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Kentucky 6 at Alabama 34

ALA
2016 · Week 5 · Oct 1, 2016 · Bryant-Denny Stadium
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Win probability · ALA
modelALA aheadUK aheadconfidence bandkey playALA scoreUK score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 13:30 · Grant McKinniss punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Xavian Marks at the Alab 22
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+47.5+23.80−23.8−47.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 96Pregame prior+31.0Home team on offense+12.1Score differential+4.3Garbage-time factor+1.9Blowout margin+0.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.9
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 1:15: Adam Griffith 44 yd FG GOOD — ALA win probability +0.2 pts (now 94%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:50: Joshua Jacobs run for 1 yd for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK) — ALA win probability +1.3 pts (now 94%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 6:56: Ronnie Harrison 55 Yd Fumble Recovery (Adam Griffith Kick) — ALA win probability +1.8 pts (now 95%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 10:58: Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 10 yds for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK) — ALA win probability +3.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:31: Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 19 yds for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK) — ALA win probability +1.0 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ALA made the numbers' call on 5 of 5UK made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 11:49ALA 4th & 7 at UK 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.7%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    96.7%−<0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    96.7%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:52UK 4th & 5 at ALA 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.9%
    60% to make
    Punt
    3.5%−0.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:15ALA 4th & 10 at UK 26, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.9%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.0%
    64% to make
    Punt
    93.5%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:36UK 4th & 11 at UK 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.0%−0.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:23ALA 4th & 9 at ALA 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.3%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:20UK 4th & 3 at UK 27, tied
    Close callPunted · 6.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.9%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:01UK 4th & 17 at UK 18, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.1%−0.5
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:44ALA 4th & 5 at UK 17, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.1%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.3%
    80% to make
    Punt
    94.0%−1.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:30UK 4th & 10 at UK 35, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.6%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:49UK 4th & 16 at UK 36, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−0.4
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:06UK 4th & 29 at UK 21, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.1%−0.3
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:51ALA 4th & 6 at UK 6, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%
    91% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:10UK 4th & 4 at ALA 25, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:09UK 4th & 7 at ALA 12, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.1%
    86% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ALA made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q2 9:50ALA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:56ALA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 10:58ALA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 4:31ALA Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ALADrive 1DOWNS
8 plays · 35 yds · 3:0397% → 97%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+12
97.1%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to O.J. Howard for 12 yds to the Alab 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+20
97.0%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 20 yds to the Kent 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:58
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-1
97.0%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Cam Sims for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 40Similar
Q1 13:23
2ND & 11
OPP 40
+2
96.9%
Joshua Jacobs run for 2 yds to the Kent 38Similar
Q1 13:05
3RD & 9
OPP 38
+7
96.8%
Damien Harris run for 7 yds to the Kent 31Similar
Q1 12:25
4TH & 2
OPP 31
-5
96.7%
ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (Jonah Williams) to the Kent 36Similar
Q1 11:49
4TH & 7
OPP 36
0
96.6%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Cam SimsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 2FG
8 plays · 36 yds · 2:523% → 4%
Q1 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
96.6%
Stanley Williams run for 10 yds to the Kent 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
96.4%
Stanley Williams run for 1 yd to the Kent 47Similar
Q1 10:37
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+8
96.3%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to C.J. Conrad for 8 yds to the Alab 45Similar
Q1 10:17
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+12
96.2%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to Tavin Richardson for 12 yds to the Alab 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
96.2%
Stanley Williams run for 4 yds to the Alab 29Similar
Q1 9:20
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+1
96.0%
Jojo Kemp run for 1 yd to the Alab 28Similar
Q1 8:59
3RD & 5
OPP 28
0
96.0%
Stephen Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:52
4TH & 5
OPP 28
+45
95.9%
Austin MacGinnis 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 3FUMBLE
8 plays · 18 yds · 2:0096% → 96%
Q1 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.9%
Jalen Hurts pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:33
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
95.9%
Joshua Jacobs run for 10 yds to the Alab 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
95.8%
Joshua Jacobs run for 2 yds to the Alab 37Similar
Q1 7:44
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+7
95.7%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Joshua Jacobs for 7 yds to the Alab 44Similar
Q1 7:22
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+5
95.7%
Joshua Jacobs run for 5 yds to the Alab 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
95.6%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to O.J. HowardSimilar
Q1 6:44
2ND & 10
OWN 49
-6
95.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 6 yards to the Alab 43 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Kent De'Niro LasterSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 4FUMBLE
6 plays · 4 yds · 2:105% → 5%
Q1 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
95.3%
Stanley Williams run for 4 yds to the Alab 39Similar
Q1 6:10
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+1
95.2%
Stanley Williams run for 1 yd to the Alab 38Similar
Q1 5:44
3RD & 5
OPP 38
+16
95.1%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to Garrett Johnson for 16 yds to the Alab 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:17
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
94.9%
Stephen Johnson pass incomplete to C.J. Conrad, broken up by Reuben FosterSimilar
Q1 5:07
2ND & 10
OPP 22
0
94.8%
Jojo Kemp run for no gain to the Alab 22Similar
Q1 4:29
3RD & 10
OPP 22
-17
94.7%
Stephen Johnson sacked by Christian Miller and Ryan Anderson for a loss of 17 yards to the Alab 39 Stephen Johnson fumbled, forced by Ryan Anderson, recovered by Alab Ryan Anderson , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 5FG
11 plays · 35 yds · 3:0695% → 94%
Q1 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
94.8%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Calvin RidleySimilar
Q1 4:14
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+11
94.8%
Jalen Hurts run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:54
1ST & 10
50
+9
94.9%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Bo Scarbrough for 9 yds to the Kent 41Similar
Q1 3:15
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+3
94.7%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 3 yds to the Kent 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
94.7%
Calvin Ridley run for 6 yds to the Kent 32Similar
Q1 2:25
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+3
94.6%
Joshua Jacobs run for 3 yds to the Kent 29Similar
Q1 2:06
3RD & 1
OPP 29
+3
94.4%
Joshua Jacobs run for 3 yds to the Kent 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
94.4%
Jalen Hurts pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:26
2ND & 10
OPP 26
0
94.3%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Calvin RidleySimilar
Q1 1:20
3RD & 10
OPP 26
0
94.1%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to O.J. HowardSimilar
Q1 1:15
4TH & 10
OPP 26
+44
94.3%
Adam Griffith 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:226% → 6%
Q1 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
93.9%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to C.J. Conrad for 2 yds to the Kent 33Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 33
-3
93.6%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to Garrett Johnson for a loss of 3 yards to the Kent 30Similar
Q2 14:54
3RD & 11
OWN 30
0
93.7%
Stephen Johnson pass incomplete to Garrett JohnsonSimilar
Q2 14:36
4TH & 11
OWN 30
+17
93.8%
Grant McKinniss punt for 46 yds , Eddie Jackson returns for 17 yds to the Alab 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:0694% → 93%
Q2 14:29
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
94.0%
Jalen Hurts run for 4 yds to the Alab 45Similar
Q2 14:16
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+2
94.0%
Jalen Hurts run for 2 yds to the Alab 47Similar
Q2 13:46
3RD & 4
OWN 47
-5
93.8%
Jalen Hurts sacked by Courtney Love for a loss of 5 yards to the Alab 42Similar
Q2 13:23
4TH & 9
OWN 42
0
93.2%
JK Scott punt for 58 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:557% → 7%
Q2 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
93.0%
Stephen Johnson run for 4 yds to the Kent 24Similar
Q2 12:46
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+3
92.8%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to Stanley Williams for 3 yds to the Kent 27Similar
Q2 12:28
3RD & 3
OWN 27
0
92.8%
Stephen Johnson pass incomplete to Jeff BadetSimilar
Q2 12:20
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
93.0%
Grant McKinniss punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Eddie Jackson at the Alab 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 9TD
7 plays · 61 yds · 2:2093% → 94%
Q2 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
93.2%
Damien Harris run for 4 yds to the Alab 43Similar
Q2 11:42
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+28
93.3%
Joshua Jacobs run for 28 yds to the Kent 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+8
93.4%
Joshua Jacobs run for 8 yds to the Kent 21Similar
Q2 10:53
2ND & 2
OPP 21
+12
93.2%
Joshua Jacobs run for 12 yds to the Kent 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
93.1%
Joshua Jacobs run for 5 yds to the Kent 4Similar
Q2 10:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
93.0%
Joshua Jacobs run for 3 yds to the Kent 1Similar
Q2 9:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
94.4%
Joshua Jacobs run for 1 yd for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 10FUMBLE RETURN TD
7 plays · 24 yds · 2:396% → 5%
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
93.8%
Stanley Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 30Similar
Q2 8:57
2ND & 11
OWN 30
+5
93.8%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to Blake Bone for 5 yds to the Kent 35Similar
Q2 8:15
3RD & 6
OWN 35
+12
93.6%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to Tavin Richardson for 12 yds to the Kent 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
93.1%
Stephen Johnson pass incomplete to Tavin RichardsonSimilar
Q2 7:35
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+5
93.2%
Jojo Kemp run for 5 yds to the Alab 48Similar
Q2 6:56
3RD & 5
OPP 48
-55
95.0%
Ronnie Harrison 55 Yd Fumble Recovery (Adam Griffith Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 1:515% → 5%
Q2 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.3%
Stanley Williams run for no gain to the Kent 25Similar
Q2 6:25
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
95.3%
Stanley Williams run for no gain to the Kent 25Similar
Q2 5:45
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-7
95.3%
Stephen Johnson sacked by Jonathan Allen for a loss of 7 yards to the Kent 18Similar
Q2 5:01
4TH & 17
OWN 18
0
95.3%
Grant McKinniss punt for 61 yds, downed at the Alab 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 12MISSED FG
14 plays · 62 yds · 4:0995% → 95%
Q2 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
95.3%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to O.J. HowardSimilar
Q2 4:41
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+4
95.2%
Joshua Jacobs run for 4 yds to the Alab 25Similar
Q2 4:11
3RD & 6
OWN 25
+9
95.0%
Jalen Hurts run for 9 yds to the Alab 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
95.2%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Damien Harris for 6 yds to the Alab 40Similar
Q2 3:20
2ND & 4
OWN 40
0
95.5%
Bo Scarbrough run for no gain to the Alab 40Similar
Q2 3:01
3RD & 4
OWN 40
+9
95.3%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 9 yds to the Alab 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
95.5%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 9 yds to the Kent 42Similar
Q2 2:01
2ND & 1
OPP 42
+5
95.5%
Bo Scarbrough run for 5 yds to the Kent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:31
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
95.6%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Calvin RidleySimilar
Q2 1:26
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+15
95.6%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Robert Foster for 15 yds to the Kent 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
95.6%
Jalen Hurts run for 2 yds to the Kent 20Similar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+3
95.6%
Bo Scarbrough run for 3 yds to the Kent 17Similar
Q2 0:48
3RD & 5
OPP 17
0
95.4%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Robert FosterSimilar
Q2 0:44
4TH & 5
OPP 17
+35
95.2%
Adam Griffith 35 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 13END OF HALF
3 plays · 11 yds · 0:365% → 5%
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
95.2%
Stanley Williams run for 2 yds to the Kent 22Similar
Q2 0:23
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+5
95.2%
Benjamin Snell Jr. run for 5 yds to the Kent 27Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+4
95.0%
Benjamin Snell Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kent 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 10 yds · 1:215% → 5%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
95.1%
Stephen Johnson run for 10 yds to the Kent 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
94.9%
Stanley Williams run for no gain to the Kent 35Similar
Q3 13:45
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
94.9%
Stephen Johnson pass incomplete to C.J. ConradSimilar
Q3 13:38
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
95.1%
Stephen Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:30
4TH & 10
OWN 35
0
95.2%
Grant McKinniss punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Xavian Marks at the Alab 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 15TD
8 plays · 78 yds · 2:2495% → 99%
Q3 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-1
95.3%
Bo Scarbrough run for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 21Similar
Q3 12:58
2ND & 11
OWN 21
+10
95.3%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 10 yds to the Alab 31Similar
Q3 12:32
3RD & 1
OWN 31
+7
95.1%
Joshua Jacobs run for 7 yds to the Alab 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
95.5%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Calvin RidleySimilar
Q3 11:53
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
95.4%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Calvin RidleySimilar
Q3 11:41
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+46
95.2%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 46 yds to the Kent 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:22
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+6
95.5%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Trevon Diggs for 6 yds to the Kent 10Similar
Q3 10:58
2ND & 4
OPP 10
+10
98.5%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 10 yds for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 2:012% → 2%
Q3 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
98.1%
Benjamin Snell Jr. run for 17 yds to the Kent 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
98.0%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to Sihiem King for 3 yds to the Kent 45Similar
Q3 9:38
2ND & 7
OWN 45
-4
98.1%
Benjamin Snell Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the Kent 41Similar
Q3 9:01
3RD & 11
OWN 41
0
98.2%
Stephen Johnson pass incomplete to Ryan TimmonsSimilar
Q3 9:01
4TH & 11
OWN 41
-5
98.2%
KENTUCKY Penalty, False Start (Kash Daniel) to the Kent 36Similar
Q3 8:49
4TH & 16
OWN 36
0
98.2%
Grant McKinniss punt for 40 yds, downed at the Alab 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 17TD
10 plays · 76 yds · 4:1098% → 100%
Q3 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
98.4%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 4 yds to the Alab 28Similar
Q3 8:20
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+23
98.4%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Joshua Jacobs for 23 yds to the Kent 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
98.5%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 1 yd to the Kent 48Similar
Q3 7:17
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+4
98.5%
Joshua Jacobs run for 4 yds to the Kent 44Similar
Q3 6:43
3RD & 5
OPP 44
+11
98.5%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Gehrig Dieter for 11 yds to the Kent 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:59
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+8
98.6%
Jalen Hurts run for 8 yds to the Kent 25Similar
Q3 5:35
2ND & 2
OPP 25
+14
98.6%
Bo Scarbrough run for 14 yds to the Kent 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-8
98.6%
Jalen Hurts sacked by TEAM for a loss of 8 yards to the Kent 19Similar
Q3 4:31
2ND & 18
OPP 19
+19
99.8%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 19 yds for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · -7 yds · 3:100% → 0%
Q3 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+12
99.8%
Benjamin Snell Jr. run for 12 yds to the Kent 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
99.8%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to Garrett Johnson for 4 yds to the Kent 44Similar
Q3 3:06
2ND & 6
OWN 44
-10
99.8%
Snell Jr., Benjamin rush for 4 yards to the KENTUCKY48, PENALTY KENTUCKY holding (Stenberg, Logan) 10 yards to the KENTUCKY34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:30
2ND & 16
OWN 34
-16
99.8%
Stephen Johnson sacked by Tim Williams for a loss of 16 yards to the Kent 18 Stephen Johnson fumbled, forced by Tim Williams, recovered by Kent C.J. Conrad , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 1:53
3RD & 32
OWN 18
+3
99.9%
Benjamin Snell Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kent 21Similar
Q3 1:06
4TH & 29
OWN 21
+15
99.9%
Grant McKinniss punt for 43 yds , Xavian Marks returns for 15 yds to the Kent 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 19FG
6 plays · 43 yds · 1:06100% → 100%
Q3 0:57
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+43
99.9%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 43 yds to the Kent 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
99.9%
Joshua Jacobs run for 3 yds to the Kent 3Similar
Q3 0:27
2ND & 0
OPP 3
-5
99.9%
ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (Jonah Williams) to the Kent 8Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
99.9%
Jalen Hurts run for 2 yds to the Kent 6Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
99.8%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Calvin RidleySimilar
Q4 14:51
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
99.9%
Adam Griffith 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 20FG
18 plays · 63 yds · 9:290% → 0%
Q4 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
Jojo Kemp run for 1 yd to the Kent 26Similar
Q4 14:13
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
99.9%
Jojo Kemp run for 6 yds to the Kent 32Similar
Q4 13:35
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+16
99.9%
Jojo Kemp run for 16 yds to the Kent 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
99.9%
Jojo Kemp run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 12:14
2ND & 8
50
+6
99.9%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to Greg Hart for 6 yds to the Alab 44Similar
Q4 11:40
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+3
99.9%
Jojo Kemp run for 3 yds to the Alab 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
99.9%
Jojo Kemp run for 3 yds to the Alab 38Similar
Q4 10:21
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+2
99.9%
Jojo Kemp run for 2 yds to the Alab 36Similar
Q4 9:42
3RD & 5
OPP 36
+5
99.9%
ALABAMA Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the Alab 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-3
99.9%
Stephen Johnson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Alab 34Similar
Q4 8:23
2ND & 13
OPP 34
-2
99.9%
Benjamin Snell Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 36Similar
Q4 7:45
3RD & 15
OPP 36
+11
99.9%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to Sihiem King for 11 yds to the Alab 25Similar
Q4 7:10
4TH & 4
OPP 25
+10
99.9%
Stephen Johnson pass complete to Garrett Johnson for 10 yds to the Alab 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:41
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
99.9%
Sihiem King run for no gain to the Alab 15Similar
Q4 5:59
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+3
99.9%
Benjamin Snell Jr. run for 3 yds to the Alab 12Similar
Q4 5:14
3RD & 7
OPP 12
0
99.9%
Stephen Johnson pass incomplete to Jeff BadetSimilar
Q4 5:09
4TH & 7
OPP 12
+30
99.9%
Austin MacGinnis 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 21END OF GAME
9 plays · 69 yds · 4:46100% → 100%
Q4 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+1
99.9%
Cooper Bateman pass complete to O.J. Howard for 1 yd to the Alab 12Similar
Q4 4:21
2ND & 9
OWN 12
+5
99.9%
B.J. Emmons run for 5 yds to the Alab 17Similar
Q4 3:45
3RD & 4
OWN 17
+8
99.9%
Cooper Bateman pass complete to Trevon Diggs for 8 yds to the Alab 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
Cooper Bateman pass complete to B.J. Emmons for 3 yds to the Alab 28Similar
Q4 2:42
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+17
99.9%
Cooper Bateman pass complete to Robert Foster for 17 yds to the Alab 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+24
99.9%
Cooper Bateman pass complete to Joshua Jacobs for 24 yds to the Kent 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
100.0%
B.J. Emmons run for 3 yds to the Kent 28Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+8
100.0%
B.J. Emmons run for 8 yds to the Kent 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:58
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 10 yds for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK)
+3
TD · Q2 6:56
Ronnie Harrison 55 Yd Fumble Recovery (Adam Griffith Kick)
+1.8
TD · Q2 9:50
Joshua Jacobs run for 1 yd for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK)
+1.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com