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VAN

Vanderbilt 7 at Georgia Tech 38

GT
2016 · Week 3 · Sep 17, 2016 · Bobby Dodd Stadium
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Win probability · GT
modelGT aheadVAN aheadconfidence bandkey playGT scoreVAN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 2:05 · Sam Loy punt for 42 yds, downed at the GTech 16
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 33Home team on offense+2.4Pregame prior+18.3Score differential+0.4Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.4Blowout margin+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:50: Dedrick Mills run for 15 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK) — GT win probability +2.5 pts (now 75%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:21: Harrison Butker 41 Yd Field Goal — GT win probability +1.9 pts (now 80%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 10:51: Justin Thomas run for no gain to the GTech 28 — GT win probability +3.8 pts (now 82%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:02: Dedrick Mills 4 Yd Run (Harrison Butker Kick) — GT win probability +8.5 pts (now 94%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:56: Dedrick Mills 5 Yd Run (Harrison Butker Kick) — GT win probability +4.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GT made the numbers' call on 3 of 6VAN made the numbers' call on 5 of 9
  1. Q1 2:05VAN 4th & 2 at VAN 42, down 7
    Close callPunted · 28.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.0%−0.3
    average punt
  2. Q2 15:00GT 4th & 5 at GT 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.3%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.4%
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:43VAN 4th & 1 at VAN 19, down 7
    Close callPunted · 27.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.7%−0.8
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:41GT 4th & 14 at VAN 36, up 7
    Close callPunted · 72.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.6%−0.5
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    72.1%
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    72.0%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:12VAN 4th & 11 at VAN 11, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.8%−1.4
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:01GT 4th & 8 at midfield, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.8%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:58VAN 4th & 6 at GT 47, down 7
    Close callPunted · 26.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.4%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:21GT 4th & 10 at VAN 24, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 75.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.6%−1.6
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.2%
    68% to make
    Punt
    71.2%−4.0
    average punt
  9. Q3 14:53VAN 4th & 1 at GT 28, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 23.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    20.7%−2.2
    60% to make
    Punt
    16.0%−6.9
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:02VAN 4th & 15 at VAN 20, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.5%−2.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.5%
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00VAN 4th & 11 at VAN 36, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:28VAN 4th & 2 at VAN 28, down 31
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 4:55GT 4th & 2 at GT 44, up 31
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:44VAN 4th & 8 at VAN 25, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:47GT 4th & 13 at VAN 47, up 31
    Close callWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GT made the numbers' call on 5 of 5VAN made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 14:40GT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:20VAN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:50GT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 6:02GT Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 0:56GT Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 12:46GT Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GTDrive 1TD
2 plays · 81 yds · 0:0073% → 73%
Q1 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+81
73.2%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Marcus Marshall for 81 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 2TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:2027% → 28%
Q1 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
73.2%
Ralph Webb run for 1 yd to the Vandy 26Similar
Q1 14:40
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
73.2%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Kalija Lipscomb, broken up by Lance AustinSimilar
Q1 14:40
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+12
73.2%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Caleb Scott for 12 yds to the Vandy 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+13
73.2%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Ralph Webb for 13 yds to the GTech 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:40
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+16
73.2%
Khari Blasingame run for 1 yd to the GTech 48 for a 1ST down GEORGIA TECH Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Francis Kallon) to the GTech 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:40
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
73.2%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Latevius Rayford for 2 yds to the GTech 31Similar
Q1 14:40
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+4
73.2%
Dallas Rivers run for 4 yds to the GTech 27Similar
Q1 14:40
3RD & 4
OPP 27
+10
73.2%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 10 yds to the GTech 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:40
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
73.2%
Dallas Rivers run for 2 yds to the GTech 15Similar
Q1 14:40
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+5
73.2%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 5 yds to the GTech 10Similar
Q1 9:20
3RD & 3
OPP 10
+10
71.6%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 10 yds for a TD, (Tommy Openshaw KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 3TD
10 plays · 64 yds · 4:2172% → 75%
Q1 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
72.2%
Qua Searcy rush for 2 yards to the GT38 (Ryan White), PENALTY VANDY offside defense 5 yards to the GT41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:11
3RD & 7
OPP 37
+10
72.6%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Clinton Lynch for 10 yds to the Vandy 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:11
1ST & 5
OWN 41
+19
72.5%
Justin Thomas run for 19 yds to the Vandy 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:11
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
72.7%
Dedrick Mills run for 1 yd to the Vandy 39Similar
Q1 9:11
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+2
72.7%
Qua Searcy run for 2 yds to the Vandy 37Similar
Q1 9:11
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+6
72.8%
Dedrick Mills run for 6 yds to the Vandy 21Similar
Q1 9:11
2ND & 4
OPP 21
+3
72.8%
Dedrick Mills run for 3 yds to the Vandy 18Similar
Q1 9:11
3RD & 1
OPP 18
+3
72.6%
Dedrick Mills run for 3 yds to the Vandy 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
75.1%
Dedrick Mills run for 15 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 23 yds · 2:3926% → 25%
Q1 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+9
74.1%
Ralph Webb run for 9 yds to the Vandy 28Similar
Q1 4:44
2ND & 1
OWN 28
+6
73.7%
Ralph Webb run for 6 yds to the Vandy 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
73.9%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Nathan MarcusSimilar
Q1 4:44
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+3
74.0%
Ralph Webb run for 3 yds to the Vandy 37Similar
Q1 2:53
3RD & 7
OWN 37
+5
74.2%
Kyle Shurmur run for 5 yds to the Vandy 42Similar
Q1 2:05
4TH & 2
OWN 42
0
75.2%
Sam Loy punt for 42 yds, downed at the GTech 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 29 yds · 1:5375% → 75%
Q1 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
75.1%
Dedrick Mills run for 5 yds to the GTech 21Similar
Q1 1:53
2ND & 5
OWN 21
+19
75.2%
Clinton Lynch run for 19 yds to the GTech 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
75.7%
Dedrick Mills run for 3 yds to the GTech 43Similar
Q1 1:53
2ND & 7
OWN 43
-3
75.8%
Justin Thomas run for a loss of 3 yards to the GTech 40Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 40
0
75.4%
Justin Thomas pass incomplete to Qua SearcySimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 40
+5
74.8%
VANDERBILT Penalty, substitution infraction (5 Yards) to the GTech 45Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 45
0
75.2%
Ryan Rodwell punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Kalija Lipscomb at the Vandy 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q2 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+8
75.8%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Jared Pinkney for 8 yds to the Vandy 18Similar
Q2 14:43
2ND & 2
OWN 18
0
75.6%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Kalija LipscombSimilar
Q2 14:43
3RD & 2
OWN 18
+1
76.0%
Ralph Webb run for 1 yd to the Vandy 19Similar
Q2 14:43
4TH & 1
OWN 19
0
76.1%
Sam Loy punt for 51 yds, downed at the GTech 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 34 yds · 2:2976% → 75%
Q2 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+15
75.8%
Justin Thomas pass incomplete to Dedrick Mills, PENALTY VANDY pass interference (Zach Cunningham) 15 yards to the GT45, 1ST DOWN GT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+23
76.5%
J.J. Green run for 23 yds to the Vandy 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-6
77.0%
Dedrick Mills run for 9 yds to the Vandy 23 GEORGIA TECH Penalty, illegal block (-15 Yards) to the Vandy 38Similar
Q2 13:10
1ST & 16
OPP 38
+3
76.3%
Justin Thomas run for 3 yds to the Vandy 35Similar
Q2 13:10
2ND & 13
OPP 35
-15
76.5%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Jalen Camp for 13 yards to the VANDY22, PENALTY GT illegal block 15 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:41
2ND & 28
50
+10
76.3%
Justin Thomas run for 10 yds to the Vandy 40Similar
Q2 10:41
3RD & 18
OPP 40
+4
76.0%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Dedrick Mills for 4 yds to the Vandy 36Similar
Q2 10:41
4TH & 14
OPP 36
0
75.3%
Ryan Rodwell punt for 35 yds, downed at the Vandy 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 10 yds · 0:0023% → 22%
Q2 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+7
77.3%
Ralph Webb run for 7 yds to the Vandy 8Similar
Q2 9:12
2ND & 3
OWN 8
+4
77.4%
Ralph Webb run for 4 yds to the Vandy 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
76.8%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Kalija Lipscomb, broken up by Lance AustinSimilar
Q2 9:12
2ND & 10
OWN 12
-1
76.9%
Ralph Webb run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 11Similar
Q2 9:12
3RD & 11
OWN 11
0
77.4%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Jared PinkneySimilar
Q2 9:12
4TH & 11
OWN 11
0
77.6%
Sam Loy punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Brad Stewart at the GTech 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0078% → 77%
Q2 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
78.4%
Justin Thomas pass incomplete to Ricky Jeune Justin Thomas fumbled,Similar
Q2 7:01
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+2
78.2%
Dedrick Mills run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 7:01
3RD & 8
50
0
77.8%
Justin Thomas pass incomplete to Brad StewartSimilar
Q2 7:01
4TH & 8
50
0
76.8%
Ryan Rodwell punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 33 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q2 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+14
77.5%
Ralph Webb run for 14 yds to the Vandy 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
76.9%
Khari Blasingame run for 4 yds to the Vandy 38Similar
Q2 5:58
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+11
76.4%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Jared Pinkney for 11 yds to the Vandy 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
75.7%
Khari Blasingame run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 5:58
2ND & 9
50
+3
75.6%
Ralph Webb run for 3 yds to the GTech 47Similar
Q2 5:58
3RD & 6
OPP 47
0
75.4%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Kalija LipscombSimilar
Q2 5:58
4TH & 6
OPP 47
0
77.0%
Sam Loy punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Brad Stewart at the GTech 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 11FG
13 plays · 60 yds · 2:2478% → 80%
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-3
77.5%
Justin Thomas run for a loss of 3 yards to the GTech 13Similar
Q2 2:45
2ND & 13
OWN 13
+17
77.3%
Justin Thomas run for 17 yds to the GTech 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
77.8%
J.J. Green run for no gain to the GTech 30Similar
Q2 2:45
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+16
77.5%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Brad Stewart for 16 yds to the GTech 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+15
79.0%
Justin Thomas pass incomplete to Qua Searcy, PENALTY VANDY pass interference (Emmanuel Smith) 15 yards to the VANDY39, 1ST DOWN GT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-2
79.2%
Dedrick Mills run for a loss of 2 yards to the Vandy 41Similar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 12
OPP 41
0
78.1%
Justin Thomas pass incomplete to Dedrick MillsSimilar
Q2 0:52
3RD & 12
OPP 41
+17
77.0%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Qua Searcy for 17 yds to the Vandy 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
78.9%
Team pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 10
OPP 24
0
78.8%
Justin Thomas pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:52
3RD & 10
OPP 24
0
77.9%
Justin Thomas pass incomplete to Ricky Jeune, broken up by Torren McGasterSimilar
Q2 0:21
4TH & 10
OPP 24
+41
79.8%
Harrison Butker 41 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
80.6%
Ralph Webb run for 4 yds to the Vandy 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 13DOWNS
9 plays · 54 yds · 0:0021% → 22%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+9
78.8%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 9 yds to the Vandy 27Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 1
OWN 27
+8
78.0%
Ralph Webb run for 8 yds to the Vandy 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+18
78.3%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 18 yds to the GTech 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+10
76.9%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Trent Sherfield for 10 yds to the GTech 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
76.9%
Ralph Webb run for 2 yds to the GTech 35Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+2
76.0%
Ralph Webb run for 2 yds to the GTech 33Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 6
OPP 33
+5
77.1%
Khari Blasingame run for 5 yds to the GTech 28Similar
Q3 14:53
4TH & 1
OPP 28
0
77.6%
Khari Blasingame run for no gain to the GTech 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 14TD
11 plays · 72 yds · 4:4982% → 94%
Q3 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
81.5%
Justin Thomas run for no gain to the GTech 28Similar
Q3 10:51
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
81.3%
Justin Thomas pass incomplete to Brad StewartSimilar
Q3 10:51
3RD & 10
OWN 28
+22
80.5%
Justin Thomas run for 22 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:51
1ST & 10
50
+1
82.7%
Justin Thomas run for 1 yd to the Vandy 49Similar
Q3 10:51
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+19
82.7%
Clinton Lynch run for 29 yds to the Vandy 20 for a 1ST down GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Offensive holding (Brad Stewart) to the Vandy 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-3
83.1%
Justin Thomas run for a loss of 3 yards to the Vandy 33Similar
Q3 10:51
2ND & 13
OPP 33
+8
82.9%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Qua Searcy for 8 yds to the Vandy 25Similar
Q3 10:51
3RD & 5
OPP 25
+10
82.3%
Qua Searcy run for 10 yds to the Vandy 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+11
83.1%
Isiah Willis run for 11 yds to the Vandy 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
93.6%
Dedrick Mills 4 Yd Run (Harrison Butker Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:009% → 8%
Q3 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
91.5%
Ralph Webb run for 2 yds to the Vandy 27Similar
Q3 6:02
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-9
91.3%
Kyle Shurmur sacked by Brentavious Glanton for a loss of 9 yards to the Vandy 18Similar
Q3 6:02
3RD & 17
OWN 18
+2
91.8%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Ralph Webb for 2 yds to the Vandy 20Similar
Q3 6:02
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
91.9%
Sam Loy punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Brad Stewart at the GTech 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 16TD
6 plays · 64 yds · 2:4694% → 99%
Q3 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+21
93.9%
Justin Thomas run for 21 yds to the Vandy 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:42
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+29
94.2%
Clinton Lynch run for 29 yds to the Vandy 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:42
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
94.2%
Dedrick Mills run for 1 yd to the Vandy 13Similar
Q3 3:42
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+3
94.2%
Dedrick Mills run for 3 yds to the Vandy 10Similar
Q3 3:42
3RD & 6
OPP 10
+5
94.1%
VANDERBILT Penalty, offside defense (Nifae Lealao) to the Vandy 5Similar
Q3 0:56
3RD & 1
OPP 5
+5
98.8%
Dedrick Mills 5 Yd Run (Harrison Butker Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 0:492% → 2%
Q3 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
97.8%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Jared Pinkney for 5 yds to the Vandy 30Similar
Q3 0:49
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+7
97.7%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 7 yds to the Vandy 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
97.7%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Trent SherfieldSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-1
98.0%
Ralph Webb run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 36Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 36
0
98.1%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Kalija LipscombSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 11
OWN 36
0
98.1%
Sam Loy punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Brad Stewart at the GTech 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 18TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 1:2199% → 100%
Q4 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.0%
Matthew Jordan run for no gain to the GTech 25Similar
Q4 14:07
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-2
99.0%
Lynn Grffin run for a loss of 2 yards to the GTech 23Similar
Q4 12:46
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+77
99.8%
Clinton Lynch 77 Yd pass from Matthew Jordan (Harrison Butker Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 19INT
6 plays · 25 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.8%
Ralph Webb run for 2 yds to the Vandy 27Similar
Q4 12:46
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
99.8%
Ralph Webb run for 3 yds to the Vandy 30Similar
Q4 12:46
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+8
99.8%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Nathan Marcus for 8 yds to the Vandy 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+12
99.8%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Caleb Scott for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:46
1ST & 10
50
+64
99.8%
Kyle Shurmur pass intercepted Dorian Walker return for 64 yds to the Vandy 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 20INT
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 9:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
99.9%
Marcus Marshall run for 2 yds to the Vandy 7Similar
Q4 9:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
99.9%
Matthew Jordan run for 2 yds to the Vandy 5Similar
Q4 9:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
99.9%
Matthew Jordan pass intercepted, touchback. Taurean Ferguson return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
99.9%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Caleb Scott for 7 yds to the Vandy 27Similar
Q4 8:28
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+2
99.9%
Josh Crawford run for 2 yds to the Vandy 29Similar
Q4 8:28
3RD & 1
OWN 29
-1
99.9%
Josh Crawford run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 28Similar
Q4 8:28
4TH & 2
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Sam Loy punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Brad Stewart at the GTech 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:22100% → 100%
Q4 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
99.9%
Marcus Marshall run for 5 yds to the GTech 41Similar
Q4 6:17
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+1
99.9%
Marcus Marshall run for 1 yd to the GTech 42Similar
Q4 6:17
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+2
99.9%
TaQuon Marshall run for 2 yds to the GTech 44Similar
Q4 4:55
4TH & 2
OWN 44
+7
99.9%
Ryan Rodwell punt for 40 yds , Kalija Lipscomb returns for 7 yds to the Vandy 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
99.9%
Wade Freebeck pass incomplete to Caleb ScottSimilar
Q4 4:44
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+2
99.9%
Wade Freebeck run for 2 yds to the Vandy 25Similar
Q4 4:44
3RD & 8
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Wade Freebeck pass incomplete to C.J. Duncan, broken up by Tre' JacksonSimilar
Q4 4:44
4TH & 8
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Sam Loy punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Brad Stewart at the GTech 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 24DOWNS
7 plays · 23 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
99.9%
Lynn Grffin run for 5 yds to the GTech 44Similar
Q4 3:47
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+3
99.9%
TaQuon Marshall run for 3 yds to the GTech 47Similar
Q4 3:47
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+9
99.9%
Austin McClellan run for 9 yds to the Vandy 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-7
99.9%
TaQuon Marshall sacked by Dare Odeyingbo for a loss of 7 yards to the GTech 49Similar
Q4 3:47
2ND & 17
OWN 49
-2
99.9%
TaQuon Marshall run for a loss of 2 yards to the GTech 47Similar
Q4 3:47
3RD & 19
OWN 47
+6
99.9%
TaQuon Marshall run for 6 yds to the Vandy 47Similar
Q4 3:47
4TH & 13
OPP 47
+9
99.9%
TaQuon Marshall pass complete to Grant Aasen for 9 yds to the Vandy 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 25END OF GAME
3 plays · 41 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+12
100.0%
Wade Freebeck pass complete to Trent Sherfield for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:32
1ST & 10
50
+22
100.0%
Wade Freebeck pass complete to C.J. Duncan for 22 yds to the GTech 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:32
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+7
100.0%
Wade Freebeck pass complete to Dallas Rivers for 7 yds to the GTech 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 6:02
Dedrick Mills 4 Yd Run (Harrison Butker Kick)
+8.5
TD · Q3 0:56
Dedrick Mills 5 Yd Run (Harrison Butker Kick)
+4.7
KEY PLAY · Q3 10:51
Justin Thomas run for no gain to the GTech 28
+3.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com