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VAN

Vanderbilt 17 at Georgia 16

UGA
2016 · Week 7 · Oct 15, 2016 · Sanford Stadium
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Win probability · UGA
modelUGA aheadVAN aheadconfidence bandkey playUGA scoreVAN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 4:09 · Sam Loy punt for 57 yds, downed at the Geo 11
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 37Pregame prior+31.3Home team on offense−1.0Score differential−0.7Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q3 12:26: Tommy Openshaw 38 yd FG GOOD — VAN win probability +2.7 pts (now 35%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 9:46: Jacob Eason pass complete to Isaac Nauta for 17 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK) — UGA win probability +11.8 pts (now 80%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 13:47: Rodrigo Blankenship 36 yd FG GOOD — UGA win probability +6.7 pts (now 83%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:43: Khari Blasingame run for 2 yds for a TD, (Tommy Openshaw KICK) — VAN win probability +24.7 pts (now 56%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:56: TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Vandy 39 — VAN win probability +24.6 pts (now 79%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UGA made the numbers' call on 5 of 11VAN made the numbers' call on 5 of 9
  1. Q1 14:28UGA 4th & 7 at UGA 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.1%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:49VAN 4th & 2 at VAN 45, up 7
    Close callPunted · 17.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.7%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:18UGA 4th & 5 at UGA 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.4%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 9:42VAN 4th & 14 at VAN 30, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.0%−0.2
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.2%
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:15UGA 4th & 8 at VAN 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 77.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.4%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.5%
    60% to make
    Punt
    76.3%−1.2
    average punt
  6. Q1 4:09VAN 4th & 7 at VAN 32, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.7%−0.4
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:43UGA 4th & 3 at VAN 5, down 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 74.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.4%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.8%−0.6
    92% to make
    Punt
    69.5%−5.0
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:29VAN 4th & 26 at VAN 21, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.0%−2.6
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:18UGA 4th & 2 at UGA 46, down 1
    Close callPunted · 73.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.4%−0.6
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:45VAN 4th & 3 at VAN 48, up 1
    Close callPunted · 31.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.1%−1.0
    average punt
  11. Q3 15:00UGA 4th & 10 at UGA 3, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.6%−2.4
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.0%
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:26VAN 4th & 3 at UGA 20, up 1
    Close callKicked a field goal · 34.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.7%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.0%−0.7
    75% to make
    Punt
    26.7%−8.0
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:46VAN 4th & 1 at VAN 49, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.6 ptsPunted · 27.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.9%−2.6
    average punt
  14. Q3 8:02UGA 4th & 16 at VAN 35, up 3
    Close callPunted · 73.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.1%−1.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    74.5%
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    73.6%−0.9
    average punt
  15. Q3 2:53VAN 4th & 5 at VAN 9, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.0%−0.6
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.6%
    average punt
  16. Q4 13:47UGA 4th & 3 at VAN 19, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsKicked a field goal · 76.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.0%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.9%−1.0
    77% to make
    Punt
    64.9%−12.0
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:03UGA 4th & 8 at VAN 41, down 1
    Numbers favored field goal by 2.3 ptsPunted · 51.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.9%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    49.0%
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    46.7%−2.3
    average punt
  18. Q4 5:56VAN 4th & 11 at VAN 33, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.1%−8.9
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.0%
    average punt
  19. Q4 2:55UGA 4th & 13 at UGA 27, down 1
    Numbers favored punt by 2.1 ptsWent for it · 43.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.7%−2.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    37.9%
    average punt
  20. Q4 1:01UGA 4th & 1 at VAN 41, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 45.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    42.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    38.9%−4.1
    32% to make
    Punt
    26.6%−16.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UGA made the numbers' call on 1 of 1VAN made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 14:38VAN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 9:46UGA Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 9:43VAN Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.9%−1.8
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
VANDrive 1TD
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:2213% → 14%
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
86.6%
GEORGIA Penalty, substitution infraction (1 Yards) to the Geo 1Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
86.6%
Kyle Shurmur pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
86.4%
Ralph Webb run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tommy Openshaw KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q1 14:28
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
86.4%
Nick Chubb run for 4 yds to the Geo 36Similar
Q1 14:28
2ND & 6
OWN 36
-1
86.4%
Nick Chubb run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 35Similar
Q1 14:28
3RD & 7
OWN 35
0
86.4%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete, broken up by Taurean FergusonSimilar
Q1 14:28
4TH & 7
OWN 35
+9
86.4%
Marshall Long punt for 37 yds , Kalija Lipscomb returns for 9 yds to the Vandy 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0015% → 14%
Q1 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
85.5%
Ralph Webb run for 1 yd to the Vandy 38Similar
Q1 12:49
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+7
85.5%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Trent Sherfield for 7 yds to the Vandy 45Similar
Q1 12:49
3RD & 2
OWN 45
0
85.5%
Kyle Shurmur pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:49
4TH & 2
OWN 45
0
85.6%
Sam Loy punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q1 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
84.8%
Nick Chubb run for no gain to the Geo 20Similar
Q1 11:18
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+5
84.8%
Sony Michel run for 5 yds to the Geo 25Similar
Q1 11:18
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
84.8%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete, broken up by Ryan WhiteSimilar
Q1 11:18
4TH & 5
OWN 25
+1
84.7%
Marshall Long punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Vandy 34 , Kalija Lipscomb returns for 1 yd to the Vandy 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q1 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
83.9%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Kalija Lipscomb, broken up by Dominick SandersSimilar
Q1 9:42
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+3
83.9%
Khari Blasingame run for 3 yds to the Vandy 37Similar
Q1 9:42
3RD & 7
OWN 37
-7
83.9%
Kyle Shurmur sacked by Lorenzo Carter for a loss of 7 yards to the Vandy 30Similar
Q1 9:42
4TH & 14
OWN 30
0
84.2%
Sam Loy punt for 49 yds , Isaiah McKenzie returns for no gain to the Geo 21 Isaiah McKenzie fumbled, recovered by Geo Isaiah McKenzieSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 6FG
10 plays · 51 yds · 3:4383% → 82%
Q1 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+16
83.0%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Riley Ridley for 16 yds to the Geo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-5
83.1%
GEORGIA Penalty, false start (Reggie Davis) to the Geo 32Similar
Q1 7:58
1ST & 15
OWN 32
+12
83.0%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Javon Wims for 12 yds to the Geo 44Similar
Q1 7:58
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+13
83.4%
Nick Chubb run for 13 yds to the Vandy 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:58
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
83.5%
Nick Chubb run for 2 yds to the Vandy 41Similar
Q1 7:58
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+11
83.5%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Michael Chigbu for 11 yds to the Vandy 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:58
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
83.7%
Sony Michel run for 2 yds to the Vandy 28Similar
Q1 7:58
2ND & 8
OPP 28
0
83.7%
Sony Michel run for no gain to the Vandy 28Similar
Q1 4:15
4TH & 8
OPP 28
+45
82.3%
Rodrigo Blankenship 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q1 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
81.9%
Ralph Webb run for 5 yds to the Vandy 34Similar
Q1 4:09
2ND & 5
OWN 34
-5
81.7%
VANDERBILT Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Vandy 29Similar
Q1 4:09
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+3
82.0%
Khari Blasingame run for 3 yds to the Vandy 32Similar
Q1 4:09
3RD & 7
OWN 32
0
82.2%
Kyle Shurmur pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:09
4TH & 7
OWN 32
0
82.4%
Sam Loy punt for 57 yds, downed at the Geo 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 8FG
17 plays · 84 yds · 7:2381% → 79%
Q1 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+17
80.8%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Isaiah McKenzie for 17 yds to the Geo 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-3
81.0%
Nick Chubb run for a loss of 3 yards to the Geo 25Similar
Q1 2:06
2ND & 13
OWN 25
+14
80.8%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Isaiah McKenzie for 14 yds to the Geo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
81.3%
Nick Chubb run for no gain to the Geo 39Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+15
80.2%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Reggie Davis, PENALTY VANDY pass interference (Tre Herndon) 15 yards to the VANDY46, 1ST DOWN UGA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
81.0%
Nick Chubb run for no gain to the Vandy 46Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 46
-5
80.9%
Sony Michel run for a loss of 5 yards to the GEORGIA 49 GEORGIA Penalty, illegal motion ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 49
+26
79.6%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Riley Ridley for 26 yds to the Vandy 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
81.4%
Sony Michel run for 8 yds to the Vandy 17Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 17
0
81.4%
Sony Michel run for no gain to the Vandy 17Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 17
-5
80.9%
Brian Herrien rush for 1 yard to the VANDY16 (Ryan White), PENALTY UGA illegal motion 5 yards to the VANDY22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 22
+10
80.9%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Reggie Davis for 10 yds to the Vandy 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-5
81.4%
GEORGIA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Vandy 17Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 15
OPP 17
0
81.3%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Riley RidleySimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 15
OPP 17
+5
81.1%
Nick Chubb run for 5 yds to the Vandy 12Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 12
+7
80.9%
Jacob Eason run for 7 yds to the Vandy 5Similar
Q2 9:43
4TH & 3
OPP 5
+22
79.3%
Rodrigo Blankenship 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 9PUNT
10 plays · -4 yds · 3:1423% → 24%
Q2 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
77.5%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Caleb Scott for 12 yds to the Vandy 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-2
77.1%
Ralph Webb run for a loss of 2 yards to the Vandy 35Similar
Q2 9:43
2ND & 12
OWN 35
-5
77.6%
VANDERBILT Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Vandy 30Similar
Q2 9:43
2ND & 17
OWN 30
+2
77.6%
Ralph Webb run for 2 yds to the Vandy 32Similar
Q2 7:23
3RD & 15
OWN 32
-6
76.0%
Kyle Shurmur sacked by Lorenzo Carter for a loss of 6 yards to the Vandy 26Similar
Q2 7:23
4TH & 21
OWN 26
-5
76.5%
Fumble by Sam Loy, Sam Loy punt 50 yards to the UGA24, downed, PENALTY VANDY illegal formation 5 yards to the VANDY21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:29
4TH & 26
OWN 21
-5
76.3%
Sam Loy punt for 47 yds , Isaiah McKenzie returns for a loss of 5 yards to the Geo 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:0076% → 77%
Q2 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-1
76.2%
Nick Chubb run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 26Similar
Q2 6:18
2ND & 11
OWN 26
0
75.9%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Reggie Davis, broken up by Tre HerndonSimilar
Q2 6:18
3RD & 11
OWN 26
+12
75.2%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Javon Wims for 12 yds to the Geo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
76.9%
Sony Michel run for 5 yds to the Geo 43Similar
Q2 6:18
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+4
77.9%
Sony Michel run for 4 yds to the Geo 47Similar
Q2 6:18
3RD & 1
OWN 47
-1
77.5%
Sony Michel run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 46Similar
Q2 6:18
4TH & 2
OWN 46
0
76.7%
Marshall Long punt for 51 yds, downed at the Vandy 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 11PUNT
13 plays · 45 yds · 2:0327% → 29%
Q2 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+1
73.5%
Ralph Webb run for 1 yd to the Vandy 4Similar
Q2 3:48
2ND & 9
OWN 4
+8
73.7%
Ralph Webb run for 8 yds to the Vandy 12Similar
Q2 3:48
3RD & 1
OWN 12
+1
74.0%
Ralph Webb run for 1 yd to the Vandy 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+9
73.2%
Ralph Webb run for 9 yds to the Vandy 22Similar
Q2 3:48
2ND & 1
OWN 22
0
72.5%
Ralph Webb run for no gain to the Vandy 22Similar
Q2 1:45
3RD & 1
OWN 22
+7
71.5%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Bailey McElwain for 7 yds to the Vandy 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
70.8%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Trent Sherfield, broken up by Malkom ParrishSimilar
Q2 1:45
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+12
71.2%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Trent Sherfield for 12 yds to the Vandy 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
69.2%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Ralph Webb for 7 yds to the Vandy 48Similar
Q2 1:45
2ND & 3
OWN 48
0
68.7%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Kalija LipscombSimilar
Q2 1:45
3RD & 3
OWN 48
0
69.1%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Darrius Sims, broken up by Roquan SmithSimilar
Q2 1:45
4TH & 3
OWN 48
0
70.7%
Sam Loy punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Geo 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 12END OF HALF
7 plays · 42 yds · 0:5172% → 73%
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
72.3%
Sony Michel run for no gain to the Geo 21Similar
Q2 0:53
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+32
72.1%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Reggie Davis for 32 yds to the Vandy 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
75.3%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Javon WimsSimilar
Q2 0:53
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+10
75.0%
Jacob Eason run for 10 yds to the Vandy 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
72.7%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Isaiah McKenzie, broken up by Arnold TarpleySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0072% → 70%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 3
-1
71.9%
Sony Michel run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 2Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 2
+1
71.7%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Christian Payne for 1 yd to the Geo 3Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 3
0
70.7%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Reggie Davis GEORGIA Penalty, Offensive pass interference ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 3
+17
70.2%
Marshall Long punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Geo 27 , Kalija Lipscomb returns for 17 yds to the Geo 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 14FG
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:2334% → 35%
Q3 13:49
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
66.2%
Ralph Webb run for 4 yds to the Geo 23Similar
Q3 13:49
2ND & 6
OPP 23
+3
66.2%
Ralph Webb run for 3 yds to the Geo 20Similar
Q3 13:49
3RD & 3
OPP 20
0
67.3%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete, broken up by John AtkinsSimilar
Q3 12:26
4TH & 3
OPP 20
+38
64.6%
Tommy Openshaw 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 15TD
8 plays · 77 yds · 2:3266% → 80%
Q3 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+21
66.3%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Isaiah McKenzie for 21 yds to the Geo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
68.7%
Nick Chubb run for 2 yds to the Geo 46Similar
Q3 12:18
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+1
68.9%
Nick Chubb run for 1 yd to the Geo 47Similar
Q3 12:18
3RD & 7
OWN 47
+8
68.0%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Javon Wims for 8 yds to the Vandy 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:18
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+28
68.1%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Isaac Nauta for 28 yds to the Vandy 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
80.0%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Isaac Nauta for 17 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 24 yds · 0:0025% → 27%
Q3 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
75.2%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Trent Sherfield (Roquan Smith), PENALTY UGA personal foul (J. Rochester) 15 yards to the VANDY40, 1ST DOWN VANDY, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
73.0%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Kalija LipscombSimilar
Q3 9:46
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+8
73.7%
Ralph Webb run for 8 yds to the Vandy 48Similar
Q3 9:46
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+1
72.6%
Ralph Webb run for 1 yd to the Vandy 49Similar
Q3 9:46
4TH & 1
OWN 49
+4
73.5%
Sam Loy punt for 42 yds , Isaiah McKenzie returns for 4 yds to the Geo 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 17PUNT
10 plays · 52 yds · 0:0076% → 75%
Q3 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+26
75.8%
Nick Chubb run for 11 yds to the Geo 24 for a 1ST down VANDERBILT Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Nifae Lealao) to the Geo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
77.4%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Isaiah McKenzie for 4 yds to the Geo 43Similar
Q3 8:02
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+3
78.2%
Brian Herrien run for 3 yds to the Geo 46Similar
Q3 8:02
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+6
77.5%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Terry Godwin for 6 yds to the Vandy 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
78.9%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Isaac Nauta for 9 yds to the Vandy 39Similar
Q3 8:02
2ND & 1
OPP 39
+10
78.9%
Sony Michel run for 10 yds to the Vandy 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+7
79.6%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Terry Godwin for 7 yds to the Vandy 22Similar
Q3 8:02
2ND & 3
OPP 22
-2
79.6%
Brian Herrien run for a loss of 2 yards to the Vandy 24Similar
Q3 8:02
3RD & 5
OPP 24
-11
78.6%
Jacob Eason sacked by LaDarius Wiley for a loss of 11 yards to the Vandy 35Similar
Q3 8:02
4TH & 16
OPP 35
0
74.7%
Marshall Long punt for 31 yds, downed at the Vandy 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0026% → 23%
Q3 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+1
74.5%
Ralph Webb run for 1 yd to the Vandy 5Similar
Q3 2:53
2ND & 9
OWN 5
+4
74.9%
Kyle Shurmur run for 4 yds to the Vandy 9Similar
Q3 2:53
3RD & 5
OWN 9
0
76.0%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete, broken up by Dominick SandersSimilar
Q3 2:53
4TH & 5
OWN 9
0
76.7%
Sam Loy punt for 30 yds, downed at the Vandy 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 19FG
5 plays · 20 yds · 2:2477% → 83%
Q3 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+13
77.0%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Christian Payne for 13 yds to the Vandy 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+6
77.8%
Nick Chubb run for 6 yds to the Vandy 20Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 20
-1
77.5%
Nick Chubb run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 21Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 21
+2
76.2%
Nick Chubb run for 2 yds to the Vandy 19 GEORGIA Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 13:47
4TH & 3
OPP 19
+36
82.9%
Rodrigo Blankenship 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 20TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:0424% → 56%
Q4 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
76.1%
Ralph Webb run for 2 yds to the Vandy 27Similar
Q4 13:47
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+27
75.7%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 27 yds to the Geo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:47
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-2
71.7%
Ralph Webb run for a loss of 2 yards to the Geo 48Similar
Q4 13:47
2ND & 12
OPP 48
0
73.8%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Trent SherfieldSimilar
Q4 13:47
3RD & 12
OPP 48
+37
75.1%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Ralph Webb for 37 yds to the Geo 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:47
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
69.2%
Khari Blasingame run for 3 yds to the Geo 8Similar
Q4 13:47
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+6
69.2%
Khari Blasingame run for 6 yds to the Geo 2Similar
Q4 9:43
3RD & 1
OPP 2
+2
44.5%
Khari Blasingame run for 2 yds for a TD, (Tommy Openshaw KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 21PUNT
10 plays · 24 yds · 3:4056% → 52%
Q4 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
55.8%
Sony Michel run for 1 yd to the Geo 36Similar
Q4 9:43
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+8
56.3%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Riley Ridley for 8 yds to the Geo 44Similar
Q4 9:43
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+13
59.0%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Isaac Nauta for 13 yds to the Vandy 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
61.6%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Riley Ridley for 7 yds to the Vandy 36Similar
Q4 9:43
2ND & 3
OPP 36
0
61.6%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Javon WimsSimilar
Q4 9:43
3RD & 3
OPP 36
-10
60.5%
Jacob Eason rush for 20 yards to the VANDY16 (Arnold Tarpley), PENALTY UGA holding (B. Kublanow) 10 yards to the VANDY46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:43
3RD & 13
OPP 46
+5
56.0%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Charlie Woerner for 5 yds to the Vandy 41Similar
Q4 6:03
4TH & 8
OPP 41
0
51.7%
Marshall Long punt for 26 yds, fair catch by Kalija Lipscomb at the Vandy 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 17 yds · 0:0056% → 53%
Q4 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+18
43.9%
Darrius Sims run for 18 yds to the Vandy 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
42.3%
Ralph Webb run for 1 yd to the Vandy 35Similar
Q4 5:56
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+4
42.5%
Ralph Webb run for 4 yds to the Vandy 39Similar
Q4 5:56
3RD & 5
OWN 39
-6
41.0%
Kyle Shurmur sacked by Davin Bellamy and David Marshall for a loss of 6 yards to the Vandy 33 Kyle Shurmur fumbled, recovered by Vandy Kyle Shurmur , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 5:56
4TH & 11
OWN 33
0
47.4%
Sam Loy punt for 67 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 23DOWNS
12 plays · 39 yds · 1:5448% → 45%
Q4 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
48.1%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Riley Ridley for 10 yds to the Geo 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
48.8%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Isaac NautaSimilar
Q4 2:55
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+7
47.6%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Isaac Nauta for 7 yds to the Geo 37Similar
Q4 2:55
3RD & 3
OWN 37
-10
51.0%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Michael Chigbu, PENALTY UGA holding (Sony Michel) 10 yards to the UGA27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:55
3RD & 13
OWN 27
0
44.7%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Isaac Nauta, broken up by Zach CunninghamSimilar
Q4 2:55
4TH & 13
OWN 27
+23
42.9%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Terry Godwin for 23 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:55
1ST & 10
50
0
54.9%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Riley RidleySimilar
Q4 2:55
2ND & 10
50
+9
54.2%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Michael Chigbu for 9 yds to the Vandy 41Similar
Q4 2:55
3RD & 1
OPP 41
0
54.7%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Michael ChigbuSimilar
Q4 1:01
4TH & 1
OPP 41
0
45.3%
Isaiah McKenzie run for no gain to the Vandy 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 24END OF GAME
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:0379% → 75%
Q4 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-2
20.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Vandy 39Similar
Q4 0:53
2ND & 12
OWN 39
-2
21.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Vandy 37Similar
Q4 0:53
3RD & 14
OWN 37
-2
24.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Vandy 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 9:43
Khari Blasingame run for 2 yds for a TD, (Tommy Openshaw KICK)
-24.7
KEY PLAY · Q4 0:56
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Vandy 39
-24.6
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-24.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com