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UGA

Georgia 28 at Missouri 27

MIZ
2016 · Week 3 · Sep 17, 2016 · Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · MIZ
modelMIZ aheadUGA aheadconfidence bandkey playMIZ scoreUGA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 6:13 · William Ham 23 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+31.0+15.50−15.5−31.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 139Pregame prior−7.4Home team on offense+3.4Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.3Score differential+0.3Blowout margin+0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:48: Christian Payne 2 Yd pass from Jacob Eason (William Ham Kick) — UGA win probability +4.5 pts (now 67%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:30: J'Mon Moore 79 Yd pass from Drew Lock (Tucker McCann Kick) — MIZ win probability +13.8 pts (now 50%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:48: Isaiah McKenzie 20 Yd pass from Jacob Eason (William Ham Kick) — UGA win probability +17.1 pts (now 68%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 13:54: J'Mon Moore 6 Yd pass from Drew Lock (Tucker McCann Kick) — MIZ win probability +19.4 pts (now 59%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:29: Isaiah McKenzie 20 Yd pass from Jacob Eason (William Ham Kick) — UGA win probability +58.2 pts (now 71%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MIZ made the numbers' call on 3 of 9UGA made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 10:01UGA 4th & 5 at UGA 48, down 7
    Close callPunted · 60.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.5%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:20MIZ 4th & 4 at UGA 16, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 41.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.1%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    41.1%−<0.1
    81% to make
    Punt
    39.8%−1.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:52MIZ 4th & 1 at MIZ 15, up 3
    Close callPunted · 41.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.7%−0.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:36MIZ 4th & 15 at UGA 29, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 38.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.4%−1.2
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.6%
    58% to make
    Punt
    35.4%−3.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:32UGA 4th & 9 at midfield, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.1%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:06UGA 4th & 6 at UGA 44, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.0%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:31MIZ 4th & 10 at MIZ 29, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.0%−1.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:11MIZ 4th & 4 at UGA 39, down 1
    Close callWent for it · 44.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    44.7%−0.4
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    45.2%
    36% to make
    Punt
    43.8%−1.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:45UGA 4th & 5 at UGA 30, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.4%−0.6
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:45MIZ 4th & 4 at MIZ 30, up 6
    Close callPunted · 59.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.3%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:21UGA 4th & 4 at UGA 40, down 6
    Close callPunted · 39.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.1%−0.5
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:13UGA 4th & 5 at MIZ 6, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 40.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.9%−0.3
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.1%
    91% to make
    Punt
    26.5%−13.6
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:00MIZ 4th & 3 at MIZ 27, up 6
    Close callPunted · 62.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.1%−0.6
    average punt
  14. Q3 1:21UGA 4th & 8 at UGA 37, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.2%−1.5
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.8%
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:35UGA 4th & 13 at MIZ 21, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 32.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.4%−3.4
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.8%
    74% to make
    Punt
    22.1%−10.8
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:35MIZ 4th & 1 at UGA 24, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 82.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    82.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    78.8%−3.3
    68% to make
    Punt
    69.8%−12.3
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:49UGA 4th & 7 at UGA 36, down 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 21.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.4%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.2%−1.2
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:32MIZ 4th & 10 at UGA 40, up 6
    Close callPunted · 88.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.8%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    87.4%−0.4
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    87.4%−0.4
    average punt
  19. Q4 1:29UGA 4th & 10 at MIZ 20, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.1%
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    10.8%−2.3
    75% to make
    Punt
    5.8%−7.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MIZ made the numbers' call on 3 of 3UGA made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 12:53MIZ Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:15UGA Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:48UGA Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:30MIZ Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:48UGA Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 13:54MIZ Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 1:29UGA Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.1%−3.8
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MIZDrive 1TD
11 plays · 72 yds · 1:4330% → 32%
Q1 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
30.3%
Ish Witter run for 3 yds to the Misso 31Similar
Q1 14:24
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+17
30.4%
Drew Lock pass complete to Kendall Blanton for 17 yds to the Misso 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:19
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
30.5%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to J'Mon MooreSimilar
Q1 14:04
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+8
30.6%
Drew Lock pass complete to Sean Culkin for 8 yds to the Geo 44Similar
Q1 13:55
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+4
30.7%
Ish Witter run for 4 yds to the Geo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
30.8%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to J'Mon MooreSimilar
Q1 13:30
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+14
30.9%
Drew Lock pass complete to Ish Witter for 14 yds to the Geo 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+9
31.2%
Drew Lock pass complete to J'Mon Moore for 9 yds to the Geo 17Similar
Q1 12:56
2ND & 1
OPP 17
+2
31.3%
Ish Witter run for 2 yds to the Geo 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
32.0%
Jason Reese 15 Yd pass from Drew Lock (Tucker McCann Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:3668% → 66%
Q1 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
31.9%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Sony Michel for 7 yds to the Geo 38Similar
Q1 12:25
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+5
31.9%
Nick Chubb run for 5 yds to the Geo 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-2
32.6%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Isaiah McKenzie for a loss of 2 yards to the Geo 41Similar
Q1 11:20
2ND & 12
OWN 41
0
32.8%
Nick Chubb run for no gain to the Geo 41Similar
Q1 10:25
3RD & 12
OWN 41
+7
33.6%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Terry Godwin for 7 yds to the Geo 48Similar
Q1 10:01
4TH & 5
OWN 48
0
33.9%
Marshall Long punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 3FG
8 plays · 64 yds · 1:4134% → 36%
Q1 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
34.1%
MISSOURI Penalty, False Start (Paul Adams) to the Misso 15Similar
Q1 9:40
1ST & 15
OWN 15
+7
34.4%
Drew Lock pass complete to Justin Smith for 7 yds to the Misso 22Similar
Q1 9:30
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+8
34.5%
Drew Lock pass complete to Chris Black for 8 yds to the Misso 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+48
34.8%
Drew Lock pass complete to J'Mon Moore for 48 yds to the Geo 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
35.5%
Ish Witter run for 2 yds to the Geo 20Similar
Q1 8:45
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+4
35.7%
Drew Lock pass complete to J'Mon Moore for 4 yds to the Geo 16Similar
Q1 8:25
3RD & 4
OPP 16
0
35.9%
Drew Lock pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:20
4TH & 4
OPP 16
+33
35.7%
Tucker McCann 33 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 4TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 4:5965% → 65%
Q1 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
35.5%
Jacob Eason pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
35.9%
Nick Chubb run for no gain to the Geo 25Similar
Q1 7:15
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+10
36.6%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Isaiah McKenzie for 10 yds to the Geo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
36.3%
Nick Chubb run for 3 yds to the Geo 38Similar
Q1 6:31
2ND & 7
OWN 38
0
36.5%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Charlie WoernerSimilar
Q1 6:20
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+31
36.9%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Isaiah McKenzie for 31 yds to the Misso 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
36.2%
Nick Chubb run for 3 yds to the Misso 28Similar
Q1 5:18
2ND & 7
OPP 28
0
36.5%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Charlie WoernerSimilar
Q1 4:55
3RD & 7
OPP 28
+11
37.4%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Reggie Davis for 11 yds to the Misso 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
37.0%
Sony Michel run for 4 yds to the Misso 13Similar
Q1 3:59
2ND & 6
OPP 13
+2
37.4%
Nick Chubb run for 2 yds to the Misso 11Similar
Q1 3:35
3RD & 4
OPP 11
+5
38.9%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Christian Payne for 5 yds to the Misso 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
35.1%
Isaiah McKenzie 6 Yd Run (William Ham Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:0837% → 36%
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+2
36.5%
Damarea Crockett run for 2 yds to the Misso 8Similar
Q1 2:30
2ND & 8
OWN 8
+7
36.4%
Drew Lock pass complete to J'Mon Moore for 7 yds to the Misso 15Similar
Q1 2:14
3RD & 1
OWN 15
0
36.2%
Damarea Crockett run for no gain to the Misso 15Similar
Q1 1:52
4TH & 1
OWN 15
0
36.0%
Corey Fatony punt for 46 yds, downed at the Geo 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 6TD
13 plays · 61 yds · 3:5463% → 67%
Q1 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
36.6%
Nick Chubb run for 1 yd to the Geo 40Similar
Q1 0:55
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+3
37.1%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Isaac Nauta for 3 yds to the Geo 43Similar
Q1 0:29
3RD & 6
OWN 43
+8
37.2%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Isaiah McKenzie for 8 yds to the Misso 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
36.7%
Nick Chubb run for 5 yds to the Misso 44Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+9
36.7%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Michael Chigbu for 9 yds to the Misso 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:22
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
36.6%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Charlie WoernerSimilar
Q2 14:13
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+9
36.6%
Nick Chubb run for 9 yds to the Misso 26Similar
Q2 13:48
3RD & 1
OPP 26
-1
37.9%
Nick Chubb run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 27Similar
Q2 13:43
4TH & 2
OPP 27
+5
38.8%
MISSOURI Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the Misso 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
37.5%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Christian PayneSimilar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+20
37.7%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Terry Godwin for 20 yds to the Misso 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
33.2%
Christian Payne 2 Yd pass from Jacob Eason (William Ham Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 7FG
11 plays · 27 yds · 1:2437% → 37%
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
37.1%
Ish Witter run for 1 yd to the Misso 45Similar
Q2 11:45
2ND & 9
OWN 45
-5
37.1%
Lock, Drew pass complete to Black, Chris for 23 yards to the GEORGIA32, PENALTY MISSOURI ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the MISSOURI40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:40
2ND & 14
OWN 40
+3
35.9%
Ish Witter run for 3 yds to the Misso 43Similar
Q2 11:15
3RD & 11
OWN 43
+33
35.8%
Drew Lock pass complete to Chris Black for 33 yds to the Geo 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-5
38.9%
MISSOURI Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Geo 29Similar
Q2 10:55
1ST & 15
OPP 29
0
38.5%
Ish Witter run for no gain to the Geo 29Similar
Q2 10:50
2ND & 15
OPP 29
0
37.8%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Ish WitterSimilar
Q2 10:43
3RD & 15
OPP 29
0
36.7%
Drew Lock pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:36
4TH & 15
OPP 29
+46
36.5%
Tucker McCann 46 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 1:3864% → 63%
Q2 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
36.5%
Nick Chubb run for 5 yds to the Geo 30Similar
Q2 9:50
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+19
35.8%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Christian Payne for 19 yds to the Geo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
34.7%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Reggie DavisSimilar
Q2 9:11
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+1
35.1%
Sony Michel run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 8:41
3RD & 9
50
0
35.8%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Terry GodwinSimilar
Q2 8:32
4TH & 9
50
0
37.2%
Marshall Long punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Johnathon Johnson at the Misso 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 9FUMBLE
1 play · 16 yds · 0:0038% → 38%
Q2 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+16
38.1%
Drew Lock pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 16 yds Johnathon Johnson fumbled, forced by Aaron Davis, recovered by Geo Brice RamseySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 10PUNT
4 plays · -14 yds · 1:0767% → 64%
Q2 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
33.3%
Nick Chubb run for 2 yds to the Misso 29Similar
Q2 7:25
2ND & 8
OPP 29
-10
33.1%
Jacob Eason sacked by Rickey Hatley for a loss of 10 yards to the Misso 39 GEORGIA Penalty, Intentional Grounding ( Yards) to the Misso 39Similar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 18
OPP 39
-6
34.9%
Jacob Eason sacked by Charles Harris for a loss of 6 yards to the Misso 45Similar
Q2 6:43
3RD & 24
OPP 45
0
36.2%
Marshall Long punt for 24 yds, downed at the Misso 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 11TD
1 play · 79 yds · 0:0050% → 50%
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+79
50.0%
J'Mon Moore 79 Yd pass from Drew Lock (Tucker McCann Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:5850% → 50%
Q2 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
49.8%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Isaiah McKenzie for 15 yds to the Geo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
48.4%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Michael ChigbuSimilar
Q2 5:36
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+4
49.2%
Sony Michel run for 4 yds to the Geo 44Similar
Q2 5:15
3RD & 6
OWN 44
0
48.4%
Jacob Eason pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:06
4TH & 6
OWN 44
+2
50.1%
Marshall Long punt for 43 yds , Chris Black returns for 2 yds to the Misso 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 1:2251% → 50%
Q2 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
50.6%
Ish Witter run for 4 yds to the Misso 19Similar
Q2 4:25
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+10
50.9%
Drew Lock pass complete to Dimetrios Mason for 10 yds to the Misso 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
51.5%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Chris BlackSimilar
Q2 3:49
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
51.4%
Ish Witter run for no gain to the Misso 29Similar
Q2 3:44
3RD & 10
OWN 29
0
50.4%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Kendall BlantonSimilar
Q2 3:31
4TH & 10
OWN 29
+9
49.7%
Corey Fatony punt for 54 yds , Isaiah McKenzie returns for 9 yds to the Geo 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 14TD
5 plays · 74 yds · 1:3649% → 68%
Q2 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
51.1%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Reggie DavisSimilar
Q2 2:57
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+8
52.0%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Christian Payne for 8 yds to the Geo 34Similar
Q2 2:41
3RD & 2
OWN 34
+14
50.9%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Isaiah McKenzie for 14 yds to the Geo 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+32
49.4%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Terry Godwin for 32 yds to the Misso 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
32.3%
Isaiah McKenzie 20 Yd pass from Jacob Eason (William Ham Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 15DOWNS
10 plays · 47 yds · 1:3039% → 38%
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
39.1%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Emanuel HallSimilar
Q2 1:08
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+3
38.9%
Drew Lock pass complete to Chris Black for 3 yds to the Misso 20Similar
Q2 0:50
3RD & 7
OWN 20
+10
37.9%
Drew Lock pass complete to Jason Reese for 10 yds to the Misso 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+25
39.6%
Drew Lock pass complete to J'Mon Moore for 25 yds to the Geo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
43.3%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to J'Mon MooreSimilar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
43.0%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Jason ReeseSimilar
Q2 0:16
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+6
40.6%
Drew Lock pass complete to Ish Witter for 6 yds to the Geo 39Similar
Q2 0:11
4TH & 4
OPP 39
+3
38.4%
Drew Lock pass complete to Jason Reese for 3 yds to the Geo 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 16END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
36.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Geo 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 17INT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:5762% → 60%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
38.3%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Natrez PatrickSimilar
Q3 14:43
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
38.5%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Isaiah McKenzie for no gain to the Geo 25Similar
Q3 13:59
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+27
39.8%
Jacob Eason pass intercepted Cam Hilton return for 27 yds to the Geo 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 18TD
1 play · 6 yds · 0:0059% → 59%
Q3 13:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
59.2%
J'Mon Moore 6 Yd pass from Drew Lock (Tucker McCann Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 19FUMBLE
5 plays · 5 yds · 2:0147% → 43%
Q3 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
53.3%
Nick Chubb run for no gain to the Geo 25Similar
Q3 12:52
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-7
54.2%
Jacob Eason sacked by Charles Harris for a loss of 7 yards to the Geo 18Similar
Q3 12:15
3RD & 17
OWN 18
+12
56.1%
Jacob Eason run for 12 yds to the Geo 30Similar
Q3 11:45
4TH & 5
OWN 30
-7
56.7%
Marshall Long punt for 39 yds , Johnathon Johnson returns for a loss of 7 yards to the Misso 24 Johnathon Johnson fumbled, recovered by Misso DeSean BlairSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:5058% → 56%
Q3 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
57.6%
Ish Witter run for 3 yds to the Misso 27Similar
Q3 11:15
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+3
57.9%
Ish Witter run for 3 yds to the Misso 30Similar
Q3 11:00
3RD & 4
OWN 30
0
57.3%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Ish WitterSimilar
Q3 10:45
4TH & 4
OWN 30
+16
56.4%
Corey Fatony punt for 52 yds , Isaiah McKenzie returns for 16 yds to the Geo 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:5445% → 43%
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
55.0%
Nick Chubb run for 4 yds to the Geo 38Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+2
53.8%
Nick Chubb run for 2 yds to the Geo 40Similar
Q3 9:29
3RD & 4
OWN 40
0
54.7%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Terry GodwinSimilar
Q3 9:21
4TH & 4
OWN 40
0
57.3%
Marshall Long punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Johnathon Johnson at the Misso 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 22INT
3 plays · -6 yds · 0:2860% → 60%
Q3 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-8
59.8%
Damarea Crockett run for 2 yds to the Misso 28 MISSOURI Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Misso 18Similar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 18
OWN 18
+2
59.5%
Damarea Crockett run for 2 yds to the Misso 20Similar
Q3 8:47
2ND & 16
OWN 20
+18
59.5%
Drew Lock pass intercepted Juwuan Briscoe return for 18 yds to the Misso 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 23MISSED FG
7 plays · 21 yds · 1:5749% → 44%
Q3 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+9
51.3%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Sony Michel for 9 yds to the Misso 18Similar
Q3 7:36
2ND & 1
OPP 18
0
51.6%
Sony Michel run for no gain to the Misso 18Similar
Q3 7:05
3RD & 1
OPP 18
+7
53.7%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Christian Payne for 7 yds to the Misso 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
52.1%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Isaiah McKenzieSimilar
Q3 6:46
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+5
52.1%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Jackson Harris for 5 yds to the Misso 6Similar
Q3 6:18
3RD & 5
OPP 6
0
54.3%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Isaiah McKenzieSimilar
Q3 6:13
4TH & 5
OPP 6
+23
56.5%
William Ham 23 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:3863% → 60%
Q3 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-14
62.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 14 yards to the Misso 6Similar
Q3 5:15
2ND & 24
OWN 6
+21
62.1%
Drew Lock pass complete to Emanuel Hall for 21 yds to the Misso 27Similar
Q3 5:13
3RD & 3
OWN 27
0
62.0%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Johnathon JohnsonSimilar
Q3 5:00
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
60.2%
Corey Fatony punt for 60 yds, downed at the Geo 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 25PUNT
9 plays · 24 yds · 3:2540% → 36%
Q3 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
60.0%
Nick Chubb run for 2 yds to the Geo 15Similar
Q3 4:15
2ND & 8
OWN 15
+9
60.4%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Terry Godwin for 9 yds to the Geo 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+9
60.4%
Sony Michel run for 9 yds to the Geo 33Similar
Q3 3:09
2ND & 1
OWN 33
0
57.8%
Jacob Eason pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:00
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+2
60.0%
Nick Chubb run for 2 yds to the Geo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
60.3%
Jacob Eason sacked by Charles Harris for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 34Similar
Q3 1:57
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+3
61.6%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Sony Michel for 3 yds to the Geo 37Similar
Q3 1:30
3RD & 8
OWN 37
0
62.1%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Reggie DavisSimilar
Q3 1:21
4TH & 8
OWN 37
0
64.1%
Marshall Long punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Johnathon Johnson at the Misso 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 26INT
3 plays · 11 yds · 0:2071% → 72%
Q3 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
70.7%
Drew Lock pass complete to Kendall Blanton for 9 yds to the Misso 35Similar
Q3 0:47
2ND & 1
OWN 35
+2
72.1%
Ish Witter run for 2 yds to the Misso 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+44
72.0%
Drew Lock pass intercepted Quincy Mauger return for 29 yds to the MISSOURI 34 GEORGIA Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Misso 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 27MISSED FG
7 plays · 26 yds · 1:4042% → 36%
Q3 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+13
58.1%
Isaiah McKenzie run for 13 yds to the Misso 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+16
56.4%
Nick Chubb run for 16 yds to the Misso 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+6
55.8%
Sony Michel run for 6 yds to the Misso 12Similar
Q4 13:46
2ND & 4
OPP 12
-9
56.4%
Sony Michel run for a loss of 9 yards to the Misso 21Similar
Q4 13:39
3RD & 13
OPP 21
0
60.3%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Isaiah McKenzieSimilar
Q4 13:35
4TH & 13
OPP 21
+38
64.0%
William Ham 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 28INT
15 plays · 60 yds · 5:1672% → 84%
Q4 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
71.5%
Ish Witter run for 9 yds to the Misso 31Similar
Q4 13:17
2ND & 1
OWN 31
+3
73.4%
Ish Witter run for 3 yds to the Misso 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
72.7%
Ish Witter run for 4 yds to the Misso 38Similar
Q4 12:45
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+4
76.4%
Ish Witter run for 4 yds to the Misso 42Similar
Q4 12:00
3RD & 2
OWN 42
+11
78.2%
Ish Witter run for 11 yds to the Geo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
80.5%
Ish Witter run for 3 yds to the Geo 44Similar
Q4 11:18
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+6
80.5%
Damarea Crockett run for 6 yds to the Geo 38Similar
Q4 11:05
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+5
80.5%
Damarea Crockett run for 5 yds to the Geo 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
82.1%
Damarea Crockett run for 5 yds to the Geo 28Similar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+1
82.3%
Damarea Crockett run for 1 yd to the Geo 27Similar
Q4 10:04
3RD & 4
OPP 27
+3
81.5%
Ish Witter run for 3 yds to the Geo 24Similar
Q4 9:35
4TH & 1
OPP 24
+1
81.1%
Josh Augusta run for 1 yd to the Geo 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:56
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
84.0%
Ish Witter run for 3 yds to the Geo 20Similar
Q4 8:43
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+2
84.2%
Ish Witter run for 2 yds to the Geo 18Similar
Q4 8:09
3RD & 5
OPP 18
0
83.6%
Drew Lock pass intercepted, touchback. Quincy Mauger return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 29PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 1:5028% → 24%
Q4 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
71.7%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Isaac Nauta for 6 yds to the Geo 26Similar
Q4 7:34
2ND & 4
OWN 26
0
70.3%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Isaiah McKenzieSimilar
Q4 7:19
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+7
72.1%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Isaac Nauta for 7 yds to the Geo 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
70.9%
Nick Chubb run for 3 yds to the Geo 36Similar
Q4 6:26
2ND & 7
OWN 36
0
70.5%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Terry GodwinSimilar
Q4 6:18
3RD & 7
OWN 36
0
72.2%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Reggie DavisSimilar
Q4 5:49
4TH & 7
OWN 36
0
76.3%
Marshall Long punt for 35 yds for a 1ST down , Johnathon Johnson returns for no gain to the Misso 36 for a 1ST down GEORGIA Penalty, Personal Foul (Kirby Choates) to the Misso 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 30PUNT
9 plays · 16 yds · 1:5387% → 89%
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
87.4%
Ish Witter run for 3 yds to the Misso 47Similar
Q4 5:18
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+3
87.4%
Ish Witter run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 5:00
3RD & 4
50
+10
87.5%
Drew Lock run for 10 yds to the Geo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:32
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
89.2%
Ish Witter run for no gain to the Geo 40Similar
Q4 4:19
2ND & 10
OPP 40
-1
89.5%
Drew Lock run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 41Similar
Q4 3:41
3RD & 11
OPP 41
+1
88.7%
Ish Witter run for 1 yd to the Geo 40Similar
Q4 3:32
4TH & 10
OPP 40
0
88.7%
Corey Fatony punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 31TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 1:4914% → 71%
Q4 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+17
85.7%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Jeb Blazevich for 17 yds to the Geo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
84.1%
Sony Michel run for 7 yds to the Geo 44Similar
Q4 2:30
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+6
82.6%
Jacob Eason pass complete to Isaiah McKenzie for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:24
1ST & 10
50
0
81.8%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Terry GodwinSimilar
Q4 2:16
2ND & 10
50
0
82.7%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Michael ChigbuSimilar
Q4 2:07
3RD & 10
50
+15
84.2%
Eason, Jacob pass incomplete to Davis, Reggie, PENALTY MISSOURI pass interference (Gibson, John) 15 yards to the MISSOURI35, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN GEORGIA.Similar
Q4 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+15
78.2%
Sony Michel run for 15 yds to the Misso 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:46
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
76.1%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Isaiah McKenzieSimilar
Q4 1:41
2ND & 10
OPP 20
0
77.1%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Isaiah McKenzieSimilar
Q4 1:36
3RD & 10
OPP 20
0
81.1%
Jacob Eason pass incomplete to Isaac NautaSimilar
Q4 1:29
4TH & 10
OPP 20
+20
29.0%
Isaiah McKenzie 20 Yd pass from Jacob Eason (William Ham Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 32FUMBLE
2 plays · 18 yds · 0:0042% → 42%
Q4 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+18
42.0%
Drew Lock pass complete to J'Mon Moore for 18 yds J'Mon Moore fumbled, recovered by Geo Juwuan BriscoeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 33END OF GAME
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:4982% → 93%
Q4 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-2
18.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 0:01
2ND & 12
50
-2
6.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Geo 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:29
Isaiah McKenzie 20 Yd pass from Jacob Eason (William Ham Kick)
-58.2
TD · Q3 13:54
J'Mon Moore 6 Yd pass from Drew Lock (Tucker McCann Kick)
+19.4
TD · Q2 1:48
Isaiah McKenzie 20 Yd pass from Jacob Eason (William Ham Kick)
-17.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com