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UCLA

UCLA 24 at Texas A&M 31

TA&M
2016 · Week 1 · Sep 3, 2016 · Kyle Field
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Win probability · TA&M
modelTA&M aheadUCLA aheadconfidence bandkey playTA&M scoreUCLA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTFGFGTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 8:07 · Austin Kent punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Christian Kirk at the TexAM 27
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remainingDefense timeouts
+25.5+12.80−12.8−25.5Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 125Home team on offense+8.6Garbage-time factor−0.7Score differential+2.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.4Time remaining+0.0Defense timeouts+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:26: Keith Ford 7 Yd Run (Daniel LaCamera Kick) — TA&M win probability +11.0 pts (now 61%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 9:08: Trevor Knight 1 Yd Run (Daniel LaCamera Kick) — TA&M win probability +12.3 pts (now 77%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 3:53: Josh Reynolds 40 Yd pass from Trevor Knight (Daniel LaCamera Kick) — TA&M win probability +9.9 pts (now 91%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 4:19: Bolu Olorunfunmi 9 Yd Run (JJ Molson Kick) — UCLA win probability +12.2 pts (now 16%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:39: Kenneth Walker III 62 Yd pass from Josh Rosen (Josh Rosen Pass to Austin Roberts for Two-Point Conversion) — UCLA win probability +41.7 pts (now 51%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TA&M made the numbers' call on 3 of 10UCLA made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 11:38UCLA 4th & 3 at TA&M 21, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 45.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.6%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.5%−<0.1
    74% to make
    Punt
    45.1%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:56TA&M 4th & 2 at TA&M 26, down 3
    Close callPunted · 54.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.0%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:08TA&M 4th & 4 at UCLA 19, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 54.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.3%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.2%−0.1
    77% to make
    Punt
    52.8%−1.5
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:40UCLA 4th & 26 at UCLA 16, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.9%−1.5
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.4%
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:19TA&M 4th & 5 at UCLA 47, down 3
    Close callPunted · 53.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.1%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.0%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:33UCLA 4th & 3 at TA&M 3, up 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 48.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.2%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.4%−0.8
    93% to make
    Punt
    42.9%−5.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:56UCLA 4th & 6 at TA&M 6, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 42.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.8%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.1%
    91% to make
    Punt
    36.6%−5.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:55TA&M 4th & 4 at UCLA 5, down 2
    Close callKicked a field goal · 53.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.4%−0.8
    92% to make
    Punt
    44.8%−8.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:15UCLA 4th & 10 at UCLA 35, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.1%−1.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.4%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:28TA&M 4th & 3 at TA&M 22, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.0%−1.5
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:18UCLA 4th & 2 at TA&M 47, down 1
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsPunted · 42.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.0%−1.5
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:07UCLA 4th & 4 at UCLA 31, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.8%−1.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.0%
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:16UCLA 4th & 15 at UCLA 31, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.2%−4.5
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.7%
    average punt
  14. Q3 0:41UCLA 4th & 11 at UCLA 26, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.4%−1.6
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:09TA&M 4th & 1 at UCLA 40, up 15
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.7 ptsPunted · 92.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    89.8%−2.9
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    90.1%−2.7
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:18TA&M 4th & 4 at TA&M 9, up 15
    Close callPunted · 95.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.4%
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:48UCLA 4th & 1 at TA&M 32, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    3.7%−0.3
    51% to make
    Punt
    2.7%−1.2
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:42TA&M 4th & 7 at TA&M 29, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.4%−0.8
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.2%
    average punt
  19. Q4 1:18TA&M 4th & 9 at TA&M 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.7%−10.8
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.5%
    average punt
  20. Q4 0:00TA&M 4th & 10 at UCLA 40, tied
    Numbers favored field goal by 8.3 ptsWent for it · 57.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    55.3%−8.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    63.6%
    34% to make
    Punt
    56.7%−7.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TA&M made the numbers' call on 3 of 3UCLA made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q2 7:26TA&M Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 9:08TA&M Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 3:53TA&M Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 4:19UCLA Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.7%−0.8
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.5%
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 2:39UCLA Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    31.4%−0.9
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    32.3%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TA&MDrive 1FUMBLE
5 plays · 23 yds · 0:5051% → 51%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
51.1%
Trevor Knight pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:39
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+10
51.1%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Christian Kirk for 10 yds to the TexAM 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+11
51.2%
Christian Kirk run for 11 yds to the TexAM 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
51.3%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Jamal JefferySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 2FG
5 plays · 22 yds · 2:0249% → 49%
Q1 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+15
51.1%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the TexAM 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
51.1%
Soso Jamabo run for no gain to the TexAM 28Similar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+8
51.1%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Eldridge Massington for 8 yds to the TexAM 20Similar
Q1 11:55
3RD & 2
OPP 20
-1
51.2%
Soso Jamabo run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 21Similar
Q1 11:38
4TH & 3
OPP 21
+38
51.2%
JJ Molson 38 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:1451% → 51%
Q1 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-1
51.3%
James White run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 17Similar
Q1 10:50
2ND & 11
OWN 17
+3
51.3%
James White run for 3 yds to the TexAM 20Similar
Q1 10:10
3RD & 8
OWN 20
+6
51.1%
Trevor Knight run for 6 yds to the TexAM 26Similar
Q1 9:56
4TH & 2
OWN 26
0
51.0%
Shane Tripucka punt for 49 yds , Ishmael Adams returns for no gain to the UCLA 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 4INT
6 plays · 28 yds · 1:1049% → 49%
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
51.4%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Fabian Moreau for 11 yds to the UCLA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
51.3%
Soso Jamabo run for 11 yds to the UCLA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
50.9%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Austin Roberts for 6 yds to the TexAM 47Similar
Q1 8:41
2ND & 4
OPP 47
0
50.6%
Josh Rosen pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:30
3RD & 4
OPP 47
+13
51.1%
Josh Rosen pass intercepted Priest Willis return for 13 yds to the UCLA 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 5MISSED FG
9 plays · 19 yds · 2:1552% → 52%
Q1 8:23
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
52.4%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Ricky Seals-Jones for 9 yds to the UCLA 29Similar
Q1 8:11
2ND & 1
OPP 29
-5
52.7%
Keith Ford run for a loss of 5 yards to the UCLA 34Similar
Q1 7:13
3RD & 6
OPP 34
+9
52.5%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Ricky Seals-Jones for 9 yds to the UCLA 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-10
53.0%
Knight, Trevor pass incomplete to Kirk, Christian, PENALTY TEXASAM holding (Gennesy, Avery) 10 yards to the UCLA35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:39
1ST & 20
OPP 35
+11
52.5%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Josh Reynolds for 11 yds to the UCLA 24Similar
Q1 6:23
2ND & 9
OPP 24
0
53.1%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Jeremy TabuyoSimilar
Q1 6:21
3RD & 9
OPP 24
+5
52.6%
UCLA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Boss Tagaloa) to the UCLA 19Similar
Q1 6:14
3RD & 4
OPP 19
0
52.7%
Trevor Knight pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:08
4TH & 4
OPP 19
+38
52.0%
Daniel LaCamera 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 6PUNT
7 plays · -4 yds · 3:1648% → 47%
Q1 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
51.7%
Soso Jamabo run for 1 yd to the UCLA 21Similar
Q1 5:19
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+3
51.8%
Soso Jamabo run for 3 yds to the UCLA 24Similar
Q1 4:50
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+8
52.1%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Darren Andrews for 8 yds to the UCLA 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-2
51.6%
Soso Jamabo run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCLA 30Similar
Q1 3:46
2ND & 12
OWN 30
-11
51.7%
Josh Rosen sacked by Armani Watts for a loss of 11 yards to the UCLA 19Similar
Q1 2:57
3RD & 23
OWN 19
-3
52.2%
Soso Jamabo run for a loss of 3 yards to the UCLA 16Similar
Q1 2:40
4TH & 26
OWN 16
0
52.6%
Austin Kent punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Christian Kirk at the TexAM 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:5153% → 52%
Q1 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
52.7%
Trayveon Williams run for 3 yds to the UCLA 49Similar
Q1 1:54
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+2
53.0%
Trayveon Williams run for 2 yds to the UCLA 47Similar
Q1 1:30
3RD & 5
OPP 47
0
52.8%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Damion RatleySimilar
Q1 1:19
4TH & 5
OPP 47
0
52.1%
Shane Tripucka punt for 43 yds, downed at the UCLA 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 8FG
12 plays · 93 yds · 4:2748% → 54%
Q1 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+6
51.9%
Soso Jamabo run for 6 yds to the UCLA 10Similar
Q1 0:25
2ND & 4
OWN 10
+11
51.6%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Eldridge Massington for 11 yds to the UCLA 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+18
50.9%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Austin Roberts for 18 yds to the UCLA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
49.8%
Josh Rosen pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:40
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+15
50.0%
Soso Jamabo run for 15 yds to the TexAM 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
49.3%
Soso Jamabo run for 6 yds to the TexAM 40Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+3
49.2%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 3 yds to the TexAM 37Similar
Q2 12:35
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+32
49.3%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 32 yds to the TexAM 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
48.6%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Giovanni GentosiSimilar
Q2 12:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
48.6%
Soso Jamabo run for 2 yds to the TexAM 3Similar
Q2 11:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
49.2%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Kenneth Walker IIISimilar
Q2 11:33
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
46.3%
JJ Molson 20 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 9TD
12 plays · 70 yds · 3:4449% → 61%
Q2 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
48.5%
Trayveon Williams run for 4 yds to the TexAM 34Similar
Q2 10:45
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+7
49.2%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Christian Kirk for 7 yds to the TexAM 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
49.5%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Christian Kirk for 7 yds to the TexAM 48Similar
Q2 9:57
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+16
49.7%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Edward Pope for 16 yds to the UCLA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:16
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
49.9%
Keith Ford run for 4 yds to the UCLA 32Similar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+5
51.0%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Jeremy Tabuyo for 5 yds to the UCLA 27Similar
Q2 8:35
3RD & 1
OPP 27
+3
49.8%
Trevor Knight run for 3 yds to the UCLA 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
51.0%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Frank Iheanacho for 3 yds to the UCLA 21Similar
Q2 8:00
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+10
50.2%
Trayveon Williams run for 10 yds to the UCLA 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
50.0%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Christian Kirk for 4 yds to the UCLA 7Similar
Q2 7:26
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+7
61.1%
Keith Ford 7 Yd Run (Daniel LaCamera Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 10FG
8 plays · 69 yds · 2:1344% → 50%
Q2 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
56.3%
Soso Jamabo run for 13 yds to the UCLA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+27
55.2%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Eldridge Massington for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down TEXAS A&M Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the TexAM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+25
53.2%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Darren Andrews for 25 yds to the TexAM 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
53.1%
Soso Jamabo run for 2 yds to the TexAM 8Similar
Q2 5:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
53.2%
Ishmael Adams run for 2 yds to the TexAM 6Similar
Q2 5:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
54.2%
Josh Rosen pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:56
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
49.6%
JJ Molson 23 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 11FG
8 plays · 62 yds · 1:3553% → 60%
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+42
52.8%
Trayveon Williams run for 42 yds to the UCLA 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:18
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
56.9%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Christian Kirk for 8 yds to the UCLA 17Similar
Q2 4:00
2ND & 2
OPP 17
+6
56.1%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Christian Kirk for 6 yds to the UCLA 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:41
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
56.2%
Trevor Knight pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:20
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+6
56.3%
Keith Ford run for 6 yds to the UCLA 5Similar
Q2 2:59
3RD & 4
OPP 5
0
54.9%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Ricky Seals-JonesSimilar
Q2 2:55
4TH & 4
OPP 5
+23
60.4%
Daniel LaCamera 23 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 10 yds · 1:1443% → 41%
Q2 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
57.2%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Ishmael Adams for 10 yds to the UCLA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
56.8%
Josh Rosen run for 6 yds to the UCLA 41Similar
Q2 1:44
2ND & 4
OWN 41
-6
54.5%
Josh Rosen sacked by Matthew Kirchner for a loss of 6 yards to the UCLA 35Similar
Q2 1:30
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
58.2%
Josh Rosen pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:15
4TH & 10
OWN 35
0
59.1%
Austin Kent punt for 50 yds, downed at the TexAM 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:3259% → 58%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
59.2%
Trevor Knight run for 4 yds to the TexAM 19Similar
Q2 0:43
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+3
59.3%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Christian Kirk for 3 yds to the TexAM 22Similar
Q2 0:37
3RD & 3
OWN 22
0
58.7%
Keith Ford run for no gain to the TexAM 22Similar
Q2 0:28
4TH & 3
OWN 22
+11
57.7%
Shane Tripucka punt for 42 yds , Ishmael Adams returns for 11 yds to the UCLA 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 14MISSED FG
7 plays · 22 yds · 0:2045% → 46%
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
55.0%
Josh Rosen pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:15
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+13
55.5%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Kenneth Walker III for 13 yds to the TexAM 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
53.6%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:07
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+9
53.9%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Soso Jamabo for 9 yds to the TexAM 31Similar
Q2 0:02
3RD & 1
OPP 31
+48
53.6%
JJ Molson 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 15END OF HALF
1 play · 4 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
59.9%
Keith Ford run for 4 yds to the TexAM 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 28 yds · 1:3243% → 44%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
57.5%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Austin Roberts for 5 yds to the UCLA 30Similar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+15
56.8%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Kenneth Walker III for 15 yds to the UCLA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
55.2%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Austin RobertsSimilar
Q3 13:58
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
55.9%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Austin RobertsSimilar
Q3 13:39
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+8
56.9%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Darren Andrews for 8 yds to the TexAM 47Similar
Q3 13:18
4TH & 2
OPP 47
0
56.3%
Austin Kent punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Christian Kirk at the TexAM 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 17TD
13 plays · 87 yds · 4:0259% → 77%
Q3 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+33
58.8%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Ricky Seals-Jones for 33 yds to the TexAM 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+17
61.6%
Keith Ford run for 17 yds to the UCLA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
62.4%
Keith Ford run for 1 yd to the UCLA 36Similar
Q3 11:48
2ND & 9
OPP 36
+3
62.2%
Trayveon Williams run for 3 yds to the UCLA 33Similar
Q3 11:29
3RD & 6
OPP 33
+5
61.9%
UCLA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Eddie Vanderdoes) to the UCLA 28Similar
Q3 10:58
3RD & 1
OPP 28
+5
62.1%
Keith Ford run for 5 yds to the UCLA 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
63.6%
Keith Ford run for 3 yds to the UCLA 20Similar
Q3 10:15
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+16
63.7%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Josh Reynolds for 16 yds to the UCLA 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
64.0%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Ricky Seals-JonesSimilar
Q3 9:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
64.0%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Josh ReynoldsSimilar
Q3 9:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
62.7%
UCLA Penalty, Defensive Holding (Fabian Moreau) to the UCLA 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
64.2%
Keith Ford run for 1 yd to the UCLA 1Similar
Q3 9:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
76.5%
Trevor Knight 1 Yd Run (Daniel LaCamera Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:4328% → 26%
Q3 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
72.4%
Soso Jamabo run for 6 yds to the UCLA 31Similar
Q3 8:22
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
71.2%
Josh Rosen pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:17
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
72.4%
Josh Rosen pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:07
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
73.7%
Austin Kent punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Christian Kirk at the TexAM 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 19INT
2 plays · 13 yds · 0:1875% → 77%
Q3 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+13
74.8%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Christian Kirk for 13 yds to the TexAM 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
76.8%
Trevor Knight pass intercepted Adarius Pickett return for no gain to the UCLA 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 20PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:0928% → 23%
Q3 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
71.7%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Kenneth Walker III for 2 yds to the UCLA 38Similar
Q3 6:59
2ND & 8
OWN 38
0
71.5%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Nate IeseSimilar
Q3 6:39
3RD & 8
OWN 38
-7
73.9%
Josh Rosen sacked by Claude George for a loss of 7 yards to the UCLA 31Similar
Q3 6:16
4TH & 15
OWN 31
0
76.6%
Austin Kent punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Christian Kirk at the TexAM 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 21TD
6 plays · 74 yds · 2:0778% → 91%
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
77.7%
Keith Ford run for 2 yds to the TexAM 28Similar
Q3 5:29
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+20
77.9%
Keith Ford run for 20 yds to the TexAM 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
81.6%
Trevor Knight run for 5 yds to the UCLA 47Similar
Q3 4:28
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+2
82.0%
Trayveon Williams run for 2 yds to the UCLA 45Similar
Q3 4:00
3RD & 3
OPP 45
+5
81.4%
UCLA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Jacob Tuioti-Mariner) to the UCLA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+40
91.2%
Josh Reynolds 40 Yd pass from Trevor Knight (Daniel LaCamera Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 22PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 2:3413% → 9%
Q3 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-8
87.2%
Josh Rosen sacked by Myles Garrett for a loss of 8 yards to the UCLA 8Similar
Q3 2:45
2ND & 18
OWN 8
-1
88.4%
Soso Jamabo run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 7Similar
Q3 1:55
3RD & 19
OWN 7
+20
90.0%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Soso Jamabo for 5 yds to the UCLA 12 for a 1ST down TEXAS A&M Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the UCLA 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-1
89.2%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 26Similar
Q3 1:08
2ND & 11
OWN 26
0
89.8%
Josh Rosen pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:55
3RD & 11
OWN 26
0
90.1%
Josh Rosen pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:41
4TH & 11
OWN 26
+17
90.6%
Austin Kent punt for 55 yds , Christian Kirk returns for 17 yds to the TexAM 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 24 yds · 1:2393% → 92%
Q3 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
92.5%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Jeremy Tabuyo for 15 yds to the UCLA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
92.9%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Jeremy TabuyoSimilar
Q3 0:10
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+9
92.9%
Trayveon Williams run for 9 yds to the UCLA 40Similar
Q4 14:36
3RD & 1
OPP 40
0
92.7%
Keith Ford run for no gain to the UCLA 40Similar
Q4 14:09
4TH & 1
OPP 40
0
92.3%
Shane Tripucka punt for 37 yds, downed at the UCLA 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 24INT
12 plays · 77 yds · 5:209% → 7%
Q4 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+4
91.3%
Soso Jamabo run for 4 yds to the UCLA 7Similar
Q4 13:14
2ND & 6
OWN 7
+4
91.6%
Soso Jamabo run for 4 yds to the UCLA 11Similar
Q4 12:40
3RD & 2
OWN 11
+3
91.9%
Soso Jamabo run for 3 yds to the UCLA 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+7
91.9%
Soso Jamabo run for 7 yds to the UCLA 21Similar
Q4 11:30
2ND & 3
OWN 21
+12
91.9%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Kenneth Walker III for 12 yds to the UCLA 33 for a 1ST down, Josh Rosen fumbled, recovered by UCLA Josh RosenSimilar
Q4 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
92.0%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 3 yds to the UCLA 36Similar
Q4 10:42
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+11
92.1%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Jordan Lasley for 11 yds to the UCLA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
92.7%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Jordan LasleySimilar
Q4 9:47
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
93.1%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for no gain to the UCLA 47Similar
Q4 9:15
3RD & 10
OWN 47
+16
93.4%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Eldridge Massington for 16 yds to the TexAM 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+17
93.3%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Caleb Wilson for 17 yds to the TexAM 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
92.7%
Josh Rosen pass intercepted Justin Evans return for no gain to the TexAM 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:4295% → 95%
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+6
95.1%
Trayveon Williams run for 6 yds to the TexAM 9Similar
Q4 7:36
2ND & 4
OWN 9
0
95.2%
Trevor Knight pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:31
3RD & 4
OWN 9
0
95.2%
Trevor Knight pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:18
4TH & 4
OWN 9
+4
95.2%
Shane Tripucka punt for 59 yds , Ishmael Adams returns for 4 yds to the UCLA 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 26TD
7 plays · 64 yds · 2:536% → 16%
Q4 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
94.4%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Soso Jamabo for 11 yds to the UCLA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+12
94.5%
Josh Rosen run for 12 yds to the TexAM 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-7
94.8%
Josh Rosen sacked by Shaan Washington for a loss of 7 yards to the TexAM 48Similar
Q4 5:26
2ND & 17
OPP 48
+11
95.3%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Soso Jamabo for 11 yds to the TexAM 37Similar
Q4 5:14
3RD & 6
OPP 37
+5
95.1%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Soso Jamabo for 5 yds to the TexAM 32Similar
Q4 4:48
4TH & 1
OPP 32
+23
95.8%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Austin Roberts for 23 yds to the TexAM 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
83.7%
Bolu Olorunfunmi 9 Yd Run (JJ Molson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 27PUNT
8 plays · 3 yds · 0:1993% → 93%
Q4 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
92.9%
Trayveon Williams run for 2 yds to the TexAM 28Similar
Q4 4:01
2ND & 8
OWN 28
-5
94.0%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, False Start (Jermaine Eluemunor) to the TexAM 23Similar
Q4 3:56
2ND & 13
OWN 23
0
93.6%
Trevor Knight pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:50
3RD & 13
OWN 23
+6
93.4%
Trayveon Williams run for 6 yds to the TexAM 29Similar
Q4 3:42
4TH & 7
OWN 29
+1
93.3%
Shane Tripucka punt for 49 yds , Ishmael Adams returns for 1 yd to the UCLA 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 28TD
3 plays · 77 yds · 0:468% → 51%
Q4 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
92.5%
Josh Rosen pass complete to Austin Roberts for 9 yds to the UCLA 32Similar
Q4 3:05
2ND & 1
OWN 32
+6
91.3%
Soso Jamabo run for 6 yds to the UCLA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+62
49.5%
Kenneth Walker III 62 Yd pass from Josh Rosen (Josh Rosen Pass to Austin Roberts for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 29PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:0960% → 54%
Q4 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
59.8%
Trevor Knight pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:18
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+1
59.2%
Trayveon Williams run for 1 yd to the TexAM 22Similar
Q4 1:30
3RD & 9
OWN 22
0
55.5%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Ricky Seals-JonesSimilar
Q4 1:18
4TH & 9
OWN 22
+16
53.8%
Shane Tripucka punt for 52 yds , Ishmael Adams returns for 16 yds to the UCLA 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 30INT
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:2152% → 53%
Q4 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
48.0%
Josh Rosen run for 3 yds to the UCLA 45Similar
Q4 0:37
2ND & 7
OWN 45
0
47.0%
Josh Rosen pass intercepted Justin Evans return for no gain to the TexAM 47, Josh Rosen fumbled, recovered by UCLA Josh RosenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 31DOWNS
6 plays · 13 yds · 0:3064% → 59%
Q4 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
63.7%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Trayveon Williams for 5 yds to the UCLA 48Similar
Q4 0:20
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+8
65.0%
Trevor Knight run for 8 yds to the UCLA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:14
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
65.1%
Trevor Knight pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:03
3RD & 10
OPP 40
0
63.1%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Ricky Seals-JonesSimilar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 10
OPP 40
0
58.8%
Trevor Knight pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 32TD
8 plays · 25 yds · 0:0065% → 72%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+11
64.7%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Josh Reynolds for 11 yds to the UCLA 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
64.7%
Trevor Knight run for 3 yds to the UCLA 11Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+6
64.7%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Ricky Seals-Jones for 6 yds to the UCLA 5Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 5
+3
62.3%
Trayveon Williams run for 3 yds to the UCLA 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
64.7%
Trayveon Williams run for 1 yd to the UCLA 1Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
64.7%
Trayveon Williams run for no gain to the UCLA 1Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
62.3%
Trevor Knight run for no gain to the UCLA 1Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
71.8%
Trevor Knight 1 Yd Run (Daniel LaCamera Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 33Uncategorized
7 plays · 20 yds · 0:0020% → 11%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
80.4%
Soso Jamabo run for 9 yds to the TexAM 16Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 1
OPP 16
0
79.3%
Soso Jamabo run for no gain to the TexAM 16Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+9
83.8%
Bolu Olorunfunmi run for 2 yds to the TexAM 14 for a 1ST down TEXAS A&M Penalty, Personal Foul (7 Yards) to the TexAM 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
79.3%
Soso Jamabo run for no gain to the TexAM 7Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
79.3%
Soso Jamabo run for 2 yds to the TexAM 5Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
84.9%
Josh Rosen pass incomplete to Austin RobertsSimilar
OT 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
0
89.0%
Josh Rosen pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:39
Kenneth Walker III 62 Yd pass from Josh Rosen (Josh Rosen Pass to Austin Roberts for Two-Point Conversion)
-41.7
TD · Q3 9:08
Trevor Knight 1 Yd Run (Daniel LaCamera Kick)
+12.3
TD · Q4 4:19
Bolu Olorunfunmi 9 Yd Run (JJ Molson Kick)
-12.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com