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TA&M

Texas A&M 24 at South Carolina 13

SC
2016 · Week 5 · Oct 1, 2016 · Williams-Brice Stadium
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Win probability · SC
modelSC aheadTA&M aheadconfidence bandkey playSC scoreTA&M score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDFGFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:14 · Perry Orth pass incomplete
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+44.5+22.30−22.3−44.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 189Pregame prior−0.1Home team on offense−35.9Garbage-time factor−17.2Score differential−11.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−9.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−6.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 11:37: Trayveon Williams run for 49 yds for a TD, (Daniel LaCamera KICK) — TA&M win probability +13.0 pts (now 80%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 3:14: Elliott Fry 43 yd FG GOOD — SC win probability +2.8 pts (now 31%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  3. TD · Q4 11:40: James White run for 2 yds for a TD, (Daniel LaCamera KICK) — TA&M win probability +13.0 pts (now 88%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 4:23: Elliott Fry 43 yd FG GOOD — SC win probability +4.4 pts (now 15%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 4:23: Timeout TEXAS A&M, clock 04:23 — TA&M win probability +2.7 pts (now 87%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SC made the numbers' call on 9 of 11TA&M made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 9:59SC 4th & 10 at SC 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.5%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:56TA&M 4th & 7 at TA&M 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.0%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:33TA&M 4th & 4 at SC 26, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 74.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.8%−0.1
    64% to make
    Punt
    72.3%−1.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:59SC 4th & 19 at SC 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.1%−1.1
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:57TA&M 4th & 5 at SC 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 71.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    71.1%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    70.0%−1.1
    25% to make
    Punt
    70.8%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:32SC 4th & 19 at SC 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.3%−2.4
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:31TA&M 4th & 15 at TA&M 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.8%−1.8
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:21SC 4th & 17 at TA&M 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.9%−0.7
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    34.5%−0.2
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    34.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:37TA&M 4th & 3 at TA&M 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.3%−1.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:00TA&M 4th & 1 at midfield, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 65.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    65.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    62.8%−2.8
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:50SC 4th & 7 at SC 28, down 7
    Numbers favored punt by 1.2 ptsWent for it · 23.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.2%−1.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    24.4%
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:55SC 4th & 11 at TA&M 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 25.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.5%−1.5
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.0%
    64% to make
    Punt
    18.2%−6.8
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:14SC 4th & 7 at TA&M 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 27.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.3%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.6%
    66% to make
    Punt
    18.8%−8.8
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:49SC 4th & 7 at SC 14, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.0%−2.0
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:36SC 4th & 20 at TA&M 25, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 11.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.4%−2.3
    9% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.6%
    66% to make
    Punt
    7.6%−5.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:48TA&M 4th & 1 at TA&M 35, up 11
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 89.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.4%−1.2
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:23SC 4th & 4 at TA&M 25, down 11
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.8 ptsKicked a field goal · 10.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.8%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.0%−1.8
    66% to make
    Punt
    6.8%−4.0
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:20TA&M 4th & 7 at TA&M 34, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.2%−1.0
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.2%
    average punt
  19. Q4 1:41TA&M 4th & 12 at SC 17, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.3%−1.1
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.4%
    80% to make
    Punt
    90.1%−4.3
    average punt
  20. Q4 0:14SC 4th & 9 at TA&M 35, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.7%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    4.3%−1.4
    45% to make
    Punt
    4.2%−1.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SC made the numbers' call on 1 of 1TA&M made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 14:47SC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 12:31TA&M Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 11:37TA&M Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 11:40TA&M Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SCDrive 1TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
17.9%
A.J. Turner run for 75 yds for a TD, (Elliott Fry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 2TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:0482% → 81%
Q1 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
18.1%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Christian Kirk for 3 yds to the TexAM 28Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
18.2%
Christian Kirk run for 3 yds to the TexAM 31Similar
Q1 13:45
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+8
18.7%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Christian Kirk for 8 yds to the TexAM 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+33
18.8%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Jeremy Tabuyo for 33 yds to the SCaro 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
19.0%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Frank Iheanacho for 6 yds to the SCaro 22Similar
Q1 12:45
2ND & 4
OPP 22
+18
19.1%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Jeremy Tabuyo for 18 yds to the SCaro 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
18.8%
Trevor Knight run for 4 yds for a TD, (Daniel LaCamera KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 2:1619% → 20%
Q1 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
19.1%
A.J. Turner run for 3 yds to the SCaro 28Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
19.3%
Brandon McIlwain run for 3 yds to the SCaro 31Similar
Q1 11:30
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+10
19.5%
Brandon McIlwain pass complete to A.J. Turner for 10 yds to the SCaro 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
20.0%
A.J. Turner run for no gain to the SCaro 41Similar
Q1 10:30
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
20.1%
A.J. Turner run for no gain to the SCaro 41Similar
Q1 10:04
3RD & 10
OWN 41
0
20.2%
Brandon McIlwain pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:59
4TH & 10
OWN 41
0
20.1%
Sean Kelly punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Christian Kirk at the TexAM 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 1:5480% → 79%
Q1 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
20.3%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Josh ReynoldsSimilar
Q1 9:20
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+7
20.6%
Trevor Knight run for 7 yds to the TexAM 26Similar
Q1 9:10
3RD & 3
OWN 26
+5
20.7%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Josh Reynolds for 5 yds to the TexAM 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
20.7%
Trevor Knight pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:30
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+3
20.9%
Keith Ford run for 3 yds to the TexAM 34Similar
Q1 8:03
3RD & 7
OWN 34
0
21.3%
Trevor Knight pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:56
4TH & 7
OWN 34
0
21.5%
Shane Tripucka punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SCaro 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 5INT
9 plays · 45 yds · 3:0421% → 24%
Q1 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
21.4%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the SCaro 27Similar
Q1 7:15
1ST & 5
OWN 27
+7
21.9%
Brandon McIlwain pass complete to Chavis Dawkins for 7 yds to the SCaro 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
21.9%
Jamari Smith run for 2 yds to the SCaro 36Similar
Q1 6:35
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+10
22.2%
McIlwain, Brandon pass incomplete, PENALTY TEXASAM holding 10 yards to the SOCAROLINA46, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SOCAROLINA.Similar
Q1 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
22.8%
Brandon McIlwain run for 9 yds to the TexAM 45Similar
Q1 5:55
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+2
23.1%
David Williams run for 2 yds to the TexAM 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+9
23.6%
Brandon McIlwain pass complete to Terry Googer for 9 yds to the TexAM 34Similar
Q1 4:40
2ND & 1
OPP 34
+1
24.1%
David Williams run for 1 yd to the TexAM 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:31
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
24.2%
Brandon McIlwain pass intercepted Armani Watts return for no gain to the TexAM 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 6MISSED FG
11 plays · 51 yds · 3:4277% → 76%
Q1 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+14
23.1%
Trevor Knight run for 14 yds to the TexAM 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
23.0%
Trayveon Williams run for 1 yd to the TexAM 38Similar
Q1 3:35
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+5
23.1%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Christian Kirk for 5 yds to the TexAM 43Similar
Q1 3:15
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+10
23.1%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Christian Kirk for 10 yds to the SCaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
23.0%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Christian Kirk for 4 yds to the SCaro 43Similar
Q1 2:20
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+5
22.9%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Trayveon Williams for 5 yds to the SCaro 38Similar
Q1 1:55
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+6
23.1%
Trevor Knight run for 6 yds to the SCaro 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:21
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
23.1%
Trevor Knight pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:00
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+6
23.3%
Trayveon Williams run for 6 yds to the SCaro 26Similar
Q1 0:38
3RD & 4
OPP 26
0
23.7%
Trevor Knight pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:33
4TH & 4
OPP 26
+44
24.5%
Daniel LaCamera 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 16 yds · 4:1126% → 28%
Q1 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
26.0%
Hayden Hurst pass complete to A.J. Turner for 9 yds to the SCaro 35Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 1
OWN 35
+6
26.7%
Brandon McIlwain pass complete to Hayden Hurst for 6 yds to the SCaro 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
27.0%
Brandon McIlwain pass complete to Chavis Dawkins for 4 yds to the SCaro 45Similar
Q2 14:00
2ND & 6
OWN 45
-1
27.7%
Brandon McIlwain run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 44Similar
Q2 13:30
3RD & 7
OWN 44
+7
27.4%
Brandon McIlwain run for 7 yds to the TexAM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-5
28.8%
Brandon McIlwain pass complete to A.J. Turner for a loss of 5 yards to the SCaro 46Similar
Q2 12:15
2ND & 15
OWN 46
-1
28.1%
Brandon McIlwain run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 45Similar
Q2 11:30
3RD & 16
OWN 45
-3
27.9%
Brandon McIlwain run for a loss of 3 yards to the SCaro 42Similar
Q2 10:59
4TH & 19
OWN 42
0
27.5%
Sean Kelly punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Christian Kirk at the TexAM 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 8DOWNS
11 plays · 41 yds · 2:4873% → 72%
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
27.5%
Trayveon Williams run for 2 yds to the TexAM 20Similar
Q2 10:30
2ND & 8
OWN 20
-10
27.7%
White, James rush for 14 yards to the TEXASAM34, PENALTY TEXASAM holding 10 yards to the TEXASAM10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:15
2ND & 18
OWN 10
0
28.0%
Trevor Knight pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:45
3RD & 18
OWN 10
+29
28.7%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Jeremy Tabuyo for 29 yds to the TexAM 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
27.0%
Trevor Knight pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:20
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+7
27.4%
Trayveon Williams run for 7 yds to the TexAM 46Similar
Q2 8:50
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+4
27.1%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Christian Kirk for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
50
+5
26.8%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Christian Kirk for 5 yds to the SCaro 45Similar
Q2 8:19
2ND & 5
OPP 45
0
26.9%
Trevor Knight pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:13
3RD & 5
OPP 45
0
26.5%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Christian KirkSimilar
Q2 7:57
4TH & 5
OPP 45
+4
27.6%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Christian Kirk for 4 yds to the SCaro 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · -9 yds · 0:5832% → 30%
Q2 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-3
32.1%
A.J. Turner run for a loss of 3 yards to the SCaro 38Similar
Q2 7:18
2ND & 13
OWN 38
0
31.2%
Brandon McIlwain pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:45
3RD & 13
OWN 38
-6
30.8%
Brandon McIlwain sacked by Daeshon Hall for a loss of 6 yards to the SCaro 32Similar
Q2 6:32
4TH & 19
OWN 32
+12
29.9%
Sean Kelly punt for 48 yds , Christian Kirk returns for 12 yds to the TexAM 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 10FUMBLE
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:5772% → 69%
Q2 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
28.4%
Trevor Knight pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 10
OWN 32
-5
29.0%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Christian Kirk for a loss of 5 yards to the TexAM 27Similar
Q2 5:40
3RD & 15
OWN 27
0
30.4%
Trevor Knight pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:31
4TH & 15
OWN 27
+3
31.1%
Shane Tripucka punt for 45 yds , Rashad Fenton returns for 3 yds to the SCaro 31 Rashad Fenton fumbled, recovered by SCaro Rashad FentonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 11PUNT
12 plays · 26 yds · 3:3933% → 34%
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
32.8%
Brandon McIlwain run for 1 yd to the SCaro 32Similar
Q2 4:30
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+8
33.1%
A.J. Turner run for 8 yds to the SCaro 40Similar
Q2 4:00
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+12
34.4%
Rico Dowdle run for 12 yds to the TexAM 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
36.2%
Rico Dowdle run for 6 yds to the TexAM 42Similar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+6
36.8%
Rico Dowdle run for 6 yds to the TexAM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-10
36.9%
McIlwain, Brandon rush for 27 yards to the TEXASAM9, PENALTY SOCAROLINA holding 10 yards to the TEXASAM46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:22
1ST & 20
OPP 46
0
35.7%
Brandon McIlwain pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 20
OPP 46
0
35.8%
Rico Dowdle run for no gain to the TexAM 46Similar
Q2 1:28
3RD & 20
OPP 46
+3
34.3%
Brandon McIlwain pass complete to Chavis Dawkins for 3 yds to the TexAM 43Similar
Q2 1:21
4TH & 17
OPP 43
0
33.6%
Sean Kelly punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Christian Kirk at the TexAM 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:3368% → 67%
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+12
31.7%
Trayveon Williams run for 12 yds to the TexAM 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
31.6%
Trevor Knight pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:51
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
32.0%
Trevor Knight pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:44
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+7
33.0%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Frank Iheanacho for 7 yds to the TexAM 32Similar
Q2 0:37
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
32.6%
Shane Tripucka punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Rashad Fenton at the SCaro 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · 3 yds · 0:0035% → 35%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
35.3%
A.J. Turner run for 3 yds to the SCaro 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 14TD
9 plays · 71 yds · 2:5368% → 80%
Q3 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
32.5%
Trevor Knight run for 4 yds to the TexAM 33Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+1
32.1%
Trayveon Williams run for 1 yd to the TexAM 34Similar
Q3 13:30
3RD & 5
OWN 34
+7
33.5%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Josh Reynolds for 7 yds to the TexAM 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-3
31.6%
Trayveon Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexAM 38Similar
Q3 12:45
2ND & 13
OWN 38
+9
33.5%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Jeremy Tabuyo for 9 yds to the TexAM 47Similar
Q3 12:15
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+3
32.1%
Trevor Knight run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 12:00
4TH & 1
50
+1
33.4%
Trevor Knight run for 1 yd to the SCaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+49
20.3%
Trayveon Williams run for 49 yds for a TD, (Daniel LaCamera KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 15MISSED FG
11 plays · 49 yds · 4:2024% → 24%
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
23.6%
Brandon McIlwain pass complete to Chavis Dawkins for a loss of 3 yards to the SCaro 22Similar
Q3 10:45
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+6
23.4%
Brandon McIlwain run for 6 yds to the SCaro 28Similar
Q3 10:14
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
22.8%
Brandon McIlwain pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:50
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+36
22.3%
Sean Kelly pass complete to Hayden Hurst for 36 yds to the TexAM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
27.2%
Rico Dowdle run for 6 yds to the TexAM 30Similar
Q3 9:13
2ND & 4
OPP 30
+5
28.6%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the TexAM 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
28.8%
Rico Dowdle run for 4 yds to the TexAM 21Similar
Q3 7:50
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+1
29.1%
Rico Dowdle run for 1 yd to the TexAM 20Similar
Q3 7:15
3RD & 5
OPP 20
-6
27.7%
Brandon McIlwain sacked by Daeshon Hall for a loss of 6 yards to the TexAM 26Similar
Q3 6:55
4TH & 11
OPP 26
+44
24.3%
Elliott Fry 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 16FUMBLE
5 plays · 15 yds · 1:2478% → 79%
Q3 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
22.2%
James White run for 6 yds to the TexAM 32Similar
Q3 6:15
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+5
21.4%
James White run for 5 yds to the TexAM 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
21.2%
Trevor Knight pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:30
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+4
21.5%
Trayveon Williams run for 4 yds to the TexAM 41Similar
Q3 5:06
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+7
20.9%
Trevor Knight run for 7 yds to the TexAM 28 Trevor Knight fumbled, recovered by SCaro Chris Moody , return for 20 yds to the TexAM 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 17FG
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:1630% → 31%
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
29.7%
A.J. Turner run for 4 yds to the TexAM 24Similar
Q3 4:00
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+1
29.9%
A.J. Turner run for 1 yd to the TexAM 23Similar
Q3 3:30
3RD & 5
OPP 23
-2
28.3%
Brandon McIlwain run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexAM 25Similar
Q3 3:14
4TH & 7
OPP 25
+43
31.1%
Elliott Fry 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 18INT
6 plays · 26 yds · 1:4573% → 75%
Q3 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+14
26.8%
Trevor Knight run for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:25
1ST & 10
50
+4
24.6%
James White run for 4 yds to the SCaro 46Similar
Q3 1:55
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+5
24.7%
James White run for 5 yds to the SCaro 41Similar
Q3 1:25
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+3
24.6%
James White run for 3 yds to the SCaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
24.8%
Trevor Knight pass intercepted Chris Lammons return for no gain to the SCaro 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:5630% → 28%
Q3 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
30.4%
Brandon McIlwain run for no gain to the SCaro 11Similar
Q3 0:29
2ND & 10
OWN 11
0
30.3%
Brandon McIlwain pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 11
+3
29.0%
Brandon McIlwain pass complete to Terry Googer for 3 yds to the SCaro 14Similar
Q4 14:49
4TH & 7
OWN 14
+8
28.2%
Sean Kelly punt for 46 yds , Christian Kirk returns for 8 yds to the TexAM 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 20TD
10 plays · 52 yds · 2:5075% → 88%
Q4 14:30
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-6
24.7%
Christian Kirk run for 4 yds to the SOCAROLINA 48 TEXAS A&M Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the TexAM 42Similar
Q4 14:00
1ST & 16
OWN 42
+17
26.9%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Josh Reynolds for 17 yds to the SCaro 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+8
24.7%
Trayveon Williams run for 8 yds to the SCaro 33Similar
Q4 13:20
2ND & 2
OPP 33
+11
23.3%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Christian Kirk for 11 yds to the SCaro 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
23.4%
Trayveon Williams run for 2 yds to the SCaro 20Similar
Q4 12:45
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+9
23.4%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Trayveon Williams for 9 yds to the SCaro 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+6
23.1%
Trayveon Williams run for 6 yds to the SCaro 5Similar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 4
OPP 5
+3
22.9%
James White run for 3 yds to the SCaro 2Similar
Q4 11:40
3RD & 1
OPP 2
+2
11.9%
James White run for 2 yds for a TD, (Daniel LaCamera KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 21MISSED FG
11 plays · 54 yds · 3:0414% → 11%
Q4 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-5
14.1%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the SCaro 16Similar
Q4 11:29
1ST & 15
OWN 16
0
14.0%
Perry Orth pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:15
2ND & 15
OWN 16
+18
13.8%
Perry Orth pass complete to Hayden Hurst for 18 yds to the SCaro 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+12
14.7%
Perry Orth pass complete to Javon Charleston for 12 yds to the SCaro 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+28
13.4%
Perry Orth pass complete to K.C. Crosby for 28 yds to the TexAM 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+11
16.2%
Rico Dowdle run for 11 yds to the TexAM 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
16.3%
Rico Dowdle run for 1 yd to the TexAM 14Similar
Q4 9:00
2ND & 9
OPP 14
-11
16.3%
Perry Orth sacked by Shaan Washington for a loss of 11 yards to the TexAM 25 Perry Orth fumbled, recovered by SCaro Mason Zandi , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 8:43
3RD & 20
OPP 25
0
13.4%
Perry Orth pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:36
4TH & 20
OPP 25
+43
11.4%
Elliott Fry 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:2290% → 91%
Q4 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
9.7%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Christian Kirk for 6 yds to the TexAM 32Similar
Q4 7:35
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+2
9.3%
Trayveon Williams run for 2 yds to the TexAM 34Similar
Q4 7:00
3RD & 2
OWN 34
+1
9.2%
Trayveon Williams run for 1 yd to the TexAM 35Similar
Q4 6:48
4TH & 1
OWN 35
0
9.2%
Shane Tripucka punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Jamarcus King at the SCaro 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 23FG
9 plays · 57 yds · 2:1711% → 15%
Q4 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+13
10.8%
Perry Orth pass complete to Terry Googer for 13 yds to the SCaro 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+22
9.8%
A.J. Turner run for 22 yds to the TexAM 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
11.6%
Perry Orth pass complete to K.C. Crosby for 8 yds to the TexAM 39Similar
Q4 5:20
2ND & 2
OPP 39
+8
12.1%
Perry Orth pass complete to Hayden Hurst for 8 yds to the TexAM 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
14.0%
Perry Orth pass incomplete to Hayden HurstSimilar
Q4 5:06
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
13.6%
Perry Orth pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:45
3RD & 10
OPP 31
+6
11.0%
Perry Orth pass complete to Chavis Dawkins for 6 yds to the TexAM 25Similar
Q4 4:23
4TH & 4
OPP 25
+43
15.4%
Elliott Fry 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 24FUMBLE
8 plays · 16 yds · 0:4092% → 92%
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+13
8.4%
Trevor Knight run for 13 yds to the TexAM 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
8.0%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Christian Kirk for 6 yds to the TexAM 37Similar
Q4 3:31
2ND & 4
OWN 37
-3
6.6%
James White run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexAM 34 James White fumbled, recovered by TexAMSimilar
Q4 3:25
3RD & 7
OWN 34
0
7.5%
Trevor Knight pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:20
4TH & 7
OWN 34
+2
8.0%
Shane Tripucka punt for 38 yds , Jamarcus King returns for 2 yds to the SCaro 30 Jamarcus King fumbled, recovered by TexAMSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 25FG
7 plays · 13 yds · 1:1996% → 98%
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+15
4.5%
Trevor Knight run for 15 yds to the SCaro 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-4
4.2%
Trevor Knight run for a loss of 4 yards to the SCaro 19Similar
Q4 2:33
2ND & 14
OPP 19
0
4.2%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Christian KirkSimilar
Q4 1:46
3RD & 14
OPP 19
+2
2.8%
James White run for 2 yds to the SCaro 17Similar
Q4 1:41
4TH & 12
OPP 17
+35
2.1%
Daniel LaCamera 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 26DOWNS
9 plays · 40 yds · 1:163% → 3%
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
2.7%
Perry Orth pass complete to K.C. Crosby for 9 yds to the SCaro 34Similar
Q4 1:05
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+8
3.0%
Perry Orth pass complete to A.J. Turner for 8 yds to the SCaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+22
2.9%
Perry Orth pass complete to Hayden Hurst for 22 yds to the TexAM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:48
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
3.3%
Perry Orth pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:48
2ND & 10
OPP 36
-5
3.3%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TexAM 41Similar
Q4 0:44
2ND & 15
OPP 41
0
3.0%
Perry Orth pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:25
3RD & 15
OPP 41
+6
2.9%
Perry Orth pass complete to K.C. Crosby for 6 yds to the TexAM 35Similar
Q4 0:14
4TH & 9
OPP 35
0
2.9%
Perry Orth pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 27END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
2.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexAM 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 11:37
Trayveon Williams run for 49 yds for a TD, (Daniel LaCamera KICK)
-13
TD · Q4 11:40
James White run for 2 yds for a TD, (Daniel LaCamera KICK)
-13
FG · Q4 4:23
Elliott Fry 43 yd FG GOOD
+4.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com