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KENT

Kent State 0 at Alabama 48

ALA
2016 · Week 4 · Sep 24, 2016 · Bryant-Denny Stadium
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Win probability · ALA
modelALA aheadKENT aheadconfidence bandkey playALA scoreKENT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 2:14 · Derek Adams punt for 40 yds , Xavian Marks returns for 75 yds for a TD, (Andy Pappanastos KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 89Pregame prior+38.6Home team on offense+28.0Score differential+20.6Blowout margin+11.4Garbage-time factor+4.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.8
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q1 10:52: Nick Holley run for 3 yds to the Alab 24 — KENT win probability +0.1 pts (now 1%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 6:54: Joshua Jacobs run for 1 yd for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK) — ALA win probability +0.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 3:39: Joshua Jacobs run for 24 yds for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK) — ALA win probability +0.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 12:45: Adam Griffith 28 yd FG GOOD — ALA win probability +0.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  5. FG · Q2 11:34: Adam Griffith 48 yd FG GOOD — ALA win probability +0.3 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ALA made the numbers' call on 7 of 7KENT made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 9:45KENT 4th & 3 at ALA 21, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.4%−<0.1
    74% to make
    Punt
    1.0%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:20ALA 4th & 1 at KENT 36, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    98.2%−0.2
    42% to make
    Punt
    98.2%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:17KENT 4th & 9 at KENT 13, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:47KENT 4th & 9 at KENT 41, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:45ALA 4th & 11 at KENT 11, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.7%
    87% to make
    Punt
    98.3%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:34ALA 4th & 17 at KENT 31, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%−0.1
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.8%
    54% to make
    Punt
    98.7%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:07KENT 4th & 20 at KENT 13, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.3
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:08KENT 4th & 3 at KENT 42, down 34
    Close callPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:42ALA 4th & 10 at ALA 15, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:14KENT 4th & 15 at KENT 35, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:27KENT 4th & 4 at KENT 31, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:31KENT 4th & 2 at KENT 33, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:34ALA 4th & 2 at KENT 14, up 41
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    84% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.5
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:48KENT 4th & 7 at KENT 36, down 48
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  15. Q3 0:25ALA 4th & 1 at KENT 24, up 48
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.1
    68% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
  16. Q4 11:30KENT 4th & 5 at ALA 43, down 48
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−0.1
    28% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 7:04ALA 4th & 12 at ALA 15, up 48
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
  18. Q4 4:25KENT 4th & 1 at KENT 41, down 48
    Close callPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ALA made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 12:14ALA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:54ALA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:39ALA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:47ALA Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 6:14ALA Touchdown, up 47 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ALADrive 1TD
9 plays · 70 yds · 2:2999% → 99%
Q1 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
99.1%
Damien Harris run for 4 yds to the Alab 34Similar
Q1 14:27
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+7
99.1%
Calvin Ridley run for 7 yds to the Alab 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
99.1%
Damien Harris run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 13:50
2ND & 1
50
-1
99.1%
Damien Harris run for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 49Similar
Q1 13:30
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+6
99.0%
Damien Harris run for 6 yds to the KntSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
99.0%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Joshua Jacobs for 8 yds to the KntSt 37Similar
Q1 12:37
2ND & 2
OPP 37
+17
99.0%
Jalen Hurts run for 17 yds to the KntSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
99.0%
Jalen Hurts run for 20 yds for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 2MISSED FG
7 plays · 54 yds · 2:111% → 1%
Q1 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+47
99.0%
Justin Rankin run for 47 yds to the Alab 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
98.9%
Justin Rankin run for 1 yd to the Alab 27Similar
Q1 10:52
2ND & 9
OPP 27
+3
98.9%
Nick Holley run for 3 yds to the Alab 24Similar
Q1 10:04
3RD & 6
OPP 24
+3
98.8%
Mylik Mitchell pass complete to Justin Rankin for 3 yds to the Alab 21Similar
Q1 9:45
4TH & 3
OPP 21
+37
98.8%
Shane Hynes 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 3TD
11 plays · 79 yds · 2:4399% → 99%
Q1 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
98.8%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Calvin RidleySimilar
Q1 9:30
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+16
98.8%
Joshua Jacobs run for 16 yds to the Alab 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
98.8%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to O.J. Howard for 8 yds to the Alab 45Similar
Q1 8:52
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+10
98.8%
Joshua Jacobs run for 10 yds to the KntSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:36
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
98.8%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Joshua JacobsSimilar
Q1 8:36
2ND & 10
OPP 45
-5
98.8%
ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 8:27
2ND & 15
50
+8
98.8%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Cam Sims for 8 yds to the KntSt 42Similar
Q1 7:35
3RD & 7
OPP 42
+6
98.7%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Bo Scarbrough for 6 yds to the KntSt 36Similar
Q1 7:20
4TH & 1
OPP 36
+4
98.7%
Bo Scarbrough run for 4 yds to the KntSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+31
98.7%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Cam Sims for 31 yds to the KntSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.9%
Joshua Jacobs run for 1 yd for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:521% → 1%
Q1 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+1
98.8%
Justin Rankin run for 1 yd to the KntSt 13Similar
Q1 5:55
2ND & 9
OWN 13
0
98.8%
Justin Rankin run for no gain to the KntSt 13Similar
Q1 5:25
3RD & 9
OWN 13
0
98.8%
Mylik Mitchell pass incomplete to Nick HolleySimilar
Q1 5:17
4TH & 9
OWN 13
0
98.8%
Derek Adams punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Xavian Marks at the Alab 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 5TD
4 plays · 55 yds · 1:2999% → 99%
Q1 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
98.8%
Jalen Hurts run for 7 yds to the KntSt 48Similar
Q1 4:45
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+18
98.8%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to O.J. Howard for 18 yds to the KntSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:56
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
98.8%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Cam Sims for 6 yds to the KntSt 24Similar
Q1 3:39
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+24
99.0%
Joshua Jacobs run for 24 yds for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 0:331% → 1%
Q1 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
99.0%
Mylik Mitchell run for no gain to the KntSt 25 for a 1ST down ALABAMA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Jonathan Allen) to the KntSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
99.0%
Justin Rankin run for 1 yd to the KntSt 41Similar
Q1 3:00
2ND & 9
OWN 41
0
99.0%
Mylik Mitchell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:55
3RD & 9
OWN 41
0
99.0%
Mylik Mitchell pass incomplete to Mylik MitchellSimilar
Q1 2:47
4TH & 9
OWN 41
+6
99.0%
Derek Adams punt for 51 yds , Xavian Marks returns for 6 yds to the Alab 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 7FG
16 plays · 75 yds · 4:5599% → 99%
Q1 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
98.9%
Jalen Hurts run for 2 yds to the Alab 16Similar
Q1 1:53
2ND & 8
OWN 16
+17
99.0%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to B.J. Emmons for 17 yds to the Alab 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
99.0%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Trevon DiggsSimilar
Q1 1:30
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+14
99.0%
Bo Scarbrough run for 14 yds to the Alab 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
99.0%
Jalen Hurts pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:02
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+9
99.0%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Cam Sims for 9 yds to the KntSt 44Similar
Q1 0:40
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+15
99.0%
Joshua Jacobs run for 15 yds to the KntSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:24
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
99.0%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Cam SimsSimilar
Q1 0:16
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+9
99.0%
Joshua Jacobs run for 9 yds to the KntSt 20Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 20
+3
99.0%
B.J. Emmons run for 3 yds to the KntSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
99.0%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Calvin RidleySimilar
Q2 14:34
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+10
99.0%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Gehrig Dieter for 10 yds to the KntSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-3
99.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the KntSt 10Similar
Q2 13:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
-1
99.1%
Jalen Hurts run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 11Similar
Q2 12:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
0
99.1%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Cam SimsSimilar
Q2 12:45
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+28
99.1%
Adam Griffith 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 8FUMBLE
2 plays · -5 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.0%
Kavious Price run for a loss of 5 yards to the KntSt 20 Kavious Price fumbled, forced by Anthony Averett, recovered by Alab Ronnie Harrison at the KntSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 9FG
4 plays · -7 yds · 0:4699% → 100%
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-3
99.2%
Blake Barnett sacked by Anthony Johnson for a loss of 3 yards to the KntSt 27Similar
Q2 11:56
2ND & 13
OPP 27
0
99.2%
Blake Barnett pass incomplete to Gehrig DieterSimilar
Q2 11:48
3RD & 13
OPP 27
-4
99.1%
Blake Barnett sacked by Nate Holley for a loss of 4 yards to the KntSt 31Similar
Q2 11:34
4TH & 17
OPP 31
+48
99.5%
Adam Griffith 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 2:131% → 0%
Q2 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
99.5%
Mylik Mitchell pass complete to Demetrius Monday for 7 yds to the KntSt 30Similar
Q2 10:21
2ND & 3
OWN 30
-8
99.5%
Mylik Mitchell sacked by Minkah Fitzpatrick for a loss of 8 yards to the KntSt 22Similar
Q2 9:27
3RD & 11
OWN 22
-9
99.5%
Mylik Mitchell sacked by Ryan Anderson and Reuben Foster for a loss of 9 yards to the KntSt 13Similar
Q2 9:07
4TH & 20
OWN 13
0
99.6%
Derek Adams punt for 48 yds, downed at the Alab 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 11TD
5 plays · 61 yds · 1:56100% → 100%
Q2 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
99.5%
Blake Barnett pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 5 yds to the Alab 44Similar
Q2 8:18
2ND & 5
OWN 44
-2
99.5%
Joshua Jacobs run for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 42Similar
Q2 7:44
3RD & 7
OWN 42
+15
99.6%
Blake Barnett pass complete to Joshua Jacobs for 15 yds to the KntSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+9
99.6%
B.J. Emmons run for 9 yds to the KntSt 34Similar
Q2 6:47
2ND & 1
OPP 34
+34
99.6%
Blake Barnett pass complete to O.J. Howard for 34 yds for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:120% → 0%
Q2 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
99.7%
Myles Washington run for 1 yd to the KntSt 36Similar
Q2 5:50
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+6
99.7%
Raekwon James run for 6 yds to the KntSt 42Similar
Q2 5:19
3RD & 3
OWN 42
0
99.7%
Mylik Mitchell pass incomplete to Nick HolleySimilar
Q2 5:08
4TH & 3
OWN 42
0
99.7%
Derek Adams punt for 56 yds, downed at the Alab 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 13 yds · 0:59100% → 100%
Q2 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+13
99.6%
Joshua Jacobs run for 13 yds to the Alab 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
99.7%
Blake Barnett pass incomplete to Calvin RidleySimilar
Q2 4:04
2ND & 10
OWN 15
0
99.7%
Blake Barnett run for no gain to the Alab 15Similar
Q2 3:51
3RD & 10
OWN 15
0
99.7%
Blake Barnett pass incomplete to Trevon DiggsSimilar
Q2 3:42
4TH & 10
OWN 15
0
99.7%
JK Scott punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KntSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 14PUNT RETURN TD
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:230% → 0%
Q2 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
99.8%
Mylik Mitchell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:22
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+4
99.8%
Myles Washington run for 4 yds to the KntSt 44Similar
Q2 3:00
3RD & 6
OWN 44
-9
99.8%
Mylik Mitchell sacked by Minkah Fitzpatrick for a loss of 9 yards to the KntSt 35Similar
Q2 2:14
4TH & 15
OWN 35
+75
99.8%
Derek Adams punt for 40 yds , Xavian Marks returns for 75 yds for a TD, (Andy Pappanastos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:330% → 0%
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.8%
Myles Washington run for 1 yd to the KntSt 26Similar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
99.8%
Myles Washington run for 5 yds to the KntSt 31Similar
Q2 0:38
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
99.8%
Myles Washington run for no gain to the KntSt 31Similar
Q2 0:27
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
99.8%
Derek Adams punt for 67 yds, downed at the Alab 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 16END OF HALF
1 play · 1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+1
99.8%
Bo Scarbrough run for 1 yd to the Alab 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:060% → 0%
Q3 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.8%
Nick Holley run for 5 yds to the KntSt 30Similar
Q3 14:05
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
99.8%
Nick Holley run for no gain to the KntSt 30Similar
Q3 13:14
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+3
99.8%
George Bollas pass complete to Raekwon James for 3 yds to the KntSt 33Similar
Q3 12:31
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+8
99.8%
Derek Adams punt for 41 yds , Xavian Marks returns for 8 yds to the Alab 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 18TD
13 plays · 66 yds · 5:52100% → 100%
Q3 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
99.8%
Joshua Jacobs run for 3 yds to the Alab 37Similar
Q3 11:49
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+17
99.8%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Trevon Diggs for 17 yds to the KntSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
99.8%
Joshua Jacobs run for 6 yds to the KntSt 40Similar
Q3 10:43
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+8
99.9%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Trevon Diggs for 8 yds to the KntSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
99.9%
Joshua Jacobs run for 2 yds to the KntSt 30Similar
Q3 9:40
2ND & 8
OPP 30
0
99.9%
Jalen Hurts run for no gain to the KntSt 30Similar
Q3 9:20
3RD & 8
OPP 30
+8
99.9%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Derek Kief for 8 yds to the KntSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
99.9%
Jalen Hurts pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:38
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+3
99.9%
B.J. Emmons run for 3 yds to the KntSt 19Similar
Q3 7:52
3RD & 7
OPP 19
+5
99.9%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Derek Kief for 5 yds to the KntSt 14Similar
Q3 7:34
4TH & 2
OPP 14
+4
99.9%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Derek Kief for 4 yds to the KntSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+9
99.9%
Jalen Hurts run for 9 yds to the KntSt 1Similar
Q3 6:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Mack Wilson for 1 yd for a TD, (Andy Pappanastos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 2:570% → 0%
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
99.9%
George Bollas run for 4 yds to the KntSt 17Similar
Q3 5:13
2ND & 6
OWN 17
+16
99.9%
George Bollas run for 16 yds to the KntSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
99.9%
Charles Chandler pass incomplete to Raekwon JamesSimilar
Q3 4:22
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+2
99.9%
Justin Rankin run for 2 yds to the KntSt 35Similar
Q3 3:27
3RD & 8
OWN 35
+1
99.9%
Kavious Price run for 1 yd to the KntSt 36Similar
Q3 2:48
4TH & 7
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Derek Adams punt for 27 yds, downed at the Alab 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 20DOWNS
6 plays · 37 yds · 2:05100% → 100%
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+17
99.9%
B.J. Emmons run for 17 yds to the KntSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+13
99.9%
B.J. Emmons run for 13 yds to the KntSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+8
99.9%
B.J. Emmons run for 8 yds to the KntSt 25Similar
Q3 1:20
2ND & 2
OPP 25
+1
99.9%
Blake Barnett pass complete to Hale Hentges for 1 yd to the KntSt 24Similar
Q3 0:50
3RD & 1
OPP 24
0
99.9%
B.J. Emmons run for no gain to the KntSt 24Similar
Q3 0:25
4TH & 1
OPP 24
-2
99.9%
B.J. Emmons run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 21DOWNS
11 plays · 73 yds · 5:060% → 0%
Q3 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
99.9%
George Bollas pass incomplete to Trey HarrellSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+1
99.9%
Will Matthews run for 1 yd to the KntSt 27Similar
Q4 14:45
3RD & 9
OWN 27
+25
99.9%
George Bollas pass complete to Nick Holley for 25 yds to the Alab 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
99.9%
Will Matthews run for 2 yds to the Alab 46Similar
Q4 13:10
2ND & 8
OPP 46
-4
99.9%
Raekwon James run for a loss of 4 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 12:14
3RD & 12
50
+7
99.9%
George Bollas pass complete to Kavious Price for 7 yds to the Alab 43Similar
Q4 11:30
4TH & 5
OPP 43
+36
99.9%
George Bollas pass complete to Will Matthews for 36 yds to the Alab 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
99.9%
Will Matthews run for no gain to the Alab 7Similar
Q4 10:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
100.0%
George Bollas pass incomplete to Brice FacklerSimilar
Q4 10:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
100.0%
George Bollas pass incomplete to Brice FacklerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 2:25100% → 100%
Q4 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+9
100.0%
Derrick Gore run for 9 yds to the Alab 10Similar
Q4 9:00
2ND & 1
OWN 10
+7
100.0%
Derrick Gore run for 7 yds to the Alab 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
100.0%
Cooper Bateman pass complete to Derrick Gore for no gain to the Alab 17Similar
Q4 7:54
2ND & 10
OWN 17
-2
100.0%
Cooper Bateman pass complete to Trevon Diggs for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 15Similar
Q4 7:15
3RD & 12
OWN 15
0
100.0%
Cooper Bateman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:04
4TH & 12
OWN 15
0
100.0%
JK Scott punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Nick Holley at the KntSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:550% → 0%
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
100.0%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Myles Washington for 3 yds to the KntSt 35Similar
Q4 5:51
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+4
100.0%
Myles Washington run for 4 yds to the KntSt 39Similar
Q4 5:10
3RD & 3
OWN 39
+2
100.0%
Colin Reardon run for 2 yds to the KntSt 41Similar
Q4 4:25
4TH & 1
OWN 41
+1
100.0%
Derek Adams punt for 42 yds , Xavian Marks returns for 1 yd to the Alab 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 24END OF GAME
6 plays · 33 yds · 4:10100% → 100%
Q4 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
100.0%
Derrick Gore run for no gain to the Alab 18Similar
Q4 3:20
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+6
100.0%
Derrick Gore run for 6 yds to the Alab 24Similar
Q4 2:45
3RD & 4
OWN 24
+20
100.0%
Derrick Gore run for 20 yds to the Alab 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
100.0%
Derrick Gore run for 3 yds to the Alab 47Similar
Q4 0:50
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+2
100.0%
Avery Reid run for 2 yds to the Alab 49Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 5
OWN 49
+2
100.0%
Avery Reid run for 2 yds to the KntSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q2 11:34
Adam Griffith 48 yd FG GOOD
+0.3
TD · Q1 6:54
Joshua Jacobs run for 1 yd for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK)
+0.2
TD · Q1 3:39
Joshua Jacobs run for 24 yds for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK)
+0.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com