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MIZ

Missouri 11 at West Virginia 26

WVU
2016 · Week 1 · Sep 3, 2016 · Milan Puskar Stadium
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Win probability · WVU
modelWVU aheadMIZ aheadconfidence bandkey playWVU scoreMIZ score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGFGTDFGFGTDEnd of GameFG+3.4WVU 97.0%Mike Molina 21 yd FG GOODAWAY 3 - HOME 23 · Q3 3:07
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 3:07 · Mike Molina 21 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+33.5+16.80−16.8−33.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 154Pregame prior+9.0Home team on offense+27.0Score differential+18.6Garbage-time factor+9.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.2Time remaining−1.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:35: Rushel Shell run for 23 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK) — WVU win probability +3.1 pts (now 80%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 9:32: Mike Molina 26 yd FG GOOD — WVU win probability +4.9 pts (now 85%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 7:02: Tucker McCann 24 yd FG GOOD — MIZ win probability +3.3 pts (now 21%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 12:34: Justin Crawford run for 1 yd for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK) — WVU win probability +7.0 pts (now 90%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 3:07: Mike Molina 21 yd FG GOOD — WVU win probability +3.4 pts (now 97%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WVU made the numbers' call on 4 of 9MIZ made the numbers' call on 10 of 14
  1. Q1 15:00MIZ 4th & 6 at MIZ 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.5%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 14:12WVU 4th & 2 at MIZ 46, tied
    Close callPunted · 78.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    78.1%−0.2
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    78.3%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 12:25MIZ 4th & 5 at MIZ 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:41WVU 4th & 2 at MIZ 2, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 76.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.0%−0.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    74.8%−1.5
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:36MIZ 4th & 13 at MIZ 42, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.5%−0.5
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.0%
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:28MIZ 4th & 10 at MIZ 35, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.4%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 15:00WVU 4th & 6 at WVU 19, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.0%−0.4
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:32WVU 4th & 8 at MIZ 9, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 79.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.8%−0.4
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.2%
    89% to make
    Punt
    74.7%−4.6
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:02MIZ 4th & 5 at WVU 7, down 13
    Close callKicked a field goal · 16.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.5%
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    16.5%−0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    13.0%−3.5
    average punt
  10. Q2 6:56WVU 4th & 3 at WVU 49, up 10
    Close callPunted · 80.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.6%−0.7
    average punt
  11. Q2 3:52MIZ 4th & 6 at WVU 37, down 10
    Close callPunted · 19.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    19.2%−0.5
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    18.9%−0.8
    average punt
  12. Q2 1:00MIZ 4th & 7 at WVU 7, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 19.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.6%−0.7
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.3%
    91% to make
    Punt
    14.5%−4.8
    average punt
  13. Q3 12:27MIZ 4th & 7 at MIZ 48, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.3%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.6%
    average punt
  14. Q3 9:19MIZ 4th & 3 at MIZ 24, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.0%−0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.1%
    average punt
  15. Q3 3:07WVU 4th & 5 at MIZ 5, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.0%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.0%
    92% to make
    Punt
    90.0%−4.1
    average punt
  16. Q3 1:49MIZ 4th & 8 at MIZ 39, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.6%
    average punt
  17. Q3 1:37WVU 4th & 1 at WVU 29, up 20
    Close callPunted · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.4%−0.8
    average punt
  18. Q4 15:00MIZ 4th & 1 at WVU 36, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    0.9%−1.2
    42% to make
    Punt
    0.7%−1.4
    average punt
  19. Q4 10:47MIZ 4th & 15 at WVU 25, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.7
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.6%
    66% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−1.5
    average punt
  20. Q4 7:26WVU 4th & 12 at MIZ 15, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.4%−0.3
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.7%
    83% to make
    Punt
    97.3%−1.4
    average punt
  21. Q4 5:34MIZ 4th & 8 at WVU 49, down 23
    Close callWent for it · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.7%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.7%
    average punt
  22. Q4 5:21WVU 4th & 6 at MIZ 47, up 23
    Close callPunted · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  23. Q4 1:46MIZ 4th & 6 at WVU 6, down 15
    Close callWent for it · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.7%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    2.9%
    91% to make
    Punt
    1.6%−1.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WVU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2MIZ made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q1 1:35WVU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 12:34WVU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 1:49MIZ Touchdown, down 17 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    1.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    1.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MIZDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
78.3%
Drew Lock pass complete to J'Mon Moore for 2 yds to the Misso 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
78.3%
Ish Witter run for 2 yds to the Misso 29Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
78.3%
Drew Lock pass incomplete MISSOURI Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
78.3%
Corey Fatony punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WVirg 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 33 yds · 0:0078% → 78%
Q1 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
78.1%
Rushel Shell run for 5 yds to the WVirg 26Similar
Q1 14:12
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+20
78.1%
Skyler Howard run for 20 yds to the WVirg 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
78.1%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 9 yds to the Misso 45Similar
Q1 14:12
2ND & 1
OPP 45
-1
78.2%
Rushel Shell run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 46Similar
Q1 14:12
3RD & 2
OPP 46
0
78.1%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Jovon DuranteSimilar
Q1 14:12
4TH & 2
OPP 46
0
78.1%
Billy Kinney punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q1 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
77.6%
Drew Lock pass complete to Johnathon Johnson for 6 yds to the Misso 26Similar
Q1 12:25
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+3
77.6%
Drew Lock pass complete to J'Mon Moore for 3 yds to the Misso 29Similar
Q1 12:25
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+3
77.6%
Alex Ross run for 3 yds to the Misso 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
77.6%
Drew Lock pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:25
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+1
77.6%
Drew Lock run for 1 yd to the Misso 33Similar
Q1 12:25
3RD & 9
OWN 33
+4
77.7%
Alex Ross run for 4 yds to the Misso 37Similar
Q1 12:25
4TH & 5
OWN 37
0
77.7%
Corey Fatony punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WVirg 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 4FG
11 plays · 60 yds · 4:5977% → 77%
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
77.4%
Rushel Shell run for 2 yds to the WVirg 40Similar
Q1 10:40
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+3
77.4%
Rushel Shell run for 3 yds to the WVirg 43Similar
Q1 10:40
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+19
77.4%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 19 yds to the Misso 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
77.6%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Shelton Gibson for 7 yds to the Misso 31Similar
Q1 10:40
2ND & 3
OPP 31
+6
77.7%
Rushel Shell run for 6 yds to the Misso 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
77.7%
Rushel Shell run for 1 yd to the Misso 24Similar
Q1 10:40
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+14
77.7%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 14 yds to the Misso 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
77.7%
Justin Crawford run for 4 yds to the Misso 6Similar
Q1 10:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
77.7%
Skyler Howard run for 4 yds to the Misso 2Similar
Q1 10:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
77.6%
Skyler Howard run for no gain to the Misso 2Similar
Q1 5:41
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+19
76.8%
Mike Molina 19 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q1 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+21
76.7%
Marvin Zanders run for 21 yds to the Misso 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-3
76.2%
Marvin Zanders run for 7 yds to the WESTVIR 48 MISSOURI Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Misso 42Similar
Q1 5:36
1ST & 13
OWN 42
0
76.4%
Marvin Zanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:36
2ND & 13
OWN 42
+5
76.5%
Ish Witter run for 5 yds to the Misso 47Similar
Q1 5:36
3RD & 8
OWN 47
0
76.3%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Johnathon JohnsonSimilar
Q1 5:36
4TH & 8
OWN 47
-5
76.8%
MISSOURI Penalty, false start (Anthony Hines) to the Misso 42Similar
Q1 5:36
4TH & 13
OWN 42
0
77.0%
Corey Fatony punt for 46 yds , Gary Jennings returns for no gain to the WVirg 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 6TD
10 plays · 88 yds · 2:5076% → 80%
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
76.2%
Justin Crawford run for 4 yds to the WVirg 16Similar
Q1 4:25
2ND & 6
OWN 16
+6
76.2%
Skyler Howard run for 6 yds to the WVirg 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
76.2%
Justin Crawford run for 8 yds to the WVirg 30Similar
Q1 4:25
2ND & 2
OWN 30
0
76.7%
Skyler Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:25
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+4
76.1%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Justin Crawford for 4 yds to the WVirg 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+29
76.3%
Justin Crawford run for 29 yds to the Misso 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-1
77.1%
Justin Crawford run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 38Similar
Q1 4:25
2ND & 11
OPP 38
0
77.0%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Ka'Raun WhiteSimilar
Q1 4:25
3RD & 11
OPP 38
+15
76.6%
MISSOURI Penalty, Defensive pass interference (John Gibson) to the Misso 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
79.7%
Rushel Shell run for 23 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q1 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+12
78.9%
Drew Lock run for 12 yds to the Misso 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
78.7%
Alex Ross run for no gain to the Misso 35Similar
Q1 1:28
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
78.8%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to J'Mon MooreSimilar
Q1 1:28
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
79.2%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to J'Mon Moore MISSOURI Penalty, Offensive pass interference ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 1:28
4TH & 10
OWN 35
+49
79.4%
Corey Fatony punt for 49 yds , Gary Jennings returns for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:4179% → 78%
Q1 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-5
78.9%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Justin Crawford for a loss of 5 yards to the WVirg 10Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 10
-1
78.8%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Justin Crawford for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 9Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 16
OWN 9
+10
78.4%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Justin Crawford for 10 yds to the WVirg 19Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 19
+2
78.1%
Billy Kinney punt for 53 yds , Johnathon Johnson returns for 2 yds to the Misso 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 9FUMBLE
4 plays · 46 yds · 0:0021% → 22%
Q2 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+25
79.1%
Drew Lock pass complete to Chris Black for 25 yds to the WVirg 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:47
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
78.3%
Damarea Crockett run for 1 yd to the WVirg 44Similar
Q2 13:47
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+17
78.3%
Drew Lock pass complete to J'Mon Moore for 17 yds to the WVirg 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:47
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
77.6%
Damarea Crockett run for 1 yd to the WVirg 24 Damarea Crockett fumbled, forced by Adam Shuler, recovered by WVirg Christian BrownSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 10FG
11 plays · 67 yds · 3:2579% → 85%
Q2 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
79.1%
Rushel Shell run for 2 yds to the WVirg 26Similar
Q2 12:57
2ND & 8
OWN 26
0
79.1%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Ka'Raun White, broken up by Logan CheadleSimilar
Q2 12:57
3RD & 8
OWN 26
+10
78.6%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 10 yds to the WVirg 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
79.4%
Rushel Shell run for 5 yds to the WVirg 41Similar
Q2 12:57
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+29
79.8%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 29 yds to the Misso 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:57
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
80.0%
Skyler Howard run for 4 yds to the Misso 26Similar
Q2 12:57
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+15
80.0%
MISSOURI Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Aarion Penton) to the Misso 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:57
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
80.0%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Daikiel ShortsSimilar
Q2 12:57
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+1
80.0%
Skyler Howard run for 1 yd to the Misso 10Similar
Q2 12:57
3RD & 9
OPP 10
+1
79.6%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Justin Crawford for 1 yd to the Misso 9Similar
Q2 9:32
4TH & 8
OPP 9
+26
84.5%
Mike Molina 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 11FG
12 plays · 68 yds · 2:3017% → 21%
Q2 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
82.9%
Ish Witter run for 1 yd to the Misso 26Similar
Q2 9:32
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
83.0%
Drew Lock run for 6 yds to the Misso 32Similar
Q2 9:32
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+42
82.7%
Drew Lock pass complete to J'Mon Moore for 42 yds to the WVirg 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:32
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+7
81.3%
Drew Lock pass complete to J'Mon Moore for 7 yds to the WVirg 19Similar
Q2 9:32
2ND & 3
OPP 19
+7
81.3%
Ish Witter run for 7 yds to the WVirg 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:32
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
81.3%
Ish Witter run for 2 yds to the WVirg 10Similar
Q2 9:32
2ND & 8
OPP 10
0
81.3%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to J'Mon MooreSimilar
Q2 7:47
3RD & 8
OPP 10
-5
81.3%
MISSOURI Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WVirg 15Similar
Q2 7:47
3RD & 13
OPP 15
+8
82.0%
Drew Lock pass complete to J'Mon Moore for 8 yds to the WVirg 7Similar
Q2 7:02
4TH & 5
OPP 7
+24
78.7%
Tucker McCann 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0080% → 79%
Q2 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-4
80.4%
Rushel Shell run for a loss of 4 yards to the WVirg 38Similar
Q2 6:56
2ND & 14
OWN 38
0
79.6%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Jovon DuranteSimilar
Q2 6:56
3RD & 14
OWN 38
+11
79.0%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Shelton Gibson for 11 yds to the WVirg 49Similar
Q2 6:56
4TH & 3
OWN 49
0
79.2%
Billy Kinney punt for 38 yds, downed at the Misso 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 13PUNT
12 plays · 50 yds · 1:4820% → 21%
Q2 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+14
79.8%
Drew Lock pass complete to Sean Culkin for 14 yds to the Misso 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
79.4%
Drew Lock run for no gain to the Misso 27Similar
Q2 5:40
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
79.9%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to J'Mon MooreSimilar
Q2 5:40
3RD & 10
OWN 27
+13
80.4%
Drew Lock pass complete to Sean Culkin for 13 yds to the Misso 40 for a 1ST down WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
78.7%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to J'Mon MooreSimilar
Q2 5:40
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+4
79.0%
Ish Witter run for 4 yds to the Misso 44Similar
Q2 5:40
3RD & 6
OWN 44
+15
78.9%
Drew Lock pass complete to Chris Black for 15 yds to the WVirg 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
78.0%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to J'Mon MooreSimilar
Q2 3:52
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+3
78.1%
Marvin Zanders run for 3 yds to the WVirg 38Similar
Q2 3:52
3RD & 7
OPP 38
+1
78.3%
Marvin Zanders run for 1 yd to the WVirg 37Similar
Q2 3:52
4TH & 6
OPP 37
0
79.1%
Corey Fatony punt for 26 yds, downed at the WVirg 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 14FUMBLE
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:4880% → 80%
Q2 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
80.2%
Skyler Howard run for no gain to the WVirg 11Similar
Q2 2:58
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+3
80.0%
Justin Crawford run for 3 yds to the WVirg 14Similar
Q2 2:10
3RD & 7
OWN 14
-7
80.0%
William Crest run for a loss of 7 yards to the WVirg 7 William Crest fumbled, recovered by Misso Marcell FrazierSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 15MISSED FG
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:0322% → 20%
Q2 2:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
78.3%
Drew Lock run for no gain to the WVirg 7Similar
Q2 2:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
78.3%
Alex Ross run for no gain to the WVirg 7Similar
Q2 2:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
79.1%
Drew Lock pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
80.2%
Tucker McCann 24 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 16INT
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
81.1%
Rushel Shell run for 7 yds to the WVirg 27Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 3
OWN 27
-4
81.4%
Chris Chugunov pass intercepted Anthony Sherrils return for a loss of 4 yards to the Misso 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 17END OF HALF
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:0719% → 19%
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
80.6%
Drew Lock run for 6 yds to the Misso 43Similar
Q2 0:02
2ND & 4
OWN 43
0
81.1%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to J'Mon Moore, broken up by Toyous AverySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 18TD
9 plays · 70 yds · 2:1982% → 90%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+20
82.2%
Rushel Shell run for 20 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
50
+4
83.2%
Rushel Shell run for 4 yds to the Misso 46Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+12
83.2%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Rushel Shell for 22 yds to the Misso 24 for a 1ST down WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive holding (Gary Jennings) to the Misso 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
83.4%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Shelton GibsonSimilar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+24
83.4%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 24 yds to the Misso 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+9
83.4%
Justin Crawford run for 9 yds to the Misso 1Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
83.4%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Daikiel ShortsSimilar
Q3 12:34
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
90.4%
Justin Crawford run for 1 yd for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:0011% → 10%
Q3 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
89.5%
Alex Ross run for 3 yds to the Misso 35Similar
Q3 12:27
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+10
89.5%
Alex Ross run for 10 yds to the Misso 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
89.3%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Emanuel Hall, broken up by Rasul DouglasSimilar
Q3 12:27
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+3
89.6%
Drew Lock pass complete to Alex Ross for 3 yds to the Misso 48Similar
Q3 12:27
3RD & 7
OWN 48
0
89.5%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Johnathon JohnsonSimilar
Q3 12:27
4TH & 7
OWN 48
0
89.8%
Corey Fatony punt for 21 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WVirg 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 20INT
6 plays · 29 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q3 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
90.6%
Rushel Shell run for 9 yds to the WVirg 40Similar
Q3 11:18
2ND & 1
OWN 40
0
91.1%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Jovon DuranteSimilar
Q3 11:18
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+5
90.7%
Justin Crawford run for 5 yds to the WVirg 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+13
91.1%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 13 yds to the Misso 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:18
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
91.2%
Justin Crawford run for 2 yds to the Misso 40Similar
Q3 11:18
2ND & 8
OPP 40
0
91.2%
Skyler Howard pass intercepted Aarion Penton return for no gain to the Misso 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q3 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 5
-2
91.4%
Alex Ross run for a loss of 2 yards to the Misso 3Similar
Q3 9:19
2ND & 12
OPP 0
+15
89.2%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass (Alex Ross) to the Misso 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
91.0%
Alex Ross run for 3 yds to the Misso 20Similar
Q3 9:19
2ND & 7
OWN 20
+4
91.1%
Alex Ross run for 4 yds to the Misso 24Similar
Q3 9:19
3RD & 3
OWN 24
0
90.9%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Jason ReeseSimilar
Q3 9:19
4TH & 3
OWN 24
0
91.3%
Corey Fatony punt for 48 yds , Gary Jennings returns for no gain to the WVirg 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 22FG
12 plays · 67 yds · 4:4193% → 97%
Q3 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
93.3%
Justin Crawford run for 5 yds to the WVirg 33Similar
Q3 7:48
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+11
93.3%
Elijah Wellman run for 11 yds to the WVirg 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+25
93.6%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 25 yds to the Misso 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:48
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
93.7%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Shelton Gibson for no gain to the Misso 31Similar
Q3 7:48
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+6
93.6%
Elijah Wellman run for 6 yds to the Misso 25Similar
Q3 7:48
3RD & 4
OPP 25
+7
93.6%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 7 yds to the Misso 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:48
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
93.7%
Elijah Wellman run for 5 yds to the Misso 13Similar
Q3 7:48
2ND & 5
OPP 13
+6
93.7%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Shelton Gibson for 6 yds to the Misso 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-6
93.7%
Justin Crawford run for a loss of 6 yards to the Misso 13Similar
Q3 7:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
+10
93.7%
Justin Crawford run for 10 yds to the Misso 3Similar
Q3 7:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
93.5%
Justin Crawford run for a loss of 2 yards to the Misso 5Similar
Q3 3:07
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+21
97.0%
Mike Molina 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 23PUNT
9 plays · 14 yds · 1:183% → 2%
Q3 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.2%
Drew Lock pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:07
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
97.2%
Ish Witter run for 5 yds to the Misso 30Similar
Q3 3:07
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+7
97.1%
Drew Lock pass complete to Dimetrios Mason for 7 yds to the Misso 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
97.1%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to J'Mon MooreSimilar
Q3 3:07
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+2
97.1%
Ish Witter run for 2 yds to the Misso 39Similar
Q3 3:07
3RD & 8
OWN 39
0
97.1%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Dimetrios MasonSimilar
Q3 1:49
4TH & 8
OWN 39
+8
97.7%
Corey Fatony punt for 49 yds , Gary Jennings returns for 8 yds to the WVirg 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q3 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
97.4%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Ka'Raun WhiteSimilar
Q3 1:37
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+5
97.4%
Justin Crawford run for 5 yds to the WVirg 25Similar
Q3 1:37
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+4
97.4%
Justin Crawford run for 4 yds to the WVirg 29Similar
Q3 1:37
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
97.2%
Billy Kinney punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Johnathon Johnson at the Misso 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 25MISSED FG
15 plays · 47 yds · 4:372% → 1%
Q3 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
97.9%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to J'Mon MooreSimilar
Q3 0:24
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+1
98.0%
Drew Lock pass complete to Emanuel Hall for 1 yd to the Misso 29Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 29
+11
98.2%
Drew Lock run for 11 yds to the Misso 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-2
98.0%
Marvin Zanders run for a loss of 2 yards to the Misso 38Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 38
+9
98.1%
Marvin Zanders run for 9 yds to the Misso 47Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+8
98.0%
Marvin Zanders run for 8 yds to the WVirg 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
98.0%
Marvin Zanders pass complete to Keyon Dilosa for 2 yds to the WVirg 43Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+5
98.0%
Alex Ross run for 5 yds to the WVirg 38Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 38
+2
97.9%
Alex Ross run for 2 yds to the WVirg 36Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 36
+1
98.0%
Josh Augusta run for 1 yd to the WVirg 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+15
97.8%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Maurice Fleming) to the WVirg 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
97.7%
Ish Witter run for 4 yds to the WVirg 16Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 16
0
97.7%
Ish Witter run for no gain to the WVirg 16Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 16
-9
97.9%
Drew Lock sacked by Justin Arndt for a loss of 9 yards to the WVirg 25Similar
Q4 10:47
4TH & 15
OPP 25
+42
98.9%
Tucker McCann 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 26FG
10 plays · 60 yds · 3:2199% → 99%
Q4 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
98.9%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 13 yds to the WVirg 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
99.0%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Shelton Gibson for 9 yds to the WVirg 47Similar
Q4 10:47
2ND & 1
OWN 47
+14
99.0%
Justin Crawford run for 14 yds to the Misso 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
99.0%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Shelton Gibson for 6 yds to the Misso 33Similar
Q4 10:47
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+20
99.0%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Devonte Mathis for 20 yds to the Misso 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
99.0%
Justin Crawford run for 3 yds to the Misso 10Similar
Q4 10:47
2ND & 7
OPP 10
-5
99.0%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, delay of game (Skyler Howard) to the Misso 15Similar
Q4 10:47
2ND & 12
OPP 15
0
99.0%
Justin Crawford run for no gain to the Misso 15Similar
Q4 10:47
3RD & 12
OPP 15
0
99.0%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Ka'Raun WhiteSimilar
Q4 7:26
4TH & 12
OPP 15
+33
99.2%
Mike Molina 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 27DOWNS
11 plays · 26 yds · 1:521% → 1%
Q4 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.2%
Drew Lock pass complete to Ray Wingo for 1 yd to the Misso 26Similar
Q4 7:26
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+8
99.2%
Drew Lock pass complete to J'Mon Moore for 8 yds to the Misso 34Similar
Q4 7:26
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
99.1%
Alex Ross run for 3 yds to the Misso 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
99.1%
Drew Lock pass complete to Emanuel Hall for 7 yds to the Misso 44Similar
Q4 7:26
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+5
99.1%
Alex Ross run for 5 yds to the Misso 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
99.1%
Drew Lock run for 2 yds to the WVirg 49Similar
Q4 7:26
2ND & 8
OPP 49
0
99.1%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to J'Mon MooreSimilar
Q4 5:34
3RD & 8
OPP 49
0
99.3%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Sean CulkinSimilar
Q4 5:34
4TH & 8
OPP 49
0
99.3%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Chris BlackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 28PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
99.6%
Justin Crawford run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 5:21
2ND & 9
50
+3
99.6%
Justin Crawford run for 3 yds to the Misso 47Similar
Q4 5:21
3RD & 6
OPP 47
0
99.6%
Chris Chugunov pass incomplete to Daikiel ShortsSimilar
Q4 5:21
4TH & 6
OPP 47
0
99.6%
Billy Kinney punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 29TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 2:011% → 3%
Q4 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
99.4%
Alex Ross run for 4 yds to the Misso 24Similar
Q4 3:50
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+7
99.4%
Alex Ross run for 7 yds to the Misso 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
99.4%
Alex Ross run for 8 yds to the Misso 39Similar
Q4 3:50
2ND & 2
OWN 39
+4
99.4%
Alex Ross run for 4 yds to the Misso 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+17
99.4%
Drew Lock pass complete to J'Mon Moore for 17 yds to the WVirg 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
99.4%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Dimetrios Mason, broken up by Nana KyeremehSimilar
Q4 3:50
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+8
99.4%
Drew Lock pass complete to Chris Black for 8 yds to the WVirg 32Similar
Q4 3:50
3RD & 2
OPP 32
+4
99.3%
Alex Ross run for 4 yds to the WVirg 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+20
99.3%
Drew Lock pass complete to Chris Black for 20 yds to the WVirg 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
96.7%
Drew Lock pass complete to Chris Black for 8 yds for a TD, (Drew Lock pass to J'Mon Moore for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 30DOWNS
9 plays · 48 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+26
97.5%
Drew Lock pass complete to Chris Black for 26 yds to the WVirg 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:46
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
96.8%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to J'Mon MooreSimilar
Q4 1:46
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
97.0%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to J'Mon MooreSimilar
Q4 1:46
3RD & 10
OPP 28
+22
97.2%
Drew Lock pass complete to Dominic Collins for 22 yds to the WVirg 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
96.8%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to Sean Culkin, broken up by Jeremy TylerSimilar
Q4 1:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
96.8%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to J'Mon MooreSimilar
Q4 1:46
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
96.9%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to J'Mon MooreSimilar
Q4 1:46
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
0
97.1%
Drew Lock pass incomplete to J'Mon Moore, broken up by Antonio CrawfordSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 31END OF GAME
2 plays · 8 yds · 0:0098% → 99%
Q4 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+6
98.4%
Rushel Shell run for 6 yds to the WVirg 12Similar
Q4 0:59
2ND & 4
OWN 12
+2
98.5%
Rushel Shell run for 2 yds to the WVirg 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 12:34
Justin Crawford run for 1 yd for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK)
+7
FG · Q2 9:32
Mike Molina 26 yd FG GOOD
+4.9
FG · Q3 3:07
Mike Molina 21 yd FG GOOD
+3.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com