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TA&M

Texas A&M 29 at Auburn 16

AUB
2016 · Week 3 · Sep 17, 2016 · Jordan-Hare Stadium
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Win probability · AUB
modelAUB aheadTA&M aheadconfidence bandkey playAUB scoreTA&M score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGFGFGFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 3:54 · Kevin Phillips punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Christian Kirk at the TexAM 29
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+46.0+23.00−23.0−46.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 34Home team on offense+2.1Pregame prior+10.6Score differential+0.4Garbage-time factor+0.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:07: Josh Reynolds 5 Yd pass from Trevor Knight (Daniel LaCamera Kick) — TA&M win probability +4.9 pts (now 44%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 5:38: Daniel LaCamera 35 Yd Field Goal — TA&M win probability +9.0 pts (now 53%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:00: Daniel Carlson 37 Yd Field Goal — AUB win probability +5.4 pts (now 54%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  4. FG · Q4 10:13: Daniel LaCamera 26 Yd Field Goal — TA&M win probability +6.9 pts (now 89%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:52: Trayveon Williams 89 Yd Run (Daniel LaCamera Kick) — TA&M win probability +5.4 pts (now 98%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
AUB made the numbers' call on 7 of 11TA&M made the numbers' call on 9 of 13
  1. Q1 13:20AUB 4th & 1 at AUB 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 61.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.9%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:37TA&M 4th & 19 at TA&M 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.7%−0.3
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:58TA&M 4th & 1 at TA&M 34, down 7
    Close callPunted · 35.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.0%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:54AUB 4th & 3 at AUB 29, up 7
    Close callPunted · 65.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.3%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:42TA&M 4th & 3 at AUB 28, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 34.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.4%−0.4
    60% to make
    Punt
    32.2%−2.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:43AUB 4th & 8 at AUB 43, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.6%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:32AUB 4th & 11 at AUB 48, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.0%−1.0
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:08TA&M 4th & 9 at TA&M 21, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.2%−1.7
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.9%
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:38TA&M 4th & 13 at AUB 17, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 44.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.5%−1.3
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.8%
    80% to make
    Punt
    38.2%−5.6
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:45AUB 4th & 10 at AUB 37, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.0%−1.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.3%
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:52TA&M 4th & 3 at AUB 13, up 6
    Close callKicked a field goal · 54.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.1%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.4%−0.7
    85% to make
    Punt
    47.9%−6.2
    average punt
  12. Q3 14:08TA&M 4th & 11 at TA&M 24, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.8%−2.7
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.5%
    average punt
  13. Q3 10:29AUB 4th & 10 at TA&M 43, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.0%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    45.0%−1.3
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    46.4%
    average punt
  14. Q3 9:00TA&M 4th & 4 at TA&M 27, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.7%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.8%
    average punt
  15. Q3 7:56AUB 4th & 3 at AUB 49, down 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsPunted · 46.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.4%−1.5
    average punt
  16. Q3 7:23TA&M 4th & 8 at TA&M 20, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.2%−1.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.7%
    average punt
  17. Q3 5:22AUB 4th & 23 at AUB 35, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.5%−5.7
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.2%
    average punt
  18. Q3 3:04TA&M 4th & 3 at AUB 37, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 63.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    65.0%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    62.2%−2.8
    40% to make
    Punt
    61.9%−3.1
    average punt
  19. Q3 1:03TA&M 4th & 7 at AUB 7, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 65.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.5%−1.0
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    64.5%
    91% to make
    Punt
    50.9%−13.6
    average punt
  20. Q3 0:15AUB 4th & 6 at AUB 29, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.8%−1.0
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.7%
    average punt
  21. Q4 10:13TA&M 4th & 7 at AUB 7, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 78.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.1%−0.6
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.7%
    91% to make
    Punt
    66.1%−11.6
    average punt
  22. Q4 7:22AUB 4th & 3 at TA&M 12, down 12
    Close callWent for it · 14.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.8%−0.2
    50% to convert
    Field goal
    14.0%
    86% to make
    Punt
    7.0%−7.0
    average punt
  23. Q4 2:10TA&M 4th & 8 at AUB 47, up 13
    Close callPunted · 96.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.2%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.1%−0.1
    average punt
  24. Q4 0:58AUB 4th & 17 at AUB 27, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.9%
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.8%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
AUB made the numbers' call on 2 of 2TA&M made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 7:11AUB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:07TA&M Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 6:52TA&M Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.9%−0.5
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.4%
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 2:59AUB Touchdown, down 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    4.8%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    5.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
AUBDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:3563% → 63%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-8
63.0%
Sean White sacked by Myles Garrett for a loss of 8 yards to the Aub 17Similar
Q1 14:27
2ND & 18
OWN 17
0
63.0%
Jason Smith run for no gain to the Aub 17Similar
Q1 13:48
3RD & 18
OWN 17
+17
62.9%
Sean White pass complete to Tony Stevens for 17 yds to the Aub 34Similar
Q1 13:20
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
62.9%
Kevin Phillips punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Christian Kirk at the TexAM 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 2PUNT
10 plays · 18 yds · 3:3837% → 37%
Q1 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
62.9%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Christian KirkSimilar
Q1 13:09
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+7
62.9%
Keith Ford run for 7 yds to the TexAM 33Similar
Q1 12:31
3RD & 3
OWN 33
+10
62.8%
Trevor Knight run for 10 yds to the TexAM 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-5
62.6%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, False Start (Jermaine Eluemunor) to the TexAM 38Similar
Q1 11:48
1ST & 15
OWN 38
+6
62.8%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Trayveon Williams for 6 yds to the TexAM 44Similar
Q1 11:22
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+9
62.6%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Josh Reynolds for 9 yds to the Aub 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:43
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
62.3%
Trevor Knight run for 2 yds to the Aub 45Similar
Q1 10:18
2ND & 8
OPP 45
0
62.2%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Ricky Seals-JonesSimilar
Q1 10:11
3RD & 8
OPP 45
-11
62.3%
Trevor Knight sacked by Montravius Adams for a loss of 11 yards to the TexAM 44Similar
Q1 9:37
4TH & 19
OWN 44
0
63.0%
Shane Tripucka punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Marcus Davis at the Aub 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 3TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 2:2163% → 66%
Q1 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
62.8%
Kamryn Pettway run for 5 yds to the Aub 25Similar
Q1 9:20
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+9
62.9%
Kamryn Pettway run for 9 yds to the Aub 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
62.8%
Kamryn Pettway run for 5 yds to the Aub 39Similar
Q1 8:36
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+10
63.1%
Sean White pass complete to Tony Stevens for 10 yds to the Aub 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:07
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+21
63.3%
Kamryn Pettway run for 6 yds to the AUBURN 45 for a 1ST down TEXAS A&M Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the TexAM 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
63.6%
Sean White pass complete to Will Hastings for 6 yds to the TexAM 24Similar
Q1 7:39
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+8
63.5%
Sean White pass complete to Ryan Davis for 8 yds to the TexAM 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:23
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+15
63.5%
Sean White pass complete to Ryan Davis for 15 yds to the TexAM 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
66.2%
Kamryn Pettway 1 Yd Run (Daniel Carlson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:0535% → 34%
Q1 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
65.3%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Ricky Seals-Jones for 8 yds to the TexAM 33Similar
Q1 6:40
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
64.9%
Keith Ford run for 1 yd to the TexAM 34 Keith Ford fumbled, forced by Deshaun Davis, recovered by TexAM Keith FordSimilar
Q1 6:07
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
65.4%
Trevor Knight pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:58
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
65.8%
Shane Tripucka punt for 59 yds, downed at the Aub 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 22 yds · 1:5766% → 66%
Q1 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+15
65.7%
Kamryn Pettway run for 15 yds to the Aub 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-5
65.9%
Sean White run for a loss of 5 yards to the Aub 17Similar
Q1 5:01
2ND & 15
OWN 17
+6
66.0%
Sean White run for 6 yds to the Aub 23Similar
Q1 4:21
3RD & 9
OWN 23
+6
65.9%
Sean White pass complete to Tony Stevens for 6 yds to the Aub 29Similar
Q1 3:54
4TH & 3
OWN 29
0
65.7%
Kevin Phillips punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Christian Kirk at the TexAM 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 6FG
8 plays · 43 yds · 2:0634% → 37%
Q1 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
66.1%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Josh Reynolds for 7 yds to the TexAM 36Similar
Q1 3:29
2ND & 3
OWN 36
+7
65.5%
Keith Ford run for 7 yds to the TexAM 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
65.8%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Christian Kirk for 6 yds to the TexAM 49Similar
Q1 2:45
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+16
65.3%
Trevor Knight run for 16 yds to the Aub 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
64.4%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Ricky Seals-JonesSimilar
Q1 2:28
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+7
64.5%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Trayveon Williams for 7 yds to the Aub 28Similar
Q1 1:48
3RD & 3
OPP 28
0
65.0%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Christian KirkSimilar
Q1 1:42
4TH & 3
OPP 28
+46
63.2%
Daniel LaCamera 46 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 18 yds · 1:5464% → 63%
Q1 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
63.8%
Kamryn Pettway run for a loss of 1 yard to the Aub 24Similar
Q1 1:05
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+5
63.7%
Kerryon Johnson run for 5 yds to the Aub 29Similar
Q1 0:33
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+12
63.3%
Sean White run for 12 yds to the Aub 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
64.9%
Kerryon Johnson run for 2 yds to the Aub 43Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 8
OWN 43
0
64.9%
Sean White pass incomplete, broken up by Kingsley KekeSimilar
Q2 14:51
3RD & 8
OWN 43
0
64.0%
Sean White pass incomplete to Kyle DavisSimilar
Q2 14:43
4TH & 8
OWN 43
0
63.3%
Kevin Phillips punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Christian Kirk at the TexAM 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 8TD
6 plays · 92 yds · 2:3036% → 44%
Q2 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+14
63.8%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Ricky Seals-Jones for 14 yds to the TexAM 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
63.5%
Keith Ford run for 4 yds to the TexAM 26Similar
Q2 13:45
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+16
63.2%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Ricky Seals-Jones for 16 yds to the TexAM 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+51
62.1%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Josh Reynolds for 51 yds to the Aub 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
60.7%
Keith Ford run for 2 yds to the Aub 5Similar
Q2 12:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
55.8%
Josh Reynolds 5 Yd pass from Trevor Knight (Daniel LaCamera Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 9PUNT
11 plays · 23 yds · 3:2859% → 57%
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
58.5%
Kamryn Pettway run for no gain to the Aub 25Similar
Q2 11:34
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
58.2%
Kamryn Pettway run for 8 yds to the Aub 33Similar
Q2 11:09
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+5
59.0%
Pettway, Kamryn rush for 4 yards to the AUBURN37, PENALTY TEXASAM offside (Wilson, Donovan) 5 yards to the AUBURN38, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN AUBURN.Similar
Q2 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
59.4%
Ryan Davis run for 8 yds to the Aub 46Similar
Q2 10:34
2ND & 2
OWN 46
+3
60.4%
Kamryn Pettway run for 3 yds to the Aub 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
60.4%
Sean White pass complete to Kerryon Johnson for no gain to the Aub 49Similar
Q2 9:29
2ND & 10
OWN 49
-6
59.6%
Sean White sacked by Myles Garrett for a loss of 6 yards to the Aub 43Similar
Q2 8:58
3RD & 16
OWN 43
+5
57.2%
Sean White pass complete to Will Hastings for 5 yds to the Aub 48Similar
Q2 8:32
4TH & 11
OWN 48
0
56.7%
Kevin Phillips punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:1643% → 41%
Q2 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
57.4%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Christian Kirk for 5 yds to the TexAM 25Similar
Q2 7:48
2ND & 5
OWN 25
0
56.8%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Ricky Seals-JonesSimilar
Q2 7:37
3RD & 5
OWN 25
-4
57.7%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Christian Kirk for a loss of 4 yards to the TexAM 21Similar
Q2 7:08
4TH & 9
OWN 21
0
59.1%
Shane Tripucka punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Marcus Davis at the Aub 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 11FUMBLE
1 play · -4 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
Q2 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-4
59.5%
Sean White pass complete to Ryan Davis for a loss of 4 yards Ryan Davis fumbled, recovered by TexAMSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 12FG
8 plays · 23 yds · 1:1746% → 53%
Q2 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
54.3%
Keith Ford run for 6 yds to the Aub 34 Similar
Q2 6:28
2ND & 4
OPP 34
+20
53.6%
Christian Kirk run for 20 yds to the Aub 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
53.6%
Trevor Knight pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:15
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+2
53.5%
Christian Kirk run for 2 yds to the Aub 12Similar
Q2 5:43
3RD & 8
OPP 12
0
54.0%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Ricky Seals-JonesSimilar
Q2 5:43
4TH & 8
OPP 12
-5
56.0%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Aub 17Similar
Q2 5:38
4TH & 13
OPP 17
+35
46.9%
Daniel LaCamera 35 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 13DOWNS
7 plays · 12 yds · 1:4653% → 51%
Q2 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
52.5%
Kamryn Pettway run for 12 yds to the Aub 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
53.2%
Sean White pass incomplete to Tony StevensSimilar
Q2 5:18
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+1
53.0%
Kamryn Pettway run for 1 yd to the Aub 38Similar
Q2 4:34
3RD & 9
OWN 38
+4
52.3%
Sean White run for 4 yds to the Aub 42Similar
Q2 3:52
4TH & 5
OWN 42
-5
51.6%
AUBURN Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Aub 37Similar
Q2 3:45
4TH & 10
OWN 37
0
50.7%
Kevin Phillips punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexAM 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 14FG
6 plays · 47 yds · 1:4452% → 58%
Q2 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+40
47.9%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Speedy Noil for 40 yds to the Aub 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:09
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
46.1%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Trayveon WilliamsSimilar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 10
OPP 20
-10
45.0%
Knight, Trevor rush for 8 yards to the AUBURN12, PENALTY TEXASAM holding (Eluemunor, Jermaine) 10 yards to the AUBURN30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:32
2ND & 20
OPP 30
+17
45.1%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Trayveon Williams for 17 yds to the Aub 13Similar
Q2 1:57
3RD & 3
OPP 13
0
43.3%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Josh ReynoldsSimilar
Q2 1:52
4TH & 3
OPP 13
+31
42.2%
Daniel LaCamera 31 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 15END OF HALF
10 plays · 55 yds · 1:4945% → 54%
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
45.1%
Sean White pass incomplete to Will HastingsSimilar
Q2 1:41
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+20
44.8%
Kerryon Johnson run for 20 yds to the Aub 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
46.4%
Kerryon Johnson run for no gain to the Aub 45Similar
Q2 1:02
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+3
45.8%
Kerryon Johnson run for 3 yds to the Aub 48Similar
Q2 0:30
3RD & 7
OWN 48
+18
45.2%
Sean White pass complete to Tony Stevens for 18 yds to the TexAM 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
48.5%
Sean White pass complete to Tony Stevens for 3 yds to the TexAM 31Similar
Q2 0:07
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+11
48.3%
Sean White pass complete to Tony Stevens for 11 yds to the TexAM 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+37
53.8%
Daniel Carlson 37 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:4754% → 51%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
46.5%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Josh ReynoldsSimilar
Q3 14:49
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
47.1%
Keith Ford run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 24Similar
Q3 14:15
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
47.8%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Speedy NoilSimilar
Q3 14:08
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
48.7%
Shane Tripucka punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Marcus Davis at the Aub 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 17PUNT
10 plays · 22 yds · 3:3149% → 47%
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
49.4%
Kerryon Johnson run for 1 yd to the Aub 36Similar
Q3 13:33
2ND & 9
OWN 36
-1
49.4%
Kerryon Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Aub 35Similar
Q3 13:02
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+11
47.1%
Sean White pass complete to Kyle Davis for 11 yds to the Aub 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
50.7%
Sean White run for 6 yds to the TexAM 48Similar
Q3 12:34
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+5
51.6%
Kerryon Johnson run for 5 yds to the TexAM 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-5
51.4%
AUBURN Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the TexAM 48Similar
Q3 11:43
1ST & 15
OPP 48
-2
49.4%
Sean White pass complete to Will Hastings for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 11:19
2ND & 17
50
0
48.4%
Sean White pass incomplete to Will HastingsSimilar
Q3 11:12
3RD & 17
50
+7
47.1%
Sean White pass complete to Marcus Davis for 7 yds to the TexAM 43Similar
Q3 10:29
4TH & 10
OPP 43
0
46.5%
Ian Shannon punt for 22 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexAM 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2356% → 56%
Q3 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
44.5%
Trevor Knight run for 4 yds to the TexAM 25, lateral to Christian Kirk for 2 yds to the TexAM 27Similar
Q3 9:44
2ND & 4
OWN 27
0
42.8%
Keith Ford run for no gain to the TexAM 27Similar
Q3 9:11
3RD & 4
OWN 27
0
42.3%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Speedy Noil, broken up by Carlton DavisSimilar
Q3 9:00
4TH & 4
OWN 27
0
44.1%
Shane Tripucka punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Aub 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:5949% → 47%
Q3 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
48.8%
Kamryn Pettway run for 2 yds to the Aub 44Similar
Q3 8:28
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+5
48.7%
Kamryn Pettway run for 5 yds to the Aub 49Similar
Q3 8:03
3RD & 3
OWN 49
0
48.4%
Sean White pass incomplete to Marcus DavisSimilar
Q3 7:56
4TH & 3
OWN 49
0
46.7%
Ian Shannon punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Christian Kirk at the TexAM 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:2758% → 56%
Q3 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
41.9%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Christian Kirk, broken up by Javaris DavisSimilar
Q3 7:44
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+2
42.2%
Keith Ford run for 2 yds to the TexAM 20Similar
Q3 7:30
3RD & 8
OWN 20
0
43.0%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Trayveon WilliamsSimilar
Q3 7:23
4TH & 8
OWN 20
0
44.1%
Shane Tripucka punt for 57 yds, fair catch by Marcus Davis at the Aub 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 21PUNT
9 plays · 12 yds · 1:5545% → 41%
Q3 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-3
45.2%
Kerryon Johnson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Aub 20Similar
Q3 6:51
2ND & 13
OWN 20
+13
43.7%
Sean White pass complete to Ryan Davis for 13 yds to the Aub 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
44.6%
Kerryon Johnson run for no gain to the Aub 33Similar
Q3 6:23
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
44.3%
John Franklin III pass incomplete to Tony StevensSimilar
Q3 6:18
3RD & 10
OWN 33
+15
42.4%
White, Sean pass incomplete, PENALTY TEXASAM pass interference (Harvey, Nick) 15 yards to the AUBURN48, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN AUBURN.Similar
Q3 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-11
47.6%
Sean White sacked by Claude George for a loss of 11 yards to the Aub 37 AUBURN Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Sean White) to the Aub 37Similar
Q3 6:04
2ND & 21
OWN 37
-2
43.7%
Sean White pass complete to Kerryon Johnson for a loss of 2 yards to the Aub 35Similar
Q3 5:28
3RD & 23
OWN 35
0
41.6%
Sean White pass incomplete to Tony Stevens, broken up by Claude GeorgeSimilar
Q3 5:22
4TH & 23
OWN 35
0
40.9%
Kevin Phillips punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Christian Kirk at the TexAM 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 22FG
17 plays · 67 yds · 4:0760% → 72%
Q3 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
39.7%
Trayveon Williams run for 3 yds to the TexAM 29Similar
Q3 4:49
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+16
37.8%
Trayveon Williams run for 16 yds to the TexAM 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
35.8%
Trayveon Williams run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 4:10
2ND & 5
50
+6
35.0%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Christian Kirk for 6 yds to the Aub 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
34.7%
Trevor Knight pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:46
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+7
34.7%
Trevor Knight run for 7 yds to the Aub 37Similar
Q3 3:11
3RD & 3
OPP 37
0
34.5%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Christian KirkSimilar
Q3 3:04
4TH & 3
OPP 37
+9
36.8%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Christian Kirk for 9 yds to the Aub 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-5
32.2%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, False Start (Speedy Noil) to the Aub 33Similar
Q3 2:43
1ST & 15
OPP 33
+6
32.4%
Trayveon Williams run for 6 yds to the Aub 27Similar
Q3 2:06
2ND & 9
OPP 27
+19
32.0%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Speedy Noil for 19 yds to the Aub 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
30.5%
Trevor Knight run for 1 yd to the Aub 7Similar
Q3 1:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
30.2%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Speedy NoilSimilar
Q3 1:07
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
31.0%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Ricky Seals-JonesSimilar
Q3 1:03
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+25
28.0%
Daniel LaCamera 25 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:4328% → 25%
Q3 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
27.8%
Sean White pass incomplete to Tony StevensSimilar
Q3 0:47
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
27.5%
Sean White pass complete to Ryan Davis for 4 yds to the Aub 29Similar
Q3 0:21
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
26.8%
Sean White pass incomplete to Will HastingsSimilar
Q3 0:15
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
25.2%
Kevin Phillips punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Christian Kirk at the TexAM 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 24FG
14 plays · 57 yds · 4:5674% → 89%
Q3 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+13
26.1%
Trevor Knight run for 13 yds to the TexAM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
24.8%
James White run for 6 yds to the Aub 45Similar
Q4 14:22
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+3
24.2%
James White run for 3 yds to the Aub 42Similar
Q4 14:00
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+2
24.5%
Trevor Knight run for 2 yds to the Aub 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:39
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
24.0%
Trayveon Williams run for 3 yds to the Aub 37Similar
Q4 13:01
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+11
23.6%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Josh Reynolds for 11 yds to the Aub 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+6
22.4%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Josh Reynolds for 6 yds to the Aub 20Similar
Q4 12:35
2ND & 4
OPP 20
+5
22.3%
Trayveon Williams run for 5 yds to the Aub 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+13
22.0%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Josh Reynolds for 9 yds to the Aub 6 for a 1ST down AUBURN Penalty, Personal Foul (Johnathan Ford) to the Aub 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
21.5%
Trayveon Williams run for no gain to the Aub 2Similar
Q4 11:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
20.4%
Keith Ford run for no gain to the Aub 2Similar
Q4 10:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
20.6%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, False Start (Jermaine Eluemunor) to the Aub 7Similar
Q4 10:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
18.3%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Ricky Seals-JonesSimilar
Q4 10:13
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+26
11.3%
Daniel LaCamera 26 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 25DOWNS
10 plays · 62 yds · 2:4515% → 14%
Q4 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
15.2%
John Franklin III run for 11 yds to the Aub 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+33
16.0%
Kamryn Pettway run for 33 yds to the TexAM 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
19.1%
Kamryn Pettway run for 2 yds to the TexAM 29Similar
Q4 9:04
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+5
18.9%
Kamryn Pettway run for 5 yds to the TexAM 24Similar
Q4 8:47
3RD & 3
OPP 24
+5
17.6%
Kamryn Pettway run for 5 yds to the TexAM 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:36
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
18.6%
Kamryn Pettway run for 4 yds to the TexAM 15Similar
Q4 8:14
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+3
18.3%
Kamryn Pettway run for 3 yds to the TexAM 12Similar
Q4 7:51
3RD & 3
OPP 12
0
15.9%
John Franklin III run for no gain to the TexAM 12Similar
Q4 7:22
4TH & 3
OPP 12
-1
13.7%
John Franklin III run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 26TD
2 plays · 87 yds · 0:2492% → 98%
Q4 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-2
7.8%
Trevor Knight run for 3 yds to the TexAM 16 TEXAS A&M Penalty, Illegal Forward Pass (Trevor Knight) to the TexAM 11Similar
Q4 6:52
2ND & 12
OWN 11
+89
2.4%
Trayveon Williams 89 Yd Run (Daniel LaCamera Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 27TD
13 plays · 66 yds · 3:354% → 7%
Q4 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-4
4.1%
John Franklin III run for a loss of 4 yards to the Aub 30Similar
Q4 5:58
2ND & 14
OWN 30
+8
2.7%
John Franklin III pass complete to Marcus Davis for 8 yds to the Aub 38Similar
Q4 5:30
3RD & 6
OWN 38
+13
2.7%
John Franklin III run for 13 yds to the TexAM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:17
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
2.9%
Kerryon Johnson run for 6 yds to the TexAM 43Similar
Q4 4:53
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+10
3.0%
John Franklin III pass complete to Tony Stevens for 10 yds to the TexAM 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-5
3.2%
AUBURN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TexAM 38Similar
Q4 4:35
1ST & 15
OPP 38
+16
2.8%
John Franklin III run for 16 yds to the TexAM 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:21
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
3.2%
John Franklin III pass incomplete to Marcus DavisSimilar
Q4 4:16
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+14
3.0%
Kerryon Johnson run for 14 yds to the TexAM 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
3.1%
Kerryon Johnson run for 2 yds to the TexAM 6Similar
Q4 3:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
3.0%
Kerryon Johnson run for 4 yds to the TexAM 2Similar
Q4 2:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
7.0%
Kerryon Johnson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 28PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:4197% → 97%
Q4 2:51
2ND & 16
OWN 45
+1
3.0%
Trevor Knight run for 1 yd to the TexAM 46Similar
Q4 2:20
3RD & 15
OWN 46
+7
3.0%
James White run for 7 yds to the Aub 47Similar
Q4 2:10
4TH & 8
OPP 47
+6
2.9%
Shane Tripucka punt for 35 yds , Marcus Davis returns for 6 yds to the Aub 41 AUBURN Penalty, Illegal Block (9 Yards) to the Aub 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 29DOWNS
7 plays · 31 yds · 1:062% → 2%
Q4 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+8
2.0%
John Franklin III pass complete to Marcus Davis for 8 yds to the Aub 17Similar
Q4 1:57
2ND & 2
OWN 17
+6
1.8%
John Franklin III run for 6 yds to the Aub 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+11
1.8%
John Franklin III pass complete to Tony Stevens for 11 yds to the Aub 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
1.9%
John Franklin III pass incomplete to Stanton TruittSimilar
Q4 1:35
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
1.9%
John Franklin III pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:27
3RD & 10
OWN 34
-7
1.7%
John Franklin III sacked by Richard Moore for a loss of 7 yards to the Aub 27Similar
Q4 0:58
4TH & 17
OWN 27
+13
1.7%
John Franklin III run for 13 yds to the Aub 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 30END OF GAME
2 plays · -6 yds · 0:3098% → 98%
Q4 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-3
2.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Aub 43Similar
Q4 0:25
2ND & 13
OPP 43
-3
2.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Aub 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q2 5:38
Daniel LaCamera 35 Yd Field Goal
-9
FG · Q4 10:13
Daniel LaCamera 26 Yd Field Goal
-6.9
FG · Q2 0:00
Daniel Carlson 37 Yd Field Goal
+5.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com