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LSU

LSU 14 at Wisconsin 16

WIS
2016 · Week 1 · Sep 3, 2016 · Lambeau Field
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Win probability · WIS
modelWIS aheadLSU aheadconfidence bandkey playWIS scoreLSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 6:58 · Josh Growden punt for 30 yds, downed at the Wisc 4
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+31.0+15.50−15.5−31.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 100Pregame prior−13.1Home team on offense+13.9Score differential+6.2Garbage-time factor+2.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.5Blowout margin+1.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 10:55: Corey Clement 5 Yd Run (Rafael Gaglianone Kick) — WIS win probability +15.8 pts (now 71%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 5:28: Bart Houston pass intercepted for a TD Tre'Davious White return for 21 yds for a TD, (Colby Delahoussaye KICK) — LSU win probability +20.2 pts (now 42%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 4:21: Brandon Harris pass complete to Travin Dural for 10 yds for a TD, (Colby Delahoussaye KICK) — LSU win probability +23.5 pts (now 67%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 3:47: Rafael Gaglianone 47 yd FG GOOD — WIS win probability +20.7 pts (now 76%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:57: LSU Penalty, Personal Foul (Josh Boutte) to the Wisc 47 for a 1ST down — WIS win probability +20.3 pts (now 87%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WIS made the numbers' call on 8 of 8LSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 10:28WIS 4th & 6 at WIS 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:57LSU 4th & 3 at LSU 37, tied
    Close callPunted · 69.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:46WIS 4th & 1 at LSU 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    32.1%−0.4
    70% to make
    Punt
    30.9%−1.6
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:24LSU 4th & 10 at LSU 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.1%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:06LSU 4th & 16 at WIS 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.8%−0.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:33WIS 4th & 17 at WIS 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.5%−1.7
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:13WIS 4th & 11 at LSU 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 41.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.7%−1.0
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.7%
    86% to make
    Punt
    35.6%−5.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:49LSU 4th & 1 at LSU 45, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 56.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    57.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    55.0%−2.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:54WIS 4th & 7 at LSU 30, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 46.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.8%−0.7
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.5%
    56% to make
    Punt
    44.1%−2.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:51LSU 4th & 2 at LSU 33, down 6
    Close callPunted · 46.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.1%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:58LSU 4th & 12 at WIS 34, down 13
    Close callPunted · 23.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.4%−0.8
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    23.2%
    47% to make
    PuntTheir call
    22.4%−0.8
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:55WIS 4th & 11 at WIS 49, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.2%−2.0
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:06LSU 4th & 6 at LSU 28, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.3%−1.7
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.0%
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:06WIS 4th & 14 at WIS 47, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.4%−3.9
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.4%
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:14LSU 4th & 5 at LSU 36, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.3%−1.7
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:47WIS 4th & 6 at LSU 29, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 49.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.6%−6.8
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.4%
    58% to make
    Punt
    33.1%−19.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WIS made the numbers' call on 1 of 1LSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q3 10:55WIS Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 5:28LSU Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 4:21LSU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WISDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 29 yds · 4:1519% → 21%
Q1 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+7
19.2%
Corey Clement run for 7 yds to the Wisc 26Similar
Q1 14:15
2ND & 3
OWN 26
+3
19.4%
Corey Clement run for 3 yds to the Wisc 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
19.7%
Corey Clement run for 3 yds to the Wisc 32Similar
Q1 12:55
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+12
20.1%
Bart Houston pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 12 yds to the Wisc 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
20.6%
Dare Ogunbowale run for no gain to the Wisc 44Similar
Q1 11:45
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+6
20.8%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 11:00
3RD & 4
50
-2
21.3%
Bart Houston sacked by Arden Key for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 48Similar
Q1 10:28
4TH & 6
OWN 48
0
21.3%
P.J. Rosowski punt for 22 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LSU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:1979% → 78%
Q1 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
21.3%
Leonard Fournette run for 3 yds to the LSU 33Similar
Q1 9:59
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+4
21.4%
Leonard Fournette run for 4 yds to the LSU 37Similar
Q1 9:31
3RD & 3
OWN 37
0
21.6%
Brandon Harris run for no gain to the LSU 37Similar
Q1 8:57
4TH & 3
OWN 37
0
22.1%
Josh Growden punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wisc 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 3DOWNS
6 plays · 36 yds · 3:0422% → 24%
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
22.4%
Corey Clement run for 7 yds to the Wisc 47Similar
Q1 8:20
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+21
22.9%
Bart Houston pass complete to Robert Wheelwright for 21 yds to the LSU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
23.5%
Austin Ramesh run for 3 yds to the LSU 29Similar
Q1 7:01
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+2
23.9%
Bart Houston pass complete to Eric Steffes for 2 yds to the LSU 27Similar
Q1 6:20
3RD & 5
OPP 27
+4
24.1%
Bart Houston run for 4 yds to the LSU 23Similar
Q1 5:46
4TH & 1
OPP 23
-1
24.1%
Corey Clement run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:1876% → 76%
Q1 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
23.7%
Brandon Harris pass incomplete to Malachi DupreSimilar
Q1 5:38
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
23.7%
Brandon Harris pass incomplete to Malachi DupreSimilar
Q1 5:34
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
24.0%
Brandon Harris pass incomplete to Malachi DupreSimilar
Q1 5:24
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
24.4%
Josh Growden punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Jazz Peavy at the Wisc 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 5INT
15 plays · 51 yds · 6:2424% → 29%
Q1 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
24.1%
Bart Houston pass incomplete to Robert WheelwrightSimilar
Q1 5:04
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+4
24.2%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 4 yds to the Wisc 38Similar
Q1 4:31
3RD & 6
OWN 38
+13
24.5%
Bart Houston pass complete to Robert Wheelwright for 13 yds to the LSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
25.6%
Corey Clement run for 2 yds to the LSU 47Similar
Q1 3:31
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+7
26.0%
Bart Houston pass complete to George Rushing for 7 yds to the LSU 40Similar
Q1 2:54
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+5
26.3%
Corey Clement run for 5 yds to the LSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:24
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
27.1%
LSU Penalty, Defensive Offside (Travonte Valentine) to the LSU 30Similar
Q1 2:03
1ST & 5
OPP 30
0
27.4%
Bart Houston pass incomplete to Jazz PeavySimilar
Q1 1:58
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+8
27.4%
Bart Houston pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 8 yds to the LSU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
27.7%
Taiwan Deal run for 2 yds to the LSU 20Similar
Q1 1:00
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+9
28.1%
Bart Houston run for 9 yds to the LSU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
28.9%
Corey Clement run for 4 yds to the LSU 7Similar
Q2 14:48
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+2
29.0%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 2 yds to the LSU 5Similar
Q2 14:22
3RD & 4
OPP 5
-5
28.8%
WISCONSIN Penalty, False Start (Ryan Ramczyk) to the LSU 10Similar
Q2 13:55
3RD & 9
OPP 10
0
29.2%
Bart Houston pass intercepted, touchback. Rickey Jefferson return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 33 yds · 2:4373% → 71%
Q2 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
27.0%
Harris, Brandon pass incomplete to Dural, Travin, PENALTY WISCONSIN holding (Tindal, Derrick) 10 yards to the LSU30, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN LSU.Similar
Q2 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
26.9%
Leonard Fournette run for 5 yds to the LSU 35Similar
Q2 13:38
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+9
26.5%
Leonard Fournette run for 9 yds to the LSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+15
26.2%
Brandon Harris pass complete to Travin Dural for 15 yds to the Wisc 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
26.1%
Leonard Fournette run for 1 yd to the Wisc 40Similar
Q2 12:20
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+2
26.4%
Leonard Fournette run for 2 yds to the Wisc 38Similar
Q2 11:15
3RD & 7
OPP 38
-9
27.1%
Brandon Harris sacked by Alec James for a loss of 9 yards to the Wisc 47Similar
Q2 11:06
4TH & 16
OPP 47
0
29.1%
Josh Growden punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jazz Peavy at the Wisc 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 5 yds · 2:2530% → 30%
Q2 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+12
29.6%
Bart Houston pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 12 yds to the Wisc 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
30.1%
Corey Clement run for 4 yds to the Wisc 27Similar
Q2 9:50
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+4
30.8%
Bart Houston pass complete to Jazz Peavy for 4 yds to the Wisc 31Similar
Q2 9:06
3RD & 2
OWN 31
-15
30.5%
Houston, Bart rush for 7 yards to the WISCONSIN38, PENALTY WISCONSIN personal foul (Maxwell, Jacob) 15 yards to the WISCONSIN16, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:45
3RD & 17
OWN 16
0
29.9%
Bart Houston pass incomplete to Jazz PeavySimilar
Q2 8:33
4TH & 17
OWN 16
+3
29.5%
P.J. Rosowski punt for 51 yds , Tre'Davious White returns for 3 yds to the LSU 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 8FUMBLE
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q2 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
28.7%
Derrius Guice run for no gain to the LSU 36 Derrius Guice fumbled, forced by Leo Musso, recovered by Wisc Conor SheehySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 9FG
10 plays · 24 yds · 4:0534% → 38%
Q2 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
33.6%
Bart Houston pass incomplete to Troy FumagalliSimilar
Q2 8:05
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+4
33.6%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 4 yds to the LSU 32Similar
Q2 8:00
3RD & 6
OPP 32
+10
33.4%
Bart Houston pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 10 yds to the LSU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
34.8%
Corey Clement run for 4 yds to the LSU 18Similar
Q2 6:22
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+7
35.3%
Austin Ramesh run for 7 yds to the LSU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:43
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
35.9%
Corey Clement run for 5 yds to the LSU 6Similar
Q2 4:56
2ND & 5
OPP 6
-6
36.5%
Bart Houston run for a loss of 6 yards to the LSU 12Similar
Q2 4:17
3RD & 11
OPP 12
0
35.9%
Bart Houston pass incomplete to Robert WheelwrightSimilar
Q2 4:13
4TH & 11
OPP 12
+30
37.6%
Rafael Gaglianone 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 10DOWNS
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:1464% → 63%
Q2 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
35.8%
Brandon Harris pass complete to Travin Dural for 11 yds to the LSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
35.1%
Leonard Fournette run for 5 yds to the LSU 41Similar
Q2 3:05
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+4
34.3%
Leonard Fournette run for 4 yds to the LSU 45Similar
Q2 2:27
3RD & 1
OWN 45
0
34.6%
Leonard Fournette run for no gain to the LSU 45Similar
Q2 1:49
4TH & 1
OWN 45
0
36.7%
Leonard Fournette run for no gain to the LSU 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 11FG
5 plays · 15 yds · 0:4342% → 47%
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+12
42.4%
Bart Houston pass complete to Robert Wheelwright for 12 yds to the LSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
43.3%
Bart Houston pass complete to Alec Ingold for 2 yds to the LSU 31Similar
Q2 1:04
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+1
43.4%
Bart Houston pass complete to Dare Ogunbowale for 1 yd to the LSU 30Similar
Q2 0:59
3RD & 7
OPP 30
0
42.2%
Bart Houston pass incomplete to Robert WheelwrightSimilar
Q2 0:54
4TH & 7
OPP 30
+48
46.5%
Rafael Gaglianone 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 12INT
4 plays · 14 yds · 0:2854% → 54%
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
46.2%
Leonard Fournette run for 2 yds to the LSU 20Similar
Q2 0:09
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+12
46.8%
Brandon Harris pass complete to Malachi Dupre for 12 yds to the LSU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+43
45.7%
Brandon Harris pass intercepted Derrick Tindal return for 43 yds to the LSU 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:0155% → 52%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
44.9%
Leonard Fournette run for 1 yd to the LSU 26Similar
Q3 14:13
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
45.6%
Leonard Fournette run for 3 yds to the LSU 29Similar
Q3 13:30
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+4
47.0%
Brandon Harris pass complete to Leonard Fournette for 4 yds to the LSU 33Similar
Q3 12:51
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
47.6%
Josh Growden punt for 25 yds, downed at the Wisc 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 14TD
5 plays · 58 yds · 1:4952% → 71%
Q3 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+27
52.2%
Bart Houston pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 27 yds to the LSU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+12
53.6%
Corey Clement run for 12 yds to the LSU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+10
54.1%
Corey Clement run for 10 yds to the LSU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
54.7%
Corey Clement run for 4 yds to the LSU 5Similar
Q3 10:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
70.5%
Corey Clement 5 Yd Run (Rafael Gaglianone Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 15PUNT
10 plays · 49 yds · 3:2831% → 25%
Q3 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
68.6%
Leonard Fournette run for 4 yds to the LSU 21Similar
Q3 10:05
2ND & 6
OWN 21
+30
69.2%
Leonard Fournette run for 30 yds to the Wisc 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+8
66.3%
Leonard Fournette run for 8 yds to the Wisc 41Similar
Q3 9:09
2ND & 2
OPP 41
+9
66.7%
Leonard Fournette run for 9 yds to the Wisc 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
66.6%
Derrius Guice run for 3 yds to the Wisc 29Similar
Q3 7:10
2ND & 7
OPP 29
-5
70.8%
Brandon Harris sacked by Jack Cichy for a loss of 5 yards to the Wisc 34 Brandon Harris fumbled, forced by Jack Cichy, recovered by LSU Leonard Fournette , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 7:06
3RD & 12
OPP 34
0
74.1%
Brandon Harris pass incomplete to Malachi DupreSimilar
Q3 6:58
4TH & 12
OPP 34
0
75.4%
Josh Growden punt for 30 yds, downed at the Wisc 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 16INT TD
3 plays · 6 yds · 1:2277% → 59%
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+3
76.7%
Corey Clement run for 3 yds to the Wisc 7Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 7
OWN 7
+3
78.7%
Corey Clement run for 3 yds to the Wisc 10Similar
Q3 5:28
3RD & 4
OWN 10
+21
58.5%
Bart Houston pass intercepted for a TD Tre'Davious White return for 21 yds for a TD, (Colby Delahoussaye KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 17FUMBLE
4 plays · 12 yds · 0:4061% → 61%
Q3 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
60.9%
Corey Clement run for 1 yd to the Wisc 36Similar
Q3 4:49
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
62.2%
Bart Houston pass incomplete to Jazz PeavySimilar
Q3 4:39
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+6
61.4%
Bart Houston pass complete to George Rushing for 11 yds George Rushing fumbled, forced by Donte Jackson, recovered by LSU Tre'Davious White , return for 6 yds to the Wisc 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 18TD
2 plays · 41 yds · 0:1044% → 67%
Q3 4:31
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+31
56.2%
Brandon Harris pass complete to Leonard Fournette for 31 yds to the Wisc 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
32.7%
Brandon Harris pass complete to Travin Dural for 10 yds for a TD, (Colby Delahoussaye KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 2:2040% → 39%
Q3 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
40.1%
Bart Houston pass incomplete to Robert WheelwrightSimilar
Q3 3:31
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+26
40.3%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 11 yds to the LSU 35 for a 1ST down LSU Penalty, Personal Foul (Davon Godchaux) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:20
1ST & 10
50
0
45.3%
Corey Clement run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 2:40
2ND & 10
50
-1
45.2%
A.J. Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 49Similar
Q3 2:04
3RD & 11
OWN 49
0
41.9%
Bart Houston pass incomplete to Robert WheelwrightSimilar
Q3 1:55
4TH & 11
OWN 49
0
39.0%
P.J. Rosowski punt for 49 yds, downed at the LSU 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 20PUNT
9 plays · 26 yds · 2:4359% → 57%
Q3 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+10
40.6%
Brandon Harris pass complete to Travin Dural for 10 yds to the LSU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+1
39.6%
Leonard Fournette run for 1 yd to the LSU 13Similar
Q3 0:36
2ND & 9
OWN 13
+6
40.5%
Leonard Fournette run for 6 yds to the LSU 19Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 3
OWN 19
+5
41.3%
Brandon Harris pass complete to Malachi Dupre for 5 yds to the LSU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
40.0%
Leonard Fournette run for 4 yds to the LSU 28Similar
Q4 14:17
2ND & 6
OWN 28
0
39.5%
Brandon Harris pass incomplete to Malachi DupreSimilar
Q4 14:12
3RD & 6
OWN 28
0
41.3%
Brandon Harris pass incomplete to Malachi DupreSimilar
Q4 14:06
4TH & 6
OWN 28
0
43.0%
Josh Growden punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wisc 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 2:5447% → 43%
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-15
47.0%
Clement, Corey rush for 9 yards to the 50 yardline, PENALTY WISCONSIN illegal block (Deiter, Michael) 15 yards to the WISCONSIN26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:34
1ST & 25
OWN 26
+11
43.3%
Bart Houston pass complete to Austin Ramesh for 11 yds to the Wisc 37Similar
Q4 13:01
2ND & 14
OWN 37
+14
44.0%
Bart Houston pass complete to Robert Wheelwright for 14 yds to the LSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:26
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
49.4%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 2 yds to the LSU 47Similar
Q4 12:20
2ND & 8
OPP 47
-6
49.7%
Bart Houston sacked by Arden Key for a loss of 6 yards to the Wisc 47Similar
Q4 11:15
3RD & 14
OWN 47
0
44.0%
Bart Houston pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:06
4TH & 14
OWN 47
0
43.1%
P.J. Rosowski punt for 41 yds, downed at the LSU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 24 yds · 2:4357% → 58%
Q4 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+19
42.6%
Leonard Fournette run for 19 yds to the LSU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
40.2%
Leonard Fournette run for 3 yds to the LSU 34Similar
Q4 9:33
2ND & 7
OWN 34
-1
40.3%
Brandon Harris sacked by Vince Biegel for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 33Similar
Q4 8:54
3RD & 8
OWN 33
+3
42.8%
Brandon Harris pass complete to Leonard Fournette for 3 yds to the LSU 36Similar
Q4 8:14
4TH & 5
OWN 36
0
42.1%
Josh Growden punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Jazz Peavy at the Wisc 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 23FG
9 plays · 48 yds · 4:1947% → 76%
Q4 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
47.1%
Corey Clement run for 3 yds to the Wisc 26Similar
Q4 7:29
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+7
48.2%
Bart Houston pass complete to Jazz Peavy for 7 yds to the Wisc 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+20
48.1%
Bart Houston pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 20 yds to the LSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:33
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+14
53.8%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 14 yds to the LSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:06
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-10
57.2%
Clement, Corey rush for 8 yards to the LSU25, PENALTY WISCONSIN holding (Dooley, Garret) 10 yards to the LSU43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:38
1ST & 20
OPP 43
+11
50.8%
Bart Houston pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 11 yds to the LSU 32Similar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 9
OPP 32
+2
57.8%
Corey Clement run for 2 yds to the LSU 30Similar
Q4 4:23
3RD & 7
OPP 30
+1
55.1%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 1 yd to the LSU 29Similar
Q4 3:47
4TH & 6
OPP 29
+47
75.8%
Rafael Gaglianone 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 24INT
8 plays · 40 yds · 2:4332% → 33%
Q4 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
67.9%
Brandon Harris pass complete to DeSean Smith for 19 yds to the LSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
64.1%
Brandon Harris pass incomplete to Malachi DupreSimilar
Q4 3:05
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+4
65.7%
Brandon Harris pass complete to Travin Dural for 4 yds to the LSU 48Similar
Q4 2:30
3RD & 6
OWN 48
+7
64.3%
Brandon Harris pass complete to Malachi Dupre for 7 yds to the Wisc 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+15
60.5%
Leonard Fournette run for 15 yds to the Wisc 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:24
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-5
58.7%
LSU Penalty, False Start (William Clapp) to the Wisc 35Similar
Q4 0:57
1ST & 15
OPP 35
0
66.9%
Brandon Harris pass intercepted D'Cota Dixon return for no gain to the Wisc 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 25END OF GAME
5 plays · 16 yds · 0:5787% → 95%
Q4 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
87.2%
LSU Penalty, Personal Foul (Josh Boutte) to the Wisc 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-2
89.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 45Similar
Q4 0:48
2ND & 12
OWN 45
-2
89.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 43Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 14
OWN 43
-2
94.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 4:21
Brandon Harris pass complete to Travin Dural for 10 yds for a TD, (Colby Delahoussaye KICK)
-23.5
FG · Q4 3:47
Rafael Gaglianone 47 yd FG GOOD
+20.7
KEY PLAY · Q4 0:57
LSU Penalty, Personal Foul (Josh Boutte) to the Wisc 47 for a 1ST down
+20.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com