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TNST

Tennessee State 17 at Vanderbilt 35

VAN
2016 · Week 8 · Oct 22, 2016 · FirstBank Stadium
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Win probability · VAN
modelVAN aheadTNST aheadconfidence bandkey playVAN scoreTNST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 12:49 · Austin Rowley punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Vandy 44
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+46.0+23.00−23.0−46.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 97Pregame prior+28.3Home team on offense+9.6Garbage-time factor+1.7Score differential+3.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:03: Ronald Butler pass complete to Patrick Smith for 2 yds for a TD, (Lane Clark KICK) — TNST win probability +1.9 pts (now 8%) (top driver: TNST has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 4:37: Lane Clark 37 yd FG GOOD — TNST win probability +0.5 pts (now 15%) (top driver: TNST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:46: Khari Blasingame run for 3 yds for a TD, (Tommy Openshaw KICK) — VAN win probability +4.1 pts (now 91%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 12:54: Khari Blasingame run for 4 yds for a TD, (Tommy Openshaw KICK) — VAN win probability +3.9 pts (now 93%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:08: Trent Sherfield run for 14 yds for a TD, (Tommy Openshaw KICK) — VAN win probability +3.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
VAN made the numbers' call on 4 of 4TNST made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 5:00VAN 4th & 20 at TNST 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.6%−0.1
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    91.7%−<0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    91.7%
    average punt
  2. Q2 15:00TNST 4th & 10 at TNST 48, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.9%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.1%
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:46VAN 4th & 4 at TNST 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    88.2%−0.5
    32% to make
    Punt
    88.4%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 4:37TNST 4th & 12 at VAN 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 14.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.5%−0.7
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.2%
    75% to make
    Punt
    11.7%−2.5
    average punt
  5. Q3 12:49TNST 4th & 2 at TNST 28, down 11
    Close callPunted · 7.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.7%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q3 6:53VAN 4th & 9 at TNST 30, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 91.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.5%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.8%
    56% to make
    Punt
    91.1%−0.7
    average punt
  7. Q3 6:16TNST 4th & 8 at VAN 46, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.9%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    8.4%−0.6
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    9.1%
    average punt
  8. Q3 4:38VAN 4th & 7 at VAN 48, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.9%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.0%
    average punt
  9. Q4 6:03TNST 4th & 1 at VAN 38, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    1.6%−0.4
    38% to make
    Punt
    1.4%−0.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
VAN made the numbers' call on 5 of 5TNST made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 13:56TNST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 11:08VAN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 5:03TNST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:01VAN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:46VAN Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 12:54VAN Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 6:08VAN Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TNSTDrive 1TD
3 plays · 94 yds · 1:044% → 4%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+1
95.8%
Erick Evans run for 1 yd to the TenSt 7Similar
Q1 13:56
2ND & 9
OWN 7
+93
95.6%
Ronald Butler pass complete to Patrick Smith for 93 yds for a TD, (Lane Clark KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 2TD
8 plays · 73 yds · 2:4896% → 95%
Q1 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+15
95.6%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Ralph Webb for 15 yds to the Vandy 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
95.6%
Ralph Webb run for no gain to the Vandy 42Similar
Q1 13:56
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+5
95.6%
[SH], Kyle Shurmur rush for 5 yards to the VANDY47, PENALTY TSU offside (LEE, Latrelle) 5 yards to the VANDY47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:56
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+46
95.6%
Ralph Webb run for 46 yds to the TenSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
95.6%
Ralph Webb run for 6 yds to the TenSt 1Similar
Q1 13:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
95.6%
TENNESSEE ST Penalty, substitution infraction ( Yards) to the TenSt 1Similar
Q1 11:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
95.2%
Khari Blasingame run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tommy Openshaw KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNSTDrive 3TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 6:005% → 8%
Q1 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.1%
Ronald Butler pass incomplete to Patrick Smith, broken up by Tre HerndonSimilar
Q1 11:03
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+13
95.1%
Ronald Butler pass complete to Patrick Smith for 13 yds to the TenSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
95.0%
Erick Evans run for 2 yds to the TenSt 40Similar
Q1 11:03
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+17
95.0%
Ronald Butler pass complete to Steven Newbold for 17 yds to the Vandy 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-1
95.0%
Erick Evans run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 44Similar
Q1 11:03
2ND & 11
OPP 44
+3
95.0%
Sabree Curtis Jr. run for 3 yds to the Vandy 41Similar
Q1 7:52
3RD & 8
OPP 41
+23
94.2%
Ronald Butler run for 23 yds to the Vandy 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:52
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+8
94.1%
Ronald Butler pass complete to Mahlon Medley for 8 yds to the Vandy 10Similar
Q1 7:52
2ND & 2
OPP 10
+7
94.1%
Sabree Curtis Jr. run for 7 yds to the Vandy 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
94.2%
Sabree Curtis Jr. run for 1 yd to the Vandy 2Similar
Q1 5:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
92.3%
Ronald Butler pass complete to Patrick Smith for 2 yds for a TD, (Lane Clark KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 4PUNT
13 plays · 30 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
93.1%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Darrius Sims for 4 yds to the Vandy 35Similar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+8
93.1%
Darrius Sims run for 8 yds to the Vandy 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+20
93.2%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Jared Pinkney for 20 yds to the TenSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
93.3%
Darrius Sims run for 1 yd to the TenSt 36Similar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 9
OPP 36
+1
93.3%
Ralph Webb run for 1 yd to the TenSt 35Similar
Q1 5:00
3RD & 8
OPP 35
+6
93.3%
[SH], Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Caleb Scott, PENALTY TSU pass interference (COLLINS, Chris) 6 yards to the TSU29, 1ST DOWN VANDY, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-10
93.5%
Ralph Webb rush for 20 yards to the TSU9 (WILLHOITE, L.), PENALTY VANDY holding (Bailey McElwain) 10 yards to the TSU39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:00
1ST & 20
OPP 39
0
93.2%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Kalija Lipscomb, broken up by Terrell BondsSimilar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 20
OPP 39
0
93.2%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Khari BlasingameSimilar
Q1 5:00
3RD & 20
OPP 39
0
93.1%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Kalija LipscombSimilar
Q1 5:00
4TH & 20
OPP 39
0
93.0%
Sam Loy punt for 30 yds, downed at the TenSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNSTDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 39 yds · 0:599% → 10%
Q1 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+16
90.7%
Ronald Butler pass complete to Patrick Smith for 16 yds to the TenSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
90.5%
TENNESSEE ST Penalty, false start (Patrick Smith) to the TenSt 20Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 20
-5
90.1%
TENNESSEE ST Penalty, false start (Jessamen Dunker) to the TenSt 15Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+18
90.1%
Erick Evans run for 18 yds to the TenSt 33Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+15
89.7%
[SH], BUTLER, Ronald pass incomplete to NEWBOLD, Steven, QB hurry by Dare Odeyingbo, PENALTY VANDY face mask (Tre Herndon) 15 yards to the TSU48, 1ST DOWN TSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
89.5%
Ronald Butler pass incomplete to Steven Newbold TENNESSEE ST Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
89.5%
Ronald Butler pass incomplete, broken up by LaDarius WileySimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 48
0
89.7%
Ronald Butler pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 48
0
90.0%
Austin Rowley punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Kalija Lipscomb at the Vandy 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 6TD
11 plays · 92 yds · 5:4590% → 91%
Q2 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+17
89.6%
Khari Blasingame run for 17 yds to the Vandy 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
89.6%
Khari Blasingame run for 11 yds to the Vandy 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
89.8%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to C.J. Duncan for 4 yds to the Vandy 40Similar
Q2 13:46
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+13
90.1%
Khari Blasingame run for 13 yds to the TenSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:46
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
90.3%
Khari Blasingame run for 1 yd to the TenSt 46Similar
Q2 13:46
2ND & 9
OPP 46
+6
90.3%
Khari Blasingame run for 6 yds to the TenSt 40Similar
Q2 13:46
3RD & 3
OPP 40
-1
90.3%
Khari Blasingame run for a loss of 1 yard to the TenSt 41Similar
Q2 13:46
4TH & 4
OPP 41
+14
90.0%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to C.J. Duncan for 14 yds to the TenSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:46
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
90.6%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Jared PinkneySimilar
Q2 13:46
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+6
90.6%
Ralph Webb run for 6 yds to the TenSt 21Similar
Q2 8:01
3RD & 4
OPP 21
+21
90.8%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Jared Pinkney for 21 yds for a TD, (Tommy Openshaw KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNSTDrive 7FG
9 plays · 45 yds · 3:2411% → 15%
Q2 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
88.6%
Ronald Butler pass complete to Chris Rowland for 3 yds to the TenSt 38Similar
Q2 8:01
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+23
88.2%
Erick Evans run for 23 yds to the Vandy 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+21
87.7%
Erick Evans run for 21 yds to the Vandy 18 Erick Evans fumbled, forced by LaDarius Wiley, for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
87.4%
Ronald Butler pass complete to Rodney Morris for 3 yds to the Vandy 15Similar
Q2 5:24
2ND & 7
OPP 15
0
85.2%
Ronald Butler pass incomplete to Steven Newbold, broken up by Joejuan WilliamsSimilar
Q2 5:24
3RD & 7
OPP 15
-5
85.7%
Ronald Butler sacked by Oren Burks for a loss of 5 yards to the Vandy 20Similar
Q2 4:37
4TH & 12
OPP 20
+37
85.2%
Lane Clark 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 8TD
8 plays · 78 yds · 2:5186% → 91%
Q2 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
85.5%
Josh Crawford run for 4 yds to the Vandy 26Similar
Q2 4:11
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+6
84.9%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to C.J. Duncan for 6 yds to the Vandy 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+10
84.9%
Kyle Shurmur sacked for loss of 3 yards to the VANDY29 (EDWARDS, Blair), PENALTY TSU holding (COLLINS, Chris) 10 yards to the VANDY42, 1ST DOWN VANDY, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+22
85.9%
Khari Blasingame run for 22 yds to the TenSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+33
86.4%
Darrius Sims run for 33 yds to the TenSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
90.5%
Khari Blasingame run for 3 yds for a TD, (Tommy Openshaw KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNSTDrive 9INT
6 plays · 36 yds · 0:0011% → 13%
Q2 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+17
89.5%
Ronald Butler pass complete to Steven Newbold for 17 yds to the Vandy 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:46
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
88.1%
Erick Evans run for 3 yds to the Vandy 45Similar
Q2 1:46
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+17
88.1%
Ronald Butler pass complete to Erick Evans for 17 yds to the Vandy 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:46
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-1
87.2%
Ronald Butler sacked by Nifae Lealao for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 29Similar
Q2 1:46
2ND & 11
OPP 29
0
87.4%
Ronald Butler pass intercepted Torren McGaster return for no gain to the Vandy 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 10END OF HALF
6 plays · 40 yds · 0:3389% → 89%
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+9
88.6%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to C.J. Duncan for 9 yds to the Vandy 24Similar
Q2 0:35
2ND & 1
OWN 24
+15
88.8%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 15 yds to the Vandy 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
89.2%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:35
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+16
89.0%
[SH], Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to C.J. Duncan, PENALTY TSU pass interference (BONDS, Terrell) 16 yards to the TSU45, 1ST DOWN VANDY, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
89.4%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Kalija Lipscomb, broken up by David KamaraSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 11TD
5 plays · 73 yds · 2:0088% → 93%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+49
87.8%
Ralph Webb run for 49 yds to the TenSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+13
89.2%
Donaven Tennyson run for 13 yds to the TenSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+7
89.2%
Khari Blasingame run for 7 yds to the TenSt 4Similar
Q3 12:54
2ND & 3
OPP 4
+4
93.1%
Khari Blasingame run for 4 yds for a TD, (Tommy Openshaw KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNSTDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:008% → 7%
Q3 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
92.2%
[SH], EVANS, Erick rush for 4 yards to the TSU24 (Landon Stokes;Ja'karri Thomas), PENALTY TSU holding (DUNKER, J.) 10 yards to the TSU10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:49
1ST & 20
OWN 10
+8
92.3%
Ronald Butler pass complete to Patrick Smith for 8 yds to the TenSt 18Similar
Q3 12:49
2ND & 12
OWN 18
-2
92.4%
Ronald Butler sacked by Landon Stokes and Nifae Lealao for a loss of 2 yards to the TenSt 16Similar
Q3 12:49
3RD & 14
OWN 16
+12
92.7%
Ronald Butler pass complete to Erick Evans for 12 yds to the TenSt 28Similar
Q3 12:49
4TH & 2
OWN 28
0
92.7%
Austin Rowley punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Vandy 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 13MISSED FG
7 plays · 26 yds · 3:1093% → 92%
Q3 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
92.9%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Jared Pinkney for 7 yds to the TenSt 49Similar
Q3 10:03
2ND & 3
OPP 49
+4
92.9%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Trent Sherfield for 4 yds to the TenSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:03
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+14
93.0%
Josh Crawford run for 14 yds to the TenSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:03
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
93.0%
Dallas Rivers run for 1 yd to the TenSt 30Similar
Q3 10:03
2ND & 9
OPP 30
+5
93.0%
Darrius Sims run for 5 yds to the TenSt 25Similar
Q3 10:03
3RD & 4
OPP 25
-5
92.7%
Kyle Shurmur sacked by Ebenezer Ogundeko for a loss of 5 yards to the TenSt 30Similar
Q3 6:53
4TH & 9
OPP 30
+48
91.8%
Tommy Openshaw 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNSTDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 24 yds · 0:379% → 8%
Q3 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+22
91.3%
Ronald Butler pass complete to Patrick Smith for 22 yds to the Vandy 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:16
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-2
91.5%
Erick Evans run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 6:16
2ND & 12
50
+4
91.9%
Erick Evans run for 4 yds to the Vandy 46Similar
Q3 6:16
3RD & 8
OPP 46
0
91.8%
Ronald Butler pass incomplete to Erick EvansSimilar
Q3 6:16
4TH & 8
OPP 46
0
92.5%
Austin Rowley punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 15PUNT
9 plays · 28 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q3 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
93.0%
Khari Blasingame run for 6 yds to the Vandy 26Similar
Q3 4:38
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+8
93.0%
Khari Blasingame run for 8 yds to the Vandy 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
93.1%
Ralph Webb run for 9 yds to the Vandy 43Similar
Q3 4:38
2ND & 1
OWN 43
+2
93.5%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Jared Pinkney for 2 yds to the Vandy 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
93.5%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Jared Pinkney, broken up by Laquarius CookSimilar
Q3 4:38
2ND & 10
OWN 45
-8
93.4%
Ralph Webb run for 2 yds to the Vandy 47 VANDERBILT Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Vandy 37Similar
Q3 4:38
2ND & 18
OWN 37
+11
93.1%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 11 yds to the Vandy 48Similar
Q3 4:38
3RD & 7
OWN 48
0
93.1%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Josh CrawfordSimilar
Q3 4:38
4TH & 7
OWN 48
0
92.6%
Sam Loy punt for 46 yds, downed at the TenSt 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNSTDrive 16FUMBLE
10 plays · 64 yds · 0:597% → 9%
Q3 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+5
93.5%
Ronald Butler run for 5 yds to the TenSt 11Similar
Q3 0:59
2ND & 5
OWN 11
+10
93.2%
Ronald Butler run for 10 yds to the TenSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+11
93.0%
Ronald Butler pass complete to Steven Newbold for 11 yds to the TenSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
92.4%
Ronald Butler pass incomplete to Chris RowlandSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+12
92.8%
Ronald Butler pass complete to Steven Newbold for 12 yds to the TenSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
91.9%
Ronald Butler pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
92.1%
Ronald Butler pass incomplete to Steven NewboldSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 44
+12
92.5%
Ronald Butler run for 12 yds to the Vandy 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+16
91.3%
Ronald Butler pass complete to Patrick Smith for 16 yds to the Vandy 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
90.6%
Ronald Butler run for 3 yds to the Vandy 30 Ronald Butler fumbled, forced by Ryan White, recovered by Vandy Dare OdeyingboSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 17TD
13 plays · 70 yds · 6:1993% → 99%
Q4 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
93.4%
Darrius Sims run for 3 yds to the Vandy 33Similar
Q4 12:27
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+6
93.4%
Ralph Webb run for 6 yds to the Vandy 39Similar
Q4 12:27
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+2
93.5%
Khari Blasingame run for 2 yds to the Vandy 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
93.9%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to C.J. Duncan, broken up by David KamaraSimilar
Q4 12:27
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+3
93.8%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Trent Sherfield for 3 yds to the Vandy 44Similar
Q4 12:27
3RD & 7
OWN 44
+8
93.5%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Trent Sherfield for 8 yds to the TenSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
94.0%
Kyle Shurmur run for 3 yds to the TenSt 45Similar
Q4 12:27
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+20
94.0%
Josh Crawford run for 20 yds to the TenSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
94.1%
Josh Crawford run for 7 yds to the TenSt 18Similar
Q4 12:27
2ND & 3
OPP 18
+2
94.1%
Josh Crawford run for 2 yds to the TenSt 16Similar
Q4 12:27
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+2
93.9%
Josh Crawford run for 2 yds to the TenSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
98.9%
Trent Sherfield run for 14 yds for a TD, (Tommy Openshaw KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TNSTDrive 18DOWNS
9 plays · 33 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
98.2%
Ronald Butler pass complete to Mahlon Medley for 8 yds to the TenSt 37Similar
Q4 6:03
2ND & 2
OWN 37
+3
98.1%
Sabree Curtis Jr. run for 3 yds to the TenSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
98.1%
Sabree Curtis Jr. run for no gain to the TenSt 40Similar
Q4 6:03
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+13
98.1%
[SH], BUTLER, Ronald pass intercepted by LaDarius Wiley at the VANDY47, LaDarius Wiley return to the VANDY47, PENALTY VANDY pass interference 13 yards to the VANDY47, 1ST DOWN TSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:03
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
98.0%
Sabree Curtis Jr. run for 2 yds to the Vandy 45Similar
Q4 6:03
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+5
98.0%
Ronald Butler pass complete to Steven Newbold for 5 yds to the Vandy 40Similar
Q4 6:03
3RD & 3
OPP 40
+2
98.0%
Ronald Butler pass complete to Rodney Morris for 2 yds to the Vandy 38Similar
Q4 6:03
4TH & 1
OPP 38
0
98.0%
Ronald Butler pass incomplete to Steven NewboldSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 19END OF GAME
3 plays · 8 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
99.2%
Dallas Rivers run for 5 yds to the Vandy 43Similar
Q4 1:48
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+2
99.2%
Dallas Rivers run for 2 yds to the Vandy 45Similar
Q4 1:48
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+1
99.2%
Dallas Rivers run for 1 yd to the Vandy 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:46
Khari Blasingame run for 3 yds for a TD, (Tommy Openshaw KICK)
+4.1
TD · Q3 12:54
Khari Blasingame run for 4 yds for a TD, (Tommy Openshaw KICK)
+3.9
TD · Q4 6:08
Trent Sherfield run for 14 yds for a TD, (Tommy Openshaw KICK)
+3.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com