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EMU

Eastern Michigan 21 at Missouri 61

MIZ
2016 · Week 2 · Sep 10, 2016 · Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · MIZ
modelMIZ aheadEMU aheadconfidence bandkey playMIZ scoreEMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 8:53 · Austin Barnes punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MISSOURI 34 MISSOURI Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the Misso 24
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+44.5+22.30−22.3−44.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 134Pregame prior+23.1Home team on offense+28.5Score differential+20.7Blowout margin+12.5Garbage-time factor+6.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:51: Ian Eriksen run for 1 yd for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK) — MIZ win probability +0.5 pts (now 96%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:52: Drew Lock pass complete to Jason Reese for 19 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK) — MIZ win probability +1.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 10:33: Todd Porter pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 5 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK) — EMU win probability +3.6 pts (now 5%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 8:53: Drew Lock pass complete to Ray Wingo for 52 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK) — MIZ win probability +1.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 6:04: Drew Lock pass complete to Kendall Blanton for 13 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK) — MIZ win probability +0.4 pts (now 100%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MIZ made the numbers' call on 4 of 5EMU made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 13:29EMU 4th & 20 at EMU 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.5%−0.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:38MIZ 4th & 5 at MIZ 36, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.8%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:00EMU 4th & 25 at EMU 15, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.1%−0.6
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:46MIZ 4th & 5 at MIZ 41, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.6%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:43EMU 4th & 11 at EMU 39, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.7%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:25EMU 4th & 3 at EMU 32, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.7%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:25EMU 4th & 1 at EMU 34, down 19
    Close callPunted · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.3%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00EMU 4th & 5 at EMU 30, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:53EMU 4th & 3 at EMU 32, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:15MIZ 4th & 5 at MIZ 32, up 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:54EMU 4th & 9 at MIZ 14, down 26
    Close callWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%
    84% to make
    Punt
    -0.4%−0.6
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:22MIZ 4th & 1 at EMU 26, up 26
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.5%−0.2
    64% to make
    Punt
    99.0%−0.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:12EMU 4th & 13 at MIZ 24, down 33
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.1%
    68% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:12MIZ 4th & 8 at EMU 40, up 33
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−<0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:51EMU 4th & 5 at EMU 30, down 40
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MIZ made the numbers' call on 6 of 6EMU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 13:29MIZ Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:52MIZ Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 10:33EMU Touchdown, down 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:53MIZ Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 6:04MIZ Touchdown, up 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 2:21EMU Touchdown, down 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 10:22MIZ Touchdown, up 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 2:51MIZ Touchdown, up 39 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MIZDrive 1TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 1:3194% → 94%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
94.3%
Dimetrios Mason run for 9 yds to the Misso 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+5
94.3%
Ish Witter run for 5 yds to the Misso 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
94.3%
Drew Lock pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+7
94.3%
Drew Lock pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 7 yds to the Misso 46Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+4
94.3%
Drew Lock pass complete to Ish Witter for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+14
94.3%
Drew Lock pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 14 yds to the EMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+36
94.1%
Drew Lock pass complete to Emanuel Hall for 36 yds for a TD, (Turner Adams KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 2PUNT
12 plays · 21 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
94.1%
Todd Porter run for 5 yds to the EMich 30Similar
Q1 13:29
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
94.0%
PORTER, Todd pass incomplete to NIUPALAU, J., PENALTY MU offside (Jacobs, Tyrell) 4 yards to the EMU34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:29
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+10
94.0%
Shaq Vann run for 10 yds to the EMich 44 for a 1ST down MISSOURI Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
94.0%
Ian Eriksen run for no gain to the EMich 44Similar
Q1 13:29
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
94.0%
Todd Porter pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:29
3RD & 10
OWN 44
+12
94.1%
Todd Porter pass complete to John Niupalau for 12 yds to the Misso 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
94.0%
Ian Eriksen run for 2 yds to the Misso 42Similar
Q1 13:29
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+3
94.0%
Ian Eriksen run for 3 yds to the Misso 39Similar
Q1 13:29
3RD & 5
OPP 39
-15
94.0%
PORTER, Todd pass complete to DAUGHERTY, E. for 9 yards to the MU30 (Sherrils, A), PENALTY EMU pass interference 15 yards to the EMU46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:29
3RD & 20
OWN 46
0
94.1%
Todd Porter pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:29
4TH & 20
OWN 46
+64
94.1%
Austin Barnes punt for 54 yds for a touchback MISSOURI Penalty, face mask (10 yards) (10 Yards)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 26 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q1 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
93.5%
Drew Lock pass complete to Kendall Blanton for 5 yds to the Misso 15Similar
Q1 9:38
2ND & 5
OWN 15
+4
93.5%
Drew Lock pass complete to Kendall Blanton for 4 yds to the Misso 19Similar
Q1 9:38
3RD & 1
OWN 19
+2
93.5%
Drew Lock run for 2 yds to the Misso 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+10
93.6%
Lock, Drew pass incomplete to Hall, Emanuel, PENALTY EMU pass interference (PHELPS, Jalen) 10 yards to the MU31, 1ST DOWN MU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
93.6%
Alex Ross run for 2 yds to the Misso 33Similar
Q1 9:38
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+3
93.6%
Alex Ross run for 3 yds to the Misso 36Similar
Q1 9:38
3RD & 5
OWN 36
0
93.5%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Alex Ross, broken up by Maxx CrosbySimilar
Q1 9:38
4TH & 5
OWN 36
0
93.5%
Corey Fatony punt for 43 yds, downed at the EMich 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 4INT
7 plays · 42 yds · 1:177% → 7%
Q1 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+16
93.2%
Todd Porter pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 16 yds to the EMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
93.1%
Ian Eriksen run for 4 yds to the EMich 41Similar
Q1 7:26
2ND & 6
OWN 41
0
93.0%
Todd Porter pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:09
3RD & 6
OPP 0
+15
92.7%
PORTER, Todd pass intercepted by Wilson, Thomas at the MU21, Wilson, Thomas return to the EMU26 (ERIKSEN, Ian), PENALTY MU pass interference (Gibson, John) 15 yards to the MU44, 1ST DOWN EMU, NO PLAY, PENALTY MU holding declined.Similar
Q1 6:09
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
92.7%
Ian Eriksen run for 7 yds to the Misso 37Similar
Q1 6:09
2ND & 3
OPP 37
+63
92.7%
Todd Porter pass intercepted Aarion Penton return for 63 yds to the EMich 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 5FUMBLE
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q1 4:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
93.2%
Ish Witter run for 4 yds to the EMich 3Similar
Q1 4:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
93.2%
Ish Witter run for 2 yds to the EMich 1Similar
Q1 4:41
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
93.1%
Drew Lock run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 2 Drew Lock fumbled, forced by Ikie Calderon, recovered by EMich Jaylen PickettSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 6PUNT RETURN TD
12 plays · 13 yds · 4:027% → 6%
Q1 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 2
-1
92.7%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (-1 Yards) to the EMich 1Similar
Q1 4:02
1ST & 11
OWN 1
+5
92.7%
Ian Eriksen run for 5 yds to the EMich 6Similar
Q1 4:02
2ND & 6
OWN 6
+5
92.7%
Todd Porter run for 5 yds to the EMich 11Similar
Q1 4:02
3RD & 1
OWN 11
+3
92.8%
Ian Eriksen run for 3 yds to the EMich 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+4
92.6%
Blake Banham run for 4 yds to the EMich 18Similar
Q1 4:02
2ND & 6
OWN 18
0
92.6%
Todd Porter pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:51
3RD & 6
OWN 18
+12
92.7%
Todd Porter run for 12 yds to the EMich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
92.5%
Blake Banham run for 1 yd to the EMich 31Similar
Q1 1:51
2ND & 9
OWN 31
-16
92.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 16 yards to the EMich 15Similar
Q1 1:51
3RD & 25
OWN 15
0
92.7%
Todd Porter pass incomplete EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 25
OWN 15
+54
93.8%
Austin Barnes punt for 39 yds , Johnathon Johnson returns for 54 yds for a TD, (Turner Adams KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 8TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:094% → 4%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.9%
Todd Porter pass incomplete to Sergio Bailey II, broken up by John GibsonSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
95.9%
Todd Porter pass complete to Eddie Daugherty for 6 yds to the EMich 31Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+6
95.8%
Todd Porter run for 6 yds to the EMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
95.8%
Ian Eriksen run for 4 yds to the EMich 41Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 41
0
95.8%
Todd Porter pass incomplete to John Niupalau, broken up by John GibsonSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+32
95.8%
Todd Porter pass complete to Ian Eriksen for 32 yds to the Misso 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+21
95.5%
Todd Porter pass complete to John Niupalau for 21 yds to the Misso 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
95.5%
Ian Eriksen run for 5 yds to the Misso 1Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
95.5%
Ian Eriksen run for no gain to the Misso 1Similar
Q2 11:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
95.9%
Ian Eriksen run for 1 yd for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 0:0097% → 96%
Q2 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
96.5%
Damarea Crockett run for 4 yds to the Misso 25Similar
Q2 11:46
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+5
96.5%
Damarea Crockett run for 5 yds to the Misso 30Similar
Q2 11:46
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+6
96.4%
Damarea Crockett run for 6 yds to the Misso 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
96.5%
Drew Lock pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:46
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+5
96.5%
Drew Lock pass complete to Emanuel Hall for 5 yds to the Misso 41Similar
Q2 11:46
3RD & 5
OWN 41
0
96.5%
Damarea Crockett run for no gain to the Misso 41Similar
Q2 11:46
4TH & 5
OWN 41
0
96.4%
Corey Fatony punt for 56 yds, downed at the EMich 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 36 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+3
96.5%
Ian Eriksen run for 3 yds to the EMich 6Similar
Q2 9:43
2ND & 7
OWN 6
+4
96.6%
Ian Eriksen run for 4 yds to the EMich 10Similar
Q2 9:43
3RD & 3
OWN 10
+30
96.5%
Ian Eriksen run for 30 yds to the EMich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
96.3%
Todd Porter pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:43
2ND & 10
OWN 40
-1
96.3%
Blake Banham run for a loss of 1 yard to the EMich 39Similar
Q2 9:43
3RD & 11
OWN 39
0
96.5%
Todd Porter pass incomplete to Sergio Bailey II, broken up by Aarion PentonSimilar
Q2 9:43
4TH & 11
OWN 39
0
96.5%
Austin Barnes punt for 47 yds, downed at the Misso 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 11TD
14 plays · 86 yds · 2:4097% → 98%
Q2 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+5
97.1%
Drew Lock pass complete to Ray Wingo for 5 yds to the Misso 19Similar
Q2 7:05
2ND & 5
OWN 19
+8
97.1%
Drew Lock pass complete to Jason Reese for 8 yds to the Misso 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+19
97.1%
Ish Witter run for 19 yds to the Misso 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
97.2%
Ish Witter run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 7:05
2ND & 6
50
-3
97.2%
Ish Witter run for a loss of 3 yards to the Misso 47Similar
Q2 7:05
3RD & 9
OWN 47
+5
97.1%
Lock, Drew pass incomplete to Reese, Jason (SPEARMAN, Ike), PENALTY EMU illegal participation 5 yards to the EMU48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:05
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+5
97.1%
Lock, Drew pass incomplete to Moore, J'Mon, PENALTY EMU offside (HARRIS, J.) 5 yards to the EMU43, 1ST DOWN MU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
97.2%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Ray WingoSimilar
Q2 7:05
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+18
97.2%
Drew Lock pass complete to Dimetrios Mason for 18 yds to the EMich 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
97.2%
Drew Lock pass complete to J'Mon Moore for 9 yds to the EMich 16Similar
Q2 7:05
2ND & 1
OPP 16
+4
97.2%
Ish Witter run for 4 yds to the EMich 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:05
2ND & 3
OPP 5
+4
97.2%
Ish Witter run for 4 yds to the EMich 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+7
97.2%
Ish Witter run for 7 yds to the EMich 5Similar
Q2 4:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.5%
Ish Witter run for 1 yd for a TD, (Turner Adams PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
96.8%
Ian Eriksen run for 3 yds to the EMich 28Similar
Q2 4:25
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
96.7%
Ian Eriksen run for 4 yds to the EMich 32Similar
Q2 4:25
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
96.7%
Todd Porter pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:25
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
96.7%
Austin Barnes punt for 55 yds, downed at the Misso 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 13TD
1 play · 87 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q2 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+87
96.5%
Drew Lock pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 87 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 1:015% → 5%
Q2 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.3%
Ian Eriksen run for no gain to the EMich 25Similar
Q2 2:17
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
95.3%
Todd Porter run for no gain to the EMich 25Similar
Q2 2:17
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+9
95.3%
Todd Porter run for 9 yds to the EMich 34Similar
Q2 1:25
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
94.9%
Austin Barnes punt for 48 yds, downed at the Misso 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 15TD
4 plays · 82 yds · 0:2197% → 99%
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+68
97.0%
Drew Lock pass complete to Ray Wingo for 68 yds to the EMich 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-5
97.0%
MISSOURI Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the EMich 19Similar
Q2 1:13
1ST & 15
OPP 19
0
97.2%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to J'Mon MooreSimilar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 15
OPP 19
+19
98.7%
Drew Lock pass complete to Jason Reese for 19 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 16END OF HALF
3 plays · -1 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
98.9%
Ian Eriksen run for 1 yd to the EMich 26Similar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-2
98.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.9%
Todd Porter pass complete to Ian Eriksen for no gain to the EMich 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.9%
Todd Porter pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 5 yds to the EMich 30Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
98.8%
Todd Porter pass incomplete to John Niupalau, broken up by Aarion PentonSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+20
98.9%
Austin Barnes punt for 45 yds , Johnathon Johnson returns for 20 yds to the Misso 45 Johnathon Johnson fumbled, forced by Brody Hoying, recovered by EMich Chris O'RiskySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 18TD
7 plays · 45 yds · 3:032% → 5%
Q3 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
98.4%
Todd Porter pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 5 yds to the Misso 40Similar
Q3 13:36
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+3
98.3%
Ian Eriksen run for 3 yds to the Misso 37Similar
Q3 13:36
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+2
98.4%
Ian Eriksen run for 2 yds to the Misso 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-5
98.3%
Todd Porter sacked by Josh Augusta for a loss of 5 yards to the Misso 40Similar
Q3 13:36
2ND & 15
OPP 40
+30
98.4%
Todd Porter pass complete to Dan Buschman for 30 yds to the Misso 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
98.3%
Todd Porter run for 5 yds to the Misso 5Similar
Q3 10:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
94.7%
Todd Porter pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 5 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 19TD
7 plays · 78 yds · 1:3397% → 99%
Q3 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
97.1%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Ish WitterSimilar
Q3 10:26
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+9
97.1%
Ish Witter run for 9 yds to the Misso 31Similar
Q3 10:26
3RD & 1
OWN 31
+2
97.1%
Josh Augusta run for 2 yds to the Misso 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
97.2%
Damarea Crockett run for 9 yds to the Misso 42Similar
Q3 10:26
2ND & 1
OWN 42
+6
97.3%
Damarea Crockett run for 6 yds to the Misso 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+52
99.2%
Drew Lock pass complete to Ray Wingo for 52 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.4%
Todd Porter run for no gain to the EMich 25Similar
Q3 8:53
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.4%
Todd Porter pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 7 yds to the EMich 32Similar
Q3 8:53
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
99.3%
Todd Porter pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:53
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+44
99.4%
Austin Barnes punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MISSOURI 34 MISSOURI Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the Misso 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 21TD
7 plays · 76 yds · 1:3699% → 100%
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
99.2%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Jason ReeseSimilar
Q3 7:40
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+3
99.2%
Damarea Crockett run for 3 yds to the Misso 27Similar
Q3 7:40
3RD & 7
OWN 27
+49
99.2%
Drew Lock pass complete to Emanuel Hall for 49 yds to the MISSOURI 24 for a 1ST down EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
99.3%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Kendall BlantonSimilar
Q3 7:40
2ND & 10
OPP 24
0
99.3%
Damarea Crockett run for no gain to the EMich 24Similar
Q3 7:40
3RD & 10
OPP 24
+11
99.3%
Drew Lock pass complete to J'Mon Moore for 11 yds to the EMich 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
99.7%
Drew Lock pass complete to Kendall Blanton for 13 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 22TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:430% → 0%
Q3 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.7%
Ian Eriksen run for 4 yds to the EMich 29Similar
Q3 6:04
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+20
99.7%
Todd Porter pass complete to Bryce Kemp for 1 yd to the EMich 30 for a 1ST down MISSOURI Penalty, face mask (19 yards) (Terry Beckner Jr.) to the EMich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+23
99.7%
Todd Porter pass complete to Sam Browning for 23 yds to the Misso 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
99.7%
Todd Porter pass complete to Isaac Holder for 6 yds to the Misso 22Similar
Q3 6:04
2ND & 4
OPP 22
+8
99.6%
Breck Turner run for 8 yds to the Misso 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-1
99.7%
Ian Eriksen run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 15Similar
Q3 6:04
2ND & 11
OPP 15
+3
99.7%
Ian Eriksen run for 3 yds to the Misso 12Similar
Q3 6:04
3RD & 8
OPP 12
+8
99.7%
Todd Porter pass complete to Mathew Sexton for 8 yds to the Misso 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.7%
Todd Porter run for 4 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
99.5%
Ish Witter run for 1 yd to the Misso 28Similar
Q3 2:15
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+4
99.5%
Ish Witter run for 4 yds to the Misso 32Similar
Q3 2:15
3RD & 5
OWN 32
0
99.5%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Dimetrios MasonSimilar
Q3 2:15
4TH & 5
OWN 32
0
99.5%
Corey Fatony punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Blake Banham at the EMich 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 24DOWNS
10 plays · 57 yds · 2:310% → 0%
Q3 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
99.7%
Todd Porter pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 6 yds to the EMich 35Similar
Q3 1:25
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+25
99.7%
Todd Porter pass complete to John Niupalau for 25 yds to the Misso 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-5
99.7%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (Jimmy Leatiota) to the Misso 45Similar
Q3 1:25
1ST & 15
OPP 45
+13
99.7%
Todd Porter pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 13 yds to the Misso 32Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 32
+17
99.7%
Todd Porter pass complete to Eddie Daugherty for 17 yds to the Misso 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
99.7%
Blake Banham run for 1 yd to the Misso 14Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 14
0
99.7%
Todd Porter pass incomplete to Sergio Bailey II, broken up by Logan CheadleSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 14
0
99.8%
Todd Porter pass incomplete to Blake Banham, broken up by Logan CheadleSimilar
Q4 13:54
4TH & 9
OPP 14
0
99.7%
Todd Porter pass incomplete to Eddie DaughertySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 25TD
16 plays · 86 yds · 3:25100% → 100%
Q4 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+1
99.7%
Damarea Crockett run for 1 yd to the Misso 15Similar
Q4 13:47
2ND & 9
OWN 15
+6
99.7%
Drew Lock pass complete to Dimetrios Mason for 6 yds to the Misso 21Similar
Q4 13:47
3RD & 3
OWN 21
+5
99.7%
Damarea Crockett run for 5 yds to the Misso 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
99.7%
Drew Lock pass complete to Keyon Dilosa for 5 yds to the Misso 31Similar
Q4 13:47
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+9
99.7%
Drew Lock pass complete to Kendall Blanton for 9 yds to the Misso 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
99.7%
Drew Lock pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 2 yds to the Misso 42Similar
Q4 13:47
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+3
99.7%
Damarea Crockett run for 3 yds to the Misso 45Similar
Q4 13:47
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+5
99.7%
Drew Lock pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:47
1ST & 10
50
0
99.7%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Johnathon JohnsonSimilar
Q4 13:47
2ND & 10
50
0
99.7%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Jason ReeseSimilar
Q4 13:47
3RD & 10
50
+15
99.7%
Lock, Drew pass incomplete to Dilosa, Keyon (GIRALDO, Juan), PENALTY EMU targeting (GIRALDO, Juan) 15 yards to the EMU35, 1ST DOWN MU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:47
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
99.7%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Dimetrios MasonSimilar
Q4 13:47
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
99.7%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Johnathon JohnsonSimilar
Q4 13:47
3RD & 10
OPP 35
+9
99.7%
Drew Lock pass complete to Damarea Crockett for 9 yds to the EMich 26Similar
Q4 10:22
4TH & 1
OPP 26
+26
99.9%
Damarea Crockett run for 26 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 26MISSED FG
13 plays · 51 yds · 4:100% → 0%
Q4 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
Todd Porter run for 3 yds to the EMich 28Similar
Q4 10:22
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
99.9%
Todd Porter pass complete to Sam Browning for 3 yds to the EMich 31Similar
Q4 10:22
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+4
99.9%
Todd Porter pass complete to Isaac Holder for 4 yds to the EMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+28
99.9%
Todd Porter pass complete to Antoine Porter for 28 yds to the Misso 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
99.9%
Breck Turner run for 2 yds to the Misso 35Similar
Q4 10:22
2ND & 8
OPP 35
0
99.9%
Todd Porter pass incomplete to Mathew Sexton, broken up by DeMarkus AcySimilar
Q4 10:22
3RD & 8
OPP 35
+14
99.9%
Todd Porter pass complete to Isaac Holder for 14 yds to the Misso 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
99.9%
Todd Porter pass incomplete to Dan BuschmanSimilar
Q4 10:22
2ND & 10
OPP 21
0
99.9%
Todd Porter pass incomplete to Eddie Daugherty, broken up by DeMarkus AcySimilar
Q4 10:22
3RD & 10
OPP 21
+2
99.9%
Todd Porter run for 2 yds to the Misso 19Similar
Q4 10:22
4TH & 8
OPP 19
-5
99.9%
EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, delay of game (Todd Porter) to the Misso 24Similar
Q4 6:12
4TH & 13
OPP 24
+41
99.9%
Paul Fricano 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 27PUNT
8 plays · 36 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+9
99.9%
Marvin Zanders pass complete to Dimetrios Mason for 9 yds to the Misso 33Similar
Q4 6:12
2ND & 1
OWN 33
+9
99.9%
Nate Strong run for 9 yds to the Misso 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
99.9%
Nate Strong run for 6 yds to the Misso 48Similar
Q4 6:12
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+10
99.9%
Marvin Zanders pass complete to Dimetrios Mason for 10 yds to the EMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-6
99.9%
Marvin Zanders run for a loss of 6 yards to the EMich 48Similar
Q4 6:12
2ND & 16
OPP 48
+8
99.9%
Marvin Zanders pass complete to Dimetrios Mason for 8 yds to the EMich 40Similar
Q4 6:12
3RD & 8
OPP 40
0
99.9%
Marvin Zanders run for no gain to the EMich 40Similar
Q4 6:12
4TH & 8
OPP 40
0
99.9%
Corey Fatony punt for 37 yds, downed at the EMich 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 28INT TD
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:500% → 0%
Q4 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 3
-2
100.0%
Breck Turner run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 1Similar
Q4 2:51
2ND & 12
OWN 1
+1
100.0%
Todd Porter pass intercepted for a TD Joey Burkett return for 1 yd for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 29PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Todd Porter run for no gain to the EMich 25Similar
Q4 2:51
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Todd Porter pass incomplete to Mathew SextonSimilar
Q4 2:51
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Todd Porter pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:51
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+5
100.0%
BARNES, Austin punt 46 yards to the MU29, Black, Chris return to the EMU23 (HURCOMBE, Jake), PENALTY MU offside 5 yards to the EMU30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:51
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+61
100.0%
Austin Barnes punt for 54 yds , Chris Black returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 29 MISSOURI Penalty, illegal block (Ish Witter) to the Misso 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 30END OF GAME
3 plays · 15 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
100.0%
Nate Strong run for 2 yds to the Misso 10Similar
Q4 1:22
2ND & 8
OWN 10
+4
100.0%
Nate Strong run for 4 yds to the Misso 14Similar
Q4 1:22
3RD & 4
OWN 14
+9
100.0%
Nate Strong run for 9 yds to the Misso 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:33
Todd Porter pass complete to Sergio Bailey II for 5 yds for a TD, (Paul Fricano KICK)
-3.6
TD · Q3 8:53
Drew Lock pass complete to Ray Wingo for 52 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK)
+1.9
TD · Q2 0:52
Drew Lock pass complete to Jason Reese for 19 yds for a TD, (Tucker McCann KICK)
+1.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com