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UGA

Georgia 14 at Ole Miss 45

MISS
2016 · Week 4 · Sep 24, 2016 · Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
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Win probability · MISS
modelMISS aheadUGA aheadconfidence bandkey playMISS scoreUGA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 2:10 · Marshall Long punt for 36 yds , Van Jefferson returns for 3 yds to the Miss 42
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 86Home team on offense+17.4Score differential+11.4Pregame prior+8.5Blowout margin+0.6Garbage-time factor+3.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:12: Derrick Jones 52 Yd Interception Return (Gary Wunderlich Kick) — MISS win probability +1.8 pts (now 68%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 2:14: D'Vaughn Pennamon 1 Yd Run (Gary Wunderlich Kick) — MISS win probability +6.0 pts (now 77%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 10:24: DaMarkus Lodge 55 Yd pass from Chad Kelly (Gary Wunderlich Kick) — MISS win probability +7.3 pts (now 88%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:43: Evan Engram 9 Yd pass from Chad Kelly (Gary Wunderlich Kick) — MISS win probability +4.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 13:13: Eugene Brazley 5 Yd pass from Jason Pellerin (Gary Wunderlich Kick) — MISS win probability +0.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MISS made the numbers' call on 3 of 6UGA made the numbers' call on 7 of 11
  1. Q1 11:14UGA 4th & 16 at UGA 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.2%−0.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:54MISS 4th & 7 at UGA 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 66.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.5%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.5%
    91% to make
    Punt
    65.6%−0.9
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:11UGA 4th & 9 at UGA 45, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.7%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.9%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:53UGA 4th & 1 at MISS 39, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    19.6%−2.9
    36% to make
    Punt
    19.6%−2.9
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:30UGA 4th & 5 at MISS 18, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 21.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.2%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    21.5%
    79% to make
    Punt
    15.5%−6.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:59MISS 4th & 8 at MISS 48, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.0%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:34UGA 4th & 7 at UGA 19, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.1%−0.4
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:58UGA 4th & 7 at UGA 40, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 12.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.0%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    12.3%
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:43UGA 4th & 8 at MISS 29, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 12.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.1%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    12.3%
    58% to make
    Punt
    8.9%−3.4
    average punt
  10. Q2 4:26MISS 4th & 14 at UGA 46, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.8%−0.7
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    89.7%−0.7
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    90.4%
    average punt
  11. Q2 2:10UGA 4th & 1 at UGA 25, down 24
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 8.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.3%−1.2
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:22UGA 4th & 1 at UGA 19, down 38
    Close callPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 10:15MISS 4th & 3 at MISS 45, up 38
    Close callPunted · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 9:27UGA 4th & 7 at UGA 17, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  15. Q3 0:11MISS 4th & 5 at UGA 37, up 38
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.7%−0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    99.7%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:32MISS 4th & 4 at MISS 26, up 31
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:27UGA 4th & 9 at MISS 41, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MISS made the numbers' call on 6 of 6UGA made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 7:12MISS Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:14MISS Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:24MISS Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:43MISS Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 13:13MISS Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 8:34MISS Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 5:00UGA Touchdown, down 39 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 7:38UGA Touchdown, down 32 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UGADrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 10 yds · 3:4134% → 34%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
65.9%
Nick Chubb run for no gain to the Geo 25Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
65.9%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Terry Godwin for 6 yds to the Geo 31Similar
Q1 13:40
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+10
65.8%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Jeb Blazevich for 10 yds to the Geo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-5
65.6%
GEORGIA Penalty, False Start (Greg Pyke) to the Geo 36Similar
Q1 12:40
1ST & 15
OWN 36
+2
65.7%
Nick Chubb run for 2 yds to the Geo 38Similar
Q1 12:01
2ND & 13
OWN 38
0
65.6%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Brian HerrienSimilar
Q1 11:48
3RD & 13
OWN 38
-3
65.7%
Jacob Eason sacked by Benito Jones for a loss of 3 yards to the Geo 35Similar
Q1 11:14
4TH & 16
OWN 35
0
65.8%
Marshall Long punt for 41 yds, downed at the Miss 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 2FG
8 plays · 69 yds · 2:1166% → 66%
Q1 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+23
65.6%
Chad Kelly pass complete to Evan Engram for 23 yds to the Miss 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
66.0%
Akeem Judd run for 8 yds to the Geo 45Similar
Q1 10:25
2ND & 2
OPP 45
+33
66.1%
Chad Kelly pass complete to Damore'ea Stringfellow for 33 yds to the Geo 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+6
66.2%
GEORGIA Penalty, Defensive Holding (Malkom Parrish) to the Geo 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-2
66.2%
Chad Kelly sacked by Dominick Sanders and Davin Bellamy for a loss of 2 yards to the Geo 8Similar
Q1 9:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
66.3%
Chad Kelly pass complete to A.J. Brown for 1 yd to the Geo 7Similar
Q1 8:58
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
66.0%
Chad Kelly pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:54
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
66.1%
Gary Wunderlich 24 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 3INT TD
6 plays · 12 yds · 1:3334% → 32%
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
66.1%
Nick Chubb run for 12 yds to the Geo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-5
65.9%
GEORGIA Penalty, False Start (Isaiah Wynn) to the Geo 32Similar
Q1 8:04
1ST & 15
OWN 32
0
66.2%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Michael ChigbuSimilar
Q1 7:53
2ND & 15
OWN 32
+5
66.2%
Sony Michel run for 5 yds to the Geo 37Similar
Q1 7:12
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+52
68.0%
Derrick Jones 52 Yd Interception Return (Gary Wunderlich Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 1:5432% → 31%
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
67.9%
Nick Chubb run for 3 yds to the Geo 28Similar
Q1 6:32
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+16
67.9%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Isaac Nauta for 16 yds to the Geo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
67.6%
Nick Chubb run for 1 yd to the Geo 45Similar
Q1 5:25
2ND & 9
OWN 45
0
67.8%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Jeb BlazevichSimilar
Q1 5:18
3RD & 9
OWN 45
0
68.1%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Reggie DavisSimilar
Q1 5:11
4TH & 9
OWN 45
0
68.6%
Marshall Long punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Carlos Davis at the Miss 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 5TD
10 plays · 84 yds · 2:5069% → 77%
Q1 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
69.1%
Akeem Judd run for 2 yds to the Miss 18Similar
Q1 4:44
2ND & 8
OWN 18
0
69.1%
Chad Kelly pass incomplete to Damore'ea StringfellowSimilar
Q1 4:34
3RD & 8
OWN 18
+10
68.8%
Chad Kelly pass complete to Damore'ea Stringfellow for 10 yds to the Miss 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
69.5%
Jason Pellerin run for 9 yds to the Miss 37Similar
Q1 3:46
2ND & 1
OWN 37
+4
70.0%
D'Vaughn Pennamon run for 4 yds to the Miss 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
70.2%
Chad Kelly pass complete to Van Jefferson for 1 yd to the Miss 42Similar
Q1 3:16
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+37
70.1%
Markell Pack pass complete to Evan Engram for 37 yds to the Geo 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+20
70.6%
Chad Kelly pass complete to A.J. Brown for 20 yds to the Geo 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
70.7%
Akeem Judd run for no gain to the Geo 1Similar
Q1 2:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
76.6%
D'Vaughn Pennamon 1 Yd Run (Gary Wunderlich Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 6MISSED FG
11 plays · 41 yds · 3:3025% → 22%
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
75.0%
Sony Michel run for 8 yds to the Geo 49Similar
Q1 1:24
2ND & 2
OWN 49
+3
74.8%
Sony Michel run for 3 yds to the Miss 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
75.3%
Sony Michel run for 9 yds to the Miss 39Similar
Q1 0:43
2ND & 1
OPP 39
0
75.1%
Sony Michel run for no gain to the Miss 39Similar
Q1 0:01
3RD & 1
OPP 39
0
76.5%
Nick Chubb run for no gain to the Miss 39Similar
Q2 14:53
4TH & 1
OPP 39
+16
76.8%
Nick Chubb run for 16 yds to the Miss 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:19
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
76.2%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Isaac NautaSimilar
Q2 14:10
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+5
76.6%
Nick Chubb run for 5 yds to the Miss 18Similar
Q2 13:35
3RD & 5
OPP 18
0
77.2%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Reggie DavisSimilar
Q2 13:30
4TH & 5
OPP 18
+36
77.7%
Rodrigo Blankenship 36 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 28 yds · 1:1680% → 80%
Q2 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+26
79.7%
Chad Kelly pass complete to Quincy Adeboyejo for 26 yds to the Miss 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
80.5%
Eugene Brazley run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 12:40
2ND & 6
50
-2
80.8%
Eugene Brazley run for a loss of 2 yards to the Miss 48Similar
Q2 12:06
3RD & 8
OWN 48
0
81.0%
Chad Kelly pass incomplete to Evan EngramSimilar
Q2 11:59
4TH & 8
OWN 48
0
80.4%
Will Gleeson punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Isaiah McKenzie at the Geo 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:1621% → 19%
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
79.4%
Brian Herrien run for 1 yd to the Geo 17Similar
Q2 11:26
2ND & 9
OWN 17
+2
79.8%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Terry Godwin for 2 yds to the Geo 19Similar
Q2 10:41
3RD & 7
OWN 19
0
80.3%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Terry GodwinSimilar
Q2 10:34
4TH & 7
OWN 19
0
80.6%
Marshall Long punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Carlos Davis at the Miss 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 9TD
1 play · 55 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q2 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+55
87.9%
DaMarkus Lodge 55 Yd pass from Chad Kelly (Gary Wunderlich Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 10DOWNS
10 plays · 46 yds · 2:3414% → 13%
Q2 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
86.3%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Michael Chigbu for 12 yds to the Geo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
86.3%
Nick Chubb run for 3 yds to the Geo 40Similar
Q2 9:15
2ND & 7
OWN 40
0
86.5%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Terry GodwinSimilar
Q2 9:08
3RD & 7
OWN 40
0
86.8%
Jacob Eason pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:58
4TH & 7
OWN 40
+29
87.1%
Marshall Long pass complete to Sony Michel for 29 yds to the Miss 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:31
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
86.2%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Jayson StanleySimilar
Q2 8:25
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+2
86.4%
Nick Chubb run for 2 yds to the Miss 29Similar
Q2 7:50
3RD & 8
OPP 29
0
86.7%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Isaiah McKenzieSimilar
Q2 7:43
4TH & 8
OPP 29
0
87.2%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Isaiah McKenzieSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 25 yds · 3:0689% → 90%
Q2 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+12
89.1%
Van Jefferson run for 12 yds to the Miss 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-5
89.7%
OLE MISS Penalty, False Start (Greg Little) to the Miss 36Similar
Q2 6:55
1ST & 15
OWN 36
+3
89.6%
Chad Kelly run for 3 yds to the Miss 39Similar
Q2 6:30
2ND & 12
OWN 39
+19
90.0%
Chad Kelly pass complete to Van Jefferson for 19 yds to the Geo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-5
90.5%
Van Jefferson run for a loss of 5 yards to the Geo 47Similar
Q2 5:25
2ND & 15
OPP 47
0
90.7%
Chad Kelly pass incomplete to Octavious CooleySimilar
Q2 5:12
3RD & 15
OPP 47
+6
90.5%
Chad Kelly pass complete to Quincy Adeboyejo for 6 yds to the Geo 41Similar
Q2 4:35
4TH & 9
OPP 41
-5
90.5%
OLE MISS Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Geo 46Similar
Q2 4:26
4TH & 14
OPP 46
0
90.4%
Will Gleeson punt for 43 yds, downed at the Geo 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 2:1010% → 9%
Q2 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+3
89.8%
Nick Chubb run for 3 yds to the Geo 6Similar
Q2 4:00
2ND & 7
OWN 6
+10
90.0%
Nick Chubb run for 10 yds to the Geo 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
90.0%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Reggie DavisSimilar
Q2 3:15
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+8
90.2%
Sony Michel run for 8 yds to the Geo 24Similar
Q2 2:35
3RD & 2
OWN 24
+1
90.3%
Isaiah McKenzie run for 1 yd to the Geo 25Similar
Q2 2:10
4TH & 1
OWN 25
+3
90.8%
Marshall Long punt for 36 yds , Van Jefferson returns for 3 yds to the Miss 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 13TD
5 plays · 58 yds · 1:2293% → 98%
Q2 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
92.5%
Akeem Judd run for 2 yds to the Miss 44Similar
Q2 1:52
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+17
92.9%
Chad Kelly pass complete to DaMarkus Lodge for 17 yds to the Geo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:31
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+13
93.1%
Chad Kelly pass complete to Evan Engram for 13 yds to the Geo 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+17
93.3%
Akeem Judd run for 17 yds to the Geo 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
98.1%
Evan Engram 9 Yd pass from Chad Kelly (Gary Wunderlich Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 14END OF HALF
4 plays · 22 yds · 0:342% → 2%
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
97.7%
Sony Michel run for 4 yds to the Geo 29Similar
Q2 0:13
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+13
97.6%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Reggie Davis for 13 yds to the Geo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
97.6%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Sony Michel for 5 yds to the Geo 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 15TD
8 plays · 70 yds · 1:4098% → 99%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
98.1%
Chad Kelly pass complete to Evan Engram for 7 yds to the Miss 37Similar
Q3 14:35
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+23
98.1%
Van Jefferson run for 23 yds to the Geo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:23
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
98.4%
Chad Kelly pass incomplete to Van JeffersonSimilar
Q3 14:18
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+11
98.4%
Akeem Judd run for 11 yds to the Geo 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+24
98.5%
Chad Kelly pass complete to A.J. Brown for 18 yds to the Geo 11 for a 1ST down GEORGIA Penalty, Face Mask (6 yards) (Juwuan Briscoe) to the Geo 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
98.5%
Jason Pellerin run for no gain to the Geo 5Similar
Q3 13:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
98.9%
Eugene Brazley 5 Yd pass from Jason Pellerin (Gary Wunderlich Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:331% → 1%
Q3 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
98.7%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Isaiah McKenzie for 4 yds to the Geo 14Similar
Q3 12:10
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+5
98.9%
Sony Michel run for 5 yds to the Geo 19Similar
Q3 11:35
3RD & 1
OWN 19
0
98.9%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Terry GodwinSimilar
Q3 11:22
4TH & 1
OWN 19
+4
98.9%
Marshall Long punt for 47 yds , Van Jefferson returns for 4 yds to the Miss 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:0099% → 99%
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
99.1%
Chad Kelly pass complete to Evan Engram for 6 yds to the Miss 44Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+1
99.1%
Akeem Judd run for 1 yd to the Miss 45Similar
Q3 10:27
3RD & 3
OWN 45
0
99.2%
Chad Kelly pass incomplete to DaMarkus LodgeSimilar
Q3 10:15
4TH & 3
OWN 45
+8
99.1%
Gary Wunderlich punt for 49 yds , Isaiah McKenzie returns for 8 yds to the Geo 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:431% → 1%
Q3 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
99.0%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Christian PayneSimilar
Q3 10:03
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+3
99.1%
Terry Godwin run for 3 yds to the Geo 17Similar
Q3 9:35
3RD & 7
OWN 17
0
99.2%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Michael ChigbuSimilar
Q3 9:27
4TH & 7
OWN 17
0
99.2%
Marshall Long punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Van Jefferson at the Miss 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 19TD
4 plays · 64 yds · 0:5399% → 99%
Q3 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
99.3%
GEORGIA Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the Miss 41Similar
Q3 9:15
1ST & 5
OWN 41
+7
99.3%
D'Vaughn Pennamon run for 7 yds to the Miss 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+11
99.3%
Chad Kelly pass complete to D'Vaughn Pennamon for 11 yds to the Geo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:34
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+41
99.4%
Chad Kelly 41 Yd Run (Gary Wunderlich Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 20TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:261% → 1%
Q3 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
99.4%
Brian Herrien run for 16 yds to the Geo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+13
99.4%
Brian Herrien run for 13 yds to the Miss 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-2
99.5%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Isaiah McKenzie for a loss of 2 yards to the Miss 48Similar
Q3 6:53
2ND & 12
OPP 48
+10
99.5%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Javon Wims for 10 yds to the Miss 38Similar
Q3 6:20
3RD & 2
OPP 38
+4
99.5%
Brian Herrien run for 4 yds to the Miss 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
99.5%
OLE MISS Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Miss 29Similar
Q3 5:24
1ST & 5
OPP 29
+19
99.5%
Sony Michel run for 19 yds to the Miss 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
99.5%
Brian Herrien 10 Yd Run (Rodrigo Blankenship Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 21MISSED FG
12 plays · 38 yds · 4:34100% → 100%
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.6%
Chad Kelly pass complete to A.J. Brown for 7 yds to the Miss 32Similar
Q3 4:15
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+14
99.6%
D'Vaughn Pennamon run for 14 yds to the Miss 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
99.6%
D'Vaughn Pennamon run for 1 yd to the Miss 47Similar
Q3 3:12
2ND & 9
OWN 47
-10
99.7%
OLE MISS Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Miss 37Similar
Q3 2:50
2ND & 19
OWN 37
+10
99.6%
D'Vaughn Pennamon run for 10 yds to the Miss 47Similar
Q3 2:05
3RD & 9
OWN 47
+11
99.7%
Chad Kelly run for 11 yds to the Geo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
99.7%
D.K. Buford run for 2 yds to the Geo 40Similar
Q3 0:50
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+3
99.7%
Jason Pellerin run for 3 yds to the Geo 37Similar
Q3 0:17
3RD & 5
OPP 37
0
99.8%
Jason Pellerin pass incomplete to Quincy AdeboyejoSimilar
Q3 0:11
4TH & 5
OPP 37
+55
99.7%
Gary Wunderlich 55 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 22FUMBLE
2 plays · -6 yds · 0:080% → 0%
Q3 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
99.8%
Sony Michel run for 1 yd to the Geo 38 Sony Michel fumbled, recovered by Geo Lamont GaillardSimilar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 9
OWN 38
-7
99.8%
Jacob Eason sacked by Garrald McDowell for a loss of 7 yards to the Geo 31 Jacob Eason fumbled, forced by Garrald McDowell, recovered by Miss Austrian Robinson , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 23INT
3 plays · 6 yds · 1:13100% → 100%
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
99.7%
Eugene Brazley run for 3 yds to the Geo 28Similar
Q4 14:00
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+3
99.8%
Jason Pellerin run for 3 yds to the Geo 25Similar
Q4 13:32
3RD & 4
OPP 25
+8
99.8%
Jason Pellerin pass intercepted Aaron Davis return for 8 yds to the Geo 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 24TD
13 plays · 79 yds · 5:440% → 0%
Q4 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+12
99.8%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Terry Godwin for 12 yds to the Geo 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
99.8%
Brian Herrien run for 9 yds to the Geo 42Similar
Q4 12:21
2ND & 1
OWN 42
+11
99.8%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Isaiah McKenzie for 11 yds to the Miss 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
99.8%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Terry Godwin for 5 yds to the Miss 42Similar
Q4 11:30
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+9
99.8%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Brian Herrien for 9 yds to the Miss 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-2
99.8%
Jacob Eason sacked by Austrian Robinson for a loss of 2 yards to the Miss 35Similar
Q4 10:15
2ND & 12
OPP 35
+19
99.8%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Elijah Holyfield for 19 yds to the Miss 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-10
99.8%
GEORGIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Greg Pyke) to the Miss 26Similar
Q4 9:27
1ST & 20
OPP 26
0
99.9%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Charlie WoernerSimilar
Q4 9:16
2ND & 20
OPP 26
+11
99.9%
Brian Herrien run for 11 yds to the Miss 15Similar
Q4 8:34
3RD & 9
OPP 15
+10
99.9%
Jacob Eason run for 10 yds to the Miss 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
99.9%
Sony Michel run for 4 yds to the Miss 1Similar
Q4 7:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.8%
Brian Herrien 1 Yd Run (Rodrigo Blankenship Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:55100% → 100%
Q4 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
99.9%
Jason Pellerin pass complete to Quincy Adeboyejo for 6 yds to the Miss 26Similar
Q4 7:10
2ND & 4
OWN 26
0
99.9%
D.K. Buford run for no gain to the Miss 26Similar
Q4 6:43
3RD & 4
OWN 26
0
99.9%
Jason Pellerin pass incomplete to Hunter ThurleySimilar
Q4 6:32
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
99.9%
Will Gleeson punt for 60 yds, downed at the Geo 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 26PUNT
11 plays · 45 yds · 4:590% → 0%
Q4 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
99.9%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Isaac NautaSimilar
Q4 6:15
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+9
99.9%
Elijah Holyfield run for 9 yds to the Geo 23Similar
Q4 5:50
3RD & 1
OWN 23
+6
99.9%
Elijah Holyfield run for 6 yds to the Geo 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
99.9%
Brian Herrien run for 9 yds to the Geo 38Similar
Q4 4:35
2ND & 1
OWN 38
+8
99.9%
Brian Herrien run for 8 yds to the Geo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
99.9%
Elijah Holyfield run for 6 yds to the Miss 48Similar
Q4 3:25
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+6
99.9%
Elijah Holyfield run for 6 yds to the Miss 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-4
99.9%
Brian Herrien run for a loss of 4 yards to the Miss 46Similar
Q4 2:11
2ND & 14
OPP 46
+5
99.9%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Brian Herrien for 5 yds to the Miss 41Similar
Q4 1:35
3RD & 9
OPP 41
0
99.9%
Jacob Eason pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:27
4TH & 9
OPP 41
0
99.9%
Marshall Long punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Miss 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 27END OF GAME
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:45100% → 100%
Q4 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-2
99.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Miss 9Similar
Q4 0:40
2ND & 12
OWN 9
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Miss 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 10:24
DaMarkus Lodge 55 Yd pass from Chad Kelly (Gary Wunderlich Kick)
+7.3
TD · Q1 2:14
D'Vaughn Pennamon 1 Yd Run (Gary Wunderlich Kick)
+6
TD · Q2 0:43
Evan Engram 9 Yd pass from Chad Kelly (Gary Wunderlich Kick)
+4.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com