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TENN

Tennessee 21 at South Carolina 24

SC
2016 · Week 9 · Oct 29, 2016 · Williams-Brice Stadium
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Win probability · SC
modelSC aheadTENN aheadconfidence bandkey playSC scoreTENN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 14:52 · Sean Kelly punt for 38 yds, downed at the SOCAROLINA 26 TENNESSEE Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Tenn 16
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+35.0+17.50−17.5−35.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 126Pregame prior−10.6Home team on offense+4.3Garbage-time factor+0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.7Score differential+0.7Blowout margin−1.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:46: Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 17 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK) — SC win probability +5.0 pts (now 31%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 1:35: Elliott Fry kickoff for 65 yds , Evan Berry return for 100 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK) — TENN win probability +23.3 pts (now 52%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 11:20: Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 5 yds to the Tenn 45 — SC win probability +11.6 pts (now 65%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:54: Jake Bentley pass complete to K.C. Crosby for 35 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK) — SC win probability +16.2 pts (now 84%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:03: Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 6 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK) — TENN win probability +29.8 pts (now 49%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SC made the numbers' call on 9 of 11TENN made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 11:45SC 4th & 2 at TENN 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    20.9%−0.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    20.9%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:00TENN 4th & 21 at TENN 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.8%−0.5
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:31SC 4th & 2 at SC 14, up 7
    Close callPunted · 26.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.4%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:00SC 4th & 6 at SC 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.2%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:26TENN 4th & 9 at TENN 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.3%−0.8
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:48SC 4th & 21 at SC 16, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.9%−2.1
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:44TENN 4th & 13 at TENN 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.5%−1.6
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:49SC 4th & 12 at SC 18, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.2%−2.0
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:49TENN 4th & 2 at SC 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 56.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    56.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    55.1%−1.3
    56% to make
    Punt
    53.0%−3.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:05TENN 4th & 3 at midfield, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.8 ptsPunted · 51.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.1%−1.8
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:32SC 4th & 11 at TENN 42, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.3%−0.7
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    57.9%−1.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    58.9%
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:43TENN 4th & 10 at TENN 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.0%−1.9
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.9%
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:49SC 4th & 10 at TENN 10, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 69.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.8%−1.9
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.7%
    88% to make
    Punt
    57.7%−11.0
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:52SC 4th & 15 at SC 36, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.4%−5.6
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:01TENN 4th & 11 at TENN 15, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.9%−3.7
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.5%
    average punt
  16. Q4 12:31SC 4th & 7 at SC 38, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.4%−1.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.7%
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:50SC 4th & 9 at SC 40, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.7%−3.0
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.7%
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:35SC 4th & 8 at TENN 40, up 3
    Numbers favored field goal by 3.3 ptsPunted · 92.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.2%−0.7
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    92.9%
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    89.6%−3.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SC made the numbers' call on 3 of 3TENN made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 10:30SC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:50TENN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:46SC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 1:35TENN Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.2%−0.3
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 9:54SC Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.1%−0.5
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 7:03TENN Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.4%−0.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SCDrive 1TD
11 plays · 73 yds · 4:2015% → 19%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
15.1%
Rico Dowdle run for 7 yds to the SCaro 34Similar
Q1 14:05
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+19
15.5%
Rico Dowdle run for 4 yds to the Tenn 38 for a 1ST down TENNESSEE Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Tenn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:37
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
15.8%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Bryan EdwardsSimilar
Q1 13:30
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+4
15.8%
Rico Dowdle run for 4 yds to the Tenn 43Similar
Q1 12:55
3RD & 6
OPP 43
+5
16.2%
Bentley, Jake rush for 3 yards to the TENNESSEE40, PENALTY TENNESSEE offside (Barnett, Derek) 5 yards to the TENNESSEE38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:25
3RD & 1
OPP 38
-1
16.4%
Brandon McIlwain run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 39Similar
Q1 11:45
4TH & 2
OPP 39
+16
16.7%
Jake Bentley run for 16 yds to the Tenn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+21
17.2%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Deebo Samuel for 21 yds to the Tenn 2 for a 1ST down TENNESSEE Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Baylen Buchanan) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
17.4%
Rico Dowdle run for 1 yd to the Tenn 1Similar
Q1 10:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
18.6%
Rico Dowdle run for 1 yd for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 2PUNT
12 plays · 17 yds · 3:2582% → 79%
Q1 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
18.2%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Josh Malone for 8 yds to the Tenn 33Similar
Q1 9:55
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
18.4%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Josh Smith for 1 yd to the Tenn 34Similar
Q1 9:46
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+5
18.6%
Jalen Hurd run for 5 yds to the Tenn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-10
18.9%
Byrd, Tyler rush for 1 yard to the TENNESSEE40, PENALTY TENNESSEE illegal block 10 yards to the TENNESSEE29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:00
1ST & 20
OWN 29
+17
19.3%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to John Kelly for 17 yds to the Tenn 46Similar
Q1 8:45
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+7
19.2%
John Kelly run for 7 yds to the SCaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-15
19.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 15 yards to the Tenn 38 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Tenn Joshua DobbsSimilar
Q1 7:45
2ND & 25
OWN 38
+4
20.3%
Joshua Dobbs run for 4 yds to the Tenn 42Similar
Q1 7:12
3RD & 21
OWN 42
0
20.8%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Tyler ByrdSimilar
Q1 7:00
4TH & 21
OWN 42
0
21.2%
Trevor Daniel punt for 52 yds, downed at the SCaro 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:1921% → 22%
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+3
20.8%
Rico Dowdle run for 3 yds to the SCaro 9Similar
Q1 6:10
2ND & 7
OWN 9
+5
21.3%
Rico Dowdle run for 5 yds to the SCaro 14Similar
Q1 5:42
3RD & 2
OWN 14
0
21.6%
Brandon McIlwain pass incomplete to Hayden HurstSimilar
Q1 5:31
4TH & 2
OWN 14
0
21.5%
Sean Kelly punt for 39 yds, downed at the Tenn 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 4TD
11 plays · 53 yds · 3:2078% → 80%
Q1 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
21.7%
Jalen Hurd run for 4 yds to the SCaro 49Similar
Q1 4:55
2ND & 6
OPP 49
0
21.8%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Ethan WolfSimilar
Q1 4:45
3RD & 6
OPP 49
+21
22.0%
Joshua Dobbs run for 31 yds to the SCaro 18 for a 1ST down TENNESSEE Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the SCaro 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+14
21.5%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Chris Lammons) to the SCaro 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+8
21.6%
Tyler Byrd run for 8 yds to the SCaro 6Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 2
OPP 6
0
21.9%
John Kelly run for no gain to the SCaro 6Similar
Q1 3:15
3RD & 2
OPP 6
+1
23.0%
Joshua Dobbs run for 1 yd to the SCaro 5Similar
Q1 3:00
4TH & 1
OPP 5
+3
23.5%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive Offside (3 Yards) to the SCaro 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
22.8%
Jalen Hurd run for 1 yd to the SCaro 1Similar
Q1 2:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
23.1%
Jalen Hurd run for no gain to the SCaro 1Similar
Q1 1:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
20.2%
Jalen Hurd run for 1 yd for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 1:4322% → 23%
Q1 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
22.0%
Bentley, Jake pass incomplete to Samuel, Deebo, PENALTY TENNESSEE pass interference (Buchanan, Baylen) 15 yards to the SOCAROLINA40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SOCAROLINA.Similar
Q1 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
22.8%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Deebo Samuel for 5 yds to the SCaro 45Similar
Q1 1:00
2ND & 5
OWN 45
-1
23.4%
Rico Dowdle run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 44Similar
Q1 0:08
3RD & 6
OWN 44
0
23.4%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Terry GoogerSimilar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 6
OWN 44
0
22.7%
Sean Kelly punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Josh Smith at the Tenn 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 6INT
3 plays · -7 yds · 1:1578% → 77%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
22.2%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Josh Malone for 8 yds to the Tenn 29Similar
Q2 14:30
2ND & 2
OWN 29
-15
21.9%
Joshua Dobbs sacked by Jonathan Walton for a loss of 15 yards to the Tenn 14Similar
Q2 13:45
3RD & 17
OWN 14
0
23.5%
Joshua Dobbs pass intercepted Jamarcus King return for no gain to the Tenn 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 7TD
3 plays · 31 yds · 0:4926% → 31%
Q2 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+9
25.6%
A.J. Turner run for 9 yds to the Tenn 22Similar
Q2 13:20
2ND & 1
OPP 22
+5
25.8%
David Williams run for 5 yds to the Tenn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
30.8%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 17 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:0471% → 69%
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
29.0%
Jalen Hurd run for 1 yd to the Tenn 26Similar
Q2 12:05
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
29.5%
Jalen Hurd run for no gain to the Tenn 26Similar
Q2 11:35
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
30.5%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Ethan WolfSimilar
Q2 11:26
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
31.2%
Trevor Daniel punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SCaro 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · -11 yds · 1:2731% → 31%
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-7
30.8%
Jake Bentley sacked by Derek Barnett and Justin Martin for a loss of 7 yards to the SCaro 20Similar
Q2 10:45
2ND & 17
OWN 20
-4
30.9%
Jake Bentley run for a loss of 4 yards to the SCaro 16Similar
Q2 10:00
3RD & 21
OWN 16
0
31.1%
Jake Bentley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:48
4TH & 21
OWN 16
0
30.9%
Sean Kelly punt for 62 yds, downed at the Tenn 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 8 yds · 1:5668% → 64%
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
32.1%
John Kelly run for 8 yds to the Tenn 30Similar
Q2 9:20
2ND & 2
OWN 30
+1
31.2%
John Kelly run for 1 yd to the Tenn 31Similar
Q2 9:00
3RD & 1
OWN 31
+2
32.3%
John Kelly run for 2 yds to the Tenn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-3
32.7%
Joshua Dobbs run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tenn 30Similar
Q2 8:04
2ND & 13
OWN 30
0
34.3%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Josh SmithSimilar
Q2 7:58
3RD & 13
OWN 30
0
35.2%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Josh SmithSimilar
Q2 7:44
4TH & 13
OWN 30
0
36.0%
Trevor Daniel punt for 70 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:4135% → 36%
Q2 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
34.8%
Rico Dowdle run for 1 yd to the SCaro 21Similar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+4
35.1%
Rico Dowdle run for 4 yds to the SCaro 25Similar
Q2 6:20
3RD & 5
OWN 25
-7
35.4%
Jake Bentley sacked by Todd Kelly Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the SCaro 18Similar
Q2 5:49
4TH & 12
OWN 18
+6
36.3%
Sean Kelly punt for 50 yds , Josh Smith returns for 6 yds to the Tenn 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 12DOWNS
10 plays · 23 yds · 3:4164% → 60%
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
35.8%
Evan Berry run for 6 yds to the Tenn 44Similar
Q2 5:10
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+6
35.2%
Joshua Dobbs run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:55
1ST & 10
50
0
35.0%
John Kelly run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 4:20
2ND & 10
50
+8
36.4%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Josh Malone for 8 yds to the SCaro 42Similar
Q2 3:55
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+4
35.5%
Jalen Hurd run for 4 yds to the SCaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
36.2%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Jason Croom for 5 yds to the SCaro 33Similar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+3
35.1%
John Kelly run for 3 yds to the SCaro 30Similar
Q2 2:25
3RD & 2
OPP 30
0
36.8%
Joshua Dobbs run for no gain to the SCaro 30Similar
Q2 1:49
4TH & 2
OPP 30
-9
39.8%
Joshua Dobbs sacked by Darius English and Rashad Fenton for a loss of 9 yards to the SCaro 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 13END OF HALF
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:3943% → 46%
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-15
43.4%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Ulric Jones) to the SCaro 24Similar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+9
42.0%
Rico Dowdle run for 9 yds to the SCaro 33Similar
Q2 1:25
2ND & 1
OWN 33
+2
43.6%
David Williams run for 2 yds to the SCaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
43.3%
Rico Dowdle run for 3 yds to the SCaro 38Similar
Q2 0:10
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+4
45.7%
Rico Dowdle run for 4 yds to the SCaro 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 24 yds · 1:4556% → 55%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+17
44.5%
John Kelly run for 17 yds to the Tenn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:27
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
43.5%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Jauan JenningsSimilar
Q3 14:10
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+4
44.1%
John Kelly run for 4 yds to the Tenn 47Similar
Q3 13:41
3RD & 6
OWN 47
+3
43.7%
Joshua Dobbs run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 13:05
4TH & 3
50
0
45.3%
Trevor Daniel punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Deebo Samuel at the SCaro 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 15PUNT
10 plays · 47 yds · 4:2848% → 55%
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+6
47.8%
Rico Dowdle run for 6 yds to the SCaro 17Similar
Q3 12:20
2ND & 4
OWN 17
+3
48.5%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Deebo Samuel for 3 yds to the SCaro 20Similar
Q3 11:55
3RD & 1
OWN 20
+12
48.5%
Rico Dowdle run for 12 yds to the SCaro 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+14
50.1%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Deebo Samuel for 14 yds to the SCaro 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
53.2%
Rico Dowdle run for 8 yds to the Tenn 46Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 2
OPP 46
+5
54.1%
Jake Bentley run for 5 yds to the Tenn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-2
54.8%
Jake Bentley sacked by Kendal Vickers for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 43Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 12
OPP 43
+2
54.3%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Deebo Samuel for 2 yds to the Tenn 41Similar
Q3 9:15
3RD & 10
OPP 41
-1
56.6%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Rico Dowdle for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 42Similar
Q3 8:32
4TH & 11
OPP 42
0
54.8%
Sean Kelly punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 25 yds · 0:4747% → 45%
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+25
52.6%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Ethan Wolf for 25 yds to the Tenn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
50.3%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Jauan JenningsSimilar
Q3 8:03
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
51.3%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Jauan JenningsSimilar
Q3 7:51
3RD & 10
OWN 45
0
52.6%
Joshua Dobbs pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:43
4TH & 10
OWN 45
0
55.1%
Trevor Daniel punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SCaro 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 17FG
12 plays · 69 yds · 5:2659% → 72%
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+40
59.3%
Rico Dowdle run for 40 yds to the Tenn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
63.1%
Rico Dowdle run for 4 yds to the Tenn 35Similar
Q3 6:25
2ND & 6
OPP 35
0
64.3%
David Williams run for no gain to the Tenn 35Similar
Q3 5:55
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+22
63.4%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Deebo Samuel for 22 yds to the Tenn 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
65.6%
Deebo Samuel run for 6 yds to the Tenn 7Similar
Q3 4:45
2ND & 4
OPP 7
0
66.2%
Rico Dowdle run for no gain to the Tenn 7Similar
Q3 4:08
3RD & 4
OPP 7
+4
65.5%
Jake Bentley run for 4 yds to the Tenn 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
67.8%
Rico Dowdle run for 1 yd to the Tenn 2Similar
Q3 3:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-10
68.3%
Bentley, Jake rush for 1 yard to the TENNESSEE1, PENALTY SOCAROLINA holding 10 yards to the TENNESSEE12, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
+2
68.7%
Rico Dowdle run for 2 yds to the Tenn 10Similar
Q3 2:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
69.4%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Deebo Samuel for no gain to the Tenn 10Similar
Q3 1:49
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+28
71.5%
Elliott Fry 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 1:2552% → 50%
Q3 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
51.6%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Deebo Samuel for 16 yds to the SCaro 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
54.7%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Deebo SamuelSimilar
Q3 0:55
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
53.3%
Rico Dowdle run for no gain to the SCaro 41Similar
Q3 0:10
3RD & 10
OWN 41
-5
52.4%
Jake Bentley sacked by Derek Barnett for a loss of 5 yards to the SCaro 36Similar
Q4 14:52
4TH & 15
OWN 36
+48
50.0%
Sean Kelly punt for 38 yds, downed at the SOCAROLINA 26 TENNESSEE Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Tenn 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:4947% → 41%
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
52.8%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Josh MaloneSimilar
Q4 14:35
2ND & 10
OWN 16
-1
55.2%
Joshua Dobbs run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 15Similar
Q4 14:09
3RD & 11
OWN 15
0
57.3%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Jason Croom, broken up by Steven MontacSimilar
Q4 14:01
4TH & 11
OWN 15
0
58.6%
Trevor Daniel punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Deebo Samuel at the SCaro 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:1959% → 58%
Q4 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
59.0%
Rico Dowdle run for 2 yds to the SCaro 37Similar
Q4 13:15
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+1
60.4%
Rico Dowdle run for 1 yd to the SCaro 38Similar
Q4 12:46
3RD & 7
OWN 38
0
59.6%
Jake Bentley pass incomplete to Bryan EdwardsSimilar
Q4 12:31
4TH & 7
OWN 38
+4
58.0%
Sean Kelly punt for 52 yds , Josh Smith returns for 4 yds to the Tenn 42 TENNESSEE Penalty, Illegal Block (7 Yards) to the Tenn 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 22FUMBLE
3 plays · 38 yds · 0:3742% → 47%
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+4
57.9%
John Kelly run for 4 yds to the Tenn 11Similar
Q4 11:55
2ND & 6
OWN 11
+34
58.0%
John Kelly run for 34 yds to the Tenn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
53.5%
Joshua Dobbs run for loss of 4 yds to the 50 yard line Joshua Dobbs fumbled, recovered by SCaro Darius English , return to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 23TD
4 plays · 50 yds · 1:2665% → 84%
Q4 11:20
1ST & 10
50
+5
65.2%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 5 yds to the Tenn 45Similar
Q4 10:57
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+7
67.1%
A.J. Turner run for 7 yds to the Tenn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
67.6%
A.J. Turner run for 3 yds to the Tenn 35Similar
Q4 9:54
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+35
83.8%
Jake Bentley pass complete to K.C. Crosby for 35 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 24TD
7 plays · 77 yds · 2:3415% → 49%
Q4 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+40
84.6%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 25 yds to the SCaro 48 for a 1ST down SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Personal Foul (D.J. Smith) to the SCaro 37 for a 1ST down Smith ejected for targetingSimilar
Q4 9:14
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
81.1%
John Kelly run for 2 yds to the SCaro 35Similar
Q4 9:00
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+17
80.3%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Jason Croom for 17 yds to the SCaro 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+11
80.4%
John Kelly run for 11 yds to the SCaro 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
80.7%
John Kelly run for 1 yd to the SCaro 6Similar
Q4 7:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
50.9%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 6 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 25PUNT
9 plays · 15 yds · 3:0066% → 77%
Q4 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
66.4%
Jake Bentley sacked by Corey Vereen for a loss of 5 yards to the SCaro 20Similar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+7
67.9%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 7 yds to the SCaro 27Similar
Q4 5:33
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+12
66.9%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Bryan Edwards for 12 yds to the SCaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
71.6%
A.J. Turner run for no gain to the SCaro 39Similar
Q4 4:30
2ND & 10
OWN 39
-4
75.4%
Jake Bentley sacked by Derek Barnett and Dimarya Mixon for a loss of 4 yards to the SCaro 35Similar
Q4 4:00
3RD & 14
OWN 35
+5
73.7%
A.J. Turner run for 5 yds to the SCaro 40Similar
Q4 3:50
4TH & 9
OWN 40
0
76.9%
Sean Kelly punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Josh Smith at the Tenn 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 26INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0032% → 32%
Q4 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
68.0%
Joshua Dobbs pass intercepted Jamarcus King return for no gain to the SCaro 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 27PUNT
13 plays · 14 yds · 3:0579% → 93%
Q4 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
79.3%
Rico Dowdle run for no gain to the SCaro 46Similar
Q4 2:55
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+3
83.2%
Rico Dowdle run for 3 yds to the SCaro 49Similar
Q4 2:44
3RD & 7
OWN 49
+9
86.2%
Jake Bentley pass complete to Hayden Hurst for 9 yds to the Tenn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
88.5%
A.J. Turner run for 2 yds to the Tenn 40Similar
Q4 1:45
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+2
89.5%
A.J. Turner run for 2 yds to the Tenn 38Similar
Q4 1:20
3RD & 6
OPP 38
+3
91.7%
Rico Dowdle run for 3 yds to the Tenn 35Similar
Q4 0:46
4TH & 3
OPP 35
-5
92.5%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Tenn 40Similar
Q4 0:35
4TH & 8
OPP 40
0
92.5%
Sean Kelly punt for 26 yds, downed at the Tenn 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 28DOWNS
6 plays · 46 yds · 0:3012% → 17%
Q4 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+23
87.6%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 23 yds to the Tenn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
85.8%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:18
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+18
86.6%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Josh Malone for 18 yds to the SCaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:14
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
82.6%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Ethan WolfSimilar
Q4 0:05
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+5
84.3%
Joshua Dobbs run for 5 yds to the SCaro 40Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+58
82.8%
Aaron Medley 58 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 7:03
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 6 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK)
-29.8
TD · Q3 1:35
Elliott Fry kickoff for 65 yds , Evan Berry return for 100 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK)
-23.3
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+17.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com