Try the model
WKU

Western Kentucky 10 at Alabama 38

ALA
2016 · Week 2 · Sep 10, 2016 · Bryant-Denny Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · ALA
modelALA aheadWKU aheadconfidence bandkey playALA scoreWKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 6:48 · Jake Collins punt for 51 yds , Trevon Diggs returns for 13 yds to the WKent 48
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+44.5+22.30−22.3−44.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 123Pregame prior+21.2Home team on offense+16.0Score differential+5.0Garbage-time factor+2.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.4Blowout margin+1.1
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 8:03: Ryan Nuss 25 yd FG GOOD — WKU win probability +0.2 pts (now 8%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 0:00: Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 4 yds for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK) — ALA win probability +1.7 pts (now 92%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 8:59: Mike White pass intercepted for a TD Eddie Jackson return for 55 yds for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK) — ALA win probability +2.4 pts (now 93%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 3:48: Jalen Hurts pass complete to ArDarius Stewart for 8 yds for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK) — ALA win probability +3.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 13:14: Bo Scarbrough run for 2 yds for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK) — ALA win probability +0.5 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ALA made the numbers' call on 7 of 8WKU made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 13:38WKU 4th & 17 at WKU 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.9%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:52ALA 4th & 10 at WKU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 92.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.5%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.5%
    54% to make
    Punt
    92.4%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:09WKU 4th & 7 at WKU 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.6%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 9:10ALA 4th & 2 at WKU 18, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 91.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.0%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.9%−0.1
    79% to make
    Punt
    91.5%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q1 8:03WKU 4th & 8 at ALA 8, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 8.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.2%−<0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.3%
    90% to make
    Punt
    7.8%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:17WKU 4th & 8 at ALA 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.0%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    9.7%−0.3
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    10.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:43ALA 4th & 7 at ALA 23, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.1%−0.3
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:04WKU 4th & 8 at WKU 27, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.3%−0.3
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:07ALA 4th & 8 at ALA 35, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.0%−0.5
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.4%
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:39WKU 4th & 8 at WKU 30, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.5%−0.3
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.7%
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:03ALA 4th & 22 at WKU 48, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.8%−0.6
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.4%
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:24ALA 4th & 7 at WKU 38, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.2%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    92.9%−0.3
    38% to make
    Punt
    92.9%−0.3
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:25ALA 4th & 20 at WKU 40, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.3%−0.9
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    93.1%−0.2
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    93.2%
    average punt
  14. Q3 6:48WKU 4th & 15 at WKU 10, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.1%−1.0
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.1%
    average punt
  15. Q3 4:15ALA 4th & 1 at WKU 13, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    93.0%−1.2
    85% to make
    Punt
    89.3%−4.8
    average punt
  16. Q3 2:10WKU 4th & 1 at WKU 34, down 21
    Close callPunted · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%−0.3
    average punt
  17. Q4 9:11WKU 4th & 2 at ALA 26, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    64% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.3
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:20WKU 4th & 9 at WKU 25, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ALA made the numbers' call on 5 of 5WKU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 0:00ALA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:59ALA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 3:48ALA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 13:14ALA Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 4:27ALA Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 0:46WKU Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WKUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 1:116% → 6%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
94.1%
Mike White pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:40
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+6
94.0%
Mike White pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 6 yds to the WKent 30Similar
Q1 14:15
3RD & 4
OWN 30
-13
93.9%
Mike White sacked by Ryan Anderson for a loss of 13 yards to the WKent 17Similar
Q1 13:38
4TH & 17
OWN 17
+2
93.8%
Jake Collins punt for 54 yds , Trevon Diggs returns for 2 yds to the Alab 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 2MISSED FG
7 plays · 38 yds · 1:3894% → 93%
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+28
93.8%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 28 yds to the WKent 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+10
93.7%
Damien Harris run for 10 yds to the WKent 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:51
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
93.7%
Damien Harris run for 3 yds to the WKent 28Similar
Q1 12:40
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+2
93.7%
Jalen Hurts run for 2 yds to the WKent 26Similar
Q1 12:20
3RD & 5
OPP 26
-5
93.6%
ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WKent 31Similar
Q1 11:58
3RD & 10
OPP 31
0
93.5%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Calvin RidleySimilar
Q1 11:52
4TH & 10
OPP 31
+48
93.4%
Adam Griffith 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:367% → 7%
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
93.3%
Mike White pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 3 yds to the WKent 34Similar
Q1 11:19
2ND & 7
OWN 34
0
93.2%
Mike White pass incomplete to Taywan TaylorSimilar
Q1 11:16
3RD & 7
OWN 34
0
93.2%
Mike White pass incomplete to Nicholas NorrisSimilar
Q1 11:09
4TH & 7
OWN 34
0
93.2%
Jake Collins punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Alab 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 4FG
5 plays · 59 yds · 1:5093% → 93%
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+51
93.2%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 51 yds to the WKent 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
93.3%
Bo Scarbrough run for 3 yds to the WKent 23Similar
Q1 10:07
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+5
93.1%
Jalen Hurts run for 5 yds to the WKent 18Similar
Q1 9:45
3RD & 2
OPP 18
0
93.0%
Bo Scarbrough run for no gain to the WKent 18Similar
Q1 9:10
4TH & 2
OPP 18
+36
92.9%
Adam Griffith 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 5FG
6 plays · 71 yds · 0:527% → 8%
Q1 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+59
92.8%
Mike White pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 59 yds Taywan Taylor fumbled, recovered by WKent Taywan Taylor for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
92.4%
Anthony Wales run for 1 yd to the Alab 8Similar
Q1 8:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
92.4%
Mike White pass incomplete to Nacarius FantSimilar
Q1 8:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
92.4%
Mike White pass incomplete to Nicholas NorrisSimilar
Q1 8:03
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
92.3%
Ryan Nuss 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 6PUNT
9 plays · -15 yds · 3:3192% → 91%
Q1 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
92.3%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to O.J. Howard for 9 yds to the Alab 32Similar
Q1 7:35
2ND & 1
OWN 32
+4
92.3%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 4 yds to the Alab 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-10
92.1%
ALABAMA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Alab 26Similar
Q1 6:30
1ST & 20
OWN 26
-9
91.9%
Jalen Hurts sacked by Omarius Bryant for a loss of 9 yards to the Alab 17Similar
Q1 5:45
2ND & 29
OWN 17
+2
91.6%
Damien Harris run for 2 yds to the Alab 19Similar
Q1 5:15
3RD & 27
OWN 19
-5
91.3%
ALABAMA Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the Alab 14Similar
Q1 4:40
3RD & 32
OWN 14
-6
91.1%
Jalen Hurts sacked by Joel Iyiegbuniwe for a loss of 6 yards to the Alab 8Similar
Q1 4:15
4TH & 38
OWN 8
+13
90.9%
JK Scott punt for 58 yds , Nacarius Fant returns for 13 yds to the WKent 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 7INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q1 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
90.7%
Nacarius Fant pass intercepted Ronnie Harrison return for 6 yds to the Alab 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 8TD
10 plays · 67 yds · 3:5591% → 92%
Q1 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
91.1%
Jalen Hurts run for 3 yds to the Alab 36Similar
Q1 3:25
2ND & 7
OWN 36
0
91.1%
Jalen Hurts pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:16
3RD & 7
OWN 36
+11
90.8%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 11 yds to the Alab 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+18
91.2%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to ArDarius Stewart for 18 yds to the WKent 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+11
91.3%
ArDarius Stewart run for 11 yds to the WKent 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:09
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-5
91.2%
ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WKent 29Similar
Q1 1:40
1ST & 15
OPP 29
0
90.9%
Jalen Hurts run for no gain to the WKent 29Similar
Q1 1:00
2ND & 15
OPP 29
+5
90.6%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Robert Foster for 5 yds to the WKent 24Similar
Q1 0:15
3RD & 10
OPP 24
+20
90.4%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to O.J. Howard for 20 yds to the WKent 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
92.1%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 4 yds for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 9PUNT
11 plays · 29 yds · 3:369% → 9%
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
91.5%
Anthony Wales run for 6 yds to the WKent 31Similar
Q2 14:20
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
91.2%
Anthony Wales run for 3 yds to the WKent 34Similar
Q2 13:40
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
91.1%
Anthony Wales run for 1 yd to the WKent 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
91.0%
Mike White pass incomplete to Taywan TaylorSimilar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+9
91.0%
Anthony Wales run for 9 yds to the WKent 44Similar
Q2 12:34
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+8
90.5%
Mike White pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 8 yds to the Alab 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:11
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
90.3%
Mike White pass incomplete to Lucky JacksonSimilar
Q2 12:00
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+2
90.4%
Anthony Wales run for 2 yds to the Alab 46Similar
Q2 11:26
3RD & 8
OPP 46
0
90.3%
Mike White pass incomplete to Nicholas NorrisSimilar
Q2 11:17
4TH & 8
OPP 46
0
90.7%
Jake Collins punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:2791% → 90%
Q2 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
90.9%
Damien Harris run for 1 yd to the Alab 21Similar
Q2 10:37
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
90.7%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Gehrig DieterSimilar
Q2 10:25
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+2
90.4%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Robert Foster for 2 yds to the Alab 23Similar
Q2 9:43
4TH & 7
OWN 23
0
90.1%
JK Scott punt for 47 yds , Nacarius Fant returns for no gain to the WKent 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 11INT TD
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:3110% → 7%
Q2 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
90.3%
Quinton Baker run for 2 yds to the WKent 32Similar
Q2 8:59
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+55
92.7%
Mike White pass intercepted for a TD Eddie Jackson return for 55 yds for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:467% → 7%
Q2 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
92.8%
Quinton Baker run for 2 yds to the WKent 27Similar
Q2 8:20
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
92.7%
Mike White pass incomplete to Taywan TaylorSimilar
Q2 8:15
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
92.9%
Mike White pass incomplete to Lucky JacksonSimilar
Q2 8:04
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
93.0%
Jake Collins punt for 41 yds, downed at the Alab 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:4693% → 93%
Q2 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-10
93.1%
ALABAMA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Alab 23Similar
Q2 7:30
1ST & 20
OWN 23
+12
93.0%
Blake Barnett pass complete to ArDarius Stewart for 12 yds to the Alab 35Similar
Q2 7:12
2ND & 8
OWN 35
0
93.0%
Blake Barnett pass incomplete to Calvin RidleySimilar
Q2 7:07
3RD & 8
OWN 35
0
92.8%
Blake Barnett pass incomplete to ArDarius StewartSimilar
Q2 7:07
4TH & 8
OWN 35
0
92.6%
JK Scott punt for 57 yds, downed at the WKent 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 3:217% → 7%
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+8
93.0%
Mike White pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 8 yds to the WKent 17Similar
Q2 6:20
2ND & 2
OWN 17
+1
92.7%
Anthony Wales run for 1 yd to the WKent 18Similar
Q2 5:37
3RD & 1
OWN 18
+10
92.8%
Mike White pass complete to Stevie Donatell for 10 yds to the WKent 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
92.6%
Anthony Wales run for 3 yds to the WKent 31Similar
Q2 4:30
2ND & 7
OWN 31
-1
92.5%
Mike White pass complete to Anthony Wales for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 30Similar
Q2 3:52
3RD & 8
OWN 30
0
92.7%
Mike White pass incomplete to Nacarius FantSimilar
Q2 3:39
4TH & 8
OWN 30
0
92.8%
Jake Collins punt for 53 yds, downed at the Alab 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 15PUNT
9 plays · 35 yds · 2:2793% → 94%
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
93.0%
Damien Harris run for no gain to the Alab 17Similar
Q2 3:10
2ND & 10
OWN 17
-5
92.9%
ALABAMA Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Alab 12Similar
Q2 2:39
2ND & 15
OWN 12
0
93.0%
Blake Barnett pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:23
3RD & 15
OWN 12
+52
92.8%
Blake Barnett pass complete to ArDarius Stewart for 52 yds to the WKent 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:01
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-14
93.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 14 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 1:23
2ND & 24
50
0
93.5%
Blake Barnett pass incomplete to Calvin RidleySimilar
Q2 1:10
3RD & 24
50
+2
93.2%
Damien Harris run for 2 yds to the WKent 48Similar
Q2 1:03
4TH & 22
OPP 48
0
93.5%
JK Scott punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Nacarius Fant at the WKent 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 16END OF HALF
8 plays · 57 yds · 1:007% → 8%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+15
93.2%
ALABAMA Penalty, Roughing Passer (Tim Williams) to the WKent 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+16
93.1%
Anthony Wales run for 16 yds to the WKent 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
93.2%
Mike White run for 4 yds to the WKent 49Similar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+10
92.6%
Mike White pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 10 yds to the Alab 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+12
92.5%
Mike White pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 12 yds to the Alab 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
92.0%
Mike White pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+47
92.2%
Skyler Simcox 47 Yard Field Goal MissedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 17PUNT
19 plays · 44 yds · 5:2393% → 94%
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
93.4%
Jalen Hurts pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:37
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+16
93.3%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Gehrig Dieter for 16 yds to the Alab 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
93.4%
Jalen Hurts run for 3 yds to the Alab 35Similar
Q3 13:52
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+11
93.4%
Damien Harris run for 11 yds to the Alab 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
93.8%
Jalen Hurts pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:03
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+9
93.7%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Damien Harris for 9 yds to the WKent 45Similar
Q3 12:48
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+4
93.5%
Jalen Hurts run for 4 yds to the WKent 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
93.8%
Damien Harris run for 3 yds to the WKent 38Similar
Q3 11:43
2ND & 7
OPP 38
0
93.8%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to ArDarius StewartSimilar
Q3 11:37
3RD & 7
OPP 38
0
93.6%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Calvin RidleySimilar
Q3 11:24
4TH & 7
OPP 38
+8
93.2%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 8 yds to the WKent 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-10
94.4%
ALABAMA Penalty, Illegal Block (ArDarius Stewart) to the WKent 40Similar
Q3 10:49
1ST & 20
OPP 40
0
94.3%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Gehrig DieterSimilar
Q3 10:40
2ND & 20
OPP 40
+5
94.2%
Jalen Hurts run for 5 yds to the WKent 35Similar
Q3 10:10
3RD & 15
OPP 35
0
94.3%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for no gain to the WKent 35Similar
Q3 9:32
4TH & 15
OPP 35
-5
93.9%
ALABAMA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the WKent 40Similar
Q3 9:25
4TH & 20
OPP 40
0
93.9%
JK Scott punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Nacarius Fant at the WKent 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 2:276% → 6%
Q3 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+2
94.0%
Anthony Wales run for 2 yds to the WKent 6Similar
Q3 8:45
2ND & 8
OWN 6
+9
94.0%
Mike White pass complete to Shaquille Johnson for 9 yds to the WKent 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
93.7%
Anthony Wales run for no gain to the WKent 15Similar
Q3 7:47
2ND & 10
OWN 15
0
93.7%
Mike White pass incomplete to Taywan TaylorSimilar
Q3 7:35
3RD & 10
OWN 15
-5
93.8%
Mike White sacked by Dalvin Tomlinson for a loss of 5 yards to the WKent 10Similar
Q3 6:48
4TH & 15
OWN 10
+13
93.9%
Jake Collins punt for 51 yds , Trevon Diggs returns for 13 yds to the WKent 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 19TD
8 plays · 48 yds · 2:4795% → 99%
Q3 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
95.0%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Damien Harris for 5 yds to the WKent 43Similar
Q3 6:07
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+6
95.1%
Jalen Hurts run for 6 yds to the WKent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+15
95.0%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 15 yds to the WKent 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:28
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+6
95.2%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Robert Foster for 6 yds to the WKent 16Similar
Q3 5:03
2ND & 4
OPP 16
+3
95.2%
Damien Harris run for 3 yds to the WKent 13Similar
Q3 4:40
3RD & 1
OPP 13
0
95.1%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to ArDarius Stewart for no gain to the WKent 13Similar
Q3 4:15
4TH & 1
OPP 13
+5
95.0%
Damien Harris run for 5 yds to the WKent 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
98.6%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to ArDarius Stewart for 8 yds for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:302% → 2%
Q3 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.2%
Tyler Ferguson pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 3 yds to the WKent 28Similar
Q3 3:07
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
98.2%
Tyler Ferguson pass incomplete to Taywan TaylorSimilar
Q3 3:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+6
98.3%
Tyler Ferguson pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 6 yds to the WKent 34Similar
Q3 2:10
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
98.4%
Jake Collins punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Trevon Diggs at the Alab 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 21TD
11 plays · 76 yds · 3:4699% → 100%
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
98.8%
ArDarius Stewart run for 1 yd to the Alab 25Similar
Q3 1:30
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+6
98.9%
Bo Scarbrough run for 6 yds to the Alab 31Similar
Q3 0:47
3RD & 3
OWN 31
+8
98.9%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 8 yds to the Alab 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
99.0%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Gehrig DieterSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+8
99.0%
Bo Scarbrough run for 8 yds to the Alab 47Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+6
99.0%
Calvin Ridley run for 6 yds to the WKent 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+40
99.1%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Gehrig Dieter for 40 yds to the WKent 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
99.2%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Gehrig DieterSimilar
Q4 13:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
99.2%
Damien Harris run for 5 yds to the WKent 2Similar
Q4 13:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
Bo Scarbrough run for 2 yds for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 22DOWNS
11 plays · 34 yds · 3:540% → 0%
Q4 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
Tyler Ferguson pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 3 yds to the WKent 28Similar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Tyler Ferguson pass incomplete to Nacarius FantSimilar
Q4 12:23
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+12
99.9%
Tyler Ferguson pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 12 yds to the WKent 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
99.9%
Tyler Ferguson pass complete to Stevie Donatell for 5 yds to the WKent 45Similar
Q4 11:23
2ND & 5
OWN 45
0
99.9%
Quinton Baker run for no gain to the WKent 45Similar
Q4 10:48
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+21
99.9%
Tyler Ferguson pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 21 yds to the Alab 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
99.9%
Quinton Baker run for 3 yds to the Alab 31Similar
Q4 9:40
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+5
99.9%
Tyler Ferguson pass complete to Stevie Donatell for 5 yds to the Alab 26Similar
Q4 9:20
3RD & 2
OPP 26
0
99.9%
Tyler Ferguson pass incomplete to Nicholas NorrisSimilar
Q4 9:11
4TH & 2
OPP 26
-15
99.9%
Tyler Ferguson sacked by Jonathan Allen and Dakota Ball for a loss of 15 yards to the Alab 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 23TD
14 plays · 59 yds · 4:44100% → 100%
Q4 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-5
99.9%
ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Alab 36Similar
Q4 9:02
1ST & 15
OWN 36
+14
99.9%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Trevon Diggs for 14 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 8:33
2ND & 1
50
0
99.9%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Derek KiefSimilar
Q4 8:33
3RD & 1
50
-4
99.9%
ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (Jonah Williams) to the Alab 46Similar
Q4 8:10
3RD & 5
OWN 46
+6
99.9%
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Hale Hentges for 6 yds to the WKent 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
99.9%
B.J. Emmons run for no gain to the WKent 48Similar
Q4 7:20
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+15
99.9%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the WKent 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:02
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
99.9%
Jalen Hurts pass incomplete to Trevon DiggsSimilar
Q4 6:44
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+5
99.9%
B.J. Emmons run for 5 yds to the WKent 28Similar
Q4 6:18
3RD & 5
OPP 28
+6
99.9%
Jalen Hurts run for 6 yds to the WKent 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
99.9%
Jalen Hurts pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:25
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+13
99.9%
B.J. Emmons run for 13 yds to the WKent 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
99.9%
B.J. Emmons run for 3 yds to the WKent 6Similar
Q4 4:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
100.0%
B.J. Emmons run for 6 yds for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:550% → 0%
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
100.0%
Marquez Trigg run for 3 yds to the WKent 27Similar
Q4 3:40
2ND & 7
OWN 27
-6
100.0%
Drew Eckels sacked by Christian Miller for a loss of 6 yards to the WKent 21Similar
Q4 3:00
3RD & 13
OWN 21
+4
100.0%
Marquez Trigg run for 4 yds to the WKent 25Similar
Q4 2:20
4TH & 9
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Jake Collins punt for 46 yds, downed at the Alab 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 25FUMBLE
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:36100% → 100%
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
100.0%
Derrick Gore run for 1 yd to the Alab 31Similar
Q4 1:34
2ND & 9
OWN 31
-5
100.0%
Robert Foster run for a loss of 5 yards to the Alab 26 Robert Foster fumbled, recovered by WKent Nick Dawson-BrentsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 26TD
3 plays · 26 yds · 0:390% → 0%
Q4 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
100.0%
Drew Eckels pass incomplete to Lucky JacksonSimilar
Q4 1:15
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+2
100.0%
Drew Eckels pass complete to Jason Johnson for 2 yds to the Alab 24Similar
Q4 0:46
3RD & 8
OPP 24
+24
100.0%
Drew Eckels pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 24 yds for a TD, (Ryan Nuss KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 27END OF GAME
3 plays · 9 yds · 0:10100% → 100%
Q4 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-5
100.0%
ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Alab 21Similar
Q4 0:31
1ST & 15
OWN 21
+14
100.0%
B.J. Emmons run for 14 yds to the Alab 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 3:48
Jalen Hurts pass complete to ArDarius Stewart for 8 yds for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK)
+3.6
TD · Q2 8:59
Mike White pass intercepted for a TD Eddie Jackson return for 55 yds for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK)
+2.4
TD · Q1 0:00
Jalen Hurts pass complete to Calvin Ridley for 4 yds for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK)
+1.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com