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VAN

Vanderbilt 13 at Kentucky 20

UK
2016 · Week 6 · Oct 8, 2016 · Kroger Field
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Win probability · UK
modelUK aheadVAN aheadconfidence bandkey playUK scoreVAN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGFUMBLETDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 10:16 · Grant McKinniss punt for 36 yds , Ryan White returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 47
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorBlowout margin
+14.5+7.30−7.3−14.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 20Pregame prior+8.6Home team on offense+0.8Score differential+0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.2Garbage-time factor+0.4Blowout margin−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:33: Stephen Johnson run for 3 yds for a TD, (Austin MacGinnis KICK) — UK win probability +7.4 pts (now 70%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:30: Austin MacGinnis 46 yd FG GOOD — UK win probability +5.6 pts (now 83%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  3. FUMBLE · Q3 12:18: Stanley Williams run for 8 yds Stanley Williams fumbled, forced by Ryan White, recovered by Vandy Taurean Ferguson , return for 22 yds, (Tommy Openshaw KICK) — VAN win probability +9.7 pts (now 29%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 12:18: KENTUCKY Penalty, personal foul (2 Yards) to the Kent 1 — VAN win probability +20.4 pts (now 49%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 14:02: Tommy Openshaw 26 yd FG GOOD — UK win probability +3.3 pts (now 52%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UK made the numbers' call on 9 of 10VAN made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 11:54VAN 4th & 2 at midfield, down 7
    Close callPunted · 41.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.0%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.9%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:16UK 4th & 5 at UK 16, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.5%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:35VAN 4th & 8 at UK 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 39.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.4%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.5%
    56% to make
    Punt
    39.2%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:28UK 4th & 14 at UK 17, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.4%−0.8
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.2%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:18UK 4th & 1 at VAN 27, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 59.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    59.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    58.8%−0.8
    62% to make
    Punt
    56.9%−2.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:55UK 4th & 1 at VAN 6, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 59.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    59.8%
    69% to convert
    Field goal
    58.7%−1.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    55.6%−4.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:33VAN 4th & 8 at VAN 27, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.2%−0.5
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 12:11UK 4th & 15 at UK 20, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.0%−1.8
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.8%
    average punt
  9. Q2 11:02VAN 4th & 23 at UK 39, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.3%−0.9
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    32.1%−0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    32.2%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:30UK 4th & 9 at VAN 28, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 75.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.0%−1.0
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.9%
    60% to make
    Punt
    72.4%−3.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 14:55VAN 4th & 8 at VAN 40, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.5%−0.5
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.0%
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:43VAN 4th & 1 at UK 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 46.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    46.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    42.9%−4.0
    40% to make
    Punt
    42.7%−4.2
    average punt
  13. Q3 8:27UK 4th & 8 at VAN 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.8%−0.9
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.6%
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:02VAN 4th & 8 at UK 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 47.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.2%−1.8
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.9%
    90% to make
    Punt
    30.7%−16.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:57UK 4th & 10 at midfield, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.8%−1.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.2%
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:44VAN 4th & 11 at VAN 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.2%−5.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.4%
    average punt
  17. Q4 7:58UK 4th & 1 at VAN 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 60.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    59.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    53.1%−6.5
    75% to make
    Punt
    34.2%−25.4
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:38UK 4th & 1 at VAN 10, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 12.0 ptsKicked a field goal · 60.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.9%−12.0
    88% to make
    Punt
    20.2%−43.8
    average punt
  19. Q4 0:07VAN 4th & 13 at UK 13, tied
    Numbers favored field goal by 15.6 ptsWent for it · 49.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    40.5%−15.6
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    56.1%
    85% to make
    Punt
    21.5%−34.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UK made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 11:59UK Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:33UK Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UKDrive 1TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:0159% → 61%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
59.4%
Stanley Williams run for 4 yds to the Kent 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+7
59.4%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to Ryan Timmons for 7 yds to the Kent 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
59.4%
Stephen Johnson pass incomplete, broken up by Torren McGasterSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+31
59.4%
Stanley Williams run for 31 yds to the Vandy 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
59.4%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to C.J. Conrad for 7 yds to the Vandy 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 26
+6
59.4%
Jojo Kemp run for 6 yds to the Vandy 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+16
59.4%
Jojo Kemp run for 16 yds to the Vandy 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
59.4%
Stephen Johnson pass incomplete to C.J. ConradSimilar
Q1 11:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
60.9%
Jojo Kemp run for 4 yds for a TD, (Austin MacGinnis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 0:0040% → 40%
Q1 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+15
60.5%
Ralph Webb run for 15 yds to the Vandy 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
60.3%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 3 yds to the Vandy 45Similar
Q1 11:54
2ND & 7
OWN 45
0
60.2%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete, broken up by Courtney MigginsSimilar
Q1 11:54
3RD & 7
OWN 45
+5
60.4%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Ralph Webb for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 11:54
4TH & 2
50
0
60.4%
Sam Loy punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0061% → 61%
Q1 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+1
61.2%
Stanley Williams run for 1 yd to the Kent 12Similar
Q1 10:16
2ND & 9
OWN 12
+4
61.2%
Stephen Johnson run for 4 yds to the Kent 16Similar
Q1 10:16
3RD & 5
OWN 16
0
61.0%
Stephen Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:16
4TH & 5
OWN 16
+36
60.8%
Grant McKinniss punt for 36 yds , Ryan White returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 4FG
10 plays · 23 yds · 3:3039% → 40%
Q1 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+11
61.1%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to C.J. Duncan for 11 yds to the Kent 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
61.0%
Ralph Webb run for 6 yds to the Kent 36Similar
Q1 9:05
2ND & 4
OPP 36
0
61.0%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for no gain to the Kent 36Similar
Q1 9:05
3RD & 4
OPP 36
-5
61.0%
VANDERBILT Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the Kent 41Similar
Q1 9:05
3RD & 9
OPP 41
+9
61.2%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to C.J. Duncan for 9 yds to the Kent 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
60.8%
Kyle Shurmur pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:05
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+2
60.8%
Ralph Webb run for 2 yds to the Kent 30Similar
Q1 5:46
3RD & 8
OPP 30
0
61.6%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Ralph Webb, broken up by Alvonte BellSimilar
Q1 5:35
4TH & 8
OPP 30
+48
60.2%
Tommy Openshaw 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 0:0061% → 60%
Q1 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
60.7%
Jojo Kemp run for 1 yd to the Kent 22Similar
Q1 5:28
2ND & 9
OWN 22
-5
60.6%
KENTUCKY Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the Kent 17Similar
Q1 5:28
2ND & 14
OWN 17
0
60.5%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to Jeff Badet for no gain to the Kent 17Similar
Q1 5:28
3RD & 14
OWN 17
0
60.2%
Stephen Johnson pass incomplete, broken up by Ryan WhiteSimilar
Q1 5:28
4TH & 14
OWN 17
0
59.9%
Grant McKinniss punt for 31 yds , Ryan White returns for no gain to the Vandy 47 Ryan White fumbled, recovered by Kent Eli BrownSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 6TD
15 plays · 47 yds · 5:1662% → 70%
Q1 3:49
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
62.1%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to Garrett Johnson for 5 yds to the Vandy 42Similar
Q1 3:18
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+6
62.5%
Benjamin Snell Jr. run for 6 yds to the Vandy 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:18
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
62.5%
Benjamin Snell Jr. run for 2 yds to the Vandy 34Similar
Q1 3:18
2ND & 8
OPP 34
0
62.6%
Stephen Johnson pass incomplete to Jeff BadetSimilar
Q1 3:18
3RD & 8
OPP 34
+7
62.2%
Stephen Johnson run for 7 yds to the Vandy 27Similar
Q1 3:18
4TH & 1
OPP 27
+1
61.7%
Stephen Johnson run for 1 yd to the Vandy 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:18
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
62.6%
Benjamin Snell Jr. run for 2 yds to the Vandy 24Similar
Q1 3:18
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+9
62.6%
Benjamin Snell Jr. run for 9 yds to the Vandy 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:18
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
62.6%
Benjamin Snell Jr. run for 1 yd to the Vandy 14Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 14
0
63.1%
Stephen Johnson pass incomplete, broken up by Torren McGasterSimilar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 9
OPP 14
+8
62.7%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to Jeff Badet for 8 yds to the Vandy 6Similar
Q2 14:55
4TH & 1
OPP 6
+3
62.2%
Benjamin Snell Jr. run for 3 yds to the Vandy 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
69.6%
Stephen Johnson run for 3 yds for a TD, (Austin MacGinnis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0033% → 32%
Q2 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
67.5%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Kalija LipscombSimilar
Q2 13:33
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
67.7%
Ralph Webb run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 24 VANDERBILT Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 13:33
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+3
68.2%
Kyle Shurmur run for 3 yds to the Vandy 27Similar
Q2 13:33
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
68.4%
Sam Loy punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Kent 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:0069% → 68%
Q2 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
68.9%
Stanley Williams run for a loss of 5 yards to the Kent 20Similar
Q2 12:11
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
68.8%
Stephen Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:11
3RD & 15
OWN 20
0
68.2%
Stephen Johnson pass incomplete to Garrett Johnson, broken up by Emmanuel SmithSimilar
Q2 12:11
4TH & 15
OWN 20
+4
67.8%
Grant McKinniss punt for 37 yds , Ryan White returns for 4 yds to the Vandy 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 14 yds · 0:0032% → 30%
Q2 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+15
68.1%
Ralph Webb run for 15 yds to the Kent 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
67.6%
Khari Blasingame run for 4 yds to the Kent 34Similar
Q2 11:02
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+8
66.5%
Khari Blasingame run for 8 yds to the Kent 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
66.5%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Nathan Marcus for 1 yd to the Kent 25Similar
Q2 11:02
2ND & 9
OPP 25
+2
67.0%
Ralph Webb run for 2 yds to the Kent 23Similar
Q2 11:02
3RD & 7
OPP 23
-5
67.7%
[SHOT], PENALTY VANDY delay of game (Kyle Shurmur) 5 yards to the UK28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:02
3RD & 12
OPP 28
-6
68.2%
Kyle Shurmur sacked by Josh Allen for a loss of 6 yards to the Kent 34Similar
Q2 11:02
4TH & 18
OPP 34
-5
70.0%
VANDERBILT Penalty, delay of game (Kyle Shurmur) to the Kent 39Similar
Q2 11:02
4TH & 23
OPP 39
0
69.8%
Sam Loy punt for 39 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 10FG
16 plays · 52 yds · 6:2372% → 83%
Q2 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
71.7%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to Stanley Williams for no gain to the Kent 20Similar
Q2 6:53
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+5
71.6%
Stanley Williams run for 5 yds to the Kent 25Similar
Q2 6:53
3RD & 5
OWN 25
-3
71.1%
Stephen Johnson run for 7 yds to the Kent 32 KENTUCKY Penalty, Offensive holding (Ryan Timmons) to the Kent 22Similar
Q2 6:53
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+9
70.9%
Stephen Johnson run for 9 yds to the Kent 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
71.9%
Jojo Kemp run for 2 yds to the Kent 33Similar
Q2 6:53
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+11
71.8%
Stephen Johnson run for 11 yds to the Kent 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
73.0%
Jojo Kemp run for 2 yds to the Kent 46Similar
Q2 6:53
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+8
72.8%
Stanley Williams run for 8 yds to the Vandy 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
73.2%
Stanley Williams run for 1 yd to the Vandy 45Similar
Q2 6:53
2ND & 9
OPP 45
+1
73.0%
Stanley Williams run for 1 yd to the Vandy 44Similar
Q2 6:53
3RD & 8
OPP 44
+15
72.4%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to Garrett Johnson for 15 yds to the Vandy 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
73.2%
Stephen Johnson pass incomplete to C.J. Conrad, broken up by Ryan WhiteSimilar
Q2 6:53
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+1
73.1%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to Jojo Kemp for 1 yd to the Vandy 28Similar
Q2 6:53
3RD & 9
OPP 28
0
72.6%
Stephen Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:30
4TH & 9
OPP 28
+46
82.7%
Austin MacGinnis 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 11MISSED FG
7 plays · 4 yds · 0:1924% → 19%
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+11
75.6%
Kyle Shurmur run for 11 yds to the Kent 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
75.3%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 10
OPP 24
-7
75.7%
Kyle Shurmur sacked by Denzil Ware for a loss of 7 yards to the Kent 31 VANDERBILT Penalty, intentional grounding (Kyle Shurmur) to the Kent 31Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 17
OPP 31
+49
81.1%
Tommy Openshaw 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:0020% → 19%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
80.4%
Ralph Webb run for 9 yds to the Vandy 32Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 1
OWN 32
+6
78.9%
Ralph Webb run for 6 yds to the Vandy 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
79.3%
Khari Blasingame run for 4 yds to the Vandy 42Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 6
OWN 42
0
78.8%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Kalija LipscombSimilar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 6
OWN 42
-2
79.5%
Kyle Shurmur sacked by Josh Allen and Denzil Ware for a loss of 2 yards to the Vandy 40Similar
Q3 14:55
4TH & 8
OWN 40
0
80.7%
Sam Loy punt for 36 yds , Charles Walker returns for no gain to the Kent 40 KENTUCKY Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 13FUMBLE TD
1 play · 8 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q3 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+22
71.1%
Stanley Williams run for 8 yds Stanley Williams fumbled, forced by Ryan White, recovered by Vandy Taurean Ferguson , return for 22 yds, (Tommy Openshaw KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 14TD
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0049% → 49%
Q3 12:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
50.6%
KENTUCKY Penalty, personal foul (2 Yards) to the Kent 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 15INT
5 plays · 17 yds · 0:0059% → 61%
Q3 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+12
59.1%
Benjamin Snell Jr. run for 12 yds to the Kent 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
61.5%
Benjamin Snell Jr. run for no gain to the Kent 46Similar
Q3 12:12
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+5
60.4%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to C.J. Conrad for 5 yds to the Vandy 49Similar
Q3 12:12
3RD & 5
OPP 49
-11
61.3%
Stephen Johnson pass intercepted Tre Herndon return for 4 yds to the Kent 45 KENTUCKY Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the Kent 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 16DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0048% → 46%
Q3 10:43
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-6
51.9%
Ralph Webb run for 4 yds to the Vandy 42 VANDERBILT Penalty, Offensive holding (Sean Dowling) to the Vandy 48Similar
Q3 10:43
1ST & 16
OWN 48
+6
54.0%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Trent Sherfield for 6 yds to the Kent 46Similar
Q3 10:43
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+3
51.9%
Ralph Webb run for 3 yds to the Kent 43Similar
Q3 10:43
3RD & 7
OPP 43
+6
52.4%
Kyle Shurmur run for 6 yds to the Kent 37Similar
Q3 10:43
4TH & 1
OPP 37
0
54.0%
Ralph Webb run for no gain to the Kent 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:0060% → 58%
Q3 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
59.9%
Benjamin Snell Jr. run for 9 yds to the Kent 46Similar
Q3 8:27
2ND & 1
OWN 46
0
62.1%
Benjamin Snell Jr. run for no gain to the Kent 46Similar
Q3 8:27
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+4
61.1%
Benjamin Snell Jr. run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:27
1ST & 10
50
0
62.4%
Stephen Johnson pass incomplete to C.J. ConradSimilar
Q3 8:27
2ND & 10
50
+2
61.9%
Benjamin Snell Jr. run for 2 yds to the Vandy 48Similar
Q3 8:27
3RD & 8
OPP 48
0
61.1%
Stephen Johnson pass incomplete to Garrett JohnsonSimilar
Q3 8:27
4TH & 8
OPP 48
0
58.3%
Grant McKinniss punt for 33 yds , Ryan White returns for no gain to the Vandy 7 Ryan White fumbled,Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 18FG
15 plays · 85 yds · 6:4744% → 48%
Q3 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+3
55.8%
Ralph Webb run for 3 yds to the Vandy 10Similar
Q3 5:49
2ND & 7
OWN 10
+6
55.7%
Ralph Webb run for 6 yds to the Vandy 16Similar
Q3 5:49
3RD & 1
OWN 16
-5
56.5%
VANDERBILT Penalty, false start (Will Holden) to the Vandy 11Similar
Q3 5:49
3RD & 6
OWN 11
+8
57.1%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 8 yds to the Vandy 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+30
55.1%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Sam Dobbs for 30 yds to the Vandy 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
51.2%
Kyle Shurmur pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:49
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+11
51.9%
Ralph Webb run for 11 yds to the Kent 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
50.9%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Nathan Marcus for 6 yds to the Kent 34Similar
Q3 5:49
2ND & 4
OPP 34
+7
49.3%
Khari Blasingame run for 7 yds to the Kent 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
49.3%
Ralph Webb run for 7 yds to the Kent 20Similar
Q3 5:49
2ND & 3
OPP 20
+10
49.3%
Ralph Webb run for 10 yds to the Kent 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
49.3%
Ralph Webb run for 3 yds to the Kent 7Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-1
47.2%
Ralph Webb run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 8Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
49.1%
Kyle Shurmur pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:02
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+26
52.4%
Tommy Openshaw 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 19PUNT
9 plays · 26 yds · 0:0058% → 57%
Q4 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+15
58.1%
Jojo Kemp run for 15 yds to the Kent 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-1
60.1%
Jojo Kemp run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 38Similar
Q4 13:57
2ND & 11
OWN 38
+10
59.4%
Stephen Johnson run for 10 yds to the Kent 48Similar
Q4 13:57
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+2
61.3%
Stephen Johnson run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:57
1ST & 10
50
+1
62.7%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to C.J. Conrad for 1 yd to the Vandy 49Similar
Q4 13:57
2ND & 9
OPP 49
-1
62.7%
Jojo Kemp run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 13:57
3RD & 10
50
0
59.2%
Stephen Johnson pass incomplete to Jojo KempSimilar
Q4 13:57
4TH & 10
50
0
57.0%
Grant McKinniss punt for 44 yds, downed at the Vandy 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 11 yds · 0:0046% → 43%
Q4 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+12
54.0%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to C.J. Duncan for 12 yds to the Vandy 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
53.1%
Josh Crawford run for 3 yds to the Vandy 21Similar
Q4 10:44
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+3
53.4%
Khari Blasingame run for 3 yds to the Vandy 24Similar
Q4 10:44
3RD & 4
OWN 24
-7
54.4%
Kyle Shurmur sacked by Jordan Jones for a loss of 7 yards to the Vandy 17Similar
Q4 10:44
4TH & 11
OWN 17
0
57.2%
Sam Loy punt for 49 yds, downed at the Kent 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 21FG
16 plays · 56 yds · 6:2058% → 63%
Q4 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
58.2%
Benjamin Snell Jr. run for 7 yds to the Kent 41Similar
Q4 7:58
2ND & 3
OWN 41
+4
62.0%
Benjamin Snell Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kent 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+12
61.8%
Benjamin Snell Jr. run for 12 yds to the Vandy 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:58
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
63.3%
Jojo Kemp run for 4 yds to the Vandy 39Similar
Q4 7:58
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+10
63.4%
Jojo Kemp run for 10 yds to the Vandy 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:58
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-3
64.7%
Jojo Kemp run for a loss of 3 yards to the Vandy 32Similar
Q4 7:58
2ND & 13
OPP 32
+5
63.3%
Benjamin Snell Jr. run for 5 yds to the Vandy 27Similar
Q4 7:58
3RD & 8
OPP 27
+7
62.6%
Benjamin Snell Jr. run for 7 yds to the Vandy 20Similar
Q4 7:58
4TH & 1
OPP 20
+1
60.2%
Stephen Johnson run for 1 yd to the Vandy 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:42
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
67.4%
Benjamin Snell Jr. run for 6 yds to the Vandy 13Similar
Q4 2:30
3RD & 4
OPP 13
+3
66.4%
Benjamin Snell Jr. run for 3 yds to the Vandy 10Similar
Q4 1:38
4TH & 1
OPP 10
+28
62.6%
Austin MacGinnis 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 22DOWNS
16 plays · 59 yds · 1:2650% → 52%
Q4 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+10
49.9%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to C.J. Duncan for 10 yds to the Vandy 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
47.4%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Trent Sherfield for 6 yds to the Vandy 44Similar
Q4 1:33
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+5
44.3%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Trent Sherfield for 5 yds to the Vandy 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+16
44.4%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Jared Pinkney for 16 yds to the Kent 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+14
39.0%
Kyle Shurmur run for 14 yds to the Kent 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
37.6%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Trent Sherfield for 4 yds to the Kent 17Similar
Q4 0:35
2ND & 6
OPP 17
0
37.6%
Kyle Shurmur pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:35
3RD & 6
OPP 17
+9
40.3%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to C.J. Duncan for 9 yds to the Kent 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
37.6%
Kyle Shurmur pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
37.6%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Jared PinkneySimilar
Q4 0:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
40.3%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Kalija LipscombSimilar
Q4 0:35
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
-5
45.4%
[SHOT], PENALTY VANDY delay of game (Kyle Shurmur) 5 yards to the UK13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:07
4TH & GOAL
OPP 13
0
48.4%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Kalija LipscombSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 23END OF GAME
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0056% → 56%
Q4 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
56.2%
Team run for no gain to the Kent 13Similar
Q4 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
56.0%
Team run for no gain to the Kent 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+44
TD · Q3 12:18
KENTUCKY Penalty, personal foul (2 Yards) to the Kent 1
-20.4
FUMBLE · Q3 12:18
Stanley Williams run for 8 yds Stanley Williams fumbled, forced by Ryan White, recovered by Vandy Taurean Ferguson , return for 22 yds, (Tommy Openshaw KICK)
-9.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com