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MTSU

Middle Tennessee 24 at Vanderbilt 47

VAN
2016 · Week 2 · Sep 10, 2016 · FirstBank Stadium
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Win probability · VAN
modelVAN aheadMTSU aheadconfidence bandkey playVAN scoreMTSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGSAFETYTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:32 · Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Ty Lee
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.0+17.00−17.0−34.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 197Home team on offense+31.5Score differential+23.5Pregame prior+0.3Garbage-time factor+8.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+9.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+2.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:04: Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for 5 yds for a TD VANDERBILT Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined, (Canon Rooker KICK) — MTSU win probability +8.9 pts (now 44%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:46: Ralph Webb run for 3 yds for a TD, (Tommy Openshaw KICK) — VAN win probability +9.3 pts (now 73%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:19: Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 16 yds for a TD, (Tommy Openshaw KICK) — VAN win probability +7.7 pts (now 82%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 1:54: Brent Stockstill pass complete to Patrick Smith for 4 yds for a TD, (Canon Rooker KICK) — MTSU win probability +7.6 pts (now 24%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:33: Khari Blasingame run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tommy Openshaw KICK) — VAN win probability +11.2 pts (now 96%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
VAN made the numbers' call on 7 of 7MTSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 11:15VAN 4th & 11 at MTSU 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 64.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.3%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    64.4%
    84% to make
    Punt
    63.9%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:16MTSU 4th & 4 at VAN 22, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 35.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.3%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.2%−0.1
    72% to make
    Punt
    34.1%−1.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:10VAN 4th & 6 at VAN 48, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.9%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.9%
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:43MTSU 4th & 8 at VAN 43, down 9
    Close callPunted · 28.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.1%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    27.4%−0.7
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    28.1%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:23VAN 4th & 5 at VAN 31, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.1%−0.9
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:42MTSU 4th & 10 at MTSU 15, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.3%−2.0
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.2%
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:55MTSU 4th & 6 at VAN 27, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 15.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.5%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    15.5%
    62% to make
    Punt
    11.9%−3.6
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:55VAN 4th & 2 at MTSU 43, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 86.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    84.6%−2.5
    28% to make
    Punt
    85.5%−1.6
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:21VAN 4th & 7 at MTSU 36, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 91.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.5%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    91.1%−0.4
    42% to make
    Punt
    90.8%−0.7
    average punt
  10. Q4 15:00VAN 4th & 19 at VAN 41, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.6%−4.0
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.6%
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:42MTSU 4th & 7 at MTSU 11, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.5%−2.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.5%
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:33MTSU 4th & 8 at VAN 35, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.0%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    6.8%−0.3
    45% to make
    Punt
    6.2%−0.8
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:03VAN 4th & 9 at VAN 36, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.1%−0.5
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.6%
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:26MTSU 4th & 14 at MTSU 15, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%−0.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:32MTSU 4th & 10 at VAN 15, down 23
    Close callWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    0.6%
    83% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
VAN made the numbers' call on 3 of 4MTSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 5:04MTSU Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 1:46VAN Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:19VAN Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 1:54MTSU Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 11:33VAN Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.2%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.3%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 2:32VAN Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MTSUDrive 1FUMBLE
7 plays · 43 yds · 0:0042% → 42%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
57.7%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to I'Tavius Mathers for 2 yds to the MTnSt 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
57.7%
I'Tavius Mathers run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 30Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+17
57.7%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to I'Tavius Mathers for 17 yds to the MTnSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
57.7%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 7 yds to the Vandy 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+18
57.7%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 18 yds to the Vandy 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+55
57.7%
Ruben Garnett run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 13 Ruben Garnett fumbled, forced by Zach Cunningham, recovered by Vandy LaDarius Wiley , return for 55 yds to the MTnSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 2FG
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:1858% → 58%
Q1 12:33
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
58.2%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Kalija LipscombSimilar
Q1 12:33
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+3
58.2%
Ralph Webb run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 10Similar
Q1 12:33
3RD & 7
OPP 10
-4
58.1%
Kyle Shurmur sacked by Shaquille Huff for a loss of 4 yards to the MTnSt 14Similar
Q1 11:15
4TH & 11
OPP 14
+32
58.3%
Tommy Openshaw 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 3FG
11 plays · 45 yds · 2:5342% → 42%
Q1 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
58.2%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Desmond Anderson for 9 yds to the MTnSt 42Similar
Q1 11:09
2ND & 1
OWN 42
+4
57.9%
I'Tavius Mathers run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
57.9%
Brent Stockstill pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:09
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+1
58.0%
Brent Stockstill run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 47Similar
Q1 11:09
3RD & 9
OWN 47
+10
58.1%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 10 yds to the Vandy 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+15
57.9%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Patrick Smith for 15 yds to the Vandy 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
57.7%
Brent Stockstill pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:09
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
57.8%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Patrick SmithSimilar
Q1 11:09
3RD & 10
OPP 28
+6
57.9%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Tyshawn Brown for 6 yds to the Vandy 22Similar
Q1 8:16
4TH & 4
OPP 22
+39
57.6%
Canon Rooker 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:5458% → 58%
Q1 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
58.0%
Ralph Webb run for 2 yds to the Vandy 32Similar
Q1 8:09
2ND & 8
OWN 32
0
58.0%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Trent SherfieldSimilar
Q1 8:09
3RD & 8
OWN 32
0
57.7%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Kalija LipscombSimilar
Q1 7:15
4TH & 8
OWN 32
0
58.2%
Team SafetySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0060% → 59%
Q1 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
59.6%
Trent Sherfield run for 4 yds to the Vandy 48Similar
Q1 7:10
2ND & 6
OWN 48
0
59.7%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete, broken up by D.J. SandersSimilar
Q1 7:10
3RD & 6
OWN 48
0
59.4%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete, broken up by Alex DaleSimilar
Q1 7:10
4TH & 6
OWN 48
0
58.9%
Sam Loy punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Richie James at the MTnSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 6TD
11 plays · 79 yds · 3:2241% → 42%
Q1 6:03
3RD & 5
OWN 38
+16
58.9%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for 16 yds to the Vandy 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
59.3%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for 2 yds to the MTnSt 23Similar
Q1 6:03
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+10
59.4%
Brent Stockstill run for 10 yds to the MTnSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
59.1%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Desmond AndersonSimilar
Q1 6:03
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+5
59.2%
I'Tavius Mathers run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 38Similar
Q1 6:03
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
58.4%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Tyshawn Brown, broken up by Oren BurksSimilar
Q1 6:03
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
58.4%
Brent Stockstill pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:03
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+19
58.9%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 19 yds to the Vandy 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:03
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+19
58.0%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for 19 yds to the Vandy 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
58.0%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to I'Tavius Mathers for 7 yds to the Vandy 1Similar
Q1 2:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
57.9%
Richie James 1 Yd pass from Brent Stockstill (Canon Rooker Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 7TD
6 plays · 30 yds · 0:0061% → 64%
Q1 2:34
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
61.0%
Ralph Webb run for no gain to the MTnSt 30Similar
Q1 2:34
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+16
61.0%
Ralph Webb run for 16 yds to the MTnSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:34
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
61.0%
Ralph Webb run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 12Similar
Q1 2:34
2ND & 8
OPP 12
+4
61.0%
Ralph Webb run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 8Similar
Q1 2:34
3RD & 4
OPP 8
+5
64.2%
Khari Blasingame run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 8INT
10 plays · 35 yds · 0:0035% → 36%
Q2 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
64.8%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for 5 yds to the MTnSt 40Similar
Q2 14:57
2ND & 5
OWN 40
0
64.2%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Richie JamesSimilar
Q2 14:57
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+13
64.7%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Patrick Smith for 13 yds to the Vandy 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:57
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
63.9%
I'Tavius Mathers run for 3 yds to the Vandy 44Similar
Q2 14:57
2ND & 7
OPP 44
-3
63.9%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Terelle West for a loss of 3 yards to the Vandy 47Similar
Q2 14:57
3RD & 10
OPP 47
+11
64.6%
Brent Stockstill run for 11 yds to the Vandy 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:57
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
63.9%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Rod Ducksworth for 6 yds to the Vandy 30Similar
Q2 14:57
2ND & 4
OPP 30
0
63.1%
Brent Stockstill pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:57
3RD & 4
OPP 30
+59
63.8%
Brent Stockstill pass intercepted Oren Burks return for 59 yds to the MTnSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 9TD
3 plays · 7 yds · 0:5069% → 67%
Q2 11:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
69.3%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Ralph WebbSimilar
Q2 11:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
69.3%
Ralph Webb run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 1Similar
Q2 10:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
67.1%
Ralph Webb 1 Yd Run (Tommy Openshaw Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 10PUNT
12 plays · 34 yds · 1:5233% → 32%
Q2 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
66.6%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Richie JamesSimilar
Q2 10:31
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+11
66.2%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to I'Tavius Mathers for 11 yds to the MTnSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
65.3%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to I'Tavius Mathers for 8 yds to the MTnSt 42Similar
Q2 10:31
2ND & 2
OWN 42
+13
64.6%
Terelle West run for 13 yds to the Vandy 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-2
64.1%
Terelle West run for a loss of 2 yards to the Vandy 47Similar
Q2 10:31
2ND & 12
OPP 47
0
64.7%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Desmond Anderson, broken up by Torren McGasterSimilar
Q2 8:43
3RD & 12
OPP 47
+9
67.3%
Brent Stockstill run for 9 yds to the Vandy 38Similar
Q2 8:43
4TH & 3
OPP 38
-5
66.9%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Vandy 43Similar
Q2 8:43
4TH & 8
OPP 43
0
67.6%
Brent Stockstill punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Vandy 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 15 yds · 0:0068% → 67%
Q2 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+10
68.3%
Ralph Webb run for 10 yds to the Vandy 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
68.4%
Ralph Webb run for 3 yds to the Vandy 29Similar
Q2 7:23
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+2
68.5%
Ralph Webb run for 2 yds to the Vandy 31Similar
Q2 7:23
3RD & 5
OWN 31
0
67.9%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Caleb ScottSimilar
Q2 7:23
4TH & 5
OWN 31
+4
67.1%
Sam Loy punt blocked by Azar Wilson blocked by Azar Wilson Deontay Evans return for 4 yds to the Vandy 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 12TD
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:3035% → 44%
Q2 5:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
65.1%
I'Tavius Mathers run for 2 yds to the Vandy 5Similar
Q2 5:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
65.1%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Richie JamesSimilar
Q2 5:04
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
56.2%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for 5 yds for a TD VANDERBILT Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined, (Canon Rooker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 13TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:1861% → 73%
Q2 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
60.9%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Sam Dobbs for 13 yds Sam Dobbs fumbled, forced by D.J. Sanders, recovered by Vandy for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+49
62.1%
Ralph Webb run for 49 yds to the MTnSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:04
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
64.1%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Sean Dowling for 6 yds to the MTnSt 7Similar
Q2 3:19
2ND & 4
OPP 7
-11
64.6%
Khari Blasingame run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 3 VANDERBILT Penalty, illegal block (Jay Woods) to the MTnSt 18Similar
Q2 3:19
2ND & 15
OPP 18
+9
63.8%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Khari Blasingame for 9 yds to the MTnSt 9Similar
Q2 3:19
3RD & 6
OPP 9
+5
63.6%
[SH], Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Kalija Lipscomb (HARRIS, Darius), PENALTY MT offside (MCBRIDE, Jimal) 5 yards to the MT4, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:19
3RD & 1
OPP 4
+1
63.6%
Ralph Webb run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
72.9%
Ralph Webb run for 3 yds for a TD, (Tommy Openshaw KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0029% → 28%
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
70.6%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to I'Tavius Mathers, broken up by Oren BurksSimilar
Q2 1:42
2ND & 10
OWN 15
0
70.9%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Tyshawn BrownSimilar
Q2 1:42
3RD & 10
OWN 15
0
71.6%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Richie James, broken up by Taurean FergusonSimilar
Q2 1:42
4TH & 10
OWN 15
+11
72.1%
Matt Bonadies punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Vandy 37 , Kalija Lipscomb returns for 11 yds to the Vandy 26 VANDERBILT Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Vandy 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 15TD
8 plays · 63 yds · 1:0072% → 82%
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
71.5%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Trent Sherfield for 2 yds to the Vandy 39Similar
Q2 1:19
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+23
72.0%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Jared Pinkney for 23 yds to the MTnSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
72.8%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Trent Sherfield for 6 yds to the MTnSt 32Similar
Q2 1:19
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+21
73.1%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Trent Sherfield for 9 yds to the MTnSt 23 for a 1ST down MIDDLE TENN Penalty, personal foul (Steven Rhodes) to the MTnSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
73.1%
Kyle Shurmur pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:19
2ND & 10
OPP 11
-5
73.1%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Ralph Webb for a loss of 5 yards to the MTnSt 16Similar
Q2 0:19
3RD & 15
OPP 16
+16
81.7%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Kalija Lipscomb for 16 yds for a TD, (Tommy Openshaw KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 16END OF HALF
4 plays · 50 yds · 0:0921% → 21%
Q2 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+17
79.5%
I'Tavius Mathers run for 17 yds to the MTnSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
79.1%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 17 yds to the Vandy 33 for a 1ST down lat. to Brent Stockstill for a loss of 7 yards to the Vandy 33 for a 1ST down lat. to Ty Lee for 7 yds to the Vandy 33 for a 1ST down lat. to Desmond Anderson for 9 yds to the Vandy 33 for a 1ST down to I'Tavius Mathers for 7 yds to the Vandy 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 17FUMBLE
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:0082% → 83%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
82.2%
Ralph Webb run for 5 yds to the Vandy 40Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+5
82.7%
Ralph Webb run for 5 yds to the Vandy 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-5
82.8%
VANDERBILT Penalty, false start (Sean Dowling) to the Vandy 40Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 40
+3
82.5%
Ralph Webb run for 3 yds to the Vandy 43Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 43
-1
82.5%
Khari Blasingame run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 42 Khari Blasingame fumbled, forced by Darius Harris, recovered by MTnSt Darius HarrisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 18MISSED FG
6 plays · 15 yds · 1:5621% → 18%
Q3 12:51
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+11
79.4%
I'Tavius Mathers run for 11 yds to the Vandy 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:51
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
78.6%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Ty LeeSimilar
Q3 12:51
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+7
78.9%
I'Tavius Mathers run for 7 yds to the Vandy 24Similar
Q3 12:51
3RD & 3
OPP 24
-15
79.2%
STOCKSTILL, B. pass complete to LEE, Ty for no gain to the VANDY24, out-of-bounds (Ryan White), PENALTY MT pass interference (JAMES, Richie) 15 yards to the VANDY39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:51
3RD & 18
OPP 39
+12
81.4%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 12 yds to the Vandy 27Similar
Q3 10:55
4TH & 6
OPP 27
+44
82.2%
Canon Rooker 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 19DOWNS
14 plays · 35 yds · 5:3485% → 90%
Q3 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
85.1%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Nathan Marcus for 9 yds to the Vandy 36Similar
Q3 10:55
2ND & 1
OWN 36
+3
85.5%
Ralph Webb run for 3 yds to the Vandy 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
85.7%
Ralph Webb run for 3 yds to the Vandy 42Similar
Q3 10:55
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+7
85.8%
Ralph Webb run for 7 yds to the Vandy 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
85.9%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Trent Sherfield for 9 yds to the MTnSt 42Similar
Q3 10:55
2ND & 1
OPP 42
0
86.0%
Dallas Rivers run for no gain to the MTnSt 42Similar
Q3 10:55
3RD & 1
OPP 42
-1
85.5%
Dallas Rivers run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 43Similar
Q3 10:55
4TH & 2
OPP 43
+4
84.7%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Bailey McElwain for 4 yds to the MTnSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:55
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-2
86.0%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to C.J. Duncan for a loss of 2 yards to the MTnSt 41Similar
Q3 5:21
2ND & 12
OPP 41
+5
91.1%
Ralph Webb run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 36Similar
Q3 5:21
3RD & 7
OPP 36
0
90.9%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to C.J. DuncanSimilar
Q3 5:21
4TH & 7
OPP 36
0
90.1%
VANDERBILT Penalty, delay of game ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 5:21
4TH & 7
OPP 36
-2
90.1%
Tommy Openshaw run for a loss of 2 yards to the MTnSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 20TD
8 plays · 62 yds · 2:3014% → 24%
Q3 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+14
86.2%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 14 yds to the Vandy 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+18
85.6%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Desmond Anderson for 18 yds to the Vandy 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
84.3%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to I'Tavius Mathers, broken up by Oren BurksSimilar
Q3 4:24
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+6
84.6%
I'Tavius Mathers run for 6 yds to the Vandy 24Similar
Q3 4:24
3RD & 4
OPP 24
+14
84.9%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 14 yds to the Vandy 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
83.9%
I'Tavius Mathers run for 6 yds to the Vandy 4Similar
Q3 4:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
83.9%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Tyshawn BrownSimilar
Q3 1:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
76.3%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Patrick Smith for 4 yds for a TD, (Canon Rooker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 21PUNT
9 plays · 19 yds · 1:4680% → 79%
Q3 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
80.3%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Kalija LipscombSimilar
Q3 1:46
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+17
80.0%
Ralph Webb run for 17 yds to the Vandy 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
82.1%
Ralph Webb run for 6 yds to the Vandy 45Similar
Q3 1:46
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+5
82.3%
Ralph Webb run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:46
1ST & 10
50
-9
82.6%
Kyle Shurmur sacked by Raynard Felton and Darius Harris for a loss of 9 yards to the Vandy 41Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 19
OWN 41
0
81.9%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to C.J. DuncanSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 19
OWN 41
0
80.7%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Kalija LipscombSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 19
OWN 41
0
79.4%
Sam Loy punt for 51 yds , Richie James returns for no gain to the MTnSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0019% → 17%
Q4 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+8
81.4%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 8 yds to the MTnSt 16Similar
Q4 14:42
2ND & 2
OWN 16
0
81.0%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Tyshawn BrownSimilar
Q4 14:42
3RD & 2
OWN 16
0
82.0%
I'Tavius Mathers run for no gain to the MTnSt 16Similar
Q4 14:42
4TH & 2
OWN 16
-5
82.8%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the MTnSt 11Similar
Q4 14:42
4TH & 7
OWN 11
0
83.0%
Matt Bonadies punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Kalija Lipscomb at the Vandy 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 23TD
4 plays · 54 yds · 1:4884% → 96%
Q4 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+42
83.9%
Ralph Webb run for 42 yds to the MTnSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:21
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
84.4%
Ralph Webb run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 8Similar
Q4 13:21
2ND & 6
OPP 8
+7
84.4%
Khari Blasingame run for 7 yds to the MTnSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
95.6%
Khari Blasingame run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tommy Openshaw KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 24DOWNS
9 plays · 40 yds · 0:008% → 9%
Q4 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
92.3%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Patrick Smith for 13 yds to the MTnSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
91.5%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 37Similar
Q4 11:33
2ND & 11
OWN 37
+26
91.7%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 26 yds to the Vandy 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
91.3%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 9 yds to the Vandy 28Similar
Q4 11:33
2ND & 1
OPP 28
0
89.8%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Richie James, broken up by Taurean FergusonSimilar
Q4 11:33
3RD & 1
OPP 28
-2
90.6%
I'Tavius Mathers run for a loss of 2 yards to the Vandy 30Similar
Q4 11:33
4TH & 3
OPP 30
-5
91.5%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, false start (Tyshawn Brown) to the Vandy 35Similar
Q4 11:33
4TH & 8
OPP 35
0
91.5%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Patrick SmithSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0096% → 95%
Q4 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
95.7%
Ralph Webb run for 2 yds to the Vandy 37Similar
Q4 9:03
2ND & 8
OWN 37
-1
95.8%
Ralph Webb run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 36Similar
Q4 9:03
3RD & 9
OWN 36
0
95.8%
Kyle Shurmur pass incomplete to Kalija LipscombSimilar
Q4 9:03
4TH & 9
OWN 36
0
95.4%
Sam Loy punt for 56 yds, downed at the MTnSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 26PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q4 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+11
94.8%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to I'Tavius Mathers for 11 yds to the MTnSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-7
94.5%
Brent Stockstill sacked by Oren Burks for a loss of 7 yards to the MTnSt 12Similar
Q4 7:26
2ND & 17
OWN 12
-2
94.7%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Terelle West for a loss of 2 yards to the MTnSt 10Similar
Q4 7:26
3RD & 19
OWN 10
0
94.8%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Richie James, broken up by LaDarius WileySimilar
Q4 7:26
4TH & 19
OWN 10
+5
94.9%
VANDERBILT Penalty, substitution infraction (5 Yards) to the MTnSt 15Similar
Q4 7:26
4TH & 14
OWN 15
0
94.9%
Matt Bonadies punt for 40 yds , Ryan White returns for no gain to the MTnSt 15 MIDDLE TENN Penalty, personal foul (Ruben Garnett) to the MTnSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 27TD
6 plays · 40 yds · 2:5797% → 100%
Q4 5:29
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
97.3%
Ralph Webb run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 37Similar
Q4 5:29
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+20
97.3%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Sam Dobbs for 5 yds to the MTnSt 32 for a 1ST down MIDDLE TENN Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Michael Minter) to the MTnSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:29
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
97.3%
Dallas Rivers run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 14Similar
Q4 5:29
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+9
97.3%
Kyle Shurmur pass complete to Jared Pinkney for 9 yds to the MTnSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
97.3%
Dallas Rivers run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 3Similar
Q4 2:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.6%
Dallas Rivers run for 3 yds for a TD, (Tommy Openshaw KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 28DOWNS
11 plays · 50 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
99.3%
I'Tavius Mathers run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 38Similar
Q4 2:32
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+12
99.3%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Patrick Smith for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:32
1ST & 10
50
0
99.3%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Ty LeeSimilar
Q4 2:32
2ND & 10
50
+7
99.3%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 7 yds to the Vandy 43Similar
Q4 2:32
3RD & 3
OPP 43
+7
99.3%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Terelle West for 7 yds to the Vandy 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:32
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+21
99.3%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 21 yds to the Vandy 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:32
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
99.2%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Dennis AndrewsSimilar
Q4 2:32
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
99.2%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Tyshawn BrownSimilar
Q4 2:32
3RD & 10
OPP 15
0
99.3%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Richie JamesSimilar
Q4 2:32
4TH & 10
OPP 15
0
99.3%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Ty LeeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 29END OF GAME
1 play · 5 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
99.7%
Josh Crawford run for 5 yds to the Vandy 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 11:33
Khari Blasingame run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tommy Openshaw KICK)
+11.2
TD · Q2 1:46
Ralph Webb run for 3 yds for a TD, (Tommy Openshaw KICK)
+9.3
TD · Q2 5:04
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for 5 yds for a TD VANDERBILT Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined, (Canon Rooker KICK)
-8.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com