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TENN

Tennessee 38 at Texas A&M 45

TA&M
2016 · Week 6 · Oct 8, 2016 · Kyle Field
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Win probability · TA&M
modelTA&M aheadTENN aheadconfidence bandkey playTA&M scoreTENN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTOT2TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
OT2 0:00 · Joshua Dobbs pass intercepted Armani Watts return for no gain to the TexAM 8
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorTime remaining
+21.5+10.80−10.8−21.5Q1Q2Q3Q4OTOT2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 13:05: Joshua Dobbs run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexAM 35 Joshua Dobbs fumbled, recovered by TexAM Daeshon Hall at TexAM 39 — TENN win probability +14.8 pts (now 33%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 4:00: Joshua Dobbs pass intercepted Justin Evans return for no gain to the TexAM 39 — TENN win probability +20.5 pts (now 47%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  3. FG · OT 0:00: Aaron Medley 34 yd FG GOOD — TENN win probability +16.6 pts (now 74%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  4. FG · OT 0:00: Daniel LaCamera 34 yd FG GOOD — TA&M win probability +24.7 pts (now 59%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  5. TD · OT2 0:00: Trevor Knight run for 1 yd for a TD, (Daniel LaCamera KICK) — TA&M win probability +18.7 pts (now 83%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TA&M made the numbers' call on 3 of 9TENN made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 5:29TA&M 4th & 1 at TA&M 32, up 7
    Close callPunted · 69.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.7%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q2 13:22TENN 4th & 2 at TA&M 35, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 24.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    23.5%−1.3
    45% to make
    Punt
    22.9%−1.8
    average punt
  3. Q2 11:02TA&M 4th & 3 at TENN 47, up 14
    Close callPunted · 78.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.1%−0.8
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:13TENN 4th & 10 at TENN 10, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.6%−0.7
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:12TA&M 4th & 6 at TENN 38, up 14
    Close callPunted · 79.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    78.7%−0.8
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    78.7%−0.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:14TENN 4th & 8 at TENN 16, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.8%−1.0
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:31TA&M 4th & 11 at TA&M 34, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.5%−1.6
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:19TENN 4th & 4 at TENN 35, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.6%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.7%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:25TA&M 4th & 7 at TA&M 35, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.7%−0.8
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:41TA&M 4th & 3 at TA&M 41, up 7
    Close callPunted · 78.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.2%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:16TA&M 4th & 4 at TA&M 45, tied
    Close callPunted · 61.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.8%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:06TENN 4th & 23 at TA&M 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.1%−5.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    42.2%−2.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    44.3%
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:36TA&M 4th & 2 at TA&M 38, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.7 ptsPunted · 58.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.8%−3.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:20TA&M 4th & 8 at TA&M 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.6%−5.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.7%
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:50TENN 4th & 6 at TENN 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.1%−4.7
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.7%
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:16TENN 4th & 1 at TA&M 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 51.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    52.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    38.8%−13.6
    34% to make
    Punt
    37.7%−14.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TA&M made the numbers' call on 2 of 2TENN made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 3:37TENN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:04TA&M Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:45TA&M Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TA&MDrive 1Uncategorized
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:2762% → 62%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
61.9%
Trayveon Williams run for 8 yds to the TexAM 33Similar
Q1 14:28
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+9
61.9%
Trevor Knight pass intercepted Todd Kelly Jr. return for 9 yds to the Tenn 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 2INT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:4436% → 36%
Q1 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
63.9%
Alvin Kamara run for 3 yds to the Tenn 38Similar
Q1 7:51
2ND & 7
OWN 38
0
63.9%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Josh MaloneSimilar
Q1 7:34
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+55
64.1%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Alvin Kamara for 55 yds Alvin Kamara fumbled, forced by Armani Watts, recovered by TexAM Zaycoven HendersonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 3INT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:5764% → 65%
Q1 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+16
64.3%
Trevor Knight run for 16 yds to the TexAM 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
64.5%
Keith Ford run for 4 yds to the TexAM 27Similar
Q1 6:39
2ND & 6
OWN 27
-9
64.7%
Trevor Knight sacked by Derek Barnett for a loss of 9 yards to the TexAM 18Similar
Q1 5:58
3RD & 15
OWN 18
+14
64.5%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Keith Ford for 14 yds to the TexAM 32Similar
Q1 5:29
4TH & 1
OWN 32
+16
64.6%
Shane Tripucka punt for 55 yds , Josh Smith returns for 16 yds to the Tenn 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 1:4535% → 41%
Q1 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
64.8%
Alvin Kamara run for 5 yds to the Tenn 34Similar
Q1 4:49
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+16
64.7%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:36
1ST & 10
50
+4
64.1%
John Kelly run for 4 yds to the TexAM 46Similar
Q1 4:09
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+9
64.2%
John Kelly run for 9 yds to the TexAM 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+33
63.9%
Joshua Dobbs run for 33 yds to the TexAM 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
59.2%
Jauan Jennings pass complete to Joshua Dobbs for 4 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 5PUNT TD
7 plays · 8 yds · 1:2961% → 67%
Q1 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
61.2%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Josh ReynoldsSimilar
Q1 3:18
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+19
61.0%
Trayveon Williams run for 19 yds to the TexAM 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
62.2%
Trayveon Williams run for 3 yds to the TexAM 47Similar
Q1 2:47
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+43
62.3%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Josh Reynolds for 43 yds to the Tenn 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+8
63.0%
Trayveon Williams run for 8 yds to the Tenn 2Similar
Q1 2:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
66.8%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Josh Reynolds for 2 yds for a TD, (Daniel LaCamera KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 6PUNT
3 plays · 22 yds · 0:0567% → 71%
Q1 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+15
66.9%
Knight, Trevor pass incomplete to Tabuyo, Jeremy, PENALTY TENNESSEE pass interference (Williams, Preston) 15 yards to the TENNESSEE7, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXASAM.Similar
Q1 1:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
71.4%
Trevor Knight run for 7 yds for a TD, (Daniel LaCamera KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 7PUNT
11 plays · 22 yds · 3:1930% → 30%
Q1 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-4
70.1%
TENNESSEE Penalty, False Start (Jack Jones) to the Tenn 4Similar
Q1 1:32
1ST & 14
OWN 4
+18
70.1%
Alvin Kamara run for 18 yds to the Tenn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
70.0%
Joshua Dobbs run for 8 yds to the Tenn 30Similar
Q1 0:38
2ND & 2
OWN 30
+13
69.6%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 13 yds to the Tenn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
70.0%
Joshua Dobbs run for 2 yds to the Tenn 45Similar
Q2 14:51
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+12
69.7%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Alvin Kamara for 12 yds to the TexAM 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:24
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
69.2%
John Kelly run for 5 yds to the TexAM 38Similar
Q2 13:42
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+3
69.5%
John Kelly run for 3 yds to the TexAM 35Similar
Q2 13:32
3RD & 2
OPP 35
0
69.6%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Jason CroomSimilar
Q2 13:22
4TH & 2
OPP 35
0
70.4%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Jauan JenningsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 8FUMBLE
8 plays · 11 yds · 2:1173% → 74%
Q2 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
72.6%
Trevor Knight run for 1 yd to the TexAM 36Similar
Q2 12:47
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
73.0%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Trayveon WilliamsSimilar
Q2 12:47
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+5
72.5%
TENNESSEE Penalty, Defensive Offside (Derek Barnett) to the TexAM 41Similar
Q2 12:40
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+5
73.2%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Speedy Noil for 5 yds to the TexAM 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
74.3%
Trayveon Williams run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 11:45
2ND & 6
50
+3
74.5%
Trevor Knight run for 3 yds to the Tenn 47Similar
Q2 11:10
3RD & 3
OPP 47
0
74.3%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Speedy NoilSimilar
Q2 11:02
4TH & 3
OPP 47
+36
73.8%
Shane Tripucka punt for 36 yds , Alvin Kamara returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 10 Alvin Kamara fumbled, recovered by Tenn Alvin KamaraSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 9FUMBLE
5 plays · 11 yds · 1:4028% → 26%
Q2 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
72.4%
Alvin Kamara run for no gain to the Tenn 10Similar
Q2 10:25
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+1
72.9%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Josh Smith for 1 yd to the Tenn 11Similar
Q2 10:17
3RD & 9
OWN 11
-5
73.1%
TENNESSEE Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jauan Jennings) to the Tenn 6Similar
Q2 10:02
3RD & 14
OWN 6
+4
73.7%
Joshua Dobbs run for 4 yds to the Tenn 10Similar
Q2 9:13
4TH & 10
OWN 10
0
74.3%
Trevor Daniel punt for 55 yds, downed at the TexAM 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 10TD
7 plays · 26 yds · 1:5575% → 88%
Q2 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-4
74.8%
Trevor Knight run for 1 yd to the TexAM 36 TEXAS A&M Penalty, Illegal Forward Pass (Trevor Knight) to the TexAM 31Similar
Q2 8:56
2ND & 14
OWN 31
+3
74.6%
Trevor Knight run for 3 yds to the TexAM 34Similar
Q2 8:24
3RD & 11
OWN 34
+24
74.4%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Frank Iheanacho for 24 yds to the Tenn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
76.5%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Christian Kirk for 4 yds to the Tenn 38Similar
Q2 7:34
2ND & 6
OPP 38
0
76.0%
Keith Ford run for no gain to the Tenn 38Similar
Q2 7:22
3RD & 6
OPP 38
0
75.3%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Speedy NoilSimilar
Q2 7:12
4TH & 6
OPP 38
0
87.7%
Shane Tripucka punt for 36 yds, downed at the Tenn 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 11TD
6 plays · 26 yds · 1:4914% → 23%
Q2 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+2
85.7%
John Kelly run for 2 yds to the Tenn 4Similar
Q2 6:26
2ND & 8
OWN 4
+10
86.4%
John Kelly run for 10 yds to the Tenn 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
86.1%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Josh MaloneSimilar
Q2 5:51
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+2
86.4%
Alvin Kamara run for 2 yds to the Tenn 16Similar
Q2 5:20
3RD & 8
OWN 16
0
86.9%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Ethan WolfSimilar
Q2 5:14
4TH & 8
OWN 16
0
76.6%
Trevor Daniel punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Christian Kirk at the TexAM 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 12FUMBLE
4 plays · 58 yds · 1:3576% → 76%
Q2 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
75.8%
Trayveon Williams run for 1 yd to the TexAM 36Similar
Q2 4:25
2ND & 9
OWN 36
-2
76.3%
Trayveon Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexAM 34Similar
Q2 3:47
3RD & 11
OWN 34
0
75.5%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Josh ReynoldsSimilar
Q2 3:31
4TH & 11
OWN 34
+2
75.7%
Shane Tripucka punt for 53 yds , Alvin Kamara returns for 2 yds to the Tenn 15 TENNESSEE Penalty, Personal Foul (Nigel Warrior) to the Tenn 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 13FUMBLE
7 plays · 58 yds · 2:0223% → 22%
Q2 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+4
77.4%
Joshua Dobbs run for 4 yds to the Tenn 12Similar
Q2 2:57
2ND & 6
OWN 12
+17
77.3%
John Kelly run for 17 yds to the Tenn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
76.8%
John Kelly run for 3 yds to the Tenn 32Similar
Q2 2:16
2ND & 7
OWN 32
-5
77.1%
TENNESSEE Penalty, False Start (Jashon Robertson) to the Tenn 27Similar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 12
OWN 27
+8
78.2%
Tyler Byrd run for 8 yds to the Tenn 35Similar
Q2 1:26
3RD & 4
OWN 35
0
78.0%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Josh MaloneSimilar
Q2 1:19
4TH & 4
OWN 35
0
78.5%
Trevor Daniel punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexAM 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 25 yds · 0:5179% → 80%
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
79.2%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Jeremy TabuyoSimilar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 10
OWN 32
-5
79.0%
Knight, Trevor pass complete to Reynolds, Josh for 45 yards to the TENNESSEE23, PENALTY TEXASAM ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the TEXASAM27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:36
2ND & 15
OWN 27
+8
78.9%
Trevor Knight run for 8 yds to the TexAM 35Similar
Q2 0:31
3RD & 7
OWN 35
0
80.8%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Jeremy TabuyoSimilar
Q2 0:25
4TH & 7
OWN 35
0
80.1%
Shane Tripucka punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tenn 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 15PUNT
1 play · 25 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
80.9%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Alvin Kamara for 2 yds to the Tenn 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 16TD
7 plays · 71 yds · 1:5119% → 33%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
81.2%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Josh SmithSimilar
Q3 14:49
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
81.4%
Alvin Kamara run for 15 yds to the Tenn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:33
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
80.4%
Alvin Kamara run for 1 yd to the Tenn 41Similar
Q3 13:38
2ND & 9
OWN 41
-1
80.8%
Joshua Dobbs sacked by Jarrett Johnson and Zaycoven Henderson for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 40Similar
Q3 13:17
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+27
81.6%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Josh Malone for 27 yds to the TexAM 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-6
66.9%
Joshua Dobbs run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexAM 35 Joshua Dobbs fumbled, recovered by TexAM Daeshon Hall at TexAM 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 17TD
9 plays · 71 yds · 2:2074% → 76%
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
73.6%
Trayveon Williams run for 3 yds to the TexAM 42Similar
Q3 12:31
2ND & 7
OWN 42
0
74.2%
Trevor Knight pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:24
3RD & 7
OWN 42
+15
72.5%
Knight, Trevor pass incomplete to Noil, Speedy, PENALTY TENNESSEE pass interference (Foreman, Malik) 15 yards to the TENNESSEE43, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXASAM.Similar
Q3 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
74.6%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Christian Kirk for 3 yds to the Tenn 40Similar
Q3 12:02
2ND & 7
OPP 40
-5
75.0%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Tenn 45Similar
Q3 11:55
2ND & 12
OPP 45
+5
74.2%
Trayveon Williams run for 5 yds to the Tenn 40Similar
Q3 11:19
3RD & 7
OPP 40
+27
74.5%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Speedy Noil for 27 yds to the Tenn 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:04
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
75.8%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Christian Kirk for 6 yds to the Tenn 7Similar
Q3 10:40
2ND & 4
OPP 7
+7
75.9%
Trayveon Williams run for 7 yds for a TD, (Daniel LaCamera KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 18TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:1428% → 33%
Q3 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
72.0%
Alvin Kamara run for no gain to the Tenn 18Similar
Q3 9:58
2ND & 10
OWN 18
0
72.4%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Josh MaloneSimilar
Q3 9:49
3RD & 10
OWN 18
+12
73.7%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to John Kelly for 12 yds to the Tenn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
71.9%
Joshua Dobbs run for 4 yds to the Tenn 34Similar
Q3 8:49
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+26
71.4%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Jason Croom for 26 yds to the TexAM 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:28
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
69.4%
John Kelly run for 4 yds to the TexAM 36Similar
Q3 7:55
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+1
68.8%
Joshua Dobbs run for 1 yd to the TexAM 35Similar
Q3 7:22
3RD & 5
OPP 35
+20
69.7%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 20 yds to the TexAM 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
67.4%
Alvin Kamara run for 15 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 19TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:3277% → 88%
Q3 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
76.9%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, False Start (Avery Gennesy) to the TexAM 20Similar
Q3 6:48
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+7
76.7%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Josh Reynolds for 7 yds to the TexAM 27Similar
Q3 6:33
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
87.5%
Trevor Knight pass intercepted Colton Jumper return for no gain to the TexAM 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 20TD
2 plays · 22 yds · 0:1218% → 33%
Q3 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
81.9%
John Kelly run for 5 yds to the TexAM 23Similar
Q3 6:07
2ND & 5
OPP 23
+21
67.5%
John Kelly run for 3 yds to the TexAM 20 John Kelly fumbled, forced by Hardreck Walker, recovered by TexAM Nick Harvey at TexAM 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 21FUMBLE
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:1877% → 77%
Q3 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+32
76.9%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Josh Reynolds for 32 yds to the TexAM 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
77.6%
Trevor Knight run for 2 yds to the TexAM 36Similar
Q3 5:22
2ND & 8
OWN 36
0
78.3%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Christian KirkSimilar
Q3 4:52
3RD & 8
OWN 36
+5
77.0%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Josh Reynolds for 5 yds to the TexAM 41Similar
Q3 4:41
4TH & 3
OWN 41
0
76.6%
Shane Tripucka punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tenn 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 22TD
2 plays · 22 yds · 0:3427% → 47%
Q3 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
73.2%
Alvin Kamara run for 3 yds to the Tenn 38Similar
Q3 4:00
2ND & 7
OWN 38
0
52.7%
Joshua Dobbs pass intercepted Justin Evans return for no gain to the TexAM 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 23DOWNS
4 plays · 49 yds · 1:2961% → 59%
Q3 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
60.8%
Trayveon Williams run for 3 yds to the TexAM 42Similar
Q3 3:18
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+6
62.3%
Trayveon Williams run for 6 yds to the TexAM 48Similar
Q3 2:57
3RD & 1
OWN 48
-3
61.9%
Trayveon Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexAM 45Similar
Q3 2:16
4TH & 4
OWN 45
0
59.3%
Shane Tripucka punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tenn 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 24DOWNS
11 plays · 57 yds · 3:5445% → 44%
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+34
54.9%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Alvin Kamara for 34 yds to the TexAM 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-1
50.3%
Alvin Kamara run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 49Similar
Q3 1:14
2ND & 11
OPP 49
+10
51.2%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Ethan Wolf for 10 yds to the TexAM 39Similar
Q3 1:07
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+2
50.0%
John Kelly run for 2 yds to the TexAM 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-12
50.0%
Joshua Dobbs sacked by Donovan Wilson for a loss of 12 yards to the TexAM 49Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 22
OPP 49
+4
52.4%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Ethan Wolf for 4 yds to the TexAM 45Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 18
OPP 45
+15
54.1%
Dobbs, Joshua pass incomplete to Jennings, Jauan, PENALTY TEXASAM pass interference (Willis, Priest) 15 yards to the TEXASAM30, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TENNESSEE.Similar
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-4
48.3%
Joshua Dobbs run for a loss of 4 yards to the TexAM 34Similar
Q4 13:22
2ND & 14
OPP 34
-9
50.0%
Joshua Dobbs sacked by Daeshon Hall and Daylon Mack for a loss of 9 yards to the TexAM 43Similar
Q4 13:13
3RD & 23
OPP 43
0
53.3%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Josh SmithSimilar
Q4 13:06
4TH & 23
OPP 43
0
55.8%
Trevor Daniel punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Christian Kirk at the TexAM 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 25PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 2:2258% → 58%
Q4 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-1
57.6%
Trayveon Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 8Similar
Q4 12:36
2ND & 11
OWN 8
+22
57.4%
Keith Ford run for 22 yds to the TexAM 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
58.9%
Keith Ford run for 3 yds to the TexAM 33Similar
Q4 11:50
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+1
59.5%
Keith Ford run for 1 yd to the TexAM 34Similar
Q4 11:23
3RD & 6
OWN 34
+5
57.5%
TENNESSEE Penalty, Defensive Offside (Jarrett Johnson) to the TexAM 39Similar
Q4 10:57
3RD & 1
OWN 39
-1
61.0%
Keith Ford run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 38Similar
Q4 10:36
4TH & 2
OWN 38
+7
57.5%
Shane Tripucka punt for 54 yds , Alvin Kamara returns for 7 yds to the Tenn 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 26FUMBLE TD
13 plays · 18 yds · 3:2146% → 56%
Q4 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+7
53.9%
Joshua Dobbs run for 7 yds to the Tenn 22Similar
Q4 9:58
2ND & 3
OWN 22
+14
52.4%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 14 yds to the Tenn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
51.8%
TENNESSEE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Tenn 31Similar
Q4 9:47
1ST & 15
OWN 31
0
53.5%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Tyler ByrdSimilar
Q4 9:36
2ND & 15
OWN 31
+5
53.9%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 5 yds to the Tenn 36Similar
Q4 9:20
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+13
54.5%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Alvin Kamara for 13 yds to the Tenn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
48.3%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Tyler Byrd for 6 yds to the TexAM 45Similar
Q4 8:38
2ND & 4
OPP 45
-2
47.3%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Josh Smith for a loss of 2 yards to the TexAM 47Similar
Q4 8:06
3RD & 6
OPP 47
+13
48.5%
Joshua Dobbs run for 13 yds to the TexAM 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:48
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
46.0%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Jauan JenningsSimilar
Q4 7:40
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+19
46.0%
Alvin Kamara run for 19 yds to the TexAM 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:16
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+11
44.1%
Joshua Dobbs run for 11 yds to the TexAM 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
44.0%
John Kelly 4 Yd Run (Aaron Medley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 27PUNT
7 plays · 0 yds · 0:3557% → 54%
Q4 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
57.4%
Trevor Knight run for 2 yds to the TexAM 27Similar
Q4 6:39
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
57.7%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Jeremy TabuyoSimilar
Q4 6:39
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+5
54.8%
TENNESSEE Penalty, Defensive Offside (Derek Barnett) to the TexAM 32Similar
Q4 6:39
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-5
56.8%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, False Start (Connor Lanfear) to the TexAM 27Similar
Q4 6:28
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
54.9%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Josh ReynoldsSimilar
Q4 6:20
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
53.7%
Shane Tripucka punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tenn 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 28PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:2749% → 46%
Q4 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
50.7%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Jauan JenningsSimilar
Q4 6:10
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+4
51.4%
Alvin Kamara run for 4 yds to the Tenn 34Similar
Q4 6:00
3RD & 6
OWN 34
0
51.3%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Josh MaloneSimilar
Q4 5:50
4TH & 6
OWN 34
0
54.0%
Trevor Daniel punt for 66 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 29PUNT
5 plays · 27 yds · 2:1857% → 60%
Q4 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
57.3%
Trevor Knight run for 6 yds to the TexAM 26Similar
Q4 5:05
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+4
58.1%
Trayveon Williams run for 4 yds to the TexAM 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
57.9%
Trayveon Williams run for 4 yds to the TexAM 34Similar
Q4 3:58
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+4
59.6%
Trayveon Williams run for 4 yds to the TexAM 38Similar
Q4 3:22
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+62
59.9%
Trevor Knight run for 62 yds for a TD, (Daniel LaCamera KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 30PUNT TD
7 plays · 27 yds · 1:0151% → 59%
Q4 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+16
49.1%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Alvin Kamara for 16 yds to the TexAM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:52
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
44.4%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Josh MaloneSimilar
Q4 2:46
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
45.0%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Josh MaloneSimilar
Q4 2:40
3RD & 10
OPP 49
+9
47.7%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Jason Croom for 9 yds to the TexAM 40Similar
Q4 2:16
4TH & 1
OPP 40
+36
47.5%
Alvin Kamara run for 36 yds to the TexAM 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
41.4%
Alvin Kamara run for 4 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 31PUNT
4 plays · 14 yds · 0:1557% → 59%
Q4 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
56.9%
Trayveon Williams run for 2 yds to the TexAM 27Similar
Q4 1:49
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+71
59.2%
Trayveon Williams run for 71 yds Trayveon Williams fumbled, forced by Malik Foreman, recovered by TennSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 32PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 1:0849% → 61%
Q4 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
51.4%
TENNESSEE Penalty, False Start (Brett Kendrick) to the Tenn 15Similar
Q4 1:35
1ST & 15
OWN 15
+43
51.8%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Tyler Byrd for 43 yds to the TexAM 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
43.7%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Jason Croom for 6 yds to the TexAM 36Similar
Q4 1:15
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+7
43.1%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Brandon Johnson for 7 yds to the TexAM 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:06
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+11
38.0%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Alvin Kamara for 11 yds to the TexAM 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
37.9%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Alvin KamaraSimilar
Q4 0:41
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+18
38.6%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Alvin Kamara for 18 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 33PUNT
11 plays · -1 yds · 0:3256% → 65%
Q4 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
56.0%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Trayveon WilliamsSimilar
Q4 0:31
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+14
55.1%
Trayveon Williams run for 14 yds to the TexAM 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+21
58.7%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Christian Kirk for 21 yds to the Tenn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
63.0%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Christian KirkSimilar
Q4 0:10
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+22
62.7%
Trayveon Williams run for 22 yds to the Tenn 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:08
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-3
65.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tenn 21Similar
Q4 0:04
2ND & 13
OPP 21
+38
65.4%
Daniel LaCamera 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 34PUNT
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0051% → 51%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-2
49.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 35PUNT
4 plays · 27 yds · 0:0060% → 74%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
40.5%
Alvin Kamara run for no gain to the TexAM 25Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+5
41.1%
Joshua Dobbs run for 5 yds to the TexAM 20Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 5
OPP 20
+4
43.0%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Josh Malone for 4 yds to the TexAM 16Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 1
OPP 16
+34
26.3%
Aaron Medley 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 36PUNT
5 plays · 27 yds · 0:0041% → 59%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
41.3%
Trevor Knight run for 7 yds to the Tenn 18Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 18
+2
41.3%
Trayveon Williams run for 2 yds to the Tenn 16Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 16
0
37.7%
Trevor Knight run for no gain to the Tenn 16Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 1
OPP 16
+34
59.4%
Daniel LaCamera 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 37PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0065% → 83%
OT2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-5
64.7%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, False Start (Avery Gennesy) to the Tenn 30Similar
OT2 0:00
1ST & 15
OPP 30
+5
63.4%
Trayveon Williams run for 5 yds to the Tenn 25Similar
OT2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+24
64.5%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Christian Kirk for 24 yds to the Tenn 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT2 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
83.2%
Trevor Knight run for 1 yd for a TD, (Daniel LaCamera KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 38PUNT
1 play · 3 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
OT2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
80.4%
Joshua Dobbs pass intercepted Armani Watts return for no gain to the TexAM 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · OT 0:00
Daniel LaCamera 34 yd FG GOOD
+24.7
TD · Q3 4:00
Joshua Dobbs pass intercepted Justin Evans return for no gain to the TexAM 39
-20.5
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+19.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com