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TXST

Texas State 3 at Arkansas 42

ARK
2016 · Week 3 · Sep 17, 2016 · Razorback Stadium
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Win probability · ARK
modelARK aheadTXST aheadconfidence bandkey playARK scoreTXST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 3:08 · Lumi Kaba punt for 40 yds, downed at the Ark 7
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+47.5+23.80−23.8−47.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 75Pregame prior+34.8Home team on offense+22.0Score differential+20.1Blowout margin+9.7Garbage-time factor+3.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 9:15: Austin Allen pass complete to Keon Hatcher for 9 yds for a TD, (Cole Hedlund KICK) — TXST win probability +0.5 pts (now 3%) (top driver: ARK has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 4:36: Kody Walker run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cole Hedlund KICK) — ARK win probability +0.5 pts (now 97%) (top driver: ARK has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 12:07: Jericho Worrell run for 2 yds to the TexSt 19 — TXST win probability +0.5 pts (now 4%) (top driver: TXST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 11:31: Tyler Jones pass intercepted for a TD Ryan Pulley return for 25 yds for a TD, (Cole Hedlund KICK) — ARK win probability +1.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: TXST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 5:22: Austin Allen pass complete to Jeremy Sprinkle for 10 yds for a TD, (Cole Hedlund KICK) — ARK win probability +1.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ARK has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARK made the numbers' call on 4 of 5TXST made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 9:15TXST 4th & 3 at TXST 43, down 7
    Close callPunted · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:36TXST 4th & 14 at TXST 31, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.3%−0.2
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:06ARK 4th & 7 at ARK 35, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.5%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:07TXST 4th & 1 at TXST 25, down 14
    Close callPunted · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.7%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00ARK 4th & 7 at TXST 47, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.4%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:31TXST 4th & 14 at TXST 11, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%−0.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:22TXST 4th & 6 at TXST 27, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:08TXST 4th & 15 at ARK 47, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00TXST 4th & 1 at ARK 24, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    0.7%−0.1
    68% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:56TXST 4th & 12 at ARK 22, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.4%
    72% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:56ARK 4th & 1 at TXST 30, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.5%−0.2
    56% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00TXST 4th & 9 at TXST 43, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:26ARK 4th & 1 at ARK 29, up 39
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    100.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:52TXST 4th & 21 at TXST 14, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.1%−0.1
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:02ARK 4th & 6 at ARK 38, up 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARK made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 9:15ARK Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:36ARK Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:31ARK Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:22ARK Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:44ARK Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 1:02ARK Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ARKDrive 1TD
12 plays · 82 yds · 5:4597% → 97%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+29
97.4%
Austin Allen pass complete to Keon Hatcher for 14 yds to the Ark 32 for a 1ST down TEXAS STATE Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Brandon McDowell) to the Ark 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
97.4%
Rawleigh Williams III run for 1 yd to the Ark 48Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+8
97.4%
Austin Allen run for 8 yds to the TexSt 44Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+4
97.4%
Kody Walker run for 4 yds to the TexSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+12
97.4%
Austin Allen pass complete to Drew Morgan for 12 yds to the TexSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+11
97.4%
Rawleigh Williams III run for 11 yds to the TexSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+14
97.4%
Rawleigh Williams III run for 14 yds to the TexSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
97.4%
Rawleigh Williams III run for no gain to the TexSt 3Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
97.4%
ARKANSAS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the TexSt 8Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
97.4%
Rawleigh Williams III run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSt 9Similar
Q1 9:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
96.9%
Austin Allen pass complete to Keon Hatcher for 9 yds for a TD, (Cole Hedlund KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
96.8%
Tyler Jones pass complete to Eric Luna for 9 yds to the TexSt 34Similar
Q1 9:15
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
96.7%
Stedman Mayberry run for 2 yds to the TexSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
96.8%
Tyler Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSt 35Similar
Q1 9:15
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+6
96.8%
Tyler Jones pass complete to Stedman Mayberry for 6 yds to the TexSt 41Similar
Q1 9:15
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+2
96.8%
Tyler Jones pass complete to Stedman Mayberry for 2 yds to the TexSt 43Similar
Q1 9:15
4TH & 3
OWN 43
0
96.8%
Lumi Kaba punt for 44 yds, downed at the Ark 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 3TD
5 plays · 87 yds · 2:2097% → 97%
Q1 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+1
96.5%
Austin Allen pass complete to Drew Morgan for 1 yd to the Ark 14Similar
Q1 6:56
2ND & 9
OWN 14
+9
96.5%
Austin Allen pass complete to Cody Hollister for 9 yds to the Ark 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
96.5%
Kody Walker run for 3 yds to the Ark 26Similar
Q1 6:56
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+73
96.5%
Austin Allen pass complete to Keon Hatcher for 73 yds to the TexSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.0%
Kody Walker run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cole Hedlund KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
96.7%
Tyler Jones pass complete to Gabe Schrade for 4 yds to the TexSt 39Similar
Q1 4:36
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+1
96.7%
Stedman Mayberry run for 1 yd to the TexSt 40Similar
Q1 4:36
3RD & 5
OWN 40
-9
96.7%
Tyler Jones sacked by Deatrich Wise Jr. and Austin Capps for a loss of 9 yards to the TexSt 31Similar
Q1 4:36
4TH & 14
OWN 31
0
96.8%
Lumi Kaba punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Drew Morgan at the Ark 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q1 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
96.8%
Devwah Whaley run for 3 yds to the Ark 35Similar
Q1 3:06
2ND & 7
OWN 35
0
96.8%
Austin Allen pass incomplete to Drew Morgan, broken up by Ishmael DavisSimilar
Q1 3:06
3RD & 7
OWN 35
0
96.7%
Austin Allen pass incomplete to Keon Hatcher, broken up by Gavin GrahamSimilar
Q1 3:06
4TH & 7
OWN 35
+1
96.7%
Toby Baker punt for 50 yds , Brandon McDowell returns for 1 yd to the TexSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q1 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
96.5%
Tyler Jones pass incomplete to Eric Luna, broken up by Jeremiah LedbetterSimilar
Q1 2:07
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+9
96.5%
Tyler Jones pass complete to Thurman Morbley for 9 yds to the TexSt 25Similar
Q1 2:07
3RD & 1
OWN 25
0
96.5%
Jericho Worrell run for no gain to the TexSt 25Similar
Q1 2:07
4TH & 1
OWN 25
0
96.5%
Lumi Kaba punt for 57 yds, fair catch by Drew Morgan at the Ark 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 35 yds · 1:0597% → 97%
Q1 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+18
96.6%
Rawleigh Williams III run for 18 yds to the Ark 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
96.6%
Rawleigh Williams III run for 3 yds to the Ark 39Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+11
96.6%
Rawleigh Williams III run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
50
-10
96.7%
Austin Allen rush for 5 yards to the TXST45, out-of-bounds, PENALTY AR holding (Frank Ragnow) 10 yards to the AR40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 20
OWN 40
+2
96.6%
Kody Walker run for 2 yds to the Ark 42Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 18
OWN 42
+11
96.6%
Austin Allen pass complete to Kody Walker for 11 yds to the TexSt 47Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 47
0
96.6%
Austin Allen pass incomplete to Drew Morgan, broken up by Jordan EastlingSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 7
OPP 47
0
96.5%
Toby Baker punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Brandon McDowell at the TexSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 8INT TD
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:364% → 2%
Q2 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
96.0%
Jericho Worrell run for 2 yds to the TexSt 19Similar
Q2 12:07
2ND & 8
OWN 19
0
96.0%
Tyler Jones pass incomplete to Jericho WorrellSimilar
Q2 11:31
3RD & 8
OWN 19
+25
97.8%
Tyler Jones pass intercepted for a TD Ryan Pulley return for 25 yds for a TD, (Cole Hedlund KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-10
97.7%
Tyler Jones sacked by Jeremiah Ledbetter for a loss of 10 yards to the TexSt 5Similar
Q2 11:31
2ND & 20
OWN 5
0
97.8%
Tyler Jones run for no gain to the TexSt 5Similar
Q2 11:31
3RD & 20
OWN 5
+6
97.8%
Stedman Mayberry run for 6 yds to the TexSt 11Similar
Q2 11:31
4TH & 14
OWN 11
+1
97.8%
Lumi Kaba punt for 40 yds , Drew Morgan returns for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 10TD
8 plays · 50 yds · 4:0398% → 99%
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
50
+12
98.2%
Austin Allen pass complete to Austin Cantrell for 12 yds to the TexSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
98.1%
Devwah Whaley run for 2 yds to the TexSt 36Similar
Q2 9:25
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+15
98.1%
Dominique Reed run for 15 yds to the TexSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
98.2%
Devwah Whaley run for 6 yds to the TexSt 15Similar
Q2 9:25
2ND & 4
OPP 15
+5
98.2%
Devwah Whaley run for 5 yds to the TexSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-5
98.2%
ARKANSAS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the TexSt 15Similar
Q2 9:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 15
+5
98.2%
Devwah Whaley run for 5 yds to the TexSt 10Similar
Q2 5:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
99.3%
Austin Allen pass complete to Jeremy Sprinkle for 10 yds for a TD, (Cole Hedlund KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
99.3%
Tyler Jones pass incomplete to Thurman MorbleySimilar
Q2 5:22
2ND & 10
OWN 23
0
99.3%
Tyler Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:22
3RD & 10
OWN 23
+4
99.3%
Tyler Jones run for 4 yds to the TexSt 27Similar
Q2 5:22
4TH & 6
OWN 27
0
99.2%
Lumi Kaba punt for 41 yds , Drew Morgan returns for no gain to the Ark 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 12FUMBLE
4 plays · 10 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
99.3%
Rawleigh Williams III run for 8 yds to the Ark 40Similar
Q2 4:29
2ND & 2
OWN 40
+8
99.2%
Rawleigh Williams III run for 8 yds to the Ark 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
99.3%
Austin Allen pass incomplete to Dominique ReedSimilar
Q2 4:29
2ND & 10
OWN 48
-6
99.3%
Austin Allen sacked by Nikolas Daniels for a loss of 6 yards to the Ark 42 Austin Allen fumbled, recovered by TexSt Nikolas Daniels , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 3:08
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
99.2%
Tyler Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:08
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
99.2%
Tyler Jones pass incomplete to Gabe Schrade, broken up by Brooks EllisSimilar
Q2 3:08
3RD & 10
OPP 42
0
99.2%
Tyler Jones pass incomplete, broken up by Jeremiah LedbetterSimilar
Q2 3:08
4TH & 10
OPP 42
-5
99.2%
TEXAS STATE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Ark 47Similar
Q2 3:08
4TH & 15
OPP 47
0
99.3%
Lumi Kaba punt for 40 yds, downed at the Ark 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 14TD
10 plays · 93 yds · 1:5799% → 100%
Q2 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
99.3%
Kody Walker run for no gain to the Ark 7Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 10
OWN 7
+15
99.2%
Austin Allen pass complete to Drew Morgan for 15 yds to the Ark 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+27
99.3%
Kody Walker run for 12 yds to the Ark 34 for a 1ST down TEXAS STATE Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Quinn Tiggs) to the Ark 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
99.3%
Austin Allen pass complete to Jeremy Sprinkle for 5 yds to the TexSt 46Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+32
99.3%
Austin Allen pass complete to Dominique Reed for 32 yds to the TexSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
99.3%
Rawleigh Williams III run for 5 yds to the TexSt 9Similar
Q2 0:56
2ND & 5
OPP 9
+8
99.5%
Austin Allen run for 8 yds to the TexSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.5%
Rawleigh Williams III run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cole Hedlund KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
99.6%
Tyler Jones run for 1 yd to the TexSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 16FG
20 plays · 53 yds · 5:040% → 1%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.6%
Stedman Mayberry run for 2 yds to the TexSt 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
99.6%
Tyler Jones pass incomplete to Eric Luna, broken up by Jared CollinsSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+8
99.6%
Tyler Jones pass complete to Gabe Schrade for 8 yds to the TexSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
99.6%
Stedman Mayberry run for 4 yds to the TexSt 39Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+4
99.6%
Tyler Jones pass complete to Tyler Watts for 4 yds to the TexSt 43Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+5
99.6%
Stedman Mayberry run for 5 yds to the TexSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
99.6%
Tyler Jones pass incomplete to Elijah King, broken up by Ryan PulleySimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 48
-5
99.6%
TEXAS STATE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the TexSt 43Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 43
+24
99.6%
Tyler Jones pass complete to Elijah King for 24 yds to the Ark 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
99.5%
Tyler Jones pass complete to Tyler Watts for 2 yds to the Ark 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+5
99.5%
ARKANSAS Penalty, OF (McTelvin Agim) to the Ark 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 26
0
99.5%
Tyler Jones pass incomplete to Eric LunaSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 26
+2
99.5%
Tyler Jones run for 2 yds to the Ark 24Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 24
+4
99.1%
Stedman Mayberry run for 4 yds to the Ark 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
99.5%
Stedman Mayberry run for 3 yds to the Ark 17Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 17
0
99.5%
Tyler Jones pass incomplete to Tyler WattsSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 17
-10
99.5%
Tyler Jones sacked by JaMichael Winston and Jeremiah Ledbetter for a loss of 10 yards to the Ark 27Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 17
OPP 27
+5
99.3%
ARKANSAS Penalty, substitution infraction (5 Yards) to the Ark 22Similar
Q3 9:56
4TH & 12
OPP 22
+39
99.4%
James Sherman 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 17TD
17 plays · 82 yds · 8:54100% → 100%
Q3 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
99.7%
Rawleigh Williams III run for 2 yds to the Ark 20Similar
Q3 9:56
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+5
99.7%
Austin Allen pass complete to Jeremy Sprinkle for 5 yds to the Ark 25Similar
Q3 9:56
3RD & 3
OWN 25
+10
99.7%
Austin Allen pass complete to Cody Hollister for 10 yds to the Ark 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.7%
Rawleigh Williams III run for no gain to the Ark 35Similar
Q3 9:56
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+15
99.7%
Rawleigh Williams III run for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:56
1ST & 10
50
+2
99.7%
Rawleigh Williams III run for 2 yds to the TexSt 48Similar
Q3 9:56
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+4
99.7%
Austin Allen pass complete to Dominique Reed for 4 yds to the TexSt 44Similar
Q3 9:56
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+5
99.7%
Rawleigh Williams III run for 5 yds to the TexSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
99.7%
Rawleigh Williams III run for 3 yds to the TexSt 36Similar
Q3 9:56
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+1
99.7%
Devwah Whaley run for 1 yd to the TexSt 35Similar
Q3 9:56
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+5
99.7%
Austin Allen run for 5 yds to the TexSt 30Similar
Q3 9:56
4TH & 1
OPP 30
+1
99.7%
Kody Walker run for 1 yd to the TexSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
99.7%
Austin Allen pass incomplete to Dominique ReedSimilar
Q3 9:56
2ND & 10
OPP 29
-5
99.7%
ARKANSAS Penalty, false start (Colton Jackson) to the TexSt 34Similar
Q3 9:56
2ND & 15
OPP 34
+19
99.7%
Austin Allen pass complete to Cody Hollister for 19 yds to the TexSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
99.9%
Rawleigh Williams III run for 15 yds for a TD, (Cole Hedlund KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 18PUNT
9 plays · 18 yds · 1:020% → 0%
Q3 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.9%
Tyler Jones pass complete to Stedman Mayberry for 5 yds to the TexSt 30Similar
Q3 1:02
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
99.9%
Stedman Mayberry run for 2 yds to the TexSt 32Similar
Q3 1:02
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+10
99.9%
Tyler Jones pass complete to Thurman Morbley for 10 yds to the TexSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
99.9%
Tyler Jones run for 1 yd to the TexSt 43Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+5
99.9%
Stedman Mayberry run for 5 yds to the TexSt 48Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 48
-5
99.9%
TEXAS STATE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the TexSt 43Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 43
0
99.9%
Tyler Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 43
0
99.9%
Lumi Kaba punt for 54 yds, downed at the Ark 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 26 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+9
99.9%
Devwah Whaley run for 9 yds to the Ark 12Similar
Q4 13:26
2ND & 1
OWN 12
+8
99.9%
Devwah Whaley run for 8 yds to the Ark 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
99.9%
Devwah Whaley run for 7 yds to the Ark 27Similar
Q4 13:26
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+2
99.9%
Damon Mitchell run for 2 yds to the Ark 29Similar
Q4 13:26
3RD & 1
OWN 29
0
99.9%
Damon Mitchell run for no gain to the Ark 29Similar
Q4 13:26
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
99.9%
Blake Johnson punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Brandon McDowell at the TexSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · -11 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-11
99.9%
Tyler Jones sacked by Bijhon Jackson and Brandon Lewis for a loss of 11 yards to the TexSt 14Similar
Q4 9:52
2ND & 21
OWN 14
0
99.9%
Tyler Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:52
3RD & 21
OWN 14
0
99.9%
Tyler Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:52
4TH & 21
OWN 14
0
99.9%
Lumi Kaba punt for 52 yds, downed at the Ark 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
99.9%
Ty Storey pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:02
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+4
99.9%
Devwah Whaley run for 4 yds to the Ark 38Similar
Q4 9:02
3RD & 6
OWN 38
0
99.9%
Devwah Whaley run for no gain to the Ark 38Similar
Q4 9:02
4TH & 6
OWN 38
0
99.9%
Blake Johnson punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Brandon McDowell at the TexSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 22Uncategorized
5 plays · 24 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
99.9%
Jericho Worrell run for no gain to the TexSt 14Similar
Q4 7:24
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+13
99.9%
Eddie Printz run for 13 yds to the TexSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
99.9%
Jericho Worrell run for no gain to the TexSt 27Similar
Q4 7:24
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+5
99.9%
ARKANSAS Penalty, OF (T.J. Smith) to the TexSt 32Similar
Q4 7:24
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+6
99.9%
Eddie Printz run for 6 yds to the TexSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 11:31
Tyler Jones pass intercepted for a TD Ryan Pulley return for 25 yds for a TD, (Cole Hedlund KICK)
+1.7
TD · Q2 5:22
Austin Allen pass complete to Jeremy Sprinkle for 10 yds for a TD, (Cole Hedlund KICK)
+1.1
TD · Q1 9:15
Austin Allen pass complete to Keon Hatcher for 9 yds for a TD, (Cole Hedlund KICK)
-0.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com