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WOF

Wofford 13 at Ole Miss 38

MISS
2016 · Week 2 · Sep 10, 2016 · Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
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Win probability · MISS
modelMISS aheadWOF aheadconfidence bandkey playMISS scoreWOF score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 0:49 · Will Gleeson punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Will Gay at the Woffd 30
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 113Pregame prior+26.5Home team on offense+33.0Score differential+27.1Garbage-time factor+12.5Blowout margin+11.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:50: D.K. Metcalf 10 Yd pass from Chad Kelly (Gary Wunderlich Kick) — MISS win probability +0.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:36: Quincy Adeboyejo 6 Yd pass from Chad Kelly (Gary Wunderlich Kick) — MISS win probability +1.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 5:07: Jason Pellerin 3 Yd Run (Gary Wunderlich Kick) — MISS win probability +0.7 pts (now 100%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 10:27: Brad Butler 17 Yd Run (David Marvin Kick) — WOF win probability +0.6 pts (now 1%) (top driver: WOF has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:16: A.J. Brown 12 Yd pass from Jason Pellerin (Gary Wunderlich Kick) — MISS win probability +0.5 pts (now 100%) (top driver: MISS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MISS made the numbers' call on 1 of 3WOF made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 13:03MISS 4th & 5 at WOF 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.0%
    70% to make
    Punt
    98.6%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q2 4:38WOF 4th & 12 at MISS 12, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.8%
    86% to make
    Punt
    1.0%−0.8
    average punt
  3. Q2 0:00WOF 4th & 6 at WOF 41, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.1%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.2%
    average punt
  4. Q3 11:44WOF 4th & 1 at MISS 39, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    0.8%−0.4
    36% to make
    Punt
    0.8%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q3 8:05WOF 4th & 2 at MISS 23, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    1.0%−0.1
    70% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−0.9
    average punt
  6. Q3 2:52WOF 4th & 3 at WOF 32, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  7. Q3 0:49MISS 4th & 1 at MISS 25, up 28
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    100.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q4 14:05WOF 4th & 7 at WOF 43, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  9. Q4 12:10MISS 4th & 3 at MISS 9, up 28
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 2:28WOF 4th & 6 at MISS 32, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.1%
    51% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MISS made the numbers' call on 5 of 5WOF made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 7:11MISS Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:50MISS Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:36MISS Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 5:07MISS Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 10:27WOF Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 6:16MISS Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MISSDrive 1FG
9 plays · 42 yds · 1:52100% → 99%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
99.5%
Chad Kelly pass complete to Van Jefferson for 11 yds to the Miss 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
99.5%
Chad Kelly pass incomplete to Van JeffersonSimilar
Q1 14:26
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+10
99.5%
Chad Kelly pass complete to Damore'ea Stringfellow for 10 yds to the Woffd 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:14
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
99.5%
Chad Kelly pass complete to Van Jefferson for 6 yds to the Woffd 38Similar
Q1 13:56
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+10
99.5%
Chad Kelly pass complete to Evan Engram for 10 yds to the Woffd 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:51
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
99.5%
Chad Kelly pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:40
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
99.4%
Akeem Judd run for no gain to the Woffd 28Similar
Q1 13:22
3RD & 10
OPP 28
+5
99.4%
Chad Kelly pass complete to Damore'ea Stringfellow for 5 yds to the Woffd 23Similar
Q1 13:03
4TH & 5
OPP 23
+40
99.4%
Gary Wunderlich 40 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WOFDrive 2PUNT
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:111% → 1%
Q1 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.4%
Lorenzo Long run for 1 yd to the Woffd 26Similar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
99.4%
Brad Butler run for 2 yds to the Woffd 28Similar
Q1 12:44
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+2
99.4%
Brad Butler run for 2 yds to the Woffd 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 3TD
14 plays · 81 yds · 3:4399% → 99%
Q1 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
99.3%
Akeem Judd run for no gain to the Miss 19Similar
Q1 10:30
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+6
99.3%
Chad Kelly pass complete to DaMarkus Lodge for 6 yds to the Miss 25Similar
Q1 10:08
3RD & 4
OWN 25
+8
99.3%
Chad Kelly run for 8 yds to the Miss 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+15
99.3%
Chad Kelly pass complete to Damore'ea Stringfellow for 15 yds to the Miss 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+16
99.3%
Akeem Judd run for 16 yds to the Woffd 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:09
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
99.2%
Chad Kelly pass incomplete to Hunter ThurleySimilar
Q1 9:05
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
99.2%
Chad Kelly pass incomplete to A.J. BrownSimilar
Q1 8:55
3RD & 10
OPP 36
+10
99.2%
Chad Kelly pass complete to Van Jefferson for 10 yds to the Woffd 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:38
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-1
99.2%
Chad Kelly run for a loss of 1 yard to the Woffd 27Similar
Q1 8:13
2ND & 11
OPP 27
0
99.2%
Chad Kelly pass incomplete to Evan EngramSimilar
Q1 8:06
3RD & 11
OPP 27
-10
99.2%
OLE MISS Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Woffd 37Similar
Q1 7:55
3RD & 21
OPP 37
+30
99.1%
Chad Kelly pass complete to Markell Pack for 30 yds to the Woffd 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
99.1%
Eugene Brazley run for 2 yds to the Woffd 5Similar
Q1 7:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.2%
Markell Pack 5 Yd pass from Chad Kelly (Gary Wunderlich Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WOFDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 19 yds · 4:381% → 1%
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.2%
Brad Butler run for 3 yds to the Woffd 28Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
99.1%
Lorenzo Long run for 3 yds to the Woffd 31Similar
Q1 5:55
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+6
99.1%
Lorenzo Long run for 6 yds to the Woffd 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
99.1%
Brad Butler pass complete to Nick Colvin for 4 yds to the Woffd 41Similar
Q1 4:44
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+5
99.0%
Lorenzo Long run for 5 yds to the Woffd 46Similar
Q1 4:18
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+4
99.0%
Lorenzo Long run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:28
1ST & 10
50
-14
98.9%
Chase Nelson run for 1 yd to the OLEMISS 49 WOFFORD Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the Woffd 36Similar
Q1 2:58
2ND & 24
OWN 36
+9
98.9%
Lennox McAfee run for 9 yds to the Woffd 45Similar
Q1 2:22
3RD & 15
OWN 45
-1
98.9%
Brad Butler run for a loss of 1 yard to the Woffd 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 5TD
11 plays · 92 yds · 2:4599% → 99%
Q1 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+1
98.8%
Akeem Judd run for 1 yd to the Miss 9Similar
Q1 1:25
2ND & 9
OWN 9
0
98.8%
Chad Kelly pass incomplete to Van JeffersonSimilar
Q1 1:11
3RD & 9
OWN 9
+16
98.8%
Chad Kelly pass complete to DaMarkus Lodge for 16 yds to the Miss 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.8%
Akeem Judd run for no gain to the Miss 25Similar
Q1 0:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
98.7%
Chad Kelly pass complete to Damore'ea Stringfellow for 7 yds to the Miss 32Similar
Q1 0:05
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
98.7%
Akeem Judd run for 4 yds to the Miss 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+22
98.7%
Chad Kelly pass complete to Hunter Thurley for 22 yds to the Woffd 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
98.7%
Jason Pellerin run for 8 yds to the Woffd 34Similar
Q2 14:32
2ND & 2
OPP 34
+21
98.7%
Eugene Brazley run for 21 yds to the Woffd 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:14
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
98.7%
Chad Kelly run for 3 yds to the Woffd 10Similar
Q2 13:50
2ND & 7
OPP 10
+10
99.2%
D.K. Metcalf 10 Yd pass from Chad Kelly (Gary Wunderlich Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WOFDrive 6FG
19 plays · 70 yds · 8:521% → 2%
Q2 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
99.0%
Chris Martin run for 1 yd to the Woffd 19Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 9
OWN 19
+4
99.0%
Will Gay run for 4 yds to the Woffd 23Similar
Q2 12:12
3RD & 5
OWN 23
+9
99.0%
Will Gay run for 9 yds to the Woffd 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
99.0%
Brad Butler pass incomplete to Dorian LindseySimilar
Q2 11:23
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+3
99.0%
Lorenzo Long run for 3 yds to the Woffd 35Similar
Q2 10:50
3RD & 7
OWN 35
+10
98.9%
Chris Martin run for 10 yds to the Woffd 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
98.9%
Lorenzo Long run for no gain to the Woffd 45Similar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+20
98.9%
Brad Butler run for 20 yds to the Miss 35 Brad Butler fumbled, forced by C.J. Hampton, recovered by Woffd for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
98.8%
Brad Butler pass complete to Terrance Morris for 7 yds to the Miss 28Similar
Q2 8:32
2ND & 3
OPP 28
+4
98.7%
Lorenzo Long run for 4 yds to the Miss 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
98.6%
Hunter Windham run for 5 yds to the Miss 19Similar
Q2 7:02
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+1
98.5%
Lennox McAfee run for 1 yd to the Miss 18Similar
Q2 6:44
3RD & 4
OPP 18
+9
98.6%
Chase Nelson run for 9 yds to the Miss 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
98.4%
Lorenzo Long run for 4 yds to the Miss 5Similar
Q2 5:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-3
98.4%
Brad Butler run for a loss of 3 yards to the Miss 8Similar
Q2 5:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
-4
98.5%
Will Gay run for a loss of 4 yards to the Miss 12Similar
Q2 4:38
4TH & GOAL
OPP 12
+29
98.3%
David Marvin 29 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 7TD
7 plays · 38 yds · 2:4498% → 99%
Q2 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+12
98.4%
Akeem Judd run for 12 yds to the Woffd 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
98.4%
Chad Kelly pass complete to Van Jefferson for 4 yds to the Woffd 22Similar
Q2 3:19
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+10
98.4%
Akeem Judd run for 10 yds to the Woffd 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
98.4%
Akeem Judd run for 3 yds to the Woffd 9Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+3
98.4%
Chad Kelly run for 3 yds to the Woffd 6Similar
Q2 1:36
3RD & 4
OPP 6
+6
99.4%
Quincy Adeboyejo 6 Yd pass from Chad Kelly (Gary Wunderlich Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WOFDrive 8END OF HALF
9 plays · 29 yds · 1:201% → 1%
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+8
99.1%
Blake Morgan run for 8 yds to the Woffd 26Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 2
OWN 26
+11
99.1%
Brad Butler run for 11 yds to the Woffd 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
99.1%
Blake Morgan run for 1 yd to the Woffd 38Similar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+3
99.1%
Ellis Pace run for 3 yds to the Woffd 41Similar
Q2 0:04
3RD & 6
OWN 41
0
99.1%
Brad Butler pass incomplete to Chandler GougerSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 6
OWN 41
+6
99.5%
Lorenzo Long run for 6 yds to the Woffd 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WOFDrive 9DOWNS
15 plays · 54 yds · 6:451% → 1%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
99.1%
Will Gay run for 7 yds to the Woffd 30Similar
Q3 14:14
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+6
99.0%
Will Gay run for 6 yds to the Woffd 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+16
99.0%
Hunter Windham run for 16 yds to the Miss 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
99.0%
Lorenzo Long run for 4 yds to the Miss 44Similar
Q3 12:40
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+2
99.0%
Brad Butler run for 2 yds to the Miss 42Similar
Q3 12:03
3RD & 4
OPP 42
+3
99.0%
Hunter Windham run for 3 yds to the Miss 39Similar
Q3 11:44
4TH & 1
OPP 39
+2
99.0%
Brad Butler run for 2 yds to the Miss 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
99.0%
Brad Butler run for 1 yd to the Miss 36Similar
Q3 10:45
2ND & 9
OPP 36
-10
99.0%
WOFFORD Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Miss 46Similar
Q3 10:20
2ND & 19
OPP 46
+15
99.1%
OLE MISS Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the Miss 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-1
99.0%
Lorenzo Long run for a loss of 1 yard to the Miss 32Similar
Q3 8:40
2ND & 11
OPP 32
+1
99.0%
Lorenzo Long run for 1 yd to the Miss 31Similar
Q3 8:05
3RD & 10
OPP 31
+8
99.0%
Lorenzo Long run for 8 yds to the Miss 23Similar
Q3 8:05
4TH & 2
OPP 23
0
99.0%
Lorenzo Long run for no gain to the Miss 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 10TD
8 plays · 77 yds · 2:5399% → 100%
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
99.2%
Akeem Judd run for 2 yds to the Miss 25Similar
Q3 7:32
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+7
99.2%
Chad Kelly pass complete to DaMarkus Lodge for 7 yds to the Miss 32Similar
Q3 7:07
3RD & 1
OWN 32
+16
99.2%
Akeem Judd run for 16 yds to the Miss 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
99.2%
Eugene Brazley run for 4 yds to the Woffd 48Similar
Q3 6:11
2ND & 6
OPP 48
0
99.2%
Chad Kelly pass incomplete to A.J. BrownSimilar
Q3 6:01
3RD & 6
OPP 48
+33
99.2%
Chad Kelly pass complete to Evan Engram for 33 yds to the Woffd 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+12
99.2%
Eugene Brazley run for 12 yds to the Woffd 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.9%
Jason Pellerin 3 Yd Run (Gary Wunderlich Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WOFDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 2:080% → 0%
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
Lorenzo Long run for 1 yd to the Woffd 26Similar
Q3 4:32
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+7
99.9%
Ellis Pace run for 7 yds to the Woffd 33Similar
Q3 3:45
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-1
99.9%
Chase Nelson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Woffd 32Similar
Q3 2:52
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Brian Sanders punt for 52 yds, downed at the Miss 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:56100% → 100%
Q3 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
99.9%
D'Vaughn Pennamon run for 4 yds to the Miss 20Similar
Q3 2:10
2ND & 6
OWN 20
+3
99.9%
Chad Kelly pass complete to A.J. Brown for 3 yds to the Miss 23Similar
Q3 1:08
3RD & 3
OWN 23
+2
99.9%
D'Vaughn Pennamon run for 2 yds to the Miss 25Similar
Q3 0:49
4TH & 1
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Will Gleeson punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Will Gay at the Woffd 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WOFDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 13 yds · 1:230% → 0%
Q3 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+10
99.9%
Brad Butler pass complete to R.J. Taylor for 10 yds to the Woffd 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
99.9%
Lorenzo Long run for 2 yds to the Woffd 42Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 8
OWN 42
0
99.9%
Brad Butler pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:40
3RD & 8
OWN 42
+1
99.9%
Lennox McAfee run for 1 yd to the Woffd 43Similar
Q4 14:05
4TH & 7
OWN 43
0
99.9%
Brian Sanders punt for 55 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Miss 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:35100% → 100%
Q4 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+3
99.9%
Chad Kelly pass complete to Damore'ea Stringfellow for 3 yds to the Miss 5Similar
Q4 13:22
2ND & 7
OWN 5
+5
99.9%
D'Vaughn Pennamon run for 5 yds to the Miss 10Similar
Q4 12:58
3RD & 2
OWN 10
-1
99.9%
D'Vaughn Pennamon run for a loss of 1 yard to the Miss 9Similar
Q4 12:10
4TH & 3
OWN 9
0
99.9%
Gary Wunderlich punt for 32 yds, downed at the Miss 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WOFDrive 15TD
4 plays · 41 yds · 1:330% → 1%
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+19
99.9%
Brad Butler pass complete to Lennox McAfee for 19 yds to the Miss 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
99.9%
Chase Nelson run for 2 yds to the Miss 20Similar
Q4 10:50
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+3
99.9%
Brad Butler run for 3 yds to the Miss 17Similar
Q4 10:27
3RD & 5
OPP 17
+17
99.3%
Brad Butler 17 Yd Run (David Marvin Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 16TD
9 plays · 52 yds · 3:44100% → 100%
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
99.5%
D.K. Buford run for 6 yds to the Woffd 46Similar
Q4 9:34
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+3
99.5%
Jason Pellerin run for 3 yds to the Woffd 43Similar
Q4 8:54
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+9
99.4%
D.K. Buford run for 9 yds to the Woffd 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:24
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
99.5%
Jason Pellerin run for 3 yds to the Woffd 31Similar
Q4 7:53
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+11
99.5%
Jason Pellerin pass complete to Markell Pack for 11 yds to the Woffd 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:14
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
99.5%
D.K. Buford run for 3 yds to the Woffd 17Similar
Q4 6:44
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+5
99.5%
Jason Pellerin run for 5 yds to the Woffd 12Similar
Q4 6:16
3RD & 2
OPP 12
+12
99.9%
A.J. Brown 12 Yd pass from Jason Pellerin (Gary Wunderlich Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WOFDrive 17FG
8 plays · 49 yds · 3:270% → 0%
Q4 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+11
100.0%
Chris Martin run for 11 yds to the Woffd 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
100.0%
Blake Morgan run for 2 yds to the Woffd 32Similar
Q4 4:44
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+32
100.0%
Brandon Goodson pass complete to Terrance Morris for 32 yds to the Miss 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-2
100.0%
Brandon Goodson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Miss 38Similar
Q4 3:33
2ND & 12
OPP 38
+3
100.0%
Luke Childress run for 3 yds to the Miss 35Similar
Q4 3:00
3RD & 9
OPP 35
+3
100.0%
Blake Morgan run for 3 yds to the Miss 32Similar
Q4 2:28
4TH & 6
OPP 32
+50
99.8%
David Marvin 50 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 18INT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:09100% → 100%
Q4 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.8%
D'Vaughn Pennamon run for 3 yds to the Miss 28Similar
Q4 2:13
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Jason Pellerin pass intercepted Dominique Lemon return for no gain to the Woffd 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WOFDrive 19FUMBLE
3 plays · 8 yds · 0:450% → 0%
Q4 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
99.8%
Brandon Goodson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:48
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+9
99.8%
Chris Martin run for 9 yds to the Woffd 38Similar
Q4 1:21
3RD & 1
OWN 38
-1
99.8%
Brandon Goodson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Woffd 37 Brandon Goodson fumbled, recovered by Miss Jordan HebertSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MISSDrive 20END OF GAME
2 plays · 5 yds · 1:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
99.9%
Jason Pellerin run for 5 yds to the Woffd 32Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 32
0
99.9%
D'Vaughn Pennamon run for no gain to the Woffd 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:36
Quincy Adeboyejo 6 Yd pass from Chad Kelly (Gary Wunderlich Kick)
+1
TD · Q3 5:07
Jason Pellerin 3 Yd Run (Gary Wunderlich Kick)
+0.7
TD · Q4 10:27
Brad Butler 17 Yd Run (David Marvin Kick)
-0.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com