
Elliott Fry 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 24MISSED FG
9 plays · 61 yds · 2:4610% → 9%
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+37
90.2%
Drew Lock pass complete to Richaud Floyd for 37 yds to the SCaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
87.7%
Drew Lock pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:35
2ND & 10
OPP 38
-10
87.6%
Eric Laurent run for a loss of 10 yards to the SCaro 48Similar
Q4 7:35
3RD & 20
OPP 48
+33
89.8%
Drew Lock pass complete to Chris Black for 33 yds to the SCaro 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
86.2%
Damarea Crockett run for 4 yds to the SCaro 11Similar
Q4 7:35
2ND & 6
OPP 11
-3
86.2%
Damarea Crockett run for a loss of 3 yards to the SCaro 14Similar
Q4 7:35
3RD & 9
OPP 14
0
87.9%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Kendall BlantonSimilar
Q4 4:49
4TH & 9
OPP 14
+31
91.0%
Tucker McCann 31 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:3292% → 93%
Q4 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
91.5%
Deebo Samuel run for 1 yd to the SCaro 21Similar
Q4 4:49
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+7
91.4%
Rico Dowdle run for 7 yds to the SCaro 28Similar
Q4 4:49
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+1
91.8%
Rico Dowdle run for 1 yd to the SCaro 29Similar
Q4 3:17
4TH & 1
OWN 29
-4
93.6%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, false start (Bryson Allen-Williams) to the SCaro 25Similar
Q4 3:17
4TH & 5
OWN 25
+63
93.1%
Sean Kelly punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Chris Black at the SOCAROLINA 22 MISSOURI Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the Misso 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 26INT
18 plays · 64 yds · 1:115% → 4%
Q4 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
95.4%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to J'Mon Moore, broken up by Jamarcus KingSimilar
Q4 3:09
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+9
95.3%
Ish Witter run for 9 yds to the Misso 21Similar
Q4 3:09
3RD & 1
OWN 21
+3
95.1%
Ish Witter run for 3 yds to the Misso 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+8
95.2%
Drew Lock pass complete to Dimetrios Mason for 8 yds to the Misso 32Similar
Q4 3:09
2ND & 2
OWN 32
+1
94.4%
Drew Lock run for 1 yd to the Misso 33Similar
Q4 1:58
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+19
96.1%
Drew Lock pass complete to Dimetrios Mason for 19 yds to the SCaro 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
95.6%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Dimetrios MasonSimilar
Q4 1:58
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+5
95.8%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive offside (Kelsey Griffin) to the SCaro 43Similar
Q4 1:58
2ND & 5
OPP 43
-3
95.4%
Drew Lock sacked by Keir Thomas for a loss of 3 yards to the SCaro 46Similar
Q4 1:58
3RD & 8
OPP 46
+12
95.9%
Drew Lock pass complete to Dimetrios Mason for 12 yds to the SCaro 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
94.9%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to J'Mon MooreSimilar
Q4 1:58
2ND & 10
OPP 34
0
95.0%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Kendall Blanton, broken up by T.J. HollomanSimilar
Q4 1:58
3RD & 10
OPP 34
+11
95.7%
Drew Lock pass complete to Dimetrios Mason for 11 yds to the SCaro 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-10
94.7%
Lock, Drew pass incomplete to Mason, D, QB hurry by D.J. Wonnum, PENALTY MU holding (Bailey, Samson) 10 yards to the SC33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:58
1ST & 20
OPP 33
+9
95.2%
Drew Lock pass complete to J'Mon Moore for 9 yds to the SCaro 24Similar
Q4 1:58
2ND & 11
OPP 24
0
94.9%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Eric LaurentSimilar
Q4 1:58
3RD & 11
OPP 24
0
95.7%
Drew Lock pass intercepted, touchback. Chris Moody return for no gain MISSOURI Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 27END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
96.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 3:24
Rico Dowdle run for 20 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK)
+15.7
TD · Q3 12:34
Drew Lock pass complete to Kendall Blanton for 9 yds for a TD, (Turner Adams KICK)
-14.7
TD · Q2 6:01
Ish Witter run for 25 yds for a TD, (Turner Adams KICK)
-12.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com