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TENN

Tennessee 34 at Georgia 31

UGA
2016 · Week 5 · Oct 1, 2016 · Sanford Stadium
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Win probability · UGA
modelUGA aheadTENN aheadconfidence bandkey playUGA scoreTENN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 6:46 · Marshall Long punt for 37 yds for a touchback GEORGIA Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+35.0+17.50−17.5−35.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 147Home team on offense+10.1Pregame prior−0.8Garbage-time factor+3.0Score differential+0.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 10:31: Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Jalen Hurd for 19 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK) — TENN win probability +17.0 pts (now 50%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q3 4:07: Jacob Eason pass complete to Isaac Nauta for 50 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK) — UGA win probability +16.6 pts (now 79%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:53: Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Alvin Kamara for 16 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK) — TENN win probability +20.6 pts (now 44%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. TD · Q4 0:10: Jacob Eason pass complete to Riley Ridley for 47 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK) — UGA win probability +74.2 pts (now 90%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:00: Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 43 yds for a TD — TENN win probability +65.2 pts (now 95%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UGA made the numbers' call on 7 of 8TENN made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 12:34UGA 4th & 5 at UGA 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.5%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:52TENN 4th & 9 at TENN 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.9%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:20UGA 4th & 14 at UGA 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.8%−0.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:05TENN 4th & 8 at UGA 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 53.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.5%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    53.4%−<0.1
    47% to make
    PuntTheir call
    53.3%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:56UGA 4th & 1 at TENN 28, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 54.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    54.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    53.5%−1.1
    60% to make
    Punt
    51.0%−3.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:21UGA 4th & 7 at TENN 10, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 56.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.0%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.2%
    88% to make
    Punt
    52.1%−4.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 6:34UGA 4th & 17 at UGA 41, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.7%−4.4
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.1%
    average punt
  8. Q3 5:06TENN 4th & 12 at TENN 20, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.6%−2.8
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 2:56TENN 4th & 9 at TENN 28, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.8%−1.7
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:28UGA 4th & 13 at UGA 22, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.1%−3.9
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.9%
    average punt
  11. Q4 9:02UGA 4th & 2 at TENN 25, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 71.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    72.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    68.8%−3.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    52.8%−19.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:46UGA 4th & 5 at TENN 37, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.1 ptsPunted · 71.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.3%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    68.1%−3.2
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    67.3%−4.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:43TENN 4th & 6 at UGA 43, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.2 ptsPunted · 33.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    27.0%−1.7
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    24.5%−4.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:07TENN 4th & 6 at TENN 40, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.8%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UGA made the numbers' call on 4 of 4TENN made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 1:33UGA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 2:00UGA Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:12TENN Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 10:31TENN Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:07UGA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:53TENN Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 0:10UGA Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.0%−2.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UGADrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 2:1643% → 43%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+9
42.8%
Sony Michel run for 9 yds to the Geo 26Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 1
OWN 26
+7
42.9%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Christian Payne for 7 yds to the Geo 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
43.2%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Reggie DavisSimilar
Q1 13:27
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
43.2%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Jeb BlazevichSimilar
Q1 13:17
3RD & 10
OWN 33
+5
43.2%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Sony Michel for 5 yds to the Geo 38Similar
Q1 12:34
4TH & 5
OWN 38
+20
43.4%
Marshall Long punt for 47 yds , Alvin Kamara returns for 20 yds to the Tenn 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 12 yds · 1:3557% → 56%
Q1 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
43.4%
Jalen Hurd run for 11 yds to the Tenn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-1
43.3%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Josh Smith for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 45Similar
Q1 11:42
2ND & 11
OWN 45
+2
43.5%
Jalen Hurd run for 2 yds to the Tenn 47Similar
Q1 11:03
3RD & 9
OWN 47
0
43.7%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Josh SmithSimilar
Q1 10:52
4TH & 9
OWN 47
+13
44.0%
Trevor Daniel punt for 34 yds , Isaiah McKenzie returns for 13 yds to the Geo 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 3PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:2544% → 44%
Q1 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
44.0%
Nick Chubb run for 3 yds to the Geo 35Similar
Q1 10:04
2ND & 7
OWN 35
0
44.3%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Sony MichelSimilar
Q1 9:55
3RD & 7
OWN 35
-7
44.1%
Jacob Eason sacked by Nathan Niehaus for a loss of 7 yards to the Geo 28Similar
Q1 9:20
4TH & 14
OWN 28
+15
43.9%
Marshall Long punt for 35 yds , Alvin Kamara returns for 15 yds to the Geo 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:0456% → 56%
Q1 9:09
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
43.7%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Tyler Byrd for 4 yds to the Geo 44Similar
Q1 8:45
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+3
43.6%
Alvin Kamara run for 3 yds to the Geo 41Similar
Q1 8:05
3RD & 3
OPP 41
+5
43.9%
Jalen Hurd run for 5 yds to the Geo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
43.7%
Joshua Dobbs run for 2 yds to the Geo 34Similar
Q1 7:18
2ND & 8
OPP 34
0
43.6%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Jauan JenningsSimilar
Q1 7:12
3RD & 8
OPP 34
0
44.0%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Jalen HurdSimilar
Q1 7:05
4TH & 8
OPP 34
0
44.5%
Trevor Daniel punt for 13 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Geo 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 5TD
11 plays · 79 yds · 5:2345% → 53%
Q1 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
44.9%
Sony Michel run for 9 yds to the Geo 30Similar
Q1 6:22
2ND & 1
OWN 30
+10
45.5%
Brian Herrien run for 10 yds to the Geo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
45.8%
Isaiah McKenzie run for no gain to the Geo 40Similar
Q1 5:17
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+12
45.7%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Riley Ridley for 12 yds to the Tenn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:38
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
46.7%
Sony Michel run for 5 yds to the Tenn 43Similar
Q1 4:15
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+2
46.9%
Brian Herrien run for 2 yds to the Tenn 41Similar
Q1 3:32
3RD & 3
OPP 41
+3
46.9%
Isaiah McKenzie run for 3 yds to the Tenn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
47.5%
Brian Herrien run for 9 yds to the Tenn 29Similar
Q1 2:17
2ND & 1
OPP 29
0
48.1%
Sony Michel run for no gain to the Tenn 29Similar
Q1 1:39
3RD & 1
OPP 29
+15
47.8%
TENNESSEE Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Micah Abernathy) to the Tenn 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
52.8%
Sony Michel run for 14 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 6FUMBLE
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:0049% → 49%
Q1 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
50.7%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Alvin Kamara for 1 yd Alvin Kamara fumbled, recovered by Geo Maurice SmithSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 7FG
12 plays · 27 yds · 4:4953% → 56%
Q1 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-2
53.0%
Brian Herrien run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 39Similar
Q1 0:35
2ND & 12
OPP 39
+11
53.2%
Brian Herrien run for 11 yds to the Tenn 28Similar
Q1 0:05
3RD & 1
OPP 28
0
53.4%
Jacob Eason run for no gain to the Tenn 28Similar
Q2 14:56
4TH & 1
OPP 28
+3
52.8%
Sony Michel run for 3 yds to the Tenn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:22
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
54.4%
Isaiah McKenzie run for 9 yds to the Tenn 16Similar
Q2 13:50
2ND & 1
OPP 16
0
54.8%
Brian Herrien run for no gain to the Tenn 16Similar
Q2 13:15
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+3
54.7%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Isaac Nauta for 3 yds to the Tenn 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:44
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
55.7%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Terry GodwinSimilar
Q2 12:35
2ND & 10
OPP 13
-1
55.5%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Sony Michel for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 14Similar
Q2 12:05
3RD & 11
OPP 14
+4
55.1%
Brendan Douglas run for 4 yds to the Tenn 10Similar
Q2 11:21
4TH & 7
OPP 10
+27
55.5%
Rodrigo Blankenship 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 8FUMBLE
11 plays · 78 yds · 4:0044% → 44%
Q2 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
55.9%
Jalen Hurd run for 6 yds to the Tenn 27Similar
Q2 10:41
2ND & 4
OWN 27
+2
55.5%
Jalen Hurd run for 2 yds to the Tenn 29Similar
Q2 10:05
3RD & 2
OWN 29
+5
56.4%
Jalen Hurd run for 5 yds to the Tenn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
56.7%
Alvin Kamara run for 6 yds to the Tenn 40Similar
Q2 9:02
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+6
56.3%
Joshua Dobbs run for 6 yds to the Tenn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
56.4%
Jalen Hurd run for 1 yd to the Tenn 47Similar
Q2 8:15
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+19
57.1%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Preston Williams for 19 yds to the Geo 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:49
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
55.9%
Joshua Dobbs run for 5 yds to the Geo 29Similar
Q2 7:27
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+5
55.7%
Alvin Kamara run for 5 yds to the Geo 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+23
55.9%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Jalen Hurd for 23 yds Jalen Hurd fumbled, forced by Deandre Baker, recovered by Geo Aaron DavisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 9FUMBLE RETURN TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 4:5759% → 76%
Q2 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
59.1%
Sony Michel run for 5 yds to the Geo 25Similar
Q2 6:25
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+22
59.6%
Sony Michel run for 22 yds to the Geo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+11
62.1%
Brian Herrien run for 11 yds to the Tenn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
62.8%
Brian Herrien run for 7 yds to the Tenn 35Similar
Q2 4:40
2ND & 3
OPP 35
+3
63.4%
Sony Michel run for 3 yds to the Tenn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:16
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+15
63.7%
Brian Herrien run for 15 yds to the Tenn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
64.0%
Elijah Holyfield run for 2 yds to the Tenn 15Similar
Q2 3:07
2ND & 8
OPP 15
0
65.3%
Terry Godwin run for no gain to the Tenn 15Similar
Q2 2:32
3RD & 8
OPP 15
+13
65.3%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Isaac Nauta for 13 yds to the Tenn 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 0
OWN 2
0
76.2%
Jacob Eason 0 Yd Fumble Recovery (Rodrigo Blankenship Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 10TD
14 plays · 64 yds · 1:3326% → 36%
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+31
74.2%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Josh Smith for 31 yds to the Geo 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
71.0%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Alvin Kamara for 9 yds to the Geo 24Similar
Q2 1:21
2ND & 1
OPP 24
+4
70.7%
Alvin Kamara run for 4 yds to the Geo 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-12
71.0%
Joshua Dobbs sacked by Lorenzo Carter for a loss of 12 yards to the Geo 32Similar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 22
OPP 32
+7
74.6%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Jalen Hurd for 7 yds to the Geo 25Similar
Q2 0:41
3RD & 15
OPP 25
+17
76.1%
Joshua Dobbs run for 17 yds to the Geo 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
73.0%
GEORGIA Penalty, Substitution Infraction (4 Yards) to the Geo 4Similar
Q2 0:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
73.0%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Josh MaloneSimilar
Q2 0:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
72.7%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Josh SmithSimilar
Q2 0:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
63.7%
Joshua Dobbs run for 4 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0068% → 68%
Q2 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-2
67.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Geo 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 12TD
11 plays · 65 yds · 4:2435% → 50%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
65.3%
Joshua Dobbs run for no gain to the Tenn 35Similar
Q3 14:34
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+9
66.0%
Jalen Hurd run for 9 yds to the Tenn 44Similar
Q3 13:58
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+13
64.9%
Alvin Kamara run for 13 yds to the Geo 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
66.1%
Alvin Kamara run for 3 yds to the Geo 40Similar
Q3 13:20
2ND & 7
OPP 40
0
66.4%
Jalen Hurd run for no gain to the Geo 40Similar
Q3 12:40
3RD & 7
OPP 40
+11
67.2%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Josh Malone for 11 yds to the Geo 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:22
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+7
65.4%
Joshua Dobbs run for 7 yds to the Geo 22Similar
Q3 11:50
2ND & 3
OPP 22
+2
65.7%
Alvin Kamara run for 2 yds to the Geo 20Similar
Q3 11:15
3RD & 1
OPP 20
+1
67.4%
Jalen Hurd run for 1 yd to the Geo 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
50.5%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Jalen Hurd for 19 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 13PUNT
10 plays · 16 yds · 3:5057% → 57%
Q3 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
57.2%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Isaac Nauta for 5 yds to the Geo 30Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+7
58.5%
Sony Michel run for 7 yds to the Geo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
59.2%
Sony Michel run for 3 yds to the Geo 40Similar
Q3 8:46
2ND & 7
OWN 40
0
60.6%
Jacob Eason pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:37
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+8
58.7%
Jacob Eason run for 8 yds to the Geo 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
61.8%
Brian Herrien run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 7:20
2ND & 8
50
0
62.3%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Isaiah McKenzieSimilar
Q3 7:10
3RD & 8
50
-9
60.9%
Jacob Eason sacked by Derek Barnett for a loss of 9 yards to the Geo 41Similar
Q3 6:34
4TH & 17
OWN 41
0
57.1%
Marshall Long punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tenn 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:1943% → 39%
Q3 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
57.4%
Alvin Kamara run for 3 yds to the Tenn 25Similar
Q3 6:10
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+4
57.2%
Alvin Kamara run for 4 yds to the Tenn 29Similar
Q3 5:40
3RD & 3
OWN 29
-9
57.8%
Joshua Dobbs sacked by Natrez Patrick for a loss of 9 yards to the Tenn 20Similar
Q3 5:06
4TH & 12
OWN 20
0
61.2%
Trevor Daniel punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Isaiah McKenzie at the Geo 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 15TD
3 plays · 63 yds · 0:5361% → 79%
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
60.9%
Brian Herrien run for 5 yds to the Geo 42Similar
Q3 4:25
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+8
62.7%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Javon Wims for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:07
1ST & 10
50
+50
79.3%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Isaac Nauta for 50 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:5824% → 21%
Q3 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
76.2%
Joshua Dobbs pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:48
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+1
77.0%
Joshua Dobbs run for 1 yd to the Tenn 28Similar
Q3 3:04
3RD & 9
OWN 28
0
78.3%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Josh MaloneSimilar
Q3 2:56
4TH & 9
OWN 28
0
79.3%
Trevor Daniel punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Isaiah McKenzie at the Geo 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 17PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:2278% → 77%
Q3 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
78.4%
Sony Michel run for 1 yd to the Geo 26Similar
Q3 2:20
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-4
78.5%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Sony Michel for a loss of 4 yards to the Geo 22Similar
Q3 1:42
3RD & 13
OWN 22
0
78.4%
Jacob Eason pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:28
4TH & 13
OWN 22
+15
77.4%
Marshall Long punt for 44 yds , Alvin Kamara returns for 15 yds to the Tenn 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 18TD
6 plays · 51 yds · 1:2724% → 44%
Q3 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
75.9%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to John Kelly for 7 yds to the Geo 44Similar
Q3 1:02
2ND & 3
OPP 44
0
75.2%
Joshua Dobbs pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:55
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+21
76.4%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 21 yds to the Geo 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
74.1%
Joshua Dobbs pass incomplete to Josh SmithSimilar
Q3 0:10
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+7
76.6%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 7 yds to the Geo 16Similar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 3
OPP 16
+16
56.0%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Alvin Kamara for 16 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 19DOWNS
13 plays · 50 yds · 5:4362% → 70%
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
61.8%
Isaiah McKenzie run for 12 yds to the Geo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
67.3%
Sony Michel run for 3 yds to the Geo 40Similar
Q4 13:40
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+3
68.8%
Brian Herrien run for 3 yds to the Geo 43Similar
Q4 12:56
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+10
68.2%
TENNESSEE Penalty, Defensive Holding (Todd Kelly Jr.) to the Tenn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
70.7%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Isaiah McKenzie for 7 yds to the Tenn 40Similar
Q4 12:25
2ND & 3
OPP 40
-5
71.0%
GEORGIA Penalty, False Start (Jeb Blazevich) to the Tenn 45Similar
Q4 11:50
2ND & 8
OPP 45
0
71.2%
Brian Herrien run for no gain to the Tenn 45Similar
Q4 11:25
3RD & 8
OPP 45
+12
70.1%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Isaac Nauta for 12 yds to the Tenn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
73.7%
Brian Herrien run for 2 yds to the Tenn 31Similar
Q4 10:10
2ND & 8
OPP 31
-2
74.1%
Isaiah McKenzie run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 33Similar
Q4 9:35
3RD & 10
OPP 33
+8
71.8%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Isaiah McKenzie for 8 yds to the Tenn 25Similar
Q4 9:02
4TH & 2
OPP 25
0
70.3%
Jacob Eason pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 20INT
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:2735% → 34%
Q4 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
64.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tenn 22 TEAM fumbled, recovered by TennSimilar
Q4 8:23
2ND & 13
OWN 22
0
65.7%
Joshua Dobbs pass intercepted Maurice Smith return for no gain to the Tenn 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:2974% → 71%
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
73.8%
Sony Michel run for 1 yd to the Tenn 41Similar
Q4 7:30
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+4
74.0%
Sony Michel run for 4 yds to the Tenn 37Similar
Q4 6:56
3RD & 5
OPP 37
0
73.3%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Isaiah McKenzieSimilar
Q4 6:46
4TH & 5
OPP 37
+32
70.8%
Marshall Long punt for 37 yds for a touchback GEORGIA Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 32 yds · 2:5534% → 35%
Q4 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
65.7%
Alvin Kamara run for 13 yds to the Tenn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
63.9%
Alvin Kamara run for 3 yds to the Tenn 41Similar
Q4 5:50
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+12
62.5%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Josh Malone for 12 yds to the Geo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
59.9%
Alvin Kamara run for 2 yds to the Geo 45Similar
Q4 4:50
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+5
60.3%
Joshua Dobbs run for 5 yds to the Geo 40Similar
Q4 4:20
3RD & 3
OPP 40
-3
59.8%
Alvin Kamara run for a loss of 3 yards to the Geo 43Similar
Q4 3:43
4TH & 6
OPP 43
0
65.2%
Trevor Daniel punt for 37 yds, downed at the Geo 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 23FUMBLE TD
2 plays · -6 yds · 0:3977% → 28%
Q4 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 6
-1
76.9%
Brian Herrien run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 5Similar
Q4 2:56
2ND & 11
OWN 5
0
28.1%
Jacob Eason sacked by Derek Barnett for a loss of 5 yards Jacob Eason fumbled, recovered by Tenn Corey Vereen , return for 0 yards for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 24INT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:2634% → 27%
Q4 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
33.7%
GEORGIA Penalty, Illegal Touching ( Yards) to the Geo 46Similar
Q4 2:18
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
31.0%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Terry GodwinSimilar
Q4 2:18
3RD & 10
OWN 46
-5
29.4%
GEORGIA Penalty, False Start (Brandon Kublanow) to the Geo 41Similar
Q4 2:10
3RD & 15
OWN 41
0
26.7%
Jacob Eason pass intercepted Malik Foreman return for no gain to the Tenn 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:5885% → 92%
Q4 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
15.1%
Alvin Kamara run for 1 yd to the Tenn 37Similar
Q4 1:20
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+2
10.5%
Alvin Kamara run for 2 yds to the Tenn 39Similar
Q4 1:07
4TH & 6
OWN 40
0
8.0%
Trevor Daniel punt for 41 yds, downed at the Geo 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 26TD
6 plays · 81 yds · 0:5020% → 90%
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+16
20.3%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Terry Godwin for 16 yds to the Geo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
19.6%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Isaiah McKenzie for 11 yds to the Geo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+12
19.3%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Jeb Blazevich for 12 yds to the Tenn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:19
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-5
21.3%
GEORGIA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Tenn 47Similar
Q4 0:10
1ST & 15
OPP 47
+47
89.7%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Riley Ridley for 47 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 27END OF GAME
3 plays · 43 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+43
4.9%
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 43 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:10
Jacob Eason pass complete to Riley Ridley for 47 yds for a TD, (Rodrigo Blankenship KICK)
+74.2
TD · Q4 0:00
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Jauan Jennings for 43 yds for a TD
-65.2
TD · Q4 14:53
Joshua Dobbs pass complete to Alvin Kamara for 16 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK)
-20.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com